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Technically Speaking
1. Technical Summary:
Short Term Trend: Consolidating.
Medium Term Trend: Bullish.
Long Term Trend: Bullish.
28 Day Stochastics: Overbought.
14 Day Stochastics: Nearing Oversold.
VIX: Breakout From Bottom Of Range.
McC. Oscillator: Moving To The Bottom Of Range.
A/D Line: Bullish.
The market is now consolidating with a bearish tone. If the 100 DMA (Daily Moving Average) price point is broken
(20,510) the next significant support level is the 20,000 mark.
Of all the main USA indices the Dow Transports is the weakest. If it breaks its 200 DMA we will have significant
Dow Theory Divergence in play. Divergence tells us there is above average market risk. Thus if the FED raises
interest rates next June, as expected, and indicates any sense of hawkishness the Trump rally could begin to come
under severe strain, particularly if his tax reform policy is stalled.
Day Trading Strategies.
As part of my trading system I have 7 day trading strategies that I teach. In the March 16th Brief I explained the
Straddle Trade. Today I list all the other 6 strategies, with actual examples of trades in action, courtesy of the IG
Markets Spread Betting Platform (see note below). From experience I have found the 3 minute time frame to be
most effective for day trading, thus all attached charts have this time setting.
1. Arbitrage Trade
The Arbitrage Trade seeks to activate trades that have a high probability of success by utilizing early bearish or
bullish movement on the Wall St DBT to trade the German DAX or vice versa.
Chart: Wall Street Daily Funded Bet/ German Dax Daily Funded Bet: 26th. Nov 2016: Time Frame 3 Mins.
2. Momentum Trade.
With the momentum strategy one aims to enter a strong trend and remain in the position as long as technicals are
supportive.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 3rd. Jan 2017: Time Frame 3 Mins.
3. Swing/Continuation Pattern Trade.
The objective of this strategy is to identify high probability swing or continuation pattern trades.
A. Flag Formation.
The flag pattern forms what looks like a rectangle. The rectangle is formed by two parallel trend lines that act as
support and resistance for the price until the price breaks out. In general, the flag will not be perfectly flat but will
have its trend lines sloping.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 21st Oct 2017: Time Frame 3 Mins.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 13th Jan 2017: Time Frame 3 Mins.
C. Ascending Triangle Formation.
As above but the ascending triangle is a bullish formation that usually forms during an upward trend as a
continuation pattern.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 20th March 2017: Time Frame 3 Mins.
5. Channel/Range Trade.
In the context of technical analysis, a channel is defined as the area between two parallel lines and is often taken as a
measure of a trading range. The upper trend line connects price peaks (highs) or closes, and the lower trend line
connects lows or closes.
Chart: Range Trade: Wall Street: 29th Dec 2016: Time Frame 3 Mins.
6. Candlestick Pattern Trades
Candlestick pattern trades seek to scalp profits through trading highly recognizable candlestick formats.
A. Formation: Hammer.
The hammer pattern normally appears when a short term down trend is about to change. The longer the length of the
taper the better.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 26th. Jan 2017: Time Frame 3 Mins.
E. Formation: Doji.
The Doji pattern normally appears when there is complete indecision as to future trend. The next significant candle
that appears after the Doji is used to anticipate trend.
Chart: Wall Street DFB: 11th April 2107: Time Frame 3 Mins.
Note:
The Wall Street Daily Funded Bet (DFB) is the IG Markets instrument for trading the Dow Jones Industrials
Index.
The German DAX Daily Funded Bet (DFB) is the IG Markets instrument for trading the German DAX
Index.