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Forecasting Regresi Linier

Simple Regression Basic Ice Cream Sales Data


Day Temperature (oF)
1 65
2 68
3 66
4 75
5 81
6 76
7 78
8 85
9 88
10 95
11 90
12 82
13 80
14 76
15 74
16 73
17 73
18 77
19 68
20 60
Sales ($100s)
20
22 Forecasting Chart
21
23 40
25
26 35
28
30 f(x) = 0.4330867518x - 8.4311365165
30 R = 0.7413818931
30
35 Sales ($100s)
29 25
28
26 20
26
24
15
24
55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
20
Temperature (oF)
18
19
20
SUMMARY OUTPUT

art Regression Statistics


Multiple R 0.861
R Square 0.741
Adjusted R Square 0.727
Standard Error 2.325
Observations 20.000
5165
ANOVA
df
Regression 1
Residual 18
Total 19

Coefficients
Intercept -8.431
80 85 90 95 100
Temperature (oF) 0.433
e (oF)
SS MS F Significance F
278.908 278.908 51.601 0.000
97.292 5.405
376.200

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%


4.641 -1.817 0.086 -18.182 1.320
0.060 7.183 0.000 0.306 0.560
Lower 90.0% Upper 90.0%
-16.480 -0.383
0.329 0.538

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