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Profit (x) Sales (y)

1 24 102
2 29 114
3 33 125
4 38 145
5 43 153
6 47 168
7 54 177
8 63 212
9 65 225
9 396 1421

Mean
(x) 44
(y) 157.89

Slope (b) 2.8801652893


Intercept (a) 31.1616161616
Forecast X=95
304.777318641
XY x^2
2448 576
3306 841
4125 1089
5510 1444
6579 1849
7896 2209
9558 2916
13356 3969
14625 4225
67403 19118
Period (t) Observation (y) i
1 24
2 34 24
3 36 34
4 37 36
5 41 37
6 44 41
7 45 44
8
216
ii iii iv

31.3333333333 33.3333333333
35.6666666667 36.1666666667 32.75
38 38.8333333333 37
40.6666666667 41.8333333333 39.5

145.6666666667 150.1666666667 109.25


v ty

34.8
38.1
40.9

113.8
Year Enrollment 3-year Weighted moving Average
2006 3000
2007 3200
2008 3600
2009 3650 3366.6666666667
2010 4000 3558.3333333333
2011 4200 3816.6666666667
2012 4300 4041.6666666667
2013 4410 4216.6666666667
2014 4520 4338.3333333333
4446.6666666667
9 34880

MAD 2670.5555555556
MSE 64186802.7777778
MAPE 0.1769278234
4-year weighted moving average Forecast Forecast error

3000 200
3020 580
3078 572
3480 3135.2 864.8
3735 3221.68 978.32
3970 3319.512 980.488
4145 3417.5608 992.4392
4294 3516.80472 1003.19528
4411
24035 24035 6171.24248
Absolute error % error Absolute accuracy arithmetic accuracy

200 0.0625 0.9375 1.0666666667


580 0.1611111111 0.8388888889 1.1920529801
572 0.1567123288 0.8432876712 1.1858349578
864.8 0.2162 0.7838 1.2758356724
978.32 0.2329333333 0.7670666667 1.3036676517
980.488 0.2280204651 0.7719795349 1.2953711268
992.4392 0.2250429025 0.7749570975 1.2903940144
1003.19528 0.2219458584 0.7780541416 1.2852576017

6171.24248 12342.48496 6.4955340008 9.8950806715


Season Average Time (t) ty
2008-2009 25 1 25
2009-2010 35 2 70
2010-2011 29 3 87
2011-2012 34 4 136
2012-2013 35 5 175
2013-2014 33 6 198
6 191 21 691

Mean
t 3.5
y 31.8333333333

slope (b) 1.2857142857


a= 27.3333333333

Forecast 2014-2015
36.3333333333
t^2 Forecast Forecast error Absolute error
1
4 25 45 45
9 29.5 57.5 57.5
16 35.25 100.75 100.75
25 45.325 129.675 129.675
36 58.2925 139.7075 139.7075
91 72.26325 618.73675 618.73675
134.136925 -134.136925 134.136925
120.7232325 -120.7232325 120.7232325

0 836.5090925 1346.2294075
% error Absolute accuracy arithmetic accuracy

0.6428571429 0.3571428571 2.8


0.6609195402 0.3390804598 2.9491525424
0.7408088235 0.2591911765 3.8581560284
0.741 0.259 3.861003861
0.7055934343 0.2944065657 3.3966633787
0.8954222142 0.1045777858 9.5622602083
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0

2182.7385 #DIV/0! 26.4272360187


Week Sales (1,000) 4 week Moving Average

1 23
2 36
3 45
4 46
5 55 37.5
6 64 45.5
7 55 52.5
8 58 55
9 66 58
10 65 60.75
11 48 61
12 67 59.25
13 58 61.5
14 68 59.5
60.25
4 week Weighted
Moving Average

41.4
48.4
55.8
56.8
58
61.2
62.9
57.7
60.8
59.4
62.8
Month Complaints Time (t)
January 60 1
February 48 2
March 55 3
April 50 4
May 55 5
June 6
5 268 15

mean
t 3
y 53.6

slope (b) -0.8


intercept (a) 56

June 51.2
Forecast July 50.4
August 49.6
ty t^2 3-month weighted moving average
60 1
96 4
165 9
200 16 51
275 25 53.8333333333
25.8333333333
796 55 130.6666666667
i
Week Sales Gallons Fore
1 13000
2 18000
3 19000
4 16000
5 17000
6 15000
7 14000
8 19000
9 20000
10 16500
11 17500
12 20000
12

MAD
3
4
Month Demand Forecast
January 60 50
February 70 54
March 55 60.4
April 60 58.24
May 45 58.944
June 60 53.3664
July 65 56.01984
415 390.97024

MAD
MAPE 0.1511271325
MSE
Forecast error absolute forecast error % error
10 10 0.1666666667
16 16 0.2285714286
-5.4 5.4 0.0981818182
1.76 1.76 0.0293333333
-13.944 13.944 0.3098666667
6.6336 6.6336 0.11056
8.98016 8.98016 0.1381563077
24.02976 62.71776 1.0813362211
Absolute accuracy arithmetic
0.8333333333 1.2
0.7714285714 1.2962962963
0.9018181818 0.9105960265
0.9706666667 1.0302197802
0.6901333333 0.7634364821
0.88944 1.1243029322
0.8618436923 1.1603032069
5.9186637789 7.4851547241
Year Number of Flat TV sold Time (t)
1 40 1
2 25 2
3 35 3
4 39 4
5 43 5
5 182 15

Mean
t 3
y 36.4

Slope (b) 2
intercept 30.4

Equation 30.4+2t

Forecast
Treand Equation for
sale in 5 years 40.4
sales in 6 years 42.4
ty t^2
40 1
50 4
105 9
156 16
215 25
566 55
Branches Sales (y) Profits (x)
1 12 7
2 15 9
3 16 10
4 18 12
5 14 10
6 17 13
6 92 61

Mean
x 10.1666666667
y 15.3333333333

Slope (b) 0.9051094891 905.1094890511


Intercept (a) 6.1313868613 6131.3868613139

Forecast

18868.61
20.8467589575
20846.7589574748
]
xy x^2
84 49
135 81
160 100
216 144
140 100
221 169
956 643