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2000
1990 2050 Moderate
Population [Billions] 5.2 9,5 economic growth
GDP p.a. in 103 $ 4.3 17 (A2/B2)
1500
Gigatons (109 t) HCU 12 29
(1 HCU = 29.4 MJ)
1000
500 De-materialization /
Optimized Resource
Efficiency (B1/B2)
0
MENA
Energy supply scenario in MENA countries until 2050. Due to this prediction CSP may
cover up to 68% of the power demand in the region whereas nearly 20% may be
exported to Europe. In addition some13% may be used for desalination in the MENA-
Region
Source: DLR [Wording of graph: Installed performance [GW]
DESERTEC - DAS PROJEKT
Example (Sweden):
5 GW, 800 kV;
Losses:
~3% per 1000 km
Scematic graph of a Concentrating Solarthermal Power Plant (CSP). Heat media: thermo oil or
liquified salt crystals (temperatures up to 550 C, improved efficiency) - R&D is needed !
Source: DLR
DESERTEC - TECHNOLOGY
Concentrating Solar-Thermal Power Plants (CSP) provide the advantage, other than
PV-plant, to store sun power more efficiently and at relatively moderate costs. Thus,
continously generation of electric power is possible even during night or on cloudy
days.
Heat storage tanks with molten salt (melting point at approx. 200 C)
Mirror
Field
4/14/2010
DESERTEC - CONSORTIUM
MARCH 22, 2010: 4 new partners join the consortium
4/14/2010
DESERTEC - MEASURES
Oct 15, 2009: Siemens AG overtook 100% of the Israelian enterprise
SolelSolar for 418 Mio USD to be prepared within Desertec
(notable: AREVA, the world largest nuc power constructor, was one
of the competitors in biding for SolelSolar)
Two final production scenarios are discussed: moderate = 830 GWel until
2050; ambitious = 1520 GWel until 2050
Total added value potential for German industry from 2010 until 2050 may
variate between 269 to 1.102 bn EUR (moderate) and 476 to 1.953 bn EUR,
respectively (ambitious)
Variataions are due to potential but currently unknown share of German business
of global added value chains
Other countries such as Japan, the U.S. and even China, too, have entered
the train of sustainable / renewable energies. Those countries who do not
learn the message and join now may suffer disadvantages not only in future
energy availability but moreover in technical innovation and may not
participate in the fast growing market of renewables.
www.physik.uni-giessen.de/dueren/sepa
www.clubofrome.de