Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Synergies from the Ranbaxy acquisitions are gaining momentum and the company is on track to achieve the targeted benefits. Lifting of import
ban from Mohali facility will improve US revenue. Sunpharma has further strengthened the branded ophthalmic pipeline through the acquisition
of Ocular Technologies. Though the company has maintained its guidance of 8-10% sales growth for FY17E, we are optimistic for stronger and
healthy growth in longer term. Next big trigger for the company can be Halol plant resolution.Considering above arguments we recommend
BUY rating on this stock with the target price of Rs. 795. We are analysing the financial viewpoint of mohali plant and will update as and more
clarity willl emerge. .................................... ( Page : 5-7)
IPO Note
Issue Detail Company Overview
Type 100% Book Building Central Depository Services (India) Limited (CDSL) is a subsidary of BSE India which was
Issue Size Rs.400 Crore incorported in 1999. It operates as a securities depository in India. They offers various services,
Offer Price *Rs (115 - 135)/Equity Share such as account opening, dematerialization, processing delivery and receipt instructions, account
statement, re-materialization, pledging, nomination, transmission of securities, change in address,
Min App Size Shares
bank account details and SMS services for depository participants
Issue Open 15-Mar-17
Issue Close 17-Mar-17 CDSL also offers facilities to issuers to credit securities to a shareholder's or applicant's demat
Shares Offer 3.5Cr accounts; KYC services in respect of investors in capital markets to capital market intermediaries;
Face Value Rs 10 and facilities to allow holding of insurance policies in electronic form to the holders of these
Axis Capital Ltd, Edelweiss insurance policies of various insurance companies
Lead Mgrs Capital Ltd, IDBI Capital
They provides other online services, such as e-voting, e-locker, national academy depository,
Market Services. electronic access to security information, electronic access to security information and execution
Listing NSE
of secured transaction, drafting and preparation of wills for succession, and mobile application and
Registrar Link Intime India Private Ltd transactions using secured texting. It serves investors through intermediaries, such as depository
Market Cap participants, issuer companies, registrar and transfer agents, beneficial owners, and clearing
1410.8
(Post Issue) members.
Top 10 shareholders
Shareholder Number of Equity Shares Percentage (%)
BSE Limited 52,297,850 50.05
State Bank of India 10,000,000 9.57
HDFC Bank Limited 7,500,000 7.18
Standard Chartered Bank 7,500,000 7.18
Canara Bank 6,744,600 6.45
Bank of India 5,820,000 5.57
Bank of Baroda 5,300,000 5.07
Life Insurance Corporation of India 4,336,750 4.15
Union Bank of India 2,000,000 1.91
Bank of Maharashtra 2,000,000 1.91
Total 103,499,200 99.04
Competitive Risks
> There are two securities depositories in India . Company face significant competition for investor
accounts from competitor and Company expects such competition to continue. The securities depository
business competes closely with competitor for DPs, investor accounts and number of instruments on
systems.
> Company rely heavily on technological equipment and IT at our facilities and typically the supply and
maintenance of these systems and equipment is undertaken by third party contractors. Any interruptions
or malfunctions in the operation of IT systems could damage reputation and cause loss for the business
> Company involved in various criminal, civil, labour and tax-related litigations, which are at different
stages of adjudications before various fora. There is outstanding litigation against our Company,
Promoter, Group Companies and Directors which if determined adversely, could affect business and
results of operations.
> There is a shift in consumer preferences away from investing and trading in securities to other
products and services, it could significantly reduce demand for services and adversely affect business,
financial condition and results of operations
31 March 31 March 31 March Half Yearly 31 March 31 March 31 March Half Yearly
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Share Capital 104.5 104.5 104.5 104.5 Profit before exceptional items and taxation 61.6 62.6 109.0 56.3
Reserves 248.9 264.9 307.6 346.6 Adjustments for
Net Worth 353.4 369.4 412.1 451.1 Depreciation 5.0 6.2 4.2 1.7
Minority Interest 13.57 14.305 14.082 14.803 Provision for doubtful debts 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.0
Other Long-term Liabilities 21.8 22.3 23.0 22.9 Bad debts written off 3.2 1.8 1.5 0.0
Non - current liabilities 21.8 22.3 23.0 22.9 Provision /for Gratuity
Write backand Leave encashment
for diminution in 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4
Trade payables 5.5 7.1 7.3 8.9 the value of 0.2 (0.2) 0.3 (0.3)
Other current liabilities 33.9 48.2 17.5 49.7 Less: Net gain on sale of current investments (20.7) (9.9) (0.1) (8.3)
Short-term provisions 27.6 31.0 39.7 10.1 Dividend from mutual funds (3.7) (2.7) (2.7) (2.6)
Current liabilities 67.0 86.2 64.5 68.7 Interest on fixed deposits (3.5) (4.4) (5.5) (2.4)
Total Liabilities 455.7 492.3 513.7 557.6 Interest on bonds (5.7) (4.2) (7.2) (3.9)
Tangible assets 6.6 5.1 3.0 4.5 OPERATING PROFIT BEFORE WORKING CAPITAL CHANGES
Intangible assets 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.8 Trade Receivables (1.0) (3.8) (8.7) (5.5)
Non-current Investments 44.7 211.7 193.6 113.5 Short-term loans and advances 0.2 0.2 (0.3) (1.8)
Long-term loans and advances13.7 13.2 14.3 14.3 Trade payables 0.4 1.6 0.2 1.6
Deferred Tax Assets 3.9 5.4 7.7 8.1 Other long term liabilities 0.2 0.6 0.7 (0.1)
Non-current assets 71.9 237.0 219.3 141.1 Other current liabilities 14.1 14.0 (30.3) 31.8
Current investments 330.7 177.5 216.8 327.1 Short-term provisions 0.0 (0.0) 2.8 0.3
Trade receivables 6.2 6.9 13.0 18.5 CASH GENERATED FROM OPERATIONS 50.3 63.6 65.4 67.5
Cash and bank balances 41.0 65.6 55.8 56.7 Taxes paid 14.6 20.4 36.6 16.0
Short-term loans and advances2.2 2.0 2.4 4.2 NET CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 35.7 43.1 28.8 51.5
Other current assets 3.5 3.2 6.4 9.9 NET CASH FLOW FROM / (USED IN) INVESTING ACTIVITIES
(13.4) (19.4) 0.3 (19.2)
Current assets 383.6 255.3 294.4 416.4 NET CASH FLOW USED IN FINANCING ACTIVITIES (23.5) (23.5) (27.7) (31.4)
TOTAL Assets 455.6 492.3 513.7 557.6 NET INCREASE / (DECREASE) IN CASH (1.1) 0.2 1.4 0.9
Cash beginning of the period 1.6 0.9 1.0 2.0
Cash end of the period 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.9
Company Update Recently USFDA has informed Sunpharma that it will lift the Import Alert
CMP 706 imposed on the Mohali (Punjab) manufacturing facility and remove the
facility from the Official Action Initiated (OAI) status. This Mohali facility is a
Target Price 795
part of Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. and USFDA has imposed ban on this
Previous Target Price 16% facility in 2013.Lift of ban will clear the path for Sun Pharma to supply
Upside approved products from the Mohali facility to the US market, subject to
Change from Previous normal US FDA regulatory requirements.US formulations business
contributes about 46% of its total sales.And by his Ranbaxy integration will
gaining momentum and and will help the company to achieve its revenue
Market Data guidance of Rs. 2000 Cr in FY18.
BSE Code 524715
News Update
NSE Symbol SUNPHARMA
52wk Range H/L 876/572 Sun Pharma opens first production unit in Egypt, total investment of USD
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr) 170561 12.5 million was inaugurated on 21 feb 2017, signalling growing bussines
ties between India and the key Middle East nation.
Av. Volume(,000) 330019
Nifty 9,087 On 17 Feb 2017, Sun Pharma gets European Medicines Agency nod for
Tobramycin.
Stock Performance Sun Pharma recalls 2.7 lakh bottles of antidepressant in US.The tablets
1M 3M 12M have been manufactured by Sun Pharma at its Halol plant in India.
Absolute 4.3 1.6 -20.5 Sun Pharma recalls anti-depressant drug Bupropion Hydrochloride.The
Rel.to Nifty 2.7 -6.6 -39.2 recall is classified as class-III, which means the products are unlikely to
cause any adverse health reactions, but violate FDA labelling or
manufacturing rules.
Share Holding Pattern-% Sun Pharma to sell Ohm Labs site at New Jersey
3QFY17 2QFY17 1QFY17
Promoters 54.4 55.0 55.0 Outlook
Public 45.6 45.0 45.0 Synergies from the Ranbaxy acquisitions are gaining momentum and the
company is on track to achieve the targeted benefits. Lifting of import ban
Others 0.0 0.00 0.00
from Mohali facility will improve US revenue. Sunpharma has further
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
strengthened the branded ophthalmic pipeline through the acquisition of
Company Vs NIFTY Ocular Technologies. Though the company has maintained its guidance of
130 SUNPHARMA NIFTY 8-10% sales growth for FY17E, we are optimistic for stronger and healthy
120 growth in longer term. Next big trigger for the company can be Halol plant
110 resolution.Considering above arguments we recommend BUY rating on
100 this stock with the target price of Rs. 795. We are analysing the financial
90 viewpoint of mohali plant and will update as and more clarity willl emerge.
80
70 Rs,Cr
60 Financials 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
50
Sales 8019 11300 16080 27433 27219
40
EBITDA 3204 4896 7002 8064 7431
Net Profit 2657 2983 3141 4541 3665
EPS 26 29 15 22 18
Aditya Gupta ROE 22% 20% 17% 17% 12%
aditya.gupta@narnolia.com
Narnolia Securities Ltd 5
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Segmental Revenue
Latest Events
16 Dec 2016- The necessary formalities for closure of acquisition transaction have been concluded and we have successfully
completed the acquisition of Ocular Technologies.
12 dec 2016- Sun Pharma, Moebius Medical ink pact to develop pain management product.Moebius Medical will conduct requisite
pre-clinical studies and will assume responsibility for product development and manufacturing through the end of Phase-II studies,
as per the pact
7 Dec 2016- Company has undergone an inspection by USFDA recently and post that the health regulator issued a Form-483
observation letter For Halol Plant. The company is in the process of responding to the letter.
Financial Performance
1551
2001
1801
2180
1850
2520
1873
1242
1275
1275
1843
1733
2165
1934
2169
1768
500
892
5%
0% 0
1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17
Result Update JKIL has a strong order book of Rs. 9680 Cr at the end of the Q3FY17. It
CMP 248 gives revenue visibilities for approx. 6.5 years (based on TTM revenue),
Target Price 330 which is positive for the company. Earlier we had a concern regarding
Previous Target Price 33% execution timeline of JNPT road projects, but recently we have received
clarification from the management and now we are in a position to make a
Upside
clear view. The unexecuted portion of JNPT road projects stands at Rs. 980
Change from Previous
Cr (equivalent to ~10% of Order Book) and we expect healthy execution in
FY18 as the utility shifting work will be completed in Q4FY17. Mumbai metro
Market Data projects are continue to be a growth driver for the JKIL and we expect around
BSE Code 532940 Rs. 1275 Cr of revenue from 3 Mumbai metro projects in FY18 and Rs. 1770
NSE Symbol JKIL Cr in FY19. However, we are still not clear on the higher level of debtors, but
52wk Range H/L 328/105 we dont think it will impact working capital in the bigger way. We will update
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr) 1,880 on the same as and when any clarity emerge.
Av. Volume 94368
Nifty 8927 Growth Driver:- Mumbai Metro projects
Mumbai metro projects are continue to be a growth driver for the JKIL for
Stock Performance next 3-4 years. The unexecuted work on all 3 Mumbai metro projects
1Month 3 Month 1Year contributes nearly 67% to current order book. All the initial ground work is
Absolute 7.4 33.0 -15.9 completed and we expect full swing in execution and management is
confident to complete significant portion of line 2A and 7 by FY19.We expect
Rel.to Nifty 5.6 24.8 -35.1
Rs. 1275 Cr of revenue from 3 Mumbai metro projects in FY18, around
Rs.1000 Cr revenue from line 3 only in FY19 and Rs.770 Cr of revenue from
Share Holding Pattern-% line 2A & 7 in FY19. This will not only support the better revenue growth but
3QFY17 2QFY17 1QFY17 also strengthen the operating margin as the metro projects have better
Promoters 44% 44% 43% margin compare to normal road projects.
Public 56% 56% 57%
Others 0% 0% 0% Strong Order Pipeline :-
Total 100% 100% 100%
Around Rs. 10000 Cr of new metro projects in state of Maharashtra will be
bided out in next 1-2 years. JKIL will bid for the Mumbai metro line 2B and 4,
Company Vs NIFTY total of 10 packages of 500 Cr each, tunnel work of Mumbai- Pune
150 JKIL NIFTY expressway, Mumbai- Nasik expressway, Vijayawada and Bangalore metro
130 projects. But JKIL will go slow in terms of new order acquisition in order to
110 focus on execution.
90
Q3FY17 Result Highlights:-
70
JKIL reported robust revenue growth of ~19% YoY to Rs.369 Cr as against
50
Rs.310 Cr on account of work commencement on Mumbai metro projects.
30
10
EBITDA has clocked 10.8% of growth to Rs.63 Cr as against Rs.57 Cr in
corresponding period last year led by higher revenue growth.
Profit after Tax has grew by 10.8% to Rs. 27 Cr as against Rs. 24 Cr.
Sandip Jabuani Order book as on 31st Dec 2017 stands at Rs. 9700 Cr out of this 6850 Cr
sandip.jabuani@narnolia.com in metro ( including Delhi metro project).
Narnolia Securities Ltd 8
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Mangment/ Concall Highlights:-
Will Maintain top line of 1600 Cr in FY17 and Rs. 2000 Cr in FY18
Employee expense has gone during the quarter as the JKIL has started metro project in big way and full fledge revenue yet to
come
Preliminary work has completed on Mumbai metro project and work is in full swing
Debtors of 563 Cr at the end of the Q3FY17, but has come down to 440 Cr in Feb
Inventory at the end of Q3FY17: - 106 Cr of RM, 280 Cr of WIP
Protest by localized people against tree cutting but its awarding authority concern and it will not hamper execution.
Advances of 125 Cr has taken from line 3 & 7 and in month time advances will receive from line 2A
Payment cycle for Mumbai metro project is 45 days from date of bill raised
No significant revenue during the Q3FY17 from JNPT project due to utility work is going on
Mgt. expects 200-250 Cr of revenue from Mumbai metro, 200 Cr from other road and flyover projects
Pending work on Delhi metro is tune of 250 Cr at the end of the Q3FY17
Unexecuted portion of JNPT road project is 1050 Cr
Utility revenue of 30 Cr was booked from JNPT road project in Q3FY17
480 Cr of Debt as on 31st Dec 2016
FY18 Top line :- 1300-1400 Cr from Mumbai metro, 400 Cr from JNPT, 200 cr from others
Will maintain 17-18% EBITDA margin going forward
Debt FY17:- 350-400 Cr, FY18 :- 500-550 Cr
Current Working capital days is 174 and expect to bring down to 160 days
1000 Cr of revenue from Line 3, 700-800 Cr of revenue from line 2A &7 in FY19
JKIL is the one of the best EPC Company with lower Debt to equity. Strong order book and execution of Mumbai metro projects
boosted revenue in Q3FY17and we expect it to continue. Earlier we had a concern related to execution of JNPT road project but
now we have received clarification from management and we expect healthy execution from JNPT projects in FY18 as the utility
shifting work will complete in Q4FY17. However, still we do not have clear view on higher level of debtors but we believe it will not
affect working capital in bigger way. We expect 9%, 20% and 27% revenue growth in FY17, FY18 & FY19 respectively based on
the strong order book and Mumbai metro projects. So considering the clarification on JNPT road projects and strong revenue
growth going forward, we recommend BUY on the stock with unchanged target price of Rs.330.
J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited is engaged in construction activities. The Company designs and constructs roads, bridges, flyovers,
subways, over bridges, skywalks and railway terminus/stations, among others. The Company's offerings in civil construction
segment include office/commercial buildings, sports complexes and swimming pools. In Irrigation Projects segment, the Company
builds dams, canals, aqueducts and irrigation tanks, and spillways. The Company has approximately 20 hydraulic piling rigs, which
are used to build pile foundations for buildings and flyovers, marine structures and offshore platforms. Its Piling segment caters to
various real estate and infrastructure companies. The Company's projects include Underground Metro CC-24, Delhi Metro Tunnel,
Ahmedabad Metro, Balewadi Bridge and Dhankawadi Flyover. Its other projects include Kapurbawadi Flyover, Kherwadi Flyover,
Amarmahal Flyover, Amarmahal Flyover, Thakur Flyover, Bhivandi Flyover and Aurangabad Flyover.
JKIL
Key Clinets
Vidharbh Irrigation
DMRC,MEGA, UPRNN, MCX, Development,
PWDs, Indian Pimpari Irrigation HCC,HDIL, Punj
MSRDC, MMRD, M
railway Division, Bambla Lloyd, JSW, LANCO
CMG
Canal Division
Margin Profile 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 YoY (+/-) QoQ (+/-)
Gross Margin 42.3% 43.0% 38.8% 33.0% 35.1% 40.9% 38.9% 30.9% 37.0% 34.2% (670 bps) (280 bps)
EBIDTA 20.8% 19.7% 16.9% 18.5% 18.1% 18.3% 15.7% 16.9% 18.2% 17.1% (120 bps) (110 bps)
EBIT 16.7% 15.6% 13.7% 15.1% 14.3% 14.2% 12.4% 13.6% 13.9% 13.2% (100 bps) (70 bps)
PAT 6.7% 7.9% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% (50 bps) (20 bps)
Growth YoY
Sales Growth 27% 11% -11% 8% 10% 2% 0% 11% -6% 19%
EBIDTA Growth 45% 19% -7% 11% -4% -5% -7% 1% -6% 11%
EBIT Growth 44% 14% -10% 9% -6% -7% -9% 0% -9% 11%
PAT Growth 15% 21% -13% 13% 8% 0% 5% 14% 5% 11%
Operating Matrix FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 YoY% Q3FY16 Q3FY17 YoY%
Opening Order Book 737 1219 1480 1266 2512 3661 3122 3024 -3% 3658 10000 173%
Revenue Booking 365 723 878 879 955 1146 1285 1328 3% 310 369 19%
Order Intake 847 984 664 2125 2104 607 1187 1518 28% 32 0 -100%
Closing Order Book 1219 1480 1266 2512 3661 3122 3024 3214 6% 3380 9700 187%
Strong revenue growth of 19% in Q3FY17 was on account of work commencement on Mumbai metro projects.
JKIL will slow and selective in terms of new order intake in order to focus on execution. Management has guided for Rs.2000 Cr
of new order inflow for the next year to maintain 10000 Cr + order book.
We anticipate healthy operating margin in range of 16-18%, margin depend on revenue mix (tunnel work has better margin comparatively)
10,000
9,700
12000 2.5
8,646
10000 2 of new order intake to
8000 1.5 focus more on execution.
Avg. order intake will be in
3658.3
6000 1
3,380
2915.4
3,214
3198
3100
3024
4000 0.5 range of Rs.2000 Cr in
2000 0
order to maintain 10000
0 -0.5
Cr plus Order book
Sales Growth %
450 30%
393 390 391
400 355 369 25%
350 322 20%
296 297 299 303
300 15%
250 10%
200 5% Mumbai metro
150 0% projects will drive the
100 -5%
50 -10%
revenue growth going
- -15% ahead
Line2 A
1,506 Line 7
4.00
3.58 3.52
3.50 3.23
2.97
3.00 2.65
2.50 D/E will remain strong
2.00 in range of 0.25 to 0.38
1.50
1.00 0.80
0.55
0.33 0.42
0.50 0.25
-
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Company Update Reliance Jio is well positioned to achieve more than 40% market share and
CMP 1288 caters to 85% of mobile data traffic in India today. As per the Jios
management estimates, EBITDA margin for Jio in FY18 will be more than
Target Price 1408
50%. Recently Jio has announced booster packages starting from Rs 11
Previous Target Price 1280 going up to Rs 301 to provide additional data to its users. Telecom sector is
Upside 9% rapidly shifting towards VOLTE technology after the launch of Jio. It is
Change from Previous 10% estimated that Data market in India will be Rs 3 lakh Cr. by 2020-21. On the
Petro-chemicals front, Reliance has commissioned the first phase of new
Paraxylene(PX) project at Jamnagar in Q3FY17 and with the
Market Data commissioning of this plant, PX capacity will be more than double from 2.0
BSE Code 500325 to 4.2 MTPA. Further management has guided for re-opening of its 1400
NSE Symbol RELIANCE retail outlets by March 2017, which will boost the revenue of petrochemicals
52wk Range H/L segment.
1327/925
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr) 423274 Outlook
Av. Volume(,000) 1253 Today LTE enabled handsets are increasing at the rate of 8-9 mn/month.
Nifty 8924 With its attractive plans and Only operator with pan-India sub-GHz LTE
spectrum, Jio is ready to en-cash this market opportunity. We expect ROE
of 11% in FY17E. Reliance has rallied smartly recently and has crossed our
Stock Performance price target of Rs 1280. Short term investor may book profit at current
1M 3M 12M levels. But for long term investors we raise out 18 months target to Rs 1408
Absolute 26.6 30.3 32.2
Rel.to Nifty 24.6 8.9 23.3 Corporate Highlights For The Quarter
Gross Refining Margin (GRM) of USD 10.8/bbl for the quarter
Share Holding Pattern-% In December 2016, RIL commissioned the first phase of new Paraxylene
3QFY17 2QFY17 1QFY17 project at Jamnagar
Promoters 46.5 46.7 46.7 Outstanding debt as on 31st December 2016 was Rs.194,381 cr
Public 53.5 53.3 53.3 compared to Rs. 180388 cr as on 31st March 2016.
Others The capital expenditure for 3Q FY 17 was Rs. 37,791 crore.
Interest cost was at Rs. 1,209 crore in 3QFY17 as against Rs. 945 crore
in corresponding period of FY16, increase is primarily on account of higher
Company Vs NIFTY average exchange rate for the quarter.
140 RELIANCE NIFTY Reliance has operated 1,151 petroleum retail outlets in the country in
130
3QFY17.
120 Exports from India operations were higher by 4.0% at Rs. 38,038 crore
110 Rs,Cr
100
Financials 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
90
Sales 358501 397062 434460 375435 276544
EBITDA 34508 33045 34799 37364 44257
80
Net Profit 19724 20879 22493 23566 27630
Jul-16
Feb-16
Sep-16
Feb-17
Jan-17
Dec-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
May-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
EPS 60 65 70 73 85
Aditya Gupta P/E 12.4 12.0 13.4 11.3 12.3
aditya.gupta@narnolia.com
Narnolia Securities Ltd 14
Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report
Petrochemical business
3Q FY17 revenue from the Petrochemicals segment increased by 17.8% YoY to Rs. 22,854 crore, primarily due to increase in
prices across polymers and polyester chain.Petrochemicals segment EBIT increased sharply by 25.5% to Rs. 3,301 crore,
supported by favorable product deltas and marginal volume growth.
E&P Business
3Q FY17 revenues for the Oil & Gas segment decreased by 31.0% YoY to Rs. 1,215 crore. The decline in revenue was led by
lower upstream production and lower domestic gas price realization. The unfavorable upstream price environment impacted
segment EBIT which was at Rs. (295) crore, as against Rs. 258 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year. Domestic
production (RIL share) was at 23.1 Bcfe, down 24% YoY. For the accounting quarter, upstream production (RIL Share) in US
Shale business was 41.4 Bcfe, down 19% YoY basis.
Organised Retail:
Revenues for 3Q FY17 grew by 47.2% Y-o-Y to Rs. 8,688 crore from Rs. 5,901 crore. The increase in turnover was led by growth
across all consumption baskets. The business delivered strong PBDIT of Rs. 333 crore in 3Q FY17 as against Rs.237 crore in the
corresponding period of the previous year. During the quarter, Reliance Retail added 111 stores across various store concepts.
Trends crossed a milestone of 300 stores during the quarter. At the end of the quarter, Reliance Retail operated 3,553 stores
across 686 cities with an area of over 13.25 million square feet.
During 3Q FY17, revenue from the Refining and Marketing segment increased by 7.5% YoY to Rs. 61,693 crore ($ 9.1 billion).
Segment EBIT was at Rs. 6,194 crore, down 4.3% YoY on account of lower volumes and decline in GRMs. GRM for 3Q FY17
stood at $ 10.8/bbl as against $ 11.5/bbl in 3Q FY16. Reliance GRM outperformed Singapore complex margins by $ 4.1/bbl.
Reliance Jamnagar refineries processed 17.8 MMT in 3Q FY17, marginally lower on QoQ. As at the end of the quarter, Reliance
operated 1,151 petroleum retail outlets in the country.
Digital service
During the quarter, Jio announced the launch of the Jio Happy New Year Offer (JNO) effective from 4th December 2016. Under
the JNO, all the Jio subscribers are entitled to certain special benefits, which comprise of Jios Data, Voice, Video and the full
bouquet of Jio applications and content, absolutely free, up to 31st March 2017.Till 31st Dec 2016 there were 72.4 million
subscribers on the network.Jio is the only operator in India to deploy pan-India LTE on a sub-GHz band, in addition to pan-India
1800MHz and 2300MHz spectrum band.
2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
Petrochemicals Revenue 27,128 27,121 26,541 25,398 26,651 23,001 21,754 20,858 21,239 19,398 20,915 20,718 22,422 22,854
Petrochemicals EBIT 2,381 2,115 2,150 1,863 2,361 2,064 2,003 2,338 2,531 2,639 2,713 2,806 3,417 3,301
Petrochemicals EBIT Margin 9% 8% 8% 7% 9% 9% 9% 11% 12% 14% 13% 14% 15% 14%
Exploration & Production
2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
Oil and Gas Revenue 2,682 2,926 2,798 3,178 3,002 2,841 2,513 2,057 2,067 1,765 1,638 1,340 1,327 1,215
Oil and Gas EBIT 956 607 762 1,042 818 832 489 32 242 90 14 (312) (491) (295)
Oil and Gas EBIT Margin 36% 21% 27% 33% 27% 29% 19% 2% 12% 5% 1% -23% -37% -24%
Retail
2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
Organized Retail Revenue 3,470 3,941 3,653 3,999 4,167 4,686 4,788 4,698 5,091 6,042 5,781 6,666 8,079 8,688
Organized Retail EBIT 70 38 24 81 99 133 104 111 117 147 131 148 162 231
Organized Retail EBIT Margin 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%
Investment Rationale
Massive Capex programme coming onstream: RIL has spent ~70% of the planned USD1850Cr capex (this number was
USD1650Cr earlier) on its four key projects (petcoke gasification, polyester expansion, off-gas cracker and ethane sourcing).
We believe that the three expansion projects: petcoke gasifier, refinery off-gas cracker, and ethane intake facilities will be
fully operational by FY17E.The companys massive capex programme will push future earnings.
Telecom launch in FY18: The commercial launch will give us better visibility on execution, business outlook, and earnings.
RIL is the largest private player in the refining, petrochemical and E&P sectors in India.The petrochemicals segment includes
production and marketing operations of petrochemical products which include, polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl chloride, poly
butadiene rubber, polyester yarn, polyester fibre, purified terephthalic acid, paraxylene, ethylene glycol, olefins, aromatics, linear
alkyl benzene, butadiene, acrylonitrile, caustic soda and polyethylene terephthalate. The refining segment includes production and
marketing operations of the petroleum products. The oil and gas segment includes exploration, development and production of
crude oil and natural gas. RIL has made significant investments in US shale gas. In terms of EBIT, Refining contribute 60% and
Petrochemicals 30%. RIL is also expanding its presence in the areas of consumer retailing and telecom.
IPO Note
Issue Detail Company Overview
Type 100% Book Building Avenue Supermarts ( ASL ) operates stores under D-Mart brand, which is an emerging national
Issue Size Rs.1865 Crore supermarket chain. Company offer a wide range of products with a focus on the Foods, Non-Foods
Offer Price *Rs (295 - 299)/Equity Share (FMCG) and General Merchandise & Apparel product categories.
DMart opened its first store in Mumbai in 2002 and has since expanded its retail network to 118
Min App Size 50 Shares
stores as of January 31, 2017 with a retail footprint of 3.59mn sqft across 45 cities and 9 states and
Issue Open 8-Mar-17 one Union Territory. Company plan to deepen store network in southern and western India and
Issue Close 10-Mar-17 gradually expand network in other parts of India pursuant to cluster-focused expansion strategy.
Shares Offer 6.23Cr
Face Value Rs 10 For Fiscal 2016, Maharastra contributed a majority of Revenue from Sales (62.57%) followed by
Axis Capital Ltd, Edelweiss Gujarat (18.83%), Telangana (10.15%), Karnataka (6.14%) Andhra Pradesh (1.03%), Madhya Pradesh
Lead Mgrs (0.85%) and Chattisgarh (0.43%).
Capital Ltd, HDFC Bank Ltd
Listing BSE, NSE Company operate predominantly on an ownership model rather than on a rental model. Company
Registrar Karvy Computershare Pvt Ltd open new stores using a cluster approach on the basis of adjacencies and focusing on an efficient
supply chain, targeting densely-populated residential areas with a majority of lower-middle, middle
Market Cap
18655.7 and aspiring upper-middle class consumers
(Post Issue)
> Company operates on an ownership model rather than on a rental model resulting in minimising
rental costs. It generally enters into a long term lease arrangements, where the lease period is
usually more than 30 years and the building is owned by the company.
Objects of the Issue:
Particulars Amount
Repayment or prepayment of a portion of loans and redemption or
earlier redemption of NCDs availed by the Company Rs. 1080 Cr.
Recommendation
D-Mart has NPM of 4.4% for FY17E which will further increase after debt repayment out of IPO proceeds. With ROE of 20 and P/B of 8.5
times FY17E , The company is cheaply valued compared to its listed peers. None of the other listed supermarket/ retailers are having such
light Balance sheet with better Net Profit margins. D Mart has a well executed Business Model and is attractively placed in Retailing where
the story in India is sustainable growth for longer term. We recommended SUBSCRIBE
Competitive Risks
> One of the key strengths has been ASLs ability to offer its customers value retailing, daily low prices and,
consequently, greater daily savings. Company is unable to continue to offer daily low prices pursuant to EDLC/EDLP
pricing strategy, company risk losing distinct advantage and a substantial portion of customers which will adversely
affect business, financial condition and results of operations. Further, in case of shortages, suppliers may increase
prices of products beyond control due to which company may lose competitive advantage.
> The company currently function on a low inventory level model . It typically maintains inventory levels that are
sufficient for a few days of operation.Company has inability to maintain an optimal level of inventory in stores may
impact operations adversely.
> For the nine months period ended December 31, 2016, Maharashtra and Gujarat together contributed 76.9% of
total revenue. Furthermore, as of January 31, 2017, 19 out of 22 distribution centres are located in Maharashtra
and Gujarat. Any adverse development that affects the performance of the stores or distribution centres in these
two states could have a material adverse effect on the business, financial condition and results of operations.
> Company has inability to promptly identify changing consumer preferences. Customer preferences in the markets
where the company operates are difficult to predict while changes in those preferences or the introduction of new
products by competitors could put its products at a competitive disadvantage.
Result Update Stake Sale deal will Significantly Contribute to Net Worth
CMP 324 Recently DHFL announced an agreement with its promoter to sell its 100% of
Target Price 385 share held in DHFL Pramerica Life Insurance (DPLI) (equivalent to 50% of
the paid-up capital of DPLI) to its wholly owned subsidiary DHFL Investment
Previous Target Price
Ltd (DIL). The fair market value for the shares proposed to be transferred is
Upside 19% ascertained in the range of Rs 1690 Cr to Rs 2020 Cr. To fund this
Change from Previous transaction, DIL will issue compulsorily convertible debentures (CCDs) to the
promoters entity (Wadhawan Global Capital). However this deal awaits for
the regulatory approval. If the deal is approved, it will significantly contribute
Market Data
to Capital of DHFL without any dilution with minimum increase of 25% in its
BSE Code 511072 net worth and hence company will not require capital for next 2 to 3 years.
NSE Symbol
DHFL
52wk Range H/L 339/163
3Q FY17 Result Highlight
Mkt Capital (Rs Cr) 10159
Av. Volume (,000) 281 DHFL posted 3Q FY17 PAT at Rs 244 Cr up 31% YoY owing to better NIMs
Nifty 8961 which improved by 11 bps YoY and was stable QoQ. NII growth was strong
at 21% YoY. Operating expenses were under control and grew by just 9%
YoY. C/I ratio improved to 26.5% against 29.5% a year back. AUM grew by
Stock Performance
19% YoY despite the challenging times during demonetization. Disbursement
1Month 1Year YTD
was muted to 10% growth YoY, however considering demonetization impact
Absolute 9.4 111.2 29.9 we had anticipated it even lower. Assets quality was stable with GNPA at 95
Rel.to Nifty 7.6 83.9 21.1 bps sequentially.
Oct-16
Nov-16
Jul-16
Apr-16
Feb-16
Sep-16
Feb-17
Mar-16
Jan-17
Aug-16
May-16
Concall Highlights
Profitability Metrix 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
Yield% (Cal.) 11.67 11.25 11.18 11.48 11.46 11.30 10.92 11.53 12.06
Cost of Fund% (Cal.) 10.05 9.90 9.69 9.92 9.75 9.77 9.45 9.18 9.29
Spread% (Cal) 2.82 2.57 2.78 2.88 3.05 2.91 2.87 2.35 2.77
NIM% 2.77 2.89 2.96 2.86 2.87 2.96 2.91 3.05 3.07
C/I Ratio 32.18 29.73 29.97 29.03 29.46 31.76 28.11 26.09 26.48
AUM MIX %
Disbursement Growth% YoY
Housing LAP/LRF Project Others
120 35%
32%
30% 31% 31%
100 6 8 9 10 12 13
17 16 16 16 25% 24%
26%
80 16 16 22%
20%
60 18%
15%
14%
76 74 12%
40 72 72 70 69 10% 10%
20 5%
0%
0
2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
-
3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17
Loan Mix %
BALANCE SHEET Housing Loan 83 78 75 72
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 LAP 11 16 18 16
Share Capital 128 128 146 292 Project 6 6 6 10
Reserves 3,109 3,447 4,490 4,725 Others - - 1 2
Net Worth 3,237 3,575 4,636 5,017 Total AUM (Rs in Cr) 36,117 44,822 56,884 69,524
Long term Debt 26,565 32,295 36,889 45,119 Borrowing Mix %
Short term Debt 876 1,595 3,637 6,437 NCD 11 20 28 33
Total Borrowing 27,441 33,890 40,526 51,556 Bank 71 68 58 53
Long Term Provision 264 331 430 583 Others 18 12 14 14
Other Liability 4,862 6,063 9,046 10,697 Resource Mobilization (Rs in Cr) 32,058 39,487 48,921 61,104
Total Liability 35,803 43,859 54,638 67,853
Fixed Assets 438 988 985 781 About the Company
Non-current investments 191 307 611 720 DHFL was founded in 1984 and is promoted by Wadhawan Group.
Current investments 85 269 396 173 Focused on low and medium income group it operates mainly in tier
Loans/Advances 34,222 41,016 51,511 62,295 1 and tier 2 cities with its presence in 363 cities. It has total AUM of
Cash & Bank Balances 513 983 676 3,408 Rs 783 Billion .
Other Assets 356 297 460 476 Chairman & MD Kapil Wadhawan
Total Assets 35,803 43,859 54,638 67,853 CEO Harsil Mehta
24
Narnolia Securities Ltd
Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer: This report/message is for the personal information of
the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation
advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any
action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been
furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person in any from. The report/message is based upon publicly
available information, findings of our research wing East wind & information that we
consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not
provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change
without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations,
should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that
past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of
any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to
assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates
and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or
otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and
other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other
mentioned in this report/message.