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Paediatrica Indonesiana

VOLUME 52 November  NUMBER 6

Original Article

Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures in


children
Pengekuten T. Marudur, Elisabeth S. Herini, Cahya Dewi Satria

)
Abstract ebrile seizure is defined as seizure activity
Background One-third of children who experience febrile seizures DVVRFLDWHGZLWKIHYHURI!&LQDSUHYLRXVO\
KDYHDUHFXUUHQFHZLWKUDWHVRILQWKHILUVW\HDUDQGZLWKLQ healthy child with no prior history of afebrile
the second year following the first febrile seizure. Predictive factors seizures, no evidence of intracranial infection,
for recurrent febrile seizures have been reported in studies from other
countries, but there have been few of these studies in Indonesia.
and no defined cause such as electrolyte imbalance
Objective To determine predictive factors for the recurrence of or other metabolic abnormality. )HEULOH VHL]XUHV
febrile seizures in children. in children most commonly occur between ages of
Methods Children with first-time febrile seizures were PRQWKVDQG\HDUVZLWKDSHDNLQFLGHQFHDW
SURVSHFWLYHO\IROORZHGXSIRUDWOHDVWPRQWKV6XEMHFWVZHUH months of age. Although the occurrence may be
UHFUXLWHGFRQVHFXWLYHO\IURP$XJXVWWR$SULOIURPWZR
benign, it can be frightening and anxiety-provoking
KRVSLWDOVLQ<RJ\DNDUWDDQGRQHKRVSLWDOLQ.ODWHQ:HPRQLWRUHG
recurrences of febrile seizure by telephone or home visits to parents for family or caregivers. Reported prevalences vary
HYHU\PRQWKV7LPHWRILUVWUHFXUUHQFHRIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVZDV LQ1RUWK$PHULFDDQG:HVWHUQ(XURSHIURP
analyzed using the Cox regression model. but in Asia the rate is higher.,Q-DSDQWKHSUHYDOHQFH
Results7KHUHZHUHFKLOGUHQZLWKILUVWWLPHIHEULOHVHL]XUHVZKR ZDVUHSRUWHGWREH5RUKLJKHUDW The
completed the follow up. Recurrent seizures were observed in 56
prevalence of febrile seizures in Guam was reported
FKLOGUHQ  0HDQIROORZXSWLPHZDV 6' PRQWKV
7HPSHUDWXUHRI&DWWKHWLPHRIVHL]XUH 55 &, WREHDERXW4 However, Chung et al. reported the
WR3  KLVWRU\RIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVLQILUVWGHJUHHUHODWLYHV incidence of febrile seizures as well as the incidence of
55 &,WR3 DJHDWILUVWIHEULOHVHL]XUH recurrent febrile seizures in South China to be lower
RI  PRQWKV 55  &,  WR  3   DQG WKDQ WKDW RI :HVWHUQ FRXQWULHV HYHQ WKRXJK WKH\
GXUDWLRQRIIHYHUEHIRUHWKHVHL]XUHRIKRXU 55 &,
WR3  ZHUHVLJQLILFDQWO\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKUHFXUUHQFH
had similar predictors.5 Genetic predisposition and
RI IHEULOH VHL]XUHV )XUWKHUPRUH &R[ UHJUHVVLRQ DQDO\VLV UHYHDOHG environmental factors may have influenced these
WKDWWKHDJHRIPRQWKVKLVWRU\RIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVLQILUVWGHJUHH results.
UHODWLYHVDQGWHPSHUDWXUHRI&ZHUHVLJQLILFDQWpredictive factors
for the recurrence of febrile seizures.
Conclusion$JHDWILUVWVHL]XUHRIPRQWKVKLVWRU\RIIHEULOH
seizures in first-degree relatives, and seizure with temperature of )URPWKH'HSDUWPHQWRI&KLOG+HDOWK*DGMDK0DGD8QLYHUVLW\0HGLFDO
&ZHUHLQGHSHQGHQWSUHGLFWLYHIDFWRUVIRUUHFXUUHQWIHEULOH School, Dr. Sardjito Hospital, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.
seizures in children. [Paediatr Indones. 2012;52:317-23].
Reprint requests to: Pengekuten Timbul Marudur, Department of Child
Health, Gadjah Mada University Medical School, Dr. Sardjito Hospital,
Keywords: febrile seizures, recurrence, predictors, -O.HVHKDWDQ1R6HNLS<RJ\DNDUWD,QGRQHVLD7HO
prospective )D[(PDLO kutensng@gmail.com

Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012 317


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

Approximately one-third of children who Description of the seizures when the illness occurred
have febrile seizures experience recurrent febrile was elicited from parents or witnesses. Information
VHL]XUHVZLWKGRLQJVRLQWKH\HDUIROORZLQJ about the illness were collected included duration
WKHILUVWIHEULOHVHL]XUHDQGZLWKLQWKHVHFRQG of fever before the seizure occurred, family history
year following the first febrile seizure.4 Numerous of afebrile seizure or unprovoked seizure, the
studies have examined the predictors of recurrent highest temperature recorded before or just after
febrile seizures with incidences varying between the seizure, and if the child had a preexisting
 These predictive factors have been neurodevelopmental problem. All information
studied in other countries, but Indonesian data was compiled from interviews and medical records
is limited. Incidence and predictive factors of including diagnoses, physical examinations and
recurrent febrile seizures in Indonesia may be similar laboratory results. Temperature measured at the
WRWKRVHLQRWKHUSRSXODWLRQV:HSHUIRUPHGWKLV hospital was considered to be the most reliable. All
study to determine the incidence and predictive information was recorded in a study form.
factors for recurrent febrile seizures in Indonesian After the initial interview, parents were
population. interviewed every three months by telephone,
hospital visit, or home visit to determine whether
the child had had reccurent febrile seizures.
Methods A recurrence of febrile seizure was defined
as a subsequent febrile seizure during a new
:HXQGHUWRRNDQRQJRLQJFRKRUWSURVSHFWLYHVWXG\ febrile period. Information about recurrences was
in subjects from three hospitals, Sardjito Center based on parents reporting, but when possible,
and Sleman District Hospitals in Yogyakarta and documentation of recurrence was obtained from
6XUDGML 7LUWRQHJRUR &HQWUDO +RVSLWDO LQ .ODWHQ PHGLFDOUHFRUGV)ROORZXSZDVGRQHE\WKHDXWKRU
IURP$XJXVWWR$SULO&KLOGUHQZLWK and one assistant. Home visits were made if parents
first-episode of febrile seizures were recruited could not be contacted by telephone or hospital
consecutively and followed up for at least one year visit.
subsequently in order to determine febrile seizures :H H[FOXGHG FKLOGUHQ ZLWK QHXURORJLF
recurrences. abnormalities, such as pareses, muscle weakness,
Subjects were recruited by the resident-in- uncoordinated movement, global developmental
FKDUJH:HLQFOXGHGWKHFKLOGLQWKHVWXG\LIWKH delay, impaired conciousness, hydrocephalus
febrile seizure was the first-ever episode, the child or other neurological deficits after the seizure.
was between 6 months and 5 years of age, did Children with long-term prophylaxis for seizure or
not have any pre-existing neurodevelopmental those diagnosed with epilepsy or seizure without
problem, and the parents agreed to participate IHYHU ZHUH DOVR H[FOXGHG :H FRQFOXGHG WKDW D
in the study with a written informed consent. subject was lost to follow up if at one year of follow
Information on possible predictive factors, such as up, we could not obtain information as to whether
DJHDWRQVHWRIIHEULOHVHL]XUH PRQWKVRU the child suffered from recurrent febrile seizures.
PRQWKV WHPSHUDWXUHDWRQVHWRIIHEULOHVHL]XUH This study was approved by the Committee for
 & RU  &  KLVWRU\ RI IHEULOH VHL]XUHV Medical Research Ethics of the Gadjah Mada
in families [defined as first-degree (parents or University Medical School.
siblings) or second-degree (grandparents, uncles/ Bivariate analysis was done using Chi square
DXQWV RU FRXVLQV@ GXUDWLRQ RI IHYHU EHIRUH WKH analysis and multivariate analysis was done using
VHL]XUHRFFXUUHG KRXU!KRXUVDQG! the Cox proportional hazards regression model.
24 hours), sex (male or female), family history of Magnitude of association between predictive
epilepsy (afebrile seizure or unprovoked seizure), variables and recurrent febrile seizures was expressed
type of seizure (generalized or focal), and type of LQKD]DUGUDWLR +5 DQGFRQILGHQFHLQWHUYDOV
febrile seizure (simple or complex febrile seizure) &, $OOVWDWLVWLFVZHUHSHUIRUPHGXVLQJ6366
was compiled from interviews and medical records. IRU:LQGRZV

318Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

Results RI  & DW WKH RQVHW RI IHEULOH VHL]XUH ZHUH DOO
significantly associated with recurrent febrile seizures
During the study period, 226 children met the (Table 2).
LQFOXVLRQ FULWHULD 7KHUH ZHUH  FKLOGUHQ ZKR 3UHGLFWLYH  IDFWRUV ZLWK 3   LQ ELYDULDWH
completed the follow up for at least one year after analysis were included in multivariate analysis.
WKHLU LQLWLDO IHEULOH VHL]XUHV 7KLUW\ FKLOGUHQ   Multivariate analysis with the Cox regression hazard
were lost to follow up (Figure 1). model revealed that the independent predictive
7KH PHDQ IROORZ XS WLPH ZDV  6'   factors for recurrent febrile seizures were age at onset
PRQWKVDQGVXEMHFWV  KDGUHFXUUHQWIHEULOH RI  PRQWKV KLVWRU\ RI IHEULOH VHL]XUHV LQ ILUVW
seizures by the end of the study. Sixteen children GHJUHHUHODWLYHVDQGWHPSHUDWXUHRI&DWWKH
 H[SHULHQFHGPRUHWKDQRQHUHFXUUHQWIHEULOH onset of febrile seizure (Table 3).
VHL]XUH :H DVVXPHG DOO SDUWLFLSDQWV ZHUH JLYHQ
diazepam prophylaxis according to our guideline
though we did not control their compliance to Table 1. Baseline characteristics of subjects
prophylaxis. Baseline characteristics of subjects are Characteristics n=196
depicted in Table 1. Male, n (%) 113 (57.7)

Bivariate analysis revealed that there were Mean age at onset, months (SD) 19.5 (11.3)

no significant associations between gender, type of <12 months, n (%) 53 (27.0)

seizure, type of febrile seizure, and family history of OQPVJUP


 143 (73.0)
epilepsy to the recurrence of febrile seizures. Age at Family history of febrile seizures
RQVHWRIPRQWKVKLVWRU\RIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVLQILUVW First-degree relatives, n (%) 79 (40.3)
degree relatives, short duration of fever of <KRXU Second-degree relatives, n (%) 38 (19.4)
before the onset of febrile seizures and temperature No family history, n (%) 79 (40.3)
Family history of epilepsy
Yes, n (%) 9 (4.2)
No, n (%) 187 (95.8)
)LUVWIHEULOHVHL]XUHV
$XJXVW$SULO Q   Type of seizure
6DUGMLWR+RVSLWDO Q  General, n (%) 189 (96.4)
6OHPDQ+RVSLWDO Q  Focal, n (%) 7 (3.6)
6XUDGML7LUWRQHJRUR+RVSLWDO Q 
Type of febrile seizure
Simple, n (%) 133 (67.9)
Complex, n (%) 63 (32.1)
Met inclusion criteria (n=226) Mean temperature at onset of febrile 39.8 (0.5)
6DUGMLWR+RVSLWDO Q  UGK\WTGu%
5&
- Sleman Hospital (n=88) u%P
 77 (39.3)
- Suradji Tirtonegoro Hospital ( n=44) u%P
 119 (61.7)
Lost to follow up
Q   Mean duration of fever before onset, 14.2 (11.3)
excluded hours (SD)
in analysis JQWTP
 12 (6.1)
&RPSOHWHGIROORZXS Q  >1-24 hours, n (%) 160 (81.6)
> 24 hours, n (%) 24 (12.2)
Incidence of recurrent febrile seizures, 56 (28.6)
n (%)
:LWKRXWUHFXUUHQWIHEULOHVHL]XUHV Incidence of multiple recurrent febrile 16 (8.1)
Recurrent febrile seizures
Q  seizures, n (%)
(n=56)
Mean length of follow up, months (SD) 21.7 (6.6)
Children with recurrent febrile seizures 22.4 (6.8)
Figure 1. Flow chart of subject recruitment and fol- Children without recurrent febrile 21.5 (6.5)
low up seizures

Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012 319


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

Table 2. Bivariate analysis of predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures


Recurrent febrile Without recurrent
RR
Variables seizures febrile seizures P value
(95%CI)
n=56 n=140
Male, n (%) 32 (57.1) 81 (57.9) 1.03 (0.61 to 1.74) 0.92
Age at onset < 12 months, n (%) 25 (44.6) 28 (20.0) 2.40 (1.42 to 4.06) 0.001
Family history of febrile seizures, n (%)
1st degree relative 33 (58.9) 46 (32.8) 3.30 (1.25 to 8.08) <0.001
2 nddegree relative 7 (12.5) 31 (22.1) 2.09 (0.92 to 6.40) 0.10
No history 16 (28.6) 63 (45.0) 1.0
Family history of epilepsy, n(%) 2 (3.6) 7 (5.0) 0.78 (0.19 to 3.21) 0.73
Focal seizures, n (%) 3 (5.4) 4 (2.9) 1.62 (0.51 to 5.19) 0.42
Complex febrile seizures, n (%) 19 (33.9) 44 (3.1) 1.09 (0.63 to 1.89) 0.76
6GORGTCVWTGQHu%CVQPUGVQHHGDTKNG 31 (55.4) 46 (32.9) 2.29 (1.35 to 3.89) 0.002
seizure, n (%)
Duration of fever before onset of seizure,
n (%)
JQWT 7 (12.5) 5 (3.6) 4.62 (1.35 to 5.80) 0.015
>1-24 hours 45 (80.4) 115 (82.1) 1.82 (0.66 to 5.09) 0.26
> 24 hours 4 (7.1) 20 (14.3) 1.0
Table 3. Multivariate analysis with Cox regression model
Predictive factors Hazard ratio (HR) 95%CI P value
Age < 12 months 2.42 1.41 to 4.18 0.001
1 st degree relative with febrile seizures 2.73 1.59 to 4.70 < 0.001
Temperature of < 40 C 2.11 1.24 to 3.58 0.006
&WTCVKQPQHHGXGTJQWT 1.69 0.76 to 3.78 0.20

Discussion of recurrent febrile seizures in our study. In contrast,


Chung et al. in China and Offringga et al. in the
The incidence of recurrent febrile seizures in this Netherlands reported that complex febrile seizure was
FRKRUW SURVSHFWLYH VWXG\ ZDV   ZLWKLQ an independent predictive factor for recurrence.
WKH RQH \HDU DIWHU WKH ILUVW IHEULOH VHL]XUH  )URP D Nonetheless, this factor has been shown to be
meta-analysis, Berg et al. reported the incidence of inconsistent as a significant predictive factor in several
recurrent febrile seizures in a western population to studies. A later study by Offringa et al. of a pooled
EHLQWKHUDQJHRI PHDQ ,Q-DSDQ analysis reported that complex febrile seizure was not
the incidence of recurrent febrile seizure was reported an independent predictive factor for recurrent febrile
WR EH DSSUR[LPDWHO\  while a Chinese study seizures.
UHSRUWHG DSSUR[LPDWHO\  LQ WKH ILUVW \HDU RI )DPLO\KLVWRU\RIHSLOHSV\DQGIRFDOVHL]XUHVZHUH
IROORZXSDQGDIWHU\HDUVRIIROORZXS5 Our not significant predictors for recurrent febrile seizures
ILQGLQJVZHUHVLPLODUWR:HVWHUQVWXGLHV4 but higher in our subjects, consistent with previous studies.
than those of the Chinese study.5 However, the higher However, this predictive factor was associated with the
LQFLGHQFH RI UHFXUUHQW IHYHU LQ -DSDQ PD\ EH GXH occurrence of later epilepsy in children with febrile
to genetic predisposition or environmental factors. seizures.
Genetic susceptibility and epidemiological studies are Using Cox regression analysis, we found that
needed to evaluate their influence in subjects. history of febrile seizures in first-degree relatives and
:H IRXQG WKDW  RI FKLOGUHQ H[SHULHQFHG DQDJHDWRQVHWRIPRQWKVZHUHLQGHSHQGHQW
VLPSOHIHEULOHVHL]XUHVZKLOHWKHUHPDLQGHU   predictors for recurrent febrile seizures. These findings
KDG FRPSOH[ IHEULOH VHL]XUHV 6LPLODUO\ .DUDQGH were consistent with previous studies. However,
UHSRUWHGWKDWRIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVZHUHFRPSOH[6 we did not expect that history of febrile seizures in
Complex febrile seizure was not a significant predictor first-degree relatives would be the strongest predictive

320Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

factor in our subjects. This finding may suggest a in our study. But we could not control patient
genetic susceptibility in our population. Previous compliance to the prophylactic treatment, so this was
studies reported younger age to be the strongest a limitation of our study. In fact, findings have been
predictor for the recurrence of febrile seizures, since inconsistent among studies on the effectiveness of
there is a longer developmental window to develop intermittent prophylaxis. A meta-analysis by Masuko
a recurrence.  )URP WZR FRKRUW SURVSHFWLYH et al. did not conclude that intermittent diazepam
studies, Berg et al. reported that younger age, history of prophylaxis was effective, due to heterogenicity among
febrile seizures in first-degree relatives, short duration the studies.22 A similar conclusion was reported by
of fever before the seizure occurred and lower body Rantala et al. who found that intermittent diazepam
temperature, as independent predictive factors for prophylaxis was not effective for preventing recurrent
recurrent febrile seizures. A difference from our study febrile seizures. Noncompliance by caregivers may
ZDVWKDWWKH\FRPSDUHGFKLOGUHQDJHGPRQWKV result in ineffective treatment, as reported by Autret et
DQG!PRQWKVDVZHOODVWHPSHUDWXUHFODVVLILHG al.24 Prophylaxis in children without good monitoring
into 4 ordinal categories from lowest to highest for more than a month was not effective in preventing
temperature of fever.Nevertheless, we had similar recurrent febrile seizures.
conclusions and our findings support their previous :HGLGQRWFRQVLGHUQXPEHURIIHYHUHSLVRGHV
findings, but with a stronger association. They also as a predictor for seizures. A childs risk for seizure
reported a lower relative risk of about two or less, but would be higher if there were more opportunities for
we found the relative risks of history of febrile seizures febrile seizures. Pavlidou et al. reported in an
LQILUVWGHJUHHUHODWLYHVDQGDJHRIPRQWKVWREH univariate analysis that > 8 episodes of fever in a
DQGUHVSHFWLYHO\ year was significantly associated with recurrent febrile
Berg et al. also reported short duration of seizure, but this association was not significant in a
fever before the onset of febrile seizure to be an multivariate analysis. However, Tarrka et al. found
independent predictive factor for recurrence of episodes of fever to be the only independent predictive
febrile seizures. In contrast, we did not find this factor for recurrence.25 In addition, Stuijvenberg et
factor to be an independent predictor. In our study, al   UHSRUWHG WKDW LQ D PXOWLYDULDWH DQDO\VLV
GXUDWLRQRIIHYHUDWWKHRQVHWRIIHEULOHVHL]XUHRI episodes of fever was an independent predictive factor
hour was a significant predictor in bivariate analysis, for the recurrence of febrile seizures.26 Since both
but not in multivariate analysis. A Greek study groups (with and without recurrence) had similar
UHSRUWHGWKDWGXUDWLRQRIIHYHURIKRXUVWREH mean ages, we suggest that the opportunity for febrile
a significant predictive factor by univariate analysis, illness was the same.
but not by multivariate analysis. Duration of fever Another limitation of our study was in controlling
before the onset of febrile seizure is subject to errors in temperature measurements. Even when body
reporting. Most parents or caregivers become aware of temperatures were measured by medically-trained
fever some time after the fever has occurred.4 In this personnel, differences in thermometers may have
circumstance, a modified calculation for the cutoff DIIHFWHGWKHUHDGLQJV)XUWKHUPRUHERG\WHPSHUDWXUHV
point for duration of fever before onset of febrile taken in the hospitals were often not performed when
seizure may be needed for our population. However, the seizures occurred. Therefore, the temperature
we did not do this in our study. measured in the hospitals was only an approximation
Rosman et al. reported that intermittent of the subjects temperature at the time of seizure. In
prophylaxis with diazepam reduced the risk of recurrent general, such errors attenuate the association between
IHEULOHVHL]XUHVE\> GLD]HSDP  YVSODFHER temperature and the risk of recurrence. Since
 55&,WR3  @ controlling temperature measurements is difficult,
6LPLODUILQGLQJVZHUHUHSRUWHGE\.QXGVHQet al. in a Chung et al. defined the temperature of the onset of
study using rectal diazepam prophylaxis. However, febrile seizures to be the highest temperature measured
we still found a relatively high incidence of recurrent during hospitalization.5 A temperature at the onset
febrile seizures when giving intermittent diazepam RI IHEULOH VHL]XUH RI  & ZDV DQ LQGHSHQGHQW
prophylaxis, a guideline that applied to all subjects predictive factor for recurrent febrile seizures in our

Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012 321


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

study. This finding was consistent with the threshold IDFWRUVIRUUHFXUUHQWIHEULOHVHL]XUHVLQFKLOGUHQ:H


model of febrile seizures that suggests that a seizure can educate the parents or caregivers about the
may occur above a threshold temperature. Different possibility of recurrent febrile seizure in children with
children have different thresholds.  The these predictive factors. A longer study on children
strength of association of this predictive factor is in a until they reach the age of five years is needed in
similar risk with other predictive factors. The lower order to draw a more comprehensive conclusion.
temperature was also associated with later epilepsy )XUWKHU VWXG\ VKRXOG FRQVLGHU IRU FRPSOLDQFH WR
occurrence. intermittent diazepam prophylaxis, episodes of fever,
6L[WHHQ VXEMHFWV  RI DOO VXEMHFWV DQG and temperature measurement in its methodology.
RIWKRVHZLWKUHFXUUHQWVHL]XUHV KDGPXOWLSOH :HVXJJHVWDGRSWLQJWKH-DSDQHVHUHFRPPHQGDWLRQ
UHFXUUHQW IHEULOH VHL]XUHV :H IRXQG QR VLJQLILFDQW for management of febrile seizures.
predictive factor for multiple recurrent febrile seizures.
A marginal statistical difference was found in subjects
DJHGOHVVWKDQPRQWKV 55&, Acknowledgment
WR3  <RXQJHUDJHZDVFRQVLVWHQWO\WKH
best predictive factor for multiple recurrent febrile :HH[WHQGRXUWKDQNVWRDOOFKLOGUHQDQGIDPLOLHVZKRSDUWLFLSDWHG
seizures in many studies.However, the short LQ WKLV VWXG\ :H WKDQN +HQND RXU UHVHDUFK DVVLVWDQW DQG DOO
duration of our study prevents us from drawing a residents of the Department of Child Health, Gadjah Mada
strong conclusion. A follow-up of the children should 8QLYHUVLW\:HDOVRDFNQRZOHGJH(QG\3DU\DQWR3UDZLURKDUWRQR
be continued until the age of five years, after which for insightful review, comments and feedback on this paper, as
the risk of recurrent febrile seizures is considered to well as Sunartini Hapsara and Moch Anwar for their comments
be very small or gone. This information is important on this work.
for counseling to parents or caregivers. It has been
HVWLPDWHGWKDWRIWKRVHZKRKDYHUHFXUUHQFHV
have more than one recurrence.4,28 References
Information on multiple recurrences of febrile
seizures is also important to determine which subjects  ,NDWDQ 'RNWHU $QDN ,QGRQHVLD  .RQVHQVXV SHQDQJDQDQ
should be considered for long-term prophylaxis NHMDQJGHPDP-DNDUWD%DGDQSHQHUELW,'$,
with valproic acid or phenobarbital, to add to our  6XEFRPPLWWH RQ )HEULOH 6HL]XUHV $PHULFDQ $FDGHP\ RI
guidelines. However, potential adverse effects may 3HGLDWULFV )HEULOH VHL]XUHV FOLQLFDO SUDFWLFH JXLGHOLQH IRU
outweigh the relatively minor risks associated with the long-term management of the child with simple febrile
febrile seizures, even if there are recurrences. The VHL]XUHV3HGLDWU
American Academy of Pediatrics recommends neither  )HWYHLW$$VVHVVPHQWRIIHEULOHVHL]XUHVLQFKLOGUHQ(XU-
continuous nor intermittent anticonvulsant therapy 3HGLDWU
for children with one or more simple febrile seizures.  %HUJ$75HFXUUHQWIHEULOHVHL]XUH,Q%DUDP7=6KLQQDU6
No study has demonstrated that treatment for simple (GLWRUV)HEULOHVHL]XUHV6DQ'LHJR$FDGHPLF3UHVV
febrile seizures can prevent the later development S
RI HSLOHSV\ )XUWKHUPRUH WKHUH LV QR HYLGHQFH WKDW  &KXQJ%:DW/&<:RQJ9)HEULOH6HL]XUHVLQVRXWKHUQ
simple febrile seizures cause structural damage and no Chinese children: incidence and recurrence. Pediatr Neurol.
evidence that children with simple febrile seizures are 
at risk for cognitive decline.2 -DSDQHVHVWXGLHVIXUWKHU  .DUDQGH6)HEULOHVHL]XUHVDUHYLHZIRUIDPLO\SK\VLFLDQV
recommend a wait-and-see selective prophylaxis based ,QGLDQ-0HG6FL
on warning factors consisting of risks for recurrent  .QXGVHQ)85HFXUUHQFHULVNDIWHUILUVWIHEULOHVHL]XUHDQG
febrile seizures and epilepsy. effect of short term diazepam prophylaxis. Arch Dis Child.
In conclusion, we found that a history of febrile 
seizure in first degree relatives, age at onset of febrile  .MHOGVHQ0-.\YLN.2)ULLV0/&KULVWHQVHQ.*HQHWLFDQG
VHL]XUHRIPRQWKVDQGWHPSHUDWXUHDWRQVHWRI environmental factors in febrile seizures: a Danish population-
IHEULOHVHL]XUHRI&ZHUHLQGHSHQGHQWSUHGLFWLYH EDVHGWZLQVWXG\(SLOHSV\5HV

322Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012


Pengekuten T. Marudur et al: Predictive factors for recurrent febrile seizures

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Paediatr Indones, Vol. 52, No. 6, November 2012 323

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