Состояние Рынка Авиаперевозок - Russia

.
. -
2015
.
6.5%
2015 .
2016 (+7.1% 2015.).
2015. - 3.8%,
5.6%,

80.3%.
(78.8%)
2.2% 2015
. ,
2016 . (+2.7% 2015)
2015 5%
.

(
$19.4 .*), ($1.4
.*), -
($5.8 .*) ($6.9
.*).

(-$0.3 .*) (-$0.3
.*).
*
.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru
IATA 2016.
6.9% 2016 ( 20 - 5.5%)

3%.
.
.
2016
.
.
.

.
2016- ,
1% ($750 .) .
2015
2016

( , %
)
85
2014
**
2015
**
79.44
80
75
70.45
70

____________________________________
**

, . -
, %
______________________________
*
0.7
11.35
-2.5
1.2
-0.7
-3.7
12.9
-8.4
-9.5
-4.0
73.03
65
60
59.08
55
50
45
2015*
2016*
519,6
510,4
95,5
99,1
.
: .
40
/
/
2015
418 ..
(: )
. - 2016
, %, /
2015
2016
98.3
98.4
106.2
101.6
99.6
99.3
97.6
93.3
92.0
96.9
5.8
5.8
94.7
93.4
99.8
98.3
51.8
29.5
( )

Urals, . /

% .

.

:

300.0
- 2015-2016
71%
42%
250.0
35
30
57%
67%
25
200.0
31%
20
150.0
61%
53%
. .
100.0
69%
241.4
58%
226.8
39%
33%
28.9
43%
29%
26.2
10
147.1
50.0
47% 116.2
118.9
15
110.9
85.8
97.5
89.6
11.6
13.2
53.4
0.0
0
2000
2005
2010
2014
2015 *
22015
22016
, ..
( ), ..

: , ,
0.70
0.63
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
0.00


% -
100
2013 2015 .
110.2
- 2015-2016
98,8
90
16
14
114.2
80
12
97.1
70
10
60
113,6
103,5
50
117.4
110.8
117,9
93.2
92.1
84.6
40
113.1
84,2
11.0
10.7
30
20
39.2
45.3
46.3
46.9
77.0
52.6
39.5
6.95
6.1
4.9
10
3.75
2013

2014

2015
215
216


(2014 2015 .), ( 2015 2016),
2014 2015 .
- 2015-2016
4000
3 762
3 599
3 252
3 230
3000
2 591
2000
1 921
2 623
2 464
1 888
1 850
2 447
1 737
1000
0
2014
2015
22015
22016

( )
100
(2013 2015 .)
- 2015-2016
90
(+0.3)
80
(-0.2)
(+1.2)
(+1.4)
(+0.3)
(+0.3)
(+0.2)
(-0.1)
(+2.0)
(+1.3)
(-0.1)
(+0.2)
70
60
50
40
75.0 82.1
79.5
76.4
81.9 79.8
76.6
82.2 79.7
71.3
76.9 74.6
72.6
76.8 74.8
30
20
10
0
2013

2014
2015

215
216

10

80
( )
(2013 2015 .)
(+1.6)
70
(+1.0)
(+2.4)
(-0.5)
(+0.3)
(-0.4)
- 2015-2016
(-0.7)
(-0.3) (-0.5)
(+1.5)
(-1.2)
(-0.2)
60
50
40
30
63.4
68.1 66.6
65.8 67.6 66.9
65.1 67.3 66.4
2014
2015
61.7 63.4 62.8
63.2 62.2 62.6
215
216
20
10
2013

11

, (2012 2015 .), - 2016, %
22016
22015
2015
2014
2013
35.0
44.2
42.9
50.3
53.6
65.0
55.8
57.1
49.7
46.4
90.4
9.6
89.1
10.9
83.5
16.5
77.5
22.5
75.8
24.2

12

, (2012 2015 .), - 2016, %

22016
81.2
18.8
95.3
4.7
22015
80.2
19.8
96.3
3.7
96.5
3.5
95.8
4.2
2015
66.2
33.8
2014
59.5
40.5
2013
60.7
39.3
93.3
( , %)
( , %)
6.7

13

2 2016
68.5
2 2015
31.5
71.5
64.2
28.5
35.8
67.4
32.6
2015
71.8
28.2
63.9
36.1
2014
71.2
28.8
61.4
38.6
2013
70.0
30.0
60.3
39.7
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0 % 0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0 %

14

( )
2012-2015.
(. + .),
.
2013
2014
- (2015-2016.)
2015
, .
2015
2016
1 ()
28.97
31.26
31.28
1 ()
4.07
4.44
2 ()
30.77
33.04
30.50
2 ()
3.72
3.80
3 ()
11.18
12.73
15.82
3 -()
1.61
1.49
4 - ()
12.85
14.26
13.50
4 ()
1.90
1.41
2.69
5.02
0.40
0.58
5 ()
6 ()
4.25
4.47
4.17
6 ()
0.48
0.49
2.43
3.07
4.08
7 ()
0.46
0.46
8 ()
3.59
3.83
3.60
8 ()
0.39
0.38
9 ()
2.85
3.42
3.12
9 ()
0.31
0.33
10
2.19
2.36
2.29
10
0.27
0.30
49.8%
48.8%
48.7%
51.2%
49.9%
70.93
77.04
77.61
9.70
9.65
10
69.6%
70.4%
71.16%
10
71.8%
70.8%
10
99.08
111.13
113.38
10
13.61
13.69
142.39
157.75
159.33
18.95
19.33
15

()
N
/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
(),

--
20
20
(
)
-
-
2014
2015
2015
2016
-
509 156
422 871
271 313
270 294
253 174
211 139
--
189 505
186 482
170 260
159 528
151 166
142 241
135 264
123 944
120 442
111 760
91 472
87 501
78 718
3 368 892
1 869 777
1 915 620
1 808 087
1 461 729
1 223 138
1 163 698
1 155 732
933 972
958 886
853 522
756 225
641 435
666 870
795 195
488 670
741 995
507 760
668 480
3 732 615
3 338 626
2 676 918
1 870 237
1 645 196
1 265 018
1 176 672
1 116 522
1 079 767
1 029 527
1 013 600
830 222
810 371
801 643
789 374
718 395
695 513
651 695
623 557
482 730
304 327
252 037
244 508
224 501
202 103
167 841
148 934
133 966
105 965
159 631
119 921
106 544
62 228
107 321
84 879
81 569
93 497
78 798
329 121
622 038
22 308 804 26 487 506

50.3%
52.2%
62 317
3 223 617
54.5%
69 977
3 756 207
56.7%
44 310 527 50 698 841
5 911 618
6 623 920
20
20
(
)
16

()
, ()
-
2013
2014
2015
, (.)
-
- 2015
- 2016
7 705 656 7 206 362 7 119 966
1 095 701
833 315
11 521 451 12 056 524 11 179 439
1 519 456
1 343 004
, ..
2 152 121 2 360 619 2 279 010
347 671
325 051
1 211 730 1 337 496 1 293 160
194 636
167 838
1 231 487 1 179 441 1 022 912
122 549
122 684
, ..
998 744 1 130 672
917 558
108 307
90 529
785 820
816 938
766 773
53 704
41 995
794 499
695 604
419 015
109 726
35 714
423 808
403 742
386 483
16 305
13 124

( )
897 256
953 884
838 950
109 172
1 860 467 2 186 072 2 027 068
226 215

171 420 ( )
1 402 012 1 409 605 1 119 225
376 771
208 357
32 983
2 643
1 408 098 1 310 443 1 108 615
188 607
116 415
2 505 842 2 561 356 2 721 039
386 387
371 028
27 496 227 27 892 036 26 147 285
3 904 952
3 043 539
195 445
207 790

17

()
N
/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
(),

2014
2015
-
-
2015
2016
2 360 619
1 318 839
1 309 441
1 337 496
1 179 441
1 130 672
836 086
1 188 714
1 027 969
1 087 011
1 071 253
786 520
953 884
746 908
784 947
693 054
816 938
610 806
312 976
496 291
2 279 010
1 399 537
1 318 948
1 293 160
1 022 912
917 558
912 531
899 877
894 344
888 798
853 392
852 734
838 950
827 354
806 431
777 038
766 773
592 468
547 690
447 404
347 671
181 776
182 880
194 636
325 269
122 549
151 236
115 795
151 963
116 724
119 040
124 194
108 307
91 593
72 754
59 799
82 794
66 421
54 027
44 611
325 051
190 770
170 957
167 838
166 272
122 684
112 801
110 466
109 434
93 625
91 731
90 560
90 529
80 053
69 775
64 068
58 561
57 268
55 151
49 253
20
20 049 865
19 136 909
2 714 039
2 276 847
20
71.9%
73.2%
69.5%
74.8%
20
27 892 036
26 147 285
3 904 952
3 043 539
()
20
()
N
/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
18

()
N
/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
(),
--
20
20
(
)
-
-
2014
2015
2015
2016
864 514
601 014
603 687
309 876
487 626
435 057
303 756
507 341
498 309
489 777
300 370
460 809
450 287
484 616
402 139
340 943
369 223
371 071
338 400
285 333
981 426
674 448
568 868
546 885
517 777
515 566
497 274
493 725
472 425
449 941
426 661
418 924
410 454
400 694
385 601
383 818
377 667
373 765
356 692
343 295
138 741
86 908
138 935
97 433
72 607
55 982
72 675
72 103
55 689
61 711
45 566
55 083
65 554
38 333
56 290
55 373
82 696
42 853
44 458
39 761
145 378
90 767
86 284
-
77 382
69 510
62 974
60 783
-
55 632
54 914
53 336
52 106
51 958
51 884
49 208
47 951 --
44 967
44 049
42 815
42 765
42 565
8 904 148
31.9%
9 595 906
36.7%
1 378 751
35.3%
1 227 228
40.3%
27 892 036 26 147 285
3 904 952
3 043 539
20
20
(
)
19

, (2012 2015 .)
,%
, %
2012
10.4
89.6
2012
7.0
93.0
2013
8.5
91.5
2013
5.1
94.9
2014
5.8
94.2
2014
3.1
96.9
2015
6.0
94.0
2015
3.2
96.8
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%

20

(2012 2015 .)
1 ,
2500
2000
1500
2326
2187
1000
2184
2047
500
407
389
376
382
2012
2013
2014
2015

21
,
2016
,
,
,
, (2016),
2015

,
( .)
2016 - 2015
- 2016
-
2016 - 2015
- 2016
-
2016 - 2015
- 2016
-
2015
-
2015
-
2015
-
2016 -
2016
-
2015
-
40 225
75.5
75.3
-0.2
70.6
68.4
-2.2
79.2
79.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
7 035
72.1
84.3
12.2
64.9
76.0
11.1
76.1
85.8
9.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
16 062
75.4
75.9
0.5
68.4
68.6
0.2
79.8
79.4
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
17 128
77.6
70.9
-6.7
74.7
67.2
-7.5
80.5
74.4
-6.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
100 633
79.9
80.6
0.7
74.9
74.2
-0.7
81.7
82.0
0.3
83.5
85.6
2.1
- 2016 19.67 . , 27.1%

.
1 23 .
() 66.1% - 2015.

22

2013-2015. ( )
10000
9000
2013 2015 .
- 2015-2016
% -

116,9%
90.3%
8000
98,8%
100,9% 99.2%
7000
103,2%
104.4%
94.9%
94,0%
103.5%
97.3%
94.7%
6000
5000
8 618
4000
3000
6 698
7 145 6 773
7 372
6 428
6 297
8 299
6 714
6 517
5 712
5 892
2000
1000
0
2013

2014
2015

22016

23
1 , /-
( 9 2012-2015 .)
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.0
3.9
4.0
3.3
3.4
3.1 3.2
3.0
3.0
3.6
3.8
3.4
2.8 3.0
/-
2.0
1.0
0.0
9 .2012
9 .2013
9 .2014
9 .2015
9 .2015 ()

24

4 2016 .
$/
% .
%
.
100%
$356.8
5.00%
-40.00%
22%
28%
7%
$355.0
$356.0
$341.0
10.70%
5.50%
9.30%
-39.50%
-40.40%
-39.90%
39%
$360.5
1.70%
-40.00%
4%
$363.3
-0.30%
-39.90%
%
.
%
.

,

,
01.03.16

2016
$/
38 585.
**
$631.2
-0.70%
5.04%
20 804.
$340.3
-5.58%
-3.67%
25 610.
$418.9
-24.15%
-24.38%
1$ 2015 = 61 .
** 1$ . 12 = 61,13 .
: , ,
25

, 1 (2013 - 2016.)
39 000
38585
+% - .
+5.0%
5000
4500
38 000
4000
37 000
36532
+6.6%
36734 +0.5%
36 000
2242
2334
+4.1%
2410
+3.3%
3500
2607
3000
+8.2%
2500
35 000
2000
34256
1500
34 000
1000
33 000
500
0
32 000
./
2013
2014

2015
2016
./.

26

(BLF)
67.1
67.0
67.1
(3.6)
63.5
64.8
(9.3)
55.5
61.7
60.9
(1.7)
57.8
67.0
(0.8)
59.5
(5.0)
62.0
56.1
57.1
(-1.0)
66.8
50.0
(0.1)
(5.1)
61.7
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
* "" III . 2015
(BLF)
( . )
: ,
27
15
10
9.85
6.65
1.04
0
-2.63
-5
-4.68
-4.71
-6.67
-7.74
-10
-15
-14.36
-20
-25
-24.67
9 2015
9 2014
9 2015
9 2014
2014
9 2015*
* I-II 2015
2013
2012
2011
2010
-30
28

2015.
1.
.
.
2.
.
3. ( , ,
, ).
4. .
.
5.
. ,
.
6.
- .
7. .
8. ,
().
.
9. .
29
1. .
2.
.
3.
- .
4.
.
5.
, .
6.
.
30
2016 38 . . (-13.6% I 2015)

2016 92 . . (-10.6% 6 . 2015)
2016 215 . . (-5.2% 2015)
2018 250 . . (+10.2% 2015)
* 2016 (, .)
31

Состояние Рынка Авиаперевозок - Russia

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.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

6.9% 2016 ( 20 - 5.5%)

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

65.8 67.6 66.9

65.1 67.3 66.4

61.7 63.4 62.8

63.2 62.2 62.6

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

22 308 804 26 487 506

44 310 527 50 698 841

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

7 705 656 7 206 362 7 119 966

11 521 451 12 056 524 11 179 439

2 152 121 2 360 619 2 279 010

1 211 730 1 337 496 1 293 160

1 231 487 1 179 441 1 022 912

998 744 1 130 672

1 860 467 2 186 072 2 027 068

1 402 012 1 409 605 1 119 225

1 408 098 1 310 443 1 108 615

2 505 842 2 561 356 2 721 039

27 496 227 27 892 036 26 147 285

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

27 892 036 26 147 285

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

- 2016 19.67 . , 27.1%

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

* "" III . 2015

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

2016 38 . . (-13.6% I 2015)

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.: 8 495 232-35-40 : 8 499 254-69-00 info@tch.ru www.tch.ru

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