Logistic Regression Results Section

Prepared by: Eyad Alfattal

Introduction
The following is an exercise on quantitative tests learnt in EDUC 720
class taught by Dr. Mahoney. The dataset selected was world95, and Logistic
Regression analysis was employed. The sections below provide alternative
hypothesis, descriptives for the constructs, and relevant statistical results.
The logic of the hypothesis below is disputable. The following test selected
and results presented are only for the purpose of this assignment. The data
set contained missing values for independent variables. These were replaced
by means.

The Hypothesis
Male life expectancy, female life expectancy and level of literacy will
determine probability of predominant climate where subjects live (tropical or
temperate).

Results
Logistic regression was used to determine if male life expectancy,
female life expectancy and level of literacy were predictors of predominant
climate where subjects live (tropical or temperate). There was a total of 66
participants, 32 (48.5%) were living in tropical and 34 (51.5%) were living in
1

temperate

climates.

These

are

presented

in

Table

1.

Furthermore,

frequencies for the sample as distributed for the independent constructs are
shown in Appendix 1.
Table 1: Sample Frequencies

Valid

Tropical
Temperate
Total

Frequency
32
34

Percent
48.5
51.5

66

100.0

Regression results indicated that the overall model fit of the three
predictors (male life expectancy, female life expectancy and level of literacy)
was questionable (-2 Log Likelihood = 70.26) but was statistically reliable in
distinguishing between climates where participants lived; (Chi Squire =
19.75, p 0.01). The Cox & Snell R Square indicated that 27.0% of the
variance in residence location was accounted for by male life expectancy,
female life expectancy and level of literacy. While in the Nagelkerke R
Square, this was 36.6%. The model correctly classified 71.2% of the cases.
Regression coefficients are presented in Table 2 below.
Table 2: Variables in the Equation

Variables in the Equation

B
Step 1

Life Exp F
Life Exp

S.E.

Wald

df

Sig.

Exp(B)

Lower

Upper

.084

.183

.210

.647

1.088

.760

1.557

-.063

.184

.117

.733

.939

.654

1.347

Literacy
Constant

.048

.031

2.366

.124

1.050

-5.700

2.537

5.048

.025

.003

.987

1.116

On the other hand, Wald statistics indicated that male life expectancy,
female life expectancy and level of literacy were not predictors of climates
where participants live (Wald statistics = 0.06); and odds ratios for these
variables indicated little change in the likelihood of location in terms of
climate (Odds Ratio = 1.06).

Appendix 1
Female Life Expectancy * Predominant climate
Crosstabulation
Count
Predominant climate
tropical
Lifeexpf

temperate

Total

43.0

44.0

45.0

46.0

47.0

50.0

52.0

53.0

54.0

57.0

58.0

65.0

67.0

68.0

69.0

70.0

72.0

73.0

74.0

75.0

76.0

77.0

78.0

79.0

80.0

81.0

82.0

32

34

66

Total

Male Life Expectancy * Predominant Climate

Crosstabulation
Count
Predominant climate
tropical
Lifeexpm

temperate

Total

41.0

43.0

44.0

46.0

47.0

48.0

50.0

51.0

52.0

53.0

54.0

55.0

57.0

61.0

62.0

63.0

64.0

65.0

66.0

Total

67.0

68.0

69.0

70.0

71.0

72.0

73.0

74.0

75.0

76.0

32

34

66

Literacy Level * Predominant climate Crosstabulation

Count
Predominant climate
tropical
temperate
Total
literacy
18.0
1
0
1
24.0
1
0
1
27.0
2
0
2
35.0
2
1
3
38.0
1
0
1
40.0
1
0
1
48.0
1
0
1
50.0
0
2
2
51.0
1
0
1
53.0
1
0
1
55.0
1
0
1
57.0
1
0
1
61.0
1
0
1
73.0
2
0
2
77.0
2
0
2
78.0
1
1
2
78.3
0
1
1
81.0
1
1
2
83.0
1
0
1
86.0
0
1
1
87.0
1
0
1
88.0
5
0
5
90.0
1
0
1
92.0
0
1
1
93.0
2
3
5
94.0
1
0
1
95.0
0
2
2
96.0
0
3
3
97.0
0
2
2

98.0
99.0
100.0
Total

0
1
0
32

1
14
1
34

1
15
1
66