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1
Table of Contents
Choice of industry ........................................................................................................................ 2
Major Players ......................................................................................................................................... 2
Choice of Players .................................................................................................................................... 3
1
Choice of industry
The automobile industry forms the backbone of Indias manufacturing sector. It makes up 7.1% of our Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) and employs 25 million people. Following an overall growth of 8.6 percent last year,
India currently has the largest 3-wheeler market, the second largest 2-wheeler market, and the tenth largest
passenger car market in the world. It has not only witnessed soaring domestic demand, but exports have
also grown by 15% in the last fiscal year.
Over the last decade, the car market in India has been flooded with all types of cars to meet the increasing
demand of the Indian customers who are getting exposed to state-of-art automobiles. Along with that, it has
been successful in attracting huge amount of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI). With the launch of the Make
in India initiative and the Automotive Mission Plan (AMP, 2016-2026), the automobile industry is expected
to break the $300 billion revenue mark and generate 65 million additional jobs over the next decade. The
passenger car market is going to be major driver for growth of automobile industry. This tremendous
potential for growth coupled with its historical significance, make the 4-wheeler automobile industry, an
ideal choice for study.
Major Players
1. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd - Maruti Suzuki holds a staggering 47% market share in the Indian car
market. Known for its affordable range of cars, Maruti sold more than 1 million units in FY 2015-16
(up by 10%). It has an installed capacity of 1.5 million units and over 1600 dealers across India. With
6 models lined up for launch in 2017, the company has planned a capital expenditure of $44 billion
for the coming year.
2. Hyundai Motors India Ltd - Hyundai is the 2nd largest domestic player with a market share of
17.5%. Presently, HMIL has 450+ dealers in India that cater to its 700,000+ units of output capacity.
Despite the fact that the company has been the largest auto-exporter for the last decade, its exports
slumped by 25% in the past year owing to loss in demand in international markets.
3. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd - With an annual turnover of more than $40 billion, M&M is the largest
Utility Vehicles (UV) manufacturer in India with a market share of 30.5%. Its product list majorly
consists of trucks, tempos, pickups and tractors. However, the company only has 2 models in the
passenger car market.
4. Tata Motors Ltd - Tata is Asias largest automobile manufacturer and the 17th largest worldwide.
Established before independence in 1945, it is often seen as the industry benchmark-setter in all
vehicle segments. Off late, its sales have been declining due to increasing competition within the
automobile sector. However, Tata still remains the most trusted brand for a majority of consumers.
2
5. Honda Cars India Ltd - Honda is the third highest market share holder in Passenger Vehicles with 9%
share and 300+ dealers across 150 cities. At 1.6%, its growth for the past fiscal was disappointing in
comparison to the industry average. The company is expected to launch 4 models in 2016-17, and
hopes to regain its lost domestic and export sales.
Choice of Players
1. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
2. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd
3. Tata Motors Ltd
Macro economic factors
Taxation Policies: The automobile sector has witnessed tumultuous tax regime in the last 2-3
years. Recent introduction of luxury tax of 1% in budget-2016 to check pollution is one such
example. However, the introduction of Goods & Service Taxes is expected to cut down the logistics
cost and improve efficiency through simplified taxation system.
Tariff: The increased focus on pollution control has led to increase in duties imposed. The general
excise duty ranges between 12.5% for small cars less than 4m in length to up to 30% for vehicle
above 1500cc and ground clearance of 170 mm.
Growth potential: The Indian automobile industry has been witnessing a rapid growth and expects
to be worlds third largest by 2016. Automobile exports have also grown at a CAGR of 14.65 per cent
during 2010-15. Robust growth in middle class income levels and easier credit availability have
sustained demand growth for passenger cars [1]
Competition: Intense competition has led to decrease in profit margins for carmakers. Due to this,
they are unable to pass on the increased raw material cost to the customers
Government Initiative: GoI plans to make this sector as key driver of Make Of India initiative. It
has allowed 100 percent FDI under the automatic route to drive growth [2]
Investments: As per data provided by DIPP, the automobile sector attracted FDI worth USD 14.32
billion during the period April-2000 to December-2015. Major players such as Ford, Nissan, General
Motors, etc. have committed investments up to USD 1 billion to enhance their presence in Indian
market
Environment Regulations: Government has mandated that BS-IV norms be implemented by April
2017. This will require major changes in the vehicle design and fuel quality and poses significant
challenges for the auto industry.
Fuel Cost: The fuel cost has an indirect impact on the sale of automobiles. Decrease in fuel cost
makes owning automobile appealing while increased fuel cost shifts customer's interest into small
and hybrid cars. [3]
3
Cost Structure
There are 4 major cost drivers involved in automobile industry:
Raw material - ~50%
Labor - ~20%
Advertising- ~7%
Research & Development ~6%
Other cost drivers are administration, logistics and depreciation. Raw material cost is primarily composed of
steel. Therefore, any fluctuation in steel price directly impacts auto industry.
Besides auto making, auto part manufacturing is another lucrative sector of the market. Major areas of auto
part manufacturing are:
Original Equipment Manufacturers: The OEMs are involved in manufacture of a number of small
parts. They are involved in producing door handles to seats.
Replacement part production and distribution: Those products which require continuous
replacement till end of life fall under this category. E.g. air filter, replacement lights etc.
Rubber fabricators: Industries involved in tyres, hoses, belts etc.
Porters Five Force Analysis
Threat of
new
entrants
Threat of
Substitutes
Threat of Substitutes:
Threat of substitutes to the Indian Automotive industry is medium to moderate
The switching cost may be high in terms of convenience, personal time and cost
4
Bargaining Power of Suppliers:
Bargaining Power of Suppliers in this industry is medium to moderate
The industry comprises of powerful customers who are generally able to dictate their terms to the
suppliers
Limited amount of suppliers in the luxury car segment, provides exclusive material of high quality
Threat of new Entrants:
Barriers to Entry in this industry are very low
Established brands with big pockets
Competition leading to falling margins
Bargaining Power of Buyers:
The Bargaining power of customers in this industry is high due to low switching cost associated with
selecting from among competing brands
Also because buyers have easy access to information
As buyers usually have high brand loyalty, they have high bargaining power
Competition/Rivalry:
Rivalry among the competitors in this industry is very high
There is lack of differentiation among the products produced by the competitors, hence the
competition
The competition is high also because of the entry of foreign companies in the automotive industry
Significant accounting policies
Revenue Recognition
Maruti Suzuki
Domestic and export sales on transfer of significant risks and rewards to the customer which takes
place on dispatch of goods from the factory and port respectively
Income from services on completion of rendering of services
Mahindra & Mahindra
Sale of products and services including export benefits thereon are recognized when the products
are shipped or services rendered
Excise duty recovered on sales is included in Revenue from Operations
Dividend from investments are recognized in the Statement of Profit and Loss when the right to
receive payment is established
5
Tata Motors
The Company recognizes revenues on the sale of products, net of discounts and sales incentives,
when the products are delivered to the dealer / customer or when delivered to the carrier for
export sales, which is when risks and rewards of ownership pass to the dealer / customer
Revenues are recognized when collectability of the resulting receivables is reasonably assured.
Dividend from investments is recognized when the right to receive the payment is established and
when no significant uncertainty as to measurability or collectability exists
Interest income is recognized on the time basis determined by the amount outstanding and the rate
applicable and where no significant uncertainty as to measurability or collectability exists
International Standards: Volkswagen
The Company records revenue in the period when the following requirements have all been met: (i)
there is persuasive evidence of an arrangement, (ii) the sales price is fixed or determinable, (iii) title,
ownership, and risk of loss have been transferred to the customer, and (iv) collectability is
reasonably assured. Revenue is reported net of sales allowances (discounts, rebates, or customer
bonuses
Sales revenue from extended warranties or maintenance agreements is recognized when deliveries
take place or services are rendered.
Deviation
No significant deviations were found in the treatment of revenue recognition among the four companies
under consideration.
1. Depreciation and amortization
Tata Motors
Depreciation is provided on the Straight Line Method (SLM) over the estimated useful lives of the
assets considering the nature, estimated usage, operating conditions, past history of replacement,
anticipated technological changes, manufacturer's warranties and maintenance support. Taking into
account these factors, the Company has decided to retain the useful life hitherto adopted for
various categories of fixed assets, which are different from those prescribed in Schedule II of the
Act. Estimated useful lives of assets are as follows:
Leasehold Land Amortized over the period of the lease
Buildings, Roads, Bridges and culverts 4 to 60 years
Plant, machinery and equipment 8 to 20 years
Computers and other IT assets 4 to 6 years
Vehicles 4 to 10 years
Furniture, fixture and office appliances 5 to 15 years
Technical knowhow 5 to 6 years
Computer software 4 years
Water system and sanitation 20 years
6
Leasehold land is amortized over the period of the lease
Product development cost are amortized over a period of up to 120 months for New generation
vehicles and powertrains on the basis of higher of the volumes between planned and actuals and on
a straight line method over a period of 36 months for vehicle variants, derivatives and other
regulatory projects
In respect of assets whose useful life has been revised, the unamortized depreciable amount has
been charged over the revised remaining useful life
Depreciation is not recorded on capital work-in-progress until construction and installation are
complete and asset is ready for its intended use
Capital assets, the ownership of which doesnt vest with the Company, other than leased assets, are
depreciated over the estimated period of their utility or five years, whichever is less
Mahindra & Mahindra
Expenditure incurred is amortized over the estimated period of benefit, not exceeding six years
commencing with the year of purchase of the technology
Development Expenditure: The expenditure incurred on technical services and other
project/product related expenses are amortized over the estimated period of benefit, not exceeding
five years
Software Expenditure: The expenditure incurred is amortized over three financial years equally
commencing from the year in which the expenditure is incurred
Others: The expenditure incurred is amortized over the estimated period of benefit, not exceeding
ten years
Maruti Suzuki
Tangible fixed assets except leasehold land are depreciated on the straight line method on a pro-
rata basis from the month in which each asset is put to use. Depreciation has been provided in
accordance with useful lives prescribed in the Companies Act, 2013 except for certain fixed assets
where, based on technical evaluation of the useful lives of the assets, higher depreciation has been
provided on the straight line method over the following useful lives:
Plant and Machinery 8 - 11 Years
Dies and Jigs 4 Years
Electronic Data Processing Equipment 3 Years
For assets with revised useful lives, the unamortized depreciable amount is charged over
the revised remaining useful lives of the assets
Leasehold land is amortized over the period of lease
All assets whether purchased or with written down value of Rs. 5,000 or less, are depreciated at the
rate of 100%
Lump sum royalty is amortized on a straight line basis over its estimated useful life i.e. 4 years from
the start of production of the related model
7
International Standards: Volkswagen
Property, plant and equipment is carried at cost less depreciation and where necessary - write-down
for impairment. Cost is determined on the basis of the direct and indirect costs that are directly
attributable. PPE is depreciated using the straight-line method over its estimated useful life. The
useful lives of items of PPE are reviewed on regular basis and adjusted if required. Depreciation is
based mainly on the following useful lives:
Buildings 20 to 50 years
Site improvements 10 to 20 years
Technical equipment and machinery 6 to 12 years
Other equipment, operating and office equipment, including special tools 3 to 15 years
Vehicles leased out under operating leases are depreciated to their estimated residual value using
the straight-line method over the term of the lease
Purchased intangible assets are recognized at cost and amortized over their useful life using the
straight-line method
Deviation
Companies are following a depreciation policy that is different from the Companys Act for some specific
assets.
Notable trends in Indian Automotive sectors
New product launches:
With the entry of foreign players, a large number of products across various segments are available
Reduced overall product lifecycle has forced players to employ quick product launches
Improving product development capabilities:
Private sector playing a key role in innovation through increased R&D investments along with
government
Alternative fuels:
It is expected that CNG distribution network in India will increase post allocation of new
geographical areas through 5th and 6th round of CGD bidding by Petroleum and Natural Gas
Regulatory Board(PNGRB). The number of CNG stations have increased from 142 in 2005 to 1010 in
FY15
New financing options:
Customized finance to customer is being provided by companies such as BMW, Audi, Toyota, Skoda,
Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz
Major MNC and Indian corporate houses are moving towards taking cars on operating lease instead
of buying them
8
Latest News:
Maruti Suzuki India Limited, leader in passenger vehicles, sold a total of 348,443 units in the quarter
April-June 2016, growing 2.1 % over the same period of last fiscal. This includes 322,340 units in the
domestic market, reflecting a growth of 5.4 % over April-June 2015.
The countrys largest car maker, Maruti Suzuki projected sales of two million cars by 2020, a 40 per
cent jump from the 1.42 million vehicles it sold in 2015-16.
Mahindra & Mahindra, the country's leading auto maker reported a strong profit growth during the
quarter ended June, beating Street estimates with a growth of 12 per cent.
Mahindra & Mahindra, will set up the nation's first auto shredding facility in Gujarat or Maharashtra
along with MSTC, a government owned company. A new company with be set up by Mahindra
Intertrade and MSTC through a 50:50 joint venture.
Tata Motors reported a 20 percent rise in global sales at 88,159 units, including that of Jaguar Land
Rover (JLR) vehicles, in July. In the passenger vehicles category, global sales up by 34 percent.
Japanese car maker Honda will recall 190,578 units of the previous generation of its Accord, CR-V,
Civic, City and Jazz models which will be the companys seventh recall in the Indian market in two
years. This is part of its precautionary global recall concerning Takata front airbag inflators.
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
The current ratio is a liquidity and efficiency ratio that measures a firm's ability to pay off its short-term
liabilities with its current assets. The current ratio is an important measure of liquidity because short-term
liabilities are due within the next year.
Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liability
Companies 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Maruti Suzuki 0.63 0.68 0.77 1.04 1.13
Mahindra & Mahindra 1.09 1.13 1.29 1.1 1.08
Tata Motors 0.6 0.42 0.36 0.48 0.62
9
Current Ratio
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
10
Quick Ratio
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
11
Debt Equity Ratio
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
12
Inventory Turnover Ratio
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
13
Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio
6
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
14
Gross Profit Margin (%)
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
15
Companies 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Maruti Suzuki 7.91% 7.42% 6.36% 5.48% 4.59%
Mahindra & 7.74% 8.52% 9.27% 8.29% 9.03%
Mahindra
Tata Motors 0.55% -13.05% 0.97% 0.67% 2.28%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00% 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
-10.00%
-15.00%
16
Companies(total in %) 2011-12 2012-13 2013- 2014- 2015-
14 15 16
Maruti 7.33 8.94 9.11 11.06 11.66
Mahindra & Mahindra 12.03 12.21 12.01 10.08 8.69
Tata Motors 2.27 0.57 0.67 -9.48 0.44
ROTA
15
10
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-116
-5
-10
-15
17
Return on Capital Employed:
Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a financial ratio that measures a company's profitability and the
efficiency with which its capital is employed.
ROCE is calculated as: Net Income / (Total liabilities + Stakeholders equity Current liabilities)
Companies(total 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
in %)
Maruti 10.37 11.95 12.39 15.00 16.38
Mahindra and
17.39 17.36 16.68 13.85 12.31
Mahindra
Tata Motor 3.84 0.97 1.08 -16.02 0.67
ROCE
20
15
10
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
-5
-10
-15
-20
18
Return on Equity
Return on owners equity (ROE) reflects how much the firm has earned on the funds invested by the
shareholders (either directly or through retained earnings).
This ratio is a profitability ratio from investors point of view and is of great interest to present or
prospective shareholders. It indicates the return an investment of Rs. 1 will get to an investor. It also
indicates that the company has been able to use the investors money effectively to generate profits and
grow the company.
Return on Equity is given as:
Return on Equity(ROE)=Net Income/Shareholders Equity
Return on Equity
Mar-16 Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12
Maruti Suzuki 16.92 15.65 13.26 12.87 10.76
Mahindra & Mahindra 14.59 17.25 22.39 22.88 24.08
Tata Motors 0.67 -16.02 1.08 0.97 3.84
Return on Equity
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
-5
-10
-15
-20
19
Analysis:
Maruti Suzuki: Maruti Suzuki has been showing a consistent increase in ROE for past 5 years. The Companys
equity or shareholder value has increased over time, but that has been more than compensated by net
profit, thus indicating that investment into Company has been profitable for shareholders. The good ROE
can be attributed to innovation, reduction in cost for technology offered in products and leveraging its large
distribution network to focus on rural market, which has also resulted in Maruti Suzuki becoming a market
leader with about 45% of the total market share.
Mahindra & Mahindra:
ROE for Mahindra & Mahindra has decreased over time due to declining profits, owning to
Decline in farm business profits due to erratic monsoon
Decline in sales of diesel vehicles due to decrease in difference of petrol and diesel and increased
regulations over time
Tata Motors:
Tata Motors saw negative ROE in FY15-16 as it incurred losses in FY15-16 due to following reasons:
High depreciation and amortization charges (to the tune of 23%)
Slowing demand for Jaguar Landrover brand in China market
Revaluation of its foreign currency dominated debt due to unfavourable market conditions
Earnings per share
Earnings per share (EPS) is the portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of
common stock. Earnings per share serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.
It is generally considered to be the most important variable in determining a share's price. It is also a
major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.
It is given as:
Earnings per share(EPS) = Net Income/Average Outstanding Shares
Earnings per share
Mar-16 Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12
Maruti Suzuki 151.33 122.85 92.13 79.19 56.6
Mahindra & Mahindra 53.51 56.23 63.67 56.85 48.97
Tata Motors 0.68 -14.72 1.03 0.93 3.9
20
Earnings per share
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
-20
-40
Profit Margin
Total Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
It is given as:
21
Return on Equity = Net Profit Margin* Asset Turnover*Financial Levarage
Each of the components is a ratio by itself, hence the formula can be written as given below:
Return on Equity = (Net Profit/Net Sales)*(Net Sales/Average Total Assets)*(Total Assets/Total Equity)
This can be used by management to identify the reasons why company is seeing current ROE. Once
identified, management can take appropriate decision to correct ROE.
Maruti Suzuki
2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Net Profit Margin(in %) 7.91 7.42 6.36 5.48 4.59
Asset Turnover(in %) 147.32 148.93 143.11 163.04 159.56
Financial Levarage(in %) 145.13 141.54 141.54 145.56 143.90
ROE(in %) 16.91 15.64 12.88 13.01 10.54
Mahindra & Mahindra
2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Net Profit Margin(in %) 7.74 8.52 9.27 8.29 9.03
Asset Turnover(in %) 112.28 118.21 129.46 147.3 133.21
Financial Levarage(in %) 167.74 171.10 186.34 187.28 196.47
ROE(in %) 14.58 17.23 22.36 22.87 23.63
Tata Motors
2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Net Profit Margin(in %) 0.55 -13.05 0.97 0.67 2.28
Asset Turnover(in %) 80.81 72.67 68.94 85.78 99.6
Financial Levarage(in %) 234.38 336.03 336.03 259.35 272.72
ROE(in %) 1.04 NA 2.25 1.49 6.19
Maruti Suzuki has performing really well with consistently increasing net profits and high asset turnover
ratio. On the other hand, Mahindra & Mahindra has seen a consistent decline in profits resulting in
reduction in ROE over period of 5 years. Tata has been seeing very low or negative profit margins which has
resulted in negligible ROE despite having high financial leverage.
22
Reference:
1. [http://www.thomaswhite.com/global-perspectives/automobiles-sector-in-india-fast-growth/]
2. [http://www.ibef.org/industry/india-automobiles.aspx]
3. [http://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0511/4-ways-rising-fuel-costs-influence-the-auto-
industry.aspx]
4. [https://www.sanasecurities.com/maruti-suzuki-equity-research/]
5. [https://www.emis.com/sites/default/files/EMIS%20Insight%20-
%20India%20Automotive%20Sector%20Report.pdf]
6.
Annual reports:
[http://www.bseindia.com/stock-share-
price/stockreach_annualreports.aspx?scripcode=532500&expandable=0]
[http://www.bseindia.com/stock-share-
price/stockreach_annualreports.aspx?scripcode=500520&expandable=0]
[http://www.bseindia.com/stock-share-
price/stockreach_annualreports.aspx?scripcode=500570&expandable=0]
News:
[http://www.marutisuzuki.com/press-release-1-july-2016.aspx]
[http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/maruti-chalks-out-road-map-for-growth-engine-
116081200034_1.html]
[http://www.business-standard.com/search?type=news&q=Mahindra]
http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/mahindra-s-net-profit-grows-12-in-june-quarter-
116081000929_1.html
[http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/tata-motors-global-sales-jumps-20-to-88159-
unitsjuly_7227221.html?utm_source=ref_article]
[http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/honda-announces-2nd-largest-recall-in-india-
116071400719_1.html