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WhatandHow?
WithexamplesfromSweden andtheEU
By
CharlesEdquist,
CIRCLE,LundUniversitySweden
AtLundvallSymposium:
InnovationPolicy canitmakeadifference?
Aalborg,1314March2014
http://charlesedquist.com
1
TheSwedishInnovationParadox
Formulatedinthe90sbyEdquist/McKelvey
=LargeR&Dinputsbutlimitedinnovation
output=inefficientsysteminSweden
Theparadoxhasbeenusedandabusedsince
1990s
2
IstheParadoxinoperation?
(1)
EuropeanUnionScoreboard3013:Swedenis
numberone
Ministerofindustries:Swedentopsthe
innovationleagueinEU
MinisterofForeignAffairs:Nicetoseethat
SwedenisrankedNo1innovationcountryin
EU
=NO,theysay!
3
IstheParadoxinoperation?
(2)
Samedata,onlyinnovationoutputindicators:
Swedenrankednumber12
Samedata,onlyinnovationinputindicators:
Swedenrankednumber5
=Theparadoxisinoperation=Needfor
innovationpolicy bestdonebypursuinga
holisticinnovationpolicy
4
Howcome???
TheEIScollapses25differentindicatorsinto1.
The25indicatorsinclude15inputindicators
AmongtheseareinputofR&Dexpenditures
10oftheindicators areoutputindicators
But only two ofthese measure outputofINNOVATIONS
inapropersense
HENCEEISSUMMARYINDICATORINCLUDESBOTH
SIDESOFTHEPARADOXANDISDOMINATEDBYTHE
INPUTSIDE.ITDOESNOT MEASUREINNOVATION
OUTPUT!!!
5
Reasonsforpolicyintervention
Twoconditions mustbefulfilledforpublic
interventiontobemotivatedinamarket
economy:
(1)Privateactorsandmarketsmustfailto
achievetheobjectivesformulated;i.e.a
problemmustexist.
(2)Publicactorsmusthavetheability tosolve
ormitigatetheproblem.
6
Problemidentification(2)
7
Aholisticinnovationpolicy
=definedasapolicythatintegratesallpublic
actionsthatinfluenceinnovationprocesses(for
examplebyaddressingallthetenactivities(Annex
1)inacoordinatedmanner
Itisaboutdeterminantsandinstrumentsand
saysnothingabouttheobjectivesofinnovation
policy
Itrequiresaverybroadviewofinnovation
systems,includingallthedeterminantsof
innovationprocesses.
8
10ImportantActivitiesinInnovation
Systems:
1.R&D
2.Educationandtraining
3.Formationofnewproductmarkets
4.Articulationofqualityrequirements
5.Creationandchangingorganizations
6.Interactivelearning
7.Creatingandchanginginstitutions
8.Incubation
9.Financingofinnovationprocesses
10.Consultancyservices
Theseactivitiesarethehypotheticaldeterminantsofthedevelopmentandthediffusionofinnovations.
Together,theymaybesaidtodefine aninnovationsystem.
Thelistofactivities/functionsispreliminary,hypotheticalandoneofseveral.Itwillberevisedasour
knowledgeofinnovationprocessesandtheirdeterminantsincrease.Nonethelessthelistcanbeseenas
achecklistorsignpostoffactorsthat(probably)affectinnovationprocesses.
9
IsEuropean/SwedishInnovation
PolicyHolistic?
Innovationresearchershaveabandonedthelinearview
Iamorganizingaconferenceoninnovationpolicyattherequestof
EUnextweek papertobepublishedinApril
18of22(78%)EUcountriesrespondedtoaquestionnaire
15of18countries(83%)strivetodevelopinnovationpolicyintoa
moreholisticone
However,only4countries(22%)usedemandpolicyinstrumentsto
aconsiderabledegree
AndprovisionofR&Dresultsisthemostimportantinnovation
policyinstrumentin9of18countries(50%)
Answer:No Innovationpolicyisdominantlylinear,i.e.far
behindinnovationresearch!
10
Priorityofinnovationpolicy
7countriesof18(39%)havecreatedapublicorganization
(Council)forinnovationandresearchpolicyplacedabove
Ministries,usuallychairedbythePM
InSweden,innovationpolicyisnotevenprioritizedwithin
theMinistryofEnterprise(OECD2013,224)
NeitherisinnovationpolicyprioritizedbytheMinistryof
EducationandResearchwhichhastheformalresponsibility
inthegovernmentalsoforinnovationpolicy(OECD,233,
224)
WhythislowpriorityofinnovationpolicyinSweden?
IsanInnovationPolicyCouncilnecessaryforanholistic
policy?
11
Example:InnovationProcurement
PPIisnowdifficult weakerpublicactors
PCPisnotinnovationprocurement,butprocurementof
R&Dresults.Buthaspotential!
Regularpublicprocurementamountsto600800billionSEK
peryear(InEU2.3trillioneuros=20%ofGDP)
If10%canbetransformedintoprocurementof
innovations,itwouldhavethedoublesizeoftheSwedish
publicR&Dbudget(35billion)
Thisrequiresdescriptionsoffunctionsinsteadof
descriptionsofproduct difficultbutpossible!
Whyisitnotdone?
12
13
What todo?
AfocusononlyR&D(Barcelonatarget)willnotdelivertheresultsintermsof
socioeconomicdevelopment:
14
ThisbroadversionoftheSIapproachindicates
thatpolicymakershavetoknow:
Whichintensitiesofinnovationforwhich
categoriesofinnovationthatarelow ina
comparativesense,and
The(mostimportant)determinants ofthese
(low)innovationintensities.
Italsoimpliesthatinnovationpolicyis
potentiallyverybroad.
15
Why industrialpolicyshouldbe=
innovationpolicy
Policy =actionbypublicorganisations
Publicresources arelimited
Publicactionshould not duplicate privateaction
but supplementit(will return tothislater)
Privateactors areweak where uncertainty islarge
Innovation isplagued byuncertainty
Uncertainty islargest forinnovationinnew fields
Hence innovationpolicyshould focus mainly onnew
fields:itshould serveasamidwife notprovide
supporttowards theend oflife.Framtidenharinga
lobbyister!
16
Uncertaintyandtiming
Marketsandfirmsperformleastefficientlywith
regardtonewactivities,whereuncertaintyandrisk
arelarge.
Largescaleandradicaltechnologicalshiftsrarely
takeplacewithoutpublicintervention.
Aminorinterventionatanearlystageinthe
innovationprocessmayhaveaverylargeimpact.A
majoreffortatamaturestagemayhaveonlyasmall
impact.
17
Backgrounddefinitions
Innovations =newcreationsofeconomicand
societalsignificanceprimarilycarriedoutby
firms(butnotinisolation).Theyincludenew
products andnewprocesses.
Innovationsystem=Thedeterminants of
innovationprocesses and theinnovations
themselves.Interactivelearningiskey!
18
ATaxonomyofInnovations
Innovations areheredefinedasnewcreationsofsocietal
significance.
Theyincludeproduct innovationsaswellasprocess
innovations.
Product innovationsarenew orbetter products(or
productvarieties)beingproducedandsold;itisaquestionof
what isproduced.Theyincludenewmaterialgoods aswellas
newintangibleservices.
Process innovationsarenewwaysofproducinggoodsand
services;itisamatterofhow existingproductsareproduced.
Theymaybetechnological ororganizational.
19