Selection A

1. A man can hit a target once in 4 shots. If he fires 4 shots in succession, what is the probability
that he will hit his target?

1/256

81/256

175/256

144/256
2.

In the previous problem, assume that SPU wins the tender. At the beginning of quarter
4, there are 3 MRI scanners, 5 MSCT scanners, and 6 C-arms available at CEs warehouse in the
USA. CE Indonesia orders 1 MRI scanner, 2 MSCT scanners, and 3 C-Arm scanners. In how
many different ways can this order be fulfilled? (Assume that both types of vehicles have enough
capacity to carry the whole order in one trip)

108

800

5400

21600

200
3. An insurance company has a call center handling questions of customers. Nearly 40 calls per
hour have to be handled. The time needed to help a customer is exponentially distributed with
mean 3 minutes. How many operators are needed such that only 5% of the customers has to wait
longer than 2 minutes?

1 operator

2 operators

3 operators

4 operators

5 operators
1

4.
What is the mixed strategy equilibrium of the game on the table above? (Denote by p be the
probability of "Run" for the tiger, and q the probability of "Run" for the hunter.)

p=3/4, q=1/2
5. A Commander Electric (CE) plant located in the USA produces three different types of
medical equipment: MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging) scanners, MSCT (Multislice Computed
Tomography) scanners, and C-Arms. At the third quarter of the fiscal year, CE Indonesia orders
one MRI scanner from the plant in the USA. The device can be transported overseas by air or by
sea.A tender is held for three shipping companies, SPU, Finvlair, and Xedef. Each shipping
company has the following vehicles available in their armada:
During a trip from the USA to Indonesia, an airfreight carrier will need to stop and refuel in
Seoul before continuing to Jakarta. From Seoul, the cargo can continue to Jakarta on the same
carrier or on a different carrier owned by the same shipping company. In how many different
ways can the MRI be transported from the USA to Indonesia?
p=1/4, q=1/4

p=1/2, q=1/4

p=1/4, q=3/4

p=1/4, q=1/2

21
6.
Find the expected total completion time for the project based on the table

69 days
7. There are several types of system control. Now let see the following example :
For a given form of tidal action and fresh water inflows, an estuary has a natural state of
equilibrium, where the various ecological symbiotic relationships and interdependencies, like
predator-prey subsystems, are in balance. If this balance is disturbed it will redress itself slowly
over time to its previous equilibrium, provided no new disturbance occurs or no permanent
change has occurred. The example above can be classified into :

27

13

78

54

65 days

66 days

67 days

68 days

Open loop controls

3

Feed-forward controls
8. Resting pulse rate is an important measure of the fitness of a persons cardiovascular system
with a lower rate of indicative of greater fitness. The mean pulse rate of all adult male is
approximately 72 beats per minute. A random sample of 25 male students currently enrolled in
the Faculty of Agriculture and now taking 5.211 was selected and the mean pulse resting pulse
rate was found to be 80 beats per minute with a standar deviation of 20 beats per minute. The
experimenter wishes to test if the students are less fit, on average, then the general population. A
possible Type II error would be to :

Conclude that the students have the same fitness (on average) when in fact they are more fit
on average
9. The heights of 1000 students are approximately normally distributed with a mean of 174.5
centimeters and a standard deviation of 6.9 centimeters. If 100 random samples of size 25 are
drawn from this population and the means recorded to the nearest tenth of a centimeter,
determine the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of :

Closed
loop controls

Feedback controls

Self-regulation

Conclude that the students are less fit (on average) than the general population when in fact
they have equal fitness on average

Conclude that the students have the same fitness (on average) as the general population
when in fact they are less fit on average

Conclude that the students have the same fitness (on average) as the general population
when in fact they are the same fitness level on average

Conclude that the students are less fit (on average) than the general population, when in fact
they are less fit on average

mean = 17.45 ; standard deviation = 0.69

mean = 34.9 ; standard deviation = 1.38

mean = 174.5 ; standard deviation = 0.69

mean = 174.5 ; standard deviation = 1.38

mean = 174.5 ; standard deviation = 6.9

4

10. Harapan Keluarga Hospital in Lombok intends to compare the performance of its Brivo
CT325 and its SOMATOM MSCT machines. For the intents and purposes of this study, an
MSCT machines performance is judged on how long it takes the machine to produce a brain
scan. Each machine was used to run a brain scan on 10 different patients, and the following data
was obtained:
Assuming that the difference in time required to produce brain scan of the two machines is
normally distributed and with = 5%, what is the result of this test?

There is no significant difference in performance between the two machines

11.
a.
MSCT Brivo CT325 has significantly worse performance compared to MSCT SOMATOM

b.
c.
d.

e. Do not have any dual form

12.
Three electric plants gives supply to four cities. The daily demand amounts at the four city are
30,35, 25, and 37 million kWh. The maximum capacity of three electric plants are 35, 50, and 45
million kWh daily. The transportation cost per million kWh from the plants to the cities is given
in the following table.
Note that Plant C could not transfer electricity to City 4. Find the optimum distribution
solution
a

$4591
13. A factory produces three different products, each product needs to be processed by three
types of machine independently. The data shown below are the processing time needed by the
product.
There are one machine for every type. The factory operates 24 hours a day.
If there is a place for a new machine to be added, which machine should be added to increase
profit?

Machine type 2 and type 3 have the same priority

14. The amount of dust that is taken into body is a major health problem. It is important that the
amount of exposure be determined quickly so that a field worker with a hift level of dust in the
environment can be reduced. Test with impinger is be done to check the level of dust in workers
lungs. The test is be done from 4 personnel were divided equally into three kinds of field worker,
mining industry, construction, and metal industry The following dust level in lungs, in parts per
million, were recorded :
to minimize transportation cost. How much is the total transportation cost for all plants
and all cities?

$7268

$3450

$2597

$5921

Machine type 1

Machine type 2

Machine type 3

Machine type 1 and type 2 have the same priority

What is the result of analysis of variance at the 0.05 level of significance?

The dust level in metal industry is the highest

15. A multiple regression analysis is used to predict talent scores of ITB students based on GPA
and senior high school. GPA is a metric variable, while senior high school is a nominal
variable consisting of 5 categories: Senior High Schools A, B, C, D, and E. Senior high school
was then coded using 4 dummy variables using Senior High School A as base: i, j, k, and l. The
multiple regression equation produced was:
Talent_score = 2+ 3*GPA + 2i + 3j 4k + 6l
Applying this model to the following data:
What is the total talent score of all three students?

30
16.

The data shown here are diameter measurements of 4 parts that are produced by a company.
Each part has 3 kind of dimension that must be measured (D1, D2, D3). What kind of control
chart is the most appropriate to be applied?
There is no different in the dust levels for the 3 type of employee

The dust level in mining industry is higher than in construction field

The dust level in construction field is lower than in mining industry

The dust level in metal industry is lower than in mining industry

40.7

44.7

16

37.7

Attribute Control Chart

17. A critical dimension of a machined part has specifications 100 10. Control chart analysis
indicates that the process is in control with = 104 and = 9.30. The control charts use samples of
size n = 5. If we assume that the characteristics is normally distributed, can the mean be located
(by adjusting the tool position) so that all output meets specifications? What image is the present
capability of the process?
A.
B.

B
18.

Short
Run Control Chart

Moving Average Control Chart

Multivariate Control Chart

Cumulative Sum Control Chart

82.0825 mm
19.

A plain carbon steel tool is used to turn a part that is 600 mm in length and 300 mm in
diameter. The parameters in the Taylor equation are : n = 0.1 and C = 20 (m/min). Feed rate =
0.25 mm/rev and depth of cut = 2.5 mm. It takes 2.5 min to load and unload the part and 2.0 min
to change tools. Determine the tool life in minutes of cutting!

17.75 min
20.

A worker intends to make a blind hole in a part. This operation is to be performed with a 20
mm diameter twist drill on a steel workpart. The hole has depth= 25 mm and point angle=1200.
The cutting conditions are
V= 20 m/min f= 0.25 mm/rev How long will it take to complete this operation?
A bending operation is to be performed on a sheet of cold rolled steel. Determine the length
of the starting blank required. (R<2t, Kba = 0.33; R2t, Kba = 0.5)

9.0275 mm

27.0825 mm

64.0275 mm

13 min

16.4 min

15 min

10