Series 1 Sat,

36.78533
37.12876
36.8521
36.76625
37.0906 Date
Thu,
Fri,
Sun,
Mon, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul15
Jul 14
16
17
18 2016Forecast of SerieFitted
2016
2016
2016
2016 Values
37.069059278
37.012312622
37.035601098
36.998901678
36.952370543
37.27185
37.63437
37.55805
37.36725
37.25277
37.54851 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul 19
2221
23
2420 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 36.924606
37.0219114
37.1230334
37.2642216
37.3844222
37.416857
37.38633
37.31872
37.27043
37.18351
37.07727 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
37.3477 Tue,
Sat, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul 26
29 25
28
30 27 2016
2016
2016
2016 37.4721878
37.4225806
37.3747162
37.355353
37.3415006
36.94206
37.10624
37.16419
37.32838
37.58915
37.39599
36.76821
36.90343
Sun,
36.5654 Mon,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Jul
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
31
56 241
7832016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
37.2472534
37.2395268
37.164194
37.1313562
37.1274928
37.1777152
37.2260054
37.3167914
37.2086218
37.1294258
36.78753
37.39599
37.31872
37.49257
37.76299
37.57949 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 12 911
13
14 2016
10 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.0444344
36.8841112
37.0347766
37.1796474
37.3515606 Series 1
37.55052
37.41531
37.65676 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
37.5312 Fri,
37.96581
37.84026 Thu,
Sat, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 19 1615
18
20 17 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.5099526
37.5408584
37.560175
37.5930128
37.5466546
37.6239192
38.19761
37.81129
37.93684
37.77265
37.12556 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 26 21
2322
2524 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.6818674
37.8383274
37.8692332
37.9503606
37.9117284
37.7707208
37.13522
37.00967
37.18351
37.29941
37.51189
37.65676 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Sep 27
28
30
129
31 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.5563118
37.4210988
37.2356642
37.1178358
37.1506728
37.2279376
37.81129
37.40565
37.51189
37.86923
37.99479 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
38.4294 Tue,
Wed, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 23 682016
72016
45 2016
2016
2016 37.3322448
37.492569
37.5369958
37.5794916
37.650961
37.718567
38.49701
38.71914
38.95094
38.81572
38.99923 Thu,
Fri,
38.9123 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Sep
Sep
Sep44 910
Sep
Sep
Sep 11
1312 2016
20162016
2016
2016
2016 37.84219
38.0604624
38.3019136
38.5182544
38.6824412
38.7964062
39.10547
39.33726
39.38555
39.66563
39.88777
40.44793 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 16 1714
15
18
19 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 38.8794654
38.9567302
39.0339942
39.1479592
39.28124
39.4763324
40.10024
40.5928
40.58315
41.08537
41.73245
41.98357 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 23 20
2421
22
25 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.7448262
39.8974238
40.1388752
40.3223784
40.5618986
40.8188026
41.86767
42.09229
41.311
41.61375
41.51609
41.41843 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Oct 3012726
28
29 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 41.1954668
41.4504394
41.7522682
41.7973942
41.7736532
41.6801572
41.59422
41.77001
41.84814
41.77001
41.71141 Sun,
Mon,
41.8872 Thu,
Tue,
Wed,
Fri, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 78 23
46 2016
2016
52016
2016
2016 41.590309
41.4906942
41.5824966
41.637187
41.7035972
41.7739138
41.52585
42.10206
41.93603
41.38913
41.76024
41.58445 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 910
11
13122016
2016
2016
2016 41.7973526
41.7485216
41.7914932
41.8090724
41.7328962
41.7426622
42.27785
42.17042
42.15089
42.13136
42.07276
42.15089 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 14 15
16
1817
192016
2016
2016
2016
2016 41.754382
41.7895404
41.8364184
41.9887708
42.062994
42.1606558
41.92627
42.07276
42.18996
42.37551
42.26808
42.01416 Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 21 20
22
23
2524 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 42.1352634
42.0864324
42.0708068
42.0825266
42.1430766
42.1665152
40.97895
40.88129
40.43204
40.05116
39.9535
39.8949 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct28 27
29
3026
31 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 42.1840944
41.9653312
41.7035972
41.3149032
40.871518
40.4593846
39.91443
40.10975
39.72887
40.04139 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
39.9242 Fri,
39.93396 Sat,
Sun, Nov
NovNov
Nov
Nov42 45
Nov 13 2016
22016
2016
67 2016
2016
2016 40.242575
40.049204
39.9847466
39.9202902
39.9378692
39.9456824
40.00233
39.99256
40.26601
40.30508
40.22695
38.78155 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 11 810
12 9 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.947636
39.9261504
39.9788878
40.0238122
40.0980354
40.1585854
39.75817
39.03548
38.95734
39.50425
39.2601
39.12337 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 18 13
1514
1716 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.9144306
39.8675526
39.621445
39.3518978
39.2073586
39.3030676
39.02571
39.62145
40.14882
40.31484
40.17812
40.49064 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 19
20
2221
2423 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.1761076
39.1741538
39.3069742
39.4358878
39.6468372
39.8577866
39.8949
39.7777
39.66051
39.81677
38.96711
38.7101 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 25 26
27
2928
302016
2016
2016
2016
2016 40.1507724
40.2054628
40.1312396
40.000373
39.9281032
39.6233986
38.66067
38.42343
38.56182 Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Dec
Dec
Dec 23 61 2016
2016 39.3864384
39.1630318
38.65078
38.87815
38.91768
38.76941
38.81883
38.9078
38.92757
38.20596
37.05928
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Dec
DecDec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 9 45
8
10
1172016
12
2016
2016
2016
2016
20162016
2016
2016
38.915615
38.6646248
38.6013592
38.634969
38.6863714
38.7555676
38.8069706
38.8583736
38.8682586
38.7259134
36.43652
36.27836
36.01146
36.10043
36.09054
36.36733 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 16 13
15
17
1814 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 38.3838886
37.9074262
37.3815384
36.7983166
36.3772106
36.1834618
36.13997
35.95215
36.20916
36.08066
36.56503 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
36.3871 Mon,
Fri,
Sat, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 23 2019
22
24 21 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 36.1696228
36.1419446
36.1300822
36.1518296
36.149853
36.1538072
37.00986
36.14985
36.09054
35.71491
36.34756
36.72319 Sun,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 25
2726
2928 2016
2016
2016
2016 36.2388192
36.4503606
36.4384982
36.4404748
36.3060372
36.9802 Fri,
37.12848
37.30641
38.1071
38.28504
38.75952 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Dec
Dec
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
301
3531
24 2016
2016
2017
2017
2017
2017
36.2625424
36.2052094
36.3712794
36.5788674
36.897168
37.2490778
37.5614468
39.08573
39.02642
38.18619
38.43331
38.16642
38.18619 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed, Jan
Jan4067
Jan
Jan
Jan 8
1092017
112017
2017
2017
2017
2017 37.9173106
38.308761
38.6527626
38.6685792
38.6982348
38.5796138
38.89791
39.98528
39.94574
39.91608
40.64758
40.88482 Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan 13
1412
15
1716 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 38.3997048
38.3740032
38.7338212
39.0363054
39.3862384
39.8785164
40.62781
41.02321
41.19126
41.63609
41.98207
41.87333 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan20
2119
2218
23 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 40.2758984
40.4044044
40.6199
40.8749354
41.0726376
41.2920872
42.2292
42.23908
42.03149
42.16989
42.04138 Tue,
42.16 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan 2724
2826
2925 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.5411924
41.7823892
41.9919538
42.0967366
42.1066214
42.1659318
42.52575
42.27862
42.16
41.32
40.81 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
40.8 Tue,
Fri,
Sat, Jan
Jan
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 31
34 30
2 1 2017
2017
2017
2017 42.128368
42.1857018
42.2094258
42.2351274
42.0651504
40.61
41.01
40.96
41.11
40.8
41
41.45
41.36
Sun,
Mon,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
42 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Feb
FebFeb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 10 56
79
11
1282017
13
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
41.8168746
41.4737248
41.1400006
40.9099998
40.8379996
40.9
40.8979996
40.9759994
41.064
41.2720002
41.39
41.77
42.01
41.82
42.16
42.06 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 1714
16
18
1915 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.3220002
41.4400002
41.5940002
41.7059996
41.6699996
41.8299994
41.18
41.25
41.06
41.12
41.21
41.31 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 242120
23
25 22 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.9639998
41.8459998
41.6940002
41.5420004
41.3340002
41.1639998
41.38
40.65
40.75
41.12
41.25 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Feb
Feb
Feb
Mar
Mar 26
2827 2017
2017
2017
12017 41.19
41.2160002
41.1340004
41.0600006
41.48
41.73
41.59
41.95
42.36
41.82
41.79
42.04
42.07
42.01
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mar
Mar38 34
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar 10 72
11
56
9
2017
2017
2017
2017
82017
12 2017
2017
2017
41.0420006
41.0300004
41.0500002
41.2659998
41.4339998
41.6000002
41.8220004
41.8900004
41.9020006
41.9920008
42.0160006
41.96
41.88
41.77
41.94
42.35 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Mar
Mar
Mar 1413
15
16 2017
2017
2017 41.946
41.9739998
41.9919998
41.9379996
42.61 Fri,
42.37
42.09
42.59
42.44 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
17
24
18
25
19
2120
22
23
26
27
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
20 42.479599942
201
2017
201
201
20 42.3679992
42.4199998
42.42999996
42.497999952
42.487520131
41.9119994
41.9799994
42.0619994
42.1039992
42.2679992
42.3679992
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Sat, Mar
Mar
Fri, Mar
Apr31 2829
30
1 2017 201
201 42.463023957
42.471628788
42.479954554
2017 42.475694581
42.476345475

36

34

32

Series 1 Forecast of Series 1 Fitted Values

Forecast -- Moving Average Selected

Forecast
Date Daily Weekly Monthly
Thu, Mar 23 2017 42.42
Fri, Mar 24 2017 42.43
Sat, Mar 25 2017 42.50 127.35
Sun, Mar 26 2017 42.48
Mon, Mar 27 2017 42.49
Tue, Mar 28 2017 42.46
Wed, Mar 29 2017 42.47
Thu, Mar 30 2017 42.48
Fri, Mar 31 2017 42.48 382.21
Sat, Apr 1 2017 42.48 297.33
Avg 42.47 212.34 382.21
Max 42.50 297.33 382.21
Min 42.42 127.35 382.21

Summary Comments
The forecast has an average error of 1.05%
The data has a standard deviation of 2.01
The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by 92.40%

Audit Trail - Summary Analysis

Audit Trail - Statistics

Accuracy Measures Value Forecast Statistics

AIC 418.67 Mean
BIC 422.19 Standard Deviation
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) 1.05%
Sum Squared Error (SSE) 77.09
R-Square 92.40%
Adjusted R-Square 92.40%

Method Statistics Value

Method Selected Moving Average
Average Periods 5.00

ForecastX Configuration Parameters

Item Value
Data Range Selected [AT&T (Daily).xlsx]AT&T (Daily)'!$N$2:$N$253
Time scale for data Daily
Periods to forecast 10
Seasonal Length
Replace Outliers Activated No
Replace Outliers Standard Deviations
Replace Outliers Forecasting Technique
Replace Missing Values No
Replace Missing Values (Lower Limit)
Replace Missing Values (Upper Limit)
Remove Leading Zeros Yes
Remove Trailing Zeros No
Use Holdback Evaluation No
Holdback Evaluation Period
Apply Tracking Signal No
Apply Tracking Signal (Under Forecast Percentage)
Apply Tracking Signal (Over Forecast Percentage)
Forecast Method Selected Moving Average

Report Details
Run Date: 3/22/2017 3:47 PM
Author: John Galt Development, Inc.
Note: ForecastX
Value
39.60
2.01