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Di erence Between Hypothesis and Prediction


December9,2016BySurbhiS LeaveaComment

Thehypothesisisthefundamentalinstrumentinconductingresearch.It
proposesnewexperimentsandobservationsandindeedmostoftheexperiments
areundertaken,withthesoleaimoftestingthehypothesis.Itisapropounded
explanationforthehappeningofaparticularphenomenon.
Duetoinsufficientknowledge,manymisconstruehypothesisforprediction,which
iswrong,asthesetwoareentirelydifferent.Predictionisforecastingoffuture
events,whichissometimesbasedonevidenceorsometimes,onapersonsinstinct
orgutfeeling.Sotakeaglanceatthearticlepresentedbelow,whichelaboratesthe
differencebetweenhypothesisandprediction.

Content: Hypothesis Vs Prediction


1.ComparisonChart
2.Definition
3.KeyDifferences
4.Conclusion

Comparison Chart

BASISFOR
HYPOTHESIS PREDICTION
COMPARISON

Meaning Hypothesisimpliesproposed Predictionreferstoa


explanationforanobservableevent, statement,whichtells
madeonthebasisofestablished orestimates
facts,asanintroductiontofurther something,thatwill
investigation. occurinfuture.

Whatisit? Atentativesupposition,thatis Adeclarationmade


capableofbeingtestedthrough beforehandonwhatis
scientificmethods. expectedtohappen
next,inthesequence
ofevents.
BASISFOR
HYPOTHESIS PREDICTION
COMPARISON

Guess Educatedguess Pureguess

Basedon Factsandevidence. Mayormaynotbe


basedonfactsor
evidences.

Explanation Yes No

Formulation Takeslongtime. Takescomparatively


shorttime.

Describes Aphenomenon,whichmightbea Future


futureorpastevent/occurrence. occurrence/event.

Relationship Statescasualcorrelationbetween Doesnotstates


variables. correlationbetween
variables.

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De nition of Hypothesis
Insimpleterms,hypothesismeansasheerassumptionwhichcanbeapprovedor
disapproved.Forthepurposeofresearch,thehypothesisisdefinedasapredictive
statement,whichcanbetestedandverifiedusingthescientificmethod.Bytesting
thehypothesis,theresearchercanmakeprobabilitystatementsonthepopulation
parameter.Theobjectiveofthehypothesisistofindthesolutiontoagiven
problem.

Ahypothesisisamerepropositionwhichisputtothetesttoascertainitsvalidity.
Itstatestherelationshipbetweenanindependentvariabletosomedependent
variable.Thecharacteristicsofthehypothesisaredescribedasunder:

Itshouldbeclearandprecise.
Itshouldbestatedsimply.
Itmustbespecific.
Itshouldcorrelatevariables.
Itshouldbeconsistentwithmostknownfacts.
Itshouldbecapableofbeingtested.
Itmustexplain,whatitclaimstoexplain.

De nition of Prediction
Apredictionisdescribedasastatementwhichforecastsafutureevent,whichmay
ormaynotbebasedonknowledgeandexperience,i.e.itcanbeapureguessbased
ontheinstinctofaperson.Itistermedasaninformedguess,whentheprediction
comesoutfromapersonhavingamplesubjectknowledgeandusesaccuratedata
andlogicalreasoning,tomakeit.Regressionanalysisisoneofthestatistical
technique,whichisusedformakingtheprediction.

Inmanymultinationalcorporations,futurists(predictors)arepaidagoodamount
formakingpredictionrelatingtothepossibleevents,opportunities,threatsor
risks.Andtodoso,thefuturists,studyallpastandcurrentevents,toforecast
futureoccurrences.Further,ithasagreatroletoplayinstatisticsalso,todraw
inferencesaboutapopulationparameter.

Key Di erences Between Hypothesis and Prediction


Thedifferencebetweenhypothesisandpredictioncanbedrawnclearlyon
thefollowinggrounds:

1.Apropoundedexplanationforanobservableoccurrence,established
onthebasisofestablishedfacts,asanintroductiontothefurther
study,isknownasthehypothesis.Astatement,whichtellsor
estimatessomethingthatwilloccurinfutureisknownasthe
prediction.

2.Thehypothesisisnothingbutatentativesuppositionwhichcanbe
testedbyscientificmethods.Onthecontrary,thepredictionisasortof
declarationmadeinadvanceonwhatisexpectedtohappennext,in
thesequenceofevents. KeyDifferences
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3.Whilethehypothesisisanintelligentguess,thepredictionisawild
guess.
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4.Ahypothesisisalwayssupportedbyfactsandevidence.Asagainst
this,predictionsarebasedonknowledgeandexperienceoftheperson
Bethefirstofyourfriendstolikethis
makingit,butthattoonotalways.

5.Hypothesisalwayshaveanexplanationorreason,whereasprediction
doesnothaveanyexplanation.

6.Hypothesisformulationtakesalongtime.Conversely,making
predictionsaboutafuturehappeningdoesnottakemuchtime.

7.Hypothesisdefinesaphenomenon,whichmaybeafutureorapast
event.Unlike,prediction,whichalwaysanticipatesabouthappeningor
nonhappeningofacertaineventinfuture.

8.Thehypothesisstatestherelationshipbetweenindependentvariable
andthedependentvariable.Ontheotherhand,predictiondoesnot
stateanyrelationshipbetweenvariables.

Conclusion
Tosumup,thepredictionismerelyaconjecturetodiscernfuture,whilea
hypothesisisapropositionputforwardfortheexplanation.Theformer,canbe
madebyanyperson,nomatterhe/shehasknowledgeintheparticularfield.Onthe
flipside,thehypothesisismadebytheresearchertodiscovertheanswertoa
certainquestion.Further,thehypothesishastopasstovarioustest,tobecomea
theory.

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