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Judges' Subjects'
score score z or t resulting from judgments
P r e c o g n i t i o n : D r e a m s m o n i t o r e d and r e c o r d e d t h r o u g h o u t night; t a r g e t e x p e r i e n c e n e x t d a y
C l a i r v o y a n c e : D r e a m s m o n i t o r e d a n d r e c o r d e d t h r o u g h o u t night; c o n c e a l e d t a r g e t k n o w n t o no o n e
GESP: Single d r e a m s
Note. GESP = general extrasensory perception. Italics identify results obtained with procedures that preserve independence of judgments in a series.
For some series, the published source does not use the uniform measures entered in this table, and mimeographed laboratory reports were also
consulted. Superscipts indicate which measure was available, in order of priority.
a Ratings. b Rankings. c Score (count of hits and misses).
plan to merge the outcomes for judges and subjects. sonably be ascribed to chance. There is some system-
Moreover, the various series could be split up in other a t i c - - t h a t is, n o n r a n d o m - - s o u r c e of anomalous re-
ways. Although I think my organization of the table semblance of dreams to target.
is very reasonable (and I did not notice this outcome Despite its breadth, this "hitting" tendency seems
until after the table was constructed), it is not the to vary greatly in strength. The data on single
organization selected by Ullman et al. (1973); their d r e a m s - - L i n e O--suggest no consistency. At the
table, if evaluated statistically in this same way, would other extreme, some separate lines of the table look
not yield so striking a result. What is clear is that the impressive. I will next consider how we may legiti-
tendency toward hits rather than misses cannot rea- mately evaluate the relative statistical significance of
three assumptions about reality have However, none of these earlier experiments ultimate questions about our existence.
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formed the basis for the current scientific was a rigorous test of Einstein separability With the emphasis on measurement,
paradigm. The results of the Aspect ex- (i.e., that no signal can propagate faster the world is reduced to quantities and the
periment (as well as the Maimonides re- than the speed of light), because the set- relationships between them. There is a
search) seem to call for a reevaluation of tings of the polarizing and detecting in- fundamental belief that the quantitative
some of these above-mentioned assump- struments were determined well in ad- description of things is paramount and
tions. vance, and a possible argument could be even complete in itself. It is as if we have
Local realistic theories of physical made that the setting of one of the instru- given measurement ontological signifi-
reality place a limit on the extent to which ments might conceivably affect events ob- cance and confused quantification with
distant events can be correlated, whereas served at the other (this influence would explanation. Despite their utility, and even
quantum mechanics allows this limit to not have had to propagate faster than necessity in most scientific endeavors, op-
be exceeded. Those physicists who felt light), or the settings of the instruments erational definitions lack any kind of ul-
uncomfortable with the paradoxes that could have modified hidden parameters at timate meaning and therefore are not sat-
abound in the predictions of quantum the source of the photon pairs. isfactory for achieving a final understand-
mechanics, such as the seeming connec- The major improvement in the As- ing of the world. Because they are so much
tion of particles at a distance, felt that these pect et al. experiment involved adding a part of our ordering schema of reality,
relationships would be explained by some rapid switching devices that changed the we forget the arbitrariness of our units of
as-yet-undiscovered supplementary pa- settings of the instruments while the pho- division and measurement, including even
rameters o r "hidden variables" that rep- tons were in flight. Each polarizer was re- the most basic units of extention and du-
resent the actual underlying reality--the placed by a setup involving a switching ration. There is a culture whose basic
fundamental clockwork--below the un- device followed by two polarizers with dif- temporal unit is the time it takes a pot of
real world of the quantum. ferent orientations. The two switches were rice to boil. Our units of nanoseconds are
The Aspect et al. (1982) experiment driven at different frequencies, making certainly more sophisticated and accurate
was designed to test directly the predic- them function in an uncorrelated way. but no less arbitrary. These divisions (such
tions of "hidden variable" theories versus Switching occurred about each 10 nano- as seconds and centimeters) are not a part
the predictions of quantum mechanics re- seconds, compared to the photon transit of objective reality but are part of the cog-
garding the behavior of photons scattered time of about 20 nanoseconds. It was thus nitive framework that we have created in
in opposite directions from a source. impossible for any information about the order to organize that reality.
Streams of photon pairs scattered in op- experimental setup to travel from one part Quantum paradoxes point to the
posite directions from the same source of the apparatus to the other and affect the limitations of logic and measurement for
were passed through polarizers whose set- outcome of any measurement unless such even the understanding of basic levels of
tings were varied randomly and observed an influence was exceeding the speed of physical reality. Logical absolutes (e.g.,
by two detectors that measured the polar- light. something cannot be both A and not-A
ization of the split pairs. According to The results of the Aspect et al. ex- simultaneously) break down at the quan-
quantum theory, this property of polar- periment support the predictions of quan- tum level. What is termed the "problem
ization does not exist until it is measured. tum mechanics. When the polarization of of measurement," exemplified by the
Classical realistic theories such as the hid- a photon was changed, the second photon Heisenberg uncertainty principle, tends to
den variable explanation hold that each was changed in the same manner. In other puncture our image as uninvolved ob-
photon has a "real" polarization from the words, the photons started out with the servers as we measure so-called "objec-
moment it is created. Because the photon same polarity and were found to still have tive" reality.
pairs are emitted simultaneously, their the same polarity after each passed Of course the ultimate limitations of
polarizations are originally correlated, but through an independent device that shifted logic are in the areas of self-reference and
quantum theory and hidden variable the- its polarity to one of two possible states at completeness--a logical system is not ca-
ories make different predictions about the random. These results violate the Bell in- pable of explaining itself, and for any suf-
nature of the final correlations after the equality (which limits the correlations of ficiently powerful logical system, there will
photons pass through the polarizers and the photons based on the considerations be truths not expressible as theorems of
the detectors. In particular, hidden vari- of set theory) by five standard deviations. that system. There is thus a good possi-
able (local realistic) theories predict that Thus, this more rigorous procedure vio- bility that we may have to transcend logic
the final correlations between the photon lated the inequality to a greater extent than as the sole criterion if we are to achieve
be illustrated by the way in which we con- quantum theory for psychology. This is fundamental changes in assumptions as we
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ceptuaiize infinity. Infinity is usually especially true in the case of anomalous attempt to plumb the depths of human
thought of in terms of vastness or a very implications of quantum theory, such as consciousness.
large number, when of course the concept the effects of the observer on the obser-
has nothing to do with "largeness" or even vation (implied by the Heisenberg uncer-
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This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
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combinations of target and transcript" (p. study in the sociology of science. Bulletin of right that the accounts by those authors
1227). However, there is also an obvious the Psychonomic Society, 22, 463-466. are false in extremely important ways. He
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in the Maimonides research to studies of observations:The question of ESP in dreams. there can be no anomalies and to be glad
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(Marks & Kammann, 1980, pp. 12-41). Hofstadter, D. R. (1982). Metamagical themas. parapsychological research. The bimodal-
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1982b, pp. 39-60). The fact that in the Neher, A. (1980). The psychology of transcen- Maimonides experiments were well pro-
Maimonides research there were a "great dence. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall. tected by the experimental procedures.
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asserted, but to the contrary it increased Randi, J. (1982a). Flim-flam.t Psychics, ESP, Zusne and Jones (1982). Though he differs
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Psychologists, perhaps, more than oth- Rhine, J. B., & Pratt, J. G. (1954). A review of as bad.
e r s - e x c e p t professional magicians the Pearce-Pratt distance series of ESP tests. The scientific tradition is complex and
(Randi, 1982a)nought to be sensitive to Journal of Parapsychology, 18, 165-177. diverse. My respect for the role of general
issues of experimental control and bias in Romm, E. G. (1977). When you give a closet theory is a main reason that my commit-
studies involving human subjects. occultist a Ph.D., what kind of research can ment "to the ESP hypothesis" (p. 1173)
The Maimonides research need not be you expect? The Humanist, 37(3), 12-15. does not go beyond a belief that the hy-
Singer, B., & Benassi, V. A. (1981). Occult be-
cloaked in anomaly, any more than un- liefs. American Scientist, 69(1), 49-55. pothesis merits serious exploration in hope
usual animal behaviors need be cloaked Targ, R., & Puthoff, H. (1974). Information of future discovery of the processes un-
in "cognition" or "insight" rather than transfer under conditions of sensory shielding. derlying the apparent anomalies. But facts
empirically validated principles of learn- Nature, 251, 602-607. are also important, and devotion to a the-
ing (Epstein, Kirshnit, Lanza, & Rubin, Targ, R., & Puthoff, H. (1977). Mind-reach. New ory to the point of disregarding or altering
1984; Terrace, 1979). Anomalous findings York: Delacorte. pertinent facts seems hardly compatible
need not have mysterious sourcesnonly Terrace, H. (1979). Nim: A chimpanzee who with the scientific tradition. A broad con-
perhaps ,less appealing sources than those learned sign language. New York: Knopf. tribution of ESP experiments to psychol-
found in normal science. The best scien- Wagner,M. W., & Monnet, M. (1979). Attitudes ogy may come from their misrepresenta-
of college professors towards extra-sensory
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(Hofstadter, 1982; Kurtz, 1985). Since the psychology." A study of extraordinary phe- general theory may place our discipline at
time of William James, the scientific case nomena of behavior and experience. Hillsdale, a disadvantage in the development of
for parapsychology has not been eonvinc- NJ: Erlbaum. strikingly new areas of knowledge.