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To cite this article: Karen L. Xie, Chihchien Chen & Shinyi Wu (2015): Online Consumer Review Factors Affecting Offline Hotel
Popularity: Evidence from Tripadvisor, Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, DOI: 10.1080/10548408.2015.1050538
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Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, 2015
2015 Taylor & Francis
ISSN: 1054-8408 print / 1540-7306 online
DOI: 10.1080/10548408.2015.1050538
ABSTRACT. The business value of online consumer reviews has emerged in recent year as one of
utmost importance for hotel marketers. This study examines how online consumer reviews affect
ofine hotel popularity. Using time-series data of 56,284 hotel reviews posted for more than 1000
hotels listed on TripAdvisor, this paper estimates the effect of factors of online consumer review,
including quality, quantity, consistency, and recency, on the ofine hotel occupancy (i.e. how popular
the hotel is among consumers). The empirical evidence shows the relative effect of online consumer
review factors on ofine hotel popularity when controlling for other hotel characteristics. In particular,
the effect of review quality lasts for at least a couple of quarters, whereas that of other online consumer
review factors remains short-term. The ndings provide a managerial basis to improve the online
presence of hotels on social media platforms by strategically utilizing important review factors.
KEYWORDS. Online consumer review, ofine hotel popularity, hotel occupancy, social media
marketing
Karen L. Xie, PhD is Assistant Professor, Hospitality Management, Daniels College of Business,
University of Denver, Denver, CO, USA, USA (Email: Karen.Xie@du.edu).
Chihchien Chen, PhD, is Assistant Professor, College of Hotel Administration, University of Nevada, Las
Vegas, NV, USA (Email: Chih-Chien.Chen@unlv.edu).
Shinyi Wu, is Associate Professor, Information Systems, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State
University, Tempe, AZ, USA (Email: shinyi.wu@asu.edu).
Address correspondence to: Karen L. Xie, Hospitality Management, Daniels College of Business,
University of Denver, Denver, CO, USA (Email: Karen.Xie@du.edu).
1
2 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL & TOURISM MARKETING
buyers to help them make informed decisions Despite the fact that the value to business of
and choose the products that best match their online consumer reviews has become one of the
preference. As a result, nowadays about three- most important research topics, empirical litera-
quarters of consumers take into account online ture still lags behind in three critical aspects that
consumer reviews when planning their travel motivate our study. First, previous literature has
itineraries (Xie, Zhang, & Zhang, 2014), and discussed online consumer review factors
nearly 50% of consumers visit an online review affecting business performance but most often
site for information connected with their online in a singular and fragmented fashion without
travel purchasing (Compete, Inc., 2006). Online accounting for the many aspects of online
consumer reviews have become an important review factors. For example, some studies only
source of information for consumers, substitut- investigate the review consistency to measure
ing for other forms of business-to-consumer the degree of disagreement in consumer opi-
(Jiang & Chen, 2007) and ofine word-of- nions (Godes & Mayzlin, 2004; Sun, 2012)
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mouth (WOM) communication (Lewis & while others focus solely on review quantity to
Bridger, 2001) about the quality of service assess product awareness among consumers
providers. (Dellarocas et al., 2007; Godes & Mayzlin,
Given the prevalent use of online reviews by 2004). The number of empirical studies
consumers, the value of online consumer accounting for a holistic picture of the effects
reviews to business performance has emerged of online consumer review factors is limited.
in recent years as one of utmost importance to Second, previous studies mainly focus on
marketers. It is thus not surprising that online online performance measures such as online
consumer reviews have become the subject of product popularity on social media websites
extensive research (Cunningham, Smyth, Wu, (see for example Ghose, Ipeirotis, & Li, 2012
& Greene, 2010). A burgeoning academic for Travelocity; Luca, 2011 for Yelp; and Xie
body of literature has emerged to study how et al., 2014 for TripAdvisor), neglecting the
online consumer reviews affect ofine business ofine product popularity among consumers
performance (Moe & Trusov, 2011; Xie et al., (i.e. how many consumers actually purchase
2014). Specically, previous research has iden- the product). The ofine product popularity is
tied three primary factors that aggregate important because it justies the return on
online consumer review information and are investment (ROI) of the social media marketing
strategically important to business perfor- efforts and is directly related to the bottom line
mance: review quality, review consistency, of business performance (Aria, 2015). Despite
review quantity, and review recency. Review the industry trend toward recognizing the
quality, or the review rating, reects the level importance of the consumer voice, how online
of consumer satisfaction and is the focus of consumer reviews affect ofine product popu-
most empirical studies on product reviews larity remains poorly understood owing to the
(Clemons, Gao, & Hitt, 2006; Dellarocas, paucity of existing research on the topic.
Zhang, & Awad, 2007). Review consistency, Finally, previous social media studies have
measured as the standard deviation to the mean focussed mainly on one-off purchase items or
rating, captures the degree of disagreement short life-cycle information goods such as
among consumers (Godes & Mayzlin, 2004). movies (Dellarocas, Gao, & Narayan, 2010;
Review quantity, or the number of reviews, as Duan et al., 2008; Liu, 2006), books
a measure of the volume of discussions, signals (Chevalier & Mayzlin, 2006; Li & Hitt, 2008),
brand awareness and popularity of a product and software (Duan et al., 2008; Lee & Tan,
on a social media platform (Duan, Gu, & 2013), which is likely to be due to the avail-
Whinston, 2008; Zhu & Zhang, 2010). ability of data for these categories. However,
Finally, because each consumer review has its information goods are unique in that they have
time stamp at the time it is published online, product life cycles that are both short and fol-
review recency refers to the age of consumer low predictable exponential patterns (Moe &
reviews (TripAdvisor, 2015). Fader, 2001; Sawhney & Eliashberg, 1996).
Xie, Chen, and Wu 3
These products experience the greatest level of social media marketing perspective which
sales (and review activity) immediately after emphasizes a coordinated use of online consu-
launch. Very quickly after that, sales (and mer review factors to drive the ofine business
review activity) taper off dramatically. The dan- performance and to maximize the social media
ger of using such product categories is that marketing success.
results can be very sensitive to the stage of the In the following, we rst introduce related
product life cycle during which the researcher literature and develop our hypotheses. This is
collects the data. As a result, the product popu- followed by the description of our methodology.
larity observed can be more easily attributed to We then outline models to estimate, the results
changes due to the natural progression of the are presented, and research implications are dis-
product life cycle, and are less likely to be a cussed. We conclude by providing recommen-
result of changes in the consumer review envir- dations to hotel marketers and pointing out
onment. Studies that examine social media limitations of this study.
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Review quantity
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Review consistency
Review quality
Review recency
overall service evaluation. In that sense, the than a lower quality one. Generally, if we
customer uses a single scale to express his or assume that consumers are rational, it is very
her judgment of the product experience. likely that they would purchase a product with a
Review quality serves as a simplied heuristic higher review quality indicated by other consu-
to instantly signal a hotels level of quality as mers than one with a lower review quality
agreed by individual consumers. Hence, the (Chen, Wu, & Yoon, 2004). There is therefore
review quality can be assimilated and used a strong reason to believe that the higher review
as a proxy of quality as perceived by previous quality indicated by previous consumers may
customers (Chen & Xie, 2008; Jiang & Chen, signal a desirable product quality and guest
2007). satisfaction which persuades subsequent consu-
According to the rational action theory mers to purchase the item (Liu, 2006). The
(Becker, 1976), a rational individual tends to superior review quality simply increases consu-
want good rather than bad. This assumption mers condence level when purchasing the
is widely used in social and economic behavior product (Ratnasingham, 1998) because the posi-
contexts. Rational action theory holds that con- tive WOM from previous reviewers mitigates
sumers, when making their purchase decisions, the potential risks and uncertainty associated
tend to choose a higher quality product rather with the purchase and ensures an informed
Xie, Chen, and Wu 5
decision, just like the decision previous products and state that less variability in the
reviewers have made (Xie et al., 2014). review quality could reduce risk and uncertainty
Products with a higher review quality are likely associated with the hotel quality perceived by
to be purchased by many subsequent reviewers readers and thus result in higher product perfor-
who have seen the previous consumer reviews, mance. Accordingly, we propose the following
and generally these products become more pop- hypothesis:
ular among consumers than those with a lower
review quality. We therefore propose the fol- H2: Review consistency of online consumer
lowing hypothesis (H): reviews has a negative effect on ofine
hotel popularity.
H1: Review quality of online consumer
reviews has a positive effect on ofine
hotel popularity.
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studies that tend to focus on either large or chain management response ratio is 0.09, indicating
hotels, our sample includes both large and small, that about nine hotel managers respond to every
and independent and chain hotels. 100 consumer reviews in a given quarter. On
Consumer reviews are auto-parsed from average, hotels in our sample are 17 years old
TripAdvisor review webpages using two crawlers with 189 guest rooms, between mid-market
developed by Ruby.1 Following previous litera- economy and full service, and with eight inter-
ture (Duan et al., 2008; Zhu & Zhang, 2010), we nal amenities.
collect individual reviewers hotel ratings
(ReviewQuality) distributed on a scale of 15, 1
representing terrible and 5 representing excel- 3.2 Model Specication
lent. Based on the individual reviews collected,
we calculate the standard deviation of review rat- Consumer reviews are time series for indivi-
ings (ReviewConsistency) and count the number dual hotels in our sample. This panel data struc-
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of consumer reviews received for each hotel ture makes it necessary to adopt appropriate
(ReviewQuantity). We also document the date econometric models to account for individual
and time each consumer review is posted in heterogeneity. We use two techniques to analyze
order to measure the review recency. the data, xed effects, and random effects, con-
In addition, we obtain multi-quarter, archi- trolling for unobservable variables across hotels
val data of hotel occupancy records from a or change over time but not across hotels (man-
research rm well-known for their hospitality agement strategy, hotel culture, etc.). The result-
data and research services (Trepp, LLC). The ing model is
hotel records contain information on the hotel
occupancy (logOccupancy).2 Besides the focal logOccupancyit Xit Sit Zi i
variable of hotel occupancy, we collect hotel t it
characteristics information, including the loga-
rithm of the average daily rate at the property where the dependent variable, logOccupancyit,
level (logADR), age of the hotel (HotelAge), is a measure of popularity of hotel i at quarter t.
number of guest rooms (HotelSize), hotel Xit is a set of consumer review factors, includ-
class (HotelClass), number of amenities ing ReviewQualityit, ReviewConsistencyit,
(HotelAmenity) and the ratio of the number ReviewQuantityit, and their lagged terms. We
of manager responses to the number of con- control for other variables, including time-var-
sumer reviews (ResponseRatio). iant social variables Sit (ResponseRatioit) and
We consider the intersection of consumer hotel characteristics Zi (logADRit, HotelAgeit,
reviews and the hotel occupancy records at a HotelSize i, HotelClassi, and HotelAmenityi).
quarterly level for each individual hotel in our The hotel and time dummies are represented
sample. The quarterly level aggregation of the by i and t. The error terms that have been
consumer review activities allows us to over- clustered at the hotel level are captured by it.
come the sparseness of social media activity
because consumer reviews for hotels tend to
be spaced out and rarely occur on multiple 4. RESULTS AND FINDINGS
days in the same quarter, as would be expected
for almost all hotel properties except for very We estimate review quality, review consis-
high-prole ones. tency, and review quantity in the ofine hotel
Table 2 presents variable denitions and popularity model and present the estimation
summary statistics. Hotels in our sample receive results in Table 3. By estimating both models
an average review rating of 3.48 out of 5 at a of xed effects and random effects, we examine
standard deviation of 0.99 in a given quarter. the effect of consumer review factors on hotel
The total number of consumer reviews varies popularity while accounting for hotel-specic
from 1 to 189, with an average number of 3.67 characteristics and social variables. Specically,
reviews in a given quarter. The average the xed effects estimation controls for all time-
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ReviewQuality Average review rating of a hotel: 1 for terrible, 2 for poor, 3 for average, 4 for 3.48 1.19 3.86 1 5
very good, and 5 for excellent in a given quarter
ReviewConsistency Standard deviation of review ratings of a hotel in a given quarter 0.99 0.62 2 0 2.83
ReviewQuantity Number of consumer reviews in a given quarter 3.67 6.62 2 1 189
logADR Logarithm of the ADR of a hotel in a given quarter 4.53 0.01 4.60 2.82 5.97
ResponseRatio Number of management responses compared with number of consumer reviews 0.09 0.26 0 0 1
in a given quarter
HotelClass Dummy variable with the value of 5 for a luxury hotel, 4 for an above average 2.72 1.05 3 0 5
hotel with some outstanding features and a broad range of services, 3 for a
full service hotel, 2 for a mid-market economy hotel, and 1 for a budget
traveler hotel
HotelAmenity Number of internal amenities such as indoor swimming pool, free high-speed 7.90 2.54 8 0 13
Internet, tness center, wheelchair access, and pets allowed
HotelAge Number of years since the opening of a hotel 17.43 12.65 13 1.00 63
HotelSize Number of guest rooms 189.41 184.91 132 5 1,840
JOURNAL OF TRAVEL & TOURISM MARKETING
Note. ADR: average daily rate; *** p < 0.01; ** p < 0.05; * p < 0.1.
invariant differences between the hotels so that H1 and H3. In other words, the popularity of
the estimated coefcients of the xed-effects hotels becomes higher the higher the number of
models cannot be biased because of omitted positive ratings (to inform consumers of the hotel
time-invariant characteristics. Unlike xed quality) and the higher the number of consumer
effects, random effects estimation assumes that reviews from reviewers (to create online buzz).
differences across hotels may have some inu- However, the effect of ReviewConsistency on
ence on hotel popularity and should be mea- hotel popularity (0.000, p = 0.584) is not signi-
sured. We then run a Hausman test to decide cant, which means consistency of reviewer opi-
which is the preferred model for xed effects nions would not signicantly inuence hotel
and random effects respectively. In addition, we popularity. It is thus likely that quality and quan-
conduct a few additional diagnostic tests for tity of consumer reviews become primary consu-
robustness check purposes. mer-generated information to determine the hotel
Column (1) in Table 3 shows the results of occupancy rate, suppressing other information
mean effects estimation using xed effects estima- sources such as review consistency. Interestingly,
tion. The regression estimates that hotel popular- the effect of review quality carries over to at least
ity becomes higher with an increase in a couple of quarters (0.020, p < 0.001 for
ReviewQualityit (0.011, p = 0.011) and ReviewQualityit-1 and 0.009, p = 0.025 for
ReviewQuantityit (0,003, p = 0.033), supporting ReviewQualityit-2), whereas the effect of review
10 JOURNAL OF TRAVEL & TOURISM MARKETING
quantity decays quickly in the next quarter (0.002, factors on ofine hotel popularity was examined.
p = 0.216 for ReviewQuantityit-1 and 0.000, An emerging research stream has started to look
p = 0.663 for ReviewQuantityit-2). at social media platforms featuring user-gener-
Column (2) in Table 3 presents the random ated content and consumer WOM. However, this
effects of our hotel popularity model. The stream of research mainly focuses on one-off
results of review factor estimations of random purchase items or short life cycle information
effects in Column (2) are also qualitatively goods (Chevalier & Mayzlin, 2006; Dellarocas
similar to those in Column (1). Hence, our et al., 2010; Duan et al., 2008; Liu, 2006),
results in Table 3 are quite robust with differ- neglecting experience products with a stable pro-
ent estimation methods. Although both results duct life cycle, such as hotels. Our ndings
of the xed effects estimation in Column (1) address industry concerns regarding the undi-
and the random effects estimations in Column sclosed mechanism of online consumer reviews
(2) are qualitatively similar, our proposed by shedding light on specic online consumer
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model using xed effects ts the data better review factors that would contribute to ofine
than random effects based on the Hausman test hotel popularity. We explore multiple aspects of
(Prob > Chi2 = 3.670, Prob > Chi2 = 0.042) consumer review information to examine their
(Greene, 2003). effects on ofine hotel popularity. By integrating
In order to check the robustness of our xed the multifaceted data we extracted from consu-
effects estimation results, we conduct several mer reviews in an empirical setting, this study
diagnostic tests. First, we use a BreuschPagan advances our understanding of the connection
test to check for heteroskedasticity. As shown in between the multidimensional facets of review
Table 3, the BreuschPagan test result content and business performance-based ofine
(Chi2 = 5.860, Prob > Chi2 = 0. 000) does not hotel popularity.
support the null hypothesis, suggesting there is Our analysis suggests that review quality and
preferred heteroskedasticity. This nding indi- quantity can signicantly elevate the ofine
cates that our use of xed-effects estimation is popularity of hotels, supporting H1 and H3. In
warranted. Second, we use the Lagram- particular, the inuence of the review quality
Multiplier test to check for the presence of serial can last for at least two quarters while the
correlation of the errors. Serial correlation effects of other online consumer review factors
causes the standard errors of the estimated such as review quantity and consistency taper
regression coefcients to be smaller than they off quickly within about one quarter. This nd-
actually are and inates the estimation R- ing partially supports H4. Additionally, hotels
square. Although it does appear to arise natu- frequently receive very diverse opinions from
rally in time-series data, one would want to look consumers about the quality of service and pro-
carefully at the data and the model specication ducts. Consistency of opinions, however, seems
before assuming that it is present (Stock & not be an inuencer of hotel popularity. This
Watson, 2007). The result of the Lagram- nding does not lend support to H2.
Multiplier test fails to reject the null hypothesis These ndings provide important implica-
(F = 0.214; Prob > F = 0.660), the conclusion tions for practicing managers and research in
being that the data does not have rst-order this eld. Specically, we demonstrated that an
autocorrelation. Our diagnostic tests show that increase in consumers review quality regarding
results in Table 3 are quite robust. their hotels increase ofine hotel popularity.
This relationship reinforces the importance of
product and service quality of hotels. Despite
5. CONCLUSION AND the popularity of social media in the hotel
IMPLICATIONS industry, the key to hotel popularity remains
outstanding service quality. Therefore, hotel
Consumer reviews are at the forefront of e- businesses should try to focus on continuous
commerce in the hospitality industry. In this improvement of service quality and encourage
paper the effect of online consumer review positive reviews from guests immediately after
Xie, Chen, and Wu 11
they check out or even during their stay. In TripAdvisor can provide more customized mar-
addition, hotel managers can provide incentives keting plans to hotel businesses planning to
to encourage customers to write reviews and increase their popularity among consumers.
particularly reward frequent reviewers. For example, instead of distributing resources
Developing a customer review system that con- to all review functions, social media websites
nects to the property management system such such as TripAdvisor can work with each hotel
as MICROS OPERA, and targeting customers property to personalize the hotel review page by
accordingly at the time they check in and out at highlighting primary review factors that may
an establishment might be a trend in the future. inuence the hotel popularity.
Furthermore, review quantity drives ofine
hotel popularity. A direct implication of this
nding is that a hotel can take advantage of 6. LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE
network effects in terms of online buzz. Hotels STUDIES
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separated the data into records (the review) and elds (the the craft beer industry. Journal of Management
data in each review) in an automated fashion using a Information Systems, 23(2), 149171. doi:10.2753/
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were recorded. 26, 2015, from http://class.classmatandread.net/am1/
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jmkr.38.3.376.18866 SUBMITTED: August 29, 2014
Murphy, J., Hofacker, C., & Mizerski, R. (2006).
FINAL REVISION SUBMITTED:
Primacy and recency effects on clicking behavior.
Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication, 11 March 17, 2015
(2), 522535. Article 7. doi:10.1111/jcmc.2006.11. ACCEPTED: May 8, 2015
issue-2 REFEREED ANONYMOUSLY