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Key points:
It is estimated that if all the planned projects are implemented, the
value of those projects would exceed all foreign direct investment in
Pakistan since 1970 and would be equivalent to 17% of Pakistan's 2015
gross domestic product. It is further estimated the CPEC project will
create some 700,000 direct jobs during the period 20152030 and add
up to 2.5 percentage points to the country's growth rate.
An additional 1.4 million indirect jobs will be added in supply-chain and
service sectors to support the projects. An example of indirect jobs is
the massive expansion in Pakistans cement production
Almost 80% of the Chinas oil is currently transported from the Middle
East through the Strait of Malacca to Shanghai, (distance is almost
16,000 km and takes 2-3 months). With Gwadar port in Pakistan
becoming operational, the distance would reduce to less than 5,000
km.
after the completion of 21 energy projects, their wiil be the potential to
produce 10,400 MW by March 2018
As part of infrastructure projects worth approximately $11 billion and
1,100 kilometer long motorway will be constructed between the cities
of Karachi and Lahore, while the Karakoram Highway between
Rawalpindi and the Chinese border will be completely reconstructed
and overhauled.
The KarachiPeshawar main railway line will also be upgraded to allow
for train travel at up to 160 kilometers per hour by December 2019.
Pakistan's railway network will also be extended to eventually connect
to China's Southern Xinjiang Railway in Kashgar.
A network of pipelines to transport liquefied natural gas and oil will
also be laid as part of the project, including a $2.5 billion pipeline
between Gwadar and Nawabshah to transport gas from Iran.
Compare it with the largest US port of Long Beach which handles 80
million tons of cargo, about a quarter of what Gwadar will handle upon
Significance of Gwadar
Gwadar is the port on the southwestern Arabian Sea coastline, in the
Balochistan province of Pakistan. It is about 635 km from Karachi and 120 km
from the Iranian border by road. Gwadar Port is located just outside the Strait
of Hormuz, Under CPEC, the Gwadar Port is strategically (economically)
important for China because it will bring closer the Middle Eastern ports to
China through Karakoram Highway (KKH) linking Gwadar with Kashgar. Under
CPEC, Gwadar Port is considered as Gateway of CPEC and Gwadar city as one
of the pivotal cities of the corridor. The first Special Economic Zone (SEZ) of
CPEC is being developed in Gwadar city.
Gwadar port, offer opportunities to prospective investor for development of
infrastructure such as storage, warehouses, hotels, marine workshops,
container freight stations, seafood, dates processing and export and offices
spaces for banks, clearing agents, ship agents. Chinese investors have taken
keen interest in establishing Marine Silk Route and establishment of heavy
industries in the industrial zone as per the Gwadar Port Master Plan (2006)
For China, it provides diversity, security and enhancement of energy
supplies. Currently, oil tanker takes approximately 20 - 30 days to reach from
Gulf to Shanghai, while through Gwadar, it is likely to take much lesser time
(may be less than a week) and also avoid choke points like Straits of Malacca
etc. In the strategic domain, the port is likely to serve China more than
Pakistan, as it provides a land based oil supply port under a trusted ally.
CPEC will also enable Pakistan to bypass Afghanistan to trade with Central
Asia through China across China's borders with Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and
Kazakhstan.
Gawadar vs Chabhar:
As an economic enterprise, for the CPEC, the greatest challenge comes from
competitors. The most significant is the Iranian port of Chabahar. India
Corridor Routes:
Pakistan has prepared a plan to construct three corridors after active consultation
with the Chinese authorities; these are the eastern alignment, the central alignment
and the western alignment.
Western alignment was the original alignment which the government says has been
deferred until the eastern alignment of the corridor is completed.
The western alignment will have an additional regional connectivity link to
Afghanistan through Chaman and will connect with Iran through Quetta. The work
on central alignment will be completed later.
The argument that some parts of the country are being deprived of the corridors
benefits may be true in the short-term but, in the longer term all these cities will be
connected to the corridor.
Challenges:
There are numerous internal and external challenges for Pakistan over Pakistan
China One Belt One Road Project. Here some very serious challenges have been
described.
Various
Some
political parties in KPK also have some issues with CPEC which is a big
challenge for this multibillion dollars project. The reason behind this
opposition is changes being made in the original plan of this corridor by the
federal government which will divert economic benefits to Punjab only,
however, China is also most interested to work on Eastern route first because
of some security concerns.
KPK
government believe that the original route will connect the under
developed areas of KPK and Fata to the Corridor and will generate economic
activities in the entire region but with adoption of new the alignment, these
areas would remain ignored.
Gwadar
is the tail of the Silk belt, which will connect at Kashgar through
electricity price with Pakistan along with the implementation process of the
China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) energy projects in Pakistan.
According to the agreement, under the CPEC, the imported equipment would
be exempt from sales tax and withholding tax. However, the approval
procedure from FBR is proving time-consuming, which is negatively impacting
on project construction timelines in Pakistan
Benefit to Pakistan:
Here are some benefits which Pakistan will take after the completion of CPEC.
Overcoming Energy crises: CPEC is the ideal project which will help rid
country of the energy crises. Energy availability in country will revive existing
industries, such as textile to full production and add an estimated 2 percent
to Pakistans GDP growth. CPEC will cover four areas; energy sector is one of
them. In the energy sector, project will be completed by 2018. These projects
would be based on wind, solar, coal and hydropower generation of 10,400
MW as well as the transmission system and would be located in all the
provinces and Azad Kashmir.