Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
METODO ARITMETICO
POBLACIN SEGN CENSO 1993
POBLACIN SEGN CENSO 2007
15028
23657
PF =PA+R(T2-T1)
AO
2,007
2,016
2,017
2,018
2,019
2,020
2,021
2,022
2,023
2,024
2,025
2,026
2,027
2,028
2,029
2,030
2,031
2,032
2,033
2,034
2,035
2,036
POBLACION
23,657
29,204
29,821
30,437
31,053
31,670
32,286
32,902
33,519
34,135
34,751
35,368
35,984
36,601
37,217
37,833
38,450
39,066
39,682
40,299
40,915
41,531
CRECIMIENTO POBLACIO
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
METODO ARITMETICO
HBT
HBT
PB2 - PB1/T2-T1
CRECIMIENTO POBLACIONAL
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
15028
23657
PF =PA(1+R)^t
AO
2,007
2,016
2,017
2,018
2,019
2,020
2,021
2,022
2,023
2,024
2,025
2,026
2,027
2,028
2,029
2,030
2,031
2,032
2,033
2,034
2,035
2,036
POBLACION
23,657
31,669
32,713
33,790
34,903
36,053
37,241
38,467
39,735
41,044
42,396
43,792
45,235
46,725
48,264
49,854
51,496
53,192
54,945
56,755
58,624
60,555
70,000
1
9
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
AO
POBLACION
METODO GEOMETRICO
HBT
HBT
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
AO
POBLACION
15028
23657
*FRMULA:
PF = PA.e^(k.t)
e=
*CONSTANTE POBLACIONAL
K=
AO
2,007
2,016
2,017
2,018
2,019
2,020
2,021
2,022
2,023
2,024
2,025
2,026
2,027
2,028
2,029
2,030
2,031
2,032
2,033
2,034
2,035
2,036
K= [Log(Pf/PA)]/[t*Log]
0.03241032
POBLACION
23,657
31,669
32,713
33,790
34,903
36,053
37,241
38,467
39,735
41,044
42,396
43,792
45,235
46,725
48,264
49,854
51,496
53,192
54,945
56,755
58,624
60,555
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
AO
POBLACION
2.71828
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
AO
POBLACION
15028
23657
27121
*FRMULA:
PF= a+b(t)+c(t)^2
RESOLVIENDO:
En I y II
T
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
AO
2,016
2,017
2,018
2,019
2,020
2,021
2,022
2,023
2,024
2,025
2,026
2,027
2,028
2,029
2,030
2,031
2,032
2,033
2,034
2,035
(I)
(II)
(III)
19*(II)
- 14* (I)
POBLACION
30,037
30,786
31,543
32,308
33,082
33,863
34,652
35,450
36,255
37,069
37,890
38,720
39,557
40,403
41,257
42,119
42,988
43,866
44,752
45,646
15028 = a+b(0)+c(0)^2
23657 = a+b(14)+c(14)^2
27121 = a+b(19)+c(19)^2
a=
169302=266b+5054c
(163951=266b+724c)
b=
c=
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
AO
POBLACION
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1
43
2,036
46,548
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
AO
POBLACION
a+b(t)+c(t)^2
15028
560.035
4.023
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
AO
POBLACION
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
AO
POBLACION
AO
POBLACION
ARITMETICA
POBLACION
GEOMETRICA
POBLACION
EXPONENCIAL
POBLACION
PARABOLA
2007
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
23657.00
29204.21
29820.57
30436.93
31053.29
31669.64
32286.00
32902.36
33518.71
34135.07
34751.43
35367.79
35984.14
36600.50
37216.86
37833.21
38449.57
39065.93
39682.29
40298.64
40915.00
41531.36
23657.00
31669.42
32712.65
33790.24
34903.34
36053.09
37240.73
38467.48
39734.65
41043.56
42395.58
43792.14
45234.71
46724.79
48263.97
49853.84
51496.09
53192.43
54944.65
56754.60
58624.16
60555.31
23657.00
31669.43
32712.65
33790.25
34903.34
36053.10
37240.73
38467.49
39734.66
41043.56
42395.59
43792.15
45234.72
46724.81
48263.98
49853.86
51496.10
53192.45
54944.67
56754.62
58624.18
60555.34
30036.97
30786.09
31543.25
32308.46
33081.71
33863.01
34652.36
35449.75
36255.19
37068.67
37890.20
38719.78
39557.40
40403.07
41256.78
42118.54
42988.35
43866.20
44752.10
45646.04
46548.03
70000
O DE SANTIAGO
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
1
10
11
12
13
14
AO
POBLACION ARITMETICA
POBLACION EXPONENCIAL
POBLACION PARABOLA
15
16
17
POBLACION
ENCIAL
10
11
12
13
14
POBLACION ARITMETICA
POBLACION PARABOLA
15
16
17
18
19
20
POBLACION GEOMETRICA
21
22
ICA - PER
2017
ICA - PER
2017