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Earned Value Management
M2845C-001
July 2006
Copyright Information
Copyright 2006 by Global Knowledge Training LLC
First published 2006.
The following publication, Earned Value Management, was developed by Vaddac Consulting in cooperation with Global
Knowledge Training LLC All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any
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Project Team
BRIAN EGAN Course Director
NANCY DUNHAM Project Director, Content Development
KARIN GRODEN Project Manager, Content Development
KIRSTEN E. HALE, MS, PMP Worldwide Product Director, Project Management & Professional Skills
KIM HIGHLAND Worldwide Product Manager, Project Management & Professional Skills
Course Objectives
Project managers are expected to know the progress of their project at all times. Are you meeting
expectations? Staying within budget? Staying on schedule? These can be tough questions to answer
without the use of EVM (earned value management). This course teaches you the fundamentals of
EVM so you can understand how to establish an effective project baseline and monitor project
progress against known expectations.
Learn how EVM is integrated throughout the project life cycle. Practice the activities you go
through to establish an effective baseline. Identify the critical data points that must be collected to
analyze project progress. Learn to conduct trend analysis, calculate actual cost, and accurately
project final cost, schedule, and performance variances. Understand how change impacts EVM and
how approved changes can impact your original baseline. Identify the stakeholders who would
benefit from EVM data and learn effective communication methods. Finally, review the differences
of EVM in a corporate and federal environment.
Different fonts and font styles signify different items or tasks. The following is a key to font usage.
2 History of EVM
Section Topics ...................................................................................................2-1
Exercise .............................................................................................................2-1
Section Objectives .............................................................................................2-2
A Hundred Years of Evolution ...........................................................................2-3
Cost Control for Government .............................................................................2-4
Limited Adoption in Private Sector ..............................................................2-4
A Simpler Version: EVMS ...........................................................................2-5
Back to Basic Earned Value Principles .............................................................2-6
Section Review ..................................................................................................2-7
4 Defining Scope
Section Topics ...................................................................................................4-1
Exercise .............................................................................................................4-1
Section Objectives .............................................................................................4-2
Defining the Work to Be Done ...........................................................................4-3
Whats In and Whats Out ...........................................................................4-3
Work Breakdown Structure ................................................................................4-4
Decomposition to Work Packages ..............................................................4-5
Decomposition to Task and Activity ............................................................4-6
WBS Terminology .......................................................................................4-7
WBS Principles ..................................................................................................4-8
Section Review ..................................................................................................4-9
Exercise
Identify Contract Negotiation Parameters
Create Milestones and a Performance Measurement Baseline
Measure Progress
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Section Objectives
Project Dilemma
The problem with contracts is that sellers (project managers) do not want to commit to a
fixed price. They want to spend money as necessary in order to get the work done. They
prefer not to make a firm commitment.
On the other hand, the members of senior management (the buyers) want to know exactly
what their money will be purchasing. They want a firm price commitment from the project
manager. They want a fixed-price contract.
EVM is a tool that ties the competing interests of the project manager and senior
management together. It provides a firm estimate of performance to be developed in the
planning stage, but then generates interim measures of whether that estimate is being
realized during execution. If senior managements expectations are unrealistic, EVM will
quickly highlight the problem. EVM is an important control tool because it keeps
everyone honest.
EVM (earned value management) helps to solve the conflict between the buyer (senior
management) and the seller (project manager). EVM determines how much of a project
has been completed at specific points in time, or milestones. Knowing how much has been
completed allows senior management to release funds in small increments. It allows them
to know if they are getting value for money. The shorter the time between milestones, the
lower the risk that the project will not deliver the value expected from it.
EVM allows senior management to monitor progress and to react to poor performance.
The senior management team is able to watch how its money is being spent.
For the project manager, EVM changes the emphasis from performance targets way off in
the distance to targets that are coming up constantly. The project manager knows how the
project is performing at any given time and whether or not the buyers will be or should be
pleased.
Project Controls
EVM effectively converts a large project into tiny ones, which are more manageable. Each
tiny project, which is typically called a task, is separately managed with its own scope,
budget, and time frame. Performance is measured according to each task. Rewards
(payments and continued funding of a project) are related to a cumulative measure of
performance based on how well tasks are being completed as compared with planned
performance.
Measuring the performance of individual tasks rather than the project as a whole provides
the project manager, and senior management, with a steady stream of signals about the
health of the project.
Note
Management by Milestones
Characteristics of EVM
EVM projects are planned the same way as any other project. First, every effort is made to
define the entire work of the project, or the scope, and then that work is broken down into
small, manageable chunks, which are called tasks or work packages. Individual tasks are
then estimated for time and resources to create a bottom-up budget.
What EVM requires in addition to a bottom-up budget is a resource-loaded schedule. That
is, EVM requires a schedule that relates the work (scope) and resources (money) to a
specific date range. This is not a requirement unique to EV project management; it is good
project management practice.
With a resource-loaded schedule, it is possible to compare actual performance to what was
planned for specific points in time. The difference between actual and planned is then used
to determine trends. Trends are used to forecast probable completion costs and schedule.
Note
EVM is referred to as project management with the lights on, because it shows
management where a project is and where it is headed.
Milestones
Milestones are the key to EVM. They are a fundamental strategic tool used in the
subdivision of a projects work effort.
Milestones are established, or created, during planning. They are created with the express
purpose of indicating how much work should have been completed as of a given date.
Milestones are the backbone of how progress is measured in an EVM environment.
Milestones are not necessarily major events. EVM milestones are manufactured to meet
the reporting needs of a project. Some are logical, such as the end of a piece of work.
Others are created based on the need to measure progress as of a certain date or level of
expenditure.
An example milestone for a renovation project could be the following:
As of EOB (end of business) on Friday, May14, 20XX, two-thirds of the painting of the
main floor hallway should be complete, at a total cost of 17 hours labor.
The milestone described does not represent a natural division of the project. It has been
chosen to serve project needs. It happens that Fridays are the cutoff date for EVM
reporting to senior management. The milestone was defined so as to be able to measure
progress as of that date. It is not a big event in the life of the project; it is just a predeter-
mined expectation that is used to gauge how the project is progressing relative to what was
planned.
In EVM, milestones are progress points. You will learn to love them.
Milestones as Measures
In order to serve as tools for controlling projects, milestones must be defined in three
dimensions. The work involved must be clearly quantified; resources must be allocated;
and timing, or a completion date, must be specified.
In the milestone example for the renovation project, the milestones were defined as
follows:
Scope: Two-thirds of hallway painted
Cost: Seventeen hours of labor
Time: Friday, May 14
In order to serve as progress measures, milestones must be clearly defined. There can be
no confusion about whether or not a task has been completed. There must, therefore, be
some way to gauge the degree of completion.
Note
EVM Terminology
z Milestones
Completion increments
z WBS
Complete analysis of project scope
z PMB
WBS, schedule, budget graph
Figure 9: EVM Terminology
The following are basic EVM terms that are used throughout this manual; it is important
that their role and definition be understood:
Milestones
Work breakdown structure
Performance measurement baseline
Milestones
A milestone is a progress point used to compare planned performance with actual perfor-
mance. Milestones can be natural (for example, the end of a contract) or artificial (for
example, every Friday). Their timing depends on the reporting needs of the project.
z BAC
Total original (planned) budget
z PV
Original budget line
z AC
Actual performance during execution
z EV
Authorized budget for each task or milestone
Figure 10: EVM Statistics
There are four sets of data generated by EVM projects. This is all
the information that is required to manage EVM projects. From
these data, performance statistics are generated. The data are
described as follows:
BAC (budget at completion): Original completion
budget for project
PV (planned value): The budget line, or how much the
project was expected to cost at any given time
AC (actual cost): What the accountants say was
actually spent
EV (earned value): What the expected cost was for the
work that was completed (the planned value for work
completed)
EVM Data
z Data
BAC and PV available at start of project
AC and EV are result of project performance
z Variances
z Indices Calculated from data
z Forecasts
Data BAC AC EV PV
Of the four project data, two are generated in the planning stages. BAC and PV are strictly
forecasted numbers. They represent the planned expectations for the project. BAC does
not change. PV is predicted for the entire duration of the project and ends with the BAC,
which is the PV, or cumulative total, at the end of a project.
Data for AC and EV are collected through project monitoring. They are then used to
calculate performance statistics. EV asks what has been completed. AC is the total of what
the accounting department says has been spent on the project.
The remaining parts of the table in Figure 11 will be discussed on subsequent pages.
EVM terminology is all interrelated. In Figure 12, the various terms are illustrated with
respect to three basic cost lines, planned, actual, and earned. Having a visual
understanding of the terminology is helpful for interpreting the meaning of EVM
statistics.
Performance Statistics
Data BAC AC EV PV
There are three variance statistics used in EVM performance measurement, as follows:
VAC (variance at completion): VAC is the difference between the original
planned completion cost (BAC) and the latest prediction of completion
cost (EAC).
CV (cost variance): CV is the difference between the expected cost to complete
what has been accomplished and what it actually cost.
SV (schedule variance): SV is the difference between what was planned to be
completed as of a given date and what was completed.
There are three index statistics that match up with the three variances, as follows:
TCPI (to complete performance index): TCPI is an indication of the
efficiency rate that would have to be achieved on all remaining work in order to
complete the project on budget. This index is basically a comparison of the
value of work remaining divided by the money remaining. A value of more than
1 implies that all remaining tasks will need to come in under budget (on
average) in order for the project to meet the BAC. The TCPI is compared with
CPI (project cost performance) to determine whether the necessary efficiency
level for the remainder of the project is likely to be achieved. If it is not likely,
there will be a cost overrun.
CPI (cost performance index): CPI indicates how well the project is meeting
its cost targets. A value of 1 indicates that actual costs are exactly the same as
planned (AC=EV) for the work that has been completed. A value over 1
indicates that costs are less than planned (for the work that has been completed).
A value of less than 1 implies that costs have been higher than planned.
SPI (schedule performance index): SPI indicates whether the project is
meeting schedule expectations. A value of 1 indicates that the work completed
to date is right on schedule. A value of over 1 indicates the project is ahead of
schedule. A value of less than 1 implies the project is behind schedule.
Notes
Forecasting
z Cost = BAC/CPI
z Time = BACt/SPI
Data BAC AC EV PV
Forecasts are based on performance indices. If the project has been doing really well up to
this point, what does that imply about the completion cost and schedule? If tasks are, on
average, taking half as long as planned, it suggests that the project overall will be
completed in half the time.
Note
Dependability of Forecasts
EVM techniques are better able to predict completion cost than schedule. However, both
completion cost and schedule forecasts remain useful tools.
Forty years of empirical evidence from government acquisition projects has shown that as
little as 10 to 15 percent into a project, the CPI provides a reasonable forecast of what a
project will achieve. What this means is that cost overruns early in a project will not fix
themselves by the end of the project. If anything, the overruns will get worse.
Using EVM, senior management can learn very early in the life of a project whether the
project is likely to meet its targets. Management can then decide whether to abandon the
project early, before a huge amount of money has been spent.
The SPI is a less precise tool than the CPI for forecasting the future. The principle reason
is that not all tasks which affect the SPI are necessarily on the critical path for a project,
and therefore, they do not all affect the completion date. If a large number of tasks that are
not on the critical path are completed ahead of schedule, they will make the SPI look
good, even though tasks that are on the critical path may be behind schedule.
! Caution
In order to use the SPI as a predictive tool, it is necessary to combine it with critical path
analysis. The SPI provides a high-level overview that, when combined with critical path
analysis, allows for an effective prediction of the completion schedule.
Management by Exception
Management by exception requires that there be a plan. The plan is basically a prediction
of how a project should unfold. It creates a baseline of expectations. Exceptions that must
be managed are any performance results that do not match the expectations baseline.
Management by exception uses the guiding principle that managers should concentrate
their energies on fixing problems, the most serious problems first. In an EVM project,
problems are defined as performance results that are not the same as the planned results
(that is, over budget or behind schedule). An exception is any process that is not going
according to plan. The more severe the discrepancy, the higher is its priority for
management attention.
Management by exception is greatly simplified by EVM because exceptions are so clearly
highlighted by routine performance monitoring relative to a highly structured performance
baseline.
Is EVM a magic bullet for perfect project performance? No. It is just a tool for the
monitoring and reporting of performance. It will not fix poor planning or incompetence.
Cost overruns and late delivery are typically caused by the following three factors:
Lack of realistic planning: All too often, projects are launched with extremely
optimistic budgets for time and cost. Such projects begin with no chance of
coming in on target. EVM cannot fix them. What it can do is raise the alarm
early. EVM will alert senior management to the fact that the project has an
unrealistic plan. It is up to senior management to heed the message.
Poor execution: Even a brilliant project plan can be undermined by a lack of
skilled people, shortages of materials, and poor oversight. EVM will not fix
these things. It just reports on their effects.
Scope creep: A project plan includes a budget for a defined scope of work.
When additional work is arbitrarily added to the project, it should be no surprise
when cost overruns and delays follow. Again, EVM cannot stop scope creep; it
can only highlight it. Management must do the rest.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
EVM is all about planning. EVM requires the creation of a project plan that has the work
divided up into many separately managed tasks and subtasks. Each task and subtask is
defined in terms of when the work will be completed and at what cost.
Completion points for tasks and subtasks create milestones that serve as control points. At
the control points, actual performance is compared with planned performance to measure
project health.
When a task or subtask is not completed on time or within budget, there is considered to be
an exception to the plan. These exceptions guide and direct management energy toward
putting the project back on track.
EVM does not require a unique approach to project planning and management. Rather, it
extracts useful information from planning work that is routinely being done.
Questions
1. What are the constituent parts of a PMB (performance measurement baseline)?
Exercise
There are no exercises for this section.
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Section Objectives
Earned value is basic cost accounting being applied to the one-time events we call
projects. The practices we now call EVM (earned value management) developed out of
cost management techniques used in large factories as early as the 1800s. Industrial
engineers of the time used a three-dimensional approach to the monitoring of costs. They
compared planned output, timing, and costs to actual output, timing, and costs to provide a
picture of performance relative to original expectations. Modern earned value is exactly
the same thing.
In the 1960s, the United States Air Force led in the creation of a formalized version of
earned value for use on projects. This effort standardized the procedures and practices so
that government contractors were all using the same terminology.
z C/SCSC
35 standards of compliance for contractors
Required on all cost-plus contracts
Imposed consistency in reporting of performance
when government was at risk for cost overruns
Figure 21: Cost Control for Government
The C/SCSC (Cost/Schedule Control System Criteria) developed by the United States Air
Force defined 35 reporting criteria that were required by any private contractor hoping to
work for the government on major systems acquisitions.
An example of one of the 35 criteria is the following:
Define all authorized work and related resources to meet the requirements of the
contract, using the framework of the CWBS (contract work breakdown
structure).
The C/SCSC imposed reporting and documentation discipline on major procurement
projects where the government was at risk for cost overruns. It forced contractors to
organize project information in a consistent format that could be readily interpreted by
government representatives.
The C/SCSC was successful from the perspective of government but was not adopted by
the private sector. Over the 30 years of its life, the C/SCSC went through an evolution that
created ever more reporting hurdles and became a sort of bureaucracy of its own, with its
own language of acronyms.
The experience with C/SCSC did, however, convince some industry leaders that there was
value in the application of EV (earned value) to projects, just not in the way it was being
utilized by government.
A more user-friendly version of the C/SCSC was developed and adopted by both the
United States government and industry in the late 1990s. The new version has slightly
fewer criteria (32 instead of 35) and was fundamentally intended to be more user-friendly.
The creation of the new EVMS (earned value management system) led to a shift away
from government leadership in the development of EV and back to the private sector.
Important Terms
Important Terms: With the change from the C/SCSC to EVMS, there were changes to the
terminology. The changes are as follows:
BCWP (budgeted cost of work planned) became EV (earned value)
ACWP (actual cost of work planned) became AC (actual cost)
BCWS (budgeted cost of work scheduled) became PV (planned value)
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
EVM is cost accounting for projects. Its roots date back to industrial engineering practices
of the late 1800s when engineers managed production by relating cost, scope, and time to
what were called standards, or expected results.
The USDOD (United States Department of Defense) adopted a formalized version of
earned value in the 1960s. Over the next 30 years, the C/SCSC evolved into a highly
complex system of controls that many project managers thought were unnecessarily
bureaucratic.
In the late 1990s, a new set of EV criteria was developed. This marked the beginning of
the return of EV to fundamentals. The new EVMS was adopted by the government,
followed quickly by industry associations. Since then the development of EV has been led
by the private sector rather than by government agencies.
Questions
1. What did the C/SCSC (Cost/Schedule Control System Criteria) do for the government?
2. Why was there limited adoption of the C/SCSC by the private sector?
Exercise
End of Project Reporting with Scope Changes
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Section Objectives
EVM follows the same planning procedures as any other project. Planning for EVM
includes the following:
You must know what the project is expected to deliver.
You must decompose the objectives (deliverables) into component parts
necessary to accomplish the work.
The work must be assigned to responsible departments and individuals.
The work must be scheduled.
The work must be budgeted.
Finally, the outputs of the planning processes must be combined into a plan of
record that outlines expectations. In EVM, project expectations are summarized
in a PMB (performance measurement baseline).
EVM is a monitoring and control tool that allows management to ask and answer key
operational questions that would be impossible without EVM or some other cost
accounting system. EVM turns the project lights on.
EVM Stages
1. Scope definition
1.1 Deliverables (WBS)
1.2 Decomposition into tasks
2. Schedule and budget development
2.1 Dependency analysis
2.2 Network diagram
2.3 Resource estimating
2.4 Schedule
3. Integration of cost, scope, and schedule into control
account plans
3.1 Control account plans
4. Earned value baseline and PMB
5. Performance monitoring
6. Forecasting
Figure 27: EVM Stages
There are six stages to EVM planning and implementation. The stages are as follows:
1. Scope definition
2. Schedule and budget development
3. Control account plans
4. Earned value baseline and PMB
5. Performance monitoring
6. Forecasting
Scope Definition
The first step in EVM, as in any project, is to ensure that the entire scope of the project is
clearly defined. With EVM, you cannot fire the gun and aim later. Planning must be
exhaustive and complete before work can begin.
Key to successful EVM project planning is an early emphasis on project boundaries. What
is in scope and what is out of scope? Only after scope definition is complete can the rest of
the planning process be tackled.
It follows that effective change controls are critical to successful EVM. Once the scope
has been defined, all changes must be integrated into the plan; otherwise performance
measurements will be distorted.
Scope is formally defined in the form of a WBS (work breakdown structure). The WBS
provides a hierarchical display of project deliverables that is easily interpreted by project
stakeholders.
After the deliverables have been defined, it is necessary to decide how the work will be
completed. Decomposition is used to provide a breakdown of the work necessary to
produce the deliverables. Decomposition down to ever smaller work packages and tasks
continues until it is possible to individually budget, schedule, and manage each task.
During the decomposition process, it is customary to create milestones that will be used in
performance measurement.
Scope
Tasks
Dependencies
Network
diagram
Resource
estimating
Schedule
Figure 30: Schedule and Budget Development
CAPs (control account plans) summarize the previous planning effort into neat little
packages. CAPs integrate scope, schedule, and cost by tying the three together in a formal
document.
There is nothing exceptional about this. The planning efforts already completed have
provided all the necessary information; it is just organized within CAPs. Every task in a
CAP has defined work, a specific budget for that work, and a date range when the work is
supposed to be completed.
CAPs generally are made up of a number of related tasks, such as all the programming
activities or all the activities for which a particular department is responsible. CAPs,
therefore, serve as summation points for strategic management control. They are in effect
subprojects of the main project. They allow different departments or cost centers to be
monitored separately from the project as a whole.
EV (earned value) baseline is the term used to refer to the methods applied to specific
tasks to measure degree of completion. Each task has its own EV baseline. Collectively,
all the tasks in a project add up to an overall EV baseline. The EV baseline then becomes
an integral part of the PMB (performance measurement baseline), which is a subsection of
a project plan that focuses on the relationships among time, cost, and scope.
A performance measurement baseline documents specific expectations of spending and
work completion at intervals throughout the project. It serves as a point of reference.
During execution, the project is monitored for time, cost, and scope. Actual performance
is then compared with the performance measurement baseline.
The performance measurement baseline defines expectations for the project whereas the
EV baseline defines the expectations for specific tasks.
Forecasting
Forecasting is the final step. It is what really turns the lights on for
project managers.
Very early in a project, it is possible to use EVM to predict the
probable completion budget and schedule. This means that you do
not need to be 80 percent through a project before you see the
writing on the wall. EVM turns the lights on early enough for
management to do something about the problemwhich may be to
shut the project down.
Frequency of reviews
Significance of project
Detail of analysis
gor
r i
M
EV
Uncertainty of success
Figure 35: Precision and Rigor
How much effort should be put into planning for EVM? Should milestones be created for
the end of every day, every week, or every month? How detailed should decomposition
be? What is a reasonable size of a task? Should it be one man day or two weeks?
The answers depend on two factors. How important is the project to the organization and
how uncertain is success? If the project is critical to the organizations very survival, you
should err on the side of frequent reviews and small tasks. If the project is something your
organization has never done before, then this, too, would suggest more frequent reviews
and detailed planning.
More frequent reviews and more detailed planning will result in tighter project controls.
Performance statistics will come more frequently, allowing management to react early and
often to exceptions.
EVM provides management with an integrated view of a project. Scope, time, and cost are
not treated as separate departments, but rather as interrelated variables that must be
managed in concert. Without EVM, project managers are forced to guess at project
statistics that EVM makes very clear.
EVM provides management with an early warning system. It highlights problems as they
occur and directs management energies to where they are most needed. EVM turns the
lights on.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
EVM implementation is essentially the same as conventional project planning. The
difference is in the details. EVM requires clearly defined tasks with milestones that are
independently budgeted and scheduled.
The PMB (performance measurement baseline) represents the accumulation of data for
the project. It details expectations and allows performance data to be summarized in a
visual display of project results.
Questions
1. Define the term resource-loaded schedule.
2. How does a PMB (performance measurement baseline) serve as a stake in the ground, or
point of reference, for a project?
4. In what way does the significance of a project to an organization affect the way EVM is
applied?
Exercise
Scope Analysis: Prepare a Work Breakdown Structure
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Section Objectives
Defining scope is the first and trickiest part of project planning. It is not sufficient to have
just a good idea of what the project will include. For EVM, the complete body of work
must be clearly defined.
Scope definition is the most elusive of all project planning steps. Poorly defined scope
ultimately results in project changes that lead to cost and schedule overruns. Any project
that starts with a clear and complete definition of what is to be done will have a much
better chance of successful completion than those that do not.
PMBOK
Scope: The sum of the products, services, and results to be provided as a project.
The problem with scope definition is that customers dont know what they dont know.
When trying to clarify exactly what is to be included, many stakeholders are unable to
articulate their needs.
A useful practice is to create lists of both what is in and what is out of the scope of a
project. The lists are then reviewed with stakeholders to ensure they understand what the
project will not deliver, as well as what it will deliver.
After working so hard to define the scope, you should not be surprised that change
controls are very important. Unapproved or unplanned changes to the work, called scope
creep, will undermine the value of EVM measurements.
Earned Value Management 4-3
Global Knowledge Training LLC
Defining Scope
The WBS (work breakdown structure) is used to document what the project will deliver.
Like an organization chart, it is a hierarchical analysis of what the project will do and how
it will be done. Each descending level in the hierarchy provides a more detailed analysis of
what will be accomplished.
The WBS represents the entire project. It is used for discussion and negotiation with
stakeholders. When negotiations are over, if it is not in the WBS, it is not in the project.
The WBS is, therefore, a definitive statement of what will be included in the project.
Example WBS
Online
Reservation Project
System
Major deliverables
Business Systems Internet Implementation Project
analysis design services management
Like an organization chart, the WBS illustrates the relationships between project
components in a graphical way. The WBS is a valuable communications tool for
explaining to stakeholders what the project will and will not entail.
Business Analysis
Phase Major deliverable
Subdeliverables
Existing Bus. process Branch
logic review analysis restructuring
The WBS illustrates how major deliverables are decomposed into subdeliverables, and
then into work packages.
The WBS is considered to be complete when the deliverables have been broken down into
work packages. According to the PMI (Project Management Institute), work packages are
the lowest level of the WBS.
Figure 41 illustrates a decomposition of the business analysis branch of the WBS shown in
Figure 40.
Technical
Needs assessment Activities Specifications
Task Subtasks
Project
Meet with Analyse Compile
Major deliverable
stakeholders data report
Subdeliverable
Regulatory Legal Work package
review opinion Activity
Customer Market Competitive Task
Analysis analysis analysis Subtask
Figure 42: Decomposition to Task and Activity
In the example in Figure 42, the data management component from Figure 41 has been
broken down still further into activities and tasks.
Note
Decomposition of work packages into activities is not considered by the PMI to be officially
part of the WBS. Instead, the decomposition of work packages is referred to as activity
definition. Activity definition (decomposition) is typically the responsibility of someone
(other than the project manager) who has been charged with completion of a work
package. For the purposes of the discussion below, there is no distinction between the
WBS and activity definition. All details of scope breakdown are referred to as being part of
the WBS
Note
Planning and budgeting occurs at the activity or task level. Bottom-up budgeting is based
on the accumulation of all of the tasks of a project to create a total budget.
WBS Terminology
The terminology used in the WBS varies between organizations. The hierarchy used in
this course includes the outputs of activity definition and will be as follows:
Project
Divisions
Internal versus external
Major deliverables
Subdeliverables
Work packages
Activities
Tasks
Subtasks
Not every level of the WBS will be necessary for every project. The levels employed will
reflect the unique nature of the project.
The divisions between the levels of a WBS are not necessarily rigid. What is the
difference between a major deliverable and a subdeliverable? The answer depends on
organizational rules and a project managers preferences.
For the purposes of this manual, the term work package will be used to refer to a
deliverable that requires further subdivision in order to be budgeted. The term task will be
used to refer to the basic building block of the fully decomposed WBS. It should be
understood that some projects may use the term activity to refer to the lowest level of a
decomposed WBS.
WBS Principles
The WBS is designed to illustrate not only the component parts of a project but also how
the component parts relate to each other. The divisions and branches are intended to show
logical connections and separations between departments or categories of effort. For
example, the portion of a project that is being contracted out will be on a separate branch
from the portions that are being completed in-house. By illustrating in broad terms the
divisions of effort, the WBS provides a visual illustration of execution strategy.
Decomposition of the WBS is complete when the analysis is granular enough to match the
risk and rigor requirements of the project. A very important project that involves
unfamiliar technology would be sliced up more finely into smaller task sizes than a trivial
project that involves familiar activities.
The smallest divisions of the WBS (tasks or activities) are then separately budgeted and
become the building blocks of a bottom-up budget.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
Complete and thorough scope definition is essential for EVM. The tool of choice for this
process is a WBS. The WBS provides a graphic illustration of the boundaries of a project
and allows all stakeholders to easily visualize what the project will accomplish.
Questions
1. What is the role of a WBS in EVM?
3. What is meant by the statement, If it is not in the WBS, it is not in the project?
Exercise
Create a Project Schedule
N Knowledge
Guide
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Section Objectives
z Master schedule
z Vertical integration of tasks with master schedule
z Task dependencies built into schedule
Figure 45: EVM Scheduling Requirements
EVM scheduling is essentially the same as scheduling in any project. However, EVM
requires that the schedule include features that may not be a requirement in projects not
employing EVM. There must be a master schedule that all tasks are related to, and the
schedule must reflect dependencies.
Master Schedule
A master schedule is a big picture schedule. There may be hundreds of people and several
departments working on a project. Each department will have its own time frame for when
it expects to complete its work.
For EVM to be effective, every department and individual contributing to a project must
be working to the same major target dates. Everyone has to recognize the same launch
date. What this means is that the schedule of a particular department cannot be permitted
to drift in isolation. All the components of a project must be integrated into the same
timeline.
Vertical Integration
Horizontal Integration
Horizontal integration relates to dependencies. EVM schedules must reflect the pattern of
execution of tasks in order to forecast performance as it is expected to occur. Horizontal
integration is achieved through the use of network diagrams and critical path analysis.
Example Schedule
Administration $ 3,100
Total $34,100
EVM schedules are not necessarily complex. Gantt charts are a common method used to
illustrate the various components of an EVM schedule.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
EVM scheduling requires only common project management practices. The objective is to
put each separate project activity into a fixed time frame. The accumulation of the many
separate fixed time frames results in the overall project schedule.
EVM scheduling requires that all components of a project be integrated into one master
schedule, that the timing of individual tasks be clearly coordinated with other tasks, and
that the schedule include consideration of the sequence of task execution.
Questions
1. What is a time-phased performance plan?
Exercise
Create CAPs for the Project and Prepare a Budget Estimate
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Section Objectives
The CAP (control account plan) is a tool to help organize costs into reasonable groupings.
CAPs are combinations of related tasks, such as all of the software development efforts, or
all of the work being performed by a particular department.
CAPs are created at the discretion of the project manager to serve as control points. They
effectively create mini projects within the main project. The performance of each mini
project can then be judged separately.
During execution, performance measurement is done at the task level, but the results of
every task are not reported to senior management. Reports of project progress are based
on the combination of task results into statistics for CAPs, and then all of the CAPs are
combined to produce overall project statistics. In this way, management gets a stepped
view of project performance, but is not burdened by a mountain of details.
The use of CAPs reduces the reporting complexity of projects. Without them, the only
statistics generated by a project are those for individual tasks and for the project as a
whole. CAPs introduce an intermediate level of reporting and allow a project to be
effectively analyzed along functional lines as well as by individual tasks.
A CAP has its own baseline that is a summation of the tasks within the CAP. The
summation of all the CAPs within a project creates the baseline for the entire project.
CAP Ingredients
CAPs are control documents that tie important elements of a project together. Each task
within a CAP is documented in terms of scope, time, and cost, as well as the department or
person responsible for the work. The ingredients in a CAP also include milestones that are
used to measure the degree of completion of the work at specified time intervals.
There are no set rules for determining the size of CAPs. The number of tasks within a CAP
should be determined by the structure of the project and by the reporting needs of
management.
It is easier to manage projects with fewer CAPs, but the tradeoff is a less granular analysis
of project results.
The one CAP management rule is that there can be no indiscriminate shifting of either
budget or work separate from each other. In other words, your team cannot arbitrarily
decide to combine tasks from different CAPs because they thought of a new way to get the
work done. Budget and work must move together, and then the baseline needs to be
revised to reflect the changes.
6-4 Earned Value Management
Global Knowledge Training LLC
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
CAP Example
EV measurement
Assumptions 15 man days (3 weeks), 8 hrs per day, $60/hr for administrative office staff
1.1.4 PV $ 75,000
Input sales data EV
AC
Description Entering sales data into oracle database
EV measurement
The CAP illustrated in Figure 55 is incomplete. There are two tasks. Included for each
task is a description of the scope of the work involved and a defined budget. The respon-
sible person is indicated. However, there is no reference to timing or to an EV
measurement method. These will be added as the course progresses.
z EVM requires:
Integration of scope, time, cost, and responsibility
Just good project management practices, but
especially important for EVM
z Completion of project management plan requires
only a few additional steps
Quality, communications, risk, and procurement
Figure 56: What Is Left to Complete a Project Plan?
Is a project plan complete by the time you have created tasks, CAPs, and ultimately a
PMB? No. The hardest parts of project planning are done, but there is still work to be done
in terms of quality management, communications, risk analysis, and procurement.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
CAPs are summation points for related tasks. They document all the activities for a
department or for a subproject of a big project.
CAPs are control documents that summarize critical information about the tasks that they
include. The only management rule is that money and scope be shifted together, if at all.
Questions
1. What are the ingredients of a CAP?
Exercise
Complete an Earned Value Baseline
N Knowledge
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Section Objectives
EV Measurement Baseline
The EV (earned value) baseline is the summation of expectations for the project. During
execution, the baseline serves as a reference point to remind everyone of what results were
anticipated at any given time in the project.
The EV baseline is made up of EV measurements for each individual task in a project.
They combine to create an overall baseline that becomes part of the PMB.
z Example project:
A contractor has been hired to paint the interior walls
of your office building.
There will be two painters at a total cost of $50/hr.
The work will be done at night to avoid disruptions.
(There will be no supervision.)
The project is expected to take six weeks and cost
between $22,000 and $24,000.
z After one, two, or three weeks of effort, how
will you determine whether or not the project is
on track?
Figure 59: Planning and Measuring Earned Value
The EV baseline requires that the progress of every task in the project be measurable.
For very short tasks, the only measure that might be necessary is completion. It is then
necessary to be able to determine whether all the work defined for the task is complete, at
what cost, and when.
For long tasks, the work needs to be divided into milestones, each with its own measure of
completion.
A hypothetical example project involving the painting of the interior walls of an office
building is described below. This example will be used in the discussions that follow about
the various methods for measuring the degree of completion of tasks.
Measuring earned value means being able to determine the level of completion of tasks.
Establishing milestones, such as half done or 25 percent done, requires an understanding
of the activities involved. You must understand the nature of the work in order to be able
to subdivide it into logical components.
There is a variety of EV measurement systems. The choice of system is driven by the
project managers experience and preferences.
When selecting a measurement method, it is important to consider the nature of the task
involved.
Tasks that extend over a long period of time, and, therefore, several reporting periods,
must be measured differently from very short tasks. Long tasks must be subdivided into
milestones that match reporting cycles.
Is the task valuable? How much effort should be put into controlling and monitoring a task
of under $1000, or a task of under $10,000? The more valuable a task, the more control
effort is justified.
How risky is the task? How worried should you be about failure? A task that is on the
critical path of a project and that involves unfamiliar technology should be measured more
carefully than familiar tasks off the critical path.
z Weighted milestones
z Fixed formula by task
z Percentage complete
z Percentage complete plus milestones
z Equivalent completed units
z Earned standards
z Apportioned relationship (Recurring tasks)
to discrete tasks
z Level of effort
Figure 62: Methods Used to Plan and Measure EV
Broadly speaking, there are eight methods used to measure completion rates. Each method
will be discussed in turn.
Weighted Milestones
The weighted milestone method is the easiest measurement method to grasp and the
hardest to implement. This method requires that the work be divided into chunks and that
each chunk have its own budget and schedule.
It sounds simple, but the problem is coming up with workable divisions of the labor. The
divisions must work not only in theory, but also in practice. In order to divide work into
weighted milestones, it is necessary to have a thorough understanding of the work
involved.
In order to use the weighted milestone method for the example painting project, you need
to know more about the work involved and how it can be subdivided. Understanding the
nature of the work allows you to generate possible measurement methods. It might be
simplest to use the same method that the painting contractor employed when creating the
original budget estimate.
Ultimately, a choice must be made, and then the work must be divided into discrete
milestones that reflect the reporting cycle.
In the example in Figure 65, a reporting period of two weeks has been chosen with an
earned value of $8,000, which represents one-third of the total budget cost. This means
that the project manager will let the painters work for two weeks before measuring their
effectiveness.
The weighted milestone method is arguably the best. However, it suffers from being a lot
of work to set up. The planners need to thoroughly understand the activities involved,
which generally requires the cooperation and coordination of team members.
Fixed formula by task is quick and easy, but this method lacks precision.
The fixed formula method has two milestones, the beginning and the end of a task. The
budget is then divided between these two milestones based on a fixed formula, such as 25
percent at the beginning and 75 percent at the end. The formula chosen is determined by
preference or may be mandated by the organization.
A working example of fixed formula by task would be agreeing to a 25 percent down
payment when a renovator begins work on your bathroom and withholding the remaining
75 percent until the bathroom is complete.
In the painting example, the entire project could be treated as one task. Twenty-five
percent of the total cost is paid up front to cover the cost of materials that must be
purchased. There are no further payments until the project is complete.
Can you see a problem with managing the painting project using the fixed formula
method? There are no interim controls. The project manager will not learn for six weeks
whether or not the painters are being productive. After six weeks, when the project
manager expects the project to be complete, the painting could still be only half finished,
with costs much higher than planned.
The fixed formula method does not create any interim management signals. Therefore, it is
only suitable for tasks of short duration or for projects with a fixed-price contract.
Percentage Complete
The percentage complete method is similar to weighted milestones. The difference is that
with weighted milestones, the criteria for measuring degree of completion is very explicit.
With the percentage complete method, the degree of completion is determined subjec-
tively, that is, by the opinion of the project manager.
The strength of percentage complete is that it is very simple. The weakness is in the
subjectivity of the measurements used to determine completion rates. Being subjective,
the measures are susceptible to blunders and bias.
In the painting example, the percentage complete method could be used to assess progress
at the halfway point, which is three weeks. The project manager would walk through the
building and determine whether he or she thought the painting was half finished.
The problem with percentage complete is that it is not a very sensitive measurement
system. Can the project manager differentiate between a project that is 40 percent
complete and one that is 60 percent complete? Maybe.
The percentage complete method is only suitable when precise measurements of
completion are not required.
The percentage complete plus milestones method combines the strength of milestones
with the ease of percentage complete. This method allows project managers to measure
tasks subjectively, but only up to a point. The errors associated with subjective measures
are then corrected by imposing the occasional tangible measure of completion.
Typically, subjective measures of completion are considered valid only up to a given
percentage of EV, for example 75 percent of EV. In order to be credited for the entire EV
of a task, a tangible measurement must be taken.
Percentage complete plus milestones requires less effort to establish but still imposes
checks and balances on the measurement system.
The percentage complete plus milestones method could be used on the painting project by
allowing the project manager to subjectively measure progress every week. Up to 80
percent of the EV for each week can be credited based on subjective measures of
completeness.
At the three-week mark, the degree of completion must be measured according to the
number of rooms and the length of hallways finished. Only after the tangible measure of
completion has been monitored will the project manager be able to credit the entire EV to
the tasks.
The advantage of this method is that it forces the project manager to investigate the project
on a weekly basis, but it does not require a rigorous planning process or elaborate
measurements each week. If, in the opinion of the project manager, the task is progressing
roughly as planned, no further investigation is required.
The equivalent completed units method is used for repetitive activities, such as installation
of work stations in an office building. With this method, there is a planned value for each
repetition of a known activity.
The equivalent completed units method is easy to administer in that it requires relatively
little planning. The problem with this method is that very few activities are uniform
enough to allow for a single measurement standard, and conflicts can arise as to whether
or not the standard is fair to everyone involved.
In the painting example, equivalent completed units could be used based on a standard
amount of wall being painted. In the example, the standard is set at 100 linear feet of wall
at a cost of $240 and 9.6 man hours.
The standard is then applied to components of the building, such as offices and hallways,
to create an EV budget figure for each building component. The EV value of all
components totals to the project budget of $24,000.
When the project manager is monitoring the project for progress, he or she will simply
walk through the building counting off all the completed units based on the standards set
for each component of the building.
The problem with this method in this example is that the standards assume there is the
same amount of work in each completed unit, which is unlikely to be true. If the painters
started the project by concentrating on the easiest parts to paint, for example, where there
was little or no furniture to move, such as in the hallways and foyer, then performance
would be artificially good at the beginning of the project. Throughout the rest of the
project, the painters performance would decline as more complex portions of the work
were tackled.
The equivalent completed units method requires that relatively complex and easy activities
be mixed up throughout the life of the work package.
Earned Standards
The earned standards method is based on historical cost information. It is typically used
for production work.
An example might be the installation of carpeting in a new building. A carpeting
contractor knows exactly how much it should cost for his crews to install a given area of
carpeting. Budgeting is then based on the standard costs that have been developed over
years of experience.
Earned standards could be used to monitor the example painting project by dividing the
total budget by the total area to be painted. During monitoring, the project manager would
simply measure exactly how much wall space had been painted and then calculate earned
value for comparison with the baseline.
The problems with using this method are the project manager must know exactly how
much square footage is involved and also must be able to accurately measure what has
been completed.
Earned standards, therefore, require a relatively experienced project management
environment to plan and administer. There needs to be historical records and well-
documented cost histories for the activities being performed.
The last two methods for measuring earned value are used for recurring activities, such as
quality control. The ARTDT (apportioned relationship to discreet tasks) method applies a
portion of the recurring cost to discretely measured tasks.
The discrete task is called the measurement base. In a network expansion project, the
measurement base might be the completion of networks within separate buildings. If there
are twelve buildings being networked, then the completion of each one represents a
milestone or progress measure. The total cost of quality controlling the network installa-
tions will be divided in twelve equal parts and applied to each of the building completion
milestones.
The problem here is that applying EV according to a formula means that it has not actually
been measured. What if the quality control effort for the first few buildings was far more
than predicted? Using the ARTDT method would not detect the overrun.
In the painting example, the ARTDT method could be used to assign quality control costs
to the project.
If the equivalent completed units method were being used as the discrete measurement
method of progress, then the cost of quality control could be applied according to each
equivalent unit completed. If $20 of quality control were apportioned to each of the 100
equivalent units, then the entire quality control budget of $2,000 would be fully assigned.
Level of Effort
LOE (level of effort) is used for indirect or overhead costs where there is no measurable
output. LOE costs are assigned to a project based on the passing of time. There is no EV to
measure.
LOE costs should not be included in the performance baseline. It is not worth the trouble.
They should be isolated into a separate overhead CAP where they will not skew results for
EV measurements.
Assumptions 15 man days (3 weeks), 8 hrs per day, $60/hr for administrative office staff
1.1.4 PV 15,000 15,000 15,000 15000 15000 $ 75,000
Input sales data. EV
AC
Description Entering sales data into oracle database
EV Measurement Equivalent completed units - $5/record completed. Average of 400/day = 37.5 man days duration
Completion in 5 weeks requires 7.5 technicians to complete 3000 records per week
Assumptions 5 minutes/record, 15,000 records, $60/hr
Figure 80: Example CAP with EV Measures
The table in Figure 80 illustrates a CAP with all the components necessary for a PMB. For
each task, the budget has been divided up into weekly subtasks to match the reporting
cycle of the project. An EV measurement method has been chosen and can be applied to
the weekly milestones measure that has been created.
What costs must a baseline include? It must include everything management makes the
project responsible for, which may include profit and overhead.
LOE costs (that is, overhead) do not form part of the EV measurement baseline but must
be included in the overall project cost baseline. Therefore, there will be two cost baselines,
one that includes all costs and one that reports on costs related to measurable performance
activities.
PMB Components
z WBS or equivalent
All the work broken down into work packages and
tasks
z Resource-loaded schedule
Gantt chart with timed budget allocations
Tasks grouped into CAPs (subprojects)
EV measures for all tasks
z Performance graph
Line graph illustrating time versus PV
Figure 82: PMB Components
The PMB is a detailed prediction of how a project will unfold. It incorporates the EV
baseline for individual tasks, CAPs, and the project as a whole, as well as other
components. Typically, a PMB includes a breakdown of the work (WBS), a resource-
loaded schedule (Gantt chart), EV baseline details documented in CAPs, and a perfor-
mance graph that charts PV, EV, and AC.
Managing Change
Change control is an important issue in EVM projects. A lot of work goes into the
planning and scheduling of effort. Any change to the timing or quantity of work involved
in the project will distort the EV statistics. Strict change controls must be in place and in
use, or a lot of planning time will have been wasted.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
The EV measurement baseline is a forecast of project results. It is a record of what the
project planners believed to be true when the project was launched. It documents time and
cost expectations for the project.
During execution, the project is monitored. Actual performance is compared to what was
predicted.
In order to monitor progress, it is necessary to have pre-established guidelines for
measuring progress. The methods used to measure completion rates depend on the type of
task involved. Issues to consider are the duration of the task, risk and uncertainty, and the
magnitude of costs involved. There is no single measurement system that is appropriate in
every situation.
When completed, the PMB will include a WBS, a resource-loaded schedule, and a perfor-
mance graph, all of which are necessary for comparing planned to actual performance.
Questions
1. Describe the weighted milestone system of EV measurement.
4. The budget for a work package with five milestones is $300,000. If it takes $500,000 to
complete the work package, what is the EV at completion?
Exercise
Monitor Project Performance
N Knowledge
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Section Objectives
Measurements are made at the task level. Results from tasks are then combined into CAPs
for reporting purposes. CAPs may be further combined into organizational divisions, such
as marketing or product development. All of the divisions are then combined to generate
overall project statistics.
At each level of monitoring, actual results are compared with planned results as
documented in the PMB (performance measurement baseline).
Trend Indicator
EVM serves as a trend indicator for projects. Short-term performance is used to forecast
long-term results. If the project is 10 percent over budget when the work is only 15
percent complete, what is the probable completion budget?
Forecasts serve as an early warning system for management. Management may choose not
to react to a forecasted cost overrun, but they will have been warned.
Management by Exception
Management by exception means investigating when project results are not the same as
planned. Exceptions will be highlighted at every level of monitoring, for example, at the
task, CAP, division, and project levels. The project manager drills down into the project
reports to determine the root cause of exceptions to the plan and then works to fix the
problem.
Not every variance from the plan is investigated. If a $100,000 milestone is over budget by
$9, no one is going to investigate. The question is at what level of error must investigation
begin?
To answer that question, variance thresholds are established for the project before
execution begins. There may be more than one threshold. A 5 percent variance might
require management investigation. Anything over a 10 percent variance might initiate an
emergency investigation. A variance of over 30 percent may call for a strategy meeting
with stakeholders.
When exceptions are detected, there is a protocol that the project manager must follow.
First, the exception is investigated for its root cause. Second, it is analyzed for possible
solutions. Third, corrective action is taken. Fourth, it is necessary to make sure that the fix
worked. If the fix was unsuccessful, another solution needs to be attempted.
z CPI = EV AC
CPI = 1 means performance is exactly as planned
CPI < 1 means bad news
CPI > 1 means good news
z If CPI = .91, project is 9% over budget
Project is earning only $.91 of EV for every dollar
spent
Figure 87: Cost Performance Index
Cost performance is measured by the CPI (cost performance index). A CPI of 1 means
the project is right on target. A CPI of less than 1 is bad news; a CPI greater than 1 is
good news.
A CPI of .87 implies that the project is 13 percent over budget. It means that every dollar
that is being spent is earning only 87 percent of what the project had originally expected a
dollar to earn.
CPI is probably the most dependable of EVM statistics. As early as 10 percent into a
project, the CPI can be used to predict the probable completion budget of the project,
which, of course, is always higher than planned.
But you might be wondering, when you are only 10 percent into a project, why should you
bother predicting the completion budget when there is so much that could change to fix it?
The reason is that 30 years of EV experience has proven that an early cost overrun will not
correct itself. It is likely to get worse, since the best planning is done for the early parts of
a project.
The only hope for correcting a poor cost performance is aggressive management action.
Even then, the odds are against you. It is better to tell senior management the bad
news early.
The SPI is a useful indicator of schedule performance early in a project. The limitation is
that SPI is determined by the value of actual work completed, or EV, as compared to
planned work completions, or PV. As the project nears completion, the SPI moves toward
a value of 1 because EV approaches PV. When the project is complete, EV equals PV and
the SPI equals 1 even though the project could be way behind schedule.
Another factor that undermines the precision of SPI is that it is determined by all tasks in
the project, not just those on the critical path. Since only tasks on the critical path
determine the project completion date, it is possible that the SPI can be distorted by
irrelevant schedule performance on noncritical tasks.
Cumulative data is data from the entire project and all time periods.
Periodic data is data from one reporting period, or from just one
division, or from a portion of the CAPs.
Periodic data should not be used in trend analysis. It is too
commonly distorted by accounting issues, such as the timing of
expense allocations.
Note
The most useful trend analysis comes from using cumulative data;
the more data there is, the better the projections.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
Project monitoring highlights exceptions to the performance baseline. Exceptions are
investigated and, hopefully, rectified.
During execution, progress is measured at the task level. Task performance is summarized
at the CAP level for reporting to senior management. CAPs may be further summarized by
division before the entire project is summarized to create overall performance statistics.
CPI is a dependable indicator of project outcomes. It generally reports bad news, that costs
are higher than planned. When it does, dont ignore it. History has shown that early
problems will not fix themselves. Only exceptional management effort can reverse a trend.
SPI must be interpreted with caution. It is not a perfect indicator of schedule performance,
and it must be combined with critical path analysis when developing schedule forecasts.
Questions
1. Explain the role of variance thresholds in EVM.
2. After an exception has been detected, what must the project manager do?
4. What is the SPI at the end of a project in which each of the ten tasks involved took twice
as long as planned?
Exercise
Prepare a Status Report for Senior Management
N Knowledge
Guide
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Section Objectives
Being able to reliably forecast outcomes early in project execution is what has motivated
the adoption of EVM methodologies. Effective forecasting means that the project lights
are on. You can see not only where you are, but also where you are headed. Once you have
started to use EVM, it is hard to imagine project management without it.
z Quality of baseline
Realistic versus optimistic
Incomplete scope, underbudgeted, unrealistic
schedule
z Actual performance
Competence and commitment
z Managements determination to influence results
Early detection and aggressive reactions
Figure 93: Factors Determining Project Results
EVM does not control project results; it just reports on them. There are three major factors
that determine how successful a project will be. These factors are as follows:
The plan: If a project starts out with an unrealistic set of expectations, there is
no hope of it being successful. EVM certainly wont fix it.
The people: Shortages of skilled staff or staff members who are not dedicated
to the project are also success killers.
Management: A management team that is indifferent to warning signs or
unresponsive to signals will be a certain cause of failure. EVM doesnt do any
of the work required to fix problems, it just highlights them. Management must
do the rest.
Statistical Forecasts
Estimate at Completion
There are three methods for calculating the budgets EAC (estimate at completion). They
each represent differing degrees of optimism as to how the project is likely to come out.
Mathematical Overrun-to-Date
z EACopt = AC + (BAC-EV)
= money already spent plus remaining portion of
original budget
z Assumes all future costs will be exactly as
originally planned
Budget overrun already experienced will not
continue (is not a trend but an anomaly)
z Wildly optimistic unless there was a natural
disaster that caused overrun
Figure 96: Mathematical Overrun-to-Date
The most optimistic outlook is created by the mathematical overrun-to-date method. This
method basically assumes that the overruns to date are an anomaly and that the rest of the
project will be completed exactly as planned.
Unless there was some kind of one-off disaster that caused cost overruns at the beginning
of the project, it is generally considered to be very optimistic to assume that a poor cost
performance will abruptly end.
Cumulative CPI
The cumulative CPI method generates what is generally considered to be the minimum
EAC estimate, or the best-case scenario. It uses the current cost trend (CPI) to extrapolate
to the end of the project. Even though it is a simple statistic, the cumulative CPI is the
most dependable of EV forecasting tools.
The cumulative CPI SPI method provides a worst-case scenario, or maximum EAC.
This forecast combines both the cost trend (CPI) and the schedule trend (SPI) to extrap-
olate to the end of the project. It assumes that schedule overruns are likely to make cost
overruns even worse as management tries to bring the project back on schedule.
The TCPI (to complete performance index) is a very useful index. It tells management
how efficiently the remaining tasks on a project would need to be completed in order for
the project to come in on budget.
A TCPI of 1 means all remaining tasks merely have to come in on budget (on average). A
TCPI of less than 1 implies that there is some slack in the system, and all remaining tasks
do not have to come in as planned and the project would still come in on budget. A TCPI
of more than 1 implies that all remaining tasks will need to come in under budget (on
average) if the project is to complete as forecasted.
For example, a TCPI of 1.1 implies that all remaining tasks will need to be performed at
110 percent efficiency in order for the project to meet its budget targets. Is that a
reasonable expectation? The answer depends on how the project has been performing up
until now. Typically, a high TCPI ratio is caused by cost overruns early in the project, and,
therefore, it is optimistic to assume that cost savings will be experienced during the
remainder of the project.
Forecasts of schedule completion are imprecise. The results must be interpreted with
caution and analyzed alongside the critical path.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
Summary
The ability to forecast outcomes is what makes EVM so appealing to project managers.
The forecasts are not precise, but they are useful indicators of trends that should be heeded
by management if the project is to succeed.
Factors that affect project results are the quality of the plan, the quality of the people doing
the work, and the quality of management oversight.
EAC can be calculated in three ways. Each one implies a different degree of optimism. In
combination, they provide a range of possible outcomes for interpretation by senior
management.
The TCPI is a very useful indicator of how rough the path ahead will be. It says how
efficiently the remaining tasks will need to be performed in order for the project to come
in on budget.
The EAC for time is a crude measure but remains useful toward the beginning of a project.
Questions
1. Why is it recommended that project managers report a range of EACs?
Exercise
There are no exercises for this section.
N Knowledge
Guide
W E
Section Objectives
Implementing EVM
Employing EVM methodologies does not require a great deal of additional effort relative
to conventional project planning and management. It does, however, offer many benefits.
During execution, EVM provides the opportunity to see how actual performance compares
with planned performance and to forecast where the project is headed. It provides an early
warning system that gives EVM projects a huge strategic advantage over projects using
less sophisticated control methods.
Knowledge
Check
Section Review
1. If you were the project manager on an EVM project, how would you calculate EAC for
senior management?
2. The project manager has estimated EAC at $120,000. According to the original plan, there
is still $60,000 of work remaining to be completed. Actual cost is $75,000. What TCPI
must be achieved for the remainder of the project in order for the project managers EAC
to be proven correct?
3. Consider the project in question 2. The projects BAC is $115,000. You know that EV
equals $55,000 (BAC less remaining work). AC equals $75,000. Is it reasonable to expect
a TCPI of 1.33 for the remainder of the project?
Project Team
BRIAN EGAN Course Director
NANCY DUNHAM Project Director, Content Development
KARIN GRODEN Project Manager, Content Development
KIRSTEN E. HALE, MS, PMP Worldwide Product Director, Project Management & Professional Skills
KIM HIGHLAND Worldwide Product Manager, Project Management & Professional Skills
Overview
There are three tasks in this workbook section. Before beginning each task, please wait for
your instructor to explain how to proceed.
All three tasks relate to a hypothetical case study involving a landscaping contract. The
background for the first task is added to by descriptions in the second and third tasks.
The exercises in this section of the workbook introduce the purpose and function of EVM
(Earned Value Management). EVM terminology is illustrated using a simple project
example. The same terminology is then used in subsequent workbook sections.
After working independently, or in groups, results from the assignments will be reviewed
as part of a general class discussion.
Tasks
Task 1: Identify Contract Negotiation Parameters
Task 2: Create Milestones and a Performance Measurement Baseline
Task 3: Measure Progress
Instructions
Read the Landscape Contract case study. Answer the questions that appear on the Contract
Negotiation Questions Worksheet. Record your answers on the worksheet.
Be prepared to discuss a counteroffer to MYO Gardening. Be prepared to present your
results to the class.
Contractor Responses
None of the contractors were willing to offer a fixed-price contract at what seemed like a
reasonable rate. They requested a cost-plus contract in which they would do the work and
bill for their costs plus a management fee.
The lowest rates were from MYO Gardening. They estimated the total cost at $30,000
with a maximum of $35,000.
MYO Gardening is a project management company. The company does not actually have
gardening staff and equipment of its own. It subcontracts laborers and trucking companies
to do the work while maintaining overall responsibility for the project.
The total cost for the contract will be the total of MYOs direct expenses (laborers time,
machine time, and purchases) plus a 10 percent overall management fee. MYO Gardening
says that the project will take up to four weeks. They requested a $30, 000 deposit before
getting started.
Your companys policies do not permit advance payments to unfamiliar contractors.
Negotiations
You are the project manager. You must negotiate a contract with MYO Gardening.
The dilemma that you are faced with is that the contractor wants to be paid in advance to
be sure of getting paid. On the other hand, you do not want to pay the contractor and not
get the work done. You want to pay after the work is complete.
What are the alternatives to advance payments? What payment program is both fair and
secure for both parties?
What arguments would you use to convince MYO Gardening to agree to an alternative
payment schedule?
Instructions
Read the new information provided for the Landscape Contract case study.
The contract proposal from MYO Gardening, along with the new case study information,
has been converted into a PMB (performance measurement baseline). The PMB includes a
Gantt chart to illustrate the schedule and a PV (planned value) graph. Review the PMB as
proposed by MYO Gardening.
Develop your own PMB to serve as a counteroffer in negotiations with MYO Gardening.
Use the blank PMB counteroffer worksheet to record your work. To complete this task, do
the following:
1. Develop a list of milestones that will be used to measure progress on each of the
tasks. These milestones will then be used as performance criteria for making
payments.
2. Complete the Gantt chart to indicate schedule and milestones.
3. Translate milestones for each task into weekly payments. Complete the payment
table that appears below the Gantt chart.
4. Create a PV graph. Plot the cumulative total of weekly payments on the chart.
Be prepared to explain the fairness and accuracy of your PMB to MYO Gardening. Be
prepared to present your results to the class.
As part of the class discussion, the instructor will present example answers for the
case study.
Your Analysis
After reviewing the schedule of payments proposal, you feel that MYO Gardening is
charging too much too early in the project. For example, the total payment for the first
week includes the entire management fee as well as all planned purchases.
Rather than agree to MYO Gardenings payment schedule, you decide to develop your
own timetable and budgets.
Administration $ 3,100
Introduction to EVM Terminology
30000
25000
Dollars 20000
15000
10000
5000
$0
M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa
Time
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet: Counteroffer
Budget Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Task Dollars Days Su M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa Su M T W T F Sa
Administration $ 3,100
Payment Schedule $ - $ - $ - $ -
Cumulative Payments $ - $ - $ - $ -
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet: Counteroffer
Introduction to EVM Terminology
Time
Introduction to EVM Terminology
Introduction to EVM Terminology
Instructions
Read the new information provided for the Landscape Contract case study. After reading
the new case study information, determine whether or not the project is on budget and on
schedule.
Evaluate the progress of the project by completing the PMB worksheet for the perfor-
mance measurement baseline after two weeks. Complete the following steps:
1. Update the Gantt chart to indicate completed tasks. Draw horizontal bars onto
the graph to illustrate actual accomplishments.
2. Complete the table of planned and cumulative values.
3. Graph EV (earned value) and AC (actual cost) on the PMB graph.
4. Complete the table of EVM (earned value management) statistics.
Answer the questions that appear on the Project Progress Questions Worksheet. Record
your answers on the worksheet.
Be prepared to discuss your results with the class. As part of the class discussion, the
instructor will present example answers for the case study.
Timing
It is the end of the second week of the project. The accounting department has just
received a second invoice from MYO Gardening.
An investigation of the job site resulted in the following report:
Removal of rocks and trees: Complete
Sod removal: Complete
Level property: Complete
Sprinkler installation: Not started; two days of trench digging should have
been completed already
Top dress: Not started
Replace sod: Not started
Administration $ 3,100
Total $ 34,100
Milestones
Remove rocks $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Remove sod $ 8,000 $ 8,000
Level and top dress $ 5,000 $ 5,000
Install sprinklers $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Replace sod $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Administration $ 3,100 $ 3,100
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet: PMB after Two
Introduction to EVM Terminology
30000
25000 PV
Dollars 20000
15000
10000
5000
$0
Introduction to EVM Terminology
Time
Planned Value
Cumulative Planned Value
Earned Value
Cumulative Earned Value
Actual Cost
Cumulative Actual Cost
Variances VAC CV SV
Forecasts EAC
ETC
Introduction to EVM Terminology
Are you happy with the project performance? Is management action required? If so, what
action would you recommend?
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section. Before beginning, please wait for your
instructor to explain how to proceed.
The case study used in this section is a continuation of the Landscape Contract example
presented in section 1. Additional background information is provided that builds on the
case study.
For this exercise, the project is presumed to have been completed, and you are being asked
to evaluate its success.
This exercise illustrates the critical importance of maintaining EVM criteria.
Tasks
Task 1: End of Project Reporting with Scope Changes
Instructions
Read the new information for the Landscape Contract case study, and then complete the
following steps:
1. Complete the PMB worksheet for the end of the project. Update the following
items on the worksheet:
- Gantt chart
- Milestones table
- PMB graph
- EVM statistics table
2. Answer the questions located on the Scope Change Questions Worksheet
regarding the success of the project. Record your answers on the worksheet.
Be prepared to present your results to the class. As part of the class discussion, the
instructor will present example answers for the case study.
Administration $ 3,100
Total $ 34,100
Milestones
Remove rocks $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Remove sod $ 8,000 $ 8,000
Level and top dress $ 5,000 $ 5,000
Install sprinklers $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Replace sod $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Administration $ 3,100 $ 3,100
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet: End of Project with
Ingredients Necessary for EVM
30000
25000 PV
Dollars 20000 AC
15000
10000 EV
5000
Ingredients Necessary for EVM
$0
Time
Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 13,000 $ 6,000 $ 9,100
Cumulative Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 19,000 $ 25,000 $ 34,100
Variances VAC CV $ - SV
Forecasts EAC
Ingredients Necessary for EVM
Are you happy with the results of the project? How would you describe the projects
success to senior management?
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section. Before beginning, please wait for your
instructor to explain how to proceed.
You will be asked to analyze a hypothetical case study and to develop a WBS (work
breakdown structure) that meets the criteria for EVM (earned value management).
Choices will need to be made that illustrate planning requirements for EVM.
The case study for this section is the Wukon School Board case study. The same case study
is used in workbook sections 4 through 9.
This exercise illustrates the importance of ensuring that the project plan includes a
definition of all elements of scope. Emphasis is on understanding the need for a detailed
requirements analysis that is translated into measurable deliverables that are depicted
in a WBS.
Tasks
Task 1: Scope Analysis: Prepare a Work Breakdown Structure
Instructions
Read the background information for the Wukon School Board SAM Project case study.
Using the WBS Worksheets for your work, complete the following steps:
1. Create a list of deliverables for the project. Include the entire scope of the
project.
2. Prepare a list of items that are specifically being excluded from the project. This
list is meant to ensure that the school board understands what the project is not
going to do.
3. Draw a WBS for the project.
Be prepared to present your results to the class as if the class were the Wukon School
Board and you were the project manager seeking clarification of what the project is meant
to achieve.
The instructor will present and discuss a WBS example for the case study.
Background
The federal government requires that attendance be taken in every class at the beginning of
every day. School districts are penalized financially for students that miss classes.
Regulations require that efforts be made to contact absentee students. At a minimum, a
students home must be contacted if he or she does not show up within one hour of the
start of each school day.
Current Status
At the present time, the Wukon School District is using a paper-based system. Attendance
is taken each morning and recorded on a chart. The charts are forwarded to the office for
further action. Office staff must then follow up on any missing students.
Many of the smaller schools in the Wukon School District are finding it impossible to
comply with the federal governments reporting requirements because of limited office
staff. Students are missing classes, and the school district is losing money as a
consequence.
The school board has authorized the purchase of an electronic alternative to the manual
system now in use.
Products Available
Several companies are offering SAM solutions to school boards. These solutions allow
individual teachers to complete attendance records through a Web site. Teachers simply
sign on using a secure password and then check the boxes beside the names of absent
students. The absentee list is then automatically forwarded to the schools administrative
office when the teacher signs off of the Web site.
Students who arrive late must go to the office to have their names taken off the absentee
list and, presumably, to explain their tardiness.
If a student has not arrived within the prescribed hour and has not had his or her name
taken off the absentee list, then an automated call is made to the students home with
notification of the students absence and a request that the school be contacted by the
students parent or guardian.
If there is no contact from the students home within another 30 minutes, then automated
calls are made to other contact numbers contained in the students records (such as a
parents work number, a cell phone number, or a neighbors telephone number).
The SAM software tracks students attendance records and their contact information, and
it provides a running total of the cost of absentee students to each school. The software can
even be configured to send invoices to parents for the costs of absentee students.
Infrastructure Required
The Web-based technology solution requires that every school, and preferably every
classroom, have Internet access. This, in turn, requires that an ISP (Internet Service
Provider) and a personal computer of some sort be available to every teacher at the
beginning of the school day.
Every classroom in the district has a wireless high-speed network connection. Very few
classrooms have computers at this time. Many teachers are virtually illiterate when it
comes to using computers.
As a simple, one-size-fits-all solution to the hardware issue, the Wukon School Board has
decided to purchase PDAs (personal digital assistants) that are manufactured and supplied
by the same companies that offer SAM software.
A PDA will be given to every teacher. The PDAs are meant to remain with individual
teachers. They are small enough to be carried in a purse or a briefcase.
Web-Based Utilities
The PDAs use thin-client technology. All programs are Web-based. The PDAs do not
actually store data. If a PDA is damaged or lost, a teacher only needs to be given a new
one in order to be fully functional again in the SAM system.
A PDA is not necessary for access to the SAM software. If a PDA is not available, a
teacher can complete an attendance roster using any networked computer.
The PDAs are designed to easily allow teachers to input student information. As an added
feature, the PDAs offer e-mail services within the school districts LAN (local area
network), as long as the devices are being operated within range of the network.
In the future, the PDAs and SAM software can be configured to allow a broad range of
student information to be input and made available to parents and others. This data could
include report cards and exam scores.
The Contract
SAMifications Inc. has been chosen as the preferred vendor for the project because of low
price and an aggressive delivery schedule. SAMifications Inc. is a new entrant into the
industry, but the company claims to offer a seamless solution and top-quality service.
The school board has agreed to a cost-plus contract and has offered a $150,000 down
payment plus weekly payments based on an aggressive schedule that is still to be
determined.
To save money, the school board will take responsibility for the following:
Preparing a database of teachers and their passwords for use by SAMifications
Inc. technicians
Inputting student data (names and contact information) into the SAM database
WBS Worksheet
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section. Before beginning, please wait for your
instructor to explain how to proceed.
The case study in this section is a continuation of the Wukon School Board case study that
was first introduced in workbook section 4.
You will be asked to create a schedule for the SAM project based on the WBS developed
in workbook section 4. There are a number of steps involved, including decomposition,
dependency analysis, network diagramming, critical path analysis, and schedule
development.
This exercise illustrates how the constraints of scope and time are related.
Tasks
Task 1: Create a Project Schedule
Instructions
Read the background information regarding the project schedule for the Wukon School
Board SAM Project case study.
Create a schedule for the project by completing the following steps:
1. Decompose the WBS into tasks that can be estimated. (Decomposition may not
be necessary.)
2. Determine the order in which tasks must occur by completing a dependency
analysis.
3. Draw a network diagram.
4. Calculate the duration of tasks and activities.
5. Determine the critical path and the earliest completion time for the network.
6. Complete the Gantt chart to illustrate task durations and schedule. Each activity
or task will have a separate horizontal bar.
Use the SAM Project worksheets to help simplify your analysis and to structure your
results.
Note
To facilitate class discussions, it is important that all students be working on the same
basic project plan. Please work with the SAM Project: WBS Example discussed by the
class for workbook section 4. Do not use your own results from workbook section 4 unless
they happen to be the same.
After you have created the project schedule, answer the question located on the Project
Duration Report Questions Worksheet.
Be prepared to explain your results to the class as if the class were the Wukon School
Board. As part of the class discussion, the instructor will present and discuss case study
examples for the three worksheets completed in this task.
SAMifications Staffing
Two technicians and two trainers will be assigned to the project as necessary. They will
work five days per week, eight hours per day.
Uncertainties Notes
ft 2
Dra
$ -
$ -
Scheduling the Project
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
SAM Project: Gantt Chart Schedule Worksheet
$ -
$ -
$ -
Total $ -
Scheduling the Project
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section.
The case study is a continuation of the Wukon School Board case study that was first
introduced in workbook section 4 and continued in workbook section 5.
In this exercise, you will be asked to create CAPs (control account plans) for the project
and to then combine these into an overall budget.
CAPs integrate scope, time, and cost. They are the cornerstone of effective controls in an
EVM project.
This exercise illustrates how to create CAPs that include all the work in a project.
Emphasis is on understanding the need for detailed planning modules, or CAPs, that allow
for management by exception at an operational level as well as at a strategic level.
Tasks
Task 1: Create CAPs for the Project and Prepare a Budget Estimate
Instructions
Read the background information regarding the budget for the Wukon School Board
case study.
Prepare CAPs and calculate a total budget for the project by completing the
following steps:
1. Use the SAM Project WBS to group related tasks and activities into CAPs.
2. Complete a template for each CAP.
3. Ensure that scope, time, and cost are defined for each work package within
the CAPs.
4. Ensure that the entire scope of the project has been included in the CAPs.
5. Record the value for each CAP on the budget Gantt chart, and calculate a total
budget for the project.
Worksheets have been provided to help simplify your analysis. Use the worksheets to
record details of each of the CAPs, and then summarize the budget data on the Gantt Chart
worksheet.It is not necessary to calculate a week-by-week budget. That is part of the next
exercise.
Note
So that everyone in the class will be working on the same problem, it is necessary to base
your analysis on the results from workbook sections 4 and 5 that were provided by the
instructor. (In other words, do not use your own results from workbook sections 4 and 5.
Instead, use the results provided in the class discussion.) These results are incorporated
into the Gantt worksheet provided.
Be prepared to present your work to the class. As part of the class discussion, the
instructor will present and discuss case study examples for the worksheets completed in
this task.
SAMifications Contract
The contract with SAMifications is cost-plus based on rates as outlined below (SAMifica-
tions profits are built into the purchase price of software and PDAs and into charge-out
rates for technicians.):
SAM software: $120,000
PDAs: $222,000 (1200 PDAs at $185 each)
SAMifications technicians: $125/hr
SAMifications trainers: $75/hr
Down payment at start of project: $150,000
Balance of payments: Based on monthly invoices (every four weeks from start
of project) for work completed (earned value)
1 2 3 4
Data preparation Purchases Setup Training
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
Assumptions:
BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
Assumptions:
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
Assumptions:
BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
EV measurement:
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
Assumptions:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
CAP name: Responsible person:
Tasks Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
Assumptions:
BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
Assumptions:
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
Assumptions:
BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
EV measurement:
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
Assumptions:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
CAP name: Responsible person:
Tasks Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
Assumptions:
BAC
PV
EV
AC
Description:
EV measurement:
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Worksheet
Assumptions:
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
Total $ -
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Conting. Reserve $ - 2
Integrating Scope, Schedule, and Costs through CAPs
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section.
The case study is a continuation of the Wukon School Board case study that was first
introduced in workbook section 4 and continued in sections 5 and 6.
You will be asked to convert CAP data into a PMB (performance measurement baseline)
by completing a PMB worksheet.
This exercise illustrates how PMBs serve as planning and control documents in an EVM
project. Emphasis is on the need for a simplified presentation of otherwise complex data.
Tasks
Task 1: Complete an Earned Value Baseline
Instructions
Using the PMB Worksheet and the basic CAPs examples discussed in section 6,
prepare a performance measurement baseline for the SAM project by completing the
following steps:
1. Determine a performance measurement system and milestones for each task.
2. Add milestone markers to the Gantt chart.
3. Fill in the Planned Value Table of the PMB Worksheet with weekly PV
forecasts.
4. Sum the columns to determine cumulative totals for each week.
5. Determine the anticipated costs and planned payments for the school board and
SAMifications on a weekly basis.
6. Graph the weekly totals of PV.
Note
In order for everyone in the class to be working on the same problem, it is necessary to
base your work for this task on the results from workbook section 6 that were provided by
the instructor. (In other words, do not use your own results from workbook section 6.
Instead use the SAM Project: Basic CAPs Examples provided in the class discussion.)
Be prepared to present your work to the class. As part of the class discussion, the
instructor will present and discuss case study examples for the worksheets completed in
this task.
Measurement:
Assumptions: 15 man days (3 weeks), 8 hrs per day, $45/hr for administrative office staff
1.2 PV $ 105,000
Input student data EV
AC
Description: Entering student data into SAM database: student name and contact numbers along
with associated teacher name and classroom reference number. Each school is independent.
Measurement:
Establishing an EV Measurement Baseline
Assumptions: 5 minutes/student, 600 students per school, 50 hrs per school at $35/hr, over 2 weeks
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 1
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 2
CAP Name: Purchases/Acquisitions Responsible person: SAMifications - R. Wilson
Tasks Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BAC
2.1 PV $ 120,000
Purchase SAM EV
Software AC
Description: Purchase SAM software through SAMifications.
Measurement:
Assumptions: Purchased from SAMifications at agreed price. Price does not include configuration.
2.2 PV $ 222,000
Purchase PDA's EV
AC
Description: Purchase PDA's through SAMifications. $185 each x 1200
Measurement:
Assumptions: $185/PDA, one each for 1200 teachers. Price includes delivery
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 2
Establishing an EV Measurement Baseline
Measurement:
Assumptions: Ten minutes of technician time per teacher account at $125/hr, 1200 teachers
200 hrs at $125/hr, 25 man days with two technicians - 2.5 weeks duration
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 3
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 4
CAP Name: Training Responsible person: SAMifications - Doug Pearl
Tasks Week 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 BAC
4.1 PV $ 1,200
Train technical EV
staff AC
Description: Train technical support staff at administrative offices. Emphasis on user account
management and the use of attendance tools.
Measurement:
Assumptions: 2 training days (16 hrs) at $75/hr, Two trainers available. Should be done in one day.
4.2 PV $ 18,000
Train teachers EV
and admin. AC
Description: Train teachers and administrative staff at schools on the use of the SAM software and PDA's
Measurement:
Assumptions: 4 hrs/school at $75/hr for trainers, 60 schools. Each trainer to complete 2 schools per day.
30 man days required, 15 days for each trainer, 3 weeks duration
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Example Worksheet 4
Establishing an EV Measurement Baseline
3.0 Setup
3.1 Configure schools $ 30,000 3
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Conting. Reserve $ 52,660 2
Overview
There is one task in this workbook section.
The case study is a continuation of the Wukon School Board case study that was first
introduced in workbook section 4 and continued in workbook sections 5, 6, and 7.
You will be asked to introduce performance data into CAPs and then to complete a PMB
report.
This exercise illustrates how performance data is used to update CAPs and then PMBs in
order to compare actual with planned progress. Emphasis is on the need for summary
statistics that illustrate the health of individual CAPs and the project overall.
Tasks
Task 1: Monitor Project Performance
Instructions
Read the new case study information provided for the Wukon School Board SAM Project.
Analyze the project in terms of EVM. Update the project CAPs using the baseline data
from the Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheets. Then prepare a PMB performance
report using the PMB Reporting Worksheet. To complete this task, do the following:
1. Fill in the CAPs worksheets to include performance results.
2. Calculate basic EVM statistics. (Do not complete forecasting statistics. That is
part of the next exercise.)
3. From the CAPs worksheets, transfer weekly EV and AC data to the tables on
the PMB Reporting Worksheet.
4. Calculate the weekly and cumulative values for both EV and AC.
5. Add bars to the Gantt Chart to indicate actual schedule performance.
6. Plot EV and AC on the graph.
7. Calculate the overall project EVM statistics by filling in the table of cumulative
statistics.
After completing the above steps, answer the questions located on the Project
Performance Questions Worksheet.
Be prepared to present your results to the class. As part of the class discussion, the
instructor will present and discuss case study examples for the worksheets completed in
this task.
CAP Cum. BAC 110,400 EV - CV 0 CPI #DIV/0! VAC #DIV/0! EAC #DIV/0! min
Statistics PV - AC 0 SV 0 SPI #DIV/0! TCPI 1.00 EAC #DIV/0! max
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheet 1
Monitoring Performance against Baseline
Assumptions: $185/PDA, one each for 1200 teachers; price includes delivery EAC max
CAP Cum. BAC 342,000 EV 0 CV 0 CPI #DIV/0! VAC #DIV/0! EAC #DIV/0! min
Statistics PV - AC 0 SV 0 SPI #DIV/0! TCPI 1.00 EAC #DIV/0! max
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheet 2
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheet 3
CAP name: Set up network services Responsible person: SAMifications - Edith Smith
Tasks Week 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3.1 PV 10,000 10,000 10,000 PV BAC 30,000
Configure schools EV EV statistics
AC AC to date
Description: Configure SAM software for each school; set up classroom registry and administrative CV CPI
tools; ensure that local network is supporting SAM utilities; test overall network SV SPI
Measurement: Milestones - one-third of schools (20 of 60) to be completed by end of each week VAC TCPI
EAC min
Assumptions: 4 hrs of technician time per school at $125/hr, 60 schools, EAC max
2 schools per day for each of 2 technicians
3.2 PV 10,000 10,000 5,000 PV BAC 25,000
Create teacher EV EV statistics
accounts AC AC to date
Description: Convert database of teacher names and passwords into user accounts; relate accounts CV CPI
to classrooms and schools; link classroom data to attendance registry. SV SPI
Measurement: Milestones - two-fifths of total in first and second weeks (480 out of 1200 in each week), VAC TCPI
one-fifth in first half of third week (280 of 1200) EAC min
Assumptions: 10 minutes of technician time per teacher account at $125/hr, 1200 teachers EAC max
200 hrs at $125/hr, 25 man days with two technicians - 2.5 weeks duration
CAP Cum. BAC 55,000 EV 0 CV 0 CPI #DIV/0! VAC #DIV/0! EAC #DIV/0! min
Statistics PV - AC 0 SV 0 SPI #DIV/0! TCPI 1.00 EAC #DIV/0! max
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheet 3
Monitoring Performance against Baseline
Assumptions: 4 hrs/school at $75/hr for trainers, 60 schools; each trainer to complete 2 schools per day EAC max
30 man days required, 15 days for each trainer, 3 weeks duration
CAP Cum. BAC 19,200 EV 0 CV 0 CPI #DIV/0! VAC #DIV/0! EAC #DIV/0! min
Statistics PV - AC 0 SV 0 SPI #DIV/0! TCPI 1.00 EAC #DIV/0! max
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Worksheet 4
SAM Project: PMB Reporting Worksheet (Eight Weeks)
Budget
Ref Tasks Dollars Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1.0 Data preparation
1.1 User database $ 5,400 3
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Contingency reserve $ 52,660 2
Earned Value
User database
Input student data
Purchase software
Purchase PDA's
Configure schools
Teacher accounts
Train support staff
Train teachers
Weekly earned value
SAM Project: PMB Reporting Worksheet (Eight Weeks)
Actual Cost
User database
Input student data
Purchase software
Purchase PDAs
Configure schools
Teacher accounts
Train support staff
Train teachers
Weekly actual cost
Cum. actual cost
Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Planned school board costs $ 5.4 $ 105
Actual school board costs $ - $ -
Planned SAMifications payments $ 150 $ - $ 242 $ 24
Actual SAMifications owing
500
475
450
425
400
375
350
325
Dollars 300
275
250
PV 225
AC 200
EV 175
150
125
100
0
Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
EVM Formulas
Data BAC AC EV PV
Variances VAC BAC-EAC CV EV-AC SV EV-PV
Indices TCPI (BAC-EV)/(BAC-AC) CPI EV/AC SPI EV/PV
Forecasts: Cost EAC BAC/CPI BAC/(CPI x SPI) max
Time EAC-t BACt/SPI
Cumulative Statistics
Data BAC AC EV PV
Variances VAC CV SV
Indices TCPI CPI SPI
Monitoring Performance against Baseline
Overview
In this workbook section, you will prepare a status report that updates senior management
on project progress and costs.
This is a continuation of the Wukon School Board case study that was first introduced in
workbook section 4 and then continued in workbook sections 5, 6, 7, and 8.
This exercise illustrates the structure and function of status reports. Emphasis is on the
need for summary statistics that quickly convey the health of the project and provide a
forecast of possible outcomes in terms of budget and completion date.
Tasks
Task 1: Prepare a Status Report for Senior Management
Instructions
It is eight weeks into the SAM project.
Use the worksheets from section 8 to prepare an EVM status report for the Wukon School
Board by completing the following steps:
1. Complete the CAPs Worksheets from section 8 by filling in the tables of EVM
statistics (forecasts) for individual tasks and for entire CAPs.
2. Use the SAM Project Management Report Worksheet to do the following:
2.1 Enter EVM statistics from the CAPs (that were started in exercise 8 and
completed in the previous step).
2.2 Complete the tables of statistics for the entire project, including forecast
statistics.
2.3 Complete the performance graph using cumulative results. Include a
projection to the end of the project for both time and cost. (This is a
summary report. It is not necessary to plot weekly data. Results as of four
and eight weeks have been provided.)
2.4 Complete exceptions reports for tasks that are not on target.
2.5 Provide an overview of project results, including an explanation of your
expectations for the project. (This is the first sentence on the status report
worksheet, but it is normally completed last, after the analysis is
complete.)
Complete the questions located on the Status Report Questions Worksheet.
Be prepared to discuss how the management reserve is being incorporated into perfor-
mance reporting. Also, be prepared to explain your forecasts to the class in terms of ranges
of estimates and degree of confidence.
As a part of the class discussion, the instructor will present and discuss case study
examples for the worksheets completed in this task.
Budget
Ref Tasks Dollars Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1.0 Data preparation
1.1 User database $ 5,400 3
Status as of Eight Weeks
3.0 Setup
3.1 Configure schools $ 30,000 3
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Contingency reserve $ 52,660 2
CAP Statistics BAC PV EV AC CV CPI SV SPI VAC TCPI EACmi EACma BACt EACt Status
Data preparation 110,400 110,400
Purchases and acq. 342,000 342,000
Set up network serv. 55,000 50,000
(continued)
Training 19,200
EVM Formulas
Variances VAC BAC-EAC CV EV-AC SV EV-PV
Status as of Eight Weeks
Exceptions:
Forecasting Final Cost and Schedule Results
Be prepared to explain your projections and expectations for the remainder of the project
to the class.
Table of Contents
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet Example: Counteroffer........................................ A-3
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet Example: PMB after Two Weeks ........................ A-5
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet Example: End of Project with Scope Change ..... A-7
Administration $ 3,100
Total $ 34,100
Milestones
Remove rocks $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Remove sod $ 8,000 $ 8,000
Level and top dress $ 5,000 $ 5,000
Install sprinklers $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Replace sod $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Administration $ 3,100 $ 3,100
Administration $ 3,100
Total $ 34,100
Milestones
Remove rocks $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Remove sod $ 8,000 $ 8,000
Level and top dress $ 5,000 $ 5,000
Install sprinklers $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Replace sod $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Administration $ 3,100 $ 3,100
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet Example: PMB after Two
Landscape Contract: Case Study Examples
30000
25000 PV
Dollars 20000 AC
15000
10000 EV
5000
$0
Time
Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 13,000 $ 6,000 $ 9,100
Cumulative Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 19,000 $ 25,000 $ 34,100
$ 6,000 $ 13,000 $ - $ -
Landscape Contract: Case Study Examples
Earned Value
Cumulative Earned Value $ 6,000 $ 19,000 $ -
Administration $ 3,100
Total $ 34,100
Milestones
Remove rocks $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Remove sod $ 8,000 $ 8,000
Level and top dress $ 5,000 $ 5,000
Install sprinklers $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Replace sod $ 6,000 $ 6,000
Administration $ 3,100 $ 3,100
Landscape Contract PMB Worksheet Example: End of Project
Landscape Contract: Case Study Examples
30000
25000 PV
Dollars 20000 AC
15000
10000 EV
5000
$0
Time
Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 13,000 $ 6,000 $ 9,100
Cumulative Planned Value $ 6,000 $ 19,000 $ 25,000 $ 34,100
Table of Contents
SAM Project: WBS Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-3
SAM Project: Dependency Analysis Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-4
SAM Project: Network Diagram and Critical Path Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-5
SAM Project: Gantt Chart Schedule Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-6
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-7
SAM Project: Gantt Chart and Related Budget Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-11
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Examples with EV Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-12
SAM Project: PMB Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-16
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-18
SAM Project: PMB Reporting Worksheets (Eight Weeks) Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-22
SAM Project: Management Report Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-26
SAM Project: Management Report Example (continued). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-28
SAM Project:SAM
WBSProject:
ExampleWBS Example
Internal Contracted
1 2 3 4
Data preparation Purchases Setup Training
2.0 Purchases
4.0 Training
SAM
SAM Project:Network
Project: Network Diagram
Diagram and
and Critical
CriticalPath
PathExample
Example
2.1 1.2
Purchase Student
software data 4.1
0 weeks 2 weeks Support
training
2.2 0.2 weeks
Purchase
PDAs
6 weeks 4.2
Teacher
training
3 weeks
Total $ -
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Conting. Reserve $ - 2
SAM Project: Gantt Chart Schedule Example
EV measurement:
Assumptions: 15 man days (3 weeks), 8 hrs per day, $45/hr for administrative office staff
1.2 PV $ 105,000
Input student data EV
AC
Description: Entering student data into SAM database - student name and contact numbers along
with associated teacher name and classroom reference number. Each school is independent.
EV measurement:
Assumptions: 5 minutes/student, 600 students per school, 50 hrs per school at $35/hr, over 2 weeks
SAM Project: Basic CAPs Examples
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
EV measurement:
Assumptions: Purchased from SAMifications at agreed price; price does not include configuration
2.2 PV $ 222,000
Purchase PDAs EV
AC
Description: Purchase PDAs through SAMifications; $185 each x 1200
EV measurement:
Assumptions: $185/PDA, one each for 1200 teachers; price includes delivery
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
CAP name: Set up network services Responsible person: SAMifications - Edith Smith
Tasks Week 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 BAC
3.1 PV $ 30,000
Configure schools EV
AC
Description: Configure SAM software for each school; set up classroom registry and administrative
tools; ensure that local network is supporting SAM utilities; test overall network.
EV measurement:
Assumptions: 10 minutes of technician time per teacher account at $125/hr, 1200 teachers
200 hrs at $125/hr, 25 man days with two technicians - 2.5 weeks duration
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
Assumptions: 2 training days (16 hrs) at $75/hr, two trainers available; should be done in one day
4.2 PV $ 18,000
Train teachers EV
and administrators AC
Description: Train teachers and administrative staff at schools on the use of the SAM software and PDAs.
EV measurement:
Assumptions: 4 hrs/school at $75/hr for trainers, 60 schools; each trainer to complete 2 schools per day
30 man days required, 15 days for each trainer, 3 weeks duration
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
SAM Project: Gantt Chart and Related Budget Example
Budget
Ref Tasks Dollars Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1.0 Data preparation
1.1 User database $ 5,400 3
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Contingency reserve $ 52,660 2
Assumptions: Purchased from SAMifications at agreed price; price does not include configuration
2.2 PV 0% 222,000 $ 222,000
Purchase PDA's EV
AC
Description: Purchase PDAs through SAMifications, $185 each x 1200
CAP name: Set up network services Responsible person: SAMifications - Edith Smith
Tasks Week 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 BAC
3.1 PV 10,000 10,000 10,000 $ 30,000
Configure schools EV
AC
Description: Configure SAM software for each school; set up classroom registry and administrative
tools; ensure that local network is supporting SAM utilities; test overall network
Measurement: Milestones - one-third of schools (20 of 60) to be completed by end of each week
200 hrs at $125/hr, 25 man days with two technicians - 2.5 weeks duration
CAP name: Training Responsible person: SAMifications - Doug Pearl
Tasks Week 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 BAC
4.1 PV 1,200 $ 1,200
Train technical EV
staff AC
Description: Train technical support staff at administrative offices; emphasis on user account
management and the use of attendance tools
Measurement: Milestone - expected to be completed in one day, using two trainers (16 hours)
Assumptions: 2 training days (16 hrs) at $75/hr; two trainers available; should be done in one day
4.2 PV 6,000 6,000 6,000 $ 18,000
Train teachers EV
and admin. AC
Description: Train teachers and administrative staff at schools on the use of the SAM software and PDA's
Measurement: Milestones - one-third of schools (20 of 60) to be completed each week; assumes two
trainers working at two schools per day each (4 total per day)
Assumptions: 4 hrs/school at $75/hr for trainers, 60 schools; each trainer to complete 2 schools per day
30 man days required, 15 days for each trainer, 3 weeks duration
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
Total $ 526,600
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Conting. reserve $ 52,660 2
CAP Cum. BAC 110,400 EV 52,650 CV -61,290 CPI 0.46 VAC -128,517 EAC 238,917 min
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
Statistics PV 110,400 AC 113,940 SV -57,750 SPI 0.48 TCPI (16.31) EAC 500,977 max
SAM Project: Performance Reporting CAPs Examples
CAP name: Purchases/acquisitions Responsible person: SAMifications - R. Wilson
Tasks Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2.1 PV 120,000 PV $ 120,000 BAC 120,000
Purchase SAM EV 120,000 EV $ 120,000 statistics
software AC 120,000 AC $ 120,000 to date
Description: Purchase SAM software through SAMifications CV $ - CPI 1.00
SV $ - SPI 1.00
Measurement: Percentage complete - delivery of software expected in first week VAC $ - TCPI #DIV/0!
EAC $ 120,000 min
Assumptions: Purchased from SAMifications at agreed price; price does not include configuration EAC 120,000 max
CAP Cum. BAC 342,000 EV 342,000 CV 0 CPI 1.00 VAC 0 EAC 342,000 min
Statistics PV 342,000 AC 342,000 SV 0 SPI 1.00 TCPI #DIV/0! EAC 342,000 max
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
CAP name: Set up network services Responsible person: SAMifications - Edith Smith
Tasks Week 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3.1 PV 10,000 10,000 10,000 PV $ 30,000 BAC 30,000
Configure schools EV 10,000 10,000 10,000 EV $ 30,000 statistics
AC 10,000 10,000 10,000 AC $ 30,000 to date
Description: Configure SAM software for each school; set up classroom registry and administrative CV $ - CPI 1.00
tools; ensure that local network is supporting SAM utilities; test overall network. SV $ - SPI 1.00
Measurement: Milestones - one-third of schools (20 of 60) to be completed by end of each week VAC $ - TCPI #DIV/0!
EAC $ 30,000 min
Assumptions: 4 hrs of technician time per school at $125/hr, 60 schools EAC 30,000 max
2 schools per day for each of 2 technicians
3.2 PV 10,000 10,000 5,000 PV $ 20,000 BAC 25,000
Create teacher EV 12,500 EV $ 12,500 statistics
accounts AC 10,000 AC $ 10,000 to date
Description: Convert database of teacher names and passwords into user accounts; relate accounts CV $ 2,500 CPI 1.25
to classrooms and schools; link classroom data to attendance registry. SV $ (7,500) SPI 0.63
Measurement: Milestones - two-fifths of total in first and second weeks (480 out of 1200 in each week), VAC $ 5,000 TCPI 0.8
one-fifth in first half of third week (280 of 1200) EAC $ 20,000 min
Assumptions: 10 minutes of technician time per teacher account at $125/hr, 1200 teachers EAC 32,000 max
200 hrs at $125/hr, 25 man days with two technicians - 2.5 weeks duration
CAP Cum. BAC 55,000 EV 42,500 CV 2,500 CPI 1.06 VAC 3,235.29 EAC 51,765 min
Statistics PV 50,000 AC 40,000 SV -7,500 SPI 0.85 TCPI 0.83 EAC 60,900 max
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
CAP name: Training Responsible person: SAMifications - Doug Pearl
Tasks Week 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
4.1 PV 1,200 PV $ 1,200 BAC 1,200
Train technical EV EV $ - statistics
staff AC AC $ - to date
Description: Train technical support staff at administrative offices; emphasis on user account CV $ - CPI #DIV/0!
management and the use of attendance tools SV $ (1,200) SPI -
Measurement: Milestone - expected to be completed in one day using two trainers (16 hours) VAC #DIV/0! TCPI 1.0
EAC #DIV/0! min
Assumptions: 2 training days (16 hrs) at $75/hr, two trainers available; should be done in one day EAC #DIV/0! max
2.0 Purchases
2.1 Purchase software $ 120,000 5
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Contingency reserve $ 52,660 2
Actual Cost
User database 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71
Input student data 107
Purchase software 120
Purchase PDAs 222
Configure schools 10 10 10
Teacher accounts 10
Train support staff
Train teachers
Weekly actual cost 122 1.71 1.71 1.71 10 232 10 117 0 0 0 0
Cum. actual cost 122 123 125 127 137 369 379 496 496 496 496 496
Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Planned school board costs $ 5.4 $ 105
Actual school board costs $ 6.8 $ 107.1
Planned SAMifications payments $ 150 $ - $ 242 $ 24
Actual SAMifications owing $ 232
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
100
0
Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
EVM Formulas
Data BAC AC EV PV
Variances VAC BAC-EAC CV EV-AC SV EV-PV
Indices TCPI (BAC-EV)/(BAC-AC) CPI EV/AC SPI EV/PV
Forecasts: Cost EAC BAC/CPI BAC/(CPI x SPI) max
Time EAC-t BACt/SPI
Cumulative Statistics
Data BAC $ 527 AC $ 496 EV 437.2 PV 502.6
Variances VAC $ (71) CV $ (59) SV $ (65)
Indices TCPI 2.90 CPI 88% SPI 87%
Forecasts: Cost EAC $ 598 min $ 687 max
Time EAC-t $ 14 weeks
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
$600,000 to $685,000. Best case is a funding shortfall of $20,000. Worst case is a $105,000 shortfall.
Delays and overruns have been caused by school board activities. (No cash resources will be required.)
Inputting data is 64% over budget. Overrun is expected to continue and accounts for majority of shortfall.
SAMifications is performing very well. Completion date is within reserve and is anticipated at 14 weeks.
Budget
Ref Tasks Dollars Wks 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1.0 Data preparation
1.1 User database $ 5,400 3
3.0 Setup
3.1 Configure schools $ 30,000 3
4.0 Training
4.1 Train support staff $ 1,200 0.2 xx
Total $ 526,600
5.0 Reserve
5.1 Contingency reserve $ 52,660 2
Cumulative 526,600 502,400 437,150 495,940 -58,790 88% -65,250 87% -70,820 2.9 597,420 686,592 12 13.8 RED
Contingency reserve 52,660 2
Surplus/-Shortfall -18,160 -107,332 0
Planned school board costs 110,400 Actual 113,900
Planned SAM payments 392,000 Actual 382,000 Owing 232,000
Exceptions:
1.1 Prepare database of user account
Task exceeded plan by 1 week. Delay has set back all subsequent critical path tasks by one week and reduced overall SPI.
Over budget by 21% ($1,440).
1.2 Input student data
Started one week late. Progress is also slower than planned. Without considering delayed start, task is 10% behind schedule (1 day). With delay, it is 55% behind.
Not on critical path. Timing will not affect delivery date.
Over budget by 64%. Overrun expected to continue. Anticipated completion cost of $238,000 to $264,000 (rather than $105,000).
Overrun is unlikely to be offset by savings in other areas. Funding shortfall (in excess of contingency) of $20,000 to $105,000 is predicted.
3.2 Create teacher accounts
Wukon School Board: Case Study Examples
Start delayed by one week. Otherwise progressing ahead of schedule by 25%. May result in savings of 2.5 days on critical path.
Under budget by 25%. Savings of up to $5,000 possible.
EVM Formulas
Variances VAC BAC-EAC CV EV-AC SV EV-PV
Indices TCPI (BAC-EV)/(BAC-AC) CPI EV/AC SPI EV/PV
Forecasts: Cost EAC BAC/CPI min BAC/(CPI x SPI) max
Time EAC-t BACt/SPI
SAM Project: Management Report Example (continued)
C
Section Review Answers
Section 1
1. What are the constituent parts of a PMB (performance measurement baseline)?
WBS (task list), resource-loaded schedule, performance graph
2. What are milestones used for?
Measures of progress in the completion of a project They serve as control points
where planned expectations are compared with actual performance to look for
exceptions.
3. Which of the following are available at the start of execution of a project?
a. BAC
b. PV
c. AC
d. EV
AC and EV are determined by monitoring project results.
4. What is meant by the EV (earned value) statistic measured during project execution?
EV is the accumulation of authorized (planned) budgets for work (tasks) that has
(have) been completed. It answers the question, What value of work have we
completed according to the original plan?
5. What is the EV of the entire project?
The earned value at the end of a project is the BAC. No matter how much money is
spent completing the project, the total EV that can be earned is the original budget
total.
Section 2
1. What did the C/SCSC (Cost/Schedule Control System Criteria) do for the government?
It standardized performance reporting on projects where the government was
responsible for cost overruns. This forced industry to honestly and consistently
report performance and to forecast outcomes.
2. Why was there limited adoption of the C/SCSC by the private sector?
The criteria were designed for large government acquisitions. The system was
expensive to implement and use. Terminology was difficult to understand. Overall,
the system was not practical for general project application.
3. What is meant by simplified EVM?
A return to basics of cost engineering. Terminology is practical and easily
understood. Techniques are sensible and logical. There is a minimum of formal
structure. The emphasis is on utility and ease of use.
Section 3
1. Define the term resource-loaded schedule.
A schedule in which tasks have been independently budgeted. Each task has its own
scope, budget, and schedule. Tasks are combined to produce a master schedule that
predicts the magnitude and timing of resource utilization for the entire project.
2. How does a PMB (performance measurement baseline) serve as a stake in the ground, or
point of reference, for a project?
Like all baselines, the PMB represents a starting point for the project. The PMB
incorporates the projects expectations with regard to time, scope, and cost. In effect,
it is the original budget for the key constraints. Performance is measured against the
EV baseline. The PMB is synonymous with EV baseline.
3. What are the three key ingredients of a PMB?
WBS (scope analysis broken into tasks)
Resource-loaded schedule (Gantt chart)
Budget graph (PV, EV, and AC)
4. In what way does the significance of a project to an organization affect the way EVM is
applied?
The more significant a project is, the more rigorous the application of EVM method-
ologies. Greater rigor means a more granular analysis of activities and more
frequent reporting periods.
5. What is the significance of having a three-dimensional view of a project?
The three dimensions being viewed are time, scope, and cost, which happen to be the
principal constraints of any project. EVM requires that all three constraints be
monitored together. This ensures that the analysis provides an integrated view of
project performance.
Section 4
1. What is the role of a WBS in EVM?
To define all project work down to discrete tasks that can be individually budgeted
and managed
To create a graphical presentation of what the project will accomplish and the
strategy for accomplishing that work
2. Why is it important to create a list of work that is out of scope?
To clearly define the boundaries between what the project will do and what it will not
do. The buyer (senior management) must understand and agree to the explicit
boundaries of project responsibilities.
3. What is meant by the statement, If it is not in the WBS, it is not in the project?
The WBS defines all the work in the project. Any task or activity that is not specifi-
cally included in the WBS is out of scope and would require a change order before
being undertaken.
Section 5
1. What is a time-phased performance plan?
An execution plan that relates activities to a schedule. A time-phased performance
plan allows a project to be tracked in terms of actual completion progress relative to
planned.
2. What aspects of planning need to be completed before scheduling can be done?
Scope analysis. The boundaries of the work involved must be fully understood.
3. Why is a master schedule a necessity for EVM?
To ensure that all departments are working to the same baseline on major milestones.
To coordinate all aspects of a project. To ensure integration of all project
components.
4. What is meant by vertical integration?
Bottom-up scheduling that clarifies relationships of all lower level tasks with higher
level deliverables. Vertical integration ensures that tasks are done at the right time
and in the right order.
Section 6
1. What are the ingredients of a CAP?
Scope, time, cost, responsibility, and measurement system
2. What is the ideal size for CAPs?
There is no ideal size. The choice depends on the project and how it is being executed.
3. What is the one CAP management rule?
No transfer between CAPs of work or budget independent of each other
4. How do CAPs serve as control points for a project?
CAPs are collections of related tasks that serve as a logical subdivision of the main
project. Performance measurement begins at the task level and is summarized at the
CAP and then project level. Exceptions to the plan at the CAP level, therefore,
highlight problems within a subdivision of the project.
Section 7
1. Describe the weighted milestone system of EV measurement.
Work package is divided into finite chunks (tasks) with milestones as measures of
completion. Each task (milestone) is assigned a portion of the original budget from
work package. 100 percent of budget has been earned when all milestones (progress
measures) have been met.
2. What is the weakness of the percentage complete measurement of EV?
Percentage complete is based on a subjective analysis of what has been accomplished.
As a result, the EV reported is subject to bias and distortions.
3. Should LOE tasks be included in the EV baseline?
No. LOE tasks measure the passage of time only. They should be quarantined into
an isolated CAP.
4. The budget for a work package with five milestones is $300,000. If it takes $500,000 to
complete the work package, what is the EV at completion?
At completion of any task EV=PV. PV=$300,000. PV sets a ceiling that may be
claimed for the EV of any work package.
Section 8
1. Explain the role of variance thresholds in EVM.
Variance thresholds determine managements response to exceptions highlighted by
EV monitoring. They are predetermined levels at which an exception to the plan will
be investigated. For example, a CAP with a CPI within 3 percent of planned will not
be investigated, but any result with variation greater than 3% will be investigated.
2. After an exception has been detected, what must the project manager do?
Investigate cause
Evaluate alternatives
Take corrective action
Ensure corrective action worked
3. Why is negative CPI performance (CPI<1) early in a project unlikely to be recovered?
Project planning is most accurate for early stages rather than later stages. Later
stages are invariably less well planned. Experience has clearly indicated that cost
problems early in a project are not going to be corrected by better planning in later
stages of project. Performance is more likely to get even worse if management action
is not taken.
4. What is the SPI at the end of a project in which each of the ten tasks involved took twice
as long as planned?
SPI = EV PV = 1
Section 9
1. Why is it recommended that project managers report a range of EACs?
To reflect the fact that EVM forecasts are imprecise and subject to error. EACs are
statistical forecasts with underlying assumptions that make them approximations,
not precise calculations.
2. Why is the mathematical overrun-to-date calculation of EAC an optimistic prediction of
project performance?
The mathematical overrun-to-date calculation assumes that the cost overruns experi-
enced early in a project are unique occurrences. It presumes that the remainder of
the project will exactly meet original planning expectations.
3. Why are cumulative statistics used to forecast EAC?
Cumulative statistics are the best indicators of long-term trends in a project. Short-
term (one period) and individual CAP statistics are subject to wide fluctuations and
are not representative of the entire project.
4. What is the limitation to forecasting EACt using BACtSPI?
First, schedule forecasting cannot be done by EACt alone. It requires a parallel
analysis of the critical path. Second, SPI is only useful closer to the beginning of a
project because EV and PV approach a value of 1 as the project approaches
completion.
Section 10
1. If you were the project manager on an EVM project, how would you calculate EAC for
senior management?
If the SPI and CPI were exactly 1, use the BAC.
If the SPI and CPI are not = 1, use them to calculate a range of possible outcomes.
If time permits, recalculate the project with the best available information,
EAC = AC+(bottom-up ETC).
2. The project manager has estimated EAC at $120,000. According to the original plan, there
is still $60,000 of work remaining to be completed. Actual cost is $75,000. What TCPI
must be achieved for the remainder of the project in order for the project managers EAC
to be proven correct?
TCPI = remaining work remaining funds = 60 45 = 1.33
3. Consider the project in question 2. The projects BAC is $115,000. You know that EV
equals $55,000 (BAC less remaining work). AC equals $75,000. Is it reasonable to expect
a TCPI of 1.33 for the remainder of the project?
No. CPI = EV AC = 55 75 = .73.
If the project has been operating at a cost efficiency of .73 up to this point, what has
changed to reasonably expect a 1.33 cost efficiency for the remainder of the project?