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MAKING
SCREENS
THE
THING
BIG
AN ANALYSIS OF THE
IVEY CASE IMAX:
LARGER THAN LIFE
2015-07-29
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | 1
Competitors Respond? | 11
ANALYSIS | 3
Examining IMAX in 2007 | 3
KEY TAKEAWAYS | 12
A Look at Financials | 5
APPENDIX | 13
KEY ASSUMPTIONS | 6
ROOT CAUSES | 6
ALTERNATIVES | 7
A GAME PLAN FOR IMAX | 9
COSTS AND RESULTS | 10
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
changing, and technological advancements are not slowing down. The most
promising opportunities lie with younger audiences who prefer Hollywood
blockbusters over educational films. The efforts of IMAX to reach new
demographics and expand into new film genres are evident, but movements
in this direction are slow. It is therefore critical that IMAXs management team
develop a strategy that targets areas with the highest potential for growth.
While continuing to invest in R&D in order to keep up with competitors,
IMAX should focus its attention on projecting 3D films, expanding further
into multiplex cinemas, and partnering with studios to produce more
Hollywood films. Through this strategy, IMAX can maintain its core purpose
of providing the ultimate viewing experience to those who watch films, while
simultaneously growing profits substantially in the coming years. It is in
managements best interests to postpone further discussions of acquisitions
until IMAX has sufficiently attempted to grow as an independent entity, so as
to not prematurely lose control of what is potentially a highly-profitable
company. If IMAX can successfully balance an awareness of its financial
capabilities with a desire to push its limits, the company can be a front-runner
in all of the industries in which it operates.
Market Saturation
Identity
Consumer Preferences
Home-viewing is growing in
popularity.
3D and high-quality experiences
are becoming the norm.
Should
IMAX continue
building its own theaters or
move towards multiplexes?
o
o
Location
New Markets
ANALYSIS
EXAMINING IMAX IN 2007
IMAX demonstrates a clear potential for dramatic growth. Figure
presents an analysis of the company, organized into four components: management preferences,
organization, strategy, and capabilities. Critical areas of the analysis should be stressed: managements
goal of reaching new audiences while maintaining its unique brand image as an educational filmenhancer may be inconsistent, and their current growth strategy already deviates from this ideal.
Nonetheless, IMAX is a leader in technology and has been exploring methods by which it can cut costs
efficiently such efforts are crucial, since the company is deep in debt. IMAXs operations require
collaboration with many companies from various sectors, but it maintains tight control of its processes
by establishing close relationships with all business partners. Table 1 of the appendix provides
descriptions of each figure in greater detail.
MANAGEMENT PREFERENCES
- Reach a new audience while maintaining
unique brand image
FIGURE 1: Modified
Diamond-E
Framework
ORGANIZATION
STRATEGY
presence in institutions
CAPABILITIES
- Highly-skilled staff
- Large R&D investments to develop 3D,
digital re-mastering, and lightweight tech
(holds patents on technologies)
- Cost efficiencies (low marketing costs,
avoids paying for Hollywood talent) and
access to outside funding
ANALYSIS
EXAMINING THE ENVIRONMENT IN 2007
The environment in which IMAX operates in highly complex and
constantly changing. Figure 2 summarizes the external situation that IMAX currently
faces. The key takeaways are as follows: IMAX must deal with highly elastic demand for its product,
while competing against rivals in three different industries. Moreover, the company must maintain its
position as a technological leader while adjusting its strategy to meet the demands of the consumer.
In the future, IMAX should expect to see higher expectations set by consumers with regards to the
theater experience, as well as a smaller consumer-base as home-viewing increases.
POLITICAL
- Different levels of industry
regulation depending on country
- No heavy regulation on IMAX
operations, but patents remain a
crucial factor in establishing a
competitive advantage
ECONOMIC
COMPETITIVE
SOCIAL
TECHNOLOGICAL
- Rapid technological
advancement rendering old
systems irrelevant
- 3D technology becoming
increasingly commonplace
Present (2009)
2030
2020
ANALYSIS
A LOOK AT FINANCIALS
To say the least, IMAXs
financial statements may
ignite fear.
40,000
Figure 3 depicts a
frightening drop in profits, and while this
should be a concern to management, it is
partially attributable to the recent capital
and R&D investments that have been made
it is highly likely that in the near future,
30,000
losses will decline as revenue and cost
efficiencies result from current investments.
Growth in R&D has been growing slowly,
while the amount of cash that the company
has on hand has declined drastically in the
past year, suggesting that there is limited
20,000
cash available to continue investing in
capital or new technologies.
Additionally, IMAXs current ratio has fallen
below 1 in the past year, indicating that
IMAX will be unable to pay off debts as they
10,000
come due. IMAXs failure to produce a
return on its investments should cause
management to consider whether more
profitable investments exist. All of IMAXs
top five revenue-producing films were
released before 2002, when IMAX films
0
were a new and mysterious concept this
suggests that IMAX must focus on entering
new markets and promoting its newest
technology, in order to boost excitement,
and (consequently) revenues.
If we examine the industry as a whole, we -10,000
see that theater box office revenues have
stagnated from 2002 2007, and total
overseas film revenues have consistently
exceeded domestic revenues. However,
domestic revenues for 10 major box office
films in 2007 accounted for 38% of total
revenues from those films, suggesting that -20,000
the US is one of the most appealing
markets for film entertainment companies.
Consumption of DVDs, which are a
generally a substitute for theater viewing,
has increased consistently over the years,
apart from most recently when DVD
-30,000
consumption declined by 5% in one year
(perhaps in response to the poor economic
situation).
2004
2005
2006
2007
Profits
Cash on Hand
R&D
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
The following key assumptions will be held when developing a
strategic plan for IMAX:
o
New competitors face the same start-up costs that existing companies
have already faced.
This is a reasonable assumption, as there is no indication that fixed R&D or set-up
costs will decline significantly in the coming years.
ROOT CAUSES
At the heart of IMAXs emerging challenges is its reluctance to
accept the changing nature of the industry.
If the entertainment industrys current situation were to persist for the next few decades, IMAX may prove to
be highly successful with its current strategy. Its past investments would begin to generate sales, so it would
see profits increase for years to come. Consumers would remain satisfied with the current experience.
This, however, is not the case.
IMAX is fixated on the niche market in which it currently operates, and is not directing its attention to the most
profitable opportunities it is therefore investing in net-loss growth projects. Its management team
overemphasizes the importance of IMAX maintaining a unique brand image, and fails to acknowledge that the
companys main advantage is that they can provide a viewing experience that no rival has the resources to
replicate. In the long-run, rivals will catch up, so IMAX must use the advantage they have now to reach out to
the largest consumer base possible . Remaining devoted to a niche market is no longer feasible.
ALTERNATIVES
IMAX faces many opportunities for growth. These must be prioritized due to limited resources.
o Proliferate 3D systems: 50% of IMAX theaters already use 3D technology, and while it is more costly,
advancements in technology could soon make 3D viewing the norm.. Customers will pay a premium for 3D
viewing, and IMAX must focus on 3D films in order to keep pace with the industry in a proactive manner. R&D
investments are now sunk costs, and the necessary technology has already been developed, so very little
additional investment needs to go towards developing the technology for the time being the focus should
instead be on increasing the number of IMAX theaters that utilize this technology. This option is unlikely to face
resistance from shareholders.
o Expand internationally: While doing so would be highly profitable, international considerations should be
postponed until IMAX has become profitable in North America and its existing locations. Global expansion is
not currently feasible given the companys depleting cash supply and high levels of debt. Only once IMAX is
financially stable should entrance into new countries be contemplated.
o Build more IMAX theaters: With theater revenues declining at a constant rate over the past two years,
building additional infrastructure would be unwise. A demand-driven approach to theater construction
would be more logical, and would garner more support from shareholders. While this option is well-aligned
with IMAXs initial mission, it would be using resources inefficiently, as there are more profitable ventures to
undertake. The profits generated by additional theaters would be unlikely to offset the additional costs.
o Move into more multiplexes: With theater sales stagnating and IMAX deep in debt, moving into
existing theaters is more feasible than creating IMAX theaters. Shareholders would react positively to such plans
for growth, and retrofitting costs would be covered by partners. Moreover, in exchange for system installation,
IMAX would profit not only from system sales, but also a percentage of ticket revenues. While the national
average revenue from IMAX theaters far exceeds the average theater, this is attributable to the fact that IMAX
theaters play solely IMAX films therefore, IMAX could likely experience the same revenues by installing the
same number of systems in various multiplexes as the number found in one IMAX theater. Additionally, IMAX
would focus on moving into the most popular theaters, as opposed to small, privately-owned ones.
o Focus on producing IMAX films: Considering its cash constraints, retrofitting films created by outside
partners as opposed to producing IMAX films would reduce expenses and improve IMAXs financial position.
Moreover, IMAX typically produces educational films (and therefore avoids paying for Hollywood talent),
whereas the most profitable genre that is well-aligned with the IMAX technology is arguably the action genre
(which often requires Hollywood talent to be successful). Stakeholders may not initially oppose the idea of
accelerating IMAX film production, but they may be disappointed in the resulting future profits. IMAX should
therefore strongly consider reducing its production of in-house films to cut costs.
o Move to Hollywood: Management is hesitant to move to Hollywood because of its fear of brand dilution,
but the fact of the matter is that IMAX has already moved into the Hollywood market, and no harm has resulted
from doing so. This is where the profits lie, and reformatting Hollywood films is less costly than producing new
ones. Partnerships can be established with both theaters and studios, and stakeholders are unlikely to be upset
by the decision since the movement into Hollywood has already begun with no resistance.
o Move to home entertainment: In its current market segment (large format films) IMAX faces no direct
competition, which is abundant in the home entertainment segment. While a move to home entertainment may
be necessary decades down the road when consumer preferences move away from theaters entirely, IMAX
should, for the time being, capitalize on its development of large format films. Co-CEO Gelfond has said himself
that the IMAX experience cannot be replicated at home. This would be a huge diversion from the companys
original purpose, and stakeholders are not yet ready for such a change (although they may be in the future an
example of such a drastic product change is Nintendo).
What follows is the quantitative grading of each alternative that was used to reach an objective decision. Figure 4
grades the possible alternatives on a 20-point scale. In order to avoid overexerting management and depleting
monetary resources, only the three highest-scoring alternatives were chosen. Alternatives are evaluated based on
their alignment with the companys mission, their potential profits, the feasibility of their implementation, and lastly,
since IMAX is a public company, their acceptance by shareholders. As was previously mentioned, these figures are
further explained in the appendix.
FIGURE 4: Strategy Evaluation Rubric
Alternative
Mission
Alignment
Profitability
Feasibility
Stakeholder
Reaction
TOTAL SCORE
Proliferate 3D
systems
17
Expand
internationally
13
Build more
IMAX theaters
14
17
Focus on
producing
IMAX Films
15
Move to
Hollywood
16
Move to home
entertainment
13
In addition to implementing an effective strategy, key decisions must be made. Figure 5 outlines the decisions
that will influence IMAXs strategy, but it is worth discussing one decision in greater detail: should IMAX be
acquired? After due consideration, the answer is not yet. Without implementing an improved growth strategy,
management cannot determine if IMAX can succeed independently. If efforts to expand the company into new
markets prove to be unsuccessful, or resources deplete, then an acquisition should be considered. To resort to
acquisition discussions now would be premature, as IMAXs full potential as an independent entity has not yet
been realized. Additionally, IMAX has built lasting relationships with major players in technology, distribution, and
entertainment, which places the company in a strong position to succeed independently. Most importantly, IMAX
places great emphasis on sticking to its core mission this mission is far more likely to be compromised if IMAX
is controlled by a large multidimensional organization that is not solely focused on developing the IMAX brand.
Decision
Yes
Release movies
simultaneously
with regular
films?
No
Explanation
This decision may hinder sales of regular film viewings, but IMAX films have higher
profit margins. If the IMAX version of films are released after the regular version,
many viewers will be less inclined to see the IMAX version (as they will have already
watched the regular version) and thus the negative affect on total profits will be
worse, since it is in the filmmakers best interest to sell more IMAX tickets.
Develop other
forms of filmed
entertainment?
This does not use IMAXs differentiation (its large format screens) to its advantage,
since other filmed entertainment (i.e. TV) is viewed at home or on the internet.
IMAX is also greatly inexperienced when it comes to operating in this market.
Begin
discussing an
acquisition?
This would be premature. IMAX has not yet attempted to grow independently, and
until these attempts are made we cannot determine with certainty whether the
company is better off under the control of a larger parent.
Proliferate 3D
Systems
Present
Increase production of 3D
systems by 25% (33 additional
3D systems).
1 year
Cease production of 2D systems
and heavily promote 3D systems
to institutions and theater
chains. Research methods to
convert 2D systems to 3D.
2 years
Transition solely to 3D systems
that can also play 2D films.
Promote 3D conversion to
business partners that currently
use the 2D system.
Present
Present
1 year
1 year
2 years
2 years
Postpone considerations of
creating additional IMAX
theaters until profitability in
multiplexes can be analyzed and
available cash increases.
COSTS AND
RESULTS
With this plan in effect, IMAX can expect big things. Within two years, IMAX will have
established new relationships with companies in the entertainment and distribution industry. By being
proactive and increasing the use of 3D technology as it grows in popularity, IMAX will develop
sustainable wealth for its stakeholders, and market capitalization will increase as IMAX is viewed as a
more appealing investment. Additionally, profits from 3D ticket sales allow the company to lower its
debt levels while avoiding further capital investments. IMAX will watch itself evolve from a niche
market provider into a major film entertainment company that appeals to all ages. Over two years, the
strategy will cost approximately $10 million to implement, which is incredibly cost efficient when
analyzed as a proportion of IMAXs current expenses. Costs to uphold the strategy in future years are
expected to remain constant at this figure ($10 million per two years, equating to $5 million per year).
Moreover, the projected revenues that will be achieved from this strategy eventually reach $130
million per year once the plan is fully implemented, which further verifies the assertion that this newlyimproved game plan will be worthwhile (the Explanation of Profit Projections in the Appendix
discusses how we arrived at these numbers). Such large differences between costs and revenues are
possible for IMAX because of its previous heavy investment in R&D and infrastructure in other
words, most of the necessary expenses have already been incurred. It is not radical to suggest that
such an aggressive expansion plan is necessary if IMAX wants any chance of paying off $160 million in
long-term debt. Figure 7 illustrates how IMAXs strategy will set the company up for success in the
future, even as technology continues to develop and customers begin demanding more.
1 year
5 years
2020
10
front-runner in developing
entertainment systems. It will
take time for competitors to
accumulate the resources
necessary for such
development, and even more
time to actually develop these
new technologies. Moreover,
IMAX has already established
firm relationships with leading
studios and theater chains.
Nonetheless, IMAX must remain
one step ahead of its rivals to
prevent itself from losing
market relevance. One strategy
is to allocate a portion of its
management staff to
forecasting future consumer
preferences, and a portion of its
R&D staff to brainstorming
innovative new technologies.
With this method, IMAX will
never fall behind.
THEATER
POPULARITY
DECLINES?
FOLLOW THE
CUSTOMERS HOME.
COSTS EXCEED
PROJECTIONS?
GO DIGITAL. While it is true
that implementing a digital
format for IMAX screens will
increase upfront costs, the
resulting decrease in operational
costs in the following years will
more than offset the initial
investment. The profits resulting
from the digital switch will
compensate for the costs that
were in excess of what was
forecasted, as well as the costs to
produce that digital technology.
A portion of R&D staff should be
allocated to improving the
companys digital technology.
Another mitigation approach is
to focus on projecting films
produced by large studios, as
opposed to independent
filmmakers or films created inhouse. Promotion costs will be
notably lower, since the studios
will have incentive to take on
these costs themselves. Lastly,
IMAX should constantly assess its
in-progress projects in order to
determine which projects are
profitable, and which should be
abandoned to avoid incurring
additional losses.
11
KEY TAKEAWAYS
It is time for IMAX to go big.
12
APPENDIX
13
TABLE 1: DESCRIPTION
OF FIGURES
Figure
Description
This is essentially the traditional Diamond-E framework, but the Environment component
has been removed, in order to allow for a more comprehensive environmental analysis using
the PEST-C framework (refer to Figure 2).
2: Modified PEST
Framework (PEST-C)
3: Financial Trends
4: Strategy Evaluation
Rubric
This is similar to the traditional PEST analysis, but Environmental analysis has been replaced
by Economic analysis to make this framework more suited to the theater industry.
Additionally, another element has been added Competitive analysis to account for the
intense competition within the industry. Lastly, a forecasting component has been added to
the bottom of the framework to reflect the dynamic nature of the industry, and to predict
the future direction that the industry is headed.
This chart uses case data to illustrate trends in IMAXs financial performance.
This figure provides a method by which alternative strategies can be selected using 4 criteria,
each ranked on a scale from 0-5 (5 is the most positive grade, while 0 is the most negative).
Equal weightings were given to each criteria, as they were all deemed equally important.
6: Strategic Plan
Breakdown
This figure addresses decisions that must be made. These decisions are not significant
enough to be considered components of the strategy on their own, or they are too futureoriented to be considered part of IMAXs current strategy.
This figure is largely self-explanatory. It breaks down IMAXs ideal strategy using a threepronged approach. Each component of the strategy is divided into strategic actions that
should be taken now, in a years time, and in 2 years time.
7: Projected Timeline
of Results
Another fairly straightforward figure this timeline shows the results that IMAX can expect
after 1 year, 5 years, and in 2020 the year 2020 has been chosen so that it be compared to
our forecasts of where the industry will be at that time. (refer to Figure 2)
EXPLANATION OF
PROFIT PROJECTIONS
The breakdown of costs and expected profits from the recommended strategy is as follows note that numbers have been
rounded for simpler calculations:
COSTS: 260 theaters currently use IMAX technology, and 50% of those are 3D (130 theaters). To increase the number of 3D
systems in use by 25%, another 33 3D systems will need to be developed, costing $500,000 each (assuming that they are all
added to multiplexes). This totals $1.65 million.
If IMAX wants to expand its movie library by 10% in the next 2 years through conversion of Hollywood films, they must
convert 23 new movies. Conversion costs are $45,000 per film, resulting in additional costs of $1.04 million.
For a conservative estimate, we will add an additional $4 million per year to R&D , and $4 million per year to expanding in
institutional settings, resulting in total costs of under $10 million.
PROFITS: We assume that IMAX succeeds in expanding its film library by 23 films, and consumers pay a $4 premium (an
estimate within the range stated in the case) on top of the average ticket price of $7. According to the case, 603 movies wer e
released in the US, resulting in 1.4 billion movie theater attendances. This means that on average, each film had 2,320,000
attendances we will use 2 million as a more conservative estimate. Assuming that the films partnered with IMAX attract the
same attendance levels, and that 10% of these attendees choose the 3D viewing(a fair number based on IMAXs past reports),
IMAX can expect ticket sales of 23 x $11 x 2,000,000 = approximately $506 million. If IMAX gets a 25% share of ticket revenue
, they will be gaining almost $127 million per year in profits from this investment.
14