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Methodology About Mainstreet
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of With 20 years of political experience at all three
1,650 British Columbians from April 29 - May 1, levels of government, President and CEO Quito
2017 through Chimera IVR. Respondents were Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
screened to conrm voting eligibility. Landline and public aairs.
Cell lines were included. Responses were weighed
using demographic information to targets based Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
on the 2011 Census. Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
The margin of error for survey results is 2.41 government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Greater government in British Columbia and a majority
Vancouver specic results, the margin of error is Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For been the most accurate polling rm in several by
Vancouver Island specic results, the margin of elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
error is 4.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
For Rest of BC results, the margin of error is 4.64 the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. majority government in the 2015 federal election.
May 3, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds the BC Liberals making gains, but the
NDP continues to lead in the Lower Mainland. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/-
2.41 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Following the debate the Liberals have made up ground, primarily outside the lower mainland and
Vancouver Island said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. Our debate poll found higher
negatives for John Horgan in the interior and the north and now we are seeing the eects.
Despite the Liberals gaining, the NDP now nd themselves leading on Vancouver Island where they had
been trailing the Greens for weeks. John Horgan now has a higher favourability on Vancouver Island than
Green Leader Andrew Weaver.
Among all voters: 31% Liberal (+4), 35% NDP (-1), 17% Green (+1), 18% Undecided (-3)
Among Decided & Leaning Voters: 37% Liberal (+3), 42% NDP (-2), 21% Green (-1)
For the Greens there is good news and bad news. The bad news: their vote strength is falling with more
Green voters now saying they may change their minds. The good news: despite regional uctuations, the
Greens are still holding their own at 21%. Whether they can win new seats with these numbers will depend
on how concentrated their vote is and whether their local campaigns can punch above their weight.
As the race tightens, the NDP must defend their lead in the lower mainland if they are to have a chance at
forming government. The Greens continue to be a problem for them on Vancouver Island, and if the race
tightens up a few more points in the lower mainland, Liberal incumbents will once again be within reach of
re-election.
The backdrop to all this is voters still dont like Christy Clark. John Horgans negatives have risen faster
than his positives leaving him with a bare +1 net approval score. While voters have good impressions of
Andrew Weaver - not enough of them may vote for his party on election day in a concentrated enough
manner for a large number of new seats. It is an election of contradictions and today we cannot not predict
how this one ends, nished Maggi.
-30-
STRONG SUPPORTERS
Christy Clark
Favourable: 27 (+1)
Unfavourable: 58 (+2)
Not Sure: 12 (-5)
Not Familiar with: 3 (+2)
Its a striking number that underpins the risk for the NDP. On the other hand, 80% of
undecided voters just dont know who the better premier would be.
For the Greens, these numbers paint an interesting portrait of their supporters. 26%
are not sure who the better Premier would be and only 50% say it would be Andrew
Weaver. 7% of Green Voters say they are not familiar with whom Andrew Weaver is.
Andrew Weaver
Favourable: 37 (+9)
Unfavourable: 22 (+2)
Not Sure: 29 (-10)
Not Familiar with: 12 (-2)