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CCNHS SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPARTMENT Grade GRADE Stra

DAILY School
(SHS) level 11 nd
LESSON LOG Learning STATISTICS AND
Teacher ENGR. CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR., CE
Area PROBABILITY
STATISTICS &
Teaching Dates and JANUARY 9-13, 2017 : Mon - Tim
PROBABILITY Quarter THIRD
Time Fri e

I. OBJECTIVES MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY

A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of sampling and sampling distributions of the sample mean.
B. Performance The learner is able to apply suitable sampling and sampling distributions of the sample mean to solve real-life problems in
Standards different disciplines.
C. Learning At the end of the At the end of the lesson, the At the end of the lesson, At the end of the
lesson, the learner learner must be able to: the learner must be able lesson, the learner
Competencies/ Objectives must be able to: to: must be able to:
(Write the LC Code for 1. solve problems involving
1. solve problems sampling distributions of 1. illustrate point and 1. identify point
involving sampling the sample mean. estimator for the
each) distributions of the interval estimations. population mean.
sample mean.
2. distinguish between
point and interval
estimation.
M11/12SP-IIIf-2
M11/12SP-IIIe-f-1a M11/12SP-IIIe-f-1b
M11/12SP-IIIf-2 and f-3

II. CONTENT Sampling and Sampling Sampling and Sampling


Estimation of Parameters
Estimation of
Distributions Distributions Parameters
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teachers Guide pages - - - -
2. Learners Materials - - - -
pages
3. Textbook pages 1. Statistics and 1. Statistics and Probability, 1st 1. Statistics and Probability, 1. Statistics and
Probability, 1st Ed., pp. Ed., pp. 1 1st Ed., pp. 1 Probability, 1st Ed., pp. 1
119 2. Statistics, CMO 03, 2015 Ed., 2. Statistics, CMO 03, 2015 2. Statistics, CMO 03,
2. Statistics, CMO 03, pp. Ed., pp. 156 - 159 2015 Ed., pp. 161-
2015 Ed., pp. 141-146 147-149
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4. Additional Materials from
Learning Resource (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous Review the concepts Review the concepts Review the concepts
lesson or presenting the discussed last meeting discussed last meeting Introduction discussed last meeting
new lesson
B. Establishing a purpose Concepts: Concepts: Concepts: Concepts:
for the lesson -Discussions on Central -Point Estimation -Point estimator for the
Limit Theorem -the t distribution -Interval Estimation population mean
- Problem Solving and
applications
C. Presenting examples/ Example: Example: Example: Example:
instances 1. What is the probability 1. For a t-distribution with 18 1. For a finite population 3,2 1. A random sample of 100 jeepney
that the difference degrees of freedom, find the area and 5: owners shows that a jeepney is
between the sample mean in each region. driven on the average of 23,500
a. to the right of t = 2.101 kilometers per year in Metro
and the population mean a. Find the parameters
b. to the left of t = 1.330 Manila with a standard deviation of
will be less than 1.5 when and .
c. between the two t-values = 3,900 kilometers.
a random sample size n=5 -2.101 & 2.101
from an infinite population d. between the two t-values = b. Set-up a sampling a. What is the standard error of the
with =4 is taken? 1.330 & 2.101 distribution of sample means mean?
when samples of size two are
Solution: Solution: selected at random with b. At 99% confidence level, what
replacement. is the margin of error?

c. Construct a 99% confidence


Answers:
interval for the average number of
kilometers a jeepney is driven
a. mean, = 3.33333 annually in metro Manila.

variance, = 1.5555556
Solution and Answers:

a. 390 km
a. Area = 0.025 or 2.5 %
b.
x = = 3.33333 b. 1004.25
b. Area = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90 or 90%
c. Lower Limit = 22,495.75 km.
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c. Area = 1 2(0.025) = 95% Upper Limit = 24,504.25 km.

d. Area = 0.10 0.025 = 0.075 =


7.5%

D. Discussing new Concepts: Concepts: Concepts: Concepts:


concepts and practicing
new skills #1 1. The Central Limit 1. If the sample size is small, 1. Point estimator = is a 1. One of the main purposes for
Theorem states that the say n<30 and the population sample statistic used to calculating the central position
theoretical sampling standard deviation, is not match or estimate a (e.g., the mean) and the
distribution of any statistic known (only the population population parameter. variability (e.g., standard
can be approximated mean, is given) , apply the deviation) of a set of sample
closely with a normal student t-distribution, or simply The sample mean, , is the data is to gain an understanding
distribution, if the sample the t-distribution to find the point estimator of the of the corresponding population
size is large enough. value that will replace the population mean, . The statistics. In other words, the
Hence, the value of a standard normal variable z, that sample standard deviation, s, mean and standard deviation of
standard normal variable z is: is the point estimator for a sample data are employed to
is z= population standard deviation, estimate the true population
. mean and the true population
Or standard deviation.

2.) If random samples of


size n are drawn from a *It is called the random variable 2. Interval estimate or
population, then as n t having the t-distribution with confidence interval = is a set
becomes larger, the degrees of freedom, df = n 1; of values bounded by an
sampling distribution of where and s are the mean upper limit and lower limit
the mean approaches the and variance, respectively of a wherein it is believed that the
normal distribution, random sample taken from a population parameter (such
regardless of the shape of population as the population mean, ) is
the population That is normally distributed with included.
distribution. (Central Limit a given mean, but unknown
Theorem) variance, . *Interval estimate is used to
provide a degree of
Problem (FINITE confidence for the researcher
POPULATION) to conclude how close the
point estimate, provided by
*Find the finite population the sample, is to the
correction factor if N = 200
population parameter.
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and n = 10.
3. Level of significance =
20010 denoted by .
= 2001
*level of significance = 100%
13.78 - confidence level =
= 14.11 = 98 . *where: confidence level =
90%, 95%, 99% - most widely
used degrees of confidence.
E. Discussing new Standard Error of the Mean: t-distribution - -
concepts and practicing
1. When taken a sample from an
new skills #2 infinite population, what happens to
the standard error of the mean if the
sample size is increased from
n1=50 to
n2= 5000?

F. Developing mastery Problem: Problem: Problem: Problem:


(Leads to Formative 1. How many different 1. For a t-distribution with 20 1. For a finite population 4, 6, 1. (See page 171,
samples of size 3 can be degrees of freedom, find the area 7, 8 and 9: problem 4)
Assessment 2)
selected from a finite in each region.
a. right of t = -1.725
population of size N? a. Find the parameters
b. left of t = -2.528
a. N = 5? and .
c. between t = 0 and t=2.528
b. N=150? d. between two t- values = 1.725
c. N=5,000? and 2.528 b. Set-up a sampling
distribution of sample means
when samples of size two are
selected at random with
replacement.
G. Finding practical - - - -
applications of concepts
and skills in daily living
H. Making generalizations Reinforce the concepts Generalize the concepts Reinforce the concepts Generalize the concepts
and abstractions about discussed and skills discussed discussed and skills practiced discussed
the lesson practiced
I. Evaluating learning Seatwork Recitation, Seatwork Recitation, Seatwork Seatwork
4
J. Additional activities for *Solve selected problems *Solve selected problems from *Solve selected problems *Solve selected problems
application from page 151 to 154 page 151 to 154 from page 169 to 170 from page 171 to 172

V. REMARKS NO SCHEDULE
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
earned 80% in the
evaluation.
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for remediation
who scored below
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have caught
up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation.
E. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well?
Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish
to share with other
teachers?

Prepared by: Checked by: Approved:


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CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR., CE ERWIN L. PURCIA, DALL CALICK D. ARRIETA, PhD
SHS T-1 Head, CCNHS-SHS Principal I

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