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Drought indices facilitate the quantification of the water supply and demand
series of relevance to a particular case or region under study, given the available
information, because they summarize in a single value the influence of several
variables representative of the status of a particular system (Hayes, 2006). In
addition, they provide a general overview in drought analysis and communication
to the general public as they allow overcoming some difficulties associated with
the statistical analysis of hydrometeorological information (Zargar et al., 2011).
On the other hand, Paulo and Pereria (2006) point out that the characterization of
droughts using indices is controversial and often contradictory, as it depends on
the selected indices, the perception of what a drought is and the objectives of the
characterization. Thus, there is no unanimity regarding the most appropriate
index for drought characterization. For these reasons, a large number of indices
have been proposed, which are oriented both for general studies and also for
special situations depending on the type of drought, the available information,
the time scale of the study, among other factors (Mishra and Sing, 2010).
Niemeyer (2008) discusses more than 150 drought indices, while Zargar et al.
(2011) describes 74 of them. Furthermore, new indices are constantly been
proposed based upon recent technological advances (e.g., Karamouz et al., 2009;
Rhee et al., 2010; Vicente-Serrano et al., 2010; Cai et al., 2011). From an
operational standpoint Zargar et al. (2011) mention that the use of drought
indices, together with the theory of runs, facilitates the communication of drought
conditions to interested entities, stakeholders, and the general public. In
particular, real-time monitoring, early detection of drought, the identification of
its beginning and end, and determination of its severity becomes simpler and
clearer when using these indices. Thus, water managers and decision makers can
act in a more proactive manner and adopt better mitigation measures. Indeed,
Tsakaris et al. (2007) highlight that drought characterization using indices must
be associated with a clear definition of drought that is relevant and of interest to
a region in particular, and should allow linking the quantifiable impacts of drought
with the corresponding value of the index.
A drought index generally permits measuring the deviation with respect to normal
conditions, or normal demand, of a variable representing the historical water
supply (Dai, 2011). Therefore, an essential aspect when representing demand is
the threshold which defines the severity of the droughts. This should be related
with the proportion of nonsatisfied demand or with the damages it can provoke.
The stochastic analysis of the behavior of the time series delivers information
regarding the probability of occurrence of a drought and the corresponding risk,
which makes the statistical behavior of the index important as well as the
selection of the thresholds so as to identify the beginning and end of a drought
(Tsakiris et al., 2007).
The most commonly used time scale in drought indices is the annual, which
allows determining a general behavior at a regional level. However, this scale is
not very appropriate for monitoring drought and decision making, and thus a
monthly temporal scale is more convenient, particularly to identify in a more
precise manner the beginning and end of droughts. Nonetheless, for time scales
finer than the annual, the series becomes nonstationary and phenomena that are
proper of the hydrological cycle are noticeable, such as periodicity, intermittence,
asymmetry, significant dependence, etc. (Panu and Sharma, 2002; Mishra and
Singh, 2010).
The majority of the indices consider precipitation as the best indicator of the
water supply to the system, while the demand is represented by a threshold
value of this same variable. Alternatively, this demand can be defined in terms of
atmospheric variables generally related to temperature, or evaportranspiration.
Some indices even consider a comprehensive water budget for the system. In
some highly complex systems, this budget-relating supply and demand can be
very difficult to define, as a large number of very system-specific variables are
needed (Suarez et al., 2014). Moreover, most of the indices and their threshold
values are defined according to historic climate conditions, and thus it is
necessary to revise them when considering future conditions, which may be
affected by climate change or other anthropogenic changes (Dai, 2011).
The variables to be used in the indices depend on the type of drought or its
impacts as well as the objectives pursued by the characterization. For instance,
precipitation is the most common variable used to characterize meteorological
droughts through indices, allowing the focus mainly on early drought
manifestations. Some of the indices using only precipitation are the Rainfall
Anomaly Index (Van-Rooy, 1965), the Bhalme and Mooly Drought Index (Bhalme
and Mooley, 1980), the Drought Severity Index (Bryant et al., 1992), the National
Rainfall Index (Gommes and Petrassi, 1994), the Effective Drought Index (Byun
and Wilhite, 1999), and the Drought Frequency Index (Gonzlez and Valds,
2006). One the most utilized precipitation-based index is the Standardized
Precipitation Index, SPI (McKee et al., 1993; NDMC, 2015), which can be applied
at various temporal scales and is used in drought monitoring. To include the
effects of the demand, or the impact of meteorological drought, other variables
have been included in these indices. For example, temperature or
evapotranspiration are incorporated in the Reconnaissance Drought Index, RDI
(Tsakaris and Vangelis, 2005) and the Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration
Index, SPEI (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2010).
For hydrological drought, indices also incorporate streamflows, and water levels
in reservoirs and lakes, among others. The well-knonw Palmer Hydrological
Drought Index, PHDI (Palmer, 1965) considers precipitation, evapotranspiration,
runoff, recharge, and soil moisture. To incorporate the effects of snow, Shafer and
Dezman (1982) developed the Surface Water Supply Index, SWSI. Weghorst
(1996) proposes the Reclamation Drought Index, which is similar to SWSI, but
incorporates temperature so as to consider the water demands. Stahl (2001)
adopts the Regional Streamflow Deficiency Index, RSDI, which uses low-flows at
various flow gauges in a homogenous region.
The agricultural sector is evidently one of the most affected by the water
shortage, and thus a number of indices have been developed to characterize
agricultural droughts. These indices attempt to quantify the water available for
the plant by combining precipitation, temperature, and humidity. Among these
indices is the Relative Soil Moisture (Thornthwaite and Mather, 1955), the Crop
Moisture Index (Palmer, 1968), which is similar to the Palmer Drought Severity
Index, PDSI (Palmer, 1965), but it only considers the top layer of the soil (Byun
and Wilhite, 1999; Narasimhan and Srinivasan, 2005), and the Crop Specific
Drought Index (Meyer et al., 1993), originally developed for corn and soybeans
(Meyer and Hubbard, 1995).
Table 79.1. Drought Indices Commonly Used for Planning, Managing, and
Monitoring Water Resources
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Vijay P. Singh, Ph.D., D.Sc., D. Eng. (Hon.), Ph.D. (Hon.), D. Sc. (Hon.), P.E., P.H.,
Hon. D. WRE, Academician (GFA): Handbook of Applied Hydrology, Second
Edition. INDICES FOR DROUGHT CHARACTERIZATION, Chapter (McGraw-Hill
Professional, 2017), AccessEngineering