CRL LONGA EP 1 LEONARDO J OBJECTIVE Ensure that participants attain Level THEORETICAL ENOUGH, SO YOU CAN PROPOSE ALT ERNATIVE DEVELOPMENT AND SECURITY IN THE CONTEXT OF THE TENSION BETWEEN STATE, M ARKETS, GLOBALIZATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE NATION. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 2 CONTENTS Generations of War. Conventional Role of the Armed Forces. Emerging Military Ope rations (OMES). Threats. Peace Operations. Low-Intensity Conflict and "Asymmetri c Warfare." Information Warfare. Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD). Intern ational Terrorism. LEONARDO J CRL LONGA EP 3 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 4 ORIGIN OF THE G4G 1.989 WILLIAM LIND: THE CHANGING FACE OF WAR G1G FIREARMS HOME G2G MECHANICS PROCESSING CAPACITY OF WORLD WAR ARMIES MOVING LARGE G3G Or BLITZKRIEG LIGHTNING WAR ARMY OF NAZI. Invasion of Iraq invasion of Lebanon. SPEED AND SURPRISE IN THE ATTACK technological superiority. CUSP 1.860 Napoleonic Wars FIRE IN MASS MOVEMENT FUNDAMENTAL ELEMENT 1.991 Martin van Creveld: THE TRANSFORMATION OF WAR EP CRL LEONARDO J LONGA 5 WARS OF THE FOURTH GENERATION Heading into the American military doctrine that includes: War guerrillas. A symmetric War. low intensity war. Dirty War, State Terrorism. People's War . Terrorism and Counterterrorism. Also: Propaganda strategies in combination with CN. includes politics, population, cybernetics. Examples: Afghanistan, Somalia, Chechnya, Al Qaeda, Hezbollah. EP CRL LEONARDO J LONGA 6 CHRONOLOGY WWII BERLIN WALL LONDON MADRID NEW YORK Cold war Emerging Military Operations 1939-1945 September / November 1989 11 / September 2001 11 / March 2004 07 / July 2005 FOURTH GENERATION OF THE WARS COLD WAR bipolar system of alliances rigid climate of permanent tension betw een the two poles CHANGES IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT resurgence of old and ancient ethnic and religious conflicts. Only U.S. hegemonic power. Meta state actors, international organiza tions, NGOs, Multinationals. Globalization. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 7 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 8 Where we work? Main concern Typical Operations Before Time Deployment Capabilities higher deman d Terrorism WTO neighbors GC (Subversion) CNG patrol bases occupation CT. Predicta ble (Zona Central Sierra and Selva) Logistical support Today Social Inestab, TID, TIA, exploded. RRNN Prevention, population control, interdi ction, ICIA, electronic surveillance Unpredictable, often in the large populatio n centers Eqs. Combat, Fzas. occupation, Special Opns, Technology. 9 Predictable (Coast Corridor) Armored, Artillery, Missiles, etc. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J Complex change War Other Population Control War EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 10 Past Comparison of roles Enemy predictable with large numbers of troops. strict legal framework for s overeignty and integrity. Membership of a considerable force for Conventional War (GC), but ineffective in other missions Present and Future Conflict transnational media effects. New enemies and threats to national se curity. more complex global environment - increasing unpredictable. Assignments - TID Great númeroLEONARDO J Opns LONGA Peace EP 11 CRL territorial control, etc. CHALLENGE: CHANGE THE ORGANIZATION? Standardize design. lighter and smaller units with greater autonomy. deplo yments faster and more efficient, effective and economic (effect). Ease of integration and interaction with other forces Sustainability. Mult ifunction, flexibility, additional capacity. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 12 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 13 EMERGING MILITARY OPERATIONS Military opns are emerging in the late 20th century (G4G) as a response to compl ex conflicts, where objects are not necessarily tangible and opponents are regul ar forces of the warring parties. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 14 EMERGING TYPES OF OPERATIONS Peace Opns. Opns in Low Intensity War. Opns Control of Weapons of Mass Des truction (WMD). Ecological Security Opns. Opns against international terrori sm. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 15 PHASES OF A MILITARY CAMPAIGN PHASE MODEL JOIN PHASE 0 Deters PHASE I TAKE INITIATIVE PHASE II MASTER PHASE III STABILIZE PHASE IV ENABLE CIVIL AUTHORITY PHASE V PREVENT PREPARE FOR THREATS DEFINING THE THREAT TO ENSURE THE REQUIRED PCR INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR SECURING FREEDOM OF ACTION TO ENSURE THE RESOURCE MOBI LIZATION IMPLEMENT THE USE OF FORCE CAPABILITIES CONSOLIDATION OF POLITICAL AND MILITARY OBJECTIVES TRANSFER TO THE CIVIL AUTHORITY DEMOBILIZATION EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 16 STRATEGIC PLAN VS LEVEL OF MILITARY EFFORT PO LI C IT AS IS AS IS N R IO C IO DC IZA AC NO AC ES TA BIL LEVEL OF MILITARY EFFORT STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT EDUCATION AND TRAINING psychological action ENTO SCENARIO TRAINING AGREEMENT TO GLOBAL ACTION Deterrents MILITARY ACTION STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT EDUCATION AND TRAINING ENTO TRAINING, TRAINING AND IMPROVEMENT PLANNING TRAINING PHASE 0 PHASE I Deters TAKE INITIATIVE PHASE II PHASE III MASTER CIVIL AUTHORITY STABILIZE TRAINING PHASE IV PHASE V PHASE 0 ON PLAN EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J OFF PLAN 17 CHARACTERISTICS OF THE OMES Opponents of considerable technological gap (Strategic Imbalance). Weak Oppo nent Eno exploits weaknesses priority (Public Opinion and complex legal framewor k). Weak Opponent is hard to beat for its slow development, invisibility and e radication difficult. Success depends primarily on the Intelligence and Psycho logical Opns. Need for Cooperative-Collective Security. The victory is obtai ned in the moral sphere of society. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 18 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 19 THREATS CONFLICT THREATENS Perception of risk that identifies each country in their international relatio ns and in their own society, endangering their physical integrity (individual an d society), their resources, assets and / or their national identity (heritage, culture). It covers various fields of human activity are not permanent vary with time ARMED POLITICAL FIGHT WAR EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J DYNAMIC INTEGRAL EN EN ECONOMIC WARFARE 20 Associated TRADITIONAL THREATS: The definition of borders. Sovereignty. Self-determination. Recoloniza tion. Hegemonic. CONTINENTAL GLOBAL O ES Axis - Communism - Imperialism EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 21 CONTEMPORARY THREATS Internal totalitarian ideologies. Drug Trafficking. Poverty, social inequal ities. Organized crime. Ecological destruction. Natural Phenomena. Corruption. External geopolitical ambitions of neighboring countries. economic interests and powe r. Drug Trafficking. Nuclear tests. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 22 SCENARIOS OF CONTEMPORARY THREATS ECONOMIC Economic Globalization. Economic Integration. FTA Regional Market s. Single Currency, consumerism. Prevalence Financial Capital Globalizatio n Political democracy and human rights. Cutting fundamentalist political ideol ogies. MILITARY CULTURE Globalization Culture through U.S. Hegemony of the media. ADM / WMD. Integration technology. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 23 EMERGING THREATS intrastate conflicts (over previous inter-state conflicts.) Migrations (whic h may promote ethnic and religious conflicts). International terrorism (with a capacity of unprecedented economic and logistic). Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (mainly chemical and bacteriological). environmental degrada tion (such as the relation of this process with the level of social and economic development of states.) information warfare, economic warfare, political warf are. Epidemic diseases (including HIV). Drug Trafficking, Corruption, etc. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 24 Adult population infected with HIV in Africa 1986-2005 20-39% 1986 10-20% 5-10% 1-5% 0-1% No data available Outside the region 1996 1991 2005 • In 2005, an estimated 27 million people living with HIV in Africa. Source: UNAIDS 2006 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 25 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 26 PEACE FORCES OF THE UN peacekeepers. They are military bodies charged with creating and maintaining peace in the conflict area, monitor and observe the peaceful processes and assi st ex-combatants in the implementation of treaties for peaceful purposes. They work with the UN Security mandate. Council Direct EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 27 PEACE OPERATIONS OF THE UN UN RESPONSE TO THE CURRENT COMPLEX ENVIRONMENT • PREVENTIVE DIPLOMACY • ESTABLISHMENT OF PEACE PEACE OPERATIONS • peacekeeping • TAXATION OF PEACE BUILDING PEACE • * PREVENTION EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 28 OPERATIONS OF PEACE KEEPING PEACE OPNS A set of instruments or mechanisms that contribute to support surveillance and resolve conflicts between hostile countries or communities within a hostile cou ntry. Effective means to preserve peace and world security. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 29 ESTABLISHMENT OF A MANTLE OF PEACE OPERATION ESSENTIAL CONDITIONS Consent of the parties in conflict. Operation backed by Security Council res olution of the UN. Voluntary participation by member states of the United Nati ons to integrate the mission. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 30 PRINCIPLES OF THE MANTLE OF PEACE OF OPNS clear and achievable mandate. Consent and cooperation. Unit. Con tinuous support of UNSC. Minimum use of force. Impartiality and objectivity. Leg itimacy. Sustained contribution of member states. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 31 FEATURES OF THE MANTLE OF PEACE OF OPNS Information Program. Coordination in all fields. Freedom of mo vement. Self-sufficiency. Minimum use of force. Rules of engagement. Light weapo ns. Info situation. Using distinctive UN. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 32 SEQUENCE OF OPERATION OF PEACE Permanent diplomatic efforts Start Plmto Security Council Mission Term of the Security Council MILITARY SUPPORT CIVIL SUPPORT PHASES: Waiting Deployment Maintenance Term Signing of Peace Agreement Success • Absence of conflict. • Law and Order. • Power Transmission peaceful. • Survival of the political system with free elections. 33 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J OPNS surge PEACE EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 34 THE 10 COUNTRIES TOP IN PERSONAL CONTRIBUTION EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 35 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 36 CLASSIFICATION OF CONFLICT According to their intensity (University of Leiden, Netherlands). High-intensity fighting between organized groups or countries that leads to ma ss killings - more than 1,000 deaths a year - and the displacement of a substant ial part of the population. Low-intensity war between factions, anti-governmen t insurgency and / or state repression, with an annual number of deaths from 100 to 1,000. violent political conflict: situations in which the government and / or groups using violence for political purposes without register the magnitude that characterizes the low-intensity conflicts, giving a balance of less than a hundred deaths a year. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 37 Low Intensity Warfare (*) Political-military confrontation between states or groups below conventional war and above the peaceful competition. The GBI often involves protracted struggles and ideologies and principles developed through a combination of political, eco nomic, and military information. * Field Manual 100-20 of the United States Army, Military Operations in Low Inte nsity Conflict EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 38 Asymmetric Warfare Large-scale armed conflict, where the relationship between the parties involves a considerable difference of opposing military powers. NO PART IS WEAK WIN LOSE. LOSES HARD PART IS NOT WIN. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 39 FEATURES Asymmetric Warfare It takes long time to have an impact on the national or international public o pinion against the most powerful army. There is a greater number of casualties in the army weaker, requiring high morale of their fighters. The determinatio n and unity of the people with the armed forces is the essence of asymmetric con flict. The unity of political criteria, diplomats and military is essential to bear the cost of own time low and an asymmetric conflict. No limitations in t ime and space (No Front, Rear, Action Zone). EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 40 Asymmetric warfare ARRANGEMENTS Guerrilla War (the primary mode). Terrorism (item illegitima te control). Sabotage (all types). Attacks (ambushes, hand strikes, assault). El imination of important personalities or characters. Extortion, intimidation and kidnapping. Chemical and bacteriological warfare. Cyberwarfare. Civil resistance . Etc. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 41 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 42 Perception Decision-making is based on the perception (which is formed based on experience, education, culture, religion, family, country, etc). ... and we all know that " What you see is what you believe." and "is reality." EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 43 Sun Tzu "The first warrior Psychological" "All war is based on deception." The first objective is the mind of the enem y commander. Sun Tzu This is not new, the technology has increased! EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 44 DEFINITION Actions taken to alter the information and information systems of the adversary, while protecting information and information systems themselves. " EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 45 CHARACTERISTICS OF THE GI It covers the entire spectrum of conflict. (Cooperation, crisis and post-belli gerence and war.) It is applicable over time. (Even when distended). It cove rs areas covering the whole society. (Military, technological, economic, politic al, social, religious, ideological, etc.).. It covers all levels of the organi zation. (From the individual to global structures, organizations, statements, et c.).. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 46 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 47 BACKGROUND War I, German gas attack against French troops (Battlefield of Ypres in 1915). Guernica, Spain 1937. Hiroshima and Nagasaki 1945 Cold War. Iraqi Disarma ment 2003 2002 and Invasion UN Resolution 687 ("threat to peace and security "). EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 48 DEFINITION Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD English, weapons of mass destruction). They are weapons designed to kill many people indiscriminately. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 49 Nuclear Testing United States: 1,050 tests (1,125 devices, 331 atmospheric tests) Soviet Union: between 715 and France 969 tests: 210 tests United Kingdom: 45 tests China: 45 t ests India: between 5 and 6 tests Pakistan: between 3 and 6 tests North Korea: 1 test 50 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J POSSESSION OF A.D.M. Nuclear Weapons: U.S., Russia, Israel, Pakistan, India, China -nuclear countries: USA, UK, Russia, France, Israel, China, India and Pakistan. Chemical weapons: United States, Russia, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, North Kore a, India. biological weapons: Iraq. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 51 POSSESSION OF A PROBABLE D. M. Chemical weapons: Israel, China, Iran, terrorist groups. bacteriological wea pons: Russia, Israel, China, Iran, terrorist groups. Nuclear weapons, North Ko rea, terrorist groups. In the twenty century in developing countries may have chemical weapons, ten countries have biological weapons and more than fifteen ma y have ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear weapons. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 52 OTHER WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION Anti-personnel mines. Cluster bombs. depleted uranium ammunition. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 53 TREATIES Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Biological Weapons Convention. Chemical Weapons Convention. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 54 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 55 DEFINITION "It's the actual use or threat to use violence for political ends is directed no t only against individual victims but against larger groups and that its scope o ften transcends national boundaries." EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 56 DEFINITION criminal action is an essential feature the use of violent means against indiv iduals, institutions or communities and which are intended to frighten away, phy sically damage or kill political opponents, social, religious or enemy nation, s o as to achieve objectives. further. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 57 FEATURES INTERNATIONALIZATION Its unpredictability. It is indirect. disproportion b etween the objective or desired ends and the means used. It is indiscriminate. Increased involvement of military, ex - military, and transnational members o f the intelligence services. Technology has increased the threat. Opera outs ide the codes of social conduct. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 58 INTERNATIONAL ISLAMIC TERRORISM Al-Qaeda terrorist organization that supports activities of Islamic extremists around the world. Its founder, leader and largest contributor is Osama Bin Lade n, a Saudi-born billionaire. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 59 TERRORISM IN SOUTH AMERICA FARC-EP (Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia-People's Army) The guerrilla g roup is an integrated professional army almost approximately 12.000 to 20.000 fi ghters EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 60 TERRORISM IN SPAIN ETA Euskadi Ta Askatasuna (in Spanish, Basque Homeland and Freedom) and Basque nationalist self-declared independence, Marxist-Leninist ideology, which relies on the armed struggle as a method to obtain its fundamental objectives in which a priority is the independence of Basque nationalism that called Euskal Herria. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 61 EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 62 The 4th Generation of War is a complex scenario for the Use of Military Force (new role of the Armed Forces). The strategic objective in the G4G is the Comp any. The OMES are in response to emerging threats. The OMES are based on the strategic imbalance. Threats to the State are for total. The Information is an instrument of power. The proliferation of WMD and their association with i nternational terrorism is a global threat (cooperative-collective security). T he United Nations is a supranational body that mitigates the disruption of the i nternational system. The transnational nature of threats presents a complex sc enario for National Defense and demand the gradual transformation and integratio n capabilities for the Defence. EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 63 THE COUNTRY IN GOOD HANDS BY HIS GRACE AS IO N NC ATE EP CRL LONGA LEONARDO J 64