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MEMORANDUM

TO: THE JOE DIOGUARDI CAMPAIGN TEAM

FROM: GLEN BOLGER

RE: KEY FINDINGS – RECENT NEW YORK STATEWIDE SURVEYS

DATE: JUNE 22, 2010

Key Findings
1. Joe DioGuardi has a three-to-one advantage over his closest opponent on the Republican
primary ballot test.

According to a June 7-9 survey conducted by Siena College, Joe DioGuardi has the early advantage
on the Republican primary ballot test over his opponents Bruce Blakeman and David Malpass. The
ballot currently stands at 21% DioGuardi-7% Blakeman-3% Malpass, with 69% undecided.

2. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s image has deteriorated in the last month, while Joe DioGuardi’s
image has improved significantly.

In a June 16 survey conducted by Rasmussen Reports, Kirsten Gillibrand’s image stands at 49%
favorable/38% unfavorable, which is down from 57% fav/37% unfav in May.

DioGuardi, who had a mixed image in the May Rasmussen survey (29% fav/32% unfav), has
improved his image to a more positive 35% fav/27% unfav in the most recent Rasmussen survey.

3. In the last month, Joe DioGuardi has made a net twelve point gain on the ballot test against
Kirsten Gillibrand.

Since the May 12 Rasmussen survey, where DioGuardi trailed Gillibrand 28%-51%, with 13%
undecided, DioGuardi has made a net twelve point gain on the ballot test. The ballot currently
stands at 38% DioGuardi-49% Gillibrand, with 12% undecided. DioGuardi is now within striking
distance to defeat Kirsten Gillibrand on Election Day.

4. Public polls which fail to include Joe DioGuardi as a challenger to Kirsten Gillibrand are
making a mistake.

Public polls that test Joe DioGuardi show that he is the leader in the Republican primary, and is the
strongest candidate to run against Kirsten Gillibrand. Given DioGuardi’s strength compared to his
opponents his official endorsement from the Conservative Party, and his longtime opposition to
government overspending, DioGuardi is well-positioned to be the Republican nominee.

Turning Questions Into Answers. 214 N. Fayette Street • Alexandria, VA 22314


Phone (703) 836-7655 • Fax (703) 836-8117
E-Mail: glen@pos.org • www.pos.org
New York Statewide Surveys – Key Findings
June 22, 2010
Page 2 of 2

The Bottom Line


Joe DioGuardi leads his Republican opponents on the Republican primary ballot test, has improved his
image and has made up substantial ground on the special election ballot test against Kirsten Gillibrand.
Gillibrand, who has an underwhelming image, is in danger of being defeated on Election Day by DioGuardi.
The two recently released surveys show DioGuardi has the momentum to defeat Gillibrand on Election Day.

Methodology
These key findings are from statewide surveys conducted in New York. The Rasmussen survey was
completed June 16, 2010 among 500 likely voters and has a margin of error of +4.6% in 95 out of 100
cases. The Siena College survey was completed June 7-9, 2010 among 808 registered voters and has a
margin of error of +3.4% in 95 out of 100 cases.

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