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Summary
Background Pneumonia and diarrhoea cause much morbidity and mortality in children younger than 5 years. Most Lancet 2005; 366: 9991004
deaths occur during infancy and in developing countries. Daily regimens of zinc have been reported to prevent acute Published online August 23, 2005
lower respiratory tract infection and diarrhoea, and to reduce child mortality. We aimed to examine whether giving DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(05)
67109-7
zinc weekly could prevent clinical pneumonia and diarrhoea in children younger than 2 years.
The Centre for Health and
Population Research,
Methods 1665 poor, urban children aged 60 days to 12 months were randomly assigned zinc (70 mg) or placebo International Centre for
orally once weekly for 12 months. Children were assessed every week by eld research assistants. Our primary Diarrhoea Disease Research,
outcomes were the rate of pneumonia and diarrhoea. The rates of other respiratory tract infections were the Mohakhali Dhaka 1000,
Bangladesh
secondary outcomes. Growth, nal serum copper, and nal haemoglobin were also measured. Analysis was by
(Prof W A Brooks MPH,
intention to treat. A Naheed MPH,
D Goswami MBBS,
Findings 34 children were excluded before random assignment to treatment group because they had tuberculosis. M A Wahed BA,
A S G Faruque MPH); Bloomberg
809 children were assigned zinc, and 812 placebo. After treatment assignment, 103 children in the treatment group
School of Public Health,
and 44 in the control group withdrew. There were signicantly fewer incidents of pneumonia in the zinc group than Department of International
the control group (199 vs 286; relative risk 083, 95% CI 073095), and a small but signicant effect on incidence Health (Prof M Santosham MPH,
of diarrhoea (1881 cases vs 2407; 094, 088099). There were two deaths in the zinc group and 14 in the placebo Prof R E Black MPH), and
Department of Biostatistics
group (p=0013).There were no pneumonia-related deaths in the zinc group, but ten in the placebo group (p=0013).
(Prof M Diener-West PhD), Johns
The zinc group had a small gain in height, but not weight at 10 months compared with the placebo group. Serum Hopkins University, Baltimore,
copper and haemoglobin concentrations were not adversely affected after 10 months of zinc supplementation. MD, USA
Correspondence to:
Interpretation 70 mg of zinc weekly reduces pneumonia and mortality in young children. However, compliance with Prof W Abdullah Brooks
abrooks@icddrb.org
weekly intake might be problematic outside a research programme.
Articles
admission. Children with suspected tuberculosis were rhonchi with crepitations were also diagnosed with
referred to Dhakas hospital for tuberculosis. pneumonia. Children who had only wheezing or
The research review committee and ethical review rhonchi without crepitations were not diagnosed with
committee of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal pneumonia, but with reactive airways disease or
Disease Research approved the study. Parents or carers bronchiolitis (reversible lower airway obstruction).
gave informed written consent at enrolment. Diarrhoea was diagnosed if the child had three or
more watery stools or one bloody stool in a 24-h period.
Procedures A stool sample was required for diagnosis.
Random assignment to zinc or placebo was done with Patients with purulent ear discharge were diagnosed
permuted blocks of variable length between two and with suppurative otitis media. Upper respiratory tract
eight. Zinc was given orally as a syrup (35 mg zinc infection consisted of cough, rhinorrhoea, and fever
acetate per 5 mL). The placebo was non-nutritious and without tachypnoea (ie, no sign of lower airway
vitamin-free, designed to be identical to the zinc syrup obstruction).
in colour, odour, and taste. ACME Laboratories, Ltd We treated pneumonia with co-trimoxazole (10 mg/kg
(Dhamrai, Dhaka, Bangladesh) prepared, labelled, and trimethoprim, twice daily for 5 days). Children with
masked the identity of both preparations. WHO-dened pneumonia18 were also treated, although
Field research assistants (FRAs) did active their illness was not counted unless it met study
surveillance, visiting every enrolled child at home once criteria. Children on antibiotics were assessed within
weekly. They collected information about specic signs 72 h of starting treatment; those who did not improve
of respiratory disease and diarrhoea for each day since (ie, the respiratory rate did not change by more than
the last visit by use of a pre-coded calendar 5 breaths per min from baseline) were switched to
questionnaire standardised during training before treatment with amoxicillin (40 mg/kg, three times daily
deployment. To avoid bias, FRAs used a timer to count for 5 days). If oral treatment failed, or if they had severe
every childs respiratory rate for 60 s, irrespective of pneumonia, we referred them to hospital for parenteral
reported symptoms, at each visit. If the respiratory rate treatment (ceftriaxone 75 mg/kg intramuscularly per
was above 50 breaths per min, they counted a second day). Children with only expiratory wheezes or rhonchi
time and calculated the mean. FRAs also inspected any were managed with salbutamol syrup (03 mg/kg, three
diarrhoeal-stool samples. The FRA recorded all times daily), or referred to hospital for danger signs.
reported and observed data on the questionnaire, Patients with blood in their diarrhoea were treated with
referring children to the clinic for any observed or co-trimoxazole for 5 days, or if ineffective, with nalidixic
reported ndings that were suggestive of respiratory acid. Children with some dehydration were treated
disease or diarrhoea. according to WHO guidelines with oral rehydration
At the end of each visit, the FRA observed the child solution,18 and those with severe dehydration were
take the syrup, and waited at least 5 min before leaving. admitted to hospital.
Compliance required intake of two teaspoons of syrup FRAs followed up patients who were home and taking
(10 mL). If the child vomited within 5 min, the syrup antibiotics within 72 h to document compliance (asking
was given again once. the caretaker to explain the dosing regimen, and
At the clinic, medical ofcers and nurses involved in checking the remaining volume) and the end of the
this study assessed patients. Nurses collected vital signs illness episode. The end of an episode of respiratory
(respiratory rate, axillary temperature by mercury illness was dened as 7 disease-free days after the last
thermometer, pulse rate, and blood pressure). Fever day of illness; for diarrhoea, the disease-free interval
was dened as an axillary temperature of at least 38C. was 3 days. Disease-free for pneumonia meant a
During the assessment, clothing was removed from the respiratory rate less than 50 breaths per min without
childs torso to assess chest indrawing and cyanosis. danger signs or fever, for suppurative otitis media no
The medical ofcers auscultated the chest by ear discharge, and for diarrhoea no watery or bloody
stethoscope. Danger signs, such as chest indrawing, stool.
cyanosis, lethargy, or inability to drink, were recorded. Medical ofcers collected blood (3 mL) at baseline
Inability to drink was assessed by having the mother before zinc or placebo was given and again during the
offer the child oral rehydration solution. Children who 10th month. The nal sample was taken at 10 months
were too lethargic to drink or unable to swallow were rather than 12 months to minimise attrition. Trace-
recorded as unable to drink. Dehydration was element-free vacutainers and storage tubes were used
assessed with WHO criteria.18 The medical ofcer to measure serum zinc, haemoglobin, and copper
diagnosed pneumonia if crepitations were heard on concentrations. Serum was separated at the
inspiration with a respiratory rate greater than International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research,
50 breaths per minute; severe pneumonia was Dhaka, within 3 h of collection. Serum samples
diagnosed if there was also chest indrawing, or at least (150 mL) in polypropylene tubes were diluted 1/12 with
one other danger sign. Children with wheezing or HNO3 and Brij35, a non-ionic detergent. Flame atomic
Articles
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Table 2: Clinical and laboratory results before treatment and after 10 months of treatment
group was 056 episodes per child-year. The power for
the observed sample size was thus 849% for
groups occurred at age 2 months, with 771% younger pneumonia. There were signicantly fewer incidents of
than 6 months. The mean length of time in the study pneumonia in the zinc group than in the placebo group
before withdrawal was 55 days, with no differences (table 3). Fewer children in the treatment group (274,
between groups (p=0392). There was no difference 388%) than in the control group (394, 513%)
between the number of children under age 6 months in contracted pneumonia more than once (p00001).
the zinc (511%) and the placebo (470%) groups who There was a small but signicant difference between
completed the study (p = 012). groups in the incidence of diarrhoea; 681 (964%) in
There were no signicant demographic differences the zinc group and 743 (967%) in the placebo group
between groups at baseline (table 1), except for a slightly had more than one episode (p=0775). All other
higher proportion of boys in the zinc group. 16 children illnesses diagnosed by medical ofcers were
(21%) in the placebo group and 29 (41%) in the zinc signicantly less frequent in the zinc group than the
group received less than 80% of the doses; mean placebo group (table 3). The preventive effects of zinc
proportion of doses received by each group was not increased with disease severity: zinc reduced upper
different (943% in the placebo group compared with respiratory infections by 8%, reactive airways disease or
932% in the zinc group; p=010). Before treatment, bronchiolitis by 12%, pneumonia by 17%, severe
there were no differences between the groups in pneumonia by 49%, and pneumonia mortality by
concentrations of serum zinc, haemoglobin, copper, or 100%. Adjustment of the Poisson model for the
white blood cells, or in anthropometry; however, after proportion of doses received (compliance) had no effect
10 months of treatment, the zinc group had signicantly on outcome.
greater serum-zinc concentrations than the placebo Mortality was signicantly lower for the zinc group
group (table 2). By contrast there were no differences than the placebo group. Although ten of 14 deaths in the
between the groups at 10 months for haemoglobin, placebo group were pneumonia related (table 4), there
copper, white blood cells, or weight gain. In addition, the were no pneumonia-related deaths in the zinc group.
groups white-blood-cell differential count did not differ Children younger than 6 months who took zinc had
at baseline and 10 months (data not shown). less pneumonia (relative risk 076, 022229), severe
Children given zinc grew a mean of 09 cm taller pneumonia (063, 006144), and diarrhoea (090,
during 10 months than those given placebo (table 2). 063128) than those who took the placebo. Children
Mean monthly linear-growth velocity was higher younger than 12 months also had less pneumonia (085,
(p=0003) in the zinc group (14 cm, SD 04) than in the 062117) and diarrhoea (0.95, 086106) but not
placebo group (13 cm, SD 03). severe pneumonia (101, 039256).
Follow-up per child was for a mean duration of
324 days (SD 97) for the zinc group and 320 days (78) for Discussion
the placebo group (p=0332). The overall incidence of Zinc substantially reduced the incidence of pneumonia
pneumonia that met our study denitions in the placebo and other upper and lower respiratory tract disease, and
modestly reduced that of diarrhoea. However, the effect
Zinc Placebo Relative risk p value of zinc on mortality was strong. This nding in a study
(child years=427) (child years=511) (95% CI) of young children in urban Bangladesh extends those of
Diarrhoea 1881 2407 094 (088099) 0030 earlier studies, which found a 68% decrease in mortality
Upper respiratory infection 4834 6294 092 (088097) 0001 in full-term infants who were small for their gestational
Reactive airways disease or bronchiolitis 232 314 088 079099) 0042
Suppurative otitis media 394 572 058 (041082) 0002
age and treated with daily zinc in India,14 and a
Pneumonia 199 286 083 (073095) 0004 50% reduction in mortality in children younger than
Severe pneumonia 18 42 051 (030088) 0016 5 years in rural Bangladesh for daily zinc used for
Death 2 14 015 (003067) 0013
14 days to treat diarrhoea.13 The effect on diarrhoea
Table 3: Number of medical ofcer diagnoses in the clinic is modest compared with other reports,8,13 but
supports the preventive benet described in manage-
Articles
ment recommendations for acute diarrhoea.4 Daily zinc Exclusive breastfeeding is encouraged for the rst
doses might have had more effect on diarrhoea. 46 months of life,18 but is uncommon in this age-
We found a small but signicant effect on linear group.31 Thus, we did not attempt to address the effect of
growth, but not ponderal growth, which supports the breastfeeding on zinc.
results of meta-analyses.22,23 A limitation of our study is that more children in the
Five factors are relevant to the use of zinc for zinc group than in the control group withdrew. We do
respiratory infection control: age, disease severity, not believe that these withdrawals affect our results for
disease aetiology, safety of long-term intake of zinc, and several reasons. First, they occurred early, typically
dosing interval. First, regarding age, the study showed within 2 months of randomisation. By withdrawing early
that zinc substantially reduces illness among children their risk would be less likely affected by treatment
aged 224 months; these children are vulnerable and assignment. Early dropouts in both groups should have
ineligible for the non-conjugate vaccine. Rates of had similar risk proles. Second, they did not
reduction for age-specic subgroups were probably not signicantly change the proportion of young children in
signicant because of inadequate numbers studied. each group. Third, there was less than 15% attrition
Second, the incidence of clinically conrmed from either group and less than 10% attrition overall,
pneumonia, severe pneumonia, and other respiratory well below the projected rate of 20%. Finally, blinding of
illnesses was lower in the treatment group. Zinc might FRAs was not affected because a proportion of children
be progressively protective against more invasive and in both zinc and placebo groups reacted to the taste such
severe disease, leading to an 85% reduction in overall that the treatment could not be distinguished. The
mortality, primarily owing to pneumonia. Zinc astringent taste of the concentrated zinc syrup, and
supplementation was associated with a reduction in attempts to duplicate the taste in the placebo, probably
otitis-media incidence. Otitis media is a common contributed to regurgitation among young children, and
paediatric infection, particularly in less developed their withdrawal. Present strategies for giving zinc orally
countries,24,25 with important sequelae.2629 Our ndings are dispersible tablets, which seem to be well tolerated.
suggest that zinc could result in substantial treatment- Our ndings suggest that among young children zinc
cost savings, reduction in hearing-related disabilities, has a substantial protective effect against pneumonia,
and improved quality of life. severe pneumonia, suppurative otitis media, and most
Third, although we have no aetiological data, importantly, mortality secondary to pneumonia.
bronchiolitis and upper respiratory tract infection are Treatment with zinc had a modest effect on diarrhoea
likely to be viral, whereas most cases of severe and growth, and no measurable adverse effects on
pneumonia and pneumonia-related deaths are more copper or haemoglobin. Future studies should assess
likely to be bacterial; the incidence of all these disorders the optimum dose and length of protection after periodic
was reduced by zinc. Zinc could have a substantial effect, zinc supplementation.
independent of aetiology, but may have larger effects on Conict of interest statement
more severe (possibly bacterial) disease. We declare that we have no conict of interest.
Fourth, zinc was found to be safe in young children at Contributors
a weekly dose of 70 mg. Apart from vomiting in a small WAB was the principal investigator and provided primary conception,
subpopulation, which may have caused early dropouts, design, execution, data analysis, and preparation of the paper. MS was
the co-principal investigator, and was involved in the design, execution,
there has been concern that long-term zinc data analysis, and paper preparation. AN oversaw the daily execution of
supplementation may interfere with iron and copper the study, data collection and entry, and the eld staff. DG was the chief
absorption. If this were the case we would expect to see medical ofcer responsible for clinical protocol adherence. MAW did
decreased serum haemoglobin, copper, and white blood the assays of zinc and copper. MD-W assisted with data analysis and
paper preparation. ASGF assisted with study conception, design,
cells, none of which we observed. training, and completion, and helped to prepare the paper. REB was the
Fifth, our ndings with a weekly dose are an important senior team member and contributed to the design, interim discussions
step forward in our thinking about, and programmatic of the research progress, data analysis, and paper preparation.
use of, zinc. Daily regimens, though promising, might Acknowledgments
not be practical for long-term use. This study suggests The research was funded by Johns Hopkins Family Health and Child
that weekly dosing is benecial and cost effective, even Survival Cooperative Agreement with the US Agency for International
Development, the Swiss Development Corporation, and a cooperative
with reduced compliance. A previous study found a 40% agreement between the US Agency for International Development
reduction in the rate of acute lower respiratory infection (HRN-A-00-96-90005-00) and core donors to the Centre for Health and
in malnourished children receiving both iron and zinc Population Research. We are grateful to ACME Laboratories Ltd for
preparation of the zinc and placebo syrups.
(20 mg once weekly);30 these results could be more
modest than ours because of the dose. Dosing intervals References
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