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Hillhouse Capital
Introduction
Invested and committed capital 3.8B$ as of Mar. 2010
Hard closed and returned capital 400m$ to investors end of 2009
52% annualized returns since inception Aug. 2005 to Mar. 2010
Concentrated portfolio
Almost exclusively plain vanilla stocks
Never use leverage
Portfolio is more geared towards domestic consumption investments rather than
exports
Focus on long term analyzable opportunities
Hillhouse Capital
Hillhouse Capital
Gatekeeper model
Hillhouse Capital
The old gate of Changyu Company
Hillhouse Capital
Changyu advertisement on
Novel Magazine in early
years
Hillhouse Capital
May 5, 2010
AGENDA
Changyus Products
Distribution Network
Management
Investment Considerations
Hillhouse Capital
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May 5, 2010
May 5, 2010
AGENDA
Changyus Products
Distribution Network
Management
Investment Considerations
Hillhouse Capital
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May 5, 2010
38.1
34.8
Liquor 3.7
11.0
Total = 84 (2)
80
Carbonated 7.7
60
Milk 11.0
Fruit/Vegetable Juice 8.0
40
20
Beer 29.5
Soft Drink
Alcoholic Beverages
Dairy
Hillhouse Capital
Notes: (1) Assumes 1 kg of production weight = 1 L of volume for all beverages;
(2) Total volume in 2007 = 111B Liters; Doesn't account for import/export but should give good directional feel for relative size
Source: Wind EDB
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May 5, 2010
100%
90
34.8
ABV
12%
Blende
ASP
(Rmb/L)
41
Alcohol
adjusted
ASP
(Rmb/L)
344
16%
33
209
Spirits 1.7
45%
60
133
Beer 1.2
4%
155
3.1
Spirits 3.7
80
70
60
50
40
Beer 29.5
30
20
10
0
Raw volume
Hillhouse Capital
Notes: (1) Assumes 1 kg of production weight = 1 L of volume for all beverages; (2) ABV =alcohol by volume
Source: Euromonitor Alcoholic Drinks China", June 2008
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May 5, 2010
8
Beer (LHS)
6
0.4
Grape Wine (RHS)
4
Spirits (LHS)
0.2
0
D1
DI / capita
(RMB)
0.6
3,500
D2
5,946
D3/4
8,104
D3/4
8,104
D5/6
D5/6
D7/8
D7/8
D9
0.0
D10
May 5, 2010
AGENDA
Changyus Products
Distribution Network
Management
Investment Considerations
Hillhouse Capital
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May 5, 2010
80%
64
% Respondants
60
43
38
40
20
14
13
7
Quality /
taste
Brand
name
Price
Promo Package
Hillhouse Capital
Source: Chinainfobank
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May 5, 2010
AGENDA
Changyus Products
Distribution Network
Management
Investment Considerations
Hillhouse Capital
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May 5, 2010
Restaurants and
Hotels
Off-trade Channel
Super markets /
chain stores
Convinience
alcohol stores
//
Products Sold
Low end
Consumers
Mainly government
or business people,
competing with
Spirits
Business people
/younger people,
competing with
imported spirits
and beer
Mid-high income
level people /
households; for
drinking at home
or for gifts
Mid-low income
level people,
competing with
beer and lowend spirits
Government /
enterprises
purchase, for
business or for
welfare;
Entry Barriers
Monopolized by
distributors
supported by local
gov;
High//
In store sales
people needed
Monopolized by
distributors
supported by local
gov; potential risk
to get bad debt
High//
In store sales
people needed
Branding is key;
advertising and
promoting
support;
Not on-premise
purchase;
Small and
dispersive
Shelvies
occupied by
;
Sales team to
set up contacts
with purchase
people in
gov/enterprises;
Advertising and
promoting
support
Profitability
Hillhouse Capital
Source: China Sugar & Liquor Yearbook 2007; interviews with Changyus distributors and winemaking people from Great Wall
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May 5, 2010
Changyu HQ
Distribution Benchmarking
Regional
Sales Office
District
Sales Offices
(38)
(350)
Direct Sales
Distributors
(Weihai, Yantai,
Shanghai)
(3,886)
On-Trade1
Institutional3
Off-Trade2
Individual
Company
Salesforce
Distributors
Customer
Concentration
Changyu4
3,000+
3,886
4% (Top 5)
Great Wall
600
400+
Dynasty
423
(total)
200+
35% (Top 5)
Imports
Note: 1Restaurants, hotels, bars, nightclubs; 2supermarkets and specialty stores; 3corporate, SME, government; 4includes ~1,500 contracted employees
Source: Interviews with various distributors, Interviews with with Changyu, Great Wall and Dynasty management
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May 5, 2010
AGENDA
Changyus Products
Distribution Network
Management
Investment Considerations
Hillhouse Capital
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May 5, 2010
80
24%
22%
B-shares
33.9%
Illva Saronno
Investment Co.
16.6%
Management
50%
International
Finance Corp.
5.0%
60
20
6%
SASAC Yantai
6.0%
100%
A-shares
15.8%
Govt
Strategic Investors
Public Investors
Shareholders realize tangible value, dividend payout ratio has averaged greater than 90% since 2004
Notes: Partial MBO in 2005 gave 72 members of management a 24% stake in Changyu held indirectly through Yantai Yuhua Investment; 2Minimum
yearly hurdle rate of +15% net profit growth, target varies depending on market conditions, was +20% for 2008
Source: Company filings, Interviews with management
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May 5, 2010
4,000
Revenue
2,000
20%
Net
Profit
RMB (mn)
3,000
42%
1,000
ROE
FCF / Earnings
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
12%
-43%
15%
8%
16%
-3%
10%
125%
13%
-11%
8%
-45%
10%
189%
12%
97%
17%
92%
19%
76%
29%
77%
35%
107%
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May 5, 2010
200
IRR
IRR
3M
1Y
IRR
IRR
since
since
10/27/00 9/26/97
100
50
Changyu-A
HKD 55.58
31%
20
Changyu-B
HKD 32.06
9%
10
5
SZ B
HKD 4.14
3/27/09
9/12/08
3/14/08
9/7/07
3/9/07
8/25/06
2/17/06
8/5/05
1/21/05
7/23/04
1/9/04
7/11/03
12/27/02
6/21/02
12/7/01
6/1/01
11/17/00
5/12/00
10/22/99
4/23/99
10/9/98
4/10/98
0.5
9/26/97
Hillhouse Capital
Notes: Does not include reinvested dividends; Shenzhen-B share index set equal to Changyu-B issue price on 9/26/97
Source: Wind, Hillhouse Analysis
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May 5, 2010
THANK YOU!
Hillhouse Capital
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