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2015;17:16371
Review
MD PhD FRCOG
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Key content
Learning objectives
Please cite this paper as: Kaijser J, Van Hoorde K, Van Calster B, Bourne T, Vergote I, Timmerman D. Diagnosing adnexal tumours before surgery: a critical
appraisal of recent evidence. The Obstetrician & Gynaecologist 2015;17:16371.
Introduction
Ovarian or tubal masses are frequently observed in women of
all ages who seek gynaecological care,1 and are still a leading
indication to perform surgical treatment.2 However, most
affected women have benign disease as the incidence of
ovarian cancer remains low.3 Women only have a 1.4%
lifetime risk of developing this type of cancer, in comparison
to an estimated 510% lifetime risk of undergoing surgery
for a suspected ovarian neoplasm.2 In the UK the crude
incidence of ovarian cancer is approximately 22 new cases/
year for every 100 000 women.4
163
New strategies
Until recently, novel strategies for diagnosing ovarian cancer
had not been subject to adequate review. These include the
164
Kaijser et al.
Malignant features
Irregular solid
tumour
Presence of
ascites
4 papillary
projections
Irregular
multilocular-solid
tumour 100 mm
Colour score 4
(strong blood
flow)
Tumour with
largest solid
component <7 mm
Acoustic
shadows
Smooth
multilocular
tumour <100 mm
Colour score 1
(no blood flow)
Benign features
Unilocular cyst
Figure 1. Benign (B) and malignant (M) features used in the IOTA Simple Rules illustrated by ultrasound images.
Ascites (2)
Age (1)
Blood flow in
a papillary
structure (3)
Max size of
solid
component (4)
Irregular
internal cyst
walls (5)
Acoustic
shadows (6)
Figure 2. Variables used in the IOTA logistic regression model 2 (IOTA LR2). LR2 estimates the probability of malignancy for an adnexal tumour as
1/(1 + exp(z)), where z = 5.3718 + 0.0354(1) + 1.6159(2) + 1.1768(3) + 0.0697(4) + 0.9586(5) 2.9486(6). Risk 10% indicates malignancy.
165
In 2014 the IOTA group also reported its findings from IOTA
phase 3,25 a large (n=2403), prospective (20092012),
multicentre (18 centres), diagnostic accuracy study
comparing the test performance of different IOTA
strategies and the RMI in the hands of experienced level III
operators (according to European Federation of Societies for
Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology guidelines).26 All IOTA
methods showed better discrimination than RMI.23 These
results were in line with other validation studies in previous
phases (1, 1b and 2)21,2729 of IOTA (n=3511) and the 2014
Table 1. Pooled summary estimates of the expected operating point (sensitivity and specicity) of models included in the quantitative data synthesis.
Model
Cut-off
Sensitivity %
(95% CI)
Specicity %
(95% CI)
Studies n
Centres n
19
9
8
7
5
19
17
8
7
17
85
80
90
86
93
(7790)
(7086)
(8195)
(7791)
(8995)
80
61
68
80
81
(7386)
(5368)
(5777)
(6689)
(7685)
23
15
9
3
41
32
19
13
72
75
70
68
(6776)
(6980)
(6078)
(5976)
92
87
91
94
(8993)
(8490)
(8893)
(9196)
6
3
4
2
2
3
24
20
21
10
20
13
35
76
82
61
77
92
(2449)
(7081)
(7786)
(4674)
(7182)
(8895)
96
87
78
81
87
83
(9498)
(8290)
(7383)
(7089)
(8389)
(7788)
3
4
20
21
77 (7182)
97 (9598)
86 (8090)
37 (3144)
ANN = articial neural network; IOTA LR2 = IOTA logistic regression model 2; LRa = logistic regression model a; LRb = logistic regression model b;
n/a = not applicable; RMI = risk of malignancy index.
Reproduced from Kaijser el al.22 2014, with permission from Oxford University Press.
166
Kaijser et al.
Table 2. Pooled test performance of IOTA LR2, Simple Rules and Risk
of Malignancy Index in premenopausal and postmenopausal women
using a meta-analysis of centre-specic data from two multicentre
cohorts.
Premenopausal women
Postmenopausal women
Model
Sensitivity %
(95% CI)
Specicity %
(95% CI)
Sensitivity %
(95% CI)
Specicity %
(95% CI)
IOTA LR2
Simple Rules
RMI-1
85 (7591)
93 (8497)
44 (2862)
91 (8396)
83 (7390)
95 (9097)
94 (8997)
93 (8896)
79 (7285)
70 (6277)
76 (6982)
90 (8494)
Discussion
In recent years, diagnostic tests for the preoperative diagnosis
of ovarian cancer have been published that perform better
than those previously available. Their use are likely to
improve the existing management, guidance and triage of
women with adnexal tumours. Consequently, there should be
no reason for women at high risk of cancer not to have
surgery carried out in the right place, by the right surgeon.36
Based on current evidence, the IOTA LR2 and Simple
Rules offer the optimal approach to discriminate between
benign and malignant disease of the ovary or tube prior to
surgery. This assertion is based on a comprehensive
systematic review of the most recent available evidence.22
These conclusions were based on methodologically sound
and high-quality evidence when applying Quality Assessment
of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies criteria. The ADNEX model
has not yet been subject to external validation but it seems
likely that it will further improve management decisions.
The meta-analysis by the IOTA group focused on a
comparison of pooled sensitivity and specificity at the
original cut-off level used for each model.22 While this is
valid from a methodological point of view, to recommend a
167
168
Kaijser et al.
Women
presenting with
adnexal tumours
prior to surgery
IOTA
Simple
Rules
Benign
Malignant
Surgery by
general
gynaecologist
Referral for
specialised
treatment in
oncology clinic
Subjective
expert
assessment
Inconclusive
Benign
Malignant
Surgery by
general
gynaecologist
Referral for
specialised
treatment in
oncology clinic
Classify
inconclusive
tumours as
malignant
Benign
Surgery by
general
gynaecologist
Malignant
Referral for
specialised
treatment in
oncology clinic
Referral for
specialised
treatment in
oncology clinic
Figure 5. An evidence-based approach to the use of ultrasonography in the assessment of women with adnexal tumours to estimate risk of
malignancy prior to surgical intervention. Adapted and reproduced from Kaijser J et al.38 2013, with permission from John Wiley and Sons.
Contribution of authorship
JK, BVC, TB and DT drafted the manuscript. KVH and BVC
conducted the analysis. All authors revised and commented
169
Disclosure of interests
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Acknowledgements
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