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debate as Fed splits over rates Japanese plans have emerged for a new anti-ship
missile that would complicate enemy planning
after months of Tokyo-Beijing rancour over East
China Sea islands. WWW.FT.COM/WORLD
INTERNATIONAL
Australia
Moscow heightens tension by flexing military muscle on Ukraines border ahead of G20 talks
agrees to shut
refugee camp
SAM JONES LONDON
ROMAN OLEARCHYK KIEV
after criticism
In Ukraines restive east, artillery explo-
sions ring out all night: international
monitors there record dozens of shell
of conditions
bursts every evening. The ceasefire
between Kiev and the Russia-backed JACKIE RANGE SYDNEY
separatists is fraying badly.
Australia is to close one of two offshore
The flare-up in fighting began sporad-
detention centres for asylum seekers, a
ically in July. But now, Ukraine and its
move that challenges its tough policy
western allies are observing a more wor-
on the treatment of refugees.
rying development: a massive build-up
of conventional Russian forces in Cri- The decision to shut the processing cen-
mea and along the countries shared tre on Manus Island in Papua New
border. Guinea came after a meeting yesterday
Russia has positioned military units between Peter ONeill, PNG prime min-
totalling thousands of troops to the ister, and Peter Dutton, Australias min-
north in Bryansk, to the east near Ros- ister for immigration and border pro-
tov, to the south in Crimea and to the tection.
west in the separatist Moldovan region After the talks in Port Moresby, the
of Transnistria. There are signs they are capital of Papua New Guinea, Mr Dutton
preparing to fight. Last week, Crimean said: It has been the longstanding posi-
residents began posting online about a tion of this government to work with
large deployment of artillery and tanks PNG to close Manus and support those
in the north of the peninsula within people as they transition into PNG or
firing range of Ukraine. The internet return to their country of origin.
there was temporarily shut down. It is unclear what will happen to the
According to Ukrainian intelligence 854 men held at Manus. Mr Dutton told
agencies, an entire Russian air defence ABC, Australias state broadcaster, there
regiment has been embedded with the was no timeline for closure but both
separatists in Donbass. The Buk missile countries would work towards it as
launchers, which shot down Malaysia quickly as possible. Were talking to
Airlines flight MH17, are again being third countries . . . to look at settle-
deployed. A photo from Ilovaisk train ment options, he said, adding that
station, near Donetsk, shared online on extra resources would be given to PNG
Tuesday and verified by defence ana- Defence analysts have verified an image shared online on Tuesday purporting to show Russian tanks in eastern Ukraine to support the transition. But he reiter-
lysts interviewed for this article, claims ated that no one from the centre will
to show a train in the sidings, laden with ever be settled in Australia.
Russian tanks. works to Russias advantage, she says. Russias military build-up is a likely Australia has faced criticism for its
Preparations for conventional con- An actual invasion might not. precursor to the Group of 20 summit on Yatseniuks plea This is just fake another Russian treatment of asylum seekers. The UN
flict between Russia and Ukraine are That analysis is shared by many in September 4, says the general. Mr Putin Former PM revives call for fake, Mr Yatseniuk said. and human rights groups have insisted
accelerating, and the likelihood of open Ukraine and among the western will inevitably meet German chancellor Mr Tusk, who also spoke with that holding refugees in basic camps on
war is increasing rapidly, the Institute defence and intelligence community. Angela Merkel and French president defensive weapons Mr Poroshenko by phone yesterday, tiny South Pacific islands is inhumane.
for the Study of War, a US think-tank, I do not expect a full-scale military Franois Hollande to discuss Ukraine. said Moscows version of events was But Canberra believes that keeping
wrote in a report last week. On Monday, invasion at the moment as the losses on Russia is dialling the tension in the Ukraine has urged western leaders to not credible. asylum seekers offshore, and stopping
that appeared to come a step closer. Ser- Putins side would be big and a victory region up and down as it has done in hold the line against Russian EU leaders must decide this year boats from reaching its shores, is the
gei Lavrov, Russian foreign minister, would be far from certain, says Ihor the past to suit its agenda ahead of aggression in the country, saying there whether to extend sanctions against only way to end the business of smug-
vowed exhaustive measures would be Romanenko, Ukraines lieutenant gen- another round of diplomatic talks, says is no case for a weakening of sanctions Russia. Angela Merkel, German gling people to Australia.
taken against Kiev in reprisal for what eral in reserve and the former deputy a senior European intelligence official. against the Putin administration. chancellor, rallied British support in The policy has also played well in
Russia called an attempted terror attack head of the general staff. He is [trying] The sabre-rattling is about reinterpret- On a visit to Brussels, Arseny June to extend the measures for six terms of domestic politics. A number of
by Ukraines defence ministry. to force international leaders into con- ing the Minsk agreements in Russias Yatseniuk, the former prime minister, months, but Hungary, Italy and Greece populist and protectionist politicians
These are very, very clear signals cessions, starting with easing of sanc- favour, the official says. revived demands for Nato allies to have suggested that the penalties are were elected in Australias recent elec-
from Russia that say they are willing to tions and forcing Ukraine to adopt the While such a purpose might rule out provide defensive weapons to Kiev, counter-productive. tion, including four from the anti-immi-
escalate and to push boundaries, says Minsk agreements according to his an overt land-grab, it does not preclude saying Russia alone was to blame for Referring to pressure to ease grant One Nation party, which is led by
Kathleen Weinberger, a Russia and interpretation. serious military conflict in fact, many increased violence in Ukraine. sanctions, Mr Yatseniuk said: This Pauline Hanson. She has called for a halt
Ukraine expert at the ISW. Were see- Russias desire is for elections in Don- intelligence analysts believe it probably Although Mr Yatseniuk was replaced would be the betrayal of the bedrock to Muslim immigration and a ban on the
ing reports of big military convoys being bass to occur before any ceasefire, a depends on violence. as premier in April by an associate of of the EU and . . . the free world. construction of mosques.
sent into the separatist areas, Russian move that would probably cement the I think were about to see a controlled Petro Poroshenko, president, his party He accepted that the renewal of Mark Rolfe, lecturer at the school of
troops being sent to the border and a lot semi-autonomy of the region and fatally escalation all along the line of contact remains part of the ruling coalition. He sanctions on Russia would be social sciences at the University of New
more naval equipment in the Black Sea weaken Kievs ability to stand up to higher shelling and much more violence told the Financial Times he was difficult for Europe. But he saw no South Wales, said: There is generally
including some of their most Moscow politically. That plan has been and fighting, says Alex Kokcharov, representing Ukraine in Brussels, prospect of Mr Putin executing the popular support for not letting them
advanced subs, which have quite power- stalled for months. [Putin] is not country risk analyst at IHS Markit. where he met Donald Tusk, European Minsk II peace deal of 2015, which was [asylum seekers] in. And polls show this
ful ground-attack cruise missiles. happy with the situation, says Lt Gen Politically, if the separatists take more Council president, and Nato chiefs. supposed to ease the conflict. over time.
But, notes Ms Weinberger: A lot of Romanenko. He sees that as time drags territory, that would play out badly for His appeal came days after Vladimir Sanctions cannot be lifted until Refugee advocates applauded yester-
this is still unknown. Russia are showing on, the worse it plays out for his long- Russia in negotiations, but provoking Putin, Russian president, claimed his Russia fully implements Minsk and days move. The decision to close the
us a very overt and threatening 20 per term Ukraine and Russia plans . . . So Ukraine into hostilities without neces- country had foiled a plot by Ukrainian gets out of Crimea, Mr Yatseniuk said. Manus detention centre is welcome but
cent but leaving 80 per cent of what now he is trying to reshuffle the situa- sarily doing that might work to their special forces to enter the annexed There are different voices that long overdue, said Elaine Pearson, Aus-
theyre doing unclear. That ambiguity tion in his own interest. advantage . . . they want to make Kiev Crimean peninsula to carry out started to emerge in Europe: lets lift tralia director at Human Rights Watch.
into an untrustworthy partner and terrorist acts. sanctions; lets build a new type of She said the men on Manus should now
Russian military build-up in and around Ukraine erode support for it in the west. Tensions between Kiev and Moscow dialogue with Russia; lets be more be moved to Australia or a safe third
Tanks Casualty rates are already at their are at their highest for almost a year. co-operative. These are the sound of country rather than to another transit
Warships BELARUS Bryansk highest levels since last August. They weakness. centre on PNG or countries of origin.
Warplanes RUSSIA 100km
will probably rise higher. Russia may Dialogue was needed but it could Nearly a thousand men on Manus
Military convoys seek to bring its anti-aircraft capabili- not happen under the barrel of have already lost three or more years of
Missile batteries ties to bear too, or it could declare a no- Russian-made guns. their lives locked up in limbo for no
Troops fly zone to try to goad Kiev into fighting. Diplomatic measures and financial good reason. Theyve endured dirty,
Kiev Ukraines 25th anniversary of its inde- penalties were not sufficient, he cramped conditions, inadequate medi-
pendence is on August 24 and could be a added. A more comprehensive cal care and violence. Finally, it is time
symbolic moment at which fighting to let them move on with their lives in
UKRAINE LUGANSK
might erupt, says Mr Kokcharov. That
package was required than the
military training provided by Nato. safety and dignity, Ms Pearson said.
DONETSK ROSTOV would give Putin 10 days before the Members of the alliance are PNG in April called on Australia to
Donetsk G20, enough time to make things reluctant to deepen military support close the centre after its Supreme Court
MOLDOVA uncomfortable for the west, he says. for Kiev. ruled that the detention of asylum seek-
TRANSNISTRIA Fatigue among European nations over Youll need always to have very ers there was illegal.
ROMANIA Ukraine is already running high. Mr strong military to deter not to That request came after a 23-year-old
Border closed
Sea of Azov Putin may be betting that with more attack, but to deter and thats my man living on Nauru, Australias other
CRIMEA* violence and a provoked, angry message to the entire world. We are main offshore detention centre, set
* Annexed by Russia, disputed by Ukrainian response he can make Arseny Yatseniuk says Russia is to protecting our homeland and . . . himself on fire in front of UN officials in
Ukraine and the international community
them break ranks and recalibrate the blame for more Ukraine violence European and Nato borders. protest at his detention there. He died of
Source: Institute for the Study of War Black Sea Sevastopol Minsk protocol to his advantage. the injuries he sustained.
Myanmar
MAKE A SMART INVESTMENT
Subscribe to the FT today at ft.com/subscription Aung San Suu Kyi heads for China in bid to thaw frosty relations
MICHAEL PEEL BANGKOK could well come to define Myanmar- its approach after waking up belatedly Thant Myint-U, a Myanmar political
LUCY HORNBY BEIJING Chinarelationsformanyyearstocome. to the scale of political change under analyst, tweeted that the aim of Aung
The trip is Aung San Suu Kyis first to a way in Myanmar. San Suu Kyis visit should be a new
Aung San Suu Kyi, Myanmars de facto world power as a government minister, China underestimated the situation vision of Sino-Myanmar ties, including
leader, was due to arrive in Beijing after earlier sorties to Southeast Asian when Aung San Suu Kyi and her party mutually beneficial economic ties, then
NOVEMBER 7 2015
yesterday for a trip that could give the neighbours Laos and Thailand. The pro- were still in opposition, he said. Now work backwards to todays various
first big steer on how her government democracy campaigner and former China has realised that Myanmars issues.
would position the country between political prisoner visited China for the democratisation is an inevitable trend. Aung San Suu Kyi has already begun
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Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 3
INTERNATIONAL
Copacabana serves up late-night party for primetime audience Police arrest Irish games chief
on suspicion of ticket touting
cast, paid $4.4bn to acquire the broad- in baggy shorts and vests). When you nio Samaranch, then president of the
RIO 2016 cast rights for the games to 2020 and a see the athleticism of the players, the IOC. He became enamoured after
further $7.75bn for rights until 2032. action is fantastic, insists Mr Lima, but attending a beach volleyball world
Of the 28 sports at the Rio games, it admitted that at the Olympic level, championship held on Copacabana, VINCENT BOLAND DUBLIN Noel Rock, a member of parliament
SAMANTHA PEARSON RIO DE JANEIRO
selects a handful for peak-time coverage most sports have athletes that are physi- spotting an opportunity for the Olym- for the governing Fine Gael party, said in
on American screens. Perennial favour- cally at the top condition. They have pics to appeal to younger audiences. The head of Irelands Olympic commit- a statement: This is extraordinary and
ites swimming, diving, gymnastics, beautiful bodies. Volleyball has TV images are helped by spectacular tee has been arrested in Rio de Janeiro unprecedented, and casts a dark
MURAD AHMED RIO DE JANEIRO athletics get plenty of airtime. As does this . . . the players are very exposed, staging. In Rio, matches are played in in connection with an alleged ticket- shadow over our Olympics.
beach volleyball, a sport that entered lets say, in beach volleyball. the shadow of Sugar Loaf mountain. In touting scam, plunging Irish sport into The OCI said late yesterday that Mr
In the early hours of yesterday, thou-
the Olympics just 20 years ago. The Rio games represents a home- London four years ago, the central Lon- an embarrassing crisis. Hickey had stood down temporarily
sands of Brazilians started a raucous
To suit the broadcaster, night matches coming for the sport. While six-a-side don skyline loomed over the stadium on from his roles in international sports
party on Copacabana beach.
are timed for viewers on the US west volleyball can trace its origins to the Horse Guards Parade. At the next Olym- Pat Hickey, president of the Olympic governance, the Associated Press
It was there that Agatha Bednarczuk coast and follow the conclusion of mar- 19th century, its beachside cousin pics, organisers want to hold matches Council of Ireland and head of the Euro- reported. Mark Adams, an Interna-
spiked a ball into the sand to secure Bra- quee races on the athletics track and in entered the Atlanta games in 1996. The under skyscrapers in Shiodome with a pean Olympic committees, was arrested tional Olympic Committee spokesman,
zil a place in the final of the Olympic the swimming pool. We have to con- move came at the behest of Juan Anto- view of Tokyo Bay. at his hotel yesterday over alleged illegal said Mr Hickey had been taken to hospi-
womens beach volleyball against Ger- sider how the television industry While Rio organisers have struggled ticket sales, Brazilian police said in a tal and that it was establishing the
many. Embracing her playing partner works, says Fernando Lima, FIVBs sec- to sell tickets for supposedly prestige statement. facts behind his arrest.
Brbara Seixas after beating the US retary-general. And we want our ath- events such as athletics, beach volley- Mr Hickeys arrest appears to be an Evidence of an alleged ticket-touting
favourites in their semi-finals, music letes to be seen. ball tickets are the hottest in town. This escalation of an investigation into an scam in Rio, involving tickets linked to
blasted as home fans danced in the TV audiences matter to the Olympics. is despite seats costing R$350 ($110) on alleged ticket scam operation involving the OCI, first emerged earlier this
stands. A report by research body Sportcal esti- average, the games most expensive. tickets for the Olympics in Rio, which month when Brazilian police arrested
The match finished around 1am. mated that the International Olympic The atmosphere is part of the entry originated with the OCI. Kevin Mallon, a Dublin-based executive
Scheduling games at such a late hour Committee, the governing body for the price. Matches are played in an environ- Police in Rio also said yesterday that for a British sports management com-
may seem odd. There have been fears games, made $8bn in revenues in the ment akin to an open-air nightclub. they had issued arrest warrants for pany THG Sports. THG said at the time
throughout the tournament that forcing four-year cycle encompassing the 2010 The sports stated aim of gaining pop- three other Irishmen Michael Glynn, that neither the company nor Mr Mal-
players to perform late into the night Vancouver winter games and the 2012 ularity worldwide appears to be work- Eamonn Collins and Ken Murray who lon had broken local or IOC laws.
would lead to fatigue, resulting in a London summer games. Around ing. For Beijing 2008, 31 countries are directors of PRO 10 Sports Manage- PRO 10 did not comment yesterday
poorer sporting spectacle. The womens $3.91bn was made from media rights. attempted to qualify, in London, 143, ment, a Dublin-based company that is on the arrest warrants issued for its
final yesterday began at midnight, as NBC needs high ratings to recoup and in Rio, 169. the authorised ticket reseller of Irish directors and said it had not been con-
does tonights mens final. investment and the media group has It may never win over large audiences tickets for this years Olympic Games. tacted by the Brazilian authorities. But
Its not up to us, says Ary Graa, said it is on track to sell more than $1bn in some countries, where the Olympics Mr Hickey, 71, has been OCI president it said any suggestion that it had put the
president of the Fdration Internation- worth of advertising across its channels are about bolstering national pride since 1988 and is also a member of the tickets up for general resale in contra-
ale de Volleyball, the sports world gov- during the Rio games. above all else. But Mr Graa thinks his International Olympic Committee. The vention of IOC guidelines is utterly
erning body. The organisers do what Beach volleyball is a TV executives sports appeal goes beyond competition. controversy has cast a spotlight on the untrue and completely without any
the television wants. The most impor- dream. Matches are easy to follow, Beach volleyball is a philosophy of life, accountability of the OCI, which foundation.
tant TV here is American TV. youth audiences are interested, and the Sand dance: Brbara Seixas and he says. Its saying to the world, Be receives about 200,000 of funding a Additional reporting by Murad Ahmed in
NBC, the US network owned by Com- female athletes wear bikinis (men play Agatha Bednarczuk celebrate happy, have fun, have sun. year from the Irish government. Rio de Janeiro
4 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
INTERNATIONAL
Portugal lauds austerity victory but economic fears remain triggering the two-year negotiations
that will lead to a formal exit.
Theresa May, UK prime minister, had
Juncker plan, which provides funds for
infrastructure across the bloc.
Italy also hopes more EU funds can be
told Matteo Renzi, her Italian counter- directed towards youth unemployment
PETER WISE LISBON And although avoiding [EU] sanc- But government policy remains heav- making the approval of next years part, that Britain would launch exit and cultural exchanges. It has urged
tions was a big symbolic win that ily constrained by EU demands for fiscal budget a potential political flashpoint. talks early next year. But further delay member states to step up implementa-
Antnio Costa cheered from the stands
showed the government could stand its discipline. While showing clemency The EUs control [over Portugal] could paralyse debate on much-needed tion of commitments on migrants, fund-
as Portugal inflicted a surprise defeat
ground against the European Council over fines, Brussels has called for addi- remains very strong, says Antnio changes in Brussels, which Italy is keen
on the French to win this summers
without reneging on any of its public tional consolidation measures such as Costa Pinto, a Lisbon professor of poli- to push amid growing Euroscepticism at
Euro 2016 football championships.
commitments, Portugal is clearly not lifting value added tax rates, with an tics. The margin for manoeuvre is very home, according to Sandro Gozi, Romes
Europe has to give
Now the countrys anti-austerity prime
minister is celebrating some unex-
out of the woods, says Federico Santi, estimated impact on the underlying small. All political outcomes depend on EU affairs secretary. urgent, concrete answers,
an analyst with the Eurasia Group con- deficit, excluding extraordinary meas- Brussels. If the government can prevent The uncertain timing of the Brexit
pected triumphs of his own.
sultancy. ures and interest payments, of 0.25 per Portugal returning to a tougher version talks has been a source of frustration in
which certainly cannot
His supporters hailed last weeks EU Brussels decision to spare Portugal cent of gross domestic product this year of austerity, it will survive. many European capitals. wait more than a year
decision not to punish Portugal for miss- and Spain from financial penalties over and 0.6 per cent in 2017. Mr Costa has increased the minimum If there is to be a delay, the priority
ing its budget deficit targets as a success their excessive deficits is widely attrib- The extra fiscal effort in 2017 will be wage, begun restoring public sector for us is that it should not lead to immo- ing deportation of those not eligible for
for Mr Costas programme of reversing uted to the influence of Wolfgang Schu- particularly demanding given that it wages and state pensions to pre-bailout bility, to inertia on all the other things asylum and negotiating readmission
tough austerity measures a strategy ble, Germanys finance minister, who is requires an estimated 1bn in cuts in a levels and cut the working week for we need to do at the EU level, Mr Gozi agreements with countries of origin.
that has seen his Socialist party climb to said to have contacted the European year when Mr Costas planned rollback most civil servants from 40 to 35 hours. said in an interview with the Financial Ventotene is where Altiero Spinelli, a
a commanding lead in opinion polls. Commission to urge leniency. of austerity is expected to add 1.6bn to The aim is to lift domestic demand, but Times. Europe has to give urgent, con- founder of the federalist movement,
They also say the recent damning Mr Costa, who took office in Novem- government spending. The BE and PCP growth has virtually stagnated this year, crete answers, which certainly cannot penned a manifesto for a United States
internal report into the International ber at the head of a minority Socialist will resist any move to step back from although unemployment has fallen to wait more than a year. of Europe while imprisoned during the
Monetary Funds handling of the euro- party government supported by the far the prime ministers commitments, 10.8 per cent, the lowest since early Mr Gozi defended the EUs choice of second world war. Europe needs to
zone debt crisis vindicates his argument left, has reaped political rewards from 2011. Fitch Ratings forecasts Portugals Michel Barnier, a former commissioner, change, said Mr Gozi. This means
that imposing austerity on struggling the ruling after campaigning against fragile recovery will weaken this year as the European Commissions Brexit strengthening the fundamental rights,
eurozone countries only further impov- unjust and counterproductive fines Portugals budget deficit and next, with GDP growth falling to chief. The architect of post-crisis EU and the fundamental values, which
erishes them. and threatening to go to the European As a % of GDP 1.3 per cent in 2017 from 1.5 per cent financial regulation has clashed with pushed Europeans to stay together.
But Mr Costas apparent victories Court of Justice if the decision went last year. City of London bankers and the choice Italy has long been among the blocs
have failed to ease international con- against Portugal. 0 International investors are also con- was coolly received in the UK capital. cheerleaders for integration. But Euro-
cerns over Portugals weak growth, The outcome has helped quell poten- -2 cerned about the potential cost to the He has a long European experience sceptic sentiment has grown as it has
fiscal imbalances and massive debt tial dissent in the volatile leftwing alli- state of plugging big capital gaps in the and knowledge of the single market, struggled through a long recession and
burden, or to put Lisbon beyond the ance he formed after an inconclusive -4 banking sector and what will happen to Mr Gozi said. The past has not been difficult austerity policies.
reach of its EU overseers. October election. The radical Left Bloc government bond yields when the Euro- easy between Barnier and London, but The leading Democratic party is neck
While acknowledging its own failings, (BE) had threatened to call for a refer- -6 pean Central Bank eventually removes he is a serious and competent person. and neck in national polls with the pop-
the IMF has warned that even modest endum on Portugals EU membership if Forecast its quantitative easing safety net. Mr Renzi is to host Angela Merkel, ulist Five Star Movement, which has
-8
adverse shocks to the Portuguese econ- financial sanctions were imposed on The prime ministers soft approach German chancellor, and Franois Hol- proposed a referendum on the euro. The
omy could easily place the government Lisbon. -10 to austerity seems to be paying off politi- lande, French president, next week on third-strongest party is the anti-EU,
debt-to-GDP ratio on an explosive path. Avoiding fines has also burnished Mr cally, says Antonio Barroso, an analyst the island of Ventotene for informal anti-immigrant Northern League.
Disappointing growth is also putting Costas credentials as a leader prepared -12 with Teneo Intelligence, a risk consul- talks on the EUs future without the UK. Mr Renzi has staked his job on a refer-
pressure on Portugals only investment- to challenge EU institutions, removing a 2006 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 tancy. But the government still faces Italian officials hope the gathering will endum on constitutional reform to be
grade credit rating, Canadas DBRS potential point of conflict with the BE some important risks, especially serve as a springboard for action when held in November.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook April 2016
rating agency warned on Tuesday. and Communist party (PCP). regarding the banking sector. leaders of the 27 remaining member Price of a badly framed choice page 9
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 5
6 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
ARTS
Allegro
Southwark Playhouse, London
The Yale Center for British aaaee
Art has undergone a Sarah Hemming
meticulous restoration nearly Well, they might not have discovered a
40 years after it was built, gem here, but they have still polished it
writes Edwin Heathcote up very nicely. The ever enterprising
Southwark Playhouse mounts the Euro-
pean premiere of this 1947 Rodgers and
W
hen Louis I. Kahn built Hammerstein musical, with ingenious
the Yale University Art director Thom Southerland drawing
Gallery in 1953, it was every ounce of life and poignancy out of
the first major Yale it. Innovative for its time, Allegro tells the
building to be built in a story of an unassuming everyman in
modern style. It was only 20 years since early 20th-century America and casts a
the completion of architect Egerton sceptical eye over the American dream.
Swartwouts Beaux Arts building, and The action is deliberately low-key, the
only 30 since most of Yales elaborate, lyrics to the songs often conversational.
carved gothic stone buildings went up in Our modest hero Joe is born not into
the 1920s. Another couple of decades adversity or greatness, but into the lov-
later, Kahn embarked on an extension, ing home of a small-town doctor. We fol-
the Yale Center for British Art, on the low him as he goes to medical college,
opposite side of Chapel Street. It opened marries his childhood sweetheart, aban-
in1977, threeyearsafterKahns death. dons his fathers practice for a lucrative
Tom Wolfe excoriated Kahns exten- career in Chicago but, sickened by the
sioninhisbiting1981bookFromBauhaus money-grabbing lifestyle there, rejects
to Our House, using a photo of the blank success. The crux of the piece is the
brick faade butting up to Swartwouts enduring problem of when and whether
intricately carved stonework to demon- you should compromise your principles.
strate what he saw as the aesthetic and The narrative covers four decades, so
intellectual poverty of modernism. But Freshness: have in the 1960s when he designed Everything from the door handles and an English country house. But this is a allegro is the word. There is no time to
Kahn was probably the wrong target. He above, the them. Although it finally opened in 1977 handrails to sofas and material blends very metropolitan, egalitarian setting, delve into complex moral situations or
was an architect obsessed with the per- restored Long the year of disco and Star Wars this has been analysed, researched and with free public access. Somehow Kahn to develop characters much beyond the
manence of buildings, the substance and Gallery at the quiet, careful building fell between the remade. Even the wool carpets have managed to execute an urban building in superficial. Joes father is noble; his best
the quality of light and texture. Never- Yale Center for bombast of Brutalism and the arch been developed to match the original a frankly industrial manner yet recon- friend Charlie is a bit of a lad; his wife
theless, he was hurt by the critiques of British Art. kitschofpostmodernism. hue, not by dyeing but by tailoring the cile that with the scale, intimacy and Jennie is graspingly materialistic. Mean-
thefirstbuilding,andtheCenterforBrit- Below: fourth- The Center for British Art was com- diet of the sheep so that their wool material finesse of grand domesticity while songs such as A Fellow Needs a
ishArtwasperhapsanattemptto atone. floor gallery. pleted by Pellecchia and Meyers, who matched the original beige. They must within. That blend of raw surfaces and Girl offer a pretty sickly, outdated ethic.
Kahn integrated neat storefronts into Below right: had worked on the designs in Kahns haveeatenalotofmuesli. aristocratic art, of tough building and Southerland and his fine cast make
the faade and a sunken plaza with a Gary Tushaw office. It has been restored by local New The most familiar motifs have become romantic yearning, simultaneously the most, however, of this whistle-stop
caf, he peeled away a corner to make in Allegro Haven practice Knight Architecture, totemic through endless publication, refers to the heavy industry from which tour, filling the stage with hustle and
an entrance and created a light-filled Richard Caspole
based on a detailed conservation plan homage and rip-off: the concrete cylin- Andrew Mellon derived his huge for- bustle, revelling in the inventive use of
courtyard as a lobby. The whole building Scott Rylander drawn up by British-based specialists der containing theatrical stairs; the oak tune, and to the refinement of his son the chorus to comment on the action
is filled with ethereal light and articu- Peter Inskip and Stephen Gee. The reno- infill panels (the sun-bleached originals Paul, a revered collector with a fine eye and to voice the thoughts in Joes head.
lated more finely, more carefully and vation is so fine it is almost obsessive. now replaced); the deep-coffered ceil- and one of Americas greatest cultural Anthony Lambles simple, versatile set
more successfully than its darker, more ings; the domestic space of the galleries. patrons (he also sponsored the National uses ladders and platforms to offer flex-
sombre predecessor. And now, more However, there are some small changes GalleryofArtinWashingtonDC). ibility and to echo the musicals preoc-
than 40 years later, a meticulous resto- thatmakeabigdifference.TheLongGal- The Yale gallerys steel panels shim- cupation with social climbing. Lee
ration has revived it and managed to lery is now an unbroken volume, a corri- mer again between concrete frames. Prouds witty choreography is to the
combine a sense of freshness with a deli- dor of art in which paintings are stacked In the way the steel picks up the col- fore in a student Charleston, while
cate patina that makes the passing of in a crowded montage, academy-style, ours of the sky, there is a faint glim- the musical standards are high. Gary
timesubtly clear. so that it presents a single perspectival mer of a wall crowded with Constable Tushaw is immensely likeable as Joe
Sometimes modernism seems to have view. Freestanding walls have also been studies of cloudscapes. The steel and and there is great support from
been modern for a very long time. But subtly shifted so as to be less regular and glass surfaces subtly reflect something of Leah West as a sweet-voiced, pass-
this is a building that, in a way, has come present a more complex journey with their surroundings. What appears as an ing flame and Dylan Turner as his
back into fashion. Its unfinished steel glimpsesfromone worktothenext. industrialbuildingisrevealedoncemore roguish friend.
shutters, oak panels, steel-framed win- Clearly the natural setting for philan- asastatelyhomeforart.
dows and finely worked concrete sur- thropist Paul Mellons astonishing To September 10
faces look as fresh today as they might collection of British art would have been britishart.yale.edu southwarkplayhouse.co.uk
front of the stage where, accompanied desires of others. Antoine Fontaines set
OPERA by Karl Nyhlins mandolin, he sings to provides a material corollary for Gio-
the audience. vannis mesmerising singing, using a
Don Giovanni But this too is an illusion. For as this system of interlocking curtains which
Drottningholm Opera, Stockholm simplest of all operatic showpieces con- accord the anti-hero control over the
aaaae tinues into its second verse responding space in which the other characters
to his own entreaties with growing interact. At the same time, Bous
Guy Dammann delight, it becomes clear that he is really remarkable ability to draw the musical
singing to himself. Like many socio- flow to a complete standstill, or to whip
Who is Don Giovanni serenading in his paths, Giovanni can only really feel love it up into a frenzy of bullying com-
celebrated Act Two song, Deh vieni alla or pity for himself. mands, suggests that his power extends
finestra? Elviras maid, ostensibly. But This insight sits at the heart of a thrill- even to the temporal.
here, in a new production for the 250- ing performance of Mozarts opera His performance is matched by
year-old Drottningholm Palace Theatre, which is remarkable for the vivid Robert Gleadows superbly portrayed
director Ivan Alexandre knows his brilliance of its portrayal of a hero Leporello. The other soloists, perhaps
subjects guilty secret. Jean-Sbastien whose moral freedom and enlightened partly through intention but also on
Bous Giovanni barely even glances at materialism derive, ultimately, from his account of the acoustic vagaries of the
the empty window before taking to the total indifference to the fears and ancient theatre (which Alexandre
seems worryingly ignorant of), are
Thrilling: Jean- much less vividly drawn.
Sbastien Bou The real magician, though, is the
(standing) as conductor Marc Minkowski, whose feel
Don Giovanni for seamless dramatic pacing and
Mats Bcker
sharply defined textures shine through
in the confidence and freedom of
the musicians.
There was much to admire, too, in
the setting, including a wonderful
shadow-play for the masked ball. But, as
with last years Figaro, the period-stage-
within-a-period-stage scenic model
remains at best inexplicable and at
worst grossly obstructive of both dra-
matic clarity and, in a more literal sense,
Drottningholms unique 18th-century
stage technology.
stomachs while gazing at the ambiva- you looked, the scene filled with
DA N C E lent romances and quasi-collegial quar- ellipses, like the fascinatingly incom-
tets before them. They did not seem to plete dramas spied on the street. The
BalletX notice that they too were being watched effect was wondrous.
Joyce Theater, New York by us. We came to suspect we were Neenans low-key style was surrepti-
aaaae also missing things. Neenan kept the tious partner to his careful design. Like-
foreground dancers enough to the side wise, McIntyre had tragedy enter by the
Apollinaire Scherr that you could not watch them without backdoor of the absurd. His Big Ones
relegating the fidgety chorus to the played out to a medley of the late Amy
At BalletX this week, company co- periphery, and vice versa. But wherever Winehouses ballads. The 10 dancers
founder Matthew Neenan and free- were decked out in Reid Bartelme and
lancer Trey McIntyre do not have us fix- Harriet Jungs tall, black bunny ears.
ate on steps. Nor do these American Bright-eyed, velvety, vulnerable
mavericks declare their place on the Chloe Felesina was first to strap on those
continuum between contemporary ears, a nod perhaps to the singers trade-
dance and ballet. Unlike Jorma Elos mark towering beehive. Though often
fussily Forsythian neoclassicism, which excluded from the communal bunny
kept telling us where it came from with- hops, Felesina attracted a bouncy, inat-
out divulging why we should care, tentive boy (endearing Daniel Mayo)
Neenan used pedestrian gestures to who crumbled whenever she needed a
evoke the perennial mysteries that lift and only bounded back afterwards.
other people pose and McIntyre There were no villains in Big Ones any
embraced ungainliness until we ached. more than there are bad rabbits, but
In Neenans delicately layered Show there was a heroine. To have Winehouse
Me, a chorus of four dancers arrayed so poetically imagined was a bitter joy.
along the back scrim abstractedly fin-
gered their faces and kneaded their Bitter joy: Trey McIntyres Big Ones To August 21, joyce.org
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 7
Plagued by years of flat revenues, executives have been on the hunt for new income streams to boost
shareholders returns. Can the Wall Street bank become a friend to the consumer and small business?
By Ben McLannahan
I
n April this year Goldman Sachs did
something it had never done
before. For almost 150 years, it had
prospered by getting close to people
of power and influence: wealthy
institutions, multinationals, rich fami-
lies. Now it was trying to appeal to the Trading blow Exposure to hedge
hoi polloi, offering online savings funds, asset managers, banks and
accounts that can be opened with a brokerages has weakened profitability
deposit of just $1, with interest rates
about 100 times better than those at big Taking on P2P? GS Banks depositors
US retail banks like Wells Fargo or Bank from the GE Capital deal will be a
of America. useful support for any lending venture
But the launch of GS Bank, propelled
by the acquisition of a $16.5bn book of Regulatory reality It has responded to
deposits from GE Capital, was not demands by roughly doubling its
exactly glitch-free. People were baffled equity capital since the crisis
by an automated menu system that
failed to recognise simple instructions, savings accounts, for example, that is
says Rob Berger, founder of Dough- still much less than the cost to Goldman
roller.net, a personal finance site. Some of issuing long-term bonds.
customers reported long delays in open- But getting closer to retail depositors
ing an account; others complained that via the GE deal is more than a matter of
they could not get on to the platform via cheap, sticky funding. It also opens
an iPad or a Chromebook. Goldman up to a new class of customer:
Even now, GS Banks call centre in the 99 per cent.
Cedar Rapids, Iowa, is not open 24 hours Until the price of entry dropped to a
a day, unlike other providers of online dollar, people used to need at least $10m
savings accounts such as Capital One, in net assets before they could become a
American Express or Discover. Goldman Sachs account-holder. Now, if
Because it was Goldman everyone anyone wants to put down more than
expected the white glove service, says $250,000 the standard government
the head of a cash management firm. It insurance coverage limit they have to
was not the white glove service. go elsewhere. (GE had set the bar much
Goldman is moving into Main Street higher, at $1m.)
for a simple reason: life on Wall Street GS Banks 160,000 or so depositors
has become much tougher since the glo- should be a useful support for the new
bal financial crisis. Once-powerful busi- lending venture, which represents a
ness lines such as fixed-income sales direct strike against peer-to-peer plat-
and trading have been struggling with forms, which match needy borrowers
tighter regulation and a shift to elec- with investors hungry for yield. In a
tronic platforms, while choppy markets research note last year, Goldman ana-
have discouraged clients from putting lysts said $10.9bn of annual profit gener-
on big and complex trades that have ated by traditional bricks-and-mortar
long been Goldmans forte. lenders was at risk of being lost to more
nimble upstarts. Of that, the largest
Youd have thought that chunk $4.6bn was from unsecured
personal loans, with another $1.8bn
Goldman, the great from small business loans.
A successful launch of a Lending
restructurers, would have Club-like business would be a feather in
been able to re-engineer the the cap of Stephen Scherr, a former
head of the financing group who was
business, but they havent named chief strategy officer in June
2014. This summer he was given the
At the same time, revenues in the extra title of chief executive of GS Bank
Letters
Email: letters.editor@ft.com or
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7979 7790
Include daytime telephone number and full address
Corrections: corrections@ft.com
Shareholder value has its positive version Any democracy, even US,
can fall victim to populism
Sir, Regarding your editorial Donald
Sir, Alfred Rappaport (What from the truth: option holders aligned. Volkswagen and other Trumps campaign is harming US
managers misunderstand about interests are widely diverging from corporate scandals further confirm the democracy (August 13): it may be
shareholder value, August 15) has an those of shareholders, and the strike deleterious effects of these true that Mr Trumps campaign has
interesting point: shareholder value price of options is often fixed dubiously remuneration practices. damaged the quality and reputation of
can, and should, be viewed as a positive and at shareholders expense. Mostly, Thus by all means let us embrace democracy in America. However, if
objective, enhancing long-term performance is very far from shareholder value, but the positive, there is any positive to be drawn from
attitudes. It could be said that many managerial excellence in the long-term version of it; let us improve this, it is that American democracy is
THURSDAY 18 AUGUST 2016 family businesses have successfully shareholders interest. The remuneration practices for executives; now offering the free world the
adopted such a long-term shareholder remuneration patterns of executives and let us devise remuneration for opportunity to realise that any
value. But Louis Brennan (Letters, too often reward volatility and short- money managers that motivates them democracy, even the US, can fall victim
August 16) is right to remind us that term targets, to the delight of to look after their investors interest to populism under certain conditions.
shareholder value does not come professional money managers who rather than their own. Similar to the appeal of fascism in
politics meant to be about conviction? then than now. The Iron Chancellor more or less the price required for any
Extending fines from individuals to scheme promoters makes sense Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has a knew what he was doing, actuarially new plant to be commercially Correction
following because that is what he has. speaking. attractive.
Theresa May has made a number of and aimed to save in aggregate about Most current politicians do not: they Alex J Pollock There is still much to be said about c Lady Thatcher lived in Londons
changes to policy and personnel in the 30m in taxes. Had it passed muster, pursue policies they think will sell. Distinguished Senior Fellow, UK, and EU, energy policy. Chester Square, not Eaton Square as
month since becoming Britains prime its promoter, the accountant EY, would The gap you identify is the space to R Street Institute, Jorgen Henningsen wrongly stated in an article about the
minister. One thing has not altered, have walked away with 10 per cent of [the Tories] right on cultural Washington, DC, US Copenhagen, Denmark Duke of Westminster on August 13.
though, and that is the governments that amount.
determination to crack down hard on The proposed rules would throw a
tax avoidance. Mrs May made this a clod of grit into this machinery. First,
theme of her leadership campaign,
calling tax the price we pay for living
they would apply to a wide range of
advisers, from the schemes promoters Abenomics So an American fund manager, a
British darts champion and a Japanese
out that if you type why gold
bugs . . . into Google, it auto-
year earlier. Every time a new
element of uncertainty hits
in a civilised state.
Now her administration has opened
to those playing a more distant ena-
bling role, such as company formation breeds a new grandmother go into a Tokyo bar.
Theres no punchline, the bar is
completes the sentence with . . . are
wrong. His position has reversed; he
households, Tanaka Kikinzoku
registers a rise in applications for its
a new front in the battle. A Treasury
consultation paper published on
Wednesday has proposed the idea of
agents. That means that even should
the creators be offshore, their onshore
agents could be caught in the net.
generation fictional and the characters never
actually meet but the people are
real enough. Each of them just sits
will now explain, at length, why he is
building a store of gold eagles for his
two young daughters.
pure gold accumulation plan an
investment scheme where a
reassuring nugget is set aside monthly.
extending the penalties for avoidance
schemes disallowed by Her Majestys
Second, the rules should act as a par-
ticular disincentive to those promoting
of gold bugs there for ages chatting slightly
tediously about gold, embodying a
Japan has been called the regions
star performer by the World Gold
The darts player, who is among the
worlds top eight and was in the
Revenue & Customs to those who and enabling speculative and aggres- growing obsession with the metal. Council, which noted in its most Japanese capital last month for the
advise on them. Under the new regime, sive wheezes. Even if heavy fines turn One of them likes UK gold recent report that for the first time in Tokyo Masters, like Mrs Igarashi
accountants, lawyers and consultants out to be rare events, the very possibil- sovereigns; one prefers the maple leaf, a decade the country has clocked its modestly describes himself as a total
that peddle or assist these schemes ity of their happening should elevate a Canadian gold coin known for its fourth consecutive quarter of positive beginner to gold, while displaying a
could end up paying a fine of up to 100 the cost of advisers professional purity; one is saving up the $140,000- net investment in the metal. stunningly intricate knowledge of
per cent of the money that would have indemnity insurance at least until odd required for a 100oz slab of For those of us whose route home prices (to two decimal places),
been lost to the taxpayer. they demonstrate a low claims experi- bullion. One has bought a home safe, takes us past a small, bustling gold purities (to three decimal places) and
Taking the battle to the supply side of ence. That in turn should raise the cost another has rented a deposit box in a dealership, this is no surprise. Chie currency arbitrage opportunities.
the tax avoidance industry is sensible. of such avoidance schemes, limiting bank and the third has looked into Igarashi, the grandmother from He is fascinated by Tokyo; less by its
Few individuals, or even companies, go their appeal to those looking to mas- buying space in a Swiss vault. All three Tokyo, is part of a growing band of traditional charms than by the lessons
to the trouble of devising their own tax sage down their tax. check their phones for live gold prices people aged 50-70 who have decided its despairing savers can offer the
wheezes. Instead they purchase off- While the simplicity of the proposal the way others check for Pokmon. to express their scepticism over Mr world. He is a sportsman whose
the-shelf schemes through advisers, is an advantage, the government Whats behind the obsession? In Abes economic vision not at the ballot winnings are primarily earned in the
often to a blueprint drawn up by a tax should take care to ensure that it does January, as part of Prime Minister box (where the prime minister boozy, Brexity roar of clubs and halls
specialist and buttressed by a barris- not unreasonably hit defensible tax Shinzo Abes floundering attempts to received resounding support at last across the UK: more even than the
ters opinion that can be shopped from planning. Tax rules are not ultimately stimulate the Japanese economy, months upper house election) but at prospect of political turmoil in Britain,
a compliant QC. For the most part, the
client has only the dimmest idea of
set in aspic. Avoidance is generally
defined as creating a tax-break that Tokyo negative interest rates were
introduced. In a country with high
their nearest bullion dealer.
Since the start of 2016, Mrs Igarashi,
he fears falling interest rates and the
appropriate destination for his
what is actually being done in his or her
name.
parliament never intended. Yet what
legislators mean at a particular time Notebook savings levels, that has proved
alarming. Meanwhile, the policy has
aged 66, has bought four gold coins
which at about $1,340 an ounce are
considerable prize money.
Japan, he declares in the green room
The existing rules do little to curb can change as circumstances evolve. driven down the yields on sovereign worth roughly Y520,000. The surge in immediately after losing a semi-final
this activity. The taxman poses no Tax rules would be easier to adminis- by Leo Lewis bonds, beloved of Japanese savers to the yen since the June 23 Brexit and checking his phone for the gold
direct threat to the underlying pro- ter if the whole tax code was less com- the point where 80 per cent are referendum, which has taken it to a price, offers a sobering example to
moter and its associates, whose main plicated. Britain, along with other trading on negative yields. The UKs near three-year high against the him and other stars of bar room sports
concern is being sued by irate clients advanced economies, has allowed its Brexit vote two months ago is also dollar, has sharpened her appetite for of what happens when a leading
for negligence, or, perhaps, in losing fiscal regime to become an ugly and taking a toll. more. economy moves to negative interest
their reputations. Set against that, the convoluted sprawl. Unpicking and sim- So gold has emerged as a kind of She is not alone. Sales at Japans rates. More gold, he decides after
financial reward from marketable plifying that is no less of a necessary shiny financial aspirin for a new largest gold retailer, Tanaka cross-examining me expertly on the
schemes can be significant. Take, for endeavour for Mrs May and her admin- generation of gold bugs: a natural- Kikinzoku, tripled from normal levels behaviour of Japanese grandmothers,
instance, a recent, unsuccessful, avoid- istration to act upon. But in the mean- sounding painkiller for unnatural on June 24 and its overall sales of gold must be the wisest choice.
ance scheme involving the UK brewer time, and with the flawed system Brit- times. As recently as last year, the in the first quarter of 2016 were 35 per
Greene King. Dubbed Project Sussex, it ain has, a tougher line on the agents of fund manager delighted in pointing cent higher than the same period a leo.lewis@ft.com
was peddled to a number of companies avoidance would do no harm at all.
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 9
Comment
Central bankers are threatening the engine of the economy The value of
local lessons in
OPINION
and consumption a virtuous circle
leading to job growth, mild inflation and
interest rates at or near zero can do to a
large, developed economy. The answer
economy to financial asset holders
where in many cases it lies fallow, earn-
near-zero yields and interest rates. His-
toric business models with long-term tackling global
Bill
Gross
higher profits.
The US Federal Reserve began a quan-
titative easing programme in 2010;
is not much: not much real growth; not
much inflation and, together, not
enough nominal GDP growth to repay
ing little return if invested in govern-
ment bonds and money markets.
Why would the private sector or gov-
liabilities such as insurance compa-
nies and pension funds are increas-
ingly at risk because they have assumed
killer diseases
interest rates are historically lower historic debt should yields on sovereign ernments not borrow at practically no higher future returns and will be left
across much of the developed world. debt ever return to normal. cost to invest in a centuries old capital- holding the short straw if yields and
Meanwhile, gross domestic product is In other large economies, a further istic model proven to reward risk-taking rates fail to return to more normal lev-
OPINION
Y
ou can pay me now . . . growing in many eurozone nations, negative effect of zero lower bound in the real economy? Well, for govern- els.
counsels the sensible even if unemployment is higher than yields and interest rates can be ments and supranational agencies such The profits of these businesses will be
mechanic promoting Fram many would like. An unbiased observer as the International Monetary Fund, affected as will the real economy. Job Michael
oil filters in the old-time ought to admit that the model is work- balanced budget orthodoxies and even cuts, higher insurance premiums, Bloomberg
advert, . . . Or pay me
later, interjects his pricier associate, as
ing. So why change the oil filter?
But are near-zero interest rates and a
Job cuts, reduced pensions, national laws as in Germany rule the
day. We are not all Keynesians now.
reduced pension benefits and increas-
ing defaults: all have the potential to
defaults all have the
T
he tinkers with the broken engine of a global store of about $13tn worth of neg- The private sector may be reluctant to turn a once virtuous circle into a cycle of he outbreak of the Zika
customer who has ignored the advice.
Central bankers should take heed. Dirty
ative-yielding bonds actually good for
the real economy? Recent data suggests
potential to turn a virtuous invest because of a host of secular forces
that increase risk, including ageing pop-
stagnation and decay.
Central bankers are late to this logical
virus has become an issue
of global concern. And
oil and artificially priced financial mar- they may not be. Productivity growth, circle into a cycle of decay ulations that temper consumer spend- conclusion. They, like most individuals, rightly so: such communi-
kets have much in common. Both can perhaps the best indicator of an econ- ing and an anti-globalisation trend of would prefer to pay later than now. But, cable diseases must be
destroy engines eventually and in the omys vitality, is abysmal in most devel- observed. Investment an important which the Brexit vote is an example. by pursuing a policy of more QE and aggressively tackled to prevent them
case of central banking it is the motor of oped countries. It has been declining in source of productivity growth has Savvy corporate chief investment offic- lower and lower yields, they may find becoming a pandemic.
the real economy that is at risk. the past half-decade or so, not coinci- never returned to the norms seen before ers who know anything about bond that the global economic engine will But there is another category of dis-
Historically, it has generally been dentally tracking the advent of QE and the global crisis of 2008. Corporations pricing may also recognise that an sputter instead of speed up. A change of eases that now represent the worlds
assumed that lower bond returns would zero lower bound interest rates. are using an increasing amount of cash investment in the real economy albeit filters and monetary policy logic is leading cause of death, killing 43m peo-
eventually lead to higher bond and In the US the year-on-year trend for flow to buy back shares as opposed to at historically low borrowing costs urgently required. ple each year, including 16m who die
equity prices, and that the capital gains productivity has turned negative. Most investing for growth. In the US, more will pose its own risks once yields begin before their 70th birthday. Over 80 per
and lower commercial and consumer central bankers dismiss this fact as a than $500bn is spent annually to boost to return to normal and borrowing costs The writer is the portfolio manager of the cent of those deaths occur in low- and
interest rates associated with them short-term aberration. But the Japanese investors incomes rather than future increase. Janus Capital Group Global Unconstrained middle-income nations. The diseases
would stimulate additional investment economy provides an example of what profits. Money is diverted from the real There are other obvious drawbacks to Bond Fund strategy and injuries that cause these deaths also
cost the world about $7tn between 2011
and 2025. Yet even though most of them
are preventable, they receive 2 per cent
of the worlds health funding.
How to work
So-called non-communicable dis-
eases, or NCDs, include cancer, diabetes,
cardiovascular diseases like heart
attacks and stroke, and chronic respira-
tory diseases like asthma. Some, like
many types of cancer, still do not have a
R
oyal Mail has said that it may workforce showed that 34.1 per cent
not be able to afford its staffs were engaged, which meant they live more healthily
defined benefit pension worked with passion and felt a pro-
scheme beyond 2018. The found connection to their company. employee engagement was and that it First, make sure their companies are tive management. If employers fail to governments can better target their pol-
venerable UK postal busi- Another 16.5 per cent were actively was difficult to draw conclusions about well considered. One of the questions improve the lives of their workers, what icies and resources.
ness is unlikely to be the only company disengaged, which meant they were not what helped or hindered it. Gallup asks is whether the mission or can employees do themselves? Working Margaret Chan, director-general of
to take this drastic measure. The col- just unhappy but were undermining But most of us can probably recognise purpose of the company makes staff feel takes up such a large proportion of our the World Health Organisation, is step-
lapse in government bond yields, which their colleagues work. The largest Gallups findings. In more than 40 years their jobs are important. lives. It is a shame to spend it unhappy, ping up the fight to prevent these
pension funds use to calculate their abil- group, 49.5 per cent, were simply not of visiting the US I have, as a customer, Companies should not be misled by seething or just switched off. deaths. As part of her push, I have
ity to pay future benefits, has tipped engaged. They had mentally checked noticed the growing bifurcation of the word mission. Mission statements If you have poor managers, look accepted her invitation to serve as the
schemes around the world into crisis. out and were just going through the employee attitudes: there is a group who count for little. This is about whether elsewhere for validation: to your col- WHO global ambassador for noncom-
Plunging annuity rates mean the motions. This may not look that bad: is still delighted to serve you and a grow- people are proud to tell their friends, leagues or, if you deal with them municable diseases. Our mission is to
future looks grim, too, for workers with over a third were enthusiastic about ing number who seems to think your family and neighbours that they work directly, your customers. Treating them achieve the UN goals of reducing prema-
defined contribution pensions, who their jobs and many of the others were turning up has ruined their day. for the company. well even when your company does not ture NCD deaths by one-third by 2030,
have to provide for their own retire- at least not getting in anyones way. Employee disenchantment has costs That means providing a decent serv- is likely to leave you, as well as them, far and halving the number of road deaths
ments with the proceeds of what they You could paint an even brighter gloss beyond poor customer service: absen- ice, not becoming a constant source of happier. and injuries by 2020.
have paid into their plans. on Gallups figures by noting that the teeism, shoddy work and high turnover. complaint on social media and staying It is also a way of improving your rep- Great progress is possible. During my
The gloomy pensions scene is one way engaged figures are the highest it has So given that pension problems and out of trouble. Nobody is proud to work utation and increasing the chances of a 12 years as mayor of New York City, life
in which life has deteriorated for devel- recorded. Between 2000 and 2013, the low-cost competition are not going for a company embroiled in scandal. job offer from someone who notices and expectancy increased by more than
oped-world workers. Real wages for proportion of US workers found to be away, what, other than slashing their Second, companies cannot tell staff to appreciates you. three years, far faster than the national
most people have been stagnant while engaged never rose above 30 per cent. top executives salaries, can employers take care of their own pension provi- This month, a mother wrote a Face- average, largely because of our ambi-
executive pay has soared. But it is going to get worse. The do about staff unhappiness? sion, thus expecting them to take adult book tribute to a London Underground tious public health agenda, which
Add to that automation, outsourcing employees of the future are the least responsibility for their retirement, and worker called Pip, who, for years, has included battling smoking and obesity.
and job losses because of low-cost com- happy: only 29 per cent of millennials then treat them like children in every been making sure that pregnant women I am optimistic that we can spread
petition and it is no surprise that sur-
veys show employees are discontented,
feel engaged with their work.
Workplace satisfaction question-
If you have poor other way.
Excessive monitoring and control are
have seats during the rush hour. Many
others said he had helped them too.
this type of progress from the ground
up, partly because I have seen it happen
disengaged and mistrustful. naires have their critics. A 2014 survey managers, look to your the enemies of an engaged workforce. We all like praise from our bosses. But with another major global challenge: cli-
The most recent annual Edelman
Trust Barometer, produced by the pub-
of the research in Human Resource
Development Quarterly concluded that
colleagues or customers Explaining to people what you expect of
them and letting them use their initia-
being praised like Pip is far better. mate change. In recent years, local
actions to reduce greenhouse gas emis-
lic relations company, showed that there was no consensus on what for validation tive to achieve it is the hallmark of effec- michael.skapinker@ft.com sions have led to more ambitious
actions by national governments. The
historic climate breakthrough in Paris
would not have been possible had we
not first demonstrated that cities
Britain is paying the price for a badly framed choice which account for the large majority of
greenhouse gases are strongly com-
mitted to leading by example.
Winning the battle against climate
change helps us win the battle against
breaks the rules but is financially unable that no agreement is reached (or exten- never finish early.) A better design think of a more complex choice than many NCDs, and vice versa because
OPINION to repay its debts? The ambiguity in this sion granted), the country is out and would have been to spell out the details Europe to put to voters. large emitters of greenhouse gases also
answer has been evident in the drama presumably treated like any other coun- of a voluntary break-up in advance so Furthermore, given the ambiguity of tend to be large emitters of deadly air
Richard surrounding Greece and a possible try, using the rules established by the any country would have a reasonably Article 50, voters had no way of knowing pollution. And just as cities have helped
Thaler Grexit. World Trade Organisation. solid basis for evaluating the pros and what outcomes would come from a vote spur more national and international
Another question that appears to Making the rules so vague has had cons of EU membership. It may not be to Remain or Leave. Theresa May, now action on climate change, they can do
have been left unanswered originally is unintended consequences. First, it too late to remedy this situation if the prime minister, made this point before the same for NCDs and other preventa-
what would happen if a country wanted allowed proponents of Brexit to offer EU can figure out a way to clarify the the vote: The reality is that we do not ble causes of death.
T
he Brexit vote has created to leave, as the UK might wish to do. The voters the apparently unrealistic hope terms of an exit. know on what terms we would have The goals set by the UN are bold and
an environment of great EU resembled the Hotel California that the UK could negotiate an associate David Cameron, the former UK prime access to the single market. could save more than 30m lives by 2030.
uncertainty for Britain, the described in the Eagles song, where, minister, was responsible for another But the referendum was held, so the They are relatively low cost. In fact,
EU and the global economy. You can check out any time you like / piece of questionable choice architec- question is what to do now. Certainly a many of the most powerful changes are
No one can predict with any
confidence what will happen for at least
But you can never leave. Eventually
this omission was addressed by the crea-
A good rule of thumb is ture when he promised to hold the EU
referendum.
majority of just four percentage points
in a nonbinding referendum should not
policies that, like banning indoor smok-
ing, have no cost at all.
the next three years, but economists are tion of the now famous Article 50 of the that the more complicated When should voters be asked their be considered a mandate to hastily And they are within reach, because
in unusual agreement that if Brexit
occurs it will be bad for the UK and bad
Lisbon treaty, adopted in 2009, which
provides the rules for a country that
the decision, the less opinion about policy questions? Gov-
ernments vary greatly on the extent to
invoke Article 50. The vote was more
like a straw poll of voter sentiments
unlike other epidemics, there are
proven steps we can take to prevent
for the EU. wishes to secure a divorce from the EU. desirable a referendum which they rely on direct democracy about a range of issues than a consid- heart disease, asthma, certain cancers,
How did we get here? One answer lies (It has to be said that few states have rather than a combination of represent- ered evaluation of the costs and benefits diabetes and road crashes steps that
in choice architecture, the decision- provisions for leaving a union to which status similar to that of Norway, but ative government plus bureaucratic of membership of the single market. some wealthier nations have already
making framework in which choices are they belong; the US fought its deadliest with some modifications of the rules on agencies, such as central banks. As an Since voters were given a choice that taken.
made. war over such an issue.) free movement of people. Second, the example, Switzerland and the state of was impossible to evaluate sensibly, Now it is our job to ensure that no
Consider the original charter of the Although Article 50 was created to rule creates a long period of uncertainty California regularly rely on referen- they should be given the opportunity to country is left behind. By working
EU. An important principle of good determine what happens in the case of a for both the UK and other member dums to make decisions, but the US gov- change their mind if the facts change together, we can make the next decade a
choice architecture is to anticipate how break-up, it is far from a full prenuptial states. The UK could wait a year or more ernment never does. either via a vote of parliament or a sec- decisive turning point in the battle
things might go wrong and take steps in agreement. Rather than stating the before triggering Article 50, to be fol- When governments have the option ond referendum. In short, Brexit should against one of the greatest public health
advance to mitigate the damage. In the terms under which a country can leave, lowed by what would almost certainly to use either method, how should they not mean (an immediate) Brexit. challenges of our time.
formation of the EU, this step did not it only prescribes a process. Once a be nearly two years of negotiations. choose? A good rule of thumb is that the
seem to attract the attention it country triggers Article 50, it has two (International negotiations are like more complicated the decision, the less The writer is author of Misbehaving: The The writer is the founder of Bloomberg LP
deserved. What will happen if a country years to negotiate terms and in the event home improvement projects: they desirable a referendum. And it is hard to Making of Behavioural Economics and a former mayor of New York City
10 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
Double happiness
China has given the green light for overseas investors to buy A shares listed in Shenzhen through a tie-up with
Hong Kong. Greater access to the new economy sector will give foreigners more ways to express a view on China.
Scrapping aggregate investment limits implies that openness matters more than preventing capital flight
Todays temperatures
Abu Dhabi Sun 44 Malta Sun 29
18 1020 Amsterdam Sun 23 Manila Thunder 31
Ankara Sun 29 Miami Cloudy 32
22
19 16 Athens Sun 33 Milan Thunder 29
1010 26 Bahrain Sun 39 Montreal Fair 27
Barcelona Fair 29 Moscow Fair 26
22 Beijing Thunder 25 Mumbai Fair 31
Belfast Shower 20 Munich Shower 22
LOW
1010 18 Belgrade Fair 26 Naples Fair 28
21 Berlin Cloudy 21 New York Fair 32
21 1010 Brussels Fair 22 Nice Sun 26
21
LOW Budapest Sun 25 Nicosia Sun 39
25 Cairo Sun 36 Oslo Fair 22
L Cardiff Cloudy 24 Paris Shower 25
2 25 Chicago Fair 31 Prague Sun 24
23 Cologne Sun 26 Reykjavik Fair 15
29
1010 Copenhagen Shower 19 Riga Shower 17
1010
25 27 Delhi Shower 34 Rio Cloudy 26
31 29 Dubai Sun 44 Rome Fair 27
Dublin Cloudy 19 San Francisco Fair 23
27 Edinburgh Cloudy 20 Singapore Fair 32
27
35 28 Frankfurt Sun 26 Stockholm Shower 17
31 3 Geneva Thunder 25 Strasbourg Shower 24
39
Hamburg Fair 21 Sydney Sun 21
33 30 16 Helsinki Shower 18 Tokyo Thunder 29
33 32
24 Hong Kong Thunder 30 Toronto Cloudy 28
Istanbul Sun 31 Vancouver Sun 24
38 Lisbon Sun 27 Vienna Sun 25
Wind speeds in KPH London Cloudy 24 Warsaw Fair 21
Forecasts by Los Angeles Sun 27 Washington Cloudy 33
Wind speed Luxembourg Fair 22 Zagreb Rain 25
in KPH Madrid Sun 35 Zurich Thunder 23
CROSSWORD ACROSS
9 Maines not mistaken for another
5 Support among fans with minute
gone in game (10)
No. 15,322 Set by SLEUTH state (9) 6 Exam or lesson in which master is
10 Characteristic principally lacking deficient (4)
with a dish from India (5) 7 Equipment mostly put on car in
11 Good promise falling short in Italian port (6)
artist (7) 8 Grotesque sort of royal egg,
12 Piece of skill in gambling scrambled (8)
producing large financial gain (7) 15 Figures on register required for
13 Revered figure loses head for a returns? (10)
period (3) 16 Cheer Latin rogue out of difficulty
14 It could be represented in amiable (2,3,5)
type (not half) (11) 17 Lift for police detaining
17 Fear day before study (5) ungentlemanly sort after appeal
18 Tree guide lacking introduction thats instructive (8)
(3) 20 Model getting drunk? Wait
19 Sample discrimination (5) patiently (3,5)
21 Stop discordant tune in club first 22 Ring from Cornish area I have put
(11) on top of locker (6)
23 Recall deeply personal pull (3) 24 Discussion of inexperienced
25 College joint for one thats novelist (6)
cheerful (7) 26 Secretary facing outwardly tough
27 Clash with daughter enthralled by course (4)
dog (7) 27 Betray on radio tight-knit group
28 Clumsy painter awkwardly (4)
dropping a roller initially (5)
29 Time a woman interrupts Solution 15,321
endlessly extended debate (9) $ 6 3 , & 7 2 1 < % / $ , 5
3 ( $ 5 2 $ , 2
DOWN 8 7 5 , / / 2 , ' & $ 5 ' 6
3 0 $ 8 6 . (
1 English fighter about to become $ 7 , 6 6 8 ( 2 ) / , ( 6
one settled abroad (6) 6 1 6 6 2 5 8
JOTTER PAD 2 Develop curiosity without others & / ( )
5 1 +
(
$
; ( & 8 7 ,
1 5 6
2 1
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about island (8) , 1 7 + ( % 8 ) ) : + 2 $
3 Dress, a number worn by % / $ $ % 6 <
broadcasting executive showing % 8 < ( 5 6 5 ( 0 2 5 6 (
dynamism (3-2-3-2) / 7 ( , 8 7 6
( 1 * / , 6 + / ( 7 , 7 * 2
4 Favour element forgoing 5 2 ( $ / 8 ( /
resistance (4) 6 ( 9 ( 5 $ % / ( 6 7 5 $ '
Thursday 18 August 2016 11
Sumitomo Cathay Pacific Admiral Dollar index Brent crude Portugal 10-yr Sterling/dollar Stoxx 600
Modern fable The unicorn Heavy govt bond
that gored an Asian lion 8.21% 7.31% 7.7% 0.1% 0.7% 11bp 0.3% 0.8%
TONY BARBER, PAGE 12
514 HK$11.92 20.81 94.92 $49.55 2.94% $1.3008 340.47
deal is blocked
peek at UK housing stocks must ponder following Britains
vote to leave the EU.
This week the UK 10-year bond yield rose slightly off
lows hit this month but still provides investors with a pal-
try 0.58 per cent in annual income. Shares in British
housing-related stocks have bounced since the referen-
dum but remain depressed, with several offering dividend
3 DoJ halted $37bn Humana takeover yields above 6 per cent that reflect understandable uncer-
tainty about the British economy and house prices.
3 Letter reveals insurers threat to act The market appears to believe that these stocks can be
bought only if an investor has faith that the pre-
referendum structural drivers supporting the UK housing
DAVID CROW NEW YORK Almost 13m Americans are covered by market remain in place, namely a chronic shortage of resi-
the plans. Many of those were previ- dential property, government incentives and historically
A row over a decision by Aetna to scale ously unable to afford a policy or turned low mortgage rates.
back its commitment to Barack away by insurers for being too sick. If Brexit causes severe damage to the British economy,
Obamas signature healthcare reform However, private insurers that sell this argument goes, then a fall in land values and house
escalated yesterday with revelations plans through the marketplace have prices will mean the book values and earnings of UK
that the insurer had previously threat- complained they are incurring signifi- housebuilders will be severely impaired.
ened such a move if regulators tried to cant losses, because the people who An alternative way of looking at this is that many house-
block its $37bn takeover of a rival. have signed up are much sicker and builders are already pricing in a severe fall, and right now
Aetna on Monday became the latest older than expected. UnitedHealthcare offer investors a tempting asymmetric bet in all but the
insurer to pull its plans from exchanges and Humana recently announced plans worst outcomes for UK property. In 2007, at the pre-crisis
where Americans can buy affordable to scale back their commitment. peak, investors were paid almost the same amount to hold
coverage, arguing it was losing hun- Aetna did not respond to a request for UK 10-year debt as the gross yield on UK residential prop-
dreds of millions of dollars on policies comment. erty. Since the crisis this gap has ballooned as gilt yields
sold through the exchanges. The com- Last month the DoJ filed a lawsuit to have tumbled, with gross residential UK property yields
pany said it would stop selling plans in block the deal, and a second transac- sitting at about 300 basis points over 10-year gilts, com-
11 of the 15 states where it currently tion: Anthems $48.6bn takeover of pared with less than 50 basis points in 2007. Going for-
operates and cancel its expansion plans. Cigna. Aetna and Anthem have vowed ward, low rates should provide a floor for land values.
The decision to pull back from the to appeal. Officials argued the consoli- Shares in Berkeley Group, a housebuilder focused on the
marketplace came just weeks after the dation would turn the health insurance south-east, are down a quarter since the referendum and
US Department of Justice moved to market from one with five big players to offer investors a yield of 8 per cent. Shares in Persimmon,
block Aetnas takeover of Humana. It three, with dire consequences for con- focused on development outside London, trade at 16 per
quickly sparked accusations that it was sumers and employers who foot the bill cent less than they did before the vote and yield 6.3 per
punishing the Obama administration for the private system. cent. Both hold net cash on their balance sheets and are
for torpedoing its deal. In a Facebook post, Elizabeth Warren, committed to paying their dividends for the next five
Those accusations grew louder yes- the Democratic senator for Massachu- years. In a world where UK government debt provides
terday after a letter from Aetna to the setts, accused Aetna of using the health ever-shrinking income, both shares look attractive.
DoJ was leaked, in which the insurer of the American people . . . as a bargain- The fund owns a lease on a stake in Londons Regent Street, above Matthew Chattle/Rex/Shutterstock
warned it would have to reduce its com- ing chip to force the government to bend
mitment to the exchanges if the deal to one giant companys will. Property spreads
were held up, and pull out altogether if it However, critics of the Affordable RICHARD MILNE OSLO fund said the revisions had cut return in the second quarter of Gross yield less 10-year gilt yield
was ultimately blocked. Instead of Care Act, often dubbed Obamacare, JUDITH EVANS LONDON
the returns on its total property 1.3 per cent. It benefited from a (% points)
5
expanding to 20 states next year, we seized on Aetnas decision to pull back Britains vote to leave the EU portfolio, including the UK, by fall in bond yields partly fuelled London
would reduce our presence to no more from the exchanges as further proof that 1.4 per cent, while currency by the Brexit vote. England and 4
has hit Norways $890bn oil
than 10, said the letter dated July 5, the presidents landmark healthcare movements after the June 23 Brexit probably will mean Wales 3
fund, as managers announced
which was signed by Mark Bertolini, law is fundamentally flawed and needs that they had slashed the valu- poll cut them 1.6 per cent more. something for UK market and UK government
2
Aetnas chief executive. It is very likely to be repealed. ations of its UK property port- Almost a quarter of its UK and London property mar- debt is providing
that we would need to leave the public Another health insurer is pulling folio by 5 per cent. NKr222bn ($26.96bn) prop- kets. We did the devaluation 1 an ever-shrinking
exchange business entirely . . . should back due to persistent financial losses erty portfolio is invested in the according to that. However, its income, which
0
our deal ultimately be blocked. on Obamacare plans, tweeted Donald The worlds largest sovereign UK, with 16 per cent of the total really early days to speculate on means that shares
The public healthcare exchanges were Trump, the Republican presidential wealth fund said the move was located in London. the ultimate impact, said 2005 07 09 11 13 16 in housebuilders
launched in 2013 and were quickly nominee, adding that the companys because of increased volatility Overall, the oil fund, which Trond Grande, deputy head of Sources: Thomson Reuters Datastream; Hometrack look attractive
billed as one of the biggest achieve- decision to retrench was only the and uncertainty after the UK holds Norways surplus oil the funds manager.
ments of the Affordable Healthcare Act. beginning. referendum to quit the EU. The wealth, eked out a positive Oslo ruffles feathers page 13 miles.johnson@ft.com
COMPANIES
INSIDE BUSINESS
Technology
EUROPE
T
plans to increase investment in local said. It did not specify the scale of staff- well as providing a strategic partnership China, double that
make such a commitment. he Lion and the Unicorn is an English nursery
R&D at a meeting this week with Zhang ing or financial investment involved. as a secretive Apple team works on of four years ago In last months earnings call Mr Cook rhyme, probably from the early 18th century.
Gaoli, Chinas vice premier. The centre will open later this year, developing its own car, the investment stressed the long-term opportunity in The verses provided the inspiration for a
The move comes after Apple reported bringing together our engineering and was widely seen as an attempt to build $1bn China, where sales grew 55 per cent to thoughtful essay written by George Orwell
revenues fell one-third in the latest operations teams in China as we develop goodwill with the Chinese government $40bn in the first three quarters of during the second world war about the Eng-
Apples investment
quarter in Greater China, where Apple advanced technologies and services for after setbacks in the region. in Didi Chuxing, the Apples fiscal year. Revenues from its lish national character.
faces growing competition from local our products, both for our customers in Earlier this year, Apples iTunes films China car-booking books and movies stores in China were In the modern context of young internet companies val-
smartphone makers such as Huawei China and around the world, it said. and iBooks services were blocked in service, in May less than $1m before being blocked. ued on the stock market at billions of dollars or euros, the
same title would serve nicely for a cautionary tale for
investors. I have in mind the Philippine Long Distance Tel-
ephone Company, which paid 333m in 2014 for a 10 per
cent stake in Rocket Internet, a German start-up incuba-
Industrials. Financial challenge tor. A lion features prominently on the Philippine national
coat of arms.
Arrium steels itself to save Whyalla plant As for the unicorn, it is not only a mythical single-
horned beast but also a term coined by Aileen Lee, a US
venture capitalist and seed investor, to describe any young
tech company with a valuation of more than $1bn.
Two weeks ago PLDT disclosed that its first-half net
ble, including its Molycorp metal grind- income had plunged by a third from a year earlier. One
Canberra government pressed ing unit, which is likely to be sold sepa- cause was an impairment
for more bailout funds as the rately for up to A$1.5bn under a parallel charge, equivalent to about
process run by Deutsche Bank. 90m, incurred for the com-
PLDT is not alone
search for a buyer intensifies But rescuing the steelworks is a finan- panys Rocket investment. In in wondering
cial challenge. It is also a sensitive politi- essence, the lion acknowl-
cal issue in Australia, where the Liberal- edged that its bet on the uni-
if Rocket will
JAMIE SMYTH
WHYALLA, SOUTH AUSTRALIA National coalition had previously corn had gone awry. ever turn in
opposed bailing out industries in dis- PLDTs purchase of its
The politically charged rescue of tress. Rocket stake was an early
regular profits
Arrium, one of two surviving Australian In 2014, the government balked at example of what has become
steelmakers, is entering a critical phase bailing out car manufacturers, precipi- an established trend of Philippine appetite for foreign
with its administrators pressing the gov- tating the end of a near century-old assets. The nation has been going through a long spell of
ernment to stump up more bailout industry. healthy economic growth, and its corporate sector has
funds and intensifying the search for a But with a quarter of Whyallas popu- liquidity to spare.
buyer. lation relying on Arriums steelworks Even so the investment was unusual. It is not every
This week Morgan Stanley will share for employment, the government of day that a former monopoly telecoms group in an
an information memorandum on the Malcolm Turnbull stumped up a emerging south-east Asian economy takes a big chance
group with global steelmakers including A$50m loan to Arrium ahead of an elec- on an internet company that has just sprung up halfway
South Koreas Posco and Japans Nippon tion in July. across the world.
Steel, as well as private equity groups, to Canberra has committed to using Rocket, which was founded in 2007, launched itself on
try and drum up interest. Whyalla steel to upgrade 1,200km of the Frankfurt stock market soon after PLDT bought its
But Arriums administrator told the railway track and strengthen its anti- stake, with an initial share price of 42.50 that valued it at
Financial Times that more public dumping system to bolster the business. 6.7bn. But those days are a distant memory to sharehold-
money and tougher anti-dumping rules But the coalition is reticent about com- ers. The stock price has tumbled to less than 19, giving
are needed to save the companys loss- mitting more money to Arrium before a Rocket a market capitalisation of just over 3bn. PLDT is
making Whyalla steelworks, which is potential buyer is brought to the table. far from the only investor wondering if and when the Ber-
competing against a wave of cheap Chi- Nick Xenophon, whose eponymous lin-based company, and the start-ups it oversees, will ever
nese steel imports. party won three senate seats in South turn in regular profits.
I have $50m from the federal govern- Australia in part due to local concerns If the Philippine lion is licking its wounds, another com-
ment but that is just a loan, says Mark about Whyalla, says that it would be a pany is apparently shedding its illusions about Rocket
Mentha, a partner at KordaMentha, cataclysmic error not to support the Kinnevik, the venerable Swedish investment group.
which was appointed to rescue Arrium, company. Lorenzo Grabau and Erik Mitteregger, who represented
which collapsed in April. I dont need It is in the national interest to have a Kinnevik on the German
loans and I dont need debt. I need strong domestic steel industry and the groups supervisory board,
grants, or I need loans that convert into consequences of not doing so on tax stood down in June, ostensi-
Critics say the
grants. receipts, unemployment and disruption bly because the two compa- German group
KordaMentha is seeking A$150m to steel supply would be terrible, he nies business models were
(US$115m) support from the federal says. converging in a manner
is a copycat, with
and state governments and a similar co- Mr Mentha says: When Morgan that created a potential con- no innovative
investment from a successful bidder to Stanley get off the plane in Korea and flict of interest.
invest in new equipment to make the the Koreans, Japanese or Chinese [bid- This explanation seems
technology
steelworks viable. ders] say what is the governments atti- inadequate. Kinnevik is one
This week it finalised a 10 per cent sal- tude . . . if Morgan Stanley say I dont of Rockets oldest business partners. However, it has
ary reduction with Arriums trade know the bidder will say I have better always adopted a far less gung-ho approach than Rocket to
unions, a deal that will be voted on by opportunities elsewhere. valuing start-ups. Rocket valued Global Fashion Group at
staff before the end of the month. In More public funds would enable 700m at the end of 2015, while Kinnevik, using a more
addition, it has negotiated cost savings Arrium to upgrade its plant to produce cautious methodology, valued it at 400m.
from contractors and suppliers, which more innovative and more profitable The Swedish group retains a 13 per cent stake and hold-
will cut up to A$300m from annual run- products. ings in several of the start-ups. However, it, like other
ning costs by the end of 2017 to move But given the glut of Chinese steel on Swedish companies, prides itself on extremely high stand-
Arrium towards cash break-even. world markets analysts believe finding a ards of corporate transparency and reliable communica-
We are hopeful this sends a loud buyer will be challenging. tion with investors. And many investors are concerned
message to bidders but also to the fed- Burning issue: the lossmaking Whyalla plant is competing against a wave of Chinese imports Alamy Japanese and South Korean steelmak- about the opaqueness of Rockets financial reporting, the
eral and state governments: that ers are more interested in investing in apparent inability of even its strongest start-ups to make a
employees, contractors and the banks, Southeast Asia and have so far profit and delays to the stock market listings planned for
which wont get back 100 cents in the 85 new duties and taxes on steel imports expressed little interest in investing in those start-ups.
dollar, are making a significant contri- Worlds top steelmakers from foreign competitors in the first six Australia. Unless Rocket adopts a more professional approach to
bution to the future of Whyalla, says Production, 2015 (m tonnes) months of 2016 49 per cent more than The US private equity group Black- its responsibilities, Kinnevik may well pull out of the Ger-
Mr Mentha, who previously worked on a year ago, according to Bloomberg. stone was part of a rescue plan sup- man company over the next two or three years.
the administration of the Ansett airline Canberra is reviewing its anti-dumping ported by the companys management Such reservations about Rocket do not necessarily inval-
in 2001. 97.1 ArcelorMittal regime. but this was knocked back by creditors, idate its basic business model. Critics call it a copycat com-
He says Arriums steelworks face the 47.7 Hesteel Arrium was forced into administra- who balked at accepting losses of 50 pany that, without any innovative products or technology,
same challenges as UK, US and Indian 46.4 Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal tion in April owing A$4bn to creditors in cents on every dollar they lent to the merely has a talent for identifying good business models at
steelmakers due to a flood of cheap Chi- 42.0 Posco a move that threatens to close its steel company. other ecommerce companies and applying them to differ-
nese steel exports on world markets. 34.9 Baosteel works in Whyalla, a town of 24,000 peo- Mr Mentha says that he is confident a ent markets. But there are no patents on business models,
He adds that the government needs to 34.2 Shagang ple in the heart of South Australias buyer can be found as long as the federal and what Rocket does borrowing and adapting ideas
be more proactive with anti-dumping 32.5 Ansteel iron triangle industrial heartland. and state governments support the has gone on since the earliest days of civilisation.
measures because there is a time lag 29.8 JFE Steel The sprawling operation is the last company. The real problem is that the German group does not pro-
between their implementation and 28.6 Shougang domestic producer of long structural If the governments do not provide vide satisfactory information to the investors on whom it
market impact. We should deal with 26.3 Tata Steel steel products such as steel beams and the money we have asked for then the counts to fulfil its ambition of being an internet star as big
the problem up front rather than trying rail tracks that are used in big construc- economic, financial and social conse- as Amazon or Alibaba.
to fix the mess afterwards. tion and railway projects. quences for Whyalla are horrendous,
Regulators around the world imposed Source: worldsteel Parts of Arriums business are profita- he adds. tony.barber@ft.com
Technology Technology
Tencent bolstered by focus on mobile gaming Pinterest makes push into video advertising
CHRISTIAN SHEPHERD AND same period a year ago. Revenue rose users can pay for virtual perks such as HANNAH KUCHLER SAN FRANCISCO Jon Kaplan, head of sales at Pinterest, are customising for YouTube or Snap-
NATHALIE THOMAS
52 per cent year-on-year to Rmb35.7bn. new weapons in combat games. who joined the company after being chat, it at least makes sense to bring it to
Pinterest is starting to sell video adver-
Second-quarter profits at Tencent, Like rival Alibaba, which this month Aside from the trend towards mobile vice-president of US sales and opera- Pinterest, if not customise for Pinterest
tising, hoping marketers adopt the
whose products range from instant also posted better than expected sec- gaming, a shift towards mobile advertis- tions at Google, said Pinterest was as well, Mr Kaplan said.
moving image to showcase the beauty
messaging and social networks to ond-quarter figures, Tencent has been ing has helped push up profits, accord- investing heavily in video as users Pinterest, last valued at $11bn, has
products, clothes and homeware that
online games, exceeded expectations increasing the proportion of revenues it ing to Elinor Leung, analyst at CLSA, a have flocked to it. raised $1.3bn from investors, including
are popular on the platform.
as it continued to expand its mobile generates from smartphones. Hong Kong-based investment group. The number of video pins has risen 60 Fidelity, Rakuten and Silicon Valley
gaming business. During the second quarter it made Using a model similar to Facebook, The online pinboard, which wants to be per cent in the past year, while YouTube venture capital firms SV Angel and
Rmb9.6bn in revenue from smartphone the company recently began to include the Google for discovery, is following is now the most popular site pinned to Andreessen Horowitz. The site func-
The Shenzhen-based tech group, which games, a 114 per cent increase on the ads in public areas of its popular WeChat social media companies Facebook, users boards. Earlier this month, it tions as a wishlist for consumers, with 55
recently led a consortium that bought same period a year earlier. messaging app, where they appear Twitter and Snapchat by pushing hard launched its own native video player. per cent of users visiting to shop or find
an 84 per cent stake in Clash of Clans Overall, online game revenues among posts from individual users and into digital video and video advertising. Brands can either make content espe- products, according to the annual
maker Supercell for $8.6bn, made a net increased 32 per cent year on year to official public accounts. Advertisers will be able to buy pro- cially for the site, which has more than report on internet trends by Mary
profit of Rmb10.7bn ($1.6bn) in the Rmb17.1bn. WeChat alone had 806m active moted video pins to show, for example, 100m monthly active users, or repur- Meeker of Kleiner Perkins.
three months to June 30. The vast majority of gaming revenues monthly users in the second quarter, a make-up tutorial or a recipe, and show pose advertising from elsewhere. It expanded advertising internation-
This exceeded forecasts of Rmb9.5bn whether on smartphones or PCs representing 34 per cent year-on-year buyablepinsunderneath,so a consumer It is not just necessarily bringing TV ally earlier this year, opening up to mar-
and was a 47 per cent increase on the comes from in-game add-ons, where growth. can watch a video and click to buy. advertising to the platform, but if you keters in the UK.
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 13
COMPANIES
Cobham chief
steps down
fund for first time in two decades after push
to diversify
Debate continues on Sea change widens loss
future of $890bn
SWF as concerns are LAUREN FEDOR AND NIC FILDES
LONDON
Wynn bets $4bn on Macau gambling recovery as luxury casino opens doors
BEN BLAND MACAU where such gambling is legal. Investors and the economic slowdown in China. Mr Wynn has a reputation for building 2000s, which recouped their invest-
Gambling mogul Steve Wynn spent the
have been buoyed by his enthusiasm, Gross gaming revenue fell 34 per cent Macau casino revenues on some of the best resorts in Las Vegas, ment costs in one year.
past week traipsing around his soon-
with shares in Wynn Macau up more last year to $29bn and the Macau gov- the wane including the Bellagio, Mirage and Mr Wynn accepts that the huge
than 50 per cent in six months, outper- ernment has forecast that it will fall a $bn Wynn, investors are expecting too much growth of Macaus casino industry over
to-open $4.2bn casino in Macau with
forming the other five Macau casino further 13 per cent this year to $25bn. from the new Macau property. the past decade has been an anomaly
his wife Andrea and two German Shep- 50
groups listed in Hong Kong. Despite hyperbolic statements about He notes that the company has but says that the yield per gaming table
herds, inspecting everything from the Forecast
Some analysts believe that the $24bn the attractions of his new hotel, Mr predicted a return on investment of is still the best in the world because of
fancy rooms to the expensive artworks 40
spent on new casinos such as the Wynn Wynn himself is not willing to call the 15-20 per cent, which is three to four the Chinese propensity to gamble.
and the restaurants named after him
Palace will help arrest the slide in gam- turn in the casino market. times more than Studio City and Galaxy He is confident of a reasonable
and his spouse.
ing revenues by attracting enough mass Only time will say where does the 30 phase two, the two most recently return on investment in the current cli-
He jokes that there are 30,000 things market gamblers to replace the high- market settle, he said at one of the opened casinos, have been earning. mate but suggests that much will
that keep him up at night before the rollers who have been deterred by Presi- hotels private villas. Theres the 20 The problem is that while the number depend on the Chinese economy.
Wynn Palace opens on Monday at the dent Xi Jinpings corruption crackdown demand thats there yesterday. And of visitors from mainland China has We are part of China, just as Las
auspicious time of 8pm, but says it then what is the impact of a new place, 10
started to rise again, they are spending Vegas is part of the US, he says. No
takes the public in the building to get it especially one as ambitious as Wynn less than the high-rollers who used to business, no enterprise in any commu-
really shaped up. Gambling mogul Palace. Does it impact or change the frequent Macau. nity runs counter or completely inde-
By building the most expensive casino
Steve Wynn says
nature of the market? That remains to 0 We shouldnt be too optimistic about pendently of the environment in which
that the yield per
in Macau, Mr Wynn is betting he can gaming table in be seen. 2009 12 14 16 the project, says Mr Huang, explaining it exists. To that extent were a passen-
ride out a downturn that has seen reve- Macau is still the Richard Huang, a gaming analyst at Source: Macau Gaming Inspection and that returns have been falling since the ger on the Peoples Republic of China
nue slump in the only part of China best in the world Nomura in Hong Kong, says that while Coordination Bureau first wave of new casinos in the mid- train.
14 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
COMPANIES
Banks Financials
German system creaks as more savers are charged on the fee side, said Kelsey Deshler, a
portfolio manager at Credit Suisse Asset
Management.
Long-only equity funds Viking, Mav-
erick and Tybourne employ benchmark
hurdles so that investors do not feel they
A second co-operative is to are paying fees simply for tracking the
bring in fees on big deposits, market.
The increasing popularity of hurdle
leading to fears of a dam burst rates reflects a shift in power away from
managers, who can command high fees
in times of strong performance, to
JAMES SHOTTER FRANKFURT
investors, as they pull money out during
In late 2014 Skatbank, a small co-opera- periods of underperformance.
tive lender in the province of Thuringia, Clients have withdrawn $28bn in the
sent shockwaves through German first half of 2016, leaving $2.99tn,
finance by saying it would charge, according to eVestment data, as many
rather than pay, interest on large funds lost money in volatile markets.
deposits held on behalf of its private A recent Barclays report forecasts
customers. that the number of funds will fall this
No one immediately followed suit. year, as liquidations tick up 12 per cent
From September, however, Skatbank compared with a historical average of
will have company. Last week the 10 per cent and fewer new funds are
Raiffeisen bank in Gmund am Tegern- able to start.
see, a small, well-off municipality some Investors including Partners Capital,
50km south of Munich, said that from the Orange County Employees Retire-
next month it would charge customers a ment System and New Jerseys pension
custodian fee of 0.4 per cent on depos- have pushed for hurdles.
its above 100,000. On the hedge fund side, Sir Chris
Like Skatbank, the co-operative in Hohns $11bn The Childrens Invest-
Gmund am Tegernsee is small. But with ment Fund in London has helped lead
the European Central Bank charging the change, adding hurdles about three
years ago. Parvus has incentive fees for
its long-only fund on European bench-
I expect others to do the marks since 2004, and in its hedged
same. Given the pressure strategy charges incentive fees every
three years.
on earnings, it is an Hurdles are more clear-cut in closed-
obvious thing to do end structures, which have a time
Radical alternatives: Commerzbank has considered hoarding cash instead of paying a 0.4% fee to park excess deposits with the ECB Marius Becker/epa limit, says Emma Bewley, Connection
Capitals head of fund investment. You
lenders 0.4 per cent on excess deposits have to strike a balance between paying
parked with their national central thrift is prized; second, they are cau- pay for deposits, given the competitive- their earnings, it is an obvious thing for Prof Hellmich says more radical appropriate performance while not
banks, the co-operatives move has tious not to prompt customers to with- ness of the German market. banks to do. action will be needed if interest rates pushing a manager to take excessive
reignited a debate about whether some draw their cash en masse. Other industry watchers disagree. In Prof Hellmich does not expect all cus- remain low. Even if negative rates were risk to beat the hurdle.
of its larger competitors could do the For some in the industry this logic still fact, they say, the dam is about to burst. tomers to be hit, however. Banks will to vanish tomorrow, the German bank- Pension schemes, insurers, and oth-
same. holds. Michael Kemmer, head of the The question was always who would focus initially on clients with large bal- ing model still wouldnt be sustainable, ers had piled into hedge funds seeking
The ECBs policy applies across the association of German banks, said last move first, and I now expect others to ances, as both Skatbank and Raiffeisen- he says. returns uncorrelated to global markets.
eurozone. But German banks have been week he did not think Raiffeisen Gmund do the same, says Martin Hellmich at bank Gmund am Tegernsee have done, Consumer demand and consumer But years of mixed performance have
hit harder than their peers because am Tegernsees move would lead to pri- the Frankfurt School of Finance and he says. behaviour are changing so much that soured investor attitudes toward hedge
many are unable to recycle their glut of vate clients across the board having to Management. Given the pressure on In future I think we will see deposits German banks are going to have to com- funds.
deposits into loans. over 100,000 and deposits below pletely rethink what services they pro- However, performance may be turn-
Analysts at Deutsche Bank have cal- 100,000 treated differently. vide in future, and how and where. ing around. Hedge funds generated pos-
culated that the policy will cost the Ger- Excess liquidity reserves Cost of excess deposits As well as suffering from low interest Germany is the most fragmented itive returns for five straight months
man banking system 787m this year, in Europe Impact of ECB deposit rate change, rates, German banks are struggling to banking market in the eurozone. Its through until July, for returns this year
more than any other eurozone country. By country, as of Jan 2016 by country (m) digest a cocktail of overcapacity, tight- three pillar banking system a mix- of 3.7 per cent, according to a Preqin
In response to this pressure, many (% of eurozones total excess) ening regulation and the costs of digital- ture of smaller savings banks, co-opera- index.
German banks have started to pass on 0 10 20 30 40 0 200 400 600 800 isation. tives and bigger commercial lenders Investors in most private equity funds
the costs of the ECBs levy to corporate Neil Smith, an analyst at Bankhaus may need structural change, according usually receive a preferred return of 8
and institutional clients. Those that can Germany Germany Lampe in Dsseldorf, says a charging for to Hans-Walter Peters, a partner at Ber- per cent on funds before managers
have boosted lending. And some, such France France large deposits could relieve pressure on enberg and president of the association begin earning a share of profits. Hedge
as Commerzbank, have considered rad- Netherlands Netherlands margins. of German banks. funds are adopting the measure just as
ical alternatives, such as hoarding cash, All others Finland Some banks have been increasing The German banking model has the buyout industry moves to drop it:
rather than parking excess deposits Finland Belgium the interest they charge on loans, and if a big advantage. It is able to respond groups including Advent International
with the ECB. Belgium Ireland they are also able to charge retail depos- to the needs of companies of very have raised funds without a minimum
But on the whole the sector has shied Ireland Italy its in a targeted way, then this would different sizes, he told the Frankfurter return.
away from charging retail clients for Italy Spain show that the spread management that Allgemeine Zeitung this week. [But] The practice is also common among
deposits for two reasons: groups fear the many people thought couldnt happen we wont be able to keep the German new start-up hedge funds, as they
stigma of being seen as among the first in Germany is taking place. That would model the way it is. There will be attempt to encourage investors to take a
Sources: Deutsche Bank; Bloomberg; ECB
to punish savers in a country where be quite a positive sign for the system. a consolidation. chance on them.
Insurance Retail
Brexit-linked rise in claims liabilities hits QBE Target cuts guidance on challenging trading
JACKIE RANGE SYDNEY increase in its interim dividend to balance sheet, which is likely to hit reve- LINDSAY WHIPP CHICAGO dropped 2.2 per cent. Targets first quar- which has disrupted consumer visits.
A$0.21 per share. nues, he said. terly decline since 2014 will sharpen The company continues to be
Sliding interest rates and a Brexit- Targets first comparable sales decline
A drop in global interest rates The insurer said that it expected glo- investor focus on Walmarts earnings impacted by challenged consumers
related jump in claims liabilities in two years and falling traffic
of another 0.5 per cent, to almost bal pricing to remain under pressure, today, where US comparable sales are across multiple income demographics,
have knocked 46 per cent from prompted the retailer to cut full-year
z e ro, c o u l d k n o c k a n o t h e r and cut its full-year targets for gross expected to rise 1 per cent. as well as a food business that still needs
first-half profit at QBE, the Australian earnings guidance in a stark warning to
$200m-$250m from QBEs net profit, written premiums from a range of Retailers in the US have had a bumpy to gain traction to drive additional traf-
insurance group. investors over the choppy US retail
Mr Neal said. $14.2bn-$14.6bn to $13.7bn-$14.1bn. ride over the past year or so. Shoppers fic, said Moodys analyst Charlie
environment.
The group set aside an extra US$283m The biggest worry is that margins Investors were also disappointed by are prepared to spend, but they are OShea.
for claims liabilities, a move that it results from QBEs business in Australia The weaker earnings outlook sent Tar- demanding value for money and are The downward revision to its second
blamed on falling bond yields following and New Zealand a region that gets shares down 6.5 per cent to $70.53 spreading across different platforms half expectations recognises that the
the turmoil sparked by the UKs vote to Net profit at the accounts for a quarter of the groups rev- in late-morning trading in New York. from mobile to physical stores. back-to-school/college and holiday sell-
Australian insurer
leave the EU. fell 46% for the enue where it faced declines in pricing Brian Cornell, chairman and chief exec- This has led to competitive promo- ing seasons may not provide meaningful
The insurer earns almost a third of first half compared and inflation in the cost of claims. utive, said he was planning for a chal- tions at a time when Amazons sales sales lift, and we also believe both sea-
its revenues from Europe, including with the same The disappointing results appear to lenging environment in the crucial sec- have soared. Target said it had increased sons will be highly promotional.
the UK. period last year have claimed the scalp of Tim Plant, ond half, which includes the holiday promotions, but analysts said some of In the second quarter, total sales
It is conceivable that we will see a head of QBEs Australia and New Zea- shopping season and back-to-school its offerings may have looked compara- dropped 7.2 per cent to $16.17bn, includ-
further substantial downward step in have collapsed for QBE in 2016, said land business, who is to leave the com- sales. He said Target had the right bly more expensive. It has also been hit ing the lost revenue from the pharmacy
global interest rates, further reducing Angus Nicholson, analyst at IG Markets. pany with immediate effect after strategy to restore traffic and sales by the sale of its pharmacy arm to CVS, divestiture, while earnings dropped 11.6
the insurance sectors investment Insurance profit margin a measure being in the job for a year. growth over time. per cent to $1.07 a share. Excluding the
returns, John Neal, QBE chief executive, of underwriting and investment profit Pat Regan, QBE chief financial officer, Target expects full-year earnings sale, EPS rose 0.5 per cent to $1.23.
said. was 5.8 per cent, compared with 8.6 will replace former divisional chief adjusted for early retirement of debt
Targets first quarterly Two particular areas of difficulty for
Net profit for the first six months per cent in the same period the year executive Mr Plant while the company of between $4.80 and $5.20 a share. decline since 2014 will Target this quarter were electronics and
of 2016 fell 46 per cent to $265m com- before. finds a new divisional head. That compared with earlier guidance of food. Apples sharp sales decline also
pared with the same period last In this low-yield environment, price Mr Neal said that tougher conditions between $5.20 and $5.40. In the second
sharpen investor focus on hurt Target, which said sales of the tech-
year, although the group sought to increases to insurance premiums are in that market required a different quarter, comparable sales dropped 1.1 Walmarts earnings today nology companys products fell 20 per
reassure investors with a 5 per cent going to be the only way to shore up the type of leader for the region. per cent and the number of transactions cent at its stores during the quarter.
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 15
16 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
MARKET DATA
-0.43% -0.57% -0.44% -0.50% -0.85% -0.48% -0.36% -0.159% -0.230% -0.56%
0.90% 0.178% 0.308% 0.34%
Stock Market movements over last 30 days, with the FTSE All-World in the same currency as a comparison
AMERICAS EUROPE ASIA
Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World Jul 18 - Aug 17 Index All World
S&P 500 New York S&P/TSX COMP Toronto FTSE 100 London Xetra Dax Frankfurt Nikkei 225 Tokyo Kospi Seoul
6,893.92 16,745.64
10,537.67 2,043.75
14,628.77 16,497.85
2,163.78 2,168.81 6,695.42 2,016.89
14,532.40
9,981.24
Day -0.43% Month 0.24% Year NaN% Day -0.51% Month 1.02% Year 2.66% Day -0.50% Month 2.89% Year 4.76% Day -1.30% Month -1.06% Year NaN% Day 0.90% Month 1.50% Year -18.39% Day -0.20% Month 1.31% Year 3.04%
Nasdaq Composite New York IPC Mexico City FTSE Eurofirst 300 Europe Ibex 35 Madrid Hang Seng Hong Kong FTSE Straits Times Singapore
5,197.37 22,799.78
48,207.03
1,341.23 8,485.20 8,487.00 2,925.35
5,036.37 47,060.57 1,332.21 21,803.18 2,843.35
Day -0.57% Month 3.34% Year 2.96% Day -0.30% Month 3.20% Year 9.68% Day -0.85% Month 0.46% Year -12.41% Day -1.56% Month -0.52% Year -21.99% Day -0.48% Month 5.27% Year -4.97% Day -0.54% Month -2.80% Year -8.70%
Dow Jones Industrial New York Bovespa So Paulo CAC 40 Paris FTSE MIB Milan Shanghai Composite Shanghai BSE Sensex Mumbai
58,248.49 3,109.55
4,417.68 16,762.73 3,036.60 28,005.37
18,559.01 16,528.36
18,469.89 56,698.06 27,746.66
4,330.13
Day -0.44% Month -0.24% Year 5.69% Day -1.03% Month 4.86% Year 23.43% Day -0.96% Month 1.03% Year -10.87% Day -1.58% Month -1.31% Year -29.39% Day -0.01% Month 1.81% Year -21.58% Day -0.21% Month 0.61% Year -0.22%
Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous
Argentina Merval 15217.60 15230.81 CyprusCSE M&P Gen 67.38 67.76 Italy FTSE Italia All-Share 18163.99 18440.65 Philippines Manila Comp 7946.19 7983.38 Taiwan Weighted Pr 9117.70 9110.36 Cross-Border DJ Global Titans ($) 246.76 247.64
Australia All Ordinaries 5628.10 5625.70 Czech Republic
PX 850.80 856.30 FTSE Italia Mid Cap 29923.26 30245.89 Poland Wig 47973.25 48463.51 Thailand Bangkok SET 1531.63 1537.52 Euro Stoxx 50 (Eur) 2982.88 3016.19
S&P/ASX 200 5535.00 5532.00 Denmark
OMXC Copenahgen 20 990.99 996.35 FTSE MIB 16528.36 16792.96 Portugal PSI 20 4704.87 4757.88 Turkey BIST 100 77707.13 78472.57 Euronext 100 ID 870.27 877.82
S&P/ASX 200 Res 3039.80 3000.10 Egypt EGX 30 8453.53 8351.07 Japan 2nd Section 4355.32 4295.93 PSI General 2514.25 2544.28 UAE Abu Dhabi General Index 4542.84 4559.90 FTSE 4Good Global ($) 5464.13 5482.63
Austria ATX 2251.54 2276.46 Estonia
OMX Tallinn 1002.53 1001.73 Nikkei 225 16745.64 16596.51 Romania BET Index 6870.47 6865.23 UK FT 30 2979.40 2997.20 FTSE All World 276.43 277.44
Belgium BEL 20 3495.52 3524.40 Finland
OMX Helsinki General 7979.72 8001.14 S&P Topix 150 1082.52 1068.99 Russia Micex Index 1971.91 1975.80 FTSE 100 6859.15 6893.92 FTSE E300 1341.23 1352.75
BEL Mid 5880.32 5930.18 FranceCAC 40 4417.68 4460.44 Topix 1311.13 1298.47 RTX 969.66 974.82 FTSE 4Good UK 6100.59 6128.66 FTSE Eurotop 100 2637.21 2659.04
Brazil Bovespa 58248.49 58855.43 SBF 120 3503.95 3538.21 Jordan Amman SE 2108.94 2115.27 Saudi-Arabia TADAWUL All Share Index 6328.55 6357.57 FTSE All Share 3731.81 3748.86 FTSE Global 100 ($) 1359.51 1363.34
Canada S&P/TSX 60 850.40 854.28 Germany M-DAX 21469.98 21677.55 Kenya NSE 20 3485.36 3445.60 Singapore FTSE Straits Times 2843.35 2858.80 FTSE techMARK 100 4356.07 4371.28 FTSE Gold Min ($) 2011.71 2026.34
S&P/TSX Comp 14628.77 14703.44 TecDAX 1698.02 1728.67 Kuwait KSX Market Index 5507.05 5492.25 Slovakia SAX 318.62 320.30 USA DJ Composite 6410.33 6431.25 FTSE Latibex Top (Eur) 3336.30 3339.10
S&P/TSX Met & Min 670.38 688.63 XETRA Dax 10537.67 10676.65 Latvia OMX Riga 637.94 634.97 Slovenia SBI TOP 715.05 715.34 DJ Industrial 18469.89 18552.02 FTSE Multinationals ($) 1568.61 1574.18
Chile IGPA Gen 20431.52 20615.38 Greece Athens Gen 567.49 572.43 Lithuania OMX Vilnius 532.74 535.14 South Africa FTSE/JSE All Share 52309.70 52396.40 DJ Transport 7832.70 7850.79 FTSE World ($) 489.39 491.14
China FTSE A200 8483.57 8493.67 FTSE/ASE 20 1507.51 1520.98 Luxembourg LuxX 1579.07 1599.50 FTSE/JSE Res 20 31239.57 31609.93 DJ Utilities 672.74 673.38 FTSEurofirst 100 (Eur) 3764.86 3796.27
FTSE B35 9667.14 9660.33 Hong Kong Hang Seng 22799.78 22910.84 Malaysia FTSE Bursa KLCI 1694.32 1699.89 FTSE/JSE Top 40 45386.78 45392.84 Nasdaq 100 4772.62 4797.19 FTSEurofirst 80 (Eur) 4091.58 4138.73
Shanghai A 3255.33 3255.78 HS China Enterprise 9641.76 9707.99 Mexico IPC 48207.03 48351.96 South Korea Kospi 2043.75 2047.76 Nasdaq Cmp 5197.37 5227.11 MSCI ACWI Fr ($) 420.18 422.03
Shanghai B 355.24 355.28 HSCC Red Chip 3906.40 3916.09 Morocco MASI 9969.36 9948.26 Kospi 200 256.04 256.15 NYSE Comp 10758.23 10809.74 MSCI All World ($) 1730.94 1739.43
Shanghai Comp 3109.55 3109.99 Hungary Bux 27790.97 27671.68 Netherlands AEX 447.57 451.40 Spain IBEX 35 8487.00 8621.70 S&P 500 2168.81 2178.15 MSCI Europe (Eur) 1399.48 1411.50
Shenzhen A 2137.46 2130.69 India BSE Sensex 28005.37 28064.61 AEX All Share 684.86 690.59 Sri Lanka CSE All Share 6577.95 6582.60 Wilshire 5000 21224.32 21238.05 MSCI Pacific ($) 2376.62 2392.09
Shenzhen B 1173.09 1170.46 S&P CNX 500 6627.95 6634.30 New Zealand NZX 50 7355.02 7310.67 Sweden OMX Stockholm 30 1345.44 1359.14 Venezuela IBC 12272.25 12435.81 S&P Euro (Eur) 1369.78 1385.13
Colombia COLCAP 1342.69 1323.66 Indonesia Jakarta Comp 5371.85 5320.56 Nigeria SE All Share 27316.52 27246.88 OMX Stockholm AS 480.68 485.01 Vietnam VNI 660.51 658.11 S&P Europe 350 (Eur) 1378.35 1390.30
Croatia CROBEX 1789.03 1784.99 Ireland ISEQ Overall 6040.80 6035.05 Norway Oslo All Share 663.11 665.18 Switzerland SMI Index 8153.80 8215.45 S&P Global 1200 ($) 1915.32 1924.87
Israel Tel Aviv 100 12.92 12.86 Pakistan KSE 100 40057.52 40057.52 Stoxx 50 (Eur) 2848.42 2867.87
(c) Closed. (u) Unavaliable. Correction. Subject to official recalculation. For more index coverage please see www.ft.com/worldindices. A fuller version of this table is available on the ft.com research data archive.
CURRENCIES
DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND
Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's
Aug 17 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Aug 17 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Aug 17 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Aug 17 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change
Argentina Argentine Peso 14.6875 0.0100 16.5609 0.0340 19.1129 0.0828 Indonesia Indonesian Rupiah 13096.0000 - 14766.3811 20.2722 17041.9009 62.3290 Poland Polish Zloty 3.8086 0.0133 4.2943 0.0208 4.9561 0.0353 ..Three Month 0.7687 -0.0028 0.8663 -0.0020 - -
Australia Australian Dollar 1.3099 0.0076 1.4770 0.0106 1.7046 0.0161 Israel Israeli Shekel 3.7951 0.0093 4.2791 0.0164 4.9385 0.0301 Romania Romanian Leu 3.9702 0.0083 4.4765 0.0155 5.1664 0.0297 ..One Year 0.7695 -0.0028 0.8657 -0.0020 - -
Bahrain Bahrainin Dinar 0.3771 0.0000 0.4251 0.0006 0.4907 0.0019 Japan Japanese Yen 100.2950 -0.1600 113.0875 -0.0248 130.5143 0.2697 Russia Russian Ruble 64.0488 -0.0912 72.2181 -0.0035 83.3469 0.1864 United States United States Dollar - - 1.1275 0.0015 1.3013 0.0048
Bolivia Bolivian Boliviano 6.9450 - 7.8308 0.0108 9.0376 0.0330 ..One Month 100.2949 -0.1602 113.0875 -0.0248 130.5142 0.2696 Saudi Arabia Saudi Riyal 3.7504 - 4.2288 0.0058 4.8804 0.0178 ..One Month - - 1.1274 -0.1690 1.3014 0.0048
Brazil Brazilian Real 3.2155 0.0303 3.6256 0.0391 4.1843 0.0546 ..Three Month 100.2946 -0.1608 113.0875 -0.0248 130.5140 0.2692 Singapore Singapore Dollar 1.3443 0.0033 1.5158 0.0059 1.7493 0.0107 ..Three Month - - 1.1271 -0.1690 1.3015 0.0048
Canada Canadian Dollar 1.2861 -0.0025 1.4501 -0.0008 1.6736 0.0029 ..One Year 100.2933 -0.1633 113.0875 -0.0248 130.5142 0.2685 South Africa South African Rand 13.4438 0.1054 15.1585 0.1394 17.4944 0.2006 ..One Year - - 1.1256 -0.1690 1.3024 0.0048
Chile Chilean Peso 657.9500 8.2600 741.8704 10.3199 856.1930 13.8399 Kenya Kenyan Shilling 101.4000 -0.1000 114.3334 0.0445 131.9522 0.3528 South Korea South Korean Won 1108.4000 16.1000 1249.7746 19.8455 1442.3654 26.1480 Venezuela Venezuelan Bolivar Fuerte 9.9850 0.0050 11.2586 0.0211 12.9935 0.0540
China Chinese Yuan 6.6310 0.0050 7.4768 0.0159 8.6289 0.0380 Kuwait Kuwaiti Dinar 0.3015 - 0.3399 0.0005 0.3923 0.0014 Sweden Swedish Krona 8.4183 -0.0035 9.4920 0.0091 10.9547 0.0355 Vietnam Vietnamese Dong 22301.5000 -3.5000 25146.0356 30.5672 29021.0896 101.5525
Colombia Colombian Peso 2913.1350 -6.1700 3284.7011 -2.4348 3790.8742 5.8599 Malaysia Malaysian Ringgit 4.0140 0.0285 4.5260 0.0383 5.2234 0.0560 Switzerland Swiss Franc 0.9626 -0.0010 1.0854 0.0004 1.2526 0.0033 European Union Euro 0.8869 -0.0012 - - 1.1541 0.0026
Costa Rica Costa Rican Colon 549.0300 0.5300 619.0579 1.4472 714.4549 3.2994 Mexico Mexican Peson 18.1938 0.1880 20.5143 0.2399 23.6756 0.3303 Taiwan New Taiwan Dollar 31.4165 0.1930 35.4236 0.2660 40.8824 0.3997 ..One Month 0.8868 -0.0012 - - 1.1540 0.0026
Czech Republic Czech Koruna 23.9635 -0.0343 27.0200 -0.0015 31.1838 0.0695 New Zealand New Zealand Dollar 1.3828 0.0038 1.5592 0.0064 1.7995 0.0115 Thailand Thai Baht 34.7005 0.1185 39.1265 0.1872 45.1559 0.3187 ..Three Month 0.8864 -0.0012 - - 1.1539 0.0026
Denmark Danish Krone 6.5992 -0.0088 7.4409 0.0004 8.5876 0.0201 Nigeria Nigerian Naira 321.2500 - 362.2249 0.4976 418.0439 1.5285 Tunisia Tunisian Dinar 2.1927 -0.0026 2.4724 0.0005 2.8534 0.0071 ..One Year 0.8850 -0.0013 - - 1.1533 0.0026
Egypt Egyptian Pound 8.8784 -0.0017 10.0108 0.0118 11.5535 0.0400 Norway Norwegian Krone 8.2232 0.0052 9.2720 0.0185 10.7008 0.0458 Turkey Turkish Lira 2.9298 0.0005 3.3034 0.0051 3.8125 0.0146
Hong Kong Hong Kong Dollar 7.7543 -0.0008 8.7433 0.0112 10.0907 0.0359 Pakistan Pakistani Rupee 104.6550 -0.0150 118.0036 0.1452 136.1880 0.4785 United Arab Emirates UAE Dirham 3.6731 0.0000 4.1415 0.0057 4.7798 0.0175
Hungary Hungarian Forint 275.8991 0.7659 311.0896 1.2897 359.0286 2.3057 Peru Peruvian Nuevo Sol 3.3140 0.0036 3.7367 0.0091 4.3125 0.0204 United Kingdom Pound Sterling 0.7685 -0.0028 0.8665 -0.0020 - -
India Indian Rupee 66.7700 - 75.2864 0.1034 86.8881 0.3177 Philippines Philippine Peso 46.3835 0.1385 52.2996 0.2278 60.3590 0.4003 ..One Month 0.7685 -0.0028 0.8664 -0.0020 - -
Rates are derived from WM Reuters Spot Rates and MorningStar (latest rates at time of production). Some values are rounded. Currency redenominated by 1000. The exchange rates printed in this table are also available at www.FT.com/marketsdata
UK SERIES
FTSE ACTUARIES SHARE INDICES www.ft.com/equities FT 30 INDEX FTSE SECTORS: LEADERS & LAGGARDS FTSE 100 SUMMARY
Produced in conjunction with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Aug 17 Aug 16 Aug 15 Aug 12 Aug 11 Yr Ago High Low Year to date percentage changes Closing Day's Closing Day's
Strlg Day's Euro Strlg Strlg Year Div P/E X/D Total FT 30 2979.40 2997.20 3030.40 3031.40 3009.70 0.00 3038.80 2508.90 Industrial Metals & 143.34 Consumer Goods 14.31 Media 3.84 FTSE 100 Price Change FTSE 100 Price Change
Aug 17 chge% Index Aug 16 Aug 15 ago yield% Cover ratio adj Return FT 30 Div Yield 1.54 1.54 1.52 1.53 1.53 0.00 3.93 2.74 Mining 64.16 Chemicals 13.73 Electricity 3.55 3I Group PLC 621.00 -4.00 Legal & General Group PLC 210.60 -1.10
FTSE 100 (100) 6859.15 -0.50 6170.24 6893.92 6941.19 6526.29 3.68 0.68 40.10 188.99 5538.61 P/E Ratio net 28.89 29.03 29.34 29.24 29.15 0.00 19.44 14.26 Tech Hardware & Eq 55.07 Oil Equipment & Serv 13.57 FTSE 250 Index 2.82 Admiral Group PLC 2081 -173.00 Lloyds Banking Group PLC 53.48 -0.47
FTSE 250 (250) 17758.68 -0.28 15975.05 17808.50 17929.27 17616.94 2.60 1.93 19.88 298.66 12582.39 FT 30 since compilation: 4198.4 high: 19/07/1999; low49.4 26/06/1940Base Date: 1/7/35 Basic Materials 54.40 Construct & Material 13.54 Household Goods & Ho 0.68 Anglo American PLC 865.70 -24.30 London Stock Exchange Group PLC 2797 -84.00
FTSE 250 ex Inv Co (209) 19096.09 -0.34 17178.14 19161.24 19287.81 19205.05 2.64 2.06 18.40 326.83 13798.80 FT 30 hourly changes Technology 39.19 Gas Water & Multi 13.35 Automobiles & Parts -0.45 Antofagasta PLC 542.50 -16.00 Marks And Spencer Group PLC 336.40 -1.10
FTSE 350 (350) 3790.01 -0.47 3409.35 3807.81 3833.87 3631.74 3.50 0.83 34.34 97.68 6155.40 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 High Low Industrial Eng 34.77 Beverages 12.67 Financial Services -1.38 Arm Holdings PLC 1687 - Mediclinic International PLC 1091 -19.00
FTSE 350 ex Investment Trusts (309) 3762.78 -0.48 3384.85 3780.95 3806.74 3610.03 3.53 0.83 34.25 97.96 3147.45 2997.2 2989 2990 2995.1 2987.7 2987.4 2984.9 2976.5 2981.6 3006 2976.5 Oil & Gas Producers 27.59 Nonlife Insurance 11.73 Consumer Services -1.83 Ashtead Group PLC 1228 -4.00 Merlin Entertainments PLC 479.90 1.80
FTSE 350 Higher Yield (125) 3557.31 -0.48 3200.03 3574.41 3595.82 3357.44 4.85 0.40 51.46 124.49 5989.37 FT30 constituents and recent additions/deletions can be found at www.ft.com/ft30 Oil & Gas 27.11 Industrials 11.45 Telecommunications -2.35 Associated British Foods PLC 2972 -10.00 Mondi PLC 1599 -12.00
FTSE 350 Lower Yield (225) 3650.75 -0.45 3284.08 3667.44 3696.10 3556.87 1.97 2.04 24.94 55.94 3927.69 Tobacco 26.14 Aerospace & Defense 11.37 Food Producers -2.36 Astrazeneca PLC 5069 -28.00 Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC 187.50 -2.10
FTSE SmallCap (279) 4886.69 -0.10 4395.89 4891.55 4903.18 4696.60 2.76 1.38 26.35 84.69 6825.77 Industrial Transport 22.06 Utilities 11.33 Travel & Leisure -3.78
FTSE SmallCap ex Inv Co (144) 4321.17 -0.05 3887.17 4323.40 4341.04 4281.63 2.81 1.87 19.07 77.11 6338.61 FX: EFFECTIVE INDICES Forestry & Paper 21.81 FTSE 100 Index 10.79 Financials -4.96
Aviva PLC 413.90 -3.10 National Grid PLC 1070 -11.00
Babcock International Group PLC 1021 7.00 Next PLC 5360 -25.00
FTSE All-Share (629) 3731.81 -0.45 3357.00 3748.86 3773.93 3576.32 3.48 0.85 33.98 95.10 6129.21 Personal Goods 21.37 Health Care Eq & Srv 9.58 Leisure Goods -7.59
Aug 16 Aug 15 Mnth Ago Aug 17 Aug 16 Mnth Ago Bae Systems PLC 522.50 1.00 Old Mutual PLC 209.00 -4.50
FTSE All-Share ex Inv Co (453) 3688.65 -0.47 3318.18 3706.17 3731.25 3541.13 3.52 0.84 33.74 95.47 3135.96 Software & Comp Serv 21.26 FTSE All{HY-}Share Index 9.23 Real Est Invest & Tr -8.24 Barclays PLC 160.15 -1.60 Paddy Power Betfair PLC 9720 65.00
FTSE All-Share ex Multinationals (565) 1131.39 -0.41 843.53 1136.05 1145.38 1243.06 3.13 1.41 22.67 24.53 1971.27 Australia 91.86 92.32 92.55 Sweden 78.68 78.80 78.65 Electronic & Elec Eq 18.75 Equity Invest Instr 9.11 Life Insurance -9.05 Barratt Developments PLC 448.20 6.50 Pearson PLC 882.50 -6.00
FTSE Fledgling (104) 8201.27 -0.45 7377.56 8238.72 8186.78 7917.00 2.51 -0.01-2744.97 123.46 15020.40 Canada 90.37 90.27 90.37 Switzerland 160.28 159.71 159.44 Pharmace & Biotech 15.35 Support Services 6.23 Banks -9.17 Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC 2491 -6.00 Persimmon PLC 1748 12.00
FTSE Fledgling ex Inv Co (53) 10711.25 -0.79 9635.44 10796.17 10651.38 10882.48 2.68 -1.10 -33.87 167.69 19084.08 Denmark 107.84 107.77 107.49 UK 77.15 76.88 79.80 Health Care 14.84 Mobile Telecomms 5.56 General Retailers -9.85 Bhp Billiton PLC 1046 -3.50 Provident Financial PLC 2834 -1.00
FTSE All-Small (383) 3388.85 -0.12 3048.48 3392.86 3399.35 3257.73 2.75 1.31 27.85 58.34 6077.08 Japan 152.61 152.13 145.61 USA 98.57 99.04 100.66 NON FINANCIALS Index 14.34 FTSE SmallCap Index 5.31 Fixed Line Telecomms -14.31 BP PLC 432.75 -3.50 Prudential PLC 1397.5 -18.00
FTSE All-Small ex Inv Co Index (197) 3222.06 -0.09 2898.44 3224.83 3235.34 3195.13 2.80 1.73 20.57 57.26 5987.88 New Zealand 116.30 116.01 116.51 Euro 89.62 89.53 88.67 Food & Drug Retailer 5.13 Real Est Invest & Se -21.08 British American Tobacco PLC 4947 -21.00 Randgold Resources LD 8385 -200.00
FTSE AIM All-Share Index (820) 780.52 -0.38 702.13 783.50 784.66 751.18 1.64 0.67 91.45 6.24 847.37 Norway 88.14 88.66 86.67
British Land Company PLC 651.50 -4.50 Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 7487 -34.00
FTSE Sector Indices Source: Bank of England. New Sterling ERI base Jan 2005 = 100. Other indices base average 1990 = 100. Bt Group PLC 395.80 3.20 RELX PLC 1442 -9.00
Oil & Gas (16) 7650.06 -0.24 6881.71 7668.58 7670.37 6684.74 6.07 -0.63 -26.11 351.61 6754.06 Index rebased 1/2/95. for further information about ERIs see www.bankofengland.co.uk Bunzl PLC 2389 -22.00 Rio Tinto PLC 2436.5 -50.00
Oil & Gas Producers (9) 7303.57 -0.23 6570.02 7320.60 7324.92 6330.18 6.13 -0.66 -24.84 340.57 6672.75 Burberry Group PLC 1358 -8.00 Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC 782.50 -5.50
Oil Equipment Services & Distribution (7)15425.92 -0.51 13876.58 15504.60 15341.77 16967.62 4.14 0.50 48.56 394.46 11665.55 FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES Capita PLC 1010 - Royal Bank Of Scotland Group PLC 190.30 -1.30
Basic Materials (27) 4232.14 -1.54 3807.08 4298.48 4245.15 3724.25 2.71 0.17 223.16 67.29 4237.29 Carnival PLC 3646 23.00 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2019.5 4.00
Chemicals (7) 13097.62 -0.05 11782.13 13103.77 13136.78 11974.29 2.26 2.07 21.37 239.20 11496.17 Aug 17 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total
YTD Gr Div Aug 17 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total YTD Gr Div Centrica PLC 230.00 -3.60 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 1927.5 -2.50
Forestry & Paper (1) 18793.90 -0.74 16906.29 18934.94 19040.72 18300.25 2.49 3.97 10.14 347.94 19959.28 Regions & countries stocks indices % % % retn
% Yield Sectors stocks indices % % % retn % Yield Coca-Cola Hbc AG 1702 -10.00 Royal Mail PLC 510.00 -2.00
Industrial Metals & Mining (2) 1794.46 -1.09 1614.23 1814.15 1806.12 986.91 0.00 0.00 466.93 0.00 1566.00 FTSE Global All Cap 7711 475.69 -0.5 2.2 5.5
7.4 662.62
2.5 Oil & Gas 151 349.24 0.3 0.3 14.5 547.48 17.5 3.6 Compass Group PLC 1490 -7.00 Rsa Insurance Group PLC 507.00 -4.00
Mining (17) 11574.11 -1.79 10411.64 11784.79 11603.12 10144.05 2.81 -0.23 -158.05 180.17 6068.75 FTSE Global All Cap 7079 462.39 0.3 7.3 -0.3
0.2 624.68
2.5 Oil & Gas Producers 110 325.26 0.3 0.3 14.0 519.47 17.0 3.7 Crh PLC 2535 23.00 Sabmiller PLC 4378 -4.00
FTSE Global Large Cap 1425 417.88 -0.4 2.0 4.8
6.9 596.28
2.7 Oil Equipment & Services 31 328.65 0.1 0.1 18.4 468.01 20.9 3.0 Dcc PLC 7000 10.00 Sage Group PLC 732.50 -1.00
Industrials (116) 4826.53 -0.23 4341.77 4837.78 4882.05 4558.54 2.36 1.08 39.12 74.33 4877.93
Construction & Materials (15) 6250.76 0.75 5622.95 6204.32 6151.64 5418.44 2.03 0.35 140.05 87.22 6495.65 FTSE Global Mid Cap 1642 644.42 -0.5 2.7 7.0
8.6 854.07
2.1 Basic Materials 256 408.33 0.4 0.4 16.2 610.24 18.5 2.7 Diageo PLC 2178 6.50 Sainsbury (J) PLC 234.40 -0.60
Aerospace & Defense (9) 4721.67 -0.12 4247.44 4727.28 4792.73 4755.17 2.50 -0.50 -80.07 74.36 4964.28 FTSE Global Small Cap 4644 675.13 -0.6 2.6 7.6
9.1 867.77
2.0 Chemicals 125 611.27 0.3 0.3 3.3 918.22 5.6 2.8 Direct Line Insurance Group PLC 373.10 -1.20 Schroders PLC 2749 -36.00
General Industrials (5) 4222.10 -0.50 3798.04 4243.47 4289.22 3680.45 2.87 1.12 31.20 61.94 4671.39 FTSE All-World 3067 277.44 -0.4 2.2 5.2
7.2 407.97
2.6 Forestry & Paper 16 211.66 -0.2 -0.2 8.0 350.04 11.2 3.7 Dixons Carphone PLC 364.70 1.70 Severn Trent PLC 2409 -20.00
Electronic & Electrical Equipment (10) 6272.59 -0.26 5642.59 6288.98 6417.45 5605.04 1.99 1.79 28.03 74.29 5629.89 FTSE World 2542 491.14 -0.5 2.1 5.0
7.0 969.45
2.6 Industrial Metals & Mining 62 333.93 0.3 0.3 29.8 497.55 31.3 2.2 Easyjet PLC 1047 -13.00 Shire PLC 5030 -35.00
Industrial Engineering (13) 10070.23 -1.03 9058.80 10175.47 10316.44 8557.92 2.22 1.30 34.63 190.13 12062.61 FTSE Global All Cap ex UNITED KINGDOM In 7383 492.14 -0.5 2.2 6.2
8.0 675.51
2.4 Mining 53 514.50 0.6 0.6 59.0 766.44 61.6 2.5 Experian PLC 1506 -12.00 Sky PLC 856.00 -4.00
Industrial Transportation (8) 4738.85 -0.39 4262.90 4757.49 4806.17 4242.43 3.64 1.08 25.52 123.38 4101.79 FTSE Global All Cap ex USA 5766 433.73 -0.3 3.7 4.0
6.4 644.29
3.0 Industrials 536 327.56 -0.5 -0.5 9.5 462.43 11.2 2.2 Fresnillo PLC 1927 -55.00 Smith & Nephew PLC 1264 -16.00
Support Services (56) 7021.99 -0.33 6316.72 7045.48 7114.06 6802.16 2.26 1.76 25.09 103.25 7158.39 FTSE Global All Cap ex JAPAN 6447 486.44 -0.4 2.1 6.0
8.0 683.93
2.5 Construction & Materials 111 480.05 -0.3 -0.3 14.6 710.09 16.5 2.0 Gkn PLC 307.40 -1.20 Smiths Group PLC 1342 -8.00
FTSE Global All Cap ex Eurozone 7067 493.23 -0.5 1.9 6.3
8.1 674.15
2.4 Aerospace & Defense 26 537.32 -1.1 -1.1 6.1 751.78 7.7 2.3 Glaxosmithkline PLC 1680.5 -9.00 Sse PLC 1515 -11.00
Consumer Goods (39) 20863.12 -0.14 18767.69 20893.14 20958.03 17334.68 2.64 1.79 21.11 396.88 15023.12
FTSE Developed 2094 444.82 -0.5 1.9 4.2
6.1 624.33
2.5 General Industrials 55 238.11 -0.3 -0.3 9.8 361.48 11.6 2.5 Glencore PLC 192.60 -4.30 St. James's Place PLC 954.50 -4.50
Automobiles & Parts (1) 7224.04 -0.39 6498.48 7252.24 7242.84 6930.29 2.85 1.29 27.32 205.63 6848.30
FTSE Developed All Cap 5678 467.96 -0.5 2.0 4.6
6.4 649.32
2.5 Electronic & Electrical Equipment 69 337.11 -0.7 -0.7 6.5 437.20 7.8 1.9 Hammerson PLC 563.00 -0.50 Standard Chartered PLC 637.10 -16.00
Beverages (6) 17363.04 0.12 15619.15 17342.19 17418.12 13781.57 2.26 1.54 28.75 384.95 12102.23
FTSE Developed Large Cap 898 410.00 -0.4 1.8 3.9
5.8 583.77
2.6 Industrial Engineering 106 612.88 -0.6 -0.6 14.4 853.28 16.4 2.4 Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1311 -27.00 Standard Life PLC 353.80 -1.50
Food Producers (8) 8655.65 -0.23 7786.30 8675.86 8715.32 8496.92 1.91 1.82 28.79 94.31 7329.82
FTSE Developed Europe Large Cap 223 321.70 -0.2 2.8 -2.5
0.7 523.59
3.7 Industrial Transportation 94 548.19 0.0 0.0 10.7 773.14 12.6 2.5 Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 2266 -46.00 Taylor Wimpey PLC 153.00 -0.80
Household Goods & Home Construction (15)13805.96 -0.17 12419.33 13829.20 13880.58 13371.44 2.26 2.55 17.36 178.12 9513.42
FTSE Developed Europe Mid Cap 308 505.14 -0.2 4.8 -1.5
0.9 740.97
2.7 Support Services 75 290.41 -0.6 -0.6 5.3 393.08 6.6 2.0 HSBC Holdings PLC 542.90 0.40 Tesco PLC 156.25 -1.45
Leisure Goods (1) 5237.51 0.64 4711.47 5204.15 5187.47 5519.79 3.26 1.50 20.50 129.52 4540.05
FTSE Dev Europe Small Cap 704 707.22 -0.1 5.6 -3.3
-1.4 1006.41
2.6 Consumer Goods 423 440.80 -0.4 -0.4 5.8 637.42 7.6 2.4 Imperial Brands PLC 4128.5 -10.50 Travis Perkins PLC 1525 -9.00
Personal Goods (6) 27205.60 0.00 24473.15 27204.68 27400.87 22351.45 2.67 3.24 11.56 560.53 17958.41
FTSE North America Large Cap 291 464.85 -0.5 0.8 6.5
8.1 621.00
2.2 Automobiles & Parts 103 356.63 -0.8 -0.8 -6.6 497.14 -4.7 3.0 Informa PLC 707.00 - Tui AG 1028 -3.00
Tobacco (2) 57959.34 -0.37 52138.08 58175.65 58184.76 44066.90 3.22 1.18 26.24 1163.34 36172.38
FTSE North America Mid Cap 394 704.52 -0.7 1.2 10.0
11.2 879.13
1.7 Beverages 48 601.88 -0.6 -0.6 5.3 881.56 6.9 2.5 Intercontinental Hotels Group PLC 3298 -15.00 Unilever PLC 3614 3.50
Health Care (19) 10809.19 -0.57 9723.54 10871.21 11004.69 9501.26 3.15 0.40 78.36 299.10 8133.88
FTSE North America Small Cap 1474 712.09 -0.8 1.6 11.0
12.2 864.45
1.7 Food Producers 104 618.94 -0.4 -0.4 10.8 922.45 12.8 2.2 International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 385.20 -9.10 United Utilities Group PLC 986.50 -5.00
Health Care Equipment & Services (8) 7986.00 -1.29 7183.91 8090.41 8172.74 7127.62 1.38 2.02 36.03 64.89 6832.26
FTSE North America 685 312.09 -0.6 0.9 7.1
8.6 426.97
2.1 Household Goods & Home Construction 47 429.29 -0.6 -0.6 6.9 616.98 8.7 2.3 Intertek Group PLC 3603 -14.00 Vodafone Group PLC 235.35 -1.10
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (11)14654.41 -0.50 13182.57 14728.04 14911.91 12865.53 3.32 0.34 88.47 434.85 9818.82
FTSE Developed ex North America 1409 226.85 -0.3 3.5 0.1
2.5 361.90
3.2 Leisure Goods 31 161.19 0.3 0.3 22.2 208.58 22.9 1.3 Intu Properties PLC 307.50 -2.30 Whitbread PLC 4035 34.00
Consumer Services (93) 4752.65 -0.28 4275.31 4765.78 4820.00 4977.35 2.58 1.99 19.49 83.10 4367.02 FTSE Japan Large Cap 176 325.31 -0.9 4.0 -0.7
0.5 411.86
2.4 Personal Goods 79 633.81 -0.3 -0.3 6.1 871.17 7.5 2.0
Food & Drug Retailers (7) 2677.35 -0.82 2408.45 2699.42 2710.51 3100.23 1.55 2.46 26.24 30.18 3095.32 Itv PLC 195.40 -0.50 Wolseley PLC 4223 -36.00
FTSE Japan Mid Cap 307 501.81 -0.7 4.1 2.1
3.1 612.41
2.0 Tobacco 11 1364.89 0.5 0.5 12.1 2721.44 14.4 3.5 Johnson Matthey PLC 3345 -4.00 Worldpay Group PLC 306.10 -1.40
General Retailers (31) 2596.40 -0.27 2335.63 2603.54 2641.63 3186.08 2.89 2.13 16.21 44.67 2895.80
FTSE Global wi JAPAN Small Cap 781 542.53 -0.9 2.9 3.1
4.3 684.59
2.2 Health Care 176 461.35 -0.8 -0.8 0.7 652.38 2.2 2.0 Kingfisher PLC 358.00 -1.70 WPP PLC 1760 -4.00
Media (21) 7708.34 -0.37 6934.14 7736.67 7822.27 7384.22 2.82 1.82 19.55 150.21 4643.93
FTSE Japan 483 136.13 -0.8 4.0 -0.2
1.0 193.58
2.3 Health Care Equipment & Services 63 720.04 -0.7 -0.7 10.8 830.65 11.5 1.0 Land Securities Group PLC 1076 -7.00
Travel & Leisure (34) 8412.19 -0.05 7567.29 8416.45 8517.02 8426.83 2.50 1.99 20.12 147.41 7807.21
FTSE Asia Pacific Large Cap ex Japan 549 594.70 0.1 4.1 9.9
12.4 909.67
3.1 Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 113 338.88 -0.8 -0.8 -2.6 499.47 -0.8 2.3
Telecommunications (6) 3851.70 -0.11 3464.85 3855.88 3905.71 4107.89 4.44 -0.23 -96.34 115.66 4159.48 FTSE Asia Pacific Mid Cap ex Japan 420 824.82 0.4 4.5 10.4
12.5 1211.94
2.7 Consumer Services 391 402.85 -0.5 -0.5 3.4 529.58 4.6 1.8
Fixed Line Telecommunications (4) 4595.42 0.66 4133.87 4565.16 4617.12 5234.72 3.70 1.74 15.52 115.79 4085.36
Mobile Telecommunications (2) 5295.18 -0.52 4763.34 5322.65 5395.78 5447.01 4.83 -1.04 -19.83 172.86 5124.06
FTSE Asia Pacific Small Cap ex Japan
FTSE Asia Pacific Ex Japan
1442 532.49
969 472.25
0.2
0.1
3.3
4.2
6.7
8.6
10.0
12.4
771.38
2.6 Food & Drug Retailers
767.43
3.1 General Retailers
53 306.83
123 564.80
-0.3
-0.8
-0.3
-0.8
2.3 420.03
6.0 723.50
3.7
7.1
1.9
1.5
UK STOCK MARKET TRADING DATA
Utilities (7) 9128.50 -0.97 8211.66 9218.26 9369.06 8396.50 4.45 1.72 13.06 303.54 10065.95 FTSE Emerging All Cap 2033 658.81 -0.2 4.8 15.3
18.0 961.38
2.9 Media 84 300.39 -0.5 -0.5 3.8 396.23 5.2 2.0 Aug 17 Aug 16 Aug 15 Aug 12 Aug 11 Yr Ago
Electricity (2) 8855.44 -0.74 7966.03 8921.64 9089.47 8868.79 5.60 1.47 12.18 484.22 12442.38 FTSE Emerging Large Cap 527 620.70 -0.2 4.8 15.2
18.0 912.05
3.0 Travel & Leisure 131 378.13 -0.2 -0.2 -0.9 502.03 0.3 1.9 SEAQ Bargains 3986.00 4096.00 4591.00 4591.00 4591.00 4462.00
Gas Water & Multiutilities (5) 8690.93 -1.03 7818.04 8781.29 8919.81 7824.73 4.18 1.80 13.29 245.09 9578.79 FTSE Emerging Mid Cap 446 852.61 -0.2 5.1 20.1
22.5 1234.42
2.6 Telecommunication 91 171.39 -1.0 -1.0 8.8 310.13 11.9 3.9 Order Book Turnover (m) 67.21 47.39 125.43 125.43 125.43 104.93
Financials (288) 4288.32 -0.64 3857.62 4315.83 4354.69 4817.18 3.97 1.38 18.28 127.88 3863.54 FTSE Emerging Small Cap 1060 681.04 0.3 4.3 10.6
13.0 955.99
2.7 Fixed Line Telecommuniations 42 144.29 -1.4 -1.4 8.8 286.47 12.3 4.4 Order Book Bargains 705793.00 609169.00 755156.00 755156.00 755156.00 734968.00
Banks (11) 3372.22 -0.53 3033.53 3390.06 3422.76 4206.83 5.02 0.82 24.41 140.22 2427.32 FTSE Emerging Europe 112 311.13 -0.3 0.6 16.5
20.3 471.89
4.1 Mobile Telecommunications 49 179.14 -0.5 -0.5 8.7 292.49 11.3 3.3 Order Book Shares Traded (m) 1222.00 1009.00 1260.00 1260.00 1260.00 1311.00
Nonlife Insurance (10) 3085.17 -1.90 2775.30 3144.88 3174.37 2673.90 2.72 2.30 15.98 68.95 5310.34 FTSE Latin America All Cap 236 824.32 -0.8 6.8 37.7
40.0 1237.92
2.9 Utilities 164 258.87 -0.9 -0.9 9.1 487.16 12.1 3.8 Total Equity Turnover (m) 8215.47 6986.83 7211.58 7211.58 7211.58 7583.72
Life Insurance/Assurance (10) 7089.79 -1.07 6377.72 7166.18 7274.86 8077.47 4.16 1.38 17.40 201.97 6695.15 FTSE Middle East and Africa All Cap 219 734.73 -0.9 6.6 18.8
20.9 1114.53
2.9 Electricity 111 281.46 -1.0 -1.0 8.7 523.80 11.6 3.7 Total Mkt Bargains 795424.00 698023.00 842037.00 842037.00 842037.00 822673.00
Index- Real Estate Investment & Services (20) 2416.49 -0.23 2173.79 2422.15 2430.00 3334.39 2.73 3.72 9.83 42.78 6313.55 FTSE Global wi UNITED KINGDOM All Cap In 328 316.30 0.0 1.7 -3.8
-1.1 514.24
3.5 Gas Water & Multiutilities 53 276.47 -0.8 -0.8 9.8 533.96 12.9 3.9 Total Shares Traded (m) 4499.00 4359.00 5729.00 5729.00 5729.00 4961.00
Real Estate Investment Trusts (28) 2672.82 -0.44 2404.37 2684.51 2713.42 3176.27 3.53 4.15 6.83 60.36 3229.23 FTSE Global wi USA All Cap 1945 535.57 -0.6 0.9 6.8
8.3 695.54
2.0 Financials 691 196.75 -0.4 -0.4 -2.0 313.11 0.4 3.3 Excluding intra-market and overseas turnover. *UK only total at 6pm. UK plus intra-market turnover. (u) Unavaliable.
General Financial (33) 7876.38 -0.99 7085.30 7955.24 7979.23 7985.98 3.32 1.86 16.15 188.62 8769.62 FTSE Europe All Cap 1422 374.03 -0.2 3.3 -1.9
1.1 588.79
3.4 Banks 247 167.87 -0.2 -0.2 -5.9 286.15 -3.1 3.9 (c) Market closed.
Equity Investment Instruments (176) 8397.48 -0.02 7554.06 8398.81 8438.66 7701.76 2.50 0.97 41.12 132.58 4494.67 FTSE Eurozone All Cap 644 351.88 -0.3 4.9 -1.9
1.0 560.09
3.4 Nonlife Insurance 68 215.11 -0.6 -0.6 0.3 305.71 2.4 2.6
Non Financials (341) 4524.89 -0.40 4070.43 4543.05 4570.28 4114.47 3.33 0.66 45.77 109.46 6507.52 FTSE RAFI All World 3000 3038 5722.53 -0.3 2.4 5.5
7.8 7370.29
3.2 Life Insurance 51 181.30 -0.8 -0.8 -8.6 281.92 -6.3 3.4
Technology (18) 1995.75 -0.44 1795.30 2004.48 2010.31 1314.07 1.10 1.63 55.62 15.01 2522.95 FTSE RAFI US 1000 998 9528.93 -0.5 0.5 7.8
9.5 12239.61
2.4 Financial Services 152 224.94 -0.4 -0.4 1.1 304.05 2.6 2.2 All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed
Software & Computer Services (12) 2219.35 -0.64 1996.45 2233.55 2249.10 1674.60 1.68 1.62 36.65 26.40 2953.02 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient All-World 3067 336.76 -0.5 2.1 6.7
8.4 459.73
2.2 Technology 188 190.40 -0.4 -0.4 9.3 230.26 10.8 1.7 accurate at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar or the FT. The FT does not warrant nor
Technology Hardware & Equipment (6) 2459.79 -0.30 2212.74 2467.11 2467.35 1457.25 0.70 1.65 86.60 11.42 2844.75 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient Developed Europe 531 278.18 -0.3 3.9 -0.4
1.9 415.29
2.6 Software & Computer Services 92 336.31 -0.5 -0.5 8.4 389.20 9.3 1.0 guarantee that the information is reliable or complete. The FT does not accept responsibility and will not be
Technology Hardware & Equipment 96 139.36 -0.3 -0.3 10.3 174.43 12.5 2.5 liable for any loss arising from the reliance on or use of the listed information.
Hourly movements 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 High/day Low/day Alternative Energy 10 103.87 -0.1 -0.1 0.5 139.33 1.8 1.4 For all queries e-mail ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
FTSE 100 6917.58 6888.54 6882.14 6893.25 6883.36 6878.89 6872.11 6852.87 6864.26 6917.58 6850.39 Real Estate Investment & Services 102 300.03 -1.1 -1.1 6.1 488.13 8.2 2.6
FTSE 250 17870.61 17818.31 17800.95 17831.40 17783.99 17797.59 17787.73 17753.70 17778.35 17874.81 17746.76 The FTSE Global Equity Series, launched in 2003, contains the FTSE Global Small Cap Indices and broader FTSE Global All Cap Indices (large/mid/small cap) as well as the enhanced FTSE All-World index Series (large/
mid cap) - please see www.ftse.com/geis. The trade names Fundamental Index and RAFI are registered trademarks and the patented and patent-pending proprietary intellectual property of Research Affiliates, LLC
Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
FTSE SmallCap 4889.32 4894.42 4887.26 4887.04 4890.60 4896.04 4896.45 4894.10 4892.88 4897.66 4885.99
FTSE All-Share 3761.25 3746.90 3743.33 3749.21 3743.39 3742.02 3738.73 3729.13 3734.88 3761.25 3728.69 (US Patent Nos. 7,620,577; 7,747,502; 7,778,905; 7,792,719; Patent Pending Publ. Nos. US-2006-0149645-A1, US-2007-0055598-A1, US-2008-0288416-A1, US-2010- 0063942-A1, WO 2005/076812, WO 2007/078399 A2,
Time of FTSE 100 Day's high:07:03:00 Day's Low14:00:15 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 6941.19(15/08/2016) Low: 5536.97(11/02/2016) WO 2008/118372, EPN 1733352, and HK1099110). EDHEC is a trade mark of EDHEC Business School As of January 2nd 2006, FTSE is basing its sector indices on the Industrial Classification Benchmark - please see
Time of FTSE All-Share Day's high:07:03:00 Day's Low13:56:00 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 3773.93(15/08/2016) Low: 3046.53(11/02/2016) www.ftse.com/icb. For constituent changes and other information about FTSE, please see www.ftse.com. FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. FTSE is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange
Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence.
Further information is available on http://www.ftse.com FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. FTSE is a trade mark of the
London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence. Sector P/E ratios greater than 80 are not shown.
For changes to FTSE Fledgling Index constituents please refer to www.ftse.com/indexchanges. Values are negative.
Figures in m. Earnings shown basic. Figures in light text are for corresponding period year earlier. Placing price. *Intoduction. When issued. Annual report/prospectus available at www.ft.com/ir
For more information on dividend payments visit www.ft.com/marketsdata For a full explanation of all the other symbols please refer to London Share Service notes.
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 17
MARKET DATA
FT 500: TOP 20 FT 500: BOTTOM 20 BONDS: HIGH YIELD & EMERGING MARKET BONDS: GLOBAL INVESTMENT GRADE
Close Prev Day Week Month Close Prev Day Week Month Day's Mth's Spread Day's Mth's Spread
price price change change % change change % change % price price change change % change change % change % Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs
New Ch Life Ins 32.35 32.05 0.30 0.94 3.85 13.5 13.71 Firstrand 48.98 49.89 -0.91 -1.82 -4881.02 -99.0 5.59 Aug 17 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US Aug 17 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US
Linde 154.80 154.80 0.00 0.00 16.15 11.6 8.37 MTN Grp 127.81 129.10 -1.29 -1.00 -12289.19 -99.0 -11.06 High Yield US$ US$
Petrobras 14.66 14.66 0.00 0.00 1.50 11.4 11.50 Naspers N 2230.00 2135.00 95.00 4.45 -210770.00 -99.0 -1.87 Navient Corporation 06/18 8.45 BB- Ba3 BB 108.58 3.57 0.00 -1.10 2.82 Cummins Inc. 02/27 6.75 A+ A2 A 127.53 3.61 0.00 0.08 2.03
GuosenSec 18.00 18.10 -0.10 -0.55 1.64 10.0 7.33 Altice 13.92 14.13 -0.21 -1.49 -1.11 -7.4 6.75 High Yield Euro Korea Electric Power Corporation 08/27 6.75 AA Aa2 AA- 107.05 5.95 0.00 -0.27 4.38
ChMrchSecs 18.40 18.55 -0.15 -0.81 1.63 9.7 5.20 Bridgestne 3360.00 3325.00 35.00 1.05 -256.00 -7.1 -4.92 Kazkommerts Intl BV 02/17 6.88 B Caa1 B 97.50 - 0.00 0.00 - Archer Daniels Midland Company 12/27 6.75 A A2 A 126.37 3.89 0.00 -0.14 2.31
Softbank 6767.00 6802.00 -35.00 -0.51 566.00 9.1 12.82 Gree Elec Apl 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -6.9 2.94 SouthTrust Bank 12/27 6.57 A Aa3 A+ 128.19 3.55 0.00 -0.10 1.98
Devon Energy 42.83 42.47 0.36 0.85 3.26 8.2 11.86 Lowes 76.01 81.48 -5.47 -6.71 -4.97 -6.1 -6.92 Emerging US$ SunTrust Banks, Inc. 01/28 6.00 BBB+ Baa1 A- 119.63 3.89 0.00 0.03 -
ChStConEng 6.58 6.43 0.15 2.33 0.44 7.2 18.35 CmwBkAu 74.04 76.00 -1.96 -2.58 -4.37 -5.6 -2.50 Mexico 09/16 11.40 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 106.80 1.49 0.03 0.01 0.44 FleetBoston Financial Corp. 01/28 6.88 BBB Baa3 A- 125.65 4.08 0.00 -0.06 -
Ch Evrbrght 3.77 3.76 0.01 0.27 0.24 6.8 9.28 HonHaiPrc 85.00 86.20 -1.20 -1.39 -4.90 -5.5 0.59 Brazil 01/18 8.00 BB Ba2 BB 105.07 4.22 -0.07 -0.16 3.47
Russia 07/18 11.00 BB+ Ba1 BBB- 116.73 2.09 0.01 0.33 1.33 Euro
Yahoo 42.57 42.49 0.08 0.19 2.64 6.6 12.83 SunPhrmInds 785.00 782.70 2.30 0.29 -44.35 -5.3 1.90 Credit Agricole S.A. 03/27 2.63 BBB Baa2 A- 105.07 2.09 0.00 -0.29 0.51
In&CmBkCh 4.88 4.85 0.03 0.62 0.30 6.6 12.44 SampoA 37.04 37.04 0.00 0.00 -2.03 -5.2 -2.16 Peru 03/19 7.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 128.75 1.95 0.00 0.00 1.20
Peru 03/19 7.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 114.01 2.60 0.00 0.20 0.84 Electricite de France (EDF) 03/27 4.13 A A2 A- 122.21 1.91 0.00 0.00 0.33
BakerHu 50.86 51.20 -0.35 -0.67 3.12 6.5 10.71 ChngKng 54.00 55.00 -1.00 -1.82 -2.90 -5.1 2.76 Telia Company AB 09/27 3.00 A- Baa1 A- 120.16 1.06 -0.01 -0.05 -0.52
Pwr Cons Corp 6.36 6.38 -0.02 -0.31 0.38 6.4 7.43 ASML Hld 93.13 97.91 -4.78 -4.88 -4.87 -5.0 1.23 Colombia 07/21 4.38 BBB Baa2 BBB 112.75 2.64 0.00 0.00 1.47
Brazil 01/22 12.50 BB Ba2 BB 108.22 10.43 -0.05 -0.39 9.26 Philip Morris Intl, Inc. 05/29 2.88 A A2 A 122.09 1.02 0.00 -0.08 -
ChinaMBank 18.54 18.62 -0.08 -0.43 1.10 6.3 7.42 Salesforce 76.37 77.96 -1.59 -2.04 -3.87 -4.8 -6.20
Poland 03/22 5.00 BBB+ A2 A- 117.38 2.80 0.00 0.00 1.63 Yen
Hunng Pwr 5.06 5.12 -0.06 -1.17 0.30 6.3 9.52 Infosys 1033.30 1051.80 -18.50 -1.76 -50.10 -4.6 -3.66
Turkey 09/22 6.25 - Baa3 BBB- 111.33 4.17 0.01 -0.31 3.00 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 07/15 0.94 NR WR NR 100.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 -
Citic Secs 18.12 18.94 -0.82 -4.33 1.04 6.1 4.50 KoreaElePwr 58400.00 58900.00 -500.00 -0.85 -2800.00 -4.6 -3.15
AmerAir 36.24 36.75 -0.51 -1.39 2.06 6.0 1.03 NovoB 309.80 309.80 0.00 0.00 -14.70 -4.5 -16.83 Turkey 10/26 4.88 - Baa3 BBB- 104.46 4.37 0.00 -0.47 2.80 Sterling
PingAnIns 39.70 40.10 -0.40 -1.00 2.20 5.9 8.47 ValeantPh 34.19 34.19 0.00 0.00 -1.56 -4.4 32.24 Emerging Euro IPIC GMTN Limited 03/26 6.88 AA Aa2 AA 122.65 4.11 0.06 0.12 1.82
AgricBkCh 3.11 3.09 0.02 0.65 0.16 5.4 9.12 BOE Tech 1.76 1.82 -0.06 -3.30 -0.08 -4.3 -7.41 Brazil 02/15 7.38 BBB- Baa2 BBB 111.75 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.09 B.A.T. Intl Fin plc (Re - British American Tobacco) 09/26 4.00 A- A3 A- 104.67 3.47 0.06 0.29 1.18
ConocPhil 42.79 42.86 -0.07 -0.16 2.19 5.4 -0.29 DukeEner 80.16 80.45 -0.29 -0.36 -3.63 -4.3 -5.67 Mexico 07/17 4.25 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 111.13 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.74 Data provided by SIX Financial Information. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all other London close. *S - Standard & Poors, M -
Mexico 02/20 5.50 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 121.63 2.06 0.00 0.00 0.89 Moodys, F - Fitch.
Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency
Bulgaria 09/25 5.75 BB+ - BBB- 123.05 2.88 0.00 -0.30 1.30
Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all other
London close. *S - Standard & Poors, M - Moodys, F - Fitch.
INTEREST RATES: OFFICIAL BOND INDICES VOLATILITY INDICES GILTS: UK CASH MARKET
Aug 17 Rate Current Since Last Mnth Ago Year Ago Day's Month's Year Return Return Aug 17 Day Chng Prev 52 wk high 52 wk low Red Change in Yield 52 Week Amnt
US Fed Funds 0.25-0.50 16-12-2015 1.00 0.25-0.50 0.00-0.25 Index change change change 1 month 1 year VIX 13.70 1.06 12.64 53.29 11.02 Aug 17 Price Yield Day Week Month Year High Low m
US Prime 3.50 16-12-2008 3.50 3.50 3.50 Markit IBoxx VXD 12.91 0.81 12.10 56.32 10.30 Tr 4pc '16 100.21 0.13 -13.33 -27.78 -58.06 -72.34 102.23 100.00 0.35
US Discount 0.75 16-12-2015 0.75 1.00 0.75 ABF Pan-Asia unhedged 190.04 0.44 1.48 9.67 1.72 10.55 VXN 16.01 1.09 14.92 46.72 13.48 Tr 1.75pc '17 100.67 0.18 5.88 12.50 0.00 -66.67 101.75 100.67 0.29
Euro Repo 0.00 10-09-2014 0.05 0.05 0.05 Corporates( ) 343.23 -0.44 2.80 16.28 4.66 16.38 VDAX - - - - - Tr 5pc '18 107.61 0.10 0.00 66.67 11.11 -85.92 111.02 107.61 0.35
UK Repo 0.25 05-03-2009 0.25 0.50 0.50 Corporates($) 270.91 -0.14 -0.07 8.60 -0.07 8.60 CBOE. VIX: S&P 500 index Options Volatility, VXD: DJIA Index Options Volatility, VXN: NASDAQ Index Options Volatility. Tr 4.5pc '19 111.30 0.07 16.67 600.00 -46.15 -93.00 112.71 110.85 0.36
Japan O'night Call 0.00-0.00 05-10-2010 0.00 0.00-0.10 0.00-0.10 Corporates() 223.83 -0.11 0.04 5.94 0.74 5.63 Deutsche Borse. VDAX: DAX Index Options Volatility. Tr 4.75pc '20 116.57 0.08 33.33 700.00 -68.00 -93.55 117.12 114.45 0.33
Switzerland Libor Target 0.00-0.25 15-01-2015 0.00-0.75 -1.25--0.25 0-0.25 Eurozone Sov() 239.13 -0.32 -0.37 6.14 0.65 7.01 Tr 1.5pc '21 105.73 0.20 17.65 42.86 -50.00 -86.01 137.11 99.91 0.32
Gilts( ) 334.92 -0.57 2.09 16.75 3.84 16.66 BONDS: BENCHMARK GOVERNMENT Tr 4pc '22 120.91 0.21 10.53 31.25 -48.78 -86.27 121.31 114.48 0.38
INTEREST RATES: MARKET Global Inflation-Lkd 258.74 0.03 1.05 8.56 2.22 4.04 Red Bid Bid Day chg Wk chg Month Year Tr 5pc '25 137.29 0.53 10.42 12.77 -30.26 -70.88 138.11 126.02 0.35
Over Change One Three Six One Markit iBoxx Non-Gilts 338.62 -0.40 2.42 14.81 4.15 14.77 Date Coupon Price Yield yield yield chg yld chg yld Tr 4.25pc '27 137.50 0.78 4.00 6.85 -23.53 -61.76 138.26 121.91 0.31
Aug 17 (Libor: Aug 16) night Day Week Month month month month year Overall ($) 239.61 -0.16 -0.31 6.48 -0.31 6.48 Australia 10/18 3.25 103.85 1.44 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -0.53 Tr 4.25pc '32 146.67 1.04 5.05 8.33 -25.71 -54.98 148.92 124.00 0.35
US$ Libor 0.41778 -0.001 -0.001 0.000 0.50744 0.80128 1.19456 1.49822 Overall( ) 332.98 -0.52 2.18 16.18 3.93 16.10 11/27 2.75 107.38 2.01 0.00 0.06 -0.02 0.00 Tr 4.25pc '36 153.03 1.20 4.35 7.14 -23.08 -50.62 155.77 125.16 0.30
Euro Libor -0.40000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.37143 -0.32157 -0.20214 -0.07271 Overall() 233.08 -0.24 -0.23 5.61 0.61 6.13 Austria 10/19 0.25 99.98 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tr 4.5pc '42 171.26 1.29 3.20 4.03 -22.29 -47.77 174.65 134.26 0.27
Libor 0.22938 0.000 -0.003 0.004 0.27688 0.38438 0.50588 0.72225 Treasuries ($) 228.80 -0.20 -0.54 5.54 -0.54 5.54 10/26 0.75 106.40 0.12 -0.03 0.07 -0.10 0.00 Tr 3.75pc '52 172.57 1.24 5.08 5.08 -21.02 -48.97 177.28 125.74 0.24
Swiss Fr Libor 0.000 -0.80300 -0.74160 -0.65720 -0.48500 FTSE Belgium 06/18 0.75 99.89 0.81 0.00 -0.01 0.05 0.69 Tr 4pc '60 195.16 1.19 5.31 5.31 -20.13 -50.00 201.27 136.28 0.23
Yen Libor 0.022 -0.04814 -0.01329 0.01036 0.10214 Sterling Corporate () 123.53 0.05 - - 3.89 10.62 06/26 1.00 108.30 0.15 -0.04 0.04 -0.10 0.00 xd Ex dividend. Closing mid-prices are shown in pounds per 100 nominal of stock. Red yield: Gross redemption yield.
Euro Euribor 0.000 -0.36900 -0.29900 -0.18900 -0.05000 Euro Corporate () 111.18 0.08 - - 0.34 3.48 Canada 08/18 0.50 99.81 0.60 0.02 0.08 -0.02 0.00 This table shows the gilts benchmarks & the non-rump undated stocks.
Sterling CDs 0.000 0.25000 0.37000 0.52500 Euro Emerging Mkts () 880.53 -0.81 - - -5.69 -0.08 06/26 1.50 103.92 1.08 0.01 0.09 -0.04 -0.47
US$ CDs
Euro CDs
0.000
0.000
0.46000
-0.42500
0.65000
-0.32500
0.91000
-0.23500
Eurozone Govt Bond 118.94 0.11 - - 0.58 4.43 Denmark 11/18 0.25 101.85 -0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 GILTS: UK FTSE ACTUARIES INDICES
CREDIT INDICES Day's Week's Month's Series Series 11/25 1.75 115.54 0.06 -0.02 0.04 -0.06 -0.77
Price Indices Day's Total Return Return
Short 7 Days One Three Six One Index change change change high low Finland 05/18 1.00 100.08 0.95 0.00 0.02 0.00 -0.20
Fixed Coupon Aug 17 chg % Return 1 month 1 year Yield
Aug 17 term notice month month month year Markit iTraxx 04/26 0.50 104.07 0.08 -0.03 0.06 -0.06 0.00
1 Up to 5 Years 99.23 0.06 2431.40 0.31 3.26 0.13
Euro -0.45 -0.35 -0.45 -0.35 -0.50 -0.35 -0.40 -0.25 -0.31 -0.16 -0.12 0.03 Crossover 5Y 369.26 -12.07 35.21 40.34 390.04 288.69 France 05/19 1.00 104.32 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2 5 - 10 Years 192.59 0.11 3541.13 1.53 10.33 0.41
Sterling 0.18 0.28 0.20 0.30 0.32 0.42 0.45 0.60 0.61 0.76 Europe 5Y 85.00 -1.98 7.21 7.01 90.43 67.59 11/20 0.25 102.99 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
3 10 - 15 Years 230.50 0.07 4366.71 2.81 15.80 0.85
Swiss Franc - - - - - - - - - - - - Japan 5Y 70.05 -2.51 2.21 -0.87 93.03 64.22 05/26 0.50 103.16 0.17 -0.02 0.07 -0.05 0.00
4 5 - 15 Years 202.02 0.10 3748.12 1.93 12.06 0.60
Canadian Dollar - - - - - - - - - - - - Senior Financials 5Y 111.86 -3.89 10.86 12.50 121.66 80.36 05/45 3.25 157.93 0.94 -0.03 0.06 -0.06 -0.96
5 Over 15 Years 374.43 -0.13 5536.40 6.68 28.41 1.24
US Dollar 0.40 0.50 0.40 0.50 0.45 0.55 0.80 0.90 1.15 1.25 1.45 1.55 Germany 04/19 0.50 103.04 -0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Markit CDX 7 All stocks 194.41 -0.01 3711.29 3.42 15.56 1.06
Japanese Yen -0.10 0.10 -0.10 0.10 -0.30 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.25 0.05 -0.15 0.15 10/20 0.25 103.57 -0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emerging Markets 5Y 236.95 0.32 -2.02 -17.99 313.33 236.63 02/26 0.50 105.81 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Libor rates come from ICE (see www.theice.com) and are fixed at 11am UK time. Other data sources: US $, Euro & CDs: Day's Month Year's Total Return Return
Nth Amer High Yld 5Y 385.62 2.89 -2.66 -4.73 476.69 382.73 08/46 2.50 157.18 0.46 -0.02 0.07 -0.08 -0.87
Tullett Prebon; SDR, US Discount: IMF; EONIA: ECB; Swiss Libor: SNB; EURONIA, RONIA & SONIA: WMBA. Index Linked Aug 17 chg % chg % chg % Return 1 month 1 year
Nth Amer Inv Grade 5Y 71.04 0.63 -0.21 -0.22 91.05 70.01 Greece 04/19 4.75 91.15 8.59 -0.08 -0.21 -0.55 -1.66
Websites: markit.com, ftse.com. All indices shown are unhedged. Currencies are shown in brackets after the index names. 1 Up to 5 Years 314.81 0.07 1.04 1.68 2437.03 1.04 3.52
02/26 3.00 71.51 8.03 -0.02 -0.12 0.17 -1.16 2 Over 5 years 710.16 -0.18 8.61 20.88 5264.39 8.61 21.66
Ireland 10/17 5.50 106.88 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 5-15 years 479.33 0.07 4.11 10.74 3675.08 4.11 12.02
05/26 1.00 105.85 0.39 -0.02 0.06 -0.11 0.00 4 Over 15 years 910.64 -0.26 10.20 24.69 6614.47 10.20 25.25
COMMODITIES www.ft.com/commodities BONDS: INDEX-LINKED Italy 04/19 0.10 100.34 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 All stocks 642.64 -0.16 7.98 18.61 4830.87 7.98 19.57
06/21 0.45 101.01 0.24 -0.01 0.02 -0.08 0.00
Energy Price* Change Agricultural & Cattle Futures Price* Change Price Yield Month Value No of
12/26 1.25 100.85 1.17 -0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 Yield Indices Aug 17 Aug 16 Yr ago Aug 17 Aug 16 Yr ago
Crude Oil Aug 46.36 -0.26 Corn Sep 328.25 0.00 Aug 16 Aug 16 Prev return stock Market stocks
03/47 2.70 112.73 2.14 0.02 0.11 -0.14 0.00 5 Yrs 0.14 0.16 1.29 20 Yrs 1.30 1.30 2.45
Brent Crude Oil 49.42 0.30 Wheat Sep 422.25 -1.50 Can 4.25%' 21 124.34 -0.310 -0.331 -0.20 5.18 76458.68 7
Japan 08/18 0.10 100.56 -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10 Yrs 0.69 0.70 1.94 45 Yrs 1.20 1.19 2.40
RBOB Gasoline Aug 1.41 -0.01 Soybeans Sep 1023.25 2.75 Fr 2.25%' 20 113.56 -1.101 -1.112 0.13 20.31 211628.24 14
09/21 0.05 101.02 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15 Yrs 1.12 1.12 2.29
Heating Oil Aug 1.46 0.02 Soybeans Meal Sep 335.70 -1.30 Swe 0.25%' 22 113.80 -1.700 -1.700 0.36 29.10 226993.43 7
06/26 0.10 101.81 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Natural Gas Aug 2.60 -0.03 Cocoa (ICE Liffe)X Sep 2496.00 11.00 UK 2.5%' 20 372.27 -2.495 -2.396 0.79 6.58 627021.36 27
06/46 0.30 98.44 0.36 -0.01 -0.03 0.15 0.00 inflation 0% inflation 5%
Ethanol - - Cocoa (ICE US) Sep 3040.00 -23.00 UK 2.5%' 24 370.64 -2.098 -2.040 2.52 6.82 627021.36 27
Netherlands 01/19 1.25 104.46 -0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Real yield Aug 17 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago Aug 17 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago
Uranium Aug 26.00 0.00 Coffee(Robusta)X Sep 1748.00 -29.00 UK 2%' 35 269.77 -1.716 -1.712 4.50 9.08 627021.36 27
07/25 0.25 102.74 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Up to 5 yrs -2.19 2.72 -2.16 -0.72 -2.79 2.72 -2.77 -1.34
Carbon Emissions - - Coffee (Arabica) Sep 136.70 -0.60 US 0.625%' 21 104.04 -0.192 -0.241 -0.65 35.84 1186873.37 37
White SugarX 530.80 -13.50 New Zealand 03/19 5.00 108.07 1.78 0.01 0.03 -0.10 -0.89 Over 5 yrs -1.68 25.07 -1.69 -0.91 -1.71 25.17 -1.72 -0.93
Diesel - - US 3.625%' 28 137.30 0.356 -0.241 -0.98 16.78 1186873.37 37
Sugar 11 20.01 -0.21 04/27 4.50 121.89 2.19 0.01 0.03 -0.05 -1.18 5-15 yrs -1.91 9.17 -1.90 -0.77 -2.05 9.19 -2.04 -0.86
Unleaded (95R) - - Representative stocks from each major market Source: Merill Lynch Global Bond Indices Local currencies. Total market
Norway 05/19 4.50 110.76 0.56 0.00 0.03 0.09 -0.14 Over 15 yrs -1.66 30.23 -1.67 -0.93 -1.68 30.28 -1.69 -0.94
Base Metals ( LME 3 Months) Cotton Oct 68.23 0.27 value. In line with market convention, for UK Gilts inflation factor is applied to price, for other markets it is applied to par
02/26 1.50 104.12 1.04 -0.02 0.02 0.11 0.00 All stocks -1.68 23.29 -1.69 -0.91 -1.72 23.41 -1.73 -0.94
Aluminium 1690.00 -3.00 Orange Juice Sep 177.35 -0.40 amount.
Aluminium Alloy 1575.00 15.00 Palm Oil - - Portugal 06/19 4.75 110.51 0.95 0.05 0.15 -0.24 0.10 See the FTSE website for more details: http://www.ftse.com/products/indices/gilts
Copper 4771.00 -42.00 Live Cattle Aug 115.30 -0.58 BONDS: TEN YEAR GOVT SPREADS 07/26 2.88 100.09 2.86 0.03 0.12 -0.20 0.00
Spain 01/19 0.25 100.86 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed accurate
Lead 1876.00 1.00 Feeder Cattle Aug 147.00 -1.55
Nickel 10215.00 -30.00 Lean Hogs Oct 60.15 0.00 Spread Spread Spread Spread 10/26 1.30 102.43 1.05 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar or the FT. The FT does not warrant nor guarantee
Tin 18300.00 20.00 Bid vs vs Bid vs vs Sweden 10/18 1.00 100.02 0.99 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.00 that the information is reliable or complete. The FT does not accept responsibility and will not be liable for any
Zinc 2258.00 0.50 % Chg % Chg Yield Bund T-Bonds Yield Bund T-Bonds 05/25 2.50 123.36 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 loss arising from the reliance on or use of the listed information. For all queries e-mail
Precious Metals (PM London Fix) Aug 16 Month Year Australia 2.01 2.12 0.44 Italy 1.17 1.27 -0.41 Switzerland 05/19 3.00 110.95 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
Gold 1344.00 4.60 S&P GSCI Spt 363.45 0.61 -0.46 Austria 0.12 0.23 -1.46 Japan -0.08 0.03 -1.66 05/26 1.25 117.53 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Silver (US cents) 2003.50 13.50 DJ UBS Spot 85.67 -1.19 -5.19 Belgium 0.15 0.26 -1.43 Netherlands -0.06 0.05 -1.63 United Kingdom 07/18 1.25 102.10 0.16 -0.03 0.06 -0.02 -0.81 Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
Platinum 1124.00 12.00 R/J CRB TR 187.27 -1.29 -5.65 Canada 1.08 1.18 -0.50 Norway 1.04 1.15 -0.53 07/22 0.50 100.97 0.33 -0.03 0.06 0.00 0.00
Palladium 701.00 17.00 M Lynch MLCX Ex. Rtn 231.14 -9.84 -33.05 Denmark 0.06 0.17 -1.51 Portugal 2.86 2.97 1.29 07/26 1.50 108.03 0.66 -0.02 0.04 -0.29 0.00
Bulk Commodities UBS Bberg CMCI TR 13.43 -0.56 -2.28 Finland 0.08 0.18 -1.50 Spain 1.05 1.16 -0.53 12/46 4.25 173.34 1.31 0.00 0.07 -0.39 -1.20
Iron Ore (Platts) 62.15 1.65 LEBA EUA Carbon 5.83 0.00 -22.37 France 0.17 0.28 -1.40 Switzerland -0.50 -0.39 -2.07 United States 07/18 0.75 99.99 0.75 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.00
Iron Ore (The Steel Index) 61.10 -0.70 LEBA CER Carbon 0.40 0.00 -18.37 Germany -0.11 0.00 -1.68 United Kingdom 0.66 0.77 -0.91 07/21 1.13 99.79 1.17 0.02 0.10 0.00 0.00
GlobalCOAL RB Index 67.50 -0.50 LEBA UK Power 2703.00 59.47 107.29 Greece 8.03 8.13 6.45 United States 1.58 1.68 0.00 08/26 1.50 99.30 1.58 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Baltic Dry Index 685.00 -2.00 Ireland 0.39 0.49 -1.19 08/46 2.25 99.30 2.28 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sources: NYMEX, ECX/ICE, CBOT, X ICE Liffe, ICE Futures, CME, LME/London Metal Exchange.* Latest prices, $ Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information Data provided by SIX Financial Information & Tullett Prebon Information
unless otherwise stated.
18 FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 18 August 2016
Bond Global 1431.10 - -10.29 0.00 Crediinvest SICAV Fixed Income Eur 10.91 - -0.01 0.00 EU Multi-Strategy Managed 2.95 3.18 0.04 0.00 Invesco Global Leisure A $ 39.50 - -0.42 0.00 Sterling Bond 1.6220xd - -0.0100 3.14
Asset Management
EUR Accumulating Share Class 14.47 - -0.12 0.00 Invesco Global Small Cap Equity A NAV $ 123.96 - -1.03 0.00
Northern Trust, George's Court, 54-62 Townsend Street, Dublin 2, Rep of Ireland Morant Wright Sakura Fund Sterling Acc Hedged 11.40 - 0.15 0.00
OEI Mac Inc GBP B 148.06 - -4.10 0.00 Pictet-Global Emerging Debt-I USD F $ 397.76 - -2.26 0.00 UK Sterling Long Average Duration - Inst Acc 23.19 - 0.00 - Glob.Consumer Trends Equities (EUR) 153.15 - -1.49 0.00 Japan Synthetic Warrant GBP Hedged Class 134.52 - 36.47 0.00 Yuki Japan Low Price 25230.00 - -213.00 0.00
Giano Capital EUR Inc 4398.20 - 4.97 0.00 Pictet-India Index I USD $ 103.44 - -0.32 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund CHF Cls B SFr 123.28 - 0.87 3.10 International A 278.04 - -0.23 0.00
Odey Naver Fund EUR I 113.78 - -0.51 0.00 Pictet-Russia Index I USD $ 58.28 - -0.19 -
Polar Capital Funds Plc (IRL) Regulated
Renminbi Bond Fund SGD Cls A S$ 170.17 - 1.20 3.23
Sequoia Equity C 186.19 - -1.23 - www.morningstar.co.uk
Asia Pac Eq USD Ord Inc $ 98.01 - -0.27 2.72 Regulated
SWMC European Fund B EUR 13366.99 - -98.95 0.00 Data as shown is for information purposes only. No
Asia Pac Eq USD Inst Acc $ 107.73 - -0.29 0.00 Odey Odyssey USD I $ 122.97 - -0.39 0.00 Pictet-Russian Equities-I USD F $ 55.45 - -0.30 - Asian Financials I USD $ 319.00 319.00 -1.45 - Renminbi Bond Fund YEN Cls A 21433.00 - 150.00 0.00 offer is made by Morningstar or this publication.
SWMC UK Fund B 11457.22 - -18.44 0.00 UBS Asset Management (UK)
Asia Pac Eq USD Inst Inc $ 109.31 - -0.30 3.29 Odey Swan Fund EUR I 64.95 - -0.12 0.00 Pictet-Security-I USD F $ 210.83 - -0.70 - Biotechnology I USD $ 16.65 16.65 -0.24 0.00 Renminbi Bond Fund EUR Cls A 115.60 - 0.81 3.26 21 Lombard Street, London, EC3V 9AH
SWMC Small Cap European Fund B EUR 12584.92 - -7.75 0.00 Client Services 0800 358 3012, Client Dealing 0800 358 3012
Dyn Europ Eq EUR Ord Inc 166.33 - -1.33 1.09 Odey European Absolute Return GBP S 90.93 - -0.36 0.00 Pictet-Select-Callisto I EUR 103.44 - 0.18 0.00 European Income Acc EUR 11.10 11.10 -0.10 0.00 www.ubs.com/retailfunds
SWMC Emerging European Fund B EUR 10037.46 - 35.37 0.00 Authorised Inv Funds
Dyn Europ Eq GBP Ord Inc 174.96 - -1.40 1.58 Pictet-Small Cap Europe-I EUR F 1084.57 - -10.44 0.00 European Ex UK Inc EUR Acc 9.71 9.71 -0.09 - OEIC
INSIGHT Commodities
Amy
Myers Jaffe Bolivia ships its first lithium to China
Global demand surges five years, with prices rising sharply in Last week Glencore, the commodity
$70,000 combined with other materials to make
the past 12 months amid short supplies. trader, said it would start arbitration cathodes for batteries.
for the metal used in Electric cars such as the Nissan Leaf against Bolivia over the nationalisation Pricetag of the The state-owned miner, Comibol,
largely symbolic
Investors will need to batteries of electric cars and Tesla Model S use lithium-ion bat-
teries because of their low weight and
higher energy density.
of its assets.
When Evo Morales, the leftwing presi-
dent, launched a plan to develop lithium
shipment of almost
10 tonnes
produces lithium carbonate and potas-
sium chloride at a $19m pilot plant on
the edges of the Salar de Uyuni desert.
be nimbler if peak oil HENRY SANDERSON LONDON
ANDRES SCHIPANI BOGOT
Chile and Australia have become the
largest suppliers to battery makers in
in 2008, he made it clear he did not want
simply to export the raw material. $790 m
Bolivia aims to export 10,000 tonnes of
lithium carbonate and 168,000 tonnes
demand is reached Bolivia has made progress in its aim to Asia. Argentina is rapidly investing in its Bolivia wanted partners, not owners Comibols planned of potassium chloride by 2021.
investment in the
become the biggest exporter of lithium lithium industry. to help it make batteries and cars. extracting process Comibol said it expected to ship an
with its first shipment to China. Bolivias estimated 9m tonnes of The government has held talks with over next four years additional 16 tonnes this year and would
But the impoverished South Ameri- potential resources far exceed those of French, Japanese and South Korean invest $790m in the extracting of evapo-
can country faces challenges if it is to set the US, China and Australia. But its companies among others but little has rates in the next four years. From 2021 it
T
iming is everything when it comes to investing the benchmark for the lightest metal, deposits have three times the level of happened. Analysts say Bolivia needs to hopes to export 5,000 tonnes of lithium
in commodities. which is used in smartphones and the magnesium of those in Chile, which clinch deals quickly to develop technol- cathodes.
In 2014, oil was considered one of the safest batteries of electric cars. makes them harder to refine. ogy and gain market share. Marcelo Castro, who this week
bets. The reasoning among big financial inves- The shipment of almost 10 tonnes of It might be quite difficult to scale up In the so-called lithium triangle of stepped down as manager of the Uyuni
tors was straightforward. Regulation and lithium carbonate, with a price tag of to anything large-scale without outside Chile, Argentina and Bolivia, brine is plant, said the shipment to China was a
technology might crimp demand in the industrialised $70,000, is considered symbolic. help, said Robert Baylis, an analyst at pumped from under the desert salt flats reward for years of Bolivian efforts.
west, but as more of the developing worlds poor moved Bolivias salt flats hold the worlds the Roskill consultancy. But its diffi- and allowed to evaporate in large ponds Alberto Echaz, Comibols head of
into the middle class, oil demand and prices would remain largest potential resources of lithium, cult for corporates in Bolivia because for several months. It is then refined evaporates, said Bolivia was on the
strong. Skip forward to 2016, and many analysts, including for which demand has surged in the past you can get your assets stripped off you. into lithium carbonate, which can be right path.
those in strategic planning departments of big oil groups,
are starting to warm to the idea of peak oil demand glo-
bally, not just in the OECD.
In part the exercise has been driven by shareholders and
activists who say the companies are ignoring the risks to Analysis. Commodities
their business from a global climate accord. A number of
organisations, notably the International Energy Agency
but including oil companies such as Statoil, Shell, BP, Total
and ConocoPhillips, are modelling outcomes based on a
breakthrough in battery technology or that global temper-
Investors grapple with the great resource shift
atures rise by no more than 2 degrees Celsius.
These scenarios include rising solar energy and natural
gas use, cheaper car batteries, urbanisation supported by Future shocks
millennial ride sharing and public transport, and A transition is under way
advanced, digital energy-saving technologies. Many of the but many portfolios remain Oil era is not over - but the peak could be in 15-20 years Stock performance
studies project a fall in oil demand to 75m barrels per day Oil demand (million barrels) Rebased
by 2040, from about 95m b/d today. worryingly long on fossil fuels WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index
At the University of California, Davis, we have tested oil Oil demand will peak
demand sensitivities and found that a combination of fac- 120 Bloomberg World Oil & Gas index
HENRY SANDERSON around 2030-45 at Solactive Global Lithium index 120
tors slower-than-expected growth in the developing 100 million barrels/day Forecasts
world, improved logistics, advances in vehicle efficiency Tom Nelson, head of commodities and 100
could, perhaps with a push from policy, see demand for oil resources at Investec Asset Manage- 100
peak, at least for a decade or two. ment, spends almost as much time 80
The implications are bigger than they might seem given tracking Tesla Motors as he does Exxon-
the number of ifs that surround the idea that oil demand Mobil or BP. Oil embargo 80 60
could peak. For the past three decades, investors have Why? If the electric carmaker lives up and rise of Opec
assumed that oil under the to its pledge to upend the car industry, it 40
ground today will be more will have serious implications for oil 2011 12 13 14 15 16
valuable in the future. That
All investable oil demand.
60
Current oil demand: Commodity prices
has led them to seek compa- assets will not be Navigating profound industry transi- 96 million barrels/day Log scale (Jan 1934=100)
nies best positioned to deliver tions is particularly hard for fund man- 10,000
growth. But if the rise in oil
equal in a more agers. Getting on the right side of history
40
Nominal prices*
Discovery of oil
demand is uncertain, all bets competitive isnt enough, they have to pick emerging in Titusville, Texas ( CAGR = +2.7%)
might be off. That means winners, judge which of the dominant G7 pledge to 1,000
investors do not simply want
world incumbents can successfully adapt end fossil fuel 20
era by 2100
exposure to crude. They will and maintain returns for there own 100
need to select a management team that is nimble, no mat- investors as the landscape changes.
0
ter whether demand rises, falls or remains flat. Nowhere is the challenge currently Real prices*
Moreover, in a more competitive world where producers more acute than for energy and com- 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100
( CAGR = -1.0%) 10
might have fewer opportunities to sell its product, all modity investors.
investable oil assets will not be equal. Investors will have to You could have lost your shirt bet- Sources: BP Statistical Review; Bernstein estimates (2016 and beyond) 1934 50 60 70 80 90 2000 14
and analysis; Bloomberg; RobecoSAM * Bloomberg Commodity Index (formerly DJ-UBS Commodity Index)
know what the production cost basis is for a companys ting that the internal combustion engine
reserves or how well positioned their refinery network is to would replace the horse and cart, says
beat global competitors. Location of assets will matter. Mr Nelson, whose interest in one of the analysts on the concept of peak oil US solar company SunEdison, which rial for lithium-ion batteries are
Owning a refining and marketing network in California or great technological transformations of
You could demand. had a valuation of $10bn last year, filed attractive because it is too early to pre-
Germany, where demand will almost certainly fall off, the last century is more than academic. have lost One produced this year by McKinsey for bankruptcy in April. dict the precise battery chemistry that
might be less attractive than in India or Malaysia. How oil demand pans out over the estimates that if market penetration of And at Investec, Mr Nelson and his will ultimately be successful.
The use of automation and other emerging technologies next fifteen years will wield a massive
your shirt electric, autonomous and shared cars team are taking developments in the Demand for lithium as the base raw
to drive returns will matter. Pioneer Natural Resources influence on investment portfolios, betting that accelerates, oil demand will peak at electric car industry so seriously that material in battery cathodes has
chief executive Scott Sheffield said recently that technol- since oil and gas companies globally around 2030 at less than 100m barrels hired an energy scenario modeller with jumped by 30 per cent in the past five
ogy advancements had lowered the companys production comprise more than four trillion of dol-
the internal per day. Thats not far from current lev- a PhD to help forecast the future, coun- years, and there is now a shortage of
costs excluding taxes to $2.25 a barrel for horizontal com- lars of stock market value. combustion els of 95.9m b/d. try by country, out to 2050. supply, according to London-based
pletions in the Permian Basin of Texas, low enough to com- Energy companies constitute 7 per However, the rapid advance of renew- The Investec Global Energy Fund Benchmark Mineral Intelligence.
pete with Saudi Arabia. By contrast, operating costs in cent of the S&P 500, while around one-
engine able technologies underlines that suc- has about 5 per cent invested in A cut in the cost of lithium-ion batter-
Canadas oil sands are estimated at $37 a barrel. third of the FTSE 100 is represented by would cessfully predicting the trends does not battery technology and renewable ies to a range of $100 to $120 kWh from
For 30 years, the industry has operated under the princi- oil, gas and mining companies such as automatically mean investors will reap energy stocks such as First Solar, and an estimated $300 kWh will be a tipping
ple that it will have difficulty meeting demand. Against Rio Tinto, Glencore and BHP Billiton.
replace the returns from them. Mr Nelson expects that proportion to point, Mr Busscher reckons, that could
that backdrop, adding reserves to the balance sheet was an The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund, horse and The amount of solar power installed grow. prompt a spike in demand for electric
end unto itself, sometimes more important to manage- one of the most popular natural over the past few years, for example, has Weve done a huge amount of work vehicles and start affecting oil demand
ment than if those reserves could be profitably produced. resources exchange traded funds, still
cart exceeded experts optimistic predic- on this in terms of infrastructure, bat- within ten years.
The thesis was that oil would become increasingly scarce has 83 per cent of its holdings in oil and tions, according to Poppy Allonby, who tery technology, economics, range His fund has holdings in lithium min-
as easy-to-reach reserves were depleted; the value of gas companies. runs a new energy fund for BlackRock. safety and consumer confidence, he ers Albemarle and FMC, battery mate-
booked, warehoused reserves would appreciate with glo- The gap between a future that looks Its a lesson in disruption, in that says. Those trends have very profound rial supplier Umicore, and carbon fibre
bal prices and a day would come when even ridiculously increasingly based on renewable energy things can happen very quickly, says implications both for the likely direc- maker Hexcel.
expensive assets would be profitable to produce. and investment portfolios still long on Ms. Allonby. And its quite difficult to tion of oil and gas prices but also for the Even if picking the raw material is
But if oil demand declines before those expensive fossil fuels sharpens the pressure on build into most traditional forecasting. capital allocation decisions that our easier, its no time for energy investors
reserves are needed, mindlessly booking reserves is not a fund managers to correctly model how Were now in a situation where the [portfolio] companies are making to sit back and relax.
strategy Wall Street will want to reward. Investors might radical the change in the energy mix will cleaner, alternative technologies are today. When it comes to the future of the
ask more critically what a companys revenues outlook prove. actually comparable or in some cases If picking the companies that will be transport system Blackrocks Ms
will be this quarter or next, like most other ventures. Over the past five years, the share of cheaper than the incumbent technolo- successful in producing renewable tech- Allonby says they are always looking at
Understanding which companies can pivot best to new electricity that the worlds 20 major gies so thats a dramatic change from a nologies can be particularly treacher- those disruption models and thinking
realities will be key to smart investing in oil. economies are generating from the sun few years ago. ous, some investors say that betting on where could we be wrong and where
and the wind has jumped by more than Yet share prices in solar companies the natural resources with a bright could we be wrong on both sides.
Amy Myers Jaffe is executive director of energy and sustainabil- 70 per cent, according to data compiled have been notoriously volatile. Despite future can be a safer option. Where could we be wrong in think-
ity at University of California, Davis. She served as chair to the for the FT by Bloomberg New Energy the boost to renewable energy from the Pieter Busscher, who manages the ing oil demand is going to continue to
World Economic Forum (Davos) Global Agenda Council on the Finance. global climate accord struck in Paris in Smart Materials Strategy fund at asset grow forever and where could we be
Future of Oil and Gas, which recently published a study on the Money managers are devouring long December, shares of solar makers have manager RobecoSAM in Zurich, says wrong in thinking theres going to be
Implications of Peak Oil Demand research reports from consultants and fallen 30 per cent this year. that miners of lithium the raw mate- massive disruption.
Capital markets
Portuguese yields rise after crucial rating agency warns on growth prospects
MEHREEN KHAN ings, according to Reuters. Therefore, Portugals five-year bond yields are at Brussels has avoided imposing what
the outlook remains stable, but pres- UK long bonds The bonds sold with a lower yield their highest since late July. would be its first fines for budgetary
Portuguese debt came under further
sures appear to be mounting from these Investors swoop on fresh than 30-year gilts, which trade in The ratings of the other three recog- non-compliance but is demanding that
pressure yesterday, after the rating
various fronts. secondary markets at 1.33 per cent. nised credit agencies, S&P, Moodys and the government cut spending cuts and
agency that is crucial to the countrys
DBRS is the only recognised institu- tranche of 2055 gilts Investors offered bids of more than Fitch, would not allow the ECB to keep raise taxes to the tune of 0.25 per cent of
eligibility for the European Central
tion that rates the former bailout coun- 2.1bn for the securities. buying Portuguese debt. GDP this year.
Banks bond-buying plan warned of
try investment grade which allows it The UK governments second sale of Some of the buyers are likely to Portuguese yields are still well below DBRS lists Portugal as BBB (low), its
mounting pressures.
to qualify for the ECBs mass bond-buy- debt since the Bank of England have sold longer-dated gilts to the the 4.4 per cent hit in February, when lowest investment-grade rating, with a
The benchmark 10-year yield jumped ing scheme. launched a fresh quantitative easing BoE as part of the UKs post-Brexit peripheral eurozone debt came under stable outlook. That suggests the agency
11 basis points to 2.94 per cent, up from The status also grants Portuguese programme was met with healthy vote stimulus plan. heavy selling pressure amid market will not junk the country in October.
2.68 per cent at the start of the week, banks access to cheap loans from the demand as investors snapped up the The BoE bought 1.17bn of long- tremors about global growth. Although But analysts cite persistently sluggish
after DBRS, the rating agency, cast central bank. long bonds on offer. dated gilts on Tuesday after investors they recovered as concern about a glo- growth, looming austerity and a trou-
doubt on how long Portugal would keep Portuguese banks have borrowed Some 1.25bn of a reopened 2055 failed to offer up enough debt the bal recession receded, Portuguese yields bled banking sector as concerns.
its investment-grade rating. 24.8bn from the ECB, according to gilt was sold at a yield of 1.214 per cent previous week. shot up after the Brexit vote in late June, After the disappointing second quar-
Fridays second-quarter gross Rabobank, with sovereign bonds mak- yesterday. Andy Tunningley at BlackRock, the hitting 3.6 per cent. ter, Portugals GDP growth is set to fall
domestic product release (which ing up a large proportion of the In the UK government bond market investment manager, said pension DBRSs next rating decision will be on below 1 per cent this year, according
showed growth at just 0.2 per cent) collateral. long-dated debt is always in hot funds had accelerated, rather than October 21, a week after Lisbon is set to estimates from Citigroup.
raised our concerns about growth pros- If [the governments] bonds were no demand from pension funds and reduced, their demand for UK present fiscal consolidation plans to the A move for more austerity could well
pects, which appear to be slowing into longer eligible, it would be a problem for insurance companies, which need to bonds since the Brexit vote as yields European Commission as it seeks to shake the fragile stability of the Social-
the third quarter, said Fergus McCor- Portuguese banks, said Richard match future liabilities. had fallen. reduce its budget deficit to 2.5 per cent ist-led minority government, said ana-
mick, DBRS head of sovereign credit rat- McGuire, a strategist at Rabobank. of GDP this year. lysts at the US bank.
Thursday 18 August 2016 FINANCIAL TIMES 21
Global overview
TRADING POST Markets update
Jamie
Chisholm
Dollar steadies while US stocks S&P 500 index
Change on day 0.40%
M
arkets are extravagantly confident that bro- tive Charles Li talk through the go- of stock suggestions yesterday, with key
kers are too bearish, and that their profit ahead of a trading link with Shenzhen. ideas involving picking Shenzhen
forecasts for US companies are too low. The The Shenzhen Connect was duly names familiar to international inves-
multiple of 18 times next years projected splashed across local front pages yester- tors and small-caps in Hong Kong likely
earnings at which the S&P 500 currently day. Stock trading is important in a city to appeal to mainland money. Midea,
trades, according to Bloomberg data, allows little other where 20 per cent of turnover is still the electronics group bidding for Ger-
interpretation. It is at its highest since 2002, outstripping generated by retail investors, and banks manys Kuka, was a common pick in
any level it reached during the credit bubble, or when the display live quotes outside their Shenzhen. Hikvision, the surveillance
Federal Reserve was pumping up asset prices with QE. branches. For international investors, camera systems provider, was another.
There are other signs that optimism on earnings is tak- the Shenzhen links significance lies in Dual-listed mainland companies have
ing hold. For a while, the S&P has been dominated by high opening access to a range of mainland long traded at a discount offshore and
dividend-yielding stocks. In the past few weeks, however, companies considered far more exciting
the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats index has started to lag than much of the Shanghai market.
behind the market. Classic income-producing sectors, All three bourses were subdued in
Smaller Chinese groups command North and southbound Connect flows The trading link with
such as utilities, have also ceded leadership. early trading yesterday as profit-taking higher valuations Quarterly quota utilisation (Rmb bn) Shenzhen creates the
And companies that take a lead in buying back their own set in after a rally in anticipation of the Forward P/E ratio (%)
stocks are underperforming after years of outstripping the news, which lifted Shenzhen and Shang-
60 80 largest equity market by
Northbound
market. For some years, corporates have been the mar- hai to their best levels since January and A Share valuation* 50 Southbound 60 cash turnover globally
ginal buyer of US stocks, and so the news that buybacks are Hong Kong to its highest in nine months. H Share valuation
falling might have been taken as a sign that the good times Analysts, meanwhile, were looking at 40 valuation gaps are more obvious
40
were over. Instead, a poor earnings season for buybacks, the broader implications. The exten- between Shenzhen and Hong Kong than
implying a shortage of corporate cash with which to pay sion of connect to Shenzhen effectively 30 with Shanghai.
them, has coincided with a breakout rally to new highs creates the second-largest equity mar- 20 The smaller they are, the higher the
20
hard to justify unless the good times for earnings are back. ket by market cap and the largest by average premium, according to Citi-
One other reason why implicit optimism on earnings cash turnover globally, said Kinger Lau 10 0 group. Some, such as Weichai Power, a
runs high: such optimism is necessary to justify what is at Goldman Sachs. It offers interna- car parts maker, trade at only a 6 per
otherwise a bet against history. S&P earnings have now tional investors almost full access to the 0 -20 cent premium in Shenzhen compared
declined for four consecutive quarters historically, earn- A-share market through Hong Kong. Top 25% 25-50% 50-75% Bottom 25% Nov-Dec Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Jul- with Hong Kong. But others are much
ings declines this protracted are always accompanied by The timing of the announcement, * A-shares by percentile based on market cap 2014 15 16 Aug higher, such as Zhejiang Shibao, maker
bear markets. During this slump in earnings, which the including a statement from Chinese pre- Sources: Citigroup; HSBC of car steering systems, which trades at
numbers cited most widely by brokerages tend to under- mier Li Keqiang, also suggested confi- four times its offshore valuation.
state, the US stock market has twice registered corrections dence by Beijing in its control of its mar- Hong Kongs of capital outflows are not as high, which have access to 417 Hong Kong-listed The link will also open access to the
of more than 10 per cent, but has avoided a bear market. kets and capital account after a year in exchange will makes it a good time to launch [this]. stocks; a third more than now as small- 200 stocks listed on ChiNext, the
Much, therefore is running on earnings. And indeed, an which outflows surged and its market provide access The link, due to be operational by caps will be added. Southbound flows start-up bourse. Those stocks, however,
earnings recovery is widely ructions triggered global turmoil. to an additional year end, will add 880 companies to the through the Shanghai Connect have will be available only to fund managers
cited as the prime reason to At the beginning of this year there 880 stocks when 567 already available to northbound totalled almost Rmb100bn ($15bn) so for the time being.
buy into US stocks at a time
A breakout rally was a lot of pressure on foreign the link begins investors through the Shanghai link that far this year, according to HSBC, helping Nonetheless that leaves 700 stocks in
when they look too pricey. is hard to justify exchange and the capital outflow was AFP/Anthony Wallace
opened in 2014. Combined, the con- narrow the premium of mainland Hong Kong and Shenzhen for investors.
The argument goes as follows. serious, said Ming Ming, chief analyst nects will cover about 70 per cent of A-shares over their Hong Kong H-share The deluge of analyst comment yester-
First, it is the direction of
unless the good at Citic Securities. This situation is now mainland market capitalisation. counterparts to about 25 per cent this day will only be the start.
change that matters to mar- times for starting to stabilise . . . so the pressures Mainlanders trading southbound will week, the lowest since October. See Lex
kets, and on this basis it looks
like US earnings have reached
earnings are back
an inflection point. Earnings
were down in the second quarter compared with a year Commodities
earlier but the extent to which they are declining
reduced.
Added to this, energy companies have driven the awful
numbers for the S&P as a whole, and this can be explained
Palm oil holds its gains
almost entirely by the huge fall in the oil price. However,
exclude energy, and second quarter numbers were positive
despite traders return
earnings rose 1.8 per cent, backed by a rise of 2.5 per cent
in sales, according to Thomson Reuters.
In the final quarter of this year, the adjustment in the oil EMIKO TERAZONO doesnt come back soon in
price will at last drop out of year-on-year calculations, and the market, said one trader.
energy earnings are projected to rise. The oil fall also Sustainable palm oil buyers Palm oil is used in prod-
helped to drive a stronger dollar, which weakened the dol- are still struggling with a ucts from toothpaste to lip-
lar-denominated foreign earnings of multinationals. With squeeze in supplies despite stick to ice cream, and years
the dollar weakening of late, currency should help compa- the return to the market of of demand growth have led
nies in the second half of the year. IOI Corporation, a leading to tropical forests being
So, the bullish argument has it, the inflection point in US Malaysian palm oil pro- destroyed for plantations.
earnings has been reached, a bear market has been averted, ducer and trader. Leading consumer groups
andbrokers havebeenslow to catch up with reality. In April, prices for sustaina- including Unilever, Nestl,
Against this, estimates for the third quarter are actually ble palm oil and palm kernel P&G, Kelloggs, and Mon-
still falling, and including energy, the brokers still call for a oil surged after IOIs sustain- delez, as well as commodity
slight fall of 0.4 per cent. Earnings in the second quarter ability certification was sus- traders Cargill and Bunge,
were better than expected, but they always are. If this is an pended by the industry body, which cut their business ties
inflection, the turn it signals is not at an acute angle. Roundtable on Sustainable with IOI, have not resumed
Company managements tended to be downbeat when Palm Oil, on claims that the trading with the group.
guiding questioners during their earnings conference calls. company failed to prevent its Nestl said RSPOs deci-
Margins tended to fall. There are nerves about the effect of subsidiaries involvement in sion will not change our
US electoral uncertainty and on the fallout from Brexit. deforestation in Indonesia. approach until we see IOIs
Further, it is unusual for top-down strategists to be more The RSPOs suspension upgraded policies enacted,
bullish than bottom-up analysts. Analysts have inbuilt came as Felda, another large with improvements verified
incentives to be over-bullish, and they are not remotely palm oil group, withdrew its on the ground by an inde-
bearish. Thomson Reuters finds they have written solid sustainable products due to pendent group of experts.
double-digit percentage gains throughout next year. issues in its supplies. Betw- Environmental campaign-
Add to this US retail sales data that suggest a sluggish een them, the two producers ers say that given this was the
economy, meaning little reason for a big rise in revenues; accounted for about 18.5 per second time IOIs certifica-
that margins will be hard to expand; and that core inflation cent of RSPO-certified sus- tion had been suspended,
and earnings data suggest at least a whiff of inflation and a tainable palm oil and 21 per many of the large consumer
risk of higher rates from the Fed. Put all these together, and cent of palm kernels, accord- companies were loath to
the highest prospective earnings multiples since the dot- ing to Bob Norman, general restart their relationship
com boom look like irrational exuberance. manager at GreenPalm, the with the Malaysian group.
company behind sustainable Many sustainable palm oil
john.authers@ft.com palm oil certificate-trading. buyers had to rapidly find
The supply shortage alternative suppliers to avoid
meant prices shot up. The reputational risk, said Rich-
premium commanded by ard George at Greenpeace.
sustainable palm oil over Deborah Lapidus, cam-
More comment and data on ft.com ordinary palm oil jumped paigns director at non-
from $25 a tonne to $30-$35, government organisation the
while that of palm kernel oil, Center for International Pol-
Y Fast FT Our global economies, headed made from the fruits seed, icy, said: This demonstrates
team gives you market- by Brazil, Russia, India has more than doubled, with that IOI has yet to regain the
moving news and views, and China. premiums on processed pro- trust of the marketplace.
24 hours a day, five days ft.com/beyondbrics ducts rising from $80-$100 a NGOs have questioned
a week. ft.com/fastft tonne to more than $200, RSPOs move to lift IOIs sus-
Y Podcast The Hard
Y Alphaville Our Currency podcast takes a according to traders. pension. The world is
irreverent financial blog. look at what is driving These premiums have not watching how this story with
Join Paul Murphy and the global currency fallen even after IOI was rein- IOI unfolds. After two sus-
Bryce Elder for the daily market. ft.com/podcasts stated by RSPO this month. pensions of IOI already,
Markets Live session at Most consumers are still RSPOs credibility is firmly
Y Lex Video Analysis trying to avoid IOI and on the line, said Ms Lapidus.
11am. ft.com/alphaville
and opinion from the observe them for [the] next RSPO said in the next year an
Y beyondbrics News and team on the hot issues couple of months and thus independent verification
comment from more affecting companies and premiums may stay firm for team would monitor IOIs
than 40 emerging markets. ft.com/lexvideo [the] next three to six progress. IOI did not respond
months, especially if Felda to requests for comment.