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Us = Uf - (Uf/Dj).D
Us = Uf . e -D/Dm
Berdasarkan analisis dengan menggunakan tigas model matematis, yaitu model Greenshield, Greenberg dan Underwood
maka diperoleh model hubungan sebagaimana pada tabel berikut :
Greenshield
US - D US = 38.3864 -
V-D V= 38.3864 * D -
V - US V= 23.1104 * US -
Vmaks = 221.7817 smp/jam
Dmaks = 11.56 smp/km
Usmaks = 19.19 km/jam
Greenberg
US - D US = 16.1308 . Ln (
V-D V= 16.1308 . D . ln (
V - US V= 37.8898 . Us . e -Us /
40.00
Greenshield
35.00 f(x) = - 1.6610020146x + 38.3864464918 Linear
(Greenshiel
30.00 d)
25.00
20.00
15.00
f(x) = - 1.6610020146x + 38.3864464918
Kecepatan (km /
35.00 Linear
(Greenshiel
30.00 d)
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
Kepadatan (smp/jam)
Model Hubungan Volume vs Kepadatan (V - D)
400.00
350.00
Greenshiel
d
Volume (smp/jam)
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00
Kepadatan (smp/jam)
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
Gre
Kecepatan (km/jam) 50.00
Gre
40.00 Und
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00
Volume (smp/jam)
KESIMPULAN
1. Model hubungan antar perilaku karakteristik lalu lintas yang terbaik berdasarkan hasil evaluasi model adalah :
Untuk hubungan Us - D : Underwood dengan koefisien r =
US = 47.3261 . e -D /
Untuk hubungan V- D : Greenberg dengan koefisein r =
V= 16.1308 . D . ln (
Untuk hubungan V - Us : Greenberg dengan koefisein r =
V= 37.8898 . Us . e -Us /
2. Kecenderungan perilaku karakteristik jalan memperlihatkan kecepatan maksimum dengan besaran kecepatan
Volume puncak yaitu 224.8449 smp/jam
Underwood
MC 0.25
D (smp/km) Ln D Ln Us
8.99055 2.19617 3.17464
12.44875 2.52162 2.69704
8.16583 2.09996 3.22628
7.66894 2.03718 3.24310
7.12427 1.96351 3.28141
7.52325 2.01800 3.08476
7.71525 2.04320 3.13591
8.25921 2.11133 3.12989
8.06529 2.08757 3.26370
8.72646 2.16636 3.20735
7.90271 2.06721 3.23672
7.87004 2.06306 3.13599
8.31928 2.11858 3.21469
7.53640 2.01974 3.28821
8.39643 2.12781 3.20025
8.60309 2.15212 3.29859
8.71239 2.16475 3.30826
9.08343 2.20645 3.26655
12.17947 2.49975 2.91607
12.94831 2.56097 2.90736
11.34090 2.42842 2.85796
10.13573 2.31607 3.03098
9.05589 2.20342 3.17901
12.53509 2.52853 2.88868
/ 38.386446492 . Us2
. Us2
. D2
/ 4
-16.1307733564 ) = 16.130773356
. Ln Dj
16.1307733564 = 3.6346818182
/ D)
/D)
/ e
3.8570616168 atau Uf = 47.326084686 km/jam
-0.0793229154 = 12.606697503 smp/km
/ US)
/ e
Indikator Kesesuaian
rameter Model
R2 r
(Us - D)
302286315
55 x )
Greenshield
18 Linear
(Greenshiel
d)
18 Linear
(Greenshiel
d)
Greenshiel
d
ecepatan (V - Us)
Greenshield
Greenberg
Underwood
mp/jam)
50.00
f(x) = -16.1307733564 ln(x) + 58.6302286315
45.00 f(x) = 47.3260846863 exp( -0.0793229155 x )
Kecepatan (km/jam)
40.00
Gree
f(x) = - 1.6610020146x + 38.3864464918
35.00 Line
(Gre
30.00 d)
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.0
Kepadatan (smp/jam)
V V S V V S
Greenshield Greenberg Underwood
V-D V - Us Us - D V-D V - Us Us - D
210.86 208.34 23.20 208.62 205.73 23.19
220.46 210.35 17.95 223.51 224.08 17.63
202.70 200.16 24.76 202.16 200.26 24.76
196.70 196.97 25.77 197.62 198.33 25.76
189.17 188.63 26.96 192.05 193.69 26.90
194.78 217.49 26.08 196.19 213.61 26.06
197.29 213.01 25.67 198.06 209.38 25.66
203.74 213.64 24.57 202.95 209.91 24.58
201.55 192.68 24.96 201.28 195.88 24.96
208.49 203.43 23.69 206.69 202.34 23.69
199.62 198.21 25.28 199.82 199.07 25.28
199.22 213.01 25.35 199.52 209.37 25.35
204.39 202.21 24.46 203.46 201.55 24.46
194.96 186.99 26.05 196.32 192.83 26.03
205.21 204.58 24.31 204.09 203.10 24.31
207.31 184.39 23.91 205.74 191.49 23.92
208.36 181.85 23.71 206.58 190.22 23.71
211.63 192.05 23.04 209.27 195.53 23.02
221.13 221.47 18.31 222.97 222.70 18.01
218.56 221.31 17.32 224.26 222.97 16.94
221.71 219.90 19.46 220.67 224.16 19.25
218.43 220.38 21.27 215.59 217.31 21.18
211.41 207.74 23.09 209.08 205.29 23.07
220.19 220.88 17.84 223.66 223.49 17.51
8.6302286315
229155 x ) 350.00
Volume (smp/jam)
Greenshield 300.00
464918
Linear
(Greenshiel 250.00
d)
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
0 20.00 25.00 30.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30
Kepadatan (smp/jam)
Hubungan
V V Greenshield
Underwood Kepadatan vs Kecepatan
V-D V - Us D Greenshield Greenberg Underwood
208.53 205.77 8.99 23.45 23.20 23.19
219.47 216.96 12.45 17.71 17.95 17.63
202.21 200.28 8.17 24.82 24.76 24.76
197.54 198.25 7.67 25.65 25.77 25.76
191.61 193.13 7.12 26.55 26.96 26.90
196.04 212.85 7.52 25.89 26.08 26.06
198.00 209.19 7.72 25.57 25.67 25.66
203.01 209.67 8.26 24.67 24.57 24.58
201.31 195.58 8.07 24.99 24.96 24.96
206.69 202.42 8.73 23.89 23.69 23.69
199.82 199.03 7.90 25.26 25.28 25.28
199.51 209.18 7.87 25.31 25.35 25.35
203.51 201.61 8.32 24.57 24.46 24.46
196.17 192.15 7.54 25.87 26.05 26.03
204.15 203.19 8.40 24.44 24.31 24.31
205.77 190.62 8.60 24.10 23.91 23.92
206.59 189.14 8.71 23.92 23.71 23.71
209.14 195.20 9.08 23.30 23.04 23.02
219.36 219.09 12.18 18.16 18.31 18.01
219.41 219.20 12.95 16.88 17.32 16.94
218.30 219.49 11.34 19.55 19.46 19.25
214.68 215.76 10.14 21.55 21.27 21.18
208.96 205.35 9.06 23.34 23.09 23.07
219.48 219.37 12.54 17.57 17.84 17.51
n Volume vs Kepadatan (V - D)
Model Hubu
100.00
90.00
Greenshiel
d 80.00
70.00
60.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0.00
10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00
Kepadatan (smp/jam)
Volume vs Kepadatan Volume vs Kecepat
D Greenshield Greenberg Underwood Us
8.99 210.86 208.62 208.53 23.92
12.45 220.46 223.51 219.47 14.84
8.17 202.70 202.16 202.21 25.19
7.67 196.70 197.62 197.54 25.61
7.12 189.17 192.05 191.61 26.61
7.52 194.78 196.19 196.04 21.86
7.72 197.29 198.06 198.00 23.01
8.26 203.74 202.95 203.01 22.87
8.07 201.55 201.28 201.31 26.15
8.73 208.49 206.69 206.69 24.71
7.90 199.62 199.82 199.82 25.45
7.87 199.22 199.52 199.51 23.01
8.32 204.39 203.46 203.51 24.90
7.54 194.96 196.32 196.17 26.79
8.40 205.21 204.09 204.15 24.54
8.60 207.31 205.74 205.77 27.07
8.71 208.36 206.58 206.59 27.34
9.08 211.63 209.27 209.14 26.22
12.18 221.13 222.97 219.36 18.47
12.95 218.56 224.26 219.41 18.31
11.34 221.71 220.67 218.30 17.43
10.14 218.43 215.59 214.68 20.72
9.06 211.41 209.08 208.96 24.02
12.54 220.19 223.66 219.48 17.97
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
Greenshield
m/jam) 50.00
Greenberg
40.00 Underwood
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00
Volume (smp/jam)
Volume vs Kecepatan
Greenshield Greenberg Underwood
208.34 205.73 205.77
210.35 224.08 216.96
200.16 200.26 200.28
196.97 198.33 198.25
188.63 193.69 193.13
217.49 213.61 212.85
213.01 209.38 209.19
213.64 209.91 209.67
192.68 195.88 195.58
203.43 202.34 202.42
198.21 199.07 199.03
213.01 209.37 209.18
202.21 201.55 201.61
186.99 192.83 192.15
204.58 203.10 203.19
184.39 191.49 190.62
181.85 190.22 189.14
192.05 195.53 195.20
221.47 222.70 219.09
221.31 222.97 219.20
219.90 224.16 219.49
220.38 217.31 215.76
207.74 205.29 205.35
220.88 223.49 219.37
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.84663
R Square 0.716783
Adjusted R Square 0.703909
Standard Error 1.90734
Observations 24
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 202.5569 202.5569 55.6789 1.84E-007
Residual 22 80.03482 3.637947
Total 23 282.5917
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 38.38645 2.070996 18.53526 6.49E-015 34.09146 42.68143
X Variable 1 -1.661002 0.2226 -7.461829 1.84E-007 -2.122646 -1.199358
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.832604
R Square 0.69323
Adjusted R 0.679286
Standard Er1.985066
Observatio 24
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 195.901 195.901 49.7149 4.49E-007
Residual 22 86.69073 3.940488
Total 23 282.5917
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Intercept 58.63023 5.040038 11.63289 7.20E-011 48.17783 69.08263 48.17783
X Variable -16.13077 2.287768 -7.050879 4.49E-007 -20.87531 -11.38623 -20.87531
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.858051
R Square 0.736252
Adjusted R Square 0.724264
Standard Error 0.086731
Observations 24
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.46196 0.46196 61.41298 8.30E-008
Residual 22 0.165488 0.007522
Total 23 0.627448
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 3.857062 0.094172 40.95751 2.89E-022 3.66176 4.052363
X Variable 1 -0.079323 0.010122 -7.836643 8.30E-008 -0.100315 -0.058331