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August 2013
Index
I.
Executive Summary
II.
Industry Overview
Executive Summary
With a huge agriculture
sector, abundant
livestock, and cost
competitiveness, India
is fast emerging as a
sourcing hub of
processed food
India is one of the worlds largest producers as well as consumers of food. Changing food consumption
patterns of Indias population (both spouses working, eating out as income levels rise & entry/
establishment of foreign brands) is expected to increase consumption volume further in absolute terms
drastically over the next few years
Indias agricultural sector is large and diverse, accounting for about 16% of GDP and 10% of its export
earnings. Its arable land area of 159.7 million hectares (394.6 million acres) is the second largest in the
world (after the United States), and its gross irrigated crop area of 82.6 million hectares (215.6 million
acres) is the largest in the world to support the food processing industry
Consumption patterns in India have been undergoing a visible shift. Earlier, the share of cereal products
was the highest, followed by milk & milk products, vegetables, edible oil and meat products. However, in
recent years, the growth rates for fruits, vegetables, meat and dairy products have been higher than
cereals and pulses
India is among the top three global producers of a broad range of crops, including wheat, rice
, pulses, peanuts , fruits and vegetables and the leading producer of milk in the world
The food processing sector is on the radar of many investment firms and strategic investors as processing
sectors like dairy, frozen foods and snack foods segment present a slew of attractive opportunities
Currently, a large part of food processing happens primarily on the commodity side. However, as the
nutritional needs of the Indian consumer increase, alongside a shift towards an urban lifestyle, it is
expected that value-added products will witness high growth
In addition to the changes on the demand side, there are also changes occurring on the supply side with
growth in organized retail, increasing FDI and new product introductions supporting the industrys growth
The opportunity in the food processing industry is vast, but so are the challenges; the need of the hour is
to improve technology and productivity in order to be competitive globally. Foreign players can bring not
only world class brands but also global practices and tap into this fast growing market through M&A
Industry Overview
Industry Overview
Food Processing Industry
Key Highlights of the Sector
Rice mills account for the largest share of processing units in the
organized sector in India. This sector is among the few that serves as
a vital link between the agriculture and industrial segments of the
economy
Indias agri and processed foods exports shot up 63% to set a record
at US$ 16.96 billion in FY 2012-13 as compared to US$ 10.39 billion
in the corresponding period of the last year
The industry has also attracted foreign direct investments (FDI) worth
US$ 1.82 billion during 2012-13
Major Segments
% Growth
20.00%
Water / Soft
Drinks 9%
($13.5 billion)
15.00%
10.00%
Fruits and
Vegetables 4%
($6 billion)
Alcoholic
Beverages 3%
($4.5 billion)
Food Grain
Milling 34%
($51 billion)
5.00%
Meat and
Poultry 14%
($21 billion)
0.00%
-5.00%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
FPI
9.90%
5.30%
-2.70%
14.90%
15.70%
Agriculture
6.30%
0.10%
0.60%
8.60%
3.80%
The graph above shows that the contribution of the food processing
sector to GDP has been growing faster than that of agriculture sector
Source: National Accounts Statistics, 2013
Bread and
Bakery 20%
($30 billion)
Dairy Products
16% ($24
billion)
Food
Processing
Marine Products
Grain Processing
Consumer Food
Packaged
Foods
Aerated soft
drinks
Packaged
drinking
water
Alcoholic
Beverages
Food
Processing
Alcoholic
Beverages
Consumer Food
Aerated Soft
Drinks
Packaged
Food
Advantage India
Major Agricultural Export Zone in India
Segment Analysis
I. Dairy
II. Snack Foods
III. Frozen Foods
IV. Rice and flour
I. Dairy
Market Overview
Milk Production Across Countries ( In Million Tonnes)
Industry Overview
The industry has grown from producing 17mm tonnes of milk in 1951
to producing 122mm tonnes in 2012 (largest in the world)
117.0
87.5
41.1
35.5
32.1
29.7
Russia
Germany
India
USA
China
Pakistan
Source: National Dairy Development Board, 2010
Indian Dairy
Industry
(122m tonnes)
Organized ~
20% ( 24m)
Liquid Milk
(processed) ~
13.5% (16m)
Unorganized
~80% (98m)
Value Added
products ~6.5%
(8m)
Retained or sold
at rural level
~41% (50m)
Others*
9%
Fluid Milk
45%
Ghee (clarified
butter)
28%
*includes milk used for
curd, yoghurt, ice-cream etc
10
I. Dairy
Ice Cream Market A golden egg in the dairy basket
Ice Cream Industry Growing Steadily
Ice cream is amongst the fastest-growing categories in the packaged
foods category in India and the size of industry is estimated at ~$511
million in 20121 which is growing at a CAGR of 11% for last five years
Dairy Ice
cream
55%
Water Ice
Cream
7%
Major Players
Punjab State
Cooperative
1%
Hatsun Agro
7%
Others
9%
Amul
31%
Devyani Foods
7%
Vadilal
12%
Mother Dairy
13%
HUL (Kwality
Walls)
20%
11
I. Dairy
New trend in the market
Yoghurt - Untapped Category
The American concept of yoghurt is spreading across the country with With Indian consumers slowly moving from carbonated soft drinks to
healthier options, flavoured milk represents one of the fastest growing
leading manufacturers Amul, Mother Dairy, Danone, Britannia and
segments in the Indian dairy market
Nestle vying to capture a large chunk of the market
The current size of industry is estimated around $182 million in India The flavoured milk segment in India is estimated at only ~$67 million in
20121 and is growing at a CAGR of 15-20%
and is growing at a CAGR of 20-25% and is slated to double itself in
next three years, according to consulting firm Technopak Advisors
The ready to drink flavoured milk segment represents a very convenient
option to the Indian middle class where there are no hassles to boil, add
The newly-emerging frozen yogurt category is gradually getting fast
external ingredients to serve this milk
recognition in the market. The latest entrant US-based Pinkberry has
joined the likes of Canadian brand Kiwi Kiss and US' Red Mango
Also plastic bottles or tetra packs have made this category of milk more
convenient for consumers to drink and easier for distributors to ship
The category has yet to percolate to regions like east India where
mishti doi (sweet curd) is very popular
1Business Line, Dec 2012
12
Industry Overview
Impulse
and
Indulgence
products
include
confectionery, pastries, cakes, biscuits, ice creams, sweet and savory
snacks and snack bars
Sweet and
Savoury Snacks
1,477
21%
Confectionery
2,053
29%
Biscuits are have been the most preferred impulse and indulgence
snack with the largest value share in 2012
Parle products is the leader in impulse and indulgence products with
a value share of 15% in 2012
Ice Cream
508
7%
Cakes
305
4%
Biscuits
2,806
39%
forcing
Nestle, 4.10%
Balaji, 1.70%
Parle, 14.60%
Haldirams, 4.90
%
Parle, 12.70%
Lay's, 3.80%
Haldirams, 4.60
%
Frito-Lay, 7.60%
ITC, 8.10%
Cadbury, 10.10
%
1
Euromonitor
Britannia, 12.70
%
Cadbury Dairy
Milk, 5.30%
Sunfeast, 5.40
%
Britannia, 12.70
%
13
7.20
4.16
3.73
2.05
2.67
2.81
1.48
Confectionery
Biscuits
5 Yr CAGR Historical
(2007-12)
23.3%
5 Yr CAGR Estimated
(2012-17)
12.7%
Consumers expected
to
move
towards
premium
options
which offer rich taste
0.87
17.7%
8.2%
Shift
from
plain
biscuits to cookies
and sandwich biscuits
available at lower
price points
1.35
Other
Total
2017
27.4%
12.5%
20.9%
10.6%
Introduction of smaller
packs available at
lower price points in
order to tap rural
markets
Euromonitor
14
Overview
Sweet and savory snack are a sub - segment of impulse and
indulgence products category and include Chips, Crisps, extruded
snacks, nuts, popcorn and other sweet and savory snacks such as
Aloo Bhujia , Moong Dal and Bhujia Sev which are traditional Indian
snacks
Chips/Crisps
509
35%
Popcorn
19
1%
Extruded Snacks
412
28%
Nuts
15
1%
DFM
1%
Others
21%
Frito-Lay
36%
Others
28%
Prakash
3%
Crax
1%
Bingo!
7%
ITC
7%
Balaji
8%
Haldiram
24%
Lay's
19%
Balaji
8%
Kurkure
15%
Euromonitor
15
1,477.31
854.96
962.00
850.37
508.52
557.01
411.79
Chips/Crisps
Extruded Snacks
5 Yr CAGR Historical
(2007-12)
5 Yr CAGR Estimated
(2012-17)
Euromonitor
30.8%
11.0%
Demand expected to
come from rural areas
which
are
not
saturated like the
urban market and
introduction
of
healthier offerings
Total
2017
24.2%
27.4%
15.6%
12.5%
16
Overview
The Frozen Processed Food products market is one of the fastest
growing sphere with a market size of US$ 60.88Mn. It includes Frozen
Processed Vegetables, Frozen Processed Poultry and Frozen
Processed Fish / Seafood Products
Frozen Processed Vegetables (Peas, Corns, Cauliflower etc.), Frozen
Processed Poultry Products (Chicken Cutlets, Tikkas, Nuggets etc.)
and Frozen Processed Red Meat (Salami, Sausages, Mutton Kebabs
etc.) have dominated the Frozen Processed Food Market in India
Mother Dairy Fruits and Vegetables Ltd., Al Kabeer Exports, Venkys
and Temptation Foods are the market leaders with a combined market
share of ~56.9% in 2012
Frozen Fish / Seafood Products are gaining momentum in the Indian
market because frozen seafood in particular, is new for the Indian taste
buds. Only 5% of the total produce gets consumed domestically and
the rest 95% is exported
Frozen
Potatoes
3.80
6%
Frozen Fish /
Seafood
9.59
16%
Innovative
Foods, 7.9%
Temptation
Foods, 9.1%
Al
Kabeer, 16.5%
Meatzza
(Darshan
Foods), 5.4%
Ever Fresh
(Temptation
Foods), 7.9%
Euromonitor
McCain, 4.6%
Safal (Mother
Dairy), 22.1%
Sumeru
(Innovative
Foods), 9.1%
Venky's, 9.8%
Venky's, 9.8%
McCain
India, 4.6%
Mother
Dairy, 22.1%
Frozen
Vegetables
26.69
44%
Frozen Poultry
10.57
17%
Frozen Ready
Meals
5.25
9%
Frozen Red
Meat
5.00
8%
Al
Kabeer, 16.5%
Total Segment Size (Only Major Brands)
~US$ 45.91 Mn
17
Market Size
2012 - US$ 60.88Mn and 2017 - ~US$ 130.94Mn
5 year estimated CAGR 16.55%
60.88
57.85
26.69
23.57
21.15
10.57
9.59
3.80
Frozen Vegetables
Frozen Poultry
5 Yr
CAGR
Estimated
(2007-12)
5 Yr CAGR
Historical
(2012-17)
Current
Trends
Frozen
Vegetables
Frozen
Poultry
16.74%
17.15%
17.40%
18.31%
Busy lifestyles
and hygiene
awareness is
luring customers
towards frozen
processed
vegetables
Euromonitor
15.77%
15.73%
Stands second in
terms of market
and value share.
Kebabs and Cutlets
are all time
favorites among
Indians
5.25
5.00
Frozen Potatoes
2012
Frozen
Fish /
Seafood
8.36
11.39
8.62
Total
2017
Frozen
Potatoes
17.83%
17.97%
Potato Products
such as
Fingers, Patties, Cutl
ets etc. are enjoyed
best as quick meals
and have a great
potential as it has
emerged as a party
snack category
Frozen
Red Meat
Frozen
Ready
Meals
17.89%
9.78%
16.97%
Red Meat is
considered heavy for
the heart as compared
to White Meat but in
some parts of the
country it is not liked
that much however, it
has export potential
15.59%
18
Others
16%
UK
3%
Kuwait
10%
Iran
18%
Saudi Arabia
27%
UAE
26%
Countries
Market Size of
Exports
Saudi
Arabia
$1.18 billion
UAE
$1.14 billion
Iran
$792 million
UK
$132 million
Others
$704 million
Major Players
Growth Factors
India, being a large market with a widening middle-income group and
an increasing number of double-income households, holds great
potential for the packaged rice segment, even in the Ready to Eat
Ready to Cook categories
The packaged rice market, though still at a growing stage, with few
national and international players capturing a large share of the
market, has witnessed a healthy year-on-year growth in the past
couple of years
1Technopak
Brands
KBRL
Kohinoor Foods
Kohinoor, Charminar
LT Foods
Dawaat, Heritage
REI Agro
Raindrop
Brands
Amira Foods
Amira
Best International
Best
817 Elephant
Shri La
19
Organized
Sector
8% ($750
million)
Organized sector
includes branded
packaged flour sold in
stores
Unorganized
Sector
92% ($8.62
billion)
Unorganized sector
includes the chacki
flour, home flour etc
Pilsbury Brands
1Technopak
Other Brands
Analysis, July
20
21
Conventional Farming to
Commercial Farming
6
Government Assistance
In an effort to boost the food
sector, the Government is working
on agri zones and the concept of
mega food parks. Twenty such
mega parks will come are proposed
across the country in various cities
to attract Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI) in the food-processing sector
Approval of National Mission on
Food Processing
22
I. Dairy
II. Snacks
Opportunities within
each of the Food
Processing Industry
Segments
1) Ice Cream
2) Flavored Milk
3) Yoghurt
1) Extruded Snacks
2) Sweet and Savory
snacks
Reason of Growth
Major Brands
1Indian
23
IV. Others
Opportunities within
each of the Food
Processing Industry
Segments
1) Frozen
Vegetables &
Puree
2) Frozen Chicken &
Meat Products
Reason of Growth
Major Brands
24
Valuation Benchmarks
25
S. No.
Company Name
Market
Cap
Net Debt
EV
2012
EBITDA
2013
2012
Net Income
2013
2012
2013
I. Dairy Products
1
Vadilal
$14.61
$24.90
$39.51
$54.66
$59.07
$6.84
$6.57
$1.11
$0.92
27.34
11.79
39.13
32.53
41.22
3.84
3.88
1.99
1.15
68.20
22.93
91.13
190.15
261.06
13.16
11.14
7.88
4.54
155.67
841.66
997.33
1,033.49
1,746.25
194.80
271.50
74.68
128.22
10.26
II. Snacks
2
DFM Foods
Venky's
REI Agro
LT Foods
26.34
225.59
251.93
275.63
408.05
34.11
43.56
4.34
Kohinoor
14.31
145.87
160.18
206.68
223.48
6.42
21.84
(7.32)
1.05
ADF Foods
14.69
0.66
15.35
29.93
32.75
3.78
3.03
1.23
2.57
Tasty Bites
6.80
5.65
12.45
15.83
20.41
0.97
2.33
0.32
1.16
V. Other
26
S. No.
Company Name
PAT Margin
2012
2013
EV / Sales
2012
2013
EV / EBITDA
2012
2013
P/E
2012
2013
2012
2013
12.52%
11.13%
2.04%
1.56%
0.72
0.67
5.77
6.01
13.13
15.88
11.80%
9.42%
6.11%
2.80%
1.20
0.95
10.19
10.08
13.74
23.67
6.92%
4.27%
4.15%
1.74%
0.48
0.35
6.92
8.18
8.65
15.04
I. Dairy Products
1
Vadilal
II. Snacks
2
DFM Foods
Venky's
REI Agro
18.85%
15.55%
7.23%
7.34%
5.79x
3.43x
5.12x
3.67x
2.08x
1.21x
LT Foods
12.37%
10.68%
1.57%
2.51%
0.91
0.62
7.39
5.78
6.08
2.57
Kohinoor
3.11%
9.77%
NA
0.47%
0.78
0.72
24.93
7.34
NA
13.60
ADF Foods
12.62%
9.26%
4.11%
7.85%
0.51
0.47
4.06
5.06
11.94
5.71
Tasty Bites
6.14%
11.42%
2.03%
5.67%
0.79
0.61
12.82
5.34
21.21
5.87
10.62%
11.33%
3.73%
4.77%
1.76x
1.17x
10.86x
5.44x
10.33x
5.79x
12.37%
10.68%
3.07%
5.67%
0.79
0.62
7.39
5.34
9.01
5.71
18.85%
15.55%
7.23%
7.85%
5.79
3.43
24.93
7.34
21.21
13.60
3.11%
9.26%
1.57%
0.47%
0.51
0.47
4.06
3.67
2.08
1.21
V. Other
7
8
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
27
Precedent Transactions
Mergers & Acquisitions
Date
Target
Buyer
Type of Business
Sugar
Sugar
Sugar
Fruits & Vegetables,
Empower India Ltd.
Spices and Grains
Roquette Freres
Corn
General Mills Inc.
Packaged Foods
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Fruits Processing
Bunge India Pvt. Ltd.
Edible Oils
Edible Oils & Dairy
Bunge India Pvt. Ltd.
Products
NSL Sugars Ltd.
Sugar
Keventer Agro Ltd.
Candy Items
EID Parry India Ltd.
Sugar
NA
1.36
NA
100
1.36
100
NA
100
174.95
12.14
12.02
56.9
100
100
49
100
19.3
100
51.7
11.27
18.29
50
18.29
36
36
Source: VCCEdge
28
Precedent Transactions
Private Equity Investments
Closing
Date
Company
Investors
Business Type
Stake
Deal Value
EV /
Acquired
($ mn)
EBITDA
(%)
22-Jul-13 Capricorn Food Products India Ltd. Quadria Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.
$10.07
2-Jul-13
Spices
40.00
Rice Milling
145.00
Cargill Ventures
Dairy Products
20.46
Dairy Products
18.50
Dairy Products
28.88
66.00
Dairy Products
11.92
25.00
25.00
Packaged Foods
16.36
Packaged Foods
15.00
Average
Median
Minimum
Maximum
15.00
50.96
34.87x
22.73
10.07
145.00
NA
NA
51
23.66
NA
NA
NA
20.99
40.28
NA
NA
NA
12.92
NA
NA
NA
8.41
6.38
26
20
NA
27.08
98
20
36.33x
26.00
20.00
98.00
57.8
9.4
NA
NA
18.98x
9.40
6.38
57.80
Source: VCCEdge
29
Foreign Ventures
Major Joint Ventures in India
Year
Foreign Players
Indian Partner
Types Of Business
Stake
Ratio
2011
Dan Cake
Phadnis Group
66:34
2011
McCormick
85:15
Eastern Condiments
Seasonings
26:74
Beverages
50:50
2010
2010
2007
1994
McCormick
Nestle
Hershey
Godrej
Chocolates
51:49
AVT
Spices
50:50
McCormick
30
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