Community Risk Register v5

Avon and Somerset
Local Resilience Forum
COMMUNITY RISK REGISTER

Maintained in accordance with Regulation 15(1) of The
Civil Contingencies Act 2004 (Contingency Planning)
Regulations 2005.
Version 5.0
August 2014
Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum Version: 5.0 (August 2014)
Risk Assessment Group Review Date: August 2016
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DOCUMENT HISTORY
Date Version Summary of changes

Sep Dec 3.3 Amendments following review of risk assessments and categorisation of risks
2010
Jan 2011 4.0 Published following review
July 2014 5.0 Review and redraft of Individual risk and register and formatted to 2014 Local
Risk Management Guidance for Civil Emergencies.
DISTRIBUTION HISTORY
Date Name Role Version

December Avon and Somerset Local Resilience 3.3
2010 Forum Risk Assessment Group
January Avon and Somerset Local Resilience 4.0
July Avon and Somerset Local Resilience 5.0
Document owner: Avon & Somerset LRF Executive Group

Document author: Avon and Somerset LRF Coordinator
Executive Sponsor Amanda Deeks, Chief Executive South Gloucestershire
Council
Next review date: July 2016
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Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum
Community Risk Register (V5.0)
This Community Risk Register (CRR) is maintained in accordance with Regulation 15(1) of The Civil
Contingencies Act 2004 (Contingency Planning) Regulations 2005 and owned by the Executive Group of
the Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum.
Contents
Serial Title Page
A/B Document history / Distribution history 2

1 Introduction and background 4
2 Community Risk Register
Summary of risk ratings 8
Contact details for Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum 32
Appendices
1 Likelihood and impact scoring scales

Risk rating matrix
Exclusion notes
1 The main text in Section 3 of the Community Risk Register covers non-malicious events (i.e. hazards)
rather than threats (i.e. terrorist incidents). Although Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum
addresses threats within its risk assessment work, the sensitivity of the information supporting these risk
assessments and the potential use by adversaries, means that details will not be made available in the
public.
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1 Introduction and background
2.1 The Civil Contingencies Act 2004 (The Act) places a legal duty on Category 1 responders to produce
a Community Risk Register. Section 2, sub-section 1 of the Act requires Category 1 responders from
time to time assess the risk of an emergency occurring and from time to time assess the risk of an
emergency making it necessary or expedient for the person or body to perform any of its functions. This
should be linked to individual Category 1 responders processes of adding to (or modifying) their own
individual plans.
2.2 In the event of an emergency, the Act requires Category 1 responders to activate an emergency plan.
Before the activation of such a plan is necessary, two tests should be carried out:
a) where the emergency would be likely to seriously obstruct its ability to perform its functions; and
b) where the Category 1 responder considers it necessary or desirable to act to prevent, reduce,
control, or mitigate the emergencys effects, or otherwise take action and would be unable to act
without changing the deployment of its resources or acquiring additional resources.
2.3 Only serious emergencies are deemed to be covered by the risk assessment process. It need not
cover large pre-planned events, as a risk assessment should form part of the planning stage for these.
2.4 The Civil Contingencies Act 2004 (Contingency Planning) Regulations 2005 give the legal
requirements in relation to risk assessment in Part 3. These regulations place a responsibility on Category
1 responders to co-operate with each other in maintaining a Community Risk Register (CRR). Detailed
guidance on the risk assessment process can be found within Chapter 4 (and its annexes) of the
Emergency Preparedness guidance document which has been published by HM Government.
2.5 This guidance states that the risk assessment process is the first step in the emergency planning
process in order to identify the risks applicable to their area and then plan according to the priorities
identified. The process is divided into six stages; these are:
a) Set the Context
Define the scope of the project (relate to definition of emergency in the Act see Section 4) and
the process to be followed.
Identify stakeholders.
Set out risk evaluation criteria and principles.
Review or describe social, economic, cultural, infrastructural and environmental issues within
local context.
b) Hazard review and allocation for assessment

a. Identify those non-malicious hazards that present significant risks (i.e. could give rise to an
emergency) in their areas over the next five years. These hazards will be identified on the basis
of experience, research or other information. A lead agency is identified to conduct each
individual risk assessment.
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Category 1 responders provisionally identify and describe hazards which might give rise to an
emergency in the next five years and those which will not. This process takes into account
centrally provided guidance and draws on information provided by Category 2 responders.
Category 1 responders identify lead risk assessors.
Local Resilience Forum (LRF) endorses hazards to be assessed and determines lead assessor
responsibility.
Risk Assessment Group (RAG) reviews hazards identified at LRF for confirmation or possible
amendment.
RAG confirms lead allocation and identifies any other agencies with key roles.
RAG agrees a project plan with deadlines for assessing individual or groups of hazards.
The Avon and Somerset LRF had agreed to update the CRR on a bi-annual basis.
c) Risk analysis
Lead assessor considers the likelihood of hazards occurrence drawing on generic assessments
from central Government, other research and knowledge of Category 1 responders.
Lead assessor suggests the range of potential impacts arising from the hazards as well as any
vulnerability surrounding these, and discusses with RAG.
Lead assessor captures assessment details for each hazard and related reasoning within the
individual risk assessment form. This generates a provisional risk statement with likelihood,
impact(s) and an overall risk assessment for evaluation by RAG.
d) Risk evaluation
RAG considers the individual risk assessments, compares the results to the risk criteria, and
confirms or modifies assessments as appropriate.
Agreed assessments are collated and incorporated into CRR.
Risk matrix is plotted for hazards.
RAG incorporates into CRR threat statements provided by central Government within the Local
Risk Management Guidance (formerly Local Risk Assessment Guidance), but does not assess
likelihood or impact.
RAG identifies existing capabilities and mitigation plans for the hazards and threats and:
considers the acceptability of risks;
identifies and recommends options for risk treatment for the LRF; and
makes recommendations to the LRF on risk priorities for hazards and threats.
LRF reviews the CRR and risk matrix in light of the evaluation criteria, and amends as
appropriate.
LRF determines the acceptability of the risks before considering treatment.
e) Risk treatment
RAG reviews the capability challenges posed by the risks against existing capabilities, mitigation
plans or known gaps.
RAG sets risk priorities.
RAG evaluates proposed options for additional treatment of risks and agrees risk treatment plan.
The Avon and Somerset LRF take a capabilities approach to risk mitigation on an all hazards
basis as opposed to mitigation against each individual risk.
Required actions are addressed through capability task and finish groups, directed by the
Business Management Group.
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Capability is the tested ability for multi-agency partners to effectively respond to and recover from
a particular threat or hazard.
Monitoring and Review
There is a rolling process to review all individual risk assessment on a bi-annual basis; risks are
grouped by hazard type, assessed against reasonable worst case scenario. Risk are also
monitored, reviewed and updated against actual incidents, exercises and changes in the risk
environment.
3: Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum
3.1 The Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum (LRF) includes representatives of all Category 1 and
Category 2 responders1 within the Avon and Somerset area. It also includes representatives from agencies
that are not included in the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 but are considered essential local planning
partners (e.g. the military).
3.2 The LRF formed a Risk Assessment Group to develop and maintain this CRR when it met on 15 July
2004.
3.3 The inclusion of a hazard or a particular scenario (i.e. the outcome description) does not mean that the
LRF believes the risk will materialise, or that if it was to do so that it would be at that scale. Risk scenarios
are worst case assumptions to inform risk assessments.
3.4 The likelihood assessments relate to the risk occurring over a five-year period at the magnitude
reflected within the outcome description. The magnitude is based on an assessment of a worst case
scenario.
3.5 As part of the risk assessment process, the LRF considers the likelihood and impact of a range of
hazards occurring. This work a statutory duty under the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 is an ongoing
process and examples are provided for all of the hazards to illustrate the individual assessment work that
has been completed. Further details are available from the LRF.
1
as defined by Schedule 1 of the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 (c.36).
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2 Community Risk Register

Avon and Somerset LRF Community Risk Register Version 5.0
'HL' hazards which would not ordinarily prompt a national response and would usually be dealt with locally (nationally defined)
'L' - hazards which have been added to national outcome descriptions as a result of local considerations (locally defined)
All outcome description codes are followed by a sequential numerical suffix (either nationally defined for 'H' and 'HL' codes or locally defined for
'L' codes.
DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

RISK HAZARD OR THREAT SUB- OUTCOME DESCRIPTION LIKELIHOOD IMPACT RISK RISK
REF. NO. CATEGORY RATING ASSESSMENT
ASSESSOR
Industrial accidents and environmental pollution
H1 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG or H1 Up to 3km around site causing up to 500 Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
LNG terminal (or associated fatalities and up to 1,500 casualties. Gas (2) Rescue
onshore feedstock pipeline) or terminal event likely to be of short duration once Service
flammable gas storage sites. feed lines are isolated; event at a storage site
could last for days if the explosion damaged
control equipment. (1.1)Gas shortage not
expected but some disconnections of intensive
users. Disruptions to transport services (road
and rail) locally for up to a week< and to
provision of health services locally.
HL25 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG, HL25 Up to 1km around site, causing up to 50 Low (1) Significant MEDIUM Avon Fire and
LNG, and other gas onshore fatalities and 150 casualties (1.3) (4) Rescue
feedstock pipeline and Service
flammable gas storage sites
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HL25/L1 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG, L1 Incident spread off-site with more than five Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire and
LNG, and other gas onshore fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, evacuation Rescue
feedstock pipeline and beyond the cordon and significant effects on gas Service
flammable gas storage sites distribution systems (top-tier sites).
HL25/L2 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG, L2 Incident spread off-site with more than five Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire and
LNG, and other gas onshore fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, evacuation Rescue
feedstock pipeline and beyond the cordon and significant effects on gas Service
flammable gas storage sites distribution systems (lower-tier sites).
HL25/L3 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG, L3 Incident contained on-site, up to five Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
LNG, and other gas onshore fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, advice to (4) Rescue
feedstock pipeline and shelter but no evacuation beyond the cordon and Service
flammable gas storage sites no significant effect on gas distribution systems
(top-tier sites).
HL25/L4 Fire or explosion at a gas LPG, L4 Incident contained on-site, up to five Medium (3) Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
LNG, and other gas onshore fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, advice to Rescue
feedstock pipeline and shelter but no evacuation beyond the cordon and Service
flammable gas storage sites no significant effect on gas distribution systems
(lower-tier sites).
HL1 Fire or explosion at a gas HL1 Up to 3km around site causing up to 10 Low (1) Significant MEDIUM Avon Fire and
terminal or involving a gas fatalities and 100 casualties. (1.2) (4) Rescue
pipeline. Service
HL1/L5 Fire or explosion at a gas L5 Incident spread off-site with more than five Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire and
terminal or involving a gas fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, evacuation Rescue
pipeline. beyond the cordon and significant effects on gas Service
distribution systems.
HL1/L6 Fire or explosion at a gas L6 incident contained on-site, up to five Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
terminal or involving a gas fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, advice to (4) Rescue
pipeline. shelter but no evacuation beyond the cordon and Service
no significant effect on gas distribution systems.
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H4 (Localised) fire or explosion at a H4 Up to 3km around site causing up to 150 Medium-low Significant HIGH Avon Fire and
fuel distribution site or tank fatalities and 2,000 casualties. (1.9) (2) (4) Rescue
storage of flammable and/or Service
toxic liquids.
HL28 (Localised) fire or explosion at a HL28 Up to 1km around the site causing up to Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
fuel distribution site or tank 15 fatalities and 200 casualties. (1.10) (2) Rescue
toxic liquids.
HL28/L7 (Localised) fire or explosion at a L7 Affecting both on-site and off-site Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
fuel distribution site or tank (2) Rescue
toxic liquids.
HL28/L8 On site fire or explosion at a fuel L8 Affecting on-site only Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
distribution site or tank storage of (4) Rescue
flammable and/or toxic liquids. Service
H5 Fire or explosion at an onshore H5 Up to 1km around site causing up to 100 Low (1) Significant MEDIUM Avon Fire and
fuel pipeline. fatalities and 500 casualties. (1.11) (4) Rescue
Service
H5/L9 Fire or explosion at an onshore L9 Incident spread beyond a 500m cordon with Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire and
fuel pipeline. more than five fatalities and/or 20 Rescue
hospitalisations, evacuation beyond the cordon. Service
H5/L10 Fire or explosion at an onshore L10 Incident contained within a 500m cordon, Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
fuel pipeline. up to five fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, (4) Rescue
advice to shelter but no evacuation beyond the Service
cordon
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H7 (Localised) explosion at a (high H7 Local to site causing up to 200 fatalities Low (1) Moderate (2) MEDIUM Somerset
pressure) natural gas pipeline. and up to 200 casualties. (1.13) County Council
HL30 (Localised) explosion at a natural HL30 Causing up to 100 fatalities and up to Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDIUM Somerset
gas pipeline. 100 casualties. (1.14) (2) County Council
H8 (Very) large toxic chemical H8 Up to 10km from site causing up to 2,000 Medium low Significant HIGH Environment
release. fatalities and 10,000 casualties. Toxic release (2) (4) Agency
could be due to loss of containment of chlorine
or a number of other chemicals, e.g. anhydrous
hydrofluoric acid, refrigerated ammonia, sulphur
dioxide (or trioxide) gas.
H9 Large toxic chemical release. H9 Up to 3km from site causing up to 50 Medium (3) Minor (2) MEDIUM Environment
fatalities and up to 2,000 casualties. Agency
HL2 Localised industrial accident HL2 - Up to 3km from site causing up to 30 Medium (3) Significant Very Environment
involving large toxic release (e.g. fatalities and up to 250 casualties. (1.17) (4) High Agency
from a site storing large
quantities of chlorine).
HL3 Localised industrial accident HL3 Up to 1km from site causing up to 10 Medium (3) Moderate HIGH Environment
involving small toxic release. fatalities and up to 100 casualties. (1.18) (3) Agency
H10 Radioactive substance release H10 Up to 4km from site causing up to 150 Low (1) Significant MEDIUM Environment
from a nuclear reactor. fatalities and 1,500 casualties. (4) Agency
HL31 Limited radioactive substance HL31 Up to 1km from site causing up to 50 Low (1) Catastrophic HIGH Environment
release from a nuclear accident. fatalities and 500 casualties. (1.20) (5) Agency
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H11 Accidental release of radioactive H11 Up to 5 fatalities and up to 100 Low (1) Significant(3) MEDIUM Environment
material from incorrectly handled contaminated people requiring medical Agency
or disposed of sources. monitoring. Many worried people may present at
hospitals. Radiation may be spread over several
kilometres but most concentration where source
is opened.
H12 Biological substance release H12 Up to 10 fatalities and serious injuries or Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Public Health
from facility where pathogens are off-site impact resulting in a 1,000 casualties. England
handled deliberately (e.g. (1.22)
pathogen release from
containment laboratory).
H46 Biological substance release H46 - Up to 10 fatalities and serious injuries or High (5) Limited(1) Low Public Health
during an unrelated work activity off-site impact resulting in up to 1,000 casualties. England
or industrial process (e.g. (1.23)
Legionella release due to
improperly maintained building
environment-al control systems).
H14 Major contamination incident H14 There may be direct animal and consumer Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Bristol City
with widespread implications for health effects arising from this incident. We (4) Council
the food chain, arising from: assume a small number of fatalities and
casualties, although the public health
implications of food incidents vary widely.1 It
should be noted that events such as these, that
cause an increase in exposure to human
carcinogens, raise the risk of fatality even though
the casualty cannot be identified.
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H15 Maritime pollution. H15 Release of 100,000 tonnes of crude oil Medium -Low Significant HIGH Maritime and
into the sea, polluting up to 200km of coastline. (2) (4) Coastguard
Agency
HL4 Major pollution of surface waters HL4 Pollution incident impacting upon surface High (5) Minor (2) MEDIUM Environment
and ground waters waters (for example, could be caused by Agency
chemical spillage or release of untreated
sewage) leading to persistent and/or extensive
effect on water quality, major damage to aquatic
ecosystems, closure of potable abstraction
point(s), major impact on amenity (i.e. tourism)
value, serious impact on human health.
HL6 Major air quality incident. HL6 Pollution incident (for example Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Environment
uncontrolled emission from an industrial facility (4) Agency
or uncontrolled release of landfill gas) leading to
persistent and/or extensive effect on air quality,
major damage to local ecosystem, major effect
on amenity (i.e. tourism) value and serious
impact on human health. (No reference)
HL7 Industrial explosions and major HL7 - Up to 1km around site causing up to 20 Medium-low Significant HIGH Avon Fire and
fires. casualties some of a serious nature. Explosions (2) (4) Rescue
would cause primarily crush / cuts and bruises Service
type injuries, as well as burns.
HL/7L11 Industrial explosions and major L11 Effect contained to the site of the incident Medium-high Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire and
fires. (and immediate surroundings) with few or no (4) Rescue
injuries. Service
HL33 Forest or moorland fire. HL33 Forest or moorland fire across up to 50 Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDUIM Avon Fire and
hectares. Evacuation of up to 100 residential (2) Rescue
homes required. Service
HL33/L28 Forest or moorland fire. L28 Forest / moorland fire, area greater than High (5) Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
10 hectares. Rescue
Service
HL/33L29 Forest or moorland fire. L29 Forest / moorland fire, area less than 10 High (5) Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
hectares but greater than one hectare Rescue
Service
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HL33/L30 Forest or moorland fire. L30 Forest / moorland fire, area less than one High (5) Limited(1) LOW Avon Fire and
hectare Rescue
Service
HL32 Localised maritime pollution. HL32 Release of 10,000 tonnes of oil into the Medium-low Significant HIGH Maritime and
sea, polluting up to 100km of coastline. (No (2) (4) Coastguard
reference) Agency

ASSESSOR
Transport accidents
HL8 Fire, flooding stranding or HL8 Up to 50 fatalities and up to 100 Medium-low Catastrophic VERY Maritime and
collision involving a passenger casualties. (2.3) (2) (5) HIGH Coastguard
vessel in, or close to, UK waters Agency
or on inland waterways, leading
to the ships evacuation.
H16 Aviation accident over a semi- H16 Loss of up to two aircraft and passengers, Low (1) Significant MEDIUM North
urban area with debris over a semi-urban area. (2.5) (4) Somerset
Council
HL9 Aviation accident. HL9 Causing up to 50 fatalities and up to 250 Low (1) Moderate MEDIUM North
casualties. (2.6) (3) Somerset
Council
L15 Aviation accident outside LRF L15 Involving up to 50 fatalities and up to 250 Medium (3) Minor (2) MEDIUM North
area. casualties from the LRF area. Somerset
Council
HL10 Local accident on motorways HL10 Multiple vehicle incidents causing up to Medium- Moderate HIGH Avon and
and major trunk roads. 10 fatalities and up to 20 casualties (internal high(4) (3) Somerset
injuries, fractures, possible burns); closure of Constabulary &
lanes or carriageways causing major disruption Highways
and delays. (2.7) Agency
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HL11 Railway accident. HL11 Up to 30 fatalities and up to 100 Medium (3) Moderate HIGH British
casualties (fractures, internal injuries burns (3) Transport
less likely). Possible loss of freight. Major Police
disruption to rail line including possible closure
of rail tunnel. (2.8)
HL11/L16 Railway accident. L16 Incident spread beyond a 500m cordon Medium (3) Moderate HIGH Avon Fire and
with more than five fatalities and/or 20 (3) Rescue
HL11/L17 Railway accident. L17 Incident contained within a 500m cordon, Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
up to five fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, (4) Rescue
cordon.
HL14 Local (road) accident involving HL14 Up to 30 fatalities and up to 20 Low (1) Significant MEDIUM Avon Fire and
transport of fuel / explosives. casualties within vicinity of accident / explosion. (4) Rescue
Area would require evacuating up to 1km radius Service
depending on substances involved. Potential
release of up to 30 tonnes of liquid fuel into local
environment, watercourses, etc. Large
quantities of firefighting media (foam) would
impact on environment. Roads and access
routes impassable for a time. Emergency
access into / out of large populated areas
difficult or impossible. (2.11)
HL14/L18 Local (road) accident involving L18 Incident spread beyond a 500m cordon Medium (3) Moderate HIGH Avon Fire and
transport of fuel / explosives. with more than five fatalities and/or 20 (3) Rescue
HL14/L19 Local (road) accident involving L19 Incident contained within a 500m cordon, Medium-high Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon Fire and
transport of fuel / explosives. up to five fatalities and/or 20 hospitalisations, (4) Rescue
cordon.
HL34 Fire, flooding, stranding or HL34 Up to 50 fatalities and 100 casualties. Medium-low Catastrophic VERY Maritime and
collision involving a passenger (2.2) (2) (5) HIGH Coastguard
vessel in, or close to, UK waters Agency
leading to the ships evacuation
or partial evacuation at sea.
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HL37 Release of significant quantities HL37 Fatalities and casualties unlikely. Medium-low Significant HIGH Maritime and
of hazardous chemicals / Significant environmental / ecological damage. (2) (4) Coastguard
materials as a result of a major (2.4) Agency
shipping accident.
HL13 Maritime accident or deliberate HL13 Loss of port is likely to have an initial Low (1) Maritime and
blockade resulting in blockage of wider impact, but will quickly reduce as shippers Coastguard
access to key port, estuary, seek alternative ports or methods of shipping. Agency (in
maritime route for more than one Economic impact on local dependent liaison with
month. businesses. (2.10) Port
Authorities)
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ASSESSOR
Severe weather
H17 Storms and gales. H17 Storm force winds affecting most of the Medium (3) Significant VERY Somerset
region for at least six hours. Most inland, (4) HIGH County Council
lowland areas experience mean speeds in
excess of 55 mph with gusts in excess of 85
mph. Up to 50 fatalities and 500 casualties.
Disruption to infrastructure including power,
transport networks, homes and businesses for
up to 5 days.
H18 Low temperatures and heavy H18 Snow falling and lying over most of the Medium-high Significant VERY Somerset
snow. area for at least one week. After an initial fall of (4) (4) HIGH County Council
snow there is further snow fall on and off for at
least 7 days. Most lowland areas experience
some falls in excess of 10cm, a depth of snow in
excess of 30cm and a period of at least 7
consecutive days with daily mean temperature
below -3C. Up to 30 fatalities and thousands of
casualties, mainly due to slips trips and falls.
However there will be a large number of excess
morbidity/mortality above the number in normal
winter, some disruption to transport networks,
businesses, power supply and water supply and
also school closures.
H48 Heat wave. H48 Daily maximum temperatures in excess of Medium-low Moderate MEDIUM Somerset
28C and minimum temperatures in excess of (2) (3) County Council
15C over most of the region for around 2 weeks
for at least five consecutive days where
maximum temperatures exceed 32 C. Up to
1000 fatalities and 5000 casualties, mainly
amongst the elderly. (3.3)
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H19 Flooding: major coastal and tidal H19 Combination of high tides and major sea Medium (3) Significant VERY Environment
flooding affecting more than two surge, resulting from gale force winds and heavy (4) HIGH Agency
UK regions. rainfall. Many coastal regions and tidal reaches
of rivers affected by overtopping or failure
(breach) of coastal and/or estuary defences,
plus consequential 'backup' of drainage.
Inundation from breaches in defences would be
rapid and dynamic with minimal warning and no
time to evacuate, inundation from overtopping of
defences would allow as little as 4 hours to
evacuate. Wide- spread structural damage.
There is a 0.5% probability of the following major
coastal and tidal flooding event happening within
the 5 year period: - 360,000 properties (homes
and businesses). Housing up to 506,000 people,
for up to 14 days. People stranded over a large
area. Up to 2,000 'missing' persons i.e. those
not accounted for during the first 48hrs before
the police can reunite with family and friends. Up
to 600 fatalities and 2,000 casualties. 107,000
people on caravan and camping sites affected
during high season. Up to 400,000 evacuees,
with 130,000 requiring assistance with
evacuation. Estimated that 11,000 people would
be in need of rescue or assistance in situ, over a
36 hour period.
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H21 Flooding: Severe inland flooding H21 A single massive fluvial event or multiple Medium (3) Catastrophic VERY Environment
affecting parts of more than two concurrent regional events following a sustained (5) HIGH Agency
UK regions. period of heavy rainfall extending over two
weeks (perhaps combined with snow melt and
surface water flooding). The event would
include severe fluvial flooding affecting a large
single urban area. Closure of primary transport
routes. Some infrastructure collapse. Sediment
movement and contamination of water supplies.
Loss of essential services (gas, electricity and
telecoms) to 0.2m homes for up to 14 days. Up
to 5000 people needing assistance with
sheltering for up to 12 months. Significant
economic damage.
HL16 Local coastal / tidal flooding HL16 Sea surge, spring tides, gale force winds Medium (3) Catastrophic VERY Environment
(affecting more than one region). and/or heavy rainfall affecting more than one (5) HIGH Agency
region, some defences overtopped or failing at
multiple locations. Flooding of 1,000 to 10,000
properties for up to 14 days. Up to 20 fatalities,
300 casualties and up to 200 missing persons.
Up to 50,000 people (including tourists) in
coastal villages and towns evacuated from
flooded sites. People stranded over a large area
and up to 5,000 people in need of rescue. Up to
10,000 people needing assistance with
sheltering for up to 12 months. Multi-agency
response invoked, possible large-scale
evacuation required. Suddenness of failure of
defences would not be possible to predict. Tidal
inundation would be rapid and wave impact
would cause structural damage to properties.
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HL17 Local coastal / tidal flooding (in HL17 Sea surge, high tides and/or gale force Medium-high Significant VERY Environment
one region). winds affecting the coastline and one region, (4) (4) HIGH Agency
some defences overtopped or failing at a
multiple locations flooding of 1,000 to 10,000
properties for up to 14 days. Up to 20 fatalities,
300 casualties and up to 200 missing persons.
Up to 50,000 people (including tourists) in
coastal villages and towns evacuated from
flooded sites. People stranded over a large area
and up to 5,000 people in need of rescue. Up to
10,000 people needing assistance with
sheltering for up to 12 months. Multi-agency
response invoked, possible large scale
evacuation require. Suddenness of failure of
defences would not be possible to predict. Tidal
inundation would be rapid and wave impact
would cause structural damage to properties.
Impact on infrastructure includes: widespread
disruption for 7 - 14 days, salt damage, road and
bridge damage, debris and contaminated water
supplies and pollutants from affected
businesses. Rural impacts include: widespread
livestock carcasses, winterborne diseases,
some properties destroyed and others
uninhabitable for 12 months.
HL18 Local / Urban flooding (fluvial or HL18 - A sustained period of heavy rainfall Medium (3) Significant VERY Environment
surface run-off). extending over two weeks, perhaps combined (4) HIGH Agency
with snow melt, resulting in flash flooding and
steadily rising river levels across entire counties
and could threaten a large urban town.
Localised flooding of 1,000 to 10,000 properties
for two-seven days. Up to 15 fatalities and 150
casualties. Up to 15,000 people evacuated. Up
to 500 people stranded over a large area and in
need of rescue. There would be major impact
on road and rail links, making them impassable
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for up to five days.

HL20 Localised, extremely hazardous HL20 Heavy localised rainfall in steep valley Medium-Low Significant HIGH Environment
flash flooding. catchment leading to flash flooding (e.g. high (2) (4) Agency
velocities and depths). Likely that no flood
defenses in place. Probably no flood warning
service available / or suddenness of events
means timely flood warnings not possible.
Flooding of up to 200 properties. (NB: the
outcome is essentially the same as H44 dam
or reservoir failure.) (3.11)
H50 Drought. H50 Periodic weather supply interruptions Medium low Minor (2) MEDIUM Environment
affecting 385,000 businesses in London for up to (2) Agency
10 months. Emergency Drought Orders in place
authorizing rota cuts in supply according to
needs of priory users as directed in Secretary of
State. The 2.24 million households in London
would not be subjected to supply interruptions.
(3.4)
HL19 Local fluvial flooding HL19 A sustained period of heavy rainfall Medium-high Significant VERY Environment
extending over two weeks, perhaps combined (4) (4) HIGH Agency
with snow melt, resulting in flash flooding and
steadily rising river levels within a region.
Localised flooding of 100 to 1,000 properties for
2-7 days. Up to five fatalities and 50 casualties.
Up to 5,000 people evacuated. Up to 200
people stranded over a large area and in need
of rescue. There would be some impact on
minor roads and some A roads and trunk roads
impassable for a time. Some main rail lines may
need to be closed for a week (for repairs etc.).
Most waterways would be closed to traffic
because of strong currents and high water
levels.
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ASSESSOR
Structural hazards
HL21 Land movement (i.e. caused by HL21 Roads and access routes impassable for Low (1) Minor (2) LOW Bath and North
tremors or landslides). a time. Emergency access into / out of large East Somerset
populated areas difficult or impossible; severe Council
congestion over wide geographical area. Loss
of power and other essential services over wide
geographical area. Potential for a number of
persons to be trapped or missing either in
landslide itself and/or in collapsed structures. A
number of fatalities are possible depending on
the size and location of land movement and the
limitations of emergency access to injured
persons.
HL22 Building collapse. HL22 Potential for a number of persons to be Medium - Low Minor (2) MEDIUM Bath and North
trapped or missing. Localised loss of power and (2) East Somerset
other essential services. Local access routes Council
affected due to road closures. Depending on
the size and construction of building and
occupation rates, there will always remain the
possibility of fatalities and or serious casualties.
HL23 Bridge collapse. HL23 Roads, access roads and transport Low (1) Moderate MEDIUM Bath and North
infrastructure impassable for considerable length (3) East Somerset
of time. Severe congestion over wide Council
geographical area. Emergency access into / out
of large populated areas severely restricted.
Potential for a number of persons to be trapped
or missing. (4.3)
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H44 Major reservoir dam failure / H44 Collapse without warning resulting in Medium (3) Catastrophic VERY Environment
collapse. almost instantaneous flooding. Significant (5) HIGH Agency
movement of debris (including vehicles) and
sediment. Complete destruction of some
residential and commercial properties and
serious damage of up to 500 properties.
Several thousand other properties could be
flooded. Up to 200 fatalities. Up to 1,000
casualties. Up to 50 missing persons and
people stranded. Hazardous recovery amongst
collapsed infrastructure and debris. Water
supply to homes and business is lost. Up to 200
people need temporary accommodation for 2-18
months. (4.4)

ASSESSOR
Human health
H23 Influenza type disease H23 Each pandemic is different and the nature Medium-high Significant VERY Public Health
(pandemic). of the virus and its impacts cannot be known in (4) (4) HIGH England
advance. Previous pandemics have led to
markedly different outcomes. Based on
understanding of previous pandemics, a
pandemic is more likely to occur in one or more
waves, possibly weeks or months apart. Each
wave may last between 12 - 15 weeks. Up to
half the population could be affected. All ages
affected but until the virus emerges we cannot
know which groups will be most at risk.
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H24 Emerging infectious disease. Precise impact will depend upon the Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Public Health
effectiveness of antibiotics and antivirals in England
fighting the infection, based upon the experience
of the outbreak of SARS in 2002, the worst case
likely impact of such an outbreak originating
outside the UK would be cases occurring
amongst returning travelers and their families
and close contacts, with spread to health care
workers within the hospital setting. Short- term
disruptions to local hospital intensive care
facilities, Possible disruption of several weeks to
elective procedures, public concern about travel,
within and beyond the UK and possible
international travel restriction advice.
HL24 Localised legionella / meningitis HL24 Localised outbreak of a disease which Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Public Health
outbreak. could cause approx. 500 identified cases leading England
to 20 fatalities.
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REF. NO. CATEGORY RATING ASSESSMEN
T ASSESSOR
Animal health
H25 Non-zoonotic notifiable animal H25 (including H26) There are over 30 notifiable Medium-High Moderate (3) HIGH South
diseases (e.g. foot and mouth diseases, many of which have never been seen (4) Gloucester-
disease (FMD), classical swine in the UK, Notifiable diseases are those, which if shire Council
fever, blue tongue and suspected must be reported to the local office of
Newcastle disease of birds). the animal health veterinary lab. agency
(AHVLA), Notifiable disease can either be
endemic or exotic, some endemic and exotic
diseases are also zoonotic (can pass between
animals and humans such as rabies).Exotic
notifiable animal diseases outbreaks can vary in
size from a single affected animal to a major
epidemic affecting hundreds or thousands of
premises. A realistic worst case scenario might
involve the culling and disposal of up to 4 million
animals across GB with up to 900 infected
premises, causing disruption to local economies
and the environment. Impacting farm incomes
and allied industries, potential for social and
public health impacts, especially for large
outbreaks. All outbreaks will result on some
impacts on at least one premises and on
international trade, also possible impact on
public health and require an integrated multi
agency approach
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T ASSESSOR
Public protest / disorder
H28 Large-scale public protest. H28 Large-scale public protests. Tens of Low (1) Moderate (3) MEDIUM Avon and
thousands of highly motivated protestors, Somerset
including a hard core of 2,000 protestors, Constabulary
causing physical damage, requiring a nationally
coordinated police response.
H29 Targeted disruptive protest, e.g. H29 Nationally coordinated protest could High (5) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon and
fuel protest. generate shortages of essential supplies, and Somerset
lasts for up to one week. Constabulary
L32 Illegal / unlicensed gatherings. L32 A large number of people, usually in High (5) Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon and
excess of 1000, gathered illegally on land either Somerset
for the purpose of camping or for the purpose of Constabulary
an illegal rave for a period in excess of 3 days.
L33 Spontaneous public disorder. L33 Spontaneous public disorder as a result of Medium-high Moderate (3) HIGH Avon and
an event or incident (a flash point). Large (4) Somerset
numbers of the community involved in disorder Constabulary
at one or more locations resulting in severe
community impact and a localised breakdown in
law and order.
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DATE OF REVISION: JULY 2014

T ASSESSOR
Industrial action
HL42 Loss of cover due to industrial HL42 A number of three-day strikes with Medium-low Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon and
action by workers providing a significant support over a two month period (2) Somerset
service critical to the affecting a single emergency service. (7.1) Constabulary
preservation of life (such as
emergency service workers).
HL42/L42 Loss of cover due to industrial L42 A number of three-day strikes with Medium (3) Moderate(3) HIGH South West
action by workers providing a significant support over a two month period Ambulance
service critical to the affecting a single emergency service. Service NHS
preservation of life (such as Foundation
emergency service workers). Trust
H31 Significant or perceived H31 Retail filling stations, depending on the Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Bristol City
significant constraint on the extent of the disruption and their locations, Council
supply of fuel e.g. industrial would start to run dry between 24-48 hours. Oil
action by contract drivers for fuel depots for example those supplying emergency
blockades at key refineries/ services and critical supply chains, would also
terminals by protestors, due to face reduced deliveries and is likely that they
the price of fuel. would progressively begin to run short of fuel.
Panic buying would exacerbate the situation.
Replenishment of sites would take between 3-4
days largely depending on the extent of the
disruption, The extent of the disruption would
depend on the extent to which normal deliveries
of fuel to customers could be maintained.
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H30 Emergency services: loss of H30. Emergency services: Loss of emergency Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Avon Fire &
emergency fire and rescue fire and rescue cover because of industrial Rescue
cover because of industrial action and the failure of fire and rescue
action authorities to have adequate business continuity
arrangements in pace to provide cover. A series
of strikes by fire fighters takes place in a number
of fire and rescue authorities (>3), spread over a
period of two months lasting up to 48 hours
each.
H33 Unofficial strike action by prison H33 A single unofficial strike by prison officers Medium- low Minor (2) MEDIUM Avon and
officers. nationally, lasting more than 12 hours and (2) Somerset
resulting in a serious shortfall in the number of Constabulary
personnel available to operate and maintain
control of prisons, leading to prison riots and /or
serious disruptions to the CJS.
H35 Industrial action by key rail or H35 Strike action resulting in the near -total Low (1) Low (1) LOW British
London Underground workers shut down of the rail network on a national Transport
scale(e.g. action by key workers such as Police
signalers) or closure of approx. 70% of the
London Underground network, In both cases,
severe disruption would last for a week as part
of a 3 month campaign.
DATE OF REVISION: JULY 2014

ASSESSOR
International events
H37 Influx of British Nationals who H37 Up to 10,000 British Nationals (BNs) High (5) Limited (1) Low North
are not normally resident ion returning to the UK within a 4-6 week period Somerset
UK. following conventional war, widespread civil Council
unrest or sustained terrorism campaign against
British and other Western nationals.(8.1)
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ASSESSOR
Industrial technical failure
H38 Technical failure of a critical H38 Catastrophic accident destroying all Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Bristol City
upstream oil/gas facility, gas parts of a critical upstream facility and, in the Council
import pipeline terminal, or worst case, taking months or more to restore
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) normal levels of service. This could potentially
import reception facility leading result in up to 11% loss of gas supply to UK
to a disruption in upstream oil which could impact on power generation if
and gas production demand were high. As 40% of power is
generated by gas fired stations then a
reduction in generation might be felt.
Downstream oil would not be immediately
affected given alternative means of supply by
tanker from other countries.
H39 Failure of water infrastructure or H39 Loss of or non-availability for drinking of Medium-low Minor (2) MEDIUM Bristol City
loss of drinking water the piped water supply, for up to 50,000 (2) Council
people, for more than 24 hours and up to 3
days. (9.2)
H40 No notice loss of significant H40 Loss of telecommunications for up to High (5) Moderate (3) HIGH Bath and North
telecommunications 100,000 people for up to 72 hours. (9.4) East Somerset
infrastructure in a localised Council
incident such as a fire, flood or
gas incident.
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H41 Technical failure of national H41 Total blackout for up to 3-5 days due to Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Bristol City
electricity network. (Blackstart) loss of the National Grid. 3 days is the best Council
time. If there is damage to the network (say
from storms) this timescale could be extended
to up to 5 days. Possible loss of life support
machines, civil unrest, no alarms, street
lighting, gas heating, rail transport, water
supplies and mobile (PMT)
telecommunications etc. Backup generators
available for limited time for individual business
and emergency services in some instances.
(9.5)
H45 Technical failure of regional H45 Total shutdown of the electricity supply Medium (3) Moderate (3) HIGH Bristol City
electricity network. over an entire region of the UK occurring Council
during working week and lasting for 24 hours.
(9.7)
H49 Loss of drinking water supplies H49 - Loss of or non-availability for drinking, of Medium-low Moderate (3) MEDIUM Bristol City
due a major accident affecting the piped water supply, for a population of up (2) Council
infrastructure to 350,000, for more than 24 hours and up to 2
weeks. (9.3)
Jul-14
RISK OUTCOME DESCRIPTION LIKELIHOOD IMPACT RISK RISK
REF. NO. RATING ASSESSMENT
ASSESSOR
Other Risks
UXO - 1 Medium - High (4) Significant Very Bath and North
(4) High East Somerset
Discovery of unexploded ordnance or a cache of ammunition resulting in the Council
need for evacuation of properties in an 800m radius, closure of an
infrastructure within that radius and a controlled explosion in situ.
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Summary of risk ratings (reference numbers to be read in conjunction with the tables in Section 2 above)
HL31 HL8, HL34 H44

Key
Catastrophic
VH Very high
(5)
H High
M Medium
H8, H15, HL7, H17, HL2, H19, H18, HL17, L Low
HL25, HL1, H5, HL28, HL37,
Significant
HL16, HL18 H24 HL19 H23,
H10, H16, HL14, HL20 HL32
(4)
H21 UXO1
HL9, H11, HL23, H1, H4, L7, H48, L1, L3, L5, H24 HL10, HL24 H29, H40
Moderate
H28, HL 20, HL33, HL11, L9, L16, H25L11, L33,

Impact
(3)
H49 HL3, H12, L18,

L42, H31, H30,
H38, H41, H45,
HL21 H7, HL30, H50, L4, H9, L15 L3, L6, L8, HL6, HL4, L28, L29,
HL22, HL42, H14, L10, L17, L32
Minor
(2)
H33, H39, H49 L19
H35 H37, H46, L30

Limited
(1)
Low Medium-low Medium Medium-high High

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Likelihood
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Contact details for agencies with lead responsibilities
Note: Each entry in the Community Risk Register is supported by an individual risk assessment prepared in accordance with the principles set
out in Emergency Preparedness (the Governments guidance on Part 1 of the Civil Contingencies Act 2004, its associated Regulations
and non-statutory arrangements available at http://www.ukresilience.info/ccact/emergprepfinal.pdf). These individual risk assessments
are co-ordinated by the agency with lead responsibility for the relevant hazard or threat as indicated as identified in the individual risk
assessments.
Any enquiries regarding the individual risk assessments should be made to Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum at the address
provided below.
Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum
Police Headquarters, PO Box 37, Valley Road, Portishead, North Somerset BS20 8QJ
Tel: 01275 816974
Web: http://www.avonandsomersetprepared.org
Email: ASLRF@avonandsomerset.police.uk
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Appendix 1
Likelihood and impact scoring scales
Individual risks are assessed against national using a national risk assessment model. An overall risk is rated based on the likelihood of a hazard/
emergency occurring and the impact if it were to occur. Likelihood is the plausibility of a hazard occurring within the next five years and impact is the
reasonable worst case scenario caused by the hazard. Impact is assessed on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 meaning low impact and 5 high impact. Each level of
impact has the same five categories to consider when determining an impact score, the tables below summarise the impact category and the detailed
description that help determine an appropriate impact score. For any given risk different impact categories may be assessed as having different levels of
impact. In such circumstances an overall Impact score is decided by using the median hazard score.
In this CRR impact and likelihood scales were assessed using definitions in the Local Risk Assessment Guidance 2013. Risk ratings have been determined
against the Local Risk Management guidance for Civil emergencies (April 2014). All processes will be aligned to2014 guidance as part of the rolling review
process for the Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum.
Impact scoring scale qualitative measures
Category Explanation
Health Encompassing direct health impacts (numbers of people affected, fatalities, injuries, human illness or injury, health damage) and indirect health
impacts that arise because of strain on the health service.
Social Encompassing the social consequences of an event, including availability of social welfare provision; disruption of facilities for transport;
damage to property; disruption of a supply of money, food, water, energy or fuel; disruption of an electronic or other system of communication;
homelessness, evacuation and avoidance behaviour; and public disorder due to anger, fear, and/or lack of trust in the authorities.
Economic Encompassing the net economic cost, including both direct (e.g. loss of goods, buildings, infrastructure) and indirect (e.g. loss of business,
increased demand for public services) costs.
Environment Encompassing contamination or pollution of land, water or air with harmful biological / chemical / radioactive matter or oil, flooding, or disruption
or destruction of plant or animal life.
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Impact scoring scale qualitative measures
Level Descriptor Categories of impact Description of impact

1 Limited Health Insignificant number of injuries or impact on health.
Social Insignificant number of persons displaced and insignificant personal support required.
Insignificant disruption to community services, including transport services and infrastructure.
Economic Insignificant impact on local economy.
Environment Insignificant impact on environment.
2 Minor Health Small number of people affected no fatalities, and a small number of minor injuries with first aid
treatment.
Social Minor damage to properties.
Minor displacement of a small number of people for < 24 hours and minor personal support
required.
Minor localised disruption to community services or infrastructure < 24 hours.
Economic Negligible impact on local economy and cost easily absorbed.
Environment Minor impact on environment with no lasting effects.
3 Moderate Health Sufficient number of fatalities with some casualties requiring hospitalisation and medical treatment
and activation of MAJAX, the automated intelligent alert notification system, procedures in one or
more hospitals.
Social Damage that is confined to a specific location, or to a number of locations, but requires additional
resources.
Localised displacement of > 100 people for 1-3 days.
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Economic Limited impact on local economy with some short-term loss of production, with possible additional
clean-up costs.
Environment Limited impact on environment with short-term or long-term effects.
4 Significant Health Significant number of people in affected area impacted with multiple fatalities, multiple serious or
extensive injuries, significant hospitalisation and activation of MAJAX procedures across a number
of hospitals.
Social Significant damage that requires support for local responders with external resources.
100 to 500 people in danger and displaced for longer than 1 week. Local responders require
external resources to deliver personal support.
Significant impact on and possible breakdown of some local community services.
Economic Significant impact on local economy with medium-term loss of production.
Significant extra clean-up and recovery costs.
Environment Significant impact on environment with medium- to long-term effects.
5 Catastrophic Health Very large numbers of people in affected area(s) impacted with significant numbers of fatalities,
large number of people requiring hospitalisation with serious injuries with longer-term effects.
Social Extensive damage to properties and built environment in affected area requiring major demolition.
General and widespread displacement of more than 500 people for prolonged duration and
extensive personal support required.
Serious damage to infrastructure causing significant disruption to, or loss of, key services for
prolonged period. Community unable to function without significant support.
Economic Serious impact on local and regional economy with some long-term, potentially permanent, loss of
production with some structural change.
Extensive clean-up and recovery costs.
Environment Serious long-term impact on environment and/or permanent damage.
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Likelihood scoring scale
Level Descriptor Stated chance in 5 years

1 Low Between 1 in 20,000 and 1 in 2000
2 Medium-low Between 1 in 2000 and 1 in 200
3 Medium Between 1 in 200 and 1 in 20
4 Medium-high 1 in 20 and 1 in 2
5 High 1 in 2 or more
Likelihood and Impact tables from the Local risk Management guidance for Civil Emergencies, April 2013
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Appendix 2
Risk rating matrix
Catastrop
Moderate Significan Cata-
hic
(5)
Key
Priority two drivers

VH Very high
(4)
t-
H High
Priority one M Medium
(3)
Impact capability drivers

L Low
Minor
(2)
Limited
(1)
Likelihood/plausibility
Low Medium- Medium Medium- High
(1) low (3) high (4) (5)
Definitions of Risk Ratings

Very high (VH, Red) These are classed as primary or critical risks requiring immediate attention. They may
risk have a high to medium likelihood of occurrence, but their potential consequences are
such that they must be treated as a high priority. This may mean that strategies should be
developed to reduce or eliminate the risk, but also that mitigation in the form of (multi-
agency) planning, exercising and training for these hazards should be put in place and the
risk monitored on a regular frequency. Consideration should be given to planning being
specific to the risk rather than generic.
High (H, Amber) risk These risks are classed as significant. They may have a high or low likelihood of
occurrence, but their potential consequences are sufficiently serious to warrant
appropriate consideration after those risks classed as very high. Consideration should
be given to the development of strategies to reduce or eliminate the risks, but also that
mitigation in the form of at least (multi-agency) generic planning, exercising and training
should be put in place and monitored on a regular frequency.
Medium (M, Yellow) These risks are less significant, but may cause upset and inconvenience in the short term.
risk These risks should be monitored to ensure that they are being appropriately managed and
consideration given to their being managed under generic emergency planning
arrangements.
Low (L, Green) risk These are risks that are unlikely to occur and/o r have limited or minor impacts. They
should be managed using normal or generic arrangements and require minimal
monitoring and control unless subsequent risk assessments show a substantial change,
prompting a move to another risk category.
Based on the Local Risk Management Guidance for Civil Emergencies (April 2014)
Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum Version: 5.0 ( August 2014)
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Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum Version: 5.0 ( August 2014)
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Avon and Somerset

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COMMUNITY RISK REGISTER

Date Version Summary of changes

Date Name Role Version

Document owner: Avon & Somerset LRF Executive Group

Serial Title Page

A/B Document history / Distribution history 2

1 Likelihood and impact scoring scales

a) Set the Context

b) Hazard review and allocation for assessment

Monitoring and Review

3: Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum

2 Community Risk Register

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

for up to five days.

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

DATE OF REVISION: JULY 2014

DATE OF REVISION: JULY 2014

DATE OF REVISION: July 2014

HL31 HL8, HL34 H44

H28, HL 20, HL33, HL11, L9, L16, H25L11, L33,

H49 HL3, H12, L18,

H33, H39, H49 L19

H35 H37, H46, L30

Low Medium-low Medium Medium-high High

Contact details for agencies with lead responsibilities

Avon and Somerset Local Resilience Forum

Tel: 01275 816974

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Impact scoring scale qualitative measures

Impact scoring scale qualitative measures

Level Descriptor Categories of impact Description of impact

Likelihood scoring scale

Level Descriptor Stated chance in 5 years

Priority two drivers

Impact capability drivers

Definitions of Risk Ratings

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