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International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387


www.elsevier.com/locate/ijproman

A comparison of Project Finance and the Forfeiting Model as


nancing forms for PPP projects in Germany
Dirk Daube *, Susann Vollrath 1, Hans Wilhelm Alfen 2

Chair Construction Economics, Faculty of Civil and Structure Engineering, Bauhaus-University Weimar, Marienstrae 7a, 99421 Weimar, Germany

Received 14 December 2006; received in revised form 11 May 2007; accepted 10 July 2007

Abstract

This paper compares Project Finance with the Forfeiting Model as the two basic forms that are used to nance Public Private Part-
nership projects in Germany. It describes the basic characteristics of both models in order to estimate their respective advantages and
disadvantages from the public principals perspective. The economic feasibility study is presented as an instrument to choose the most
ecient PPP nancing form. It is used to compare idealised models of PPP nancing variants. The comparison reveals the composition of
the total costs and emphasises the close connection between nancing costs and transferred risks. The research ndings show that the
economic feasibility study enables public decision makers to evaluate the total costs of a PPP project depending on the chosen nancing
form.
2007 Elsevier Ltd and IPMA. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Public Private Partnership (PPP); Financing; Project Finance; Forfeiting Model; Economic feasibility study; Financing costs; Non-transferred
risks

1. Introduction tance of the PPP initiative in Germany, therefore this paper


is based on this denition. According to this, PPP is dened
A dynamic Public Private Partnership (PPP) market is as a long-term contractual arrangement between the public
developing in Germany. In the time period from 2002 until and the private sector to realise public infrastructure and
the rst quarter of the year 2007, a total of 51 PPP life cycle services more cost eectively and eciently than under con-
real estate projects with an investment volume of about ventional procurement.
1.55 billion Euros have been implemented. More than A PPP project is characterised by an optimised risk allo-
140 projects are scheduled at present. Nevertheless, there cation and a holistic life cycle approach. This includes one-
is no single denition of the concept of PPP. In practice stop planning, construction, nancing, operating, mainte-
as well as in literature this term is used in dierent ways. nance and liquidation by a private contractor. Thus,
One common denition of PPP was provided in the nancing is one of the services that a private contractor
study PPP in Public Real Estate by the German Ministry delivers to the public sector within a PPP project [2].
of Transport, Construction and Housing, commissioned in In Germany, two forms of nancing a PPP project are
2003 [1]. This study marks the beginning of a broad accep- used Project Finance and the Forfeiting Model. The For-
feiting Model refers to a construction in which the private
contractor sells claims for payments to the bank, while the
*
Corresponding author. Tel.: +49 3643 584380; fax: +49 3643 584565. public principal declares a waiver of objection. In contrast,
E-mail addresses: dirk.daube@bauing.uni-weimar.de (D. Daube), Project Finance is characterised by cash ow related
susann.vollrath@bauing.uni-weimar.de (S. Vollrath), wilhelm.alfen@
bauing.uni-weimar.de (H.W. Alfen).
nancing of a particular project.
1
Tel.: +49 30 21286255; fax: +49 30 21286189. Presently, the question of the appropriate nancing
2
Tel.: +49 3643 584592; fax: +49 3643 584565. form for a PPP project is discussed controversially in

0263-7863/$30.00 2007 Elsevier Ltd and IPMA. All rights reserved.


doi:10.1016/j.ijproman.2007.07.001
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 377

Germany [25]. This debate is continuing because denitive Another argument for private nancing is the private
ndings on the most favourable nancing form do not sectors permanent access to capital markets. Therefore,
exist. In the German PPP market dierent views are held it can potentially provide public infrastructure at times
regarding the impact on the projects value for money. when public capital would not be available. For that rea-
The decision for one or the other nancing form often only son, provision of public facilities within PPP procurement
depends on nancing costs without consideration of the is more exible than under traditional procurement
specic risk allocation. This paper intends to give argu- procedures.
ments for a more transparent discussion in this respect. However, PPP does not imply construction without
money, because investment costs are only bought now
2. Methodology and paid later: the public principal pays a unitary charge
(unitary payment used synonymously) over the whole life
The paper starts with a positive analysis of nancing as cycle that renances the private contractors investments
one life cycle element of a PPP project. Therein, the char- in public infrastructure [3].
acteristics of nancing forms as well as the role of risks The characteristics of Public Private Partnerships
and their coverage by securities are highlighted. The inves- described above show that PPP is not only a nancing
tigation is based on an international literature review and a model, but an alternative, more protable procurement
market survey of German PPP projects. The market survey method that involves a private contractor as well as private
was conducted in cooperation with the Federation of the capital and know-how in realising public infrastructure and
German Construction Industry [6]. In various interviews services to reach value for money. It has been shown that
with PPP experts and participants project attributes were nancial aspects play a crucial role in the overall structur-
collected, including the chosen nancing form. ing of such a project [2].
In the papers second part, Project Finance, the conven-
tional Forfeiting Model and a Forfeiting variant that 4. Financing models for PPP projects in Germany
includes additional securities are compared qualitatively
by using an idealised model of their life cycle costs based There are two basic forms of nancing used for PPP
on the economic feasibility study. Therewith, the nancing projects in Germany. These are:
forms impact on the projects value for money is investi-
gated. The analysis reveals the respective allocation of risks  Project Finance and the
and nancing costs as results of the chosen nancing form.  Non-recourse forfeiting of instalments (Forfeiting
Findings discussed at the occasion of two workshops, Model).
organised for the German Federal PPP Task Force, are
included in the investigation [7]. Derived from these two models, a multiplicity of varia-
Finally, the authors show advantages and disadvantages tions of legal arrangements are possible that are adapted to
of both nancing forms and give some recommendations in the specic requirements of the individual project.
order to assist public principals in estimating the appropri- The Forfeiting Model is a special arrangement [2,4].
ate PPP nancing form for future PPP projects in Thereby, the private contractor sells claims for payments
Germany. that result from the construction contract with the public
sector to the bank. The public principal declares a waiver
3. PPP and nancing of objection regarding the claims sold. Project Finance
comprises the nancing of a particular project mainly
The involvement of private nancing is an important ele- based on the projects cash ow. The next gure gives an
ment of the PPP projects life cycle approach. It enables opti- overview of German life cycle PPP projects and their
misation of a projects total costs. Thereby, all costs, such as nancing forms. In addition to this, the gure shows the
real estate based costs of investment, operation and mainte- projects scope of services, investment volume, value for
nance, costs of risks, and nancing costs, have to be taken money, term of contract and date of nancial close. The
into account. In this context, the nancing costs represent data collection includes the period from nancial close of
an essential part of the total costs. Hence, an isolated analysis the rst PPP project in 2002 until spring 2007. It becomes
of these costs is inappropriate, mainly due to their correla- apparent that most of the projects (22 out of 51) are rea-
tion with those connected to the transfer of risks. lised in the education sector (see Fig. 1).
Generally, in a PPP project, certain project risks have to During the rst years of PPP in Germany, the Forfeiting
be transferred to the private contractor to achieve value for Model was the preferred nancing form. It is chosen for
money. It is crucial for an optimal risk allocation that a most of the implemented German projects since 2002.
risk is borne by the party that is best able to manage and Overall, 37 out of 51 projects with an investment volume
control it [8,9]. Transferring the nancing to the private of about 780 million Euro are nanced by the Forfeiting
contractor reveals project risks and enables their more Model. In contrast to international practice, where Project
eective management. Moreover, the private contractor Finance is the predominant nancing model, this nancing
then strives for a lasting risk management [1,2]. form is used in a few German PPP projects only [8].
378 D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387

Fig. 1. Overview of German PPP Projects (2002 1st quarter of 2007).

Regarding the analysed data Project Finance is applied to nancial strength or balance sheet of the sponsor as a pre-
13 out of 51 PPP projects with an investment volume of requisite to lending for a project, but primarily rely on the
about 770 million Euro. The gure below shows this distri- revenue stream generated by the project itself [11]. To rea-
bution for German PPP projects (see Fig. 2). lise a PPP project within a self-contained single project
company, the so-called Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) that
4.1. The basic characteristics of Project Finance functions as the borrower, has to be set up. This is the pri-
vate contractor of a PPP project. Project Finance is charac-
According to Nevitt and Fabozzi [10] Project Finance is terised by the following basic criteria [1113].
dened as a nancing of a particular economic unit in
which a lender is satised to look initially to cash ow 4.1.1. Cash ow related lending
and earnings of that economic unit as the source of funds In Project Finance the lender relies on the projects abil-
from which a loan will be repaid and to the assets of the ity to cover interest and debt repayment, operating costs,
economic unit as collateral for the loan. In contrast to and to yield return on equity. That is why they conduct
corporate nance, the lender does not consider the overall an extensive Due Diligence in advance of nancing the
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 379

Distribution of Project Finance and the Forfeiting Distribution of Project Finance and the Forfeiting
Model in Germany (Number of PPP projects) Model in Germany (Million Euro Investment Volume)
776

37

1
5

Project Finance Project Finance


13 Forfeiting Model
Forfeiting Model
No long-term finance 768 No long-term finance

Fig. 2. Distribution of Project Finance and the Forfeiting Model in German PPP projects.

project. Thereby, the evaluation of the project is based on having recourse to the projects sponsors and their assets
the expected future cash ows that inuence the nancing (non-recourse nancing).
decision and the interest terms set by the lender. Neverthe- However, the provision of guaranties, which are limited
less, the sponsor who is a shareholder of the Special Pur- in time, e.g., a guarantee for the completion of the building
pose Vehicle should bring the technical and commercial or securities that are adapted to the risk prole of the spe-
competence to full the contractual obligations. cic project, is commonly seen in practice. Under certain
conditions, the lender has recourse to these securities (lim-
4.1.2. The risk sharing principle ited recourse nancing).
One of the main features of Project Finance is the spread
of risks between all parties involved. The lender primarily 4.1.5. The dierent types of capital
bears the risk and consequences when the private contrac- The involvement of dierent forms and sources of capi-
tor is unable to full the contract. In the following, this is tal depends on a variety of project-specic criteria, such as
understood as the risk of insolvency. Due to this, the lender the investment volume and the allocation of risks as well as
has an own interest to control and inuence the fullment the individual risk-return-structure of the investor. As
of the PPP contract. In case of an insucient or non-per- regards Project Finance, the lender requires coverage with
formance of the private contractor, Step-in-Rights equity according to the risks associated with the project. In
arranged with the public principal allow the lender to the case of a more risky project, the borrower has to pro-
replace the contractor by another. As a basic principle, vide a higher equity ratio than in a project with a lower
risks should be allocated so that the individual ability to risk. However, in practice, a 1015% equity stake by the
manage the respective risk is met. This is also one impor- sponsor is accepted as adequate [8]. In total, debt repre-
tant rationale of Public Private Partnerships. sents the main source of capital in Project Finance. In
the case of a larger project, the gap between equity and
4.1.3. O balance sheet nancing debt can be lled with mezzanine-capital [4].
In the past, the possibility inherent to Project Finance of
not including debts in the sponsors balance sheet was con- 4.1.6. The structure of Project Finance
sidered as an argument in favour of this instrument from Fig. 3 below shows the basic structure of Project
the private contractors point of view. It was argued that Finance, its contractual relationships, and the correspond-
due to the direct project crediting with the SPV as the ing payment streams.
borrower the balance of the parent company will not
be charged. However, the external accounting regulations 4.2. The basic characteristics of the Forfeiting Model
of most countries prohibit keeping debts o the balance
sheet when the investor is a majority shareholder in the Forfeiting implies the sale of claims for payment. The
project and when the sponsor has to consolidate shares term has been established in export nancing, but is cur-
exceeding a 50% limit [14]. rently used for a special form of nancing a PPP project,
the so-called Forfeiting Model. Within the scope of the
4.1.4. Non or limited recourse nancing Forfeiting Model, the private contractor of a PPP project
The liability of the SPV against the lender is limited to sells his claims for payment that result from the PPP con-
the capital and assets in kind brought in by the project tract with the public principal to a bank. The combination
companys sponsors. That is why the lender stays without of this transaction with a declaration of a waiver of objec-
380 D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387

Public
principal

Construction PPP Unitary


/ operation contract payment
Sponsors, e.g.,
Construction Lenders, e.g.,
companies, Banks,
FM-companies Yield Debt service
Special National
Institutional Shareholder agreement Credit agreement institutions,
Purpose Supranational
investors, e.g.,
Investment Vehicle (SPV) institutions,
companies, Institutional
Equity (Private contractor) Debt
Insurer, Pension investors
funds

Fig. 3. The structure of Project Finance [2].

tion by the public principal to the bank allows to obtain bank only assesses the private contractors creditworthiness
favourable nancing conditions similar to those in the case for the short-term nancing of the project. Whereas, the
of a local authority loan. creditworthiness of the public principal serves as the basis
The Forfeiting Model is characterised by the following for the long-term nancing of the project. For the latter,
features [4]: the bank is not concerned with the private contractors
creditworthiness. Because of the still valid AAA rating of
4.2.1. The sale of claims for payment resulting from most public authorities, the bank is not obliged to support
construction works the credit with equity [15]. Hence, the bank can grant the
In practice, the Forfeiting Model is based on a partial same credit conditions as in the case of local authority
sale of claims for payment by the private contractor to loans.
the bank. This implies that only that part of the claims
for payment that results from the construction contract 4.2.4. The dierent types of capital
between private contractor and public principal is sold to Given the current PPP practice in Germany, Forfeit-
the bank. After the projects successful completion ing Model is based on debt nancing to a substantial
and the nal acceptance, the bank becomes the creditor extent. The main reason for this is that banks have no
against the public principal. The latter has to pay the debt or only few requirements regarding the provision of
service to the bank that equals the part of the unitary pay- equity by the private contractor, while relying on the
ment related to the construction works. The other part of public sectors creditworthiness. In some cases, surrogates
the unitary payment resulting from the operation contract of equity in the form of subordinate shareholder loans of
between the private contractor and the public principal is maximal 10% of the total investment volume are pro-
excluded from this procedure. It has to be paid directly vided [2].
by the public principal to the private contractor, as is
shown in Fig. 4. 4.2.5. The structure of the Forfeiting Model
Fig. 4 shows the basic structure of the Forfeiting Model,
4.2.2. The waiver of objection its contractual relations and the resulting payment streams.
After the public principal has accepted the completed
construction works, he declares a waiver of objection 4.3. Risks and their coverage by securities in dierent
regarding the debt service to the bank. Due to this fact, nancing forms
the public principal cannot invoke any objection regarding
the debt service towards the bank. Therefore, he has to pay In structuring a PPP project the assessment of risks
that part of the unitary payment that results from the con- plays an important role to achieve value for money [16].
struction works to the bank even in case of the private con- Based on this, a well-adapted concept of securities is signif-
tractors decient performance. icant for the success of a PPP project [17]. It depends on the
chosen nancing model and serves to cover risks according
4.2.3. Local authority loan nancing conditions to the interests of the public principal. Dierent kinds of
The advantageous nancing conditions of the Forfeiting securities that are used in the nancing forms are men-
Model are due to the waiver of objection. Therefore, the tioned in the following.
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 381

Waiver of objection
Public
principal
Unitary payment for construction

Unitary
Construction PPP payment
/ operation contract for
operation

Sale of claims for payment


resulting from construction work Lenders,
Private e.g.,
Forfeiting contract Bank,
contractor
National
institutions
Capital amounting to the
sold claims for payment

Fig. 4. The structure of a Forfeiting Model [2].

A PPP project is characterised by a variety of risks. This  Costs for a new tendering,
paper concentrates on the performance risks. We discuss  costs resulting from a decient condition of the
two dierent kinds of potential PPP risks: bad-perfor- building at the date of the private contractors
mance and non-performance. Bad-performance implies withdrawal,
the failure of the private contractor to comply with agreed  possible higher unitary payment from construction,
services and low operating productivity. In contrast, non- maintenance, and operation by the new private contrac-
performance means the private contractors insolvency tor [5].
[18].
In the case of bad-performance by a private contractor, The question of who bears these costs depends on the
the public principal can react by referring to sanctions projects phase in which the private contractor becomes
agreed upon in the PPP contract. A possible debasement insolvent, the chosen nancing form, and the securities that
of the projects services can be compensated by reducing have been agreed upon in the PPP contract.
the unitary payment for the private contractor. Bonus- During the construction period, there is no dierence in
malus-arrangements can be applied as an additional secu- the eects of non-performance between Project Finance
rity instrument. and the Forfeiting Model. In both cases, the construction
Project Finance grants to the public principal the unre- costs will be pre-nanced by the private contractor via
strained possibility to reduce the unitary payment. In the short term nancing. This means that the bank bears the
Forfeiting Model, such a reduction is only possible for that private contractors insolvency risk in the construction
part of the unitary payment for that a waiver of objection period.
has not been declared. Therefore, only the part of the uni- In case of non-performance in the operation period in
tary payment that results from the operation contract can combination with Project Finance, the lender also bears
be retained by the public partner. Due to this, during the the risk of the private contractor becoming unable to
operation period, the public principal bears all risks result- pay at this stage of the project. Due to the agreed
ing from the construction work beyond the implied war- Step-in-Rights of the lender, the latter then takes care
ranty. In case of deciencies stemming from that a new contractor will provide the agreed services
shortcomings in the construction work, the private con- and full the PPP contract. The public principal does
tractor cannot be held liable to the full extent, but only not have to cover the additional costs. If Step-in-Rights
within the implied or expressed warranty. have not been agreed with the bank, the public principal
The situation is dierent in the case of non-performance. can in case of non-performance of the private contrac-
If the private contractor terminates the contract or goes tor compensate the loss resulting from the additional
bankrupt, the public principal is insuciently protected costs mentioned above by the value of the building.
by the possibility to reduce unitary payments or bonus- Then, the public principal has to pay only the remaining
malus-agreements, because these sanctions require a sol- dierence to the insolvency administrator. Therefore, the
vent private contractor. additional costs are covered. Hence, Project Finance pro-
The following costs can arise from a private contractors vides an all-embracing security instrument for public
insolvency: authorities.
382 D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387

Project Finance Forfeiting Model

Reduction only for that part of


Unrestrained reduction of the
the unitary payment resulting
unitary payment,
from the operation,
Bad-performance Bonus-malus-arrangements
Bonus-malus-arrangements
for the whole sum of the
for the operation part of the
unitary payment
unitary payment

Non-performance in the The private partner has to pre-finance the construction costs -
construction period the insolvency risk bears the lender

The lender bears the


insolvency risk and the The public principal bears the
Non-performance in the
related costs insolvency risk and additional
operation period
He replaces the contractor costs
(Step-in-Rights)

Fig. 5. A comparison of possibilities to react in the case of bad- and non-performance.

In contrast, in the Forfeiting Model the public principal Thereby, the specic eects of the chosen nancing form as
bears the insolvency risk of the private contractor and has well as all other PPP life cycle costs are taken into account
to pay the ensuing costs. The public principal cannot assert [5].
a claim regarding these costs against the insolvency
administrator. 5.1. Financial costs as part of the PPP life cycle costs
This is the reason why the public principal has a sub-
stantial interest in protecting itself against the insolvency Fig. 6 shows which direct costs have to be considered in
risk of the private contractor and thus against the non-fulf- the PPP option. In this context, the unitary payment repre-
ilment of the contract. Hence, in the Forfeiting Model, the sents the largest portion of the total PPP costs [22]. The pri-
public principal demands additional securities from the pri- vate contractor receives the unitary payment for providing
vate contractor in the operation period. These can com- long-term services in the PPP project. Furthermore, beside
prise: equity of the SPV, guaranties provided by the the real estate based costs of investment, operation, and
parent company or a bank as well as guaranties for main- maintenance, the unitary payment normally also includes
tenance of capital and operation (see Fig. 5). the nancing costs for the project. In addition, the unitary
charge includes payments arising from the transfer of risks.
5. Set nancing in the economic feasibility study These costs are subsumed under the term transferred
risks in Fig. 6.
The economic feasibility study is used although in
slightly dierent ways as a common instrument in the
international PPP practise [19,20]. It analyses value for
money by comparing a project realised as a PPP with an Transaction costs and
equal project procured conventionally. In this context, it administration costs
Extra costs for the public principal
also supports the choice of the most ecient form of PPP Costs of non-
nancing [21]. transferred risks
Two dierent stages can be distinguished: the prelimin-
ary and the nal economic feasibility study. The prelimin-
Costs of transferred
ary feasibility study compares the forecasted life cycle costs risks
of the conventional realisation, which are summarised in Financing costs
the public sector comparator (PSC), with estimated life
cycle costs of the PPP alternative. After having determined Investment-,
Operation-, and
the preferred bidder, this PPP bid will be compared to the Maintenance costs
PSC in the nal economic feasibility study [22]. Thereby, Unitary payment
the expected value for money is calculated. Because of
the precept of eciency and economy in the 7 of Federal
Budgetary Regulations [23], the PPP contract can be signed
only if the PPP bid is more ecient than the PSC. Other-
wise, a conventional tendering has to be arranged.
The total PPP costs are calculated by adjusting the PSC
and by introducing benchmarks from comparable projects. Fig. 6. Composition of the PPP life cycle costs.
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 383

In addition to the unitary payment, extra costs for the mally not forced to renance with equity according to 10
contracting authority connected to a projects realisation Banking Act [15]. That is one reason why, compared to
as a PPP have to be taken into account. These additional Project Finance, lower bank interest margins can be
costs for the contracting authority arise from retaining oered. All things considered, the nancing banks can pro-
risks. They are assigned to the category costs of non- vide nancing conditions at a reduced rate under the For-
transferred risks in Fig. 6. Furthermore, transaction and feiting Model (see Fig. 7).
administration costs accrue to the public authority from This analysis shows that there is a close relation between
structuring a PPP project. the nancing costs and the transferred risks. The nancing
costs are part and determinant of the unitary payment.
5.2. The connection between nancing costs and risk Hence, the total costs of each PPP alternative have to be
allocation taken into account when comparing the various nancing
models. This aspect is elaborated in the next section.
Primarily, the total amount of the debts nancing costs
is determined by the interest reference rate (for example, 5.3. Impact of nancing forms on life cycle costs
EURIBOR) and the risk-related nancing costs of the
respective nancing form. The height of the interest refer- One possibility to show the inuence of nancing forms
ence rate does not depend on the chosen nancing form on a projects value for money is to devise several varia-
it is the same for the Forfeiting Model and Project Finance. tions of PPP alternatives during the preliminary feasibility
The risk-related nancing costs are composed of transac- study. In the next step, the impact of the two nancing
tion costs and the banks interest margin [4]. models Project Finance and Forfeiting are compared. In
In the case of Project Finance, the bank is involved as a addition to the basic Forfeiting Model, a variant that
risk partner and therefore takes substantial risks. Espe- includes additional securities is analysed.
cially, this includes the insolvency risk of the private Spe- A comparison of three variants of a PPP alternative,
cial Purpose Vehicle the private contractor. To estimate each adjusted to the respective nancing form, shows the
the risk-related nancing costs, the bank conducts a Due division of the individual costs over the total life cycle
Diligence check of the projects technical and economical costs. Because the eciency of each nancing form has to
viability. Furthermore, controlling measures are installed be analysed for every single project, our argumentation is
during the contract period. Due to this complex project based on idealised nancing models. Therein, the amount
realisation, there are in comparison to the Forfeiting of the life cycle costs is claimed to be the same for all three
Model higher transaction costs before and during the variants. For the purpose of clarication of the models
implementation of the project. Moreover, because of the basic structure, the existence of a perfect capital market
substantial risk transfer, the interest margin of the bank is assumed. The comparison is shown in Fig. 8.
is higher in Project Finance. Hence, in this context, the When these nancing models are applied to a real pro-
banks risk-related nancing costs are higher. This results ject, dierent nancing and risk costs as well as dierent
in higher nancing costs than in the Forfeiting Model. real estate based costs of investment, operation and main-
When resorting to Forfeiting Model, the nancing costs tenance can accrue. Therefore, a dierent level of total
are lower than under Project Finance. Because of the lower costs can be expected for each of these models. Dierences
extent of risk transfer to the private contractor and the dec- in the value for money as a result of the chosen nancing
laration of a waiver of objection by the public principal, form can be identied by applying the scheme in Fig. 8
Due Diligence or controlling measures are not made by to a real project.
the bank. In this way, the transaction costs remain on a rel- Case 1 in Fig. 8 shows a Forfeiting Model without addi-
atively lower level. Furthermore, the Forfeiting Model is tional securities. Therein, only a few risks are transferred to
based on the creditworthiness of the highly rated public the private contractor. The costs of non-transferred risks
principal. This is the reason why the nancing bank is nor- presents a larger portion of the total costs than in the other

Project Finance Forfeiting Model

Interest reference rate The interest rate is base for each financing form and its height
(e.g. EURIBOR) is equal for all

Substantial risk transfer


Lower extent of risk transfer
Risk-related financing Includes insolvency risk of
Does not include insolvency
costs the SPV
risk of the SPV
Due Diligence costs because
No Due Diligence made
of the projects complexity

Fig. 7. Composition of nancing costs.


384 D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387

Total costs
(Life cycle costs)
Case 1 Case 2 Case 3

Transaction and Transaction and Transaction and


administration costs administration costs administration costs

Costs of non- Costs of non- Costs of non-


transferred risks transferred risks transferred risks
Costs of transferred
risks
Costs of transferred
risks
Costs of transferred Financing costs
risks Financing costs
Financing costs

Unitary payment
Investment-, Investment-, Investment-,
Unitary payment

Operation- and Operation- and Operation- and


Unitary payment

Maintenance costs Maintenance costs Maintenance costs

PPP Financing with PPP Financing with PPP with Project


Forfeiting Model without Forfeiting Model with Finance
additional securities additional securities
Fig. 8. A comparison of the total costs of dierent nancing variants of a PPP alternative.

two cases. Corresponding to this, the costs amount of Additionally, Project Finance is characterised by an
transferred risks is comparatively low. Therefore, as enhanced risk transfer to the bank as compared to the For-
has been argued above, the Forfeiting Model without addi- feiting Model with additional securities. Therefore, higher
tional securities creates lower nancing costs. risk-related nancing costs incur in Project Finance. More-
In case 2, the Forfeiting Model includes additional over, a higher unitary payment than in the Forfeiting Mod-
securities from the private contractor, such as guarantees. els can be expected.
Hence, fewer project risks have to be taken by the public Given these insights, value for money cannot be ana-
principal. Consequently the costs of non-transferred lysed by independently estimating the nancing costs and
risks are smaller than in case 1. The granted extra secu- the unitary payment. Additional costs, especially the costs
rities cause additional risk-related nancing costs that the for non-transferred risks that are paid by the contracting
private contractor includes in the calculation of the uni- authority, have to be taken into account.
tary payment. The reallocation of the individual costs It cannot be stated in general, whether the anticipated
within the PPP alternative can be seen in Fig. 8. The costs lower risk-related costs due to an optimal risk allocation
for risks assigned to the cost category non-transferred in Project Finance are sucient to (over) compensate the
risks in case 1, now (in case 2) belong to the category higher nancing costs compared to the Forfeiting Model.
nancing costs. Case 2 depicts only one example for Which nancing form nally yields the lowest total costs
a securities concept. The level of coverage and the level depends on the detailed concept of a certain project. Fur-
of risk transfer depend on the risk anity of the contract- thermore, the projects goals and the decision makers will-
ing authority. ingness to transfer risks determine which nancing form is
According to case 3, Project Finance is featured by an the most ecient one and may attain a better value for
extensive transfer of risks. The costs of the non-trans- money.
ferred risks, which are borne by the contracting authority,
are lower than in cases 1 and 2. Amongst others, the reason 6. Findings
for that is the inclusion of equity from the private contrac-
tors. On account of this equity investment, the private con- The main dierences between the basic forms of PPP
tractor has a strong incentive for project improvements. nancing have been identied in the following areas:
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 385

 allocation of risks, Another aspect relates to the intended allocation of


 nancing costs depending on dierences in transaction tasks and risks by the public authority. In a complex pro-
costs of the bank and risk-related nancing costs, ject connected with a high risk, Due Diligence costs can be
 monitoring of the PPP project. compensated. Because of an encompassing risk transfer to
the private contractor, the latter faces strong incentives to
As was shown, due to the dierences with respect to the apply specic know-how. As a consequence, a higher level
allocation of risks and the arrangement of securities, a vari- of a projects overall eciency can be reached. Hence, Pro-
ety of contractual arrangements between the basic nanc- ject Finance is more appropriate for risky and complex
ing forms of a PPP project are possible. projects. However, as regards standard projects with man-
Advantages and disadvantages of Project Finance and ageable risks, the Forfeiting Model is normally more
Forfeiting Model can be summarised as follows (see suitable.
Fig. 9): If it is assumed that the complexity of a project is corre-
lated with investment volume, it can be deduced that the
6.1. Potential consequences regarding the choice of the higher the projects investment volume the more Project
nancing forms Finance is the appropriate option.
This assumption can be validated by the investigation of
Making the decision for one or the other form of nanc- the rst PPP projects in Germany. As is shown in Fig. 10,
ing a PPP project depends on project-specic factors. The two projects with an investment volume above 100 million
most important criteria to choose the adequate nancing Euro Project Finance are applied only. On the other hand,
model are eciency-related. with 25 out of 27 projects, the predominant portion of smal-
Moreover, a projects investment volume is a crucial cri- ler projects with an investment volume less than 20 million
terion. On account of higher transaction costs in form of Euro were nanced by using the Forfeiting Model. Another
Due Diligence costs, Project Finance is more suitable for nding in favour of this assumption is based on the projects
projects with a relative high investment volume or in case average investment volume. Whereas, for Project Finance
of pooling several projects. In contrast, Forfeiting Model projects, the average investment volume is about 59 million
is more appropriate for PPP projects with a smaller invest- Euro, projects that apply the Forfeiting Model have an
ment volume. average volume of 21 million Euro.

Project Finance Forfeiting Model


Advantages

Adequate allocation of risks according to the Lower unitary payment because of lower
risk management competence of the partners financing costs
Insolvency risk taken by the lender (Step-In- Faster procurement process no time-
Rights) consuming Due Diligence processes
Early evaluation of the projects viability by the
lender (due diligence)
Monitoring and controlling of the project by
lenders during the whole contract period
Setting of additional incentives in case of bad
performance of the private partner (relating to
the construction works)
Equity as additional security and incentive for
efficiency
Disadvantages

Higher unitary payment because of higher Intransparency of costs for not transferred
financing costs risks
Longer procurement process due to time- Insolvency risk taken by the public principal
consuming Due Diligence procedure by
lenders No additional evaluation and controlling of the
project neither in the forefront of the project
nor in the course of the contract period
Less incentives in case of bad performance of
the private partner (relating to the construction
works)
No additional incentives because of low
involvement of equity

Fig. 9. Advantages and disadvantages of Project Finance and the Forfeiting Model from the public principals point of view.
386 D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387

Chronology of German PPP projects*


160
(245)
Project Finance
140
Investment volume in million Euro

Forfeiting Model
120

100

80

60

40

20

0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Date of financial close
* The one PPP project without long-term financing is not shown.

Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1st q. 2007 Total


Number of PPP project 1 1 12 14 17 6 51
per year
Project Finance 0 1 2 3 5 2 13
Forfeiting Model 1 0 10 11 11 4 37
No long-term financing 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
Investment volume in 22 42 335 461 526 163 1,549
million Euro
Project Finance 0 42 27 299 293 107 768
Forfeiting Model 22 0 308 162 228 56 776
No long-term financing 0 0 0 0 5 0 5

Fig. 10. Chronology of German PPP projects.

Furthermore, the legal framework and the general condi- Economic feasibility studies can provide an instrument
tions of a project play an important role in the decision mak- to facilitate such a profound analysis and can assist the
ing process. For example, the level of debt nancing that a public principals decision making process. As has been
local authority can bear, public law guidelines for the public argued, the economic feasibility study is an appropriate
budgets as well as other restrictions for the public principal means to illustrate the main dierences between the basic
have to be taken into consideration. Moreover, it can be PPP nancing forms. It reveals their respective risk alloca-
assumed that the level of standardisation coming along with tion and nancing costs. Thereby, it serves public authori-
the increasing PPP experience and knowledge of the project ties to estimate more accurately the total costs of a PPP
participants [24] inuence the choice of the nancing model. project and its value for money.
After one project in 2003, the Forfeiting Model was used The overview of German PPP projects has shown that
consistently for 10 to 12 PPP projects in the years 2004 to the Forfeiting Model is still the most common form of
2006. While Project Finance was less used in early PPP pro- nancing PPP projects in Germany, particularly for pro-
jects, its share grew constantly over the past years. Starting jects with small investment volume. However, with a grow-
from one project in 2003, in the year 2006 ve projects were ing number of projects with high investment volumes, a
realised by applying Project Finance. Already two out of six tendency can be assumed to a more frequently use of Pro-
projects have applied Project Finance in the rst quarter of ject Finance in Germany.
2007. In combination with a rising level of PPP expertise, it Generally, it can be recommended that public princi-
can be expected that Project Finance will become more pals should pay special attention to the fact that a PPP
important for future projects in Germany. projects costs for securities should not exceed the costs
of potential risks. An adequate security concept is one
7. Conclusions and forecast important success factor for a PPP project to reach value
for money.
Given the interdependencies of the evaluation criteria Further investigations into this subject by means of
for PPP nancing models presented in this paper, the pub- case studies are required. Therein, an analysis of risks
lic principal should analyse in detail the particular project and nancing costs based on data from real projects
at hand. An important goal is to identify which of the seems to be helpful. This empirical evidence can support
two main nancing forms Project Finance or the Forfeiting and verify the more theoretical approach and ndings of
Model is more likely to yield ecient results. this paper.
D. Daube et al. / International Journal of Project Management 26 (2008) 376387 387

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