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2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
P. 45
F o re ig n
E xchange
R isk
E xchange
R a te
S y s te m s
T ypes of
F o re ig n C u rre n c y
R isk
C a u se s of
E x c h a n g e R a te
F lu c tu a tio n s
F o re ig n
C u rre n c y R isk
M anagem ent
F o re ig n
C u rre n c y
D e riv a tiv e s
1 . F ix e d
exchange
ra te
1 . T ra n s a c tio n s
ris k
1 . B a la n c e o f
p a y m e n ts
1 . H o m e c u rre n cy
2 . D o n o th in g
3 . L e a d in g &
la g g in g
1 . F u tu re s
2 . F r e e ly
flo a tin g
e x c h a n g e r a te
2 . E c o n o m ic
ris k
2 . C a p ita l
m o v e m e n ts
4 . N e ttin g &
m a tc h in g
2 . O p tio n s
3. M anaged
flo a tin g
e x c h a n g e r a te
3 . T ra n s la tio n
ris k
3 . S u p p ly a n d
dem and
5 . F o r w a rd
c o n tra c t
6 . M o n e y m a rk et
3. Sw aps
4 . P u rc h a s in g
p o w e r p a r ity
5 . I n t e re s t r a te
p a rity
6 . E x p e c ta tio n s
th e o ry
7 . In te rn a tio n a l
F is h e r
E ffe c t
P. 46
1.
1.1
(b)
(c)
Fixed exchange rates This involves publishing the target parity against a
single currency (or a basket of currencies), and a commitment to use
monetary policy (interest rates) and official reserves of foreign exchange to
hold the actual spot rate within some trading band around this target.
(i)
Fixed against a single currency This is where a country fixes its
exchange rate against the currency of another countrys currency. More
than 50 countries fix their rates in this way, mostly against the US
dollar. Fixed rates are not permanently fixed and periodic revaluations
and devaluations occur when the economic fundamentals of the
country concerned strongly diverge (e.g. inflation rates).
(ii) Fixed against a basket of currencies Using a basket of currencies is
aimed at fixing the exchange rate against a more stable currency base
than would occur with a single currency fix. The basket is often
devised to reflect the major trading links of the country concerned.
Freely floating exchange rates (or clean float) A genuine free float would
involve leaving exchange rates entirely to the vagaries of supply and demand
on the foreign exchange markets, and neither intervening on the market using
official reserves of foreign exchange nor taking exchange rates into account
when making interest rate decisions. The Monetary Policy Committee of the
Bank of England clearly takes account of the external value of sterling in its
decision-making process, so that although the pound is no longer in a fixed
exchange rate system, it would not be correct to argue that it is on a
genuinely free float.
Managed floating exchange rates (or dirty float) The central bank of
countries using a managed float will attempt to keep currency relationships
within a predetermined range of values (not usually publicly announced), and
will often intervene in the foreign exchange markets by buying or selling
their currency to remain within the range.
P. 47
2.
2.1
Currency risk
2.1.1
2.2
Transaction risk
2.2.1
Transaction Risk
Transaction risk is the risk of an exchange rate changing between the transaction
date and the subsequent settlement date, i.e. it is the gain or loss arising on
conversion.
It arises primarily on import and exports.
2.2.2
Example 1
A UK company, buy goods from Redland which cost 100,000 Reds (the local
currency). The goods are re-sold in the UK for 32,000. At the time of the import
purchases the exchange rate for Reds against sterling is 3.5650 3.5800.
Required:
(a)
(b)
P. 48
Solution:
(a)
The UK company must buy Reds to pay the supplier, and so the bank is
selling Reds. The expected profit is as follows.
3,949.51
(b)(i) If the actual spot rate for the UK company to buy and the bank to sell the
Reds is 3.0800, the result is as follows.
(467.53)
(b)(ii) If the actual spot rate for the UK company to buy and the bank to sell the
Reds is 4.0650, the result is as follows.
7,399.75
This variation in the final sterling cost of the goods (and thus the profit) illustrated
the concept of transaction risk.
2.2.3
2.2.4
As transaction risk has a potential impact on the cash flows of a company, most
companies choose to hedge against such exposure. Measuring and monitoring
transaction risk is normally an important component of treasury management.
P. 49
2.3
Economic risk
2.3.1
Economic Risk
Economic risk is the variation in the value of the business (i.e. the present value
of future cash flows) due to unexpected changes in exchange rates. It is the longterm version of transaction risk.
2.3.2
For example, a UK company might use raw materials which are priced in US dollars,
but export its products mainly within the EU. A depreciation of sterling against the
dollar or an appreciation of sterling against other EU currencies will both erode the
competitiveness of the company. Economic exposure can be difficult to avoid,
although diversification of the supplier and customer base across different countries
will reduce this kind of exposure to risk.
2.4
Translation risk
2.4.1
Translation Risk
This is the risk that the organization will make exchange losses when the
accounting results of its foreign branches or subsidiaries are translated into
the home currency. Translation losses can result, for example, from restating the
book value of a foreign subsidiarys assets at the exchange rate on the statement of
financial position date.
Exporters Co is concerned that the cash received from overseas sales will not be as
expected due to exchange rate movements.
What type of risk is this?
A
B
C
D
Translation risk
Economic risk
Interest rate risk
Transaction risk
P. 50
2.
There is a risk that the value of our foreign currency-denominated assets and
liabilities will change when we prepare our accounts.
To which risk does the above statement refer?
A
B
C
D
Translation risk
Economic risk
Transaction risk
Interest rate risk
(ACCA F9 Financial Management Pilot Paper 2014)
3.
3.1
Balance of payments
3.1.1
Changes in exchange rates result from changes in the demand for and supply of the
currency. These changes may occur for a variety of reasons, e.g. due to changes in
international trade or capital flows between economies.
Balance of payments ( ) Since currencies are required to finance
international trade, changes in trade may lead to changes in exchange rates. In
principle:
(a)
demand for imports in the US represents a demand for foreign currency or a
supply of dollars.
(b)
overseas demand for US exports represents a demand for dollars or a supply of
the currency.
3.1.2
3.1.3
3.2
)
Thus a country with a current account deficit where imports exceed exports may
expect to see its exchange rate depreciate, since the supply of the currency (imports)
will exceed the demand for the currency (exports).
Capital movements
P. 51
3.2.1
There are also capital movements between economies. These transactions are
effectively switching bank deposits from one currency to another. These flows are
now more important than the volume of trade in goods and services.
3.2.2
Thus supply/demand for a currency may reflect events on the capital account. Several
factors may lead to inflows or outflows of capital:
(a)
changes in interest rates: rising (falling) interest rates will attract a capital
inflow (outflow) and a demand (supply) for the currency
(b)
inflation: asset holders will not wish to hold financial assets in a currency
whose value is falling because of inflation.
3.3
3.3.1
S 0 1 hb
Where: S0 = Current spot rate
S1 = Expected future rate
hb = Inflation rate in country for which the spot is quoted (base country)
hc = Inflation rate in the other country (country currency).
3.3.2
Example 2
An item costs $3,000 in the US.
Assume that sterling and the US dollar are at PPP equilibrium, at the current spot
rate of $1.50/, i.e. the sterling price x current spot rate of $1.50 = dollar price.
The spot rate is the rate at which currency can be exchanged today.
P. 52
The US market
Cost of item now
Estimated inflation
Cost in one year
$3,000
The UK market
$1.50
2,000
5%
3%
$3,150
2,060
The law of one price states that the item must always cost the same. Therefore in
one year:
$3,150 must equal 2,060, and also the expected future spot rate can be calculated:
$3,150 / 2,060 = $1.5291/
By formula:
S1
1 5%
1.50 1 3%
S1 $1.5291
3.3.3
3.3.4
P. 53
compared with the actual exchange rates to decide which currencies are over and
under-valued.
3.3.5
3.3.6
3.4
PPP can be used as our best predictor of future spot rates; however it suffers from the
following major limitations:
(a)
the future inflation rates are only estimates
(b)
the market is dominated by speculative transactions (98%) as opposed to trade
transactions; therefore PPP breaks down
(c)
government intervention governments may manage exchange rates, thus
defying the forces pressing towards PPP.
However, it is likely that the PPP may be more useful for predicting long-run
changes in exchange rates since these are more likely to be determined by the
underlying competitiveness of economies, as measured by the model.
Interest rate parity theory (IRP) ( )
(Jun 11, Dec 14)
3.4.1
S 0 1 ib
Where: F0 = Forward rate
S0 = Current spot rate
ib = interest rate for base currency
ic = interest rate for counter currency
3.4.2
Example 3
UK investor invests in a one-year US bond with a 9.2% interest rate as this
compares well with similar risk UK bonds offering 7.12%. The current spot rate is
$1.5/.
When the investment matures and the dollars are converted into sterling, IRP states
P. 54
that the investor will have achieved the same return as if the money had been
invested in UK government bonds.
In 1 year, 1.0712 million must equate to $1.638 million so what you gain in extra
interest, you lose on an adverse movement in exchange rates.
The forward rates moves to bring about interest rate parity amongst different
currencies:
$1.638 1.0712 = $1.5291
By formula:
F0
1 9 .2 %
1.5 1 7.12%
F0 $1.5291
3.4.3 The IRPT generally holds true in practice. There are no bargain interest rates to be had
on loans/deposits in one currency rather than another. However, it suffers from the
following limitations:
(a)
government controls on capital markets
(b)
controls on currency trading
(c)
intervention in foreign exchange markets.
3.4.4 The interest rate parity model shows that it may be possible to predict exchange rate
movements by referring to differences in nominal exchange rates. If the forward
exchange rate for sterling against the dollar was no higher than the spot rate but US
nominal interest rates were higher, the following would happen:
(a)
UK investors would shift funds to the US in order to secure the higher interest
P. 55
(b)
3.5
rates, since they would suffer no exchange losses when they converted $ back
to .
the flow of capital from the UK to the US would raise UK interest rates and
force up the spot rate for the US$.
Expectations theory
3.5.2
(Jun 12)
The expectations theory claims that the current forward rate is an unbiased
predictor of the spot rate at that point in the future.
If a trader takes the view that the forward rate is lower than the expected future spot
price, there is an incentive to buy forward. The buying pressure on the forward rates
raises the price, until the forward price equals the market consensus view on the
expected future spot price.
3.6
3.5.1
3.6.1
The International Fisher Effect claims that the interest rate differentials between
two countries provide an unbiased predictor of future changes in the spot rate of
exchange.
3.6.2 The International Fisher Effect assumes that all countries will have the same real
interest rate, although nominal or money rates may differ due to expected inflation
rates. Thus the interest rate differential between two countries should be equal to
the expected inflation differential. Therefore, countries with higher expected
inflation rates will have higher nominal interest rates, and vice versa.
3.6.3 The currency of countries with relatively high interest rates is expected to
depreciate against currencies with lower interest rates, because the higher interest
rates are considered necessary to compensate for the anticipated currency
depreciation.
3.6.4 Given free movement of capital internationally, this idea suggests that the real rate of
return in different countries will equalize as a result of adjustments to spot exchange
rates. The International Fisher Effect can be expressed as:
1 ia 1 ha
1 ib 1 hb
P. 56
P. 57
3.7
Four-way equivalence
3.7.1 The four theories can be pulled together to show the overall relationship between spot
rates, interest rates, inflation rates and the forward and expected future spot rates. As
shown above, these relationships can be used to forecast exchange rates.
is the rate today for exchanging one currency for another for immediate delivery
is the rate today for exchanging one currency for another at a specified future
date
is the rate today for exchanging one currency for another at a specific location on
a specified future date
is the rate today for exchanging one currency for another at a specific location for
immediate delivery
P. 58
4.
If the US dollar weakens against the pound sterling, will UK exporters and importers
suffer or benefit?
A
B
C
D
5.
UK exporters to US
Benefit
Suffer
Benefit
Suffer
UK importers from US
Benefit
Suffer
Suffer
Benefit
Pechora Co is a German business that has purchased goods from a supplier, Kama Co,
which is based in the USA. Pechora Co has been invoiced in euros and payment is to
be made 30 days after the purchase. During this 30-day period, the euro strengthened
against the US$.
Assuming neither Pechora Co nor Kama Co hedge against currency risk, what would
be the currency gain or loss for each party as a result of this transaction?
A
B
C
D
6.
Pechora
No gain or loss
Gain
No gain or loss
Loss
Kama
Gain
No gain or loss
Loss
No gain or loss
Sirius plc is a UK business that has recently purchased machinery from a Bulgarian
exporter. The company has been invoiced in sterling and the terms of sale include
payment within sixty days. During this payment period, the sterling weakened
against the Bulgarian lev.
If neither Sirius plc nor the Bulgarian exporter hedge against foreign exchange risk,
what would be the foreign exchange gain or loss arising from this transaction for Sirius
plc and for the Bulgarian exporter?
A
B
C
Sirius plc
No gain or loss
Gain
No gain or loss
Bulgarian exporter
Gain
No gain or loss
Loss
P. 59
D
7.
Loss
No gain or loss
The current euro / US dollar exchange rate is 1 : $2. ABC Co, a Eurozone company,
makes a $1,000 sale to a US customer on credit. By the time the customer pays, the
Euro has strengthened by 20%.
What will the Euro receipt be?
A
B
C
D
8.
416.67
2,400
600
400
The current spot rate for the Dollar /Euro is $/ 2.0000 +/- 0.003. The dollar is quoted
at a 0.2c premium for the forward rate.
What will a $2,000 receipt be translated to at the forward rate?
A
B
C
D
9.
4,002
999.5
998
4,008
The spot rate of exchange is 1 = $14400. Annual interest rates are 4% in the UK and
10% in the USA.
The three month forward rate of exchange should be:
A
B
C
D
10.
1 = $14616
1 = $15264
1 = $15231
1 = $14614.
The home currency of ACB Co is the dollar ($) and it trades with a company in a
foreign country whose home currency is the Dinar. The following information is
available:
Home country
Foreign country
P. 60
Spot rate
Interest rate
Inflation rate
7% per year
5% per year
11.
The following exchange rates of sterling against the Singapore dollar have been
quoted in a financial newspaper:
Spot
Three months forward
1 = Singapore $23820
1 = Singapore $23540
The interest rate in Singapore is 6% per year for a three-month deposit or borrowing.
What is the annual interest rate for a three-month deposit or borrowing in the UK?
A
B
C
D
12.
271%
726%
871%
1083%
Interest rate parity theory generally holds true in practice. However it suffers from
several limitations.
Which of the following is not a limitation of interest rate parity theory?
A
B
C
D
P. 61
13.
14.
15.
The concept that the same goods should sell for the same price across countries
after exchange rates are taken into account
The concept that interest rates across countries will eventually be the same
The orderly relationship between spot and forward currency exchange rates and
the rates of interest between countries
The natural offsetting relationship provided by costs and revenues in similar
market environments
An Iraqi company is expecting to receive Indian rupees in one year's time. The spot
rate is 19.68 Iraqi dinar per 1 India rupee. The company could borrow in rupees at 10%
or in dinars at 15%.
What is the expected exchange rate in one year's time?
A
B
C
D
16.
P. 62
A
B
C
D
17.
1 only
2 only
Both 1 and 2
Neither 1 nor 2
1223 per $1
1412 per $1
1418 per $1
1439 per $1
(ACCA F9 Financial Management June 2015)
4.
4.1
4.1.1
4.2
Do nothing
4.3.1
In the long run, the company would win some, lose some. This method
P. 63
(a)
(b)
(c)
4.4
4.4.1
Matching ()
(Jun 14)
When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency due at the
same time, it can simply match them against each other. It is then only necessary to
deal on the foreign exchange (forex) markets for the unmatched portion of the total
transactions.
Suppose that ABC Co has the following receipts and payments in three months time:
P. 64
4.5.2
4.6
Netting ()
4.6.1
4.6.2
4.7
4.7.1
4.7.2
4.7.3
P. 65
(b)
(c)
(d)
4.7.4
4.7.5
4.7.6
Disadvantages
4.8
P. 66
(Pilot, Dec 07, Dec 08, Dec 09, Jun 11, Jun 12, Jun 13, Jun 15)
4.8.1
(a)
4.8.2
Suppose a British company needs to pay a Swiss creditor in Swiss francs in three
months time. It does not have enough cash to pay now, but will have sufficient in three
months time. Instead of negotiating a forward contract, the company could:
Step 1:
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 4:
4.8.3
Example 5
A UK company owes a Danish creditor Kr3,500,000 in three months time. The spot
exchange rate is Kr/ 7.5509 7.5548. The company can borrow in Sterling for 3
months at 8.60% per annum and can deposit kroners for 3 months at 10% per
annum. What is the cost in pounds with a money market hedge and what effective
forward rate would this represent?
Solution:
The interest rates for 3 months are 2.15% to borrow in pounds and 2.5% to deposit
in kroners. The company needs to deposit enough kroners now so that the total
including interest will be Kr3,500,000 in three months time. This means
depositing:
Kr3,500,000/(1 + 0.025) = Kr3,414,634.
These kroners will cost 452,215 (spot rate 7.5509). The company must borrow this
amount and, with three months interest of 2.15%, will have to repay:
P. 67
(b)
4.8.4
A similar technique can be used to cover a foreign currency receipt from a debtor. To
manufacture a forward exchange rate, follow the steps below.
Step 1: Borrow the appropriate amount in foreign currency today
Step 2: Convert it immediately to home currency
Step 3: Place it on deposit in the home currency
Step 4: When the debtors cash is received:
(a) Repay the foreign currency loan
(b) Take the cash from the home currency deposit account
4.8.5
Example 6
A UK company is owed SFr 2,500,000 in three months time by a Swiss company.
The spot exchange rate is SFr/ 2.2498 2.2510. The company can deposit in
Sterling for 3 months at 8.00% per annum and can borrow Swiss Francs for 3
months at 7.00% per annum. What is the receipt in pounds with a money market
P. 68
4.9
4.9.1
The choice between forward and money markets is generally made on the basis of
which method is cheaper, with other factors being of limited significance.
When a company expects to receive or pay a sum of foreign currency in the next few
months, it can choose between using the forward exchange market and the money
market to hedge against the foreign exchange risk. Other methods may also be
possible, such as making lead payments. The cheapest method available is the one
4.9.2
P. 69
Example 7
ABC Co has bought goods from a US supplier, and must pay $4,000,000 for them
in three months time. The companys finance director wishes to hedge against the
foreign exchange risk, and the three methods which the company usually considers
are:
(a) Using forward exchange contracts
(b) Using money market borrowing or lending
(c) Making lead payments
The following annual interest rates and exchange rates are currently available.
US dollar
Sterling
Deposit rate
Borrowing rate
Deposit rate
Borrowing rate
1 month
10.25
10.75
14.00
3 months
10.75
11.00
14.25
$/ exchange rate ($ = 1)
1.8625 1.8635
1.8565 1.8577
1.8455 1.8460
Spot
1 month forward
3 months forward
Which is the cheapest method for ABC Co? Ignore commission costs (the bank
charges for arranging a forward contract or a loan).
Solution:
The three choices must be compared on a similar basis, which means working out
the cost of each to ABC Co either now or in three months time. In the following
paragraphs, the cost to ABC Co now will be determined.
Choice 1: the forward exchange market
ABC Co must buy dollars in order to pay the US supplier. The exchange rate in a
forward exchange contract to buy $4,000,000 in three months time (bank sells) is
1.8445.
P. 70
The cost of the $4,000,000 to ABC Co in three months time will be:
$4,000,000
= 2,168,609.38
1.8445
This is the cost in three months. To work out the cost now, we could say that by
deferring payment for three months, we assume that the company needs to borrow
the money for the payment.
At an annual interest rate of 14.25% the rate for three months is 14.25/4 = 3.5625%.
The present cost of 2,168,609.38 in three months time is:
2,168,609.38 / 1.035625 = 2,094,010.26
Choice 2: the money markets
Using the money market involves
(a) Borrowing in the foreign currency, if the company will eventually receive the
currency
(b) Lending in the foreign currency, if the company will eventually pay the
currency. Here, ABC Co will pay $4,000,000 and so it would lend US
dollars.
It would lend enough US dollars for three months, so that the principal repaid in
three months time plus interest will amount to the payment due of $4,000,000.
(a) Since the US dollar deposit rate is 7%, the rate for three months is
approximately 7/4 = 1.75%.
(b) To earn $4,000,000 in three months time at 1.75% interest, ABC Co would
have to lend now:
$4,000,000
$3,931,203.93
1.0175
These dollars would have to be purchased now at the spot rate of $1.8625. The cost
would be:
$3,931,203.93
= 2,110,713,52
1.8625
By lending US dollars for three months, ABC Co is matching eventual receipts and
payments in US dollars, and so has hedged against foreign exchange risk.
P. 71
2,094,010.26
2,110,713.52
2,147,651.01
19.
20.
The coupling of two simple financial instruments to create a more complex one.
The mechanism whereby a company balances its foreign currency inflows and
outflows.
The adjustment of credit terms between companies
Contracts not yet offset by futures contracts or fulfilled by delivery.
ABC plc has to pay a Germany supplier 90,000 euros in three months time. The
companys finance director wishes to avoid exchange rate exposure, and is looking at
four options.
1.
Do nothing for three months and then buy euros at the spot rate
P. 72
2.
3.
4.
Which of these options would provide cover against the exchange rate exposure that
ABC plc would otherwise suffer?
A
B
C
D
21.
4 only
3 and 4 only
2, 3 and 4 only
1, 2,3 and 4
A large multinational business wishes to manage its currency risk. It has been
suggested that:
1.
2.
P. 73
A
B
C
D
23.
Statement 1
True
True
False
False
Statement 2
True
False
True
False
A business uses each of the hedging methods described below to protect against a
particular type of foreign exchange risk:
1.
2.
3.
Which of the hedging methods described above are suitable for their intended
purpose?
A
B
C
D
24.
25.
1 and 2
1 and 3
1, 2 and 3
2 and 3
A
B
C
D
P. 74
2.
3.
4.
Which of the hedging methods above are suitable for hedging transaction exposure?
A
B
C
D
26.
1 and 2
1, 2 and 3
2 and 3
2, 3 and 4
Which TWO of the above can be used to hedge currency risk arising from economic
exposure?
A
B
C
D
27.
1 and 2
1 and 3
2 and 4
3 and 4
A business uses the hedging methods outlined below to protect itself against the
particular types of foreign exchange risk against which they are matched.
Hedging method
Forward exchange contracts
Matching receipts and payments
Buying or selling domestic currency
Type of risk
Transaction risk
Economic risk
Translation risk
Which one of the following combinations best describes the suitability of the three
hedging methods for their intended purpose?
P. 75
A
B
C
D
28.
29.
30.
A
B
C
D
1, 2 and 4 only
1, 2, 3 and 4
1 and 2 only
2 only
In comparison to forward contracts, which of the following are true in the relation to
futures contracts?
1
2
3
4
A
B
C
D
1, 2 and 4 only
2 and 4 only
1 and 3 only
1, 2, 3 and 4
A UK company expects to receive 200,000 in three months time for goods sold to a
German customer and wishes to hedge the currency risk by taking out a forward
contract. The following rates have been quoted:
P. 76
Euro per
Spot rate
1.4925 1.4985
3 months forward
1.4890 1.4897
If the forward contract is taken out, what are the sterling receipts for the UK company?
A
B
C
D
31.
133,467
134,003
134,255
134,318
32.
321,130
321,234
322,373
322,477
Gydan plc, a UK business, is due to receive 500,000 in four months time for goods
supplied to a French customer. The company has decided to use a money market hedge
to manage currency risk. The following information concerning borrowing rates is
available:
Country
France
UK
P. 77
315,920
335,015
334,323
337,601
A UK based company, which has no surplus cash, is due to pay Euro 2,125,000 to a
company in Germany in three months time and wants to hedge the payment using
money markets.
The current spot rate is Euro 1223012270 per sterling. The annual interest rates
available to the company in the UK and in Germany are as follows:
Country
UK
Germany
Borrow
5.72%
4.52%
Lend
3.64%
2.84%
A
B
C
D
34.
35.
1,786,190
1,780,367
1,749,953
1,744,248
a liability
an asset
a forward contract
a foreign bank account
A company whose home currency is the dollar ($) expects to receive 500,000 pesos in
six months time from a customer in a foreign country. The following interest rates and
P. 78
Home country
4% per year
3% per year
Foreign country
8% per year
6% per year
Working to the nearest $100, what is the six-month dollar value of the expected receipt
using a money-market hedge?
A
B
C
D
$32,500
$33,700
$31,800
$31,900
(ACCA F9 Financial Management December 2014)
P. 79
5.
5.1
Currency futures
(Pilot, Dec 08, Dec 09)
5.1.1
Currency Futures
Currency futures are standardized contracts for the sale or purchase at a set
future date of a set quantity of currency.
Futures contracts are exchange-based instruments traded on a regulated exchange.
The buyer and seller of a contract do not transact with each other directly.
5.1.2
Example 8
A US company buys goods worth 720,000 from a German company payable in 30
days. The US company wants to hedge against the strengthening against the
dollar.
Current spot is 0.9215 0.9221 $/ and the futures rate is 0.9245 $/.
The standard size of a 3 month futures contract is 125,000.
In 30 days time the spot is 0.9345 0.9351 $/.
Closing futures price will be 0.9367.
Evaluate the hedge.
Solution:
1.
2.
3.
No. of contracts -
4.
5.
6.
720,000
= 5.76, say 6 contracts
125,000
P. 80
$
673,272
(9,150)
664,122
5.1.3
Disadvantages
(a) Transaction costs should be lower (a) The contracts cannot be tailored
than other hedging methods.
to the users exact requirements.
(b) Futures are tradeable on a (b) Hedge inefficiencies are caused by
secondary market so there is pricing
having to deal in a whole number
transparency.
of contracts and by basis risk.
(c) The exact date of receipt or (c) Only a limited number of
payment does not have to be
currencies are the subject of
known.
futures contracts.
(d) Unlike options, they do not allow a
company to take advantage of
favourable currency movements.
Basis risk the risk that the futures contract price may move by a different amount
from the price of the underlying currency or commodity.
5.2
Currency options
(Dec 08, Dec 09)
5.2.1
Currency Options
A currency option is a right of an option holder to buy (call) or sell (put) foreign
currency at a specific exchange rate at a future date.
5.2.2
Key Terms
(a)
Call option gives the purchaser a right, but not the obligation, to buy a
fixed amount of currency at a specified price at some time in the future.
P. 81
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(g)
(h)
The seller of the option, who receives the premium, is referred to as the
writer.
Put option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell a
specific amount of currency at a specified date at a fixed exercise price (or
strike price).
In-the-money option ( ) the underlying price is above the
strike price.
At-the-money option ( ) the underlying price is equal to the
option exercise price.
Out-of-the-money option ( ) the underlying price is below the
option exercise price.
American-style options can be exercised by the buyer at any time up to
the expiry date.
European-style options can only be exercised on a predetermined
future date.
Currency swap ( )
(Dec 08, Dec 09)
5.3.1
Currency Swap
A swap is a formal agreement whereby two organizations contractually agree to
exchange payments on different terms, e.g. in different currencies, or one at a
fixed rate and the other at a floating rate.
5.3.2
Example 9
Consider a UK company X with a subsidiary Y in France which owns vineyards.
Assume a spot rate of 1 = 1.6 Euros. Suppose the parent company X wishes to
P. 82
raise a loan of 1.6 million Euros for the purpose of buying another French wine
company. At the same time, the French subsidiary Y wishes to raise 1 million to
pay new up-to-date capital equipment imported from the UK. The UK parent
company X could borrow the 1 million sterling and the French subsidiary Y could
borrow the 1.6 million Euros, each effectively borrowing on the others behalf.
They would then swap currencies.
37.
As the majority of futures contracts are never taken to delivery a futures contract
is not legally binding
The quantity in a futures contract is agreed between the buyer and seller
Delivery dates on futures contracts are specified by the futures exchange and not
by the buyer and seller
The margin requirement is a purchase cost of a future.
2.
One form of hedging is where an investor buys shares in one market and sells
them immediately in another to profit from price differences between the two
markets.
One form of financial derivative is a preference share of a business.
Which one of the following combinations relating to the above statements is correct?
Statement 1
Statement 2
P. 83
A
B
C
D
38.
True
True
False
False
True
False
True
False
Which one of the following combinations (true/false) concerning the above statements
is correct?
A
B
C
D
39.
Statement 1
True
True
False
False
Statement 2
True
False
True
False
A futures contract is negotiated between a buyer and seller and can be tailored to
the buyers particular requirements.
A futures contract can be traded on a futures exchange.
A
B
C
D
40.
Statement 1
True
True
False
False
Statement 2
True
False
True
False
P. 84
3.
4.
1 and 3
1 and 4
2 and 3
2 and 4
A European-style option gives the holder the right to exercise the option at any
time up to and including its expiry date.
An in-the-money option has a more favourable strike price for the option writer
than the current market price of the underlying item.
Which one of the following combinations (true/false) concerning the above statements
is correct?
A
B
C
D
42.
Statement 1
True
True
False
False
Statement 2
True
False
True
False
Statement 2
P. 85
A
B
C
D
43.
True
True
False
False
True
False
True
False
4.
Which of the following measures will allow a UK company to enjoy the benefits of a
favourable change in exchange rates for their euro receivables contract while
protecting them from unfavourable exchange rate movements?
A
B
C
D
45.
1 and 2
1 and 3
2 and 4
3 and 4
The following European-style options are held at their expiry date by an investor:
1.
2.
A call option of 20,000 shares in Peterhouse plc with an exercise price of 860p.
The market price of the shares at the expiry date is 880p.
A put option of 600,000 in exchange for euros at a strike rate of 1 = 15. The
exchange rate at the expiry date is 1 = 145.
P. 86
Which one of the above combinations (exercise/lapse) concerning the options should
be undertaken by the investor?
Option 1
Exercise
Exercise
Lapse
Lapse
A
B
C
D
46.
Option 2
Exercise
Lapse
Exercise
Lapse
Musat plc holds the following OTC options at their expiry date:
1.
2.
Which of the above options should be exercised and which should be allowed to lapse
at their expiry date?
Put option
Exercise
Lapse
Exercise
Lapse
A
B
C
D
47.
Call option
Exercise
Exercise
Lapse
Lapse
A US company has just purchased goods from a UK supplier for 500,000. Payment is
due in three months time and the US company wishes to hedge its exposure to
exchange rate risk. The following ways of dealing with the exchange rate risk have
been suggested:
1.
2.
3.
Buy sterling futures now and sell sterling futures in three months time
Buy sterling call options now.
Sell sterling futures now and buy sterling futures in three months time
P. 87
4.
Which two of the above suggestions would provide a hedge against exchange rate
risk?
A
1 and 2
B
1 and 3
C
2 and 3
D
3 and 4
48.
A UK business expects to receive euros in five months time. Assume that the business
wishes to hedge against exchange rate risk.
Which one of the following methods should be employed?
A
B
C
D
49.
A company based in Farland (with the Splot as its currency) is expecting its US
customer to pay $1,000,000 in 3 months time and wants to hedge this transaction
using currency options.
What is the option they require?
50.
1
2
3
4
A
B
C
D
2 or 3 only
2 only
1 or 4 only
4 only
P. 88
value of the US dollar over the next two months. The following methods of hedging
this risk have been suggested:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Which two of the above suggestions would provide a hedge against the exchange rate
risk?
A
B
C
D
51.
1 and 3
1 and 4
2 and 3
2 and 4
Wetterstein Inc, a US-based company, expects to receive 800,000 in two months time
for consultancy services provided to the Spanish government. It wishes to be certain of
the amount to be received and will use the derivatives market to achieve this.
Which one of the following actions should the company take NOW to hedge the risk?
A
B
C
D
52.
Three derivatives that may be used to manage financial risk are as follows:
1. Futures contracts
2. Forward contracts
3. Swaps
Which of the above may be traded on an organised exchange?
A
1 only
P. 89
B
C
D
53.
1 and 2
2 only
2 and 3
A currency swap may be used to hedge for a longer period than that offered by
forward exchange contracts.
A futures contract can be customised to fit the particular needs of the client.
Which one of the following combinations (true/false) concerning the above statements
is correct?
A
B
C
D
54.
Statement 1
True
True
False
False
Statement 2
True
False
True
False
P. 90
1.7820 0.0002
1.7829 0.0003
1.7846 0.0004
Borrowing
4.9%
5.4%
Deposit
4.6%
5.1%
(e)
Discuss the differences between transaction risk, translation risk and economic risk.
(6 marks)
Explain how inflation rates can be used to forecast exchange rates.
(6 marks)
Calculate the expected sterling receipts in one month and in three months using the
forward market.
(3 marks)
Calculate the expected sterling receipts in three months using a money-market hedge
and recommend whether a forward market hedge or a money market hedge should be
used.
(5 marks)
Discuss how sterling currency futures contracts could be used to hedge the three-month
dollar receipt.
(5 marks)
(Total 25 marks)
(ACCA F9 Financial Management Pilot Paper 2006 Q2)
P. 91
1.998 0.002
1.979 0.004
Borrowing
6.1%
4.0%
Deposit
5.4%
3.5%
Assume that it is now 1 December and that PKA Co has no surplus cash at the present time.
Required:
P. 92
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Identify the objectives of working capital management and discuss the conflict that may
arise between them.
(3 marks)
Calculate the cost of the current ordering policy and determine the saving that could be
made by using the economic order quantity model.
(7 marks)
Discuss ways in which PKA Co could improve the management of domestic accounts
receivable.
(7 marks)
Evaluate whether a money market hedge, a forward market hedge or a lead payment
should be used to hedge the foreign account payable.
(8 marks)
(25 marks)
(ACCA F9 Financial Management December 2007 Q4)
Question 3 Pecking order theory, market value of bond, forward contract, money
market hedge and foreign currency derivatives
Three years ago Boluje Co built a factory in its home country costing $32 million. To finance
the construction of the factory, Boluje Co issued peso-denominated bonds in a foreign country
whose currency is the peso. Interest rates at the time in the foreign country were historically
low. The foreign bond issue raised 16 million pesos and the exchange rate at the time was
500 pesos/$.
Each foreign bond has a par value of 500 pesos and pays interest in pesos at the end of each
year of 61%. The bonds will be redeemed in five years time at par. The current cost of debt
of peso-denominated bonds of similar risk is 7%.
In addition to domestic sales, Boluje Co exports goods to the foreign country and receives
payment for export sales in pesos. Approximately 40% of production is exported to the
foreign country.
The spot exchange rate is 600 pesos/$ and the 12-month forward exchange rate is 607 pesos/
$. Boluje Co can borrow money on a short-term basis at 4% per year in its home currency and
it can deposit money at 5% per year in the foreign country where the foreign bonds were
issued. Taxation may be ignored in all calculation parts of this question.
Required:
(a)
Briefly explain the reasons why a company may choose to finance a new investment by
an issue of debt finance.
(7 marks)
P. 93
(b)
(c)
(d)
Calculate the current total market value (in pesos) of the foreign bonds used to finance
the building of the new factory.
(4 marks)
Assume that Boluje Co has no surplus cash at the present time:
(i) Explain and illustrate how a money market hedge could protect Boluje Co against
exchange rate risk in relation to the dollar cost of the interest payment to be made
in one years time on its foreign bonds.
(4 marks)
(ii) Compare the relative costs of a money market hedge and a forward market hedge.
(2 marks)
Describe other methods, including derivatives, that Boluje Co could use to hedge
against exchange rate risk.
(8 marks)
(Total 25 marks)
(ACCA F9 Financial Management December 2008 Q4)
Question 4 Rights issue, EPS, shareholders wealth, transaction risk, translation risk,
forward contracts and money market hedge
NG Co has exported products to Europe for several years and has an established market
presence there. It now plans to increase its market share through investing in a storage,
packing and distribution network. The investment will cost 13 million and is to be financed
by equal amounts of equity and debt. The return in euros before interest and taxation on the
total amount invested is forecast to be 20% per year.
The debt finance will be provided by a 65 million bond issue on a large European stock
market. The interest rate on the bond issue is 8% per year, with interest being payable in euros
on a six-monthly basis.
The equity finance will be raised in dollars by a rights issue in the home country of NG Co.
Issue costs for the rights issue will be $312,000. The rights issue price will be at a 17%
discount to the current share price. The current share price of NG Co is $400 per share and
the market capitalisation of the company is $100 million.
NG Co pays taxation in its home country at a rate of 30% per year. The currency of its home
country is the dollar. The current price/earnings ratio of the company, which is not expected to
change as a result of the proposed investment, is 10 times.
The spot exchange rate is 13000 /$. All European customers pay on a credit basis in euros.
Required:
P. 94
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Calculate the theoretical ex rights price per share after the rights issue.
(4 marks)
Evaluate the effect of the European investment on:
(i) the earnings per share of NG Co; and
(ii) the wealth of the shareholders of NG Co.
Assume that the current spot rate and earnings from existing operations are both
constant.
(9 marks)
Explain the difference between transaction risk and translation risk, illustrating your
answer using the information provided.
(4 marks)
The six-month forward rate is 12876 /$ and the twelve-month forward rate is 12752
/$. NG Co can earn 28% per year on short-term euro deposits and can borrow shortterm in dollars at 53% per year.
Identify and briefly discuss exchange rate hedging methods that could be used by NG
Co. Provide calculations that illustrate TWO of the hedging methods that you have
identified.
(8 marks)
(Total 25 marks)
(ACCA F9 Financial Management December 2009 Q3)
Spot rate:
Six month forward rate
Per $
pesos 12.500 pesos 12.582
pesos 12.805 pesos 12.889
Deposit
7.5% per year
3.5% per year
Required:
P. 95
(a)
(b)
P. 96