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Introduction
The need of this Mission Plan arises in the background of a new strength and resurgence in
the Indian manufacturing division. For most of the time of the 1990s, post the financial
deregulation in 1991, development in the Indian economy has been led by growth in the
service division, a growth that has overshadowed the growth in the developed sector. In the
past few years, several trades in the Indian manufacturing sector have become globally
competitive and have developed over energy to develop. Some industries, with the
automotive industry, sincerely trust that they can developed world-beaters.
Indias Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016 is a cooperative effort between the
Indian government, the automotive industry, and academe.11 The stated vision of AMP is for
India to arise as the purpose of choice in the world for project and production of automobiles
and auto works with output attainment a level of U.S. $145 billion office for more than 10 per
cent of the GDP and if additional employment to 25 million persons by 2016.12 India is
currently the eleventh largest inside car market in the world and aims to be the seventh largest
market by 2016. While the auto industry has experienced strong growth over the past period,
it still plays a minor role in the global industry. According to AMP, India has about 2.37 per
cent of the world production of inside and commercial vehicles and exports from India
contribute about 0.3 per cent of the worldwide auto trade. The AMP makes a number of
suggestions for actions to be taken by both the government and industry in order for India to
fulfil the goals laid out in the plan. For example, they estimate an asset of about $35-40
billion in the automobile sector over the 2006-2016 times retro will be required to implement
AMP. The governments responsibility would be to simplify substructure creation, promote
the countrys skills, create a favourable and expected business environment, attract savings
and help R&D. 13 Industrys responsibility fears issues such as designing and
manufacturing value products, improving productivity, maintaining costs, among others.
AMP also calls for the development of an proper development policy; improving road, rail,
port, and energy substructure; expanding demand for automobiles domestically; and,
developing a roadmap to address ecological and care concerns.
1.2 Automotive Mission Plan 2016-26
The Automotive Mission Plan 2016-26 (AMP 2026) is the cooperative vision of Government
of India (Government) and the Indian Automotive Industry on where the Automobiles, Auto-
components, and Tractor industries should reach over the next ten years in terms of size,
contribution to Indias development, global footprint, technological maturity, attractiveness,
and official construction and competences. AMP 2026 also pursues to define the path of
evolution of the automotive ecology in India including the glide path of specific regulations
and policies that govern research, design, technology, testing, manufacturing, import/ export,
sale, use, repair, and recycling of automotive vehicles, components and services. AMP 2026
is a document that is aimed at multiple stakeholders in India and overseas, and seeks to
communicate the Government and industrys intent and objectives pertaining to the Indian
Automotive industry, comprising the automotive vehicle manufacturers, the auto-component
manufacturers and tractor manufacturers who operate in India.
The complete list of investors indicates the pervasive and fast expanding footprint of
automobiles in our society and the assorted manner in which automotive products and
facilities interact with dissimilar kinds of persons, groups, institutes, and organisations. Each
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stakeholder has a dissimilar perspective (read benefit, cost, benefit, and probability) of the
Automotive division, and so AMP 2026 is an try to provide a same page view to all of
them in a coherent and cogent way of Government & Industrys vision and policy goals for
the Automotive sector
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1.4 Evolution and Growth of Industry in India
The Indian government and the Culture of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) have
exposed the latest automotive roadmap, recognised as the Automotive Mission Plan for
201626 (AMP 2026), which is meant at boosting the country's vehicle developed operations,
reports news magazine the Economic Times. The AMP 2026 was unveiled on the side-lines
of the 55th SIAM Yearly Convention held in New Delhi yesterday (2 September).
The Indian government and SIAM are targeting the total value of vehicle-related production
to reach as much as INR18.9 trillion (USD284.8 billion) by 2026, below the AMP 2026, from
the current stages of INR4.64 trillion. The figure is the top end of projections based on
normal industry growing of 5.8% each year and usual GDP growing of 7.5% each year
during the 10 year period. It includes the influence from sales of cars, trucks, tractors,
motorcycles, scooters, and components in the local market, as well as exports. The AMP
states, "The automotive industry can be termed as the mother of the manufacturing sector in
an economy, as its riches directly impact the fortunes of several related manufacturing
industries. The rapid growth of the Indian automotive industry will provide a strong boost to
the micro and small and medium industries of the country across several sectors."
Some of the targeted key highlights of the AMP 2026 for the Indian automotive industry by
the financial year ending 2016 are:
1. The generation of some 65 million new jobs in the country during the 10-year period;
2. India to be among the top three automotive industries globally, with vehicle exports
accounting for nearly 35-40% of local production;
3. A 3.5- to fourfold growth in the Indian automotive industry by value, from the current
USD74 billion to some USD260300 billion;
4. The Indian automotive industry to contribute over 12% to India's GDP;
5. Passenger car sales are prophesied to grow to some 9.413.4 million units from the recent
equal of 3.2 million components; an increase in commercial vehicle sales from the current
level of 0.7 million components to some 23.9 million units and tractors from 0.6 million
components to some 1.51.7 million units;The Indian automotive component industry to
grow from the current levels of INR120 billion to some INR593.5732 billion; and
6. The Indian government means to make the country's automotive industry the engine of its
"Make in India" movement.
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1.5 Growth targets:
AMP 2026 envisages that the Indian Automotive Industry will grow 3.5 - 4 times in value
from its current output of around ` 4,64,000 crore (circa 2015, which is one year before the
end of the Mission Plan period) to about ` 16,16,000 - 18,88,500 crore by 2026, based on a
base case with average GDP growth of 5.8% and an optimistic case with an average GDP
growth of 7.5% during the period. The following chart provides current and projected
composition of the industry over the next decade.
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2.Industry Scenario
2.1 Global Scenario
In the initial years, most of the manufacturing activities were concentrated in the USA
and in some of the European countries. Though, these countries still account for a
significant share in the production, more and more volume of production comes from
other parts of the world, like China, Japan and Korea. Around three-fourths of the global
production is being carried out in top 10 producing countries, in 2007. Of these, Japan,
USA and China, cumulatively constitute over 40% of global production[3]. The last
decade has experienced a growing level of motorization, as reflected by the production of
automobiles. According to OICA, Japan is the largest producer of cars in the world
followed by China, Germany, USA, South Korea and France. India ranks 9th in the
production of cars in the world ahead of UK, Canada, Russia and Mexico. USA is the
largest producer of commercial vehicles; close competitors in production of commercial
vehicles are China, Japan, Canada, Thailand and Mexico. India ranks 8th in the
production of commercial vehicles and is ahead of countries like Brazil, Germany, France
and Turkey
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3. Market Players and Market Share
The Indian auto-components industry can be broadly classified into the organised and
unorganised sectors. The organised sector caters to the Original Equipment
Manufacturers (OEMs) and consists of high-value precision instruments while the
unorganised sector comprises low-valued products and caters mostly to the aftermarket
category.
Over the last decade, the automotive components industry has scaled three times to US$
40 billion in 2015 while exports have grown even faster to US$ 11 billion. This has been
driven by strong growth in the domestic market and increasing globalisation (including
exports) of several Indian suppliers.
The Indian Auto Component industry is expected to grow by 8-10 per cent in FY 2017-
18, based on higher localisation by Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM), higher
component content per vehicle, and rising exports from India, as per ICRA Limited.
According to the Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA),
the Indian auto-components industry is expected to register a turnover of US$ 100 billion
by 2020 backed by strong exports ranging between US$ 80- US$ 100 billion by 2026,
from the current US$ 11.2 billion.
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5. Industry Analysis
5.1 PESTLE Analysis
PESTLE Analysis is a simple, useful and widely-used tool that helps you understand the
"big picture" of your Political, Economic, Socio-Cultural and Technological, Legal and
Environmental aspects. As such, it is used by business leaders worldwide to build their
vision of the future.
First, by making effective use of PESTLE Analysis, you ensure that what you are
doing is aligned positively with the powerful forces of change that are affecting our
world. By taking advantage of change, you are much more likely to be successful than
if your activities oppose it;
Second, good use of PESTLE Analysis helps you avoid taking action that is doomed
to failure from the outset, for reasons beyond your control; and
Third, PESTLE is useful when you start operating in a new country or region. Use of
PESTLE helps you break free of unconscious assumptions, and helps you quickly
adapt to the realities of the new environment.
5.1.1 PESTLE Analysis of Automobile Sector
5.1.1.1 Political
In 2002, the Indian government formulated an auto policy that aimed at promoting
integrated, phased, enduring and self-sustained growth of the Indian automotive
industry
Allows automatic approval for foreign equity investment up to 100% in the
automotive sector and does not lay down any minimum investment criteria.
Formulation of an appropriate auto fuel policy to ensure availability of adequate
amount of appropriate fuel to meet emission norms
Confirms the governments intention on harmonizing the regulatory standards with
the rest of the world
Indian government auto policy aimed at promoting an integrated, phased and
conductive growth of the Indian automobile industry.
Allowing automatic approval for foreign equity investment up to 100% with no
minimum investment criteria.
Establish an international hub for manufacturing small, affordable passenger cars as
well as tractor and two wheelers.
Ensure a balanced transition to open trade at minimal risk to the Indian economy and
local industry.
Lying emphasis on R&D activities carried out by companies in India by giving a
weighted tax deduction of up to 150% for in house research and R&D activities.
Plan to have a terminal life policy for CVs along with incentives for replacement for
such vehicles.
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Promoting multi-model transportation and the implementation of mass rapid transport
system.
5.1.1.2 Economic
The level of inflation Employment level per capita is right.
Economic pressures on the industry are causing automobile companies to reorganize
the traditional sales process.
Weighted tax deduction of up to 150% for in-house research and R & D activities.
Govt. has granted concessions, such as reduced interest rates for export financing.
The Indian economy has grown at 8.5% per annum.
The manufacturing sector has grown at 8-10 % per annum in the last few years.
More than 90% of the CV purchase is on credit.
Finance availability to CV buyers has grown in scope during the last few years.
The increased enforcement of overloading restrictions has also contributed to an
increase in the no. of CVs plying on Indian roads.
Several Indian firms have partnered with global players. While some have formed
joint ventures with equity participation, other also has entered into technology tie-
ups.
Establishment of India as a manufacturing hub, for mini, compact cars, OEMs and
for auto components.
5.1.1.3 Social
Since changed lifestyle of people, leads to increased purchase of automobiles, so
automobile sector have a large customer base to serve.
The average family size is 4, which makes it favorable to buy a four wheeler.
Growth in urbanization, 4th largest economy by ppp index.
Upward migration of household income levels.
85% of cars are financed in India.
Car priced below USD 12000 accounts for nearly 80% of the market.
Vehicles priced between USD 7000-12000 form the largest segment in the passenger
car market.
Indian customers are highly discerning, educated and well informed. They are price
sensitive and put a lot of emphasis on value for money.
Preference for small and compact cars. They are socially acceptable even amongst the
well off.
Preference for fuel efficient cars with low running costs.
5.1.1.4 Technological
More and more emphasis is being laid on R & D activities carried out by companies
in India.
Weighted tax deduction of up to 150% for in-house research and R & D activities.
The Government of India is promoting National Automotive Testing and R&D
Infrastructure Project (NATRIP) to support the growth of the auto industry in India
Technological solutions helps in integrating the supply chain, hence reduce losses and
increase profitability.
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Customized solutions (designer cars, etc) can be provided with the proliferation of
technology
Internet makes it easy to collect and analyse customer feedback With the entry of
global companies into the Indian market, advanced technologies, both in product and
production process have developed. With the development or evolution of alternate
fuels, hybrid cars have made entry into the market.
Few global companies have setup R &D centers in India.
Major global players like audi, BMW, Hyundai etc have setup their manufacturing
units in India.
5.1.1.5 Environmental
Physical infrastructure such as roads and bridges affect the use of automobiles. If
there is good availability of roads or the roads are smooth then it will affect the use of
automobiles.
Physical conditions like environmental situation affect the use of automobiles. If the
environment is pleasant then it will lead to more use of vehicles.
Technological solutions helps in integrating the supply chain, hence reduce losses and
increase profitability.
With the entry of global companies into the Indian market, advanced technologies,
both in product and production process have developed.
With the development or evolution of alternate fuels, hybrid cars have made entry into
the market.
Few global companies have setup R &D centers in India.
Major global players like audi, BMW, Hyundai etc have setup their manufacturing
units in India
5.1.2.6 Legal
Legal provision relating to environmental population by automobiles.
Legal provisions relating to safety measures.
Confirms the governments intention on harmonizing the regulatory standards with
the rest of the world
Indian government auto policy aimed at promoting an integrated, phased and
conductive growth of the Indian automobile industry.
Establish an international hub for manufacturing small, affordable passenger cars as
well as tractor and two wheelers.
Ensure a balanced transition to open trade at minimal risk to the Indian economy and
local industry.
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5.2 Porters Five Forces Analysis
Porters five forces outline in regard to the automotive industry in India outlines, new
entrant threats, customers/buyers bargaining power, threat of substitute products,
bargaining power held by suppliers and the level of rivalry among competitors. These five
forces largely influence how the industry performs and they can be outlined as follows:
5.2.1 New entrants threat
In majority of markets, the expertise and capital required to setup parts or auto
manufacturing facilities would be a huge entry barrier. What this means is that new
entrants would have a hard time setting up. However, this is not the case in India
given its incredible forecasts on growth, infrastructure progress as well as ever
increasing financing options. All these aspects make the industry attractive. This
translates to:
High capital requirement
High sunk costs that limit competition
Requirement of advanced technologies
Patent limit for new competition
Economies of scale
Need to brand names that are strong
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Low suppliers concentration
Critical inputs production
Critical volume to suppliers
5.3.1 Strengths
Large domestic market
Rise in the Export level
Low cost and cheap labour
Government incentives for manufacturing plants
Investment by foreign vehicle Manufacturer
5.3.2 Weaknesses
Low labour productivity
High interest costs and high overheads make the production uncompetitive
Various forms of taxes push up the cost of production
Low investment in Research and Development
Infrastructure bottleneck
5.3.3 Opportunities
5.3.4 Threats
Rising cost of Raw materials
Rising interest rates
Too much competition
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5.4 BCG Matrix
BCG matrix has two dimensions market share and market growth .The basic idea
behind it is: if a product has biggest market share, or if the products market grows
faster. It is better of the company.
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MARKET GROWTH EARNINGS CASH NEED STRATEGY
SHARE RATE
5.4.1 STAR:
The Company has long run opportunity for growth and profitability. They have high
relative market share and high Growth rate.
5.4.4 DOG:
The dogs have no market share and do not have potential to bring in much cash.
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5.5 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
The value chain is a systematic approach to examining the development of
competitive advantage. It was created by M. E. Porter in his book, Competitive
Advantage (1980).The chain consists of a series of activities that create and build
value. They culminate inthe total value delivered by an organization. The 'margin'
depicted in the diagram is the same as added value. The organization is split into
'primary activities' and 'support activities.'
Firm Infrastructure
Human resources
Tech. development
Procurement
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5.5.1 Primary activities:
5.5.1.2 Operations
This is where goods are manufactured or assembled.
Individual operations could include organizing the parts to make new cars & the
final tune for a new car's engine.
Industries are known for their reliability which comes from efficient operations.
For e.g. Toyotas JIT
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6 Key Issues and Trends
6.1 Industry Prospects
The Indian automobile market is estimated to become the third largest in the
world by 2016 and will account for more than 5 per cent of the global vehicle
sales. The auto components sector has been observing robust growth, and turnover
is anticipated to reach US$ 115 billion by FY21 from US$ 35.1 billion in FY14.
The Indian automobile industry has emerged as the 7th largest in the world.
According to the Society for Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), the
automobile industry has already invested Rs 70,000 crores in the past four years in
building new factories, adding fresh capacity and bringing out new products.
The auto components industry too is gearing up to compliment the vehicle
industrys growth. About $6 billion has been invested in the past 4 years
according to Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India
(ACMA). It is driven by a sustained increase in vehicle population and an
increasing preference towards higher-end vehicles with rising consumer
aspirations (Volvo registered 155% increased growth of its luxury segment in
2012).
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Customer experience will be a key factor to retain the existing ones and reach out
to the new ones. After-sales service is an important aspect which will help in
winning the loyalty of the consumer. Overall in- vehicle experience needs to be
upgraded for the consumer by deploying telematics, embedded software and
infotainment in a seamless and user-friendly manner.
According to me, in order to ensure long-term, sustainable growth, auto
companies will need to focus on adopting a three pronged strategy of - investing
in R&D for product development, extending presence to non-auto verticals, and
expanding geographical presence beyond the domestic boundaries. OEMs should
expand service and distribution networks, manufacturing facilities and improve
technological capabilities.
Future investments will need a strong public-private partnership, not only to build
infrastructure for growth but also to combat the counterfeit auto parts market.
A clear roadmap, training of man-power and appropriate regulations with clear
policies regarding safety & emission norms and fiscal policies are required for
longterm planning by the automotive industry. Steps to create an encouraging
environment will help in accelerating and sustaining growth and project India as
the global hub for the auto industry.
7 Future Outlook
Indian automotive industry to grow 3.5 to 4 times of the current value of USD 74 billion
to USD 260 billion to 300 billion.
By 2026, passenger vehicles likely to increase between 9.4 - 13.4 million units,
commercial vehicle between 2.0 - 3.9 million units, two wheeler to grow to 50.6 - 55.5
million, and tractors to 1.5 - 1.7 million units.
India to be among the top three automotive industries in the world.
Contribute over 12 percent to India's GDP.
Generate 65 million more jobs.
AMP aims to make Indian automotive industry to be the engine of 'Make in India'
initiative.
The industry will look to increase exports multifold to reach 35-40 percent of overall
output.
AMP envisages to implement End of Life Policy for automotive vehicles and
components.
BSV norms to be adopted by 2019 and BSVI norms to be implemented 2023 for
passenger vehicle.
Auto Component to grow to Rs 593,500 crore - Rs 732,000 crore.
The industry achieved the targets set in the previous mission document in terms of the
unit sales of passenger vehicle and commercial vehicle were met however, sales figures
of two wheeler was missed.
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8. Attractiveness
Over the next decade, the automotive industry at a global level is likely to see
significant transformation. Principal ones that are expected include the shift of growth
in demand for automobiles from developed nations to developing nations (mainly
BRICS); a dramatic increase in the share of electronics in automobiles making them a
computer on wheels; a relentless pursuit of economies of scale and scope in design
and engineering of automobiles and components, while also pursuing low cost
manufacturing destinations. AMP 2026 envisages that the government and industry
will work together to address all the key issues to take India to its rightful position in
the global auto industrys sweepstakes. AMP 2026 will help Indian Automotive
industry to focus on its strengths and improve its competitiveness in select segments,
achieve the annual production target of ` 1,616,000 cr to ` 1,889,500 cr in terms of its
size and establish its Right to Win on the global stage. By 2026, India could stand
first in the world in production/ sale of small cars, two- and three-wheelers, tractors
and buses, 3rd in passenger vehicles and heavy trucks, all adding up to 12 %
contribution to the national GDP.
9. CONCLUSION
Over the next decade, the automotive industry at a global level is likely to see significant
transformation. Principal ones that are expected include the shift of growth in demand for
automobiles from developed nations to developing nations (mainly BRICS); a dramatic
increase in the share of electronics in automobiles making them a computer on wheels; a
relentless pursuit of economies of scale and scope in design and engineering of
automobiles and components, while also pursuing low cost manufacturing destinations.
AMP 2026 envisages that the government and industry will work together to address all
the key issues to take India to its rightful position in the global auto industrys
sweepstakes. AMP 2026 will help Indian Automotive industry to focus on its strengths and
improve its competitiveness in select segments, achieve the annual production target of `
1,616,000 cr to ` 1,889,500 cr in terms of its size and establish its Right to Win on the
global stage. By 2026, India could stand first in the world in production/ sale of small cars,
two- and three-wheelers, tractors and buses, 3rd in passenger vehicles and heavy trucks, all
adding up to 12 % contribution to the national GDP.
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