Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Definition
ZEH 2
Costing Methods
A costing method is a method of costing which is
designed to suit the way goods are processed or
manufactured or the way that services are provided.
Each company or establishment will have a costing
method with unique features but there will be common
features of the costing systems of companies who are
broadly in the same line of business.
ZEH 3
Categories of Costing Methods
There are two broad categories of product costing
methods:
Specific Order Costing
Continuous Operation/Process Costing or Unit Costing
ZEH 4
Specific Order Costing
The basic cost accounting method applicable where work
consists of separately identifiable contracts, jobs or
batches.
Main sub-divisions are:
Job Costing
Contract Costing
Batch Costing
ZEH 5
Continuous Operation/Process Costing or Unit Costing
The costing method applicable where goods or services
result from a sequence of continuous or repetitive
operations or processes.
Costs are averaged over the units produced during the
period, being initially charged to the operation or process.
The main sub-divisions are:
Process costing including joint product and by-product
costing.
Service/function costing.
ZEH 6
Job Costing
A form of specific order costing in which costs are
attributed to individual jobs
The main pre-requisites for job costing are:
A sound system of production control
A comprehensive works documentary
An appropriate time booking system
A well organised basis to the costing system with
clearly defined cost centres, good labour analysis,
appropriate overhead absorption rates and a relevant
materials issue pricing system.
ZEH 7
Batch Costing
This is a form of costing which applies where a quantity
of identical articles are manufactured as a batch.
Generally the procedures for costing batches are similar
to costing jobs.
ZEH 8
Contract Costing
Contract costing has many similarities to job costing and
is usually applied to work which are:
Undertaken to customers special requirements
Relatively long duration
Site based, sometimes overseas
Frequently of constructional nature
Certain characteristics are common to most contract
costing systems:
Higher proportion of direct costs
Low indirect costs
Difficulties of cost control
Surplus material
ZEH 9
Continuous Process Costing
The costing method applicable where goods or services
result from a sequence of continuous or repetitive
operations or processes.
Costs are averaged over the units produced during the
period, being initially charged to the operation or process.
Operation costing is a generic term embracing a group of
costing methods of varying complexity.
ZEH 10
Output Costing
This is a costing method used where the organisation
produces one product only. The whole production process
is geared to the one product and frequently highly
mechanised.
ZEH 11
Service/Function Costing
Cost accounting for specific services or functions, e.g.,
canteens, maintenance, personnel.
These may be referred to as service centres, departments
or functions.
The services provided may be for sale, e.g., public
transport, hotel accommodation, restaurants, etc., or they
may be provided within the organisation e.g.,
maintenance, IT, Library, etc.
ZEH 12
Process Costing
Process costing is a form of operation costing used where
production follows a series of sequential processes.
It is used in variety of industries especially the chemical
and process industries.
ZEH 13
Process Costing
The common features of process costing systems are:
Clearly defined process cost centres and the
accumulation of all costs by the cost centres.
The maintenance of accurate records of units and part
units produced and the cost incurred by each process.
The averaging of the total costs of each process over the
total production of that process, including partly
completed units.
The charging of the cost of the output of one process as
the raw materials input cost of the following process.
Clearly defined procedures for separate costs where the
process produces two or more products (joint products)
or where by-products arise during production.
ZEH 14
Joint Product and By-Product Costing
A joint product is the term used when two or more
products arise simultaneously in the course of processing,
each of which has a significant sales value in relation to
each other.
A by-product is a product which arises incidentally in the
production of the main product(s) and which has a
relatively small sales value compared with the main
product(s).
ZEH 15
Joint Product and By-Product Costing
The various products become identifiable at a point
known as the split-off point.
Up to that stage all costs are joint costs, subsequent to the
split-off point any costs incurred can be identified with
specific products and they are known as subsequent or
additional processing costs.
ZEH 16
Joint Costs Subsequent Costs
Subsequent
processes
incurring Product A
material +
labour +
overhead
costs
Joint
Transferred processes
units + costs incurring Split- Product B
from material + off Ditto
previous labour + point
processes overhead
costs
Product C
Ditto
ZEH 17
Unit Costs in the Public Sector
In public sector there is rarely a profit figure to provide a
measure of performance so most financial measures of
performance tend to be cost-based
Unit costs are mainly used as:
Indicators of relative efficiency
Measures of efficiency over time
An aid to cost control
The main limitations of unit costs are:
Quality of performance is ignored
The throughput mix is likely to differ
Throughputs are used rather than outcomes
There are significant inter-regional and inter-authority
ZEH
differences. 18
Unit Costs in the Public Sector
The main limitations of unit costs are:
Quality of performance is ignored
The throughput mix is likely to differ
Throughputs are used rather than outcomes
There are significant inter-regional and inter-authority
differences
ZEH 19
Capital Cost Estimation
in the
Process Industry
Sources for Information
There are very good sources such as:
Gerrard, Guide to Capital Cost Estimating, 2000
Turton et al, Analysis, Synthesis, and Design of
Chemical Processes), Prentice-Hall, 2002 (Appendix A
is particularly useful)
Sinnott, Chemical Engineering Volume 6, 2005
Towler and Sinnott, Chemical Engineering Design, 2012
Peters and Timmerhaus, Plant Design and Economics for
Chemical Engineering, 2003.
Page, Conceptual Cost Estimating Manual, 1996
Navarrete, Pablo F., Planning, estimating, and control of
chemical construction projects, Marcel Dekker, 2001
ZEH 21
Note on Costing Chem Eng Design Study
You are expected to provide evidence when doing the
costing for the project that you did additional work and
you went beyond what is discussed in these lectures.
The list of references provided on the previous slide
could provide you with a starting point.
ZEH 22
Capital Costs
ZEH 23
Capital Costs:What Is Included?
24
Capital Costs: What Is Included?
25
Capital Costs: What Is Included?
26
Capital Costs: What Is Included?
27
Purchased Equipment
All equipment listed on a complete flow sheet
Spare parts and non installed equipment spares
Surplus equipment, supplies, and equipment allowance
Inflation cost allowance
Freight charges
Taxes, insurance, duties
Allowance for modifications during startup
ZEH 28
Purchased-Equipment Installation
Installation of all equipment listed on complete flow
sheet
Structural supports, insulation, paint
ZEH 29
Instrumentation and Controls
ZEH 30
Piping
Process piping, carbon steel, alloy, cast iron, lead, lined,
aluminum, copper, ceramic, plastic, rubber, reinforced
concrete
Pipe hangers, fittings, valves
Insulation, piping, equipment
ZEH 31
Electrical Equipment and Materials
Electrical equipment, switches, motors, conduit, wire,
fittings, feeders, grounding, instrument and control
wiring, lighting, panels
Electrical materials and labor
ZEH 32
Buildings (including services)
Process buildings, substructures, superstructures,
platforms, supports, stairways, ladders, access ways,
cranes, monorails, hoists, elevators
Auxiliary buildings, administration and office, medical or
dispensary, cafeteria, garage, product warehouse, parts
warehouse, guard and safety, fire station, change house,
personnel building, shipping office and platform, research
laboratory, control laboratory
Maintenance shops, electric, piping, sheet metal,
machine, welding, carpentry, instrument Building
services, plumbing, heating, ventilation, dust collection,
air conditioning, building lighting, elevators, escalators,
telephones, intercommunication systems, painting,
sprinkler systems, fire alarm
ZEH 33
Yard Improvements
Site developmentsite clearing, grading, roads,
walkways, railroads, fences, parking areas, wharves and
piers, recreational facilities, landscaping
ZEH
Service Facilities - Utilities
Steam
Water
Power
Refrigeration
Compressed air
Fuel
Waste disposal facilities
Boiler plant incinerator
Wells
ZEH 35
Service Facilities - Utilities
River intake
Water treatment
Cooling towers
Water storage
Electric substation
Air plant
Fuel storage
Waste disposal plant
Environmental controls
Fire protection
ZEH 36
Service Facilities - Others
Non-process equipment
Office furniture and equipment
Cafeteria equipment
Safety and medical equipment
Shop equipment
Automotive equipment
Yard material-handling equipment
Laboratory equipment
Locker-room equipment
Garage equipment
Shelves
ZEH 37
Service Facilities - Others
Bins
Pallets
Hand trucks
Housekeeping equipment
Fire extinguishers, hoses, fire engines
Loading stations.
Distribution and packaging
Raw-material and product storage and handling
equipment
Product packaging equipment
Blending facilities
ZEH 38
Land Surveys and fees
Property cost
ZEH 39
Engineering and supervision
Engineering costs, administrative, process, design and
general engineering, drafting, cost engineering,
procuring, expediting, reproduction, communications,
scale models, consultant fees, travel
Engineering supervision and inspection
ZEH 40
Construction Expenses
Construction, operation and maintenance of temporary
facilities, offices, roads, parking lots, railroads, electrical,
piping, communications, fencing
Construction tools and equipment
Construction supervision, accounting, timekeeping,
purchasing, expediting
Warehouse personnel and expense, guards
Safety, medical, fringe benefits
Permits, field tests, special licenses
Taxes, insurance, interest
ZEH 41
Contractors Fees
This depends on the type of plant/pressure and variety of
other factors.
ZEH 42
Contingencies
Covers costs added by unforeseen circumstances and
delays such as costs of natural phenomena (storms, heavy
wind, heavy snow), personnel (strikes, illness, etc.),
changes in design, additional equipment, unexpected
price increases, etc.
ZEH 43
Working Capital
Depends on the type of process and varies from 10% to
50% of total capital investment.
Usually covers a month cost of:
Raw materials and supplies carried in stock
Finished products in stock and semi-finished products
in the process of being manufactured.
Accounts receivable
Cash kept on hand for monthly payment of operating
expenses, such as salaries, wages, and raw-material
purchases
Accounts payable
Taxes payable
ZEH 44
Direct Fixed Capital: Typical Ratios
Component Range (%)
Purchased equipment 15-40
Purchased-equipment installation 6-14
Instrumentation and controls 2-8
(installed)
Piping (installed) 3-20
Electrical (installed) 2-10
Buildings (including services) 3-18
Yard improvements 2-5
Service facilities (installed) 8-20
Land 1-2 45
Indirect Fixed Capital: Typical Ratios
Contingency 5-15
46
Types of Capital Cost Estimates
Order of Magnitude Estimate
Study Estimate
Preliminary Estimate
Definitive Estimate
Detailed Estimate
ZEH 47
Order of Magnitude Estimate
(Ratio estimate or Ballpark estimate)
A very crude type of estimate that utilises data from a
similar process, but not necessary of the same scale.
The estimate may be obtained without the necessity of
developing the process flowsheet.
If no similar process is available then an outline
flowsheet is needed (normally a basic block diagram).
Little efforts and cost are involved in preparing such an
estimate.
Step counting methods of cost estimation may be used to
obtain a preliminary estimate.
Accuracy 30% to 50% (40% - 100% according to
AACE)
ZEH 48
Study Estimate
(Evaluation estimate or Pre-design estimate)
Requires the development of the preliminary flowsheets
and the capacity/duty of major plant items.
Order of magnitude techniques are used to estimate the
cost of the individual or groups of major plant items.
Incorporates other items such as electrical, piping, and
building works.
More efforts are required to produce the estimate.
Depending on the nature and size of the project, the cost
of the study estimate may vary between 0.1 and 0.2 of
the total project cost.
ZEH 49
Study Estimate
(Evaluation estimate or Pre-design estimate)
Accuracy 20% to 30% (30% - 50% according to
AACE)
A re-evaluation of the project will take place at this stage
and decisions to continue or abandon the venture will be
taken.
Needs a PFD
Costs are normally obtained from generalised curves or
correlations.
Most individual student design studies fall in this
category.
ZEH 50
Preliminary Design (or Scope) Estimate
(Sanction, Funding, or Authorization Estimate)
An estimate carried out after initial work by engineers
that present information about preliminary mass and
energy balances, piping and instrument diagrams,
equipment lists and material specifications, duty rating
and sizing of all major process equipment (and some
instrumentation and control devices).
Factors are used to estimate several items such as pipe
work, insulation, electrical and instrumentation, etc.
Most large group student design studies fall in this
category.
ZEH 51
Definitive Estimate (Control Estimate)
Following authorisation to proceed after a preliminary
estimate, further refinement of the design and better
estimates are made after talking to vendors and obtaining
more accurate estimates.
A key cost control document used by the project manager
to monitor all future expenditure against the authorised
funds.
Uses the final PFD and preliminary P&ID.
ZEH 52
Detailed Estimate
(Tender/Contractors Final Cost Estimate)
Prepared after considerable engineering work.
Uses detailed design information, plant layout, piping,
electrics, vendors quotations, etc.
Very expensive
Vendors quotes for all expensive items are obtained.
Plant ready to go to the construction stage.
All diagrams are required to complete the construction of
the plant.
ZEH 53
Types of Estimates
Type Level of Project Typical Purpose of
Definition Estimate
Order of
0-2% Screening or feasibility
Magnitude
Concept Study or
Study Estimate 1-15%
feasibility
Preliminary Budget, authorization, or
10-40%
Estimate control
Definitive
30-70% Control or bid/tender
Estimate
Detailed Check estimate or
50-100%
Estimate bid/tender
54
Types of Estimates
Type Accuracy Cost (% of Project)
Detailed Estimate 2 to 5 % 5 10 %
55
Sources for Cost Data
Suppliers Detailed Quotations
Suppliers Budget Quotation
Company Records
Trade literature
Unit Pricing Literature (Equations, Correlations, etc.)
Technical Literature and Textbooks
Personal cost Books
Government Departments
Computer Packages (Costing)
Specialised Data Sources (e.g Process Engineering)
Online from technical web sites
ZEH 56
Format of Cost Data
Tables
Graphs
Individual quotes
etc
ZEH 57
Vessels (Distillation and Absorbers)
Base Year (1990)
ZEH 58
Mixers
ZEH 59
Large Tanks
ZEH 60
Shell and Tube Heat Exchangers (Gerrard)
ZEH 61
Shell and Tube Heat Exchangers (Turton)
ZEH 62
Compressors
ZEH 63
Stainless Steel Pressure Vessel
ZEH 64
Columns
ZEH 65
Sieve Trays
ZEH 66
High Pressure Reactor
ZEH 67
Cost Indices
Most cost data which are available for immediate use in a
preliminary or pre-design estimate are historical.
As prices may change considerably with time due to
changes in economic conditions, a method must be used
for updating historic cost data to use at a different time.
Adjustments can be done by the use of cost indices.
A cost index is merely an index value for a given point in
time showing the cost at that time relative to a certain
base time.
If the cost at some time in the past is known, the
equivalent cost at the present time can be determined by
multiplying the original cost by the ratio of the present
index value to the index value applicable when the
original cost was obtained.
ZEH 68
Cost Indices
C Present Cost
Cr Reference cost
I Present Cost index
Ir Reference Cost Index
ZEH 69
Cost Indices
Cost indexes can be used to give a general estimate, but
no index can take into account all factors, such as special
technological advancements or local conditions.
The common indexes permit fairly accurate estimates if
the time period involved is less than 10 years.
Many different types of cost indexes are published
regularly.
Some of these can be used for estimating equipment
costs; others apply specifically to labour, construction,
materials, or other specialized fields.
ZEH 70
Cost Indices: Components of a Cost Index
Most published indices are multi-component indices
consisting of about 4 to 6 main cost categories such as:
Equipment Cost
Mechanical Engineering
Electrical Engineering
Civil Engineering
Site Engineering
Overheads
The Weighing of the different components follows the
known historic trends
Some cost indices concentrate on a typical industry,
service, or equipment
Understanding the components of a certain cost index is a
pre-requisite for accurate estimates.
ZEH 71
Example of the Components of a Cost Index
The table below shows the basis for the Chemical
Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI)
Weighting of
Components of the Index
Component (%)
Equipment, Machinery and Supports 61
Erection and Installation Labour 22
Buildings, Materials and Labour 7
Engineering and Supervision 10
Total 100
ZEH 72
Example of the Components of a Cost Index
The details for Equipment, Machinery and Supports (61%
of the total) are:
Fabricated equipment 37
Process machinery 14
Pipes, valves and fittings 20
Process instruments and controls 7
Pumps and compressors 7
Electrical equipment and materials 5
Structural supports, insulation and paint 10
Total 100
ZEH 73
Cost Indices - UK
The Association of cost Engineers:
Published in The Cost Engineer
The weighing for the components is as follows:
Mech & Elec Material & Equipment 50%
Erection Labour 25%
Eng Design & Administration 15%
Civil & Building Materials 5%
Civil Labour 5%
ZEH 74
Cost Indices - UK
The PREDICT Plant Cost index is published monthly in
Process Engineering
Weighing for the components is as follows:
Mechanical 37%
Project Overheads 26%
Site Engineering 19%
Civil 5%
Electrical 8%
ZEH 75
Cost Indices - US
The most common of these indexes are:
The Marshall and Swift all-industry and process-
industry equipment indices
The Engineering News-Record construction index.
The Nelson -Farrar refinery construction index.
The Chemical Engineering plant cost index.
ZEH 76
Cost Indices - Other Countries
Cost engineers in different countries normally develop
indices that take into account the local conditions.
Germany:
Kolb and Schulz Index
Canada:
Chemical and Mineral Plant Price Index
Chemical and Petrochemical Plant Price Index
ZEH 77
Currency Translation
When data sources or contract location- are different
from your home country, currency translation is used in
addition to cost indices.
When the inflationary trends are similar in both countries,
the order in which currency translation and cost index are
applied does not matter.
When inflationary trends are different, the cost index
must be applied first in order to remove the inflationary
effect from the calculations
ZEH 78
Location Factors
Location factors relate costs of similar plants in two
different locations.
They reflect differences in wages and other costs.
Care should be taken when using location factors.
ZEH 79
Methods of Capital Costing
Power Law or Exponential Estimate
Step Counting
Factorial
Detailed
ZEH 80
Power Law - Exponential Estimating
Permits cost estimates to be made rapidly by
extrapolating cost data from one scale to another.
The total cost of a proposed plant can be derived from
historical cost data by using:
The total cost of a similar reference plant;
A comparatively simple breakdown of the costs of a
similar plant;
Costs for parts of the related plants that can be
assembled to represent the proposed plant.
ZEH 81
Power Law - Exponential Estimating
ZEH 83
Step Count Estimating
This approach is based on establishing a model which
relates basic process parameters, such as capacity or
throughput, temperature, pressure and materials of
construction, to total erected cost and taking into account
either the number of main plant items or the number of
functional units involved.
ZEH 84
Step Count Estimating: Main Plant Items Basis
The original equation was derived by G T Wilson in
1971and it was of the form:
C = f N (AUC) FM FP FT
An adjusted UK version for 2000 is given by:
C2000 = 20.75 f N (AUC) FM FP FT
C : Capital cost of plant, , in 1971
f : Investment factor (Lang factor) depends on dominant
phase and AUC and is obtained graphically.
N : Number of all main plant items except pumps
AUC : Average unit cost of main plant items = 21V0.675 (where V
is the average capacity in the original work, but works
well when plant output, tons per year, is used)
ZEH 85
Step Count Estimating: Main Plant Items Basis
FM Factor for materials of construction. Ranges from
1.0 for mild steel to 2.0 for titanium. A weighted
mean value may be used
FP Factor for design pressure, which is applicable
only outside the range 1-7 bar, and is obtained
graphically.
FT Factor for design temperature outside the range 0-
100C and is obtained graphically.
86
Step Count Estimating: Investment Factors
ZEH 87
Step Count Estimating: Materials of Construction Factors
ZEH 88
Pressure Factor
ZEH 89
Temperature Factor
ZEH 90
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
A functional unit is a significant step in a chemical
process which includes all equipment fully installed and
ready for that step to operate.
As illustration, consider the flowsheet for the production
of acetic anhydride
ZEH 91
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
ZEH 92
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
ZEH 93
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
A functional unit is a significant step in a process and
includes all equipment and ancillaries necessary for
operation of that unit.
Thus, the sum of the costs of all functional units in a
process gives the total capital cost.
Generally, a functional unit may be characterized as a
unit operation, unit process, or separation method that has
energy transfer, moving parts and/or a high level of
internals
Pumping and heat exchange are ignored as they are
considered as part of a functional unit unless substantial
special loads such as refrigeration are involved.
ZEH 94
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
Storage in process is ignored, unless mechanical
handling is involved that is, for solids - as the cost of
storage is relatively low and tends to be a constant
function of the process.
Large storages of raw materials, intermediates or
products are usually treated separately from the process
in the estimate.
Multi-stream operation is taken as one unit.
Simple mechanical separation where there are no
moving parts is ignored - that is, cyclone, gravity settler -
as the cost is usually relatively insignificant.
ZEH 95
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
The principle of the step count functional unit estimating
method is that the average cost of a functional unit in a
process is a function of various process parameters:
Capital cost per functional unit =f(Q,T,P,M)
where:
Q: capacity or throughput
T: temperature
P: pressure
M: material of construction
ZEH 96
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
Although there may be major differences between
different units, for example, a distillation unit and a
compressor, these differences are averaged out over the
process as a whole.
The advantages and justification for the approach are:
with the information available at this stage of
estimating, there is no indication of relative costs of
different items;
the costs of the items in any case are immaterial as it is
the overall capital cost being estimated;
justification may be claimed on grounds of
equi-probability;
it appears to work for the preparation of order-of-
magnitude estimates.
ZEH 97
Zevnik and Buchanans Method
A method used for Gas Phase Processes
One of the earliest applications of the functional unit
method of capital cost estimation
The method is essentially a graphical technique for
obtaining the cost of one functional unit based on plant
capacity, maximum pressure, maximum temperature and
materials of construction.
The cost per functional unit (CPF) is then multiplied by
the number of functional units, a utilities factor of 1.33
and a cost index based on the Engineering News Record
(ENR) construction cost index.
ZEH 98
Zevnik and Buchanans Method
The CPF is read from a graph of CPF versus plant
capacity for a range of complexity factors (CF) calculated
from the following expression:
FT: temperature factor, read from a graph of F1 versus
maximum (or minimum) process temperature;
FP: pressure factor, read from a graph of Fp versus
maximum (or minimum) process pressure;
FM: materials of construction factor read from a table of
factors from 0 for mild steel and wood to 0.4 for
precious metals.
ZEH 99
Zevnik and Buchanans Method
The overall procedure can be expressed as a series of
equations depending on plant capacity, temperature,
pressure, and number of functional units.
The original work has been updated to 2000 with an
adjusted ENR construction cost index.
While this index is inappropriate for process plant,
comprising costs of steel, cement and building
construction labour, it was used in the original work, so it
is retained here.
ZEH 100
Zevnik and Buchanans (2000)
For plant capacity above 10 million lb/year (4536
tons/y) and temperature and pressure above ambient:
ZEH 101
Zevnik and Buchanans (2000)
where:
C: capital cost in UK 2000, battery limits
N: number of functional units
Q: plant capacity (t/y)
Pmax: maximum process pressure (atms)
Tmax: maximum process temperature (K)
Fm: materials of construction factor:
0 for mild steel and wood
0.1 for aluminium, brass, lower grade stainless steel
0.2 for monel, nickel, higher grade stainless steel
0.3 for hastelloy
0.4 for precious metals
ZEH 102
Zevnik and Buchanans (2000)
For subambient temperatures, the temperature factor
becomes (0.57-1.9x10-2Tmin) in place of
(1.8x10-4(Tmax-300))
ZEH 103
Timms Method (2000)
Applicable to Gas phase processes only
Simplified equation:
ZEH 104
Timms Method (2000)
where:
C: Capital cost in UK 2000, battery limits
N: Number of functional units
Q: Plant capacity (t/y)
Pmax: Maximum process pressure (bars)
Tmax: Maximum process temperature (K)
Fm: Materials of construction factor:
1.0 for carbon steel
1.15 for low grade stainless steel
1.2 for medium grade stainless steel
1.3 for high grade stainless steel
ZEH 105
Bridgewaters (2000)
Applicable to processes with predominantly liquid
and/or solid handling phases.
Plant capacities above 60,000 tons/y
ZEH 106
Bridgewaters (2000)
where:
C: Capital cost in UK 2000, battery limits
N: Number of functional units
Q: Plant capacity (t/y)
s: Reactor conversion
ZEH 107
Step Count Estimating: Functional Unit Basis
The principle that capital cost is a function of a number of
steps and basic process parameters, particularly capacity
or throughput, can be applied to any special situation to
derive a model for that industry or group of processes.
ZEH 108
Factorial Estimating
Factorial methods can be used to produce study and
preliminary estimates earlier and at far less expense than
that incurred for definitive and detailed estimates.
The methods are based on a historical knowledge of the
relative cost of the various purchases and activities that
are necessary to build a plant.
The total capital employed (TCE) can be broken down
into various categories of expenditure and related to
purchased equipment cost - the MPI cost.
The percentages are given in tabulated form for typical
chemical plant installed as an addition to the production
of existing products on existing sites.
In general, they will depend on several factors, including
process type and plant location.
ZEH 109
Factorial Estimating
For example, the total erected cost for similar plants on
undeveloped sites might be twice the numbers indicated.
It is important to know the scope of a quoted capital cost
- that is, does it represent total direct plant cost, total
capital employed or some intermediate figure?
All factorial methods start by listing and sizing the main
plant items then their purchased cost is then obtained and
multiplied by installation factors to give a total erected
cost.
It is obvious that there must be a clear definition of what
constitutes a main plant item and in what state it is
assumed to be purchased such as complete or incomplete,
delivered or awaiting transportation.
ZEH 110
Factorial Estimating
Main plant items are usually defined as all the vessels,
columns, other fabricated equipment, heat exchangers
and machinery that are needed for the project.
They are usually costed as if delivered to the site and all
the other costs that are necessary to convert them to a
working plant must be accounted for by the installation
factors.
There are two main sources of error:
incomplete listing or incorrect costing of the main plant
items;
incorrect installation factors.
ZEH 111
Factorial Estimating: The Lang Factor Method
In this application, the main plant items are listed, sized,
costed and summed to obtain the total main plant item
cost (MPIC); the total installed cost C is then given by:
C=L( MPIC)
Or
C= ( MPIC)+(L-1) ( MPIC)
That is,
Total cost=equipment cost + installation cost
If the main plant items have been estimated correctly,
their costs will take account of their scale; for early
estimates, the exponential methods described earlier
could be used.
ZEH 112
Factorial Estimating: The Lang Factor Method
Installation costs are also a function of scale but not
necessarily to the same exponent as main plant item costs.
If they were both to the same exponent, L would be
constant for a specific type of plant.
When costing a proposed plant, using data from very
similar plant, accuracy may be improved by noting that L
is inversely proportional to the tenth root of scale
(approximately), L 1/Q0.1.
Lang factors can be used as derived from tabulated data
or from historical cost data.
The approach is quite reliable if data is available for a
plant that is very similar to the proposed plant.
ZEH 113
Factorial Estimating: The Lang Factor Method
It is necessary to know the basis of the historical cost for
example, is it an achieved cost or an estimate, battery
limits or green-field?
Lang factors, L, varies from about 2 to 10 depending on
the process, scale, materials of construction and location.
For UK projects, L varies from about 2.5 to about 5.5 and
is typically 4.0, although much depends on whether the
plant is solids, solids/fluids or fluids processing.
It should be noted that transportation and management
costs can be a high proportion of total cost for overseas
locations in the developing world, so Lang factors will be
greater in these cases.
ZEH 114
The Lang Factor Method: Different Factors
The installation factors for different main plant items
(MPI) are not identical, so an improvement in accuracy
could be obtained by applying individual installation
factors F to individual MPIs - that is, the erected cost of
one main plant item c is given by:
c=F(MPIC)=(MPIC)+(F-1)(MPIC)
what is called the modular approach
The installed cost of all the MPIs is then given by:
C=c
A variety of engineering activities are necessary to install
a specific MIPI and they can be assessed separately.
ZEH 115
The Lang Factor Method: Installation Sub-Factors
For an item made of carbon steel:
F = 1 + ferection + fpiping + finstruments + felectrical + fcivil +
fstructures and buildings + flagging
and the total installed cost (c) of this carbon steel MPI is
given by:
c = (MPIC) (F)
c = (MPIC) [1+fer + fp + fi + fel + fc + fsb + fl]
It is important to consider the effect of type materials
used as well as pressure and temperature effects.
It is necessary to clearly identify the scope of the factor
used: Use of a fancy material for a reactor and associated
piping does not necessarily mean all other equipment
must be made of exquisite material.
ZEH 116
Detailed Estimating
Detailed estimates are usually required to enable a
contractor to make a firm commitment to the client and
for a company to give approval to a project. Therefore,
they have to be carried out to a greater accuracy than that
required in other types or methods of estimates.
As pointed out earlier, a considerable amount of
engineering design work is necessary to prepare this type
of estimate and very significant costs can be incurred in
the preparation of the required information.
The plan, topography and soil-bearing properties of the
site must be established and a plot plan developed to
show the size and location of buildings, structures, roads,
railways, main service runs, drains and fences.
ZEH 117
Detailed Estimating
Drawings are also prepared to show architectural and
construction details of buildings and structures.
Flow sheets and heat balances must be developed fully,
utilities specified and decisions made as to how they will
be provided.
Piping and instrumentation drawings are made to
illustrate the proposed control philosophies.
Engineering specifications are required for all standard
equipment items and detailed drawings must be made for
any special items.
Arrangement drawings are required to show the location
of equipment within buildings or structures and also in
relation to other equipment.
ZEH 118
Detailed Estimating
Pipe sizes, materials of construction and jointing are
specified, pipe runs worked out and arrangement
drawings prepared.
Specifications are made for all instruments, electric
drives, substations and so on, and drawings produced to
show their general arrangement and individual runs.
Lagging such as insulation and painting specifications is
also prepared.
Material take-offs are carried out for electrics,
instrumentation, piping and valves, structures, insulation
and paint, and all will be individually priced.
ZEH 119
Detailed Estimating
Bills of quantities are prepared for civil work,
foundations and buildings and sent to suitable sub-
contractors for competitive bids.
Construction in the field, which represents a significant
proportion of the total installed cost, is considered in
detail.
Whenever possible, quantities, equipment, weights and
locations, heavy lifts and site fabrication necessary are
defined to allow construction specialists to be invited to
bid on a sub-contractor basis.
When all of the cost data has been coordinated an
estimate may be summarize.
ZEH 120