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The Journal of Business
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Jaap W. B. Bos
Utrecht University
James W. Kolari
Texas A&M University
I. Introduction
1556
Journal of Business
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1557
and the dispersion of both profit and cost efficiency scores is considerably
smaller for U.S. banks than for European banks.
Further analyses evaluate the reasonableness of estimating a combined
cost or profit frontier for European and U.S. banks. A necessary condition
for comparable-shaped frontiers is for economies of scale to be similar
among efficient banks in Europe and the United States. We therefore test
for differences in economies of scale by moving progressively closer to
the frontier in an effort to evaluate the appropriateness of estimating a
single frontier for both regions. In brief, we find that, while no single cost
frontier exists, a single profit frontier is implied. U.S. banks tend to
exhibit higher average profit and cost efficiency than European banks in
general and compared to most individual European countries. Further
results for small banks reveal that they are less cost and profit efficient
than large banks in Europe and the United States. We conclude that,
based on profit model evidence of both increasing returns to scale and
differences in cost and profit X-efficiency, our empirical results tend to
support the notion that potential profit efficiency gains are possible in
cross-Atlantic bank mergers between European and U.S. banks.
Section II is an overview of the related literature on the efficiency
of European and U.S. banks. Section III describes our methodology,
Section IV gives details of the data, and Section V reports the empirical
results. The last section gives conclusions.
II. Related Literature
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Journal of Business
4. See studies by Hunter and Timme 1986; Shaffer and David 1986; Kolari and
Zardkoohi 1987; Elyasiani and Mehdian 1990; Evanoff and Israilevich 1990; Hunter, Timme,
and Yang 1990; Noulas, Ray, and Miller 1990; Berger, Hunter, and Timme 1993; Saunders
and Walter 1994; Hunter 1995; Jagtiani, Nathan, and Sick 1995; Jagtiani and Khanthavit
1996; Miller and Noulas 1996; Mitchell and Onvural 1996; Rhoades 1998; and Rogers
1998.
5. For example, see studies by Berg et al. 1992; Berg et al. 1993; Fecher and Pestier 1993;
Pastor, Perez, and Quesada, 1997; Vander Vennet 1994, 1999; Altunbas and Molyneux 1996;
Griffell-Tatje and Lovell 1996; Ruthenberg and Elias 1996; Pinho 1994; Economic Research
Europe 1997; Mendes and Rebelo 1997; Molyneux et al. 1997; Resti 1997; Altunbas and
Chakravarty 1998; Battese, Heshmati, and Hjalmarsson 1998; Dietsch, Ferrier, and Weill
1998; Altunbas, Goddard, and Molyneux 1999; Bikker 1999; Sheldon 1999; Berger et al.
2000; Hassan, Lozano-Vivas, and Pastor 2000; and Altunbas et al. 2001.
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1560
Journal of Business
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1561
The general concept of efficiency refers to the difference between observed and optimal values of inputs, outputs, and input-output mixes.
Efforts to measure how efficiently a firm produces outputs from its inputs
led to the development of a number of efficiency concepts, including scale
efficiency, scope efficiency, and X-efficiency. Berger et al. (1993) define
X-efficiency as the economic efficiency of any single firm minus scale
and scope efficiency effects, thereby allowing for suboptimal (beneathfrontier) operations.8 In this paper we employ stochastic frontier models
that allow us to measure scale and scope efficiency as well as X-efficiency.
According to Berger and Humphrey (1991) and Berger et al. (1993), the
significance of scale and scope inefficiencies (amounting to about 5%) is
less important in the banking industry than X-inefficiencies (in the range
of 2025%).9
We use stochastic frontier (SFA) models for two important reasons:
(1) they allow for measurement error, which is an important feature in
light of the fact that measuring bank production can be difficult due to
data availability and the choice of a set of inputs and outputs; and (2) they
generate firm-specific efficiency estimates, which allow us to test for
accounting standards require majority ownership to be published in some countries, whereas
for others this information is provided on a voluntary basis. With the kind assistance of Mark
Wessels and Patrick Oosterling of Bureau van Dijk, we were able to manually retrieve updated
ownership and control data from the 19952000 issues of BankScope. Gaps in these reports
were filled by gathering further data from Dun and Bradstreet Linkages, Reuters News, and
banks annual reports. In this way, we constructed a complete set of large, independent commercial banks for each of the years included in our sample.
7. We refer to Lovell (1993) and Coelli, Prasado Rao, and Battese (1998) for an in-depth
discussion of different efficiency measures. See also Berger et al. (1993) for an excellent
overview of the use of different efficiency concepts in banking.
8. Economic efficiency is the sum of technical and allocative efficiency. Technical efficiency is a measure of a banks distance from the frontier, minimizing inputs given outputs
or vice versa. Allocative efficiency measures the extent to which a bank is able to use inputs
and outputs in optimal proportions given prices and the production technology.
9. See also Berger and Humphrey (1997) and Molyneux et al. (1997).
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1562
Journal of Business
We employ SFA cost and profit models similar to those in Berger and
Mester (1997), Humphrey and Pulley (1997), and DeYoung and Hassan
(1998). Banks are assumed to face perfectly competitive input markets
but operate in output markets where price differentiation is possible. This
framework easily accommodates our cost model with only trivial modifications. It also allows for market power in our profit model. Hence,
banks can compete via their output pricing strategies by adjusting prices
and fees according to market conditions. The extent to which they can
influence prices depends on output quantities, input prices, and other
factors, all of which are given at the time of price setting. Additional
features of the profit model are that it can account for differences in the
quality of outputs (to the extent that it is reflected in prices) as well as
correct for scale bias. Also, output prices, which are subject to severe
measurement problems according to Berger and Mester (1997) and
Vander Vennet (1999), are not required for the empirical analysis.11
For the estimation of the cost and profit frontier functions, we use the
translog functional form. This form has been widely employed and allows for the necessary flexibility when estimating frontier models. Berger
and Mester (1997) compared the translog to the Fourier flexible form
(FFF). Despite the latters added flexibility, the difference in results between these methods appears to be negligible (see also Swank 1996).
Moreover, previously cited bank efficiency studies show that the translog
cost and profit functions are locally stable in large bank applications.
We define profit before tax as PBT, outputs as y, and input prices as w.12
Also, we let control variable z reflect differences in risk-taking behavior
of banks. We also include linear and quadratic trend terms. For the specific choice of variables, we refer to Section IV. In the specification that
follows, the optimal profit level for bank k in period t is now a function
of the number of outputs, input prices, and the control variable z. In a
10. Concerning the measurement of X-efficiency, Bauer et al. (1997) imposed six consistency conditions and examined the extent to which stochastic frontier (SFA) models, thick
frontier models ( TFA), distribution-free models ( DFA), and data envelopment analysis ( DEA)
meet these consistency conditions. They found that the choice among these models did
not appear to significantly alter efficiency measures. In a study comparing DEA and SFA,
Eisenbeis, Ferrier, and Kwan (1999) reported that SFA efficiency scores were more closely
related to risk-taking behavior, managerial competence, and bank stock returns than those for
DEA.
11. For a theoretical framework for the SFA models used here, see Coelli et al. (1998) and
Bos (2002).
12. With respect to notation, we use lower case symbols in italics to denote logarithms.
Upper case symbols represent actual values of the variables.
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3
X
ai yikt
i1
3 X
3
1X
i1 j1
3
X
3 X
3
3
X
1X
aij yikt yjkt
bi wikt
2 i1 j1
i1
3 X
3
X
1
bij wikt wjkt c1 zkt c2 zkt2
dij wikt yjkt
2
i1 j1
i1
3
X
i1
1
fi yikt zkt g0 T g1 T 2 vkt ukt
2
1
3
X
bi 1;
i1
3
X
j1
3
X
i1
3
X
eij 0;
i1
3
X
dij 0:
i1
We impose linear homogeneity in input prices by normalizing the dependent variable and all input price variables (w) before taking logarithms (see
Coelli et al. 1998).13 Profit efficiency for bank k th time t is defined as14
PEkt E expukt "kt :
13. Each of these variables is included as a ratio to one of the input price variables, and the
coefficient for each input price is inferred ex post from the imposed restriction. This procedure
ensures homogeneity of only degree one in factor prices. Imposing constant returns to scale
would require normalization of the output variables as well.
14. The complete derivation of the maximum likelihood estimator is available upon request.
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1564
Journal of Business
This measure takes on a value between 0 and 1 (fully efficient) and indicates how close a banks profits (conditional on its outputs, input prices, and
the control variable) are to the profits of a fully efficient bank under the
same conditions. Cost efficiency also takes on a value between 0 and 1
(fully efficient) and is defined as15
1
CEkt E expukt "kt
:
3
In estimating our profit and cost models, we apply the usual reparameterization by replacing s2u and s2v with s2 s2u s2v and g s2u =s2u s2v .16
We evaluate CE and PE for the whole sample as well as for four asset quartile
size classes.
C. Scale Economies for Profit and Cost Frontiers in Europe
and the United States
For the profit function, a value larger (smaller) than 1 indicates increasing
(decreasing) returns to scale, and unity indicates constant returns to scale.
For the cost function, scale estimates are oppositely interpreted. Overall
economies of scale are simply the sum of output-specific economies of scale.
When measured at the frontier, economies of scale are a good indicator of the
shape of the frontier.
15. A bank that lies above the cost frontier has cost efficiency in the range from 1
(efficient) to 1. We invert this measure to get efficiency scores comparable to those of our
profit model.
16. The parameter g represents the share of inefficiency in the overall residual variance and
ranges between 0 and 1. A value of 1 for g suggests the existence of a deterministic frontier,
whereas a value of 0 represents evidence in favor of a standard ordinary least squares estimation. Note that a deterministic frontier is by no means necessarily identical to a DEA model,
given the latters restrictions on the shape of the frontier and the distribution of the inefficiency.
See Coelli et al. (1998) for further discussion. As part of our robustness tests, we vary maximum likelihood convergence criteria (one-by-one) from 0.1 to 104 to see whether our results
are robust. In these estimations, the likelihood value, model coefficients, and efficiency measurements do not change significantly but the number of iterations does vary.
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Journal of Business
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1567
ratio (TCH TCL)/TCL for y1 ; y2 ; y3, and y. Likewise, for the profit
model, we calculate the ratio (PBTL PBTH)/ PBTH. Total costs and
total profit are divided by total revenues to adjust for the possibility that
banks in high-and low-bank groups may have different size. In both
cases, if scope economies exist, the ratio is greater than 0. Note that
these ratios can be constructed only using averages; as such, the scope
measure itself does not have a standard deviation. This is a common
problem, as recognized in Berger and Humphrey (1997). Instead, we
report a t-value for an independent samples test for TCH TCL (similar
to our X-efficiency tests). Note that, by varying the cutoff point to
more or less than the twenty-fifth percentile, we can check for extrapolation problems. Also, by measuring scope economies for four size
classes as well as for the whole sample, we control for some of the
X-(in)efficiencies that can differ among size classes.
E. Geographic Expansion
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Journal of Business
locational data were missing in 1997, data for the closest available year
were available. For U.S. banks, this approach simplified the collection of
geographic distances for thousands of banking offices. As in the Berger
and DeYoung study, geographic distance for Europe is measured by the
sum of distances from the lead bank to affiliated banks (including affiliated
banks outside of Europe) divided by the total assets of the banking organization. For the United States, we compute the sum of distances from
the lead bank to affiliated banks (including foreign bank affiliates) as well
as branch offices divided by total assets. The reason for the latter definition
is that many U.S. banks converted their organizations to one-bank holding
companies in the 1990s by merging bank affiliates into the lead bank as
branch offices.
IV. Data
A. Sample Data
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Journal of Business
and the United States during the sample period, ownership thresholds are
checked for all large banks in each year of the sample period.
We also exclude all observations with variable values missing and
values less than or equal to zero. A negative or zero value for a variable
implies that the respective banks production function is quite different
from other sample banks. Moreover, if such observations were included
in the analyses, an arbitrary transformation would be required because
zero and negative values are disallowed in the translog model. For the
combined data set only 10 observations were dropped for this reason.
Last, outliers are considered by estimating the models with all observations and checking for outliers in the efficiency scores. As found in
other studies, outliers tend to have higher scores than other sample banks.
If outliers in the independent variables are consistent with outliers in
the dependent variable, we omit the observations as long as skewness
is not substantially altered. We then reestimate the models and report
the results with all observations (with outliers omitted) if the coefficients have not changed (have changed) significantly. To avoid heteroscedasticity problems, we use weighted least squares, with weights based
on the log of total assets.23
B. Variables
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1572
TABLE 1
Descriptive Information
Variable
Mean
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
Minimum
Maximum
TC (total cost)
PBT (profit before taxes)
y1 (loans)
y2 (investments)
y3 (off-balance sheet)
w1 (labor price)
w2 (financial capital price)
w3 (physical capital price)
z (equity/assets)
4,791,070
831,208
32,366,000
12,396,900
19,342,800
.013
.041
.012
.083
8,124,660
1,443,620
56,840,900
26,578,300
42,105,800
.013
.039
.014
.093
2.27
2.66
2.53
3.31
3.78
3.69
4.89
4.22
3.84
8.11
11.03
9.77
15.58
22.51
21.03
32.44
26.62
18.51
16358.6
655.76
13382.7
116.78
2058.87
.0003
.0013
.0003
.01
49,246,900
9,177,220
343,000,000
191,000,000
370,000,000
.11
.38
.13
.66
64,400,000
119,000,000
2.70
10.62
1,012,440
751,000,000
50.14
59.64
57.58
42.34
100.49
5.34
5.63
5.80
22.04
52.55
18426
3654
42092
1715
24638
8.29E06
4.65E04
5.39E08
.05
1,020,880
98,457,300
34,826,600
953,435,000
282,533,000
3.13E+10
.03
.05
.01
.26
1.60E+09
2,684,750
854,247
24,701,600
92,70,800
351,000,000
.011
.024
.003
.094
42,986,500
9,692,600
3,124,390
89,628,300
32,095,400
2.50E+09
.004
.007
.001
.027
153,938,000
6.28
6.76
6.69
5.91
9.53
.92
1.47
.07
3.99
6.37
Note.Total costs, profit before taxes, outputs, and total assets are measured in thousands of 1995 dollars.
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Journal of Business
TC (total cost)
PBT (profit before taxes)
y1 (loans)
y2 (investments)
y3 (off-balance sheet)
w1 (labor price)
w2 (financial capital price)
w3 (physical capital price)
z (equity/assets)
Assets (total assets)
1573
authors upon request). Also, we should mention that the price of financial
capital (w2) is used to ensure linear homogeneity in input prices.
A. European Banks
Panel A of table 2 reports results for the estimated SFA cost and profit
models for large European banks.24 For both economies of scale/scope
and X-efficiency, we report results for four asset quartiles as well as
for the total sample. Importantly, X-efficiency estimates based on the
cost model for European banks average 0.947, which implies that frontier efficient banks could further reduce operating costs by 5.3% on average. As in other SFA studies, the distribution of efficiency scores is
highly skewed (e.g., the minimum is 0.064). Relative to the cost results,
X-efficiency estimates based on the profit model for European banks on
average are considerably lower at 0.721, which implies potentially large
profit improvements of 27.9% on average are possible for frontier banks.
With a standard deviation of 0.219 (i.e., approximately twice that of the
cost model), the distribution of profit efficiency scores is quite large. Apparently, large banks in Europe had wide disparities in profit X-efficiency
but much smaller disparities in cost X-efficiency during our sample period. These results are generally consistent with previous European studies of bank cost and profit X-efficiency (e.g., see Ruthenberg and Elias
1996; Dietsch et al. 1998; and Vander Vennet 1999). However, some
studies reported profit X-efficiencies ranging between 0.20 and 0.25
for large European banks (e.g., see Griffell-Tatje and Lovell 1996; Resti
1997; and Altunbas et al. 2001). Assuming that profit efficiency is a
function of not only internal production (as in the case of cost efficiency)
but external market forces, higher cost efficiency and lower profit efficiency could be attributable in part to differences in market power among
large banks. Alternatively, Sheldon (1999) argued that these results could
be due to high-cost outputs with service and quality features that are not
in demand by bank customers.
Panel A of table 2 also contains average scale estimates derived from
the cost and profit SFA models for large banks in Europe. As discussed
earlier, scale estimates are derived from the estimated coefficients for the
entire cost or profit equation, rather than a single estimated coefficient.
24. Since estimated coefficients for l (i.e., the ratio of the variance of the truncated
normal inefficiency term to the variance of random noise) are significantly greater than zero
(at the 0.01 level) in both models, we infer support for our frontier approach relative to OLS.
The total variance of the error term (or s) is low. Similar results hold for all our estimations.
Results with respect to individual variables are difficult to interpret due to second-order and
interaction variable effects. For example, in the cost model the estimated coefficient for loans
( y1) was negative and significant, which implies lower operating costs as loans are increased,
all else the same. However, this interpretation does not take into account the nonlinear cost
implications of loans captured in squared loans ( y1 y1) and multiple interactions of loans with
other variables in the model. For these reasons, we do not report estimated coefficients for
the cost and profit models.
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1574
TABLE 2
Journal of Business
Scale
Scope
X-efficiency
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Total
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Total
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Total
Mean
Profit Models
United States
t
Mean
1.143 4.767
1.055 17.108
1.126 4.699
1.071 17.376
1.153 5.661
1.049 13.572
1.095 7.494
.938 8.376
1.127 5.991
1.042 9.294
.231
.327 .947 3.357
.009
.680 .975 1.038
.166
.986 .989 11.006
.631
.561 .867 15.932
.340
.083 1.024 10.484
.924 5.755
.973 12.281
.924 5.573
.976 21.321
.962 15.571
.978 35.126
.957 12.235
.978 190.13
.947
8.454
.976
18.098
Europe
United States
Mean
Mean
1.208
1.159
1.169
1.100
1.151
.455
.245
.248
.534
.367
.636
.600
.714
.831
3.646
3.497
4.387
5.986
4.564
1.658
1.516
.264
.714
.590
2.169
1.977
3.074
7.353
1.134
1.148
1.098
0.907
1.099
.895
.934
.982
.865
.950
.676
.754
.778
.866
11.186
11.322
8.856
5.237
5.808
.404
1.135
4.808
15.955
1.362
3.711
5.381
6.542
15.232
.721
2.964
.749
4.790
B. Frontier Test
Independent Samples Test
Cost
Profit
Europe
United States
Percentile
NEurope
NUS
Mean
SD
Mean
SD
50th
60th
70th
80th
90th
50th
60th
70th
80th
26.3
12.9
7.2
3.6
8.2
40.7
27.8
28.0
22.3
8.934
8.957
7.986
6.595
5.282
2.246
1.766
1.899
.876
259
207
155
104
51
260
208
155
104
238
191
143
95
47
238
190
143
95
1.156
1.163
1.167
1.176
1.227
1.167
1.164
1.186
1.173
.186
.186
.193
.213
.249
.260
.262
.285
.311
1.032
1.023
1.016
1.007
1.009
1.124
1.126
1.137
1.144
.113
.122
.129
.145
.153
.151
.153
.145
.142
90th
13.6
1.027
52
47
1.201
.383
1.140
.185
.976
.749
.054
.156
C. X-Efficiency Test
Cost
Profit
59.8 5.005
96.3 2.181
519
519
476
476
.947
.721
.112
.243
Note.Asset quartiles (in millions of U.S. dollars) are distributed as follows: Q1 = [1012345,
1982082}, NEurope = 93, NUS = 155; Q2 = [1982083, 4420897], NEurope = 84, NUS = 166; Q3 =
[4420898, 30193469], NEurope = 165, NUS = 84; Q4 = [30193470, 160096490], NEurope = 177, NUS =
71. All independent samples tests use Levenes test (at the 5% level) for the equality of variances. We
report only the absolute t-values for mean differences that are not rejected by this F test. Scope t-values
correspond to an independent samples test that expected cost (or profit) is equal for specialized and
nonspecialized banks.
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1575
Consistent with prior studies of large banks (e.g., Allen and Rai 1996 and
Altunbas et al. 2001), cost model estimates suggest decreasing economies
of scale for outputs. An increase of 1 U.S. dollar in total output results in
an increased cost of almost 1.13 U.S. dollars for European banks. Since
overall economies of scale are negative and significant, the results imply
cost diseconomies of scale. Contrary to the cost model findings, overall
scale economies for the profit model are increasing and significant at 1.15
U.S. dollars for large European banks. This result suggests that large
banks can increase profits by expanding their size.25 The scale economies
results were similar across quartile size ranges.
Finally, scope economies are negative but insignificant for the cost
model. European banks that produce a disproportionate amount of a particular output have total costs approximately 34% lower (but statistically
insignificant) than banks that have a more balanced output mix. These
results are in line with the large international bank results of Allen and
Rai (1996), as well as work by Vander Vennet (1999). For the profit model,
scope economies are positive (with total profits approximately 37% higher
among banks with a more balanced output mix) but again insignificant. This result is consistent with the finding of higher revenues and
profitability among universal banks compared to specialized banks by
Vander Vennett (1999). The insignificance of the cost and profit scope
estimates suggests that scope economies are small in general, which agrees
with the consensus in the empirical banking literature (e.g., see Berger
2003).
B. U.S. Banks
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1576
Journal of Business
deviation of 0.092.27 This result contrasts with that of Miller and Noulas
(1996), who conducted a DEA analysis oflarge U.S. banks and found profit
X-efficiency of 0.97 with almost half the banks 100% technically efficient.
Not surprising, the U.S. market is more homogeneous than the European
market, as confirmed by the lower standard deviation for both cost and
profit X-efficiency. Also, as implied by the descriptive data in table 1,
whereas average return on assets is higher in the United States, the standard
deviation of the return on assets is lower than in Europe. The average cost
ratio of U.S. banks is lower than for European banks also.
Cost model results in panel A of table 2 show that overall economies
of scale for U.S. banks significantly decrease but are smaller in magnitude than those for the European cost model (i.e., 1.127 and 1.042 for
European and U.S. banks, respectively).28 Average scale economies for
U.S. banks generated from the profit model are positive but somewhat
smaller than those for European banks; for example, a 1 U.S. dollar
increase in total outputs results in an almost 1.10 U.S. dollar increase in
profits (compared to 1.15 U.S. dollars for European banks). As in Europe,
it appears that large U.S. banks expansion tends to boost profits. One
exception is the profit economies of scale result of 0.907 for U.S. banks in
the largest size quartile. For these banks, profit scale diseconomies appear
to exist.
Scope economies for large U.S. banks are negative and significant (at
the 0.01 level) for the cost model, whereas they are positive but insignificant for the profit model. Cost scope diseconomies for U.S. banks are
about three times larger than for European banks. This difference in
results could be due to greater number of specialized banks in the United
States and universal banks in Europe. Previous U.S. studies on large U.S.
banks and scope economies are generally mixed, with relatively small
economies or diseconomies, as mentioned earlier (e.g., see Pulley and
Humphrey 1993 and Mitchell and Onvural 1996 and citations therein).
Our results are likewise mixed, with scope economies in profits but scope
diseconomies in costs for both Europe and the United States. Also, like
most previous work, most scope economies are not significant.
In general, our efficiency results for large European and U.S. banks
reflect more similarities than differences. Estimates of scale economies
for costs and profits reveal functional relationships between output level
and efficiency that are strikingly comparable to one another. However, on
average, European banks have lower cost and profit X-efficiencies than
U.S. banks, and the dispersion of both profit and cost efficiency scores is
considerably smaller for U.S. banks than for European banks. Consistent
27. Comparing the values for m=su , truncation is very similar for the U.S. and Europe
bank samples, with a large proportion of efficient banks.
28. Our finding of decreasing returns to scale is consistent with numerous prior studies of
large U.S. banks (e.g., see Hunter et al. 1990; Noulas et al. 1990; Jagtiani and Khanthavit
1996; and Miller and Noulas 1996).
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1578
TABLE 3
Cost Models
Country Dummy
Variable
Country Dummy
Europe Dummy
4.767
12.948
2.334
.031
5.934
1.598
11.074
16.822
.048
.225
.068
4.497
.197
.017
.099
.110
.167
.173
.084
.270
.042
.116
.094
.063
.156
.067
2.336
.472
4.878
4.694
5.263
9.552
1.466
9.942
2.179
4.480
3.161
2.827
2.847
2.189
.160
.149
.016
.295
.237
.102
.078
.488
.187
.676
.452
.164
.144
.204
.910
1.428
.320
5.582
3.662
2.097
1.265
9.374
4.298
9.010
4.130
3.715
.903
2.908
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Journal of Business
Intercept
Europe
Austria
Belgium
Switzerland
Germany
Denmark
Spain
Finland
France
Great Britain
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Europe Dummy
.092
.176
.023
.663
.303
.106
.374
.384
.703
.020
.005
2.423
2.936
.249
743.85
.0092
.07573
.961
.090
995
1.718
2.739
.709
8.060
3.895
1.912
10.694
11.739
7.830
1.470
1.251
4.476
22.914
23.422
.582
.270
.110
.561
.243
.765
.014
.004
1.754
2.362
.239
611.66
.00866
.04829
.958
.081
995
7.551
3.712
1.701
17.510
6.554
7.380
.893
.750
3.824
21.074
22.660
.440
.330
0.218
.885
.090
.875
.179
.628
.166
.094
.012
2.139
4.208
.625
90.43
.02087
.36947
.735
.207
995
2.027
2.656
3.287
4.319
.517
7.762
2.304
8.512
.913
2.924
1.127
3.437
13.345
13.881
1.555
.847
.384
.425
.106
1.563
.129
0.027
.500
1.203
0.364
129.17
.05409
.07823
.853
.118
995
8.639
5.085
3.202
6.002
1.354
9.038
3.537
2.117
.841
12.694
24.387
Norway
Portugal
Sweden
w1
w3
y1
y2
y3
z
T
0.5T2
m=su
l
s
LLF
ss(v)
ss(u)
Mean
SD
Observations
Note.Variables are defined as follows: y1 = loans, y2 = investments, y3 = off-balance sheet activities, w1 = price of labor, w2 = price of financial capital, w3 = price of physical
capital, z = equity/total assets ratio, and T = time. Other terms are LLF= the log likelihood ratio test, ss(v) = the variance of random noise, or s2v ; ssu = the variance of the
truncated efficiency term, or s2u ; m=su = the truncation point for u divided by the standard deviation of the truncated efficiency term, l= the ratio of standard deviations of the truncated normal efficiency term and random noise, or su =sv , and s = the total variance of the error term equal to the sum of the variance of random noise plus the variance of the
truncated efficiency term, or s2 s2v s2u. The full estimation results are available from the authors upon request.
1579
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1580
TABLE 4
Journal of Business
Profit Model
Country
Mean
Mean
Austria
Belgium
Switzerland
Germany
Denmark
Spain
Finland
France
Great Britain
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Sweden
5
16
46
64
47
52
10
44
63
22
16
54
13
24
16
11
18
.902
.877
.974
.940
.956
.973
.971
.969
.947
.973
.976
.976
.937
.981
.971
.971
.974
777.18
813.72
1874.98
1363.42
5848.73
626.19
674.15
240.28
714.38
215.42
1222.1
.06
1905.46
205.55
205.55
606.82
244.06
1.23
2.79
.23
4.20
5.42
1.60
.76
6.09
4.28
1.32
.66
13.20
4.11
2.67
2.67
.93
.31
.518
.791
.824
.805
.796
.849
.772
.783
.831
.739
.865
.803
.683
.845
.751
.855
.823
2313.37
316.61
26.14
386.44
47.91
10.66
176.69
325.63
60.53
41.74
8.68
194.26
843.00
17.94
327.08
.18
218.79
1.69
1.73
4.94
6.09
9.86
3.54
1.89
5.37
6.83
12.96
.03
7.47
2.96
2.38
4.45
1.22
1.35
Note.The F-statistic is Levenes test (at the 5% level) for the equality of variances. We report the
t-values for mean differences only in average scale economies that are not rejected by the F test.
Efficiency scores are weighted by assets per country in each year to avoid small banks in small countries biasing results. The reference country is the United States, with an average weighted cost efficiency of 0.974 and an average weighted profit efficiency of 0.865.
cost efficient as U.S. banks. Mean efficiency for European banks is 0.947,
which is significantly less than U.S. banks at 0.976, albeit by only 2.9%.
We infer that European banks are slightly less cost efficient than U.S.
banks on average but the difference is not economically meaningful.
The left-hand side of table 4 compares each European countrys bank
cost efficiency to U.S. bank cost efficiency. Given the relatively low number of observations for some countries and to take into account the different market structures, we weighted the efficiency scores for each bank in
a particular country by its share of the countrys total banking assets. For
the United States, the weighted cost efficiency is 0.974. The F-statistic
tests for the equality of variances fail to accept the null hypothesis (except
for Italy); as such, type II t-tests under the assumption of unequal variances are most appropriate. A negative and significant t-statistic means a
countrys banks are less cost efficient than U.S. banks. Excluding some
countries due to relatively low sample sizes (i.e., Austria, Finland,
Luxembourg, and Portugal), the type II t-test results are mixed, with five
(eight) countries banks having cost efficiency similar to (different from)
U.S. banks. Only banks in Italy and the Netherlands had significantly
higher average cost efficiency scores than U.S. banks.30 Banks in Belgium
30. As shown in table 8, these findings are not related to the individual coefficients for the
country dummies, as these dummies capture country-specific effects but not X-efficiency.
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1581
stand out as the least efficient among the European countries. Finally,
while banks in Germany, Denmark, France, Great Britain, and Norway
were less efficient than U.S. banks from a statistical standpoint, the magnitude of the difference appears to be fairly modest in economic terms.
Turning to the estimated profit models for the combined sample, recall
that earlier tests moving progressively closer to the profit frontier implied
differences between European and U.S. banks that became insignificant.
The right-hand side of table 3 shows the estimated models with the addition of dummy variables for 17 countries and a Europe dummy (versus the United States), respectively. Profit X-efficiency scores averaged
0.735 for the country dummy model and 0.853 for the Europe dummy
model. Hence, relative to the cost model results, country-specific dummy
variables (which are generally statistically significant) provide incremental information that is averaged out upon lumping together the European
countries. Focusing on the Europe dummy variable t-test, X-efficient
frontier U.S. banks scale economies are not significantly higher than those
for European banks. Also, m=su is positive and significant, implying that
most banks are efficient. This evidence tends to confirm our earlier
finding of a single profit frontier for European and U.S. banks. As mentioned earlier, panel C of table 2 shows that, for U.S. banks, the average profit efficiency score is 0.749 compared to 0.721 for European
banks, which are significantly different at the 5% level.
We next consider the independent sample tests for mean differences in weighted profit efficiency scores between individual European
countries banks and U.S. banks, where the latter have a profit efficiency
weighted by assets of 0.865. Again excluding selected countries due to
small sample sizes (i.e., Austria, Finland, Luxembourg, and Portugal),
the type II t-test results in table 4 clearly indicate that U.S. banks are significantly more profit efficient than banks in 11 countries and that only
banks in Ireland and Sweden had profit efficiency similar to U.S. banks.
In sum, the profit efficiency results for banks in Europe and the
United States are consistent with the cost efficiency results. As a robustness check, we also estimated the cost and profit models using traditional labor prices for U.S. banks as well as using flow outputs (e.g.,
substituting interest earnings on loans for the stock of loans, securities
earnings for the stock of investments, and noninterest income for the
stock of off-balance sheet activities), but the cost and profit efficiency
results remained qualitatively the same. Figure 1 graphically summarizes
the mean cost and profit efficiency scores for large banks by country.
Casual inspection of this graph suggests that cost efficiency and profit
efficiency are correlated with one another to some extent. Viewing countries in the upper-right quadrant of the graph as operating within a relevant range of cost and profit efficiency, there is considerable dispersion
among sample countries cost and profit efficiency. Banks in the United
States, Ireland, and the Netherlands tend to dominate other countries
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1582
Journal of Business
Fig. 1.Mean weighted (by total assets) cost and profit efficiency for large
banks.
Here we report the results for empirical tests on the relationship between
geographic dispersion as measured by distance between banks within a
banking organization and efficiency measures. Table 5 gives the descriptive statistics for the six independent variables discussed previously.
U.S. banks have higher mean distances than European banks; nonetheless,
U.S. banks average cost and profit efficiency scores are higher, average cost
ratios are lower, and average profit ratios are higher than European banks.
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TABLE 5
1583
SD
Minimum
Maximum
Distance
Size
CE
PE
Cost ratio
14,356
84,235,200
.9490
.7212
.0652
30,041
151,781,000
.1051
.2438
.0558
0
1,071,080
.1059
.0153
.0051
165,215
956,470,000
.9953
.9895
.5028
Profit ratio
.0136
.0158
.0001
.1322
Distance
Size
CE
PE
Cost ratio
Profit ratio
53,662
454,657,000
.9744
.7660
.0448
.0140
226,378
2,799,080,000
.0580
.1459
.0134
.0066
0
1,045,520
.2009
.0583
.0009
.0003
1,454,040
31,869,400,000
.9902
.9874
.1188
.0840
Note.Distance is the sum of geographic distances in miles between banks within the banking
organization. Size is total assets and off-balance sheet items in thousands of dollars. CE and PE are cost
and profit efficiency scores, respectively. Total costs and total profits divided by total assets and offbalance sheet items are the cost and profit ratios.
Distance
Size
CE
PE
Cost ratio
Profit ratio
1.000
.000
.018
.026
.001
.055
Size
CE
PE
Cost Ratio
Profit Ratio
.000
1.000
.013
.076*
.121**
.108**
.018
.013
1.000
.059
.262**
.245**
.026
.076*
.059
1.000
.114**
.236**
.001
.121**
.262**
.114**
1.000
.645**
0.055
.108**
.245**
.236**
.645**
1.000
Note.Distance is the sum of geographic distances in miles between banks within the banking
organization. Size is total assets and off-balance sheet items in thousands of dollars. CE and PE are cost
and profit efficiency scores, respectively. Total costs and total profits divided by total assets and offbalance sheet items are the cost and profit ratios. The symbols * and ** denote 5% and 1% significance
(two-tailed), respectively. Distance is orthogonalized with respect to size (see also table 7).
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1584
TABLE 7
Geographic Expansion and Bank Efficiency: Estimated Regression Coefficients (and t Values)
Profit Efficiency Dependent Variable
Intercept
.102
Distance
.826E08
Size
.568E03
Total Cost Ratio 0.362E01
Total Profit Ratio .338
Outside Country .178
Outside EU
Outside Europe
F value
Adjusted R2
Model (2)
t
22.80 2.92
0.66 .217E06
2.47 0.147E01
1.97 1.172
4.75 9.725
6.33
.452
19.33
.090
Model (3)
t
Model (1)
t
Model (2)
t
Model (3)
t
30.13
7.919
25.11 0.388
31.94
0.389
33.17
0.389
33.18
.57
.448E06 .41 .157E06 2.29 .150E06 2.19 .154E06 2.23
2.19
.311E01
0.47
.185E01 2.43
0.161E01 2.27
.165E01
2.27
2.15 3.239
2.06 1.883
11.72 1.960
12.25 1.945
11.85
4.75 26.45
4.43 9.360
13.21
9.603
13.59
9.446
12.38
.030
2.54
6.49
.048
4.00
1.231
5.61
.048
3.87
18.61
18.17
43.27
45.35
45.57
.087
.085
.186
.193
.194
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Journal of Business
Note.We estimate a truncated regression model, with truncation at 1 from above. Mean cost efficiency is 0.960, and mean profit efficiency is 0.741. Distance is the sum of
geographic distances in miles between banks within the banking organization. It is computed orthogonal to size (i.e., the residual of a regression of distance on size and a constant)
to avoid multicollinearity problems. Size is total assets plus off-balance sheet items. CE and PE are cost and profit efficiency scores, respectively. Total costs and total profits
divided by total assets plus off-balance sheet items are the cost and profit ratios. Three dummy variables are defined as follows: (1) outside country (i.e., 1 for banks with affiliates
outside their home country in Europe or the United States, 0 otherwise), (2) outside EU (i.e., 1 for European banks with affiliates outside the European Union or U.S. banks with
offices outside the United States, 0 otherwise), and (3) outside Europe (i.e., 1 for European banks with affiliates outside of Western and Eastern Europe or U.S. banks with offices
outside the United States, 0 otherwise). We use a White estimator to correct for possible heteroscedasticity problems.
1585
In this section, we broaden our analyses to include small banks. International mergers and acquisitions are most likely to occur between large
institutions and smaller banks, as the former seek a foothold position
in new markets. Historically, small, independent banks are much more
common in the United States than in Europe. Our European sample includes all small banks not affiliated with a bank holding company or other
banking organization in the 199599 period for which data were available.
A total of 383 observations met these criteria.31 For the United States,
we randomly sampled 500 small, independent banks. Compared to our
large bank samples, the size distribution is much less dispersed.
31. Most small, independent European banks are located are in Germany, Switzerland,
and Denmark. No observations were obtained for Finland, Greece, Ireland, and Sweden.
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1586
Journal of Business
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TABLE 8
1587
Scale
Scope
X-efficiency
Profit Models
United States
Quartile
Mean
Mean
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Total
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Total
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
.895
.996
1.026
1.111
1.059
.113
.739
.699
1.501
.816
.814
.817
.710
.740
3.814
4.243
5.096
6.850
5.068
1.286
2.383
3.297
.872
3.037
6.292
4.165
3.273
3.416
1.149
1.142
1.144
1.142
1.145
.437
.573
.596
.578
.599
.877
.854
.882
.892
Total
.743
3.495
.871
Europe
Mean
United States
t
6.387
.359 .836
6.343
.252 .589
9.927
.413 .976
6.938
.601 1.324
8.007
.490 1.079
3.312
.091 .519
.585 1.608 .102
.297 .429 1.714
.370 1.201 .299
2.369 0.507 1.777
9.699
.527 2.448
7.361
.564 2.561
9.514
.586 2.753
8.351
.638 3.554
8.519
.607 3.042
Mean
1.324 6.337
1.295 6.198
1.308 11.077
1.339 8.586
1.311 7.701
.485
.115
.550 1.097
.554 1.016
.663
.884
.608
.805
.615 3.933
.650 4.278
.692 6.362
.625 3.156
.644
4.249
B. Frontier Test
Independent Samples Test
Cost
Profit
50th
60th
70th
80th
90th
50th
60th
70th
80th
25.6
12.3
6.4
10.6
6.2
163.8
180.6
162.4
122.4
4.561
3.274
2.772
3.763
2.526
26.459
22.026
18.441
14.940
191
153
115
76
38
191
153
115
76
260
208
156
104
52
259
207
156
104
57.7 12.250
38
51
90th
NEurope
NUS
Percentile
Europe
Mean
United States
SD
Mean
SD
1.061
1.073
1.071
1.043
1.034
.496
.497
.487
.436
.211
.199
.206
.213
.250
.440
.441
.465
.490
1.136
1.136
1.136
1.145
1.147
1.304
1.312
1.319
1.308
.141
.152
.170
.119
.132
.189
.144
.154
.161
.344
.469
1.326
.180
.743
.607
.213
.200
C. X-Efficiency Test
Cost
Profit
519
519
.871 .102
.644 .151
Note.Asset quartiles (in millions of U.S. dollars) are distributed as follows: Q1 = [4069, 45720],
NEurope = 24, NUS = 201; Q2 = [45721, 102338], NEurope = 39, NUS = 187; Q3 = [102339, 264629],
NEurope = 122, NUS = 103; Q4 = [264630, 990942], NEurope = 198, NUS = 28. All independent samples
tests use Levenes test (at the 5% level) for the equality of variances. We report the absolute t-values
only for mean differences that are not rejected by this F test. Scope t-values correspond to an independent samples test that expects cost (or profits) is equal for specialized and nonspecialized banks.
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1588
Journal of Business
Fig. 2.Mean weighted (by total assets) cost and profit efficiency for small
banks.
The last two decades of the twentieth century witnessed rapid bank consolidation around the world, which has taken place for the most part within
countries and on an intracontinental basis. At some point, when regional
concentration of bank resources becomes satiated, it is reasonable to believe
that intercontinental mergers will be the next phase in the merger movement. In this paper, we examine the question of economic motivations
for further geographic expansion by conducting stochastic frontier cost
and profit analyses to estimate economies of scale as well as X-efficiency
for multibillion dollar European and U.S. banks. Comparable data for input prices and outputs are gathered for large banks for the period 199599.
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1589
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1590
Journal of Business
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1591
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