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Army, Retired
N early all missions this century will be complex, and the kind
of thinking we have called operational art is often now required at
battalion level. Fundamentally, operational art requires balancing design and
planning while remaining open to learning and adapting quickly to change.
Design is not a new idea. Command has always entailed responsibility for
designing operations while penetrating complexity and framing problems that
planners have to solve. Individual ability to learn effectively, adapt rapidly
and appropriately, and to solve problems has always been self-evidently
valuable to commanders. Yet, collectively, a commands overall quality of
design, learning, and adaptation is what determines results. Military leaders
may value individual creativity, critical thinking, continuous learning, and
Brigadier General Huba Wass de
adaptability in their staffs and subordinate commanders, but individual traits
Czege, U.S. Army, Retired, was one do not necessarily add up to collective abilities needed for the best outcomes.
of the principal developers of the Traditional approaches to imparting a collective quality to campaign design
Armys AirLand Battle concept and
the founder and first director of the introduced in the 1980s, and more recent infusions from Joint doctrine, are
School of Advanced Military Studies, no longer sufficient for achieving the best outcomes. Because operational
Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. He holds
a B.S. from the United States Military
environments evince increasingly dynamic complexity, commanders are
Academy and an M.A. from Harvard looking for, and are in need of, help.
University. He also attended the U.S.
Army Command and General Staff
College, the Army War College, and
Operational Art in Modern Complex Conflicts
the Capstone Course at the National Operational artists at all levels need new conceptual tools commensurate to
Defense University. He commanded todays demands. Conceptual aids derived from old, industrial-age analogies
an Airborne Infantry Company and a
Vietnamese Ranger Battalion advisory are not up to the mental gymnastics demanded by 21st-century missions.
team in combat. His most recent pub- Parallel to the development of so-called (and now discredited) rapid
lications, on subjects from tactics to decisive operations (RDO), and as a way to facilitate RDO planning, joint
strategy and military transformation,
have appeared in Armed Forces Jour- doctrine writers at Joint Forces Command (JFCOM) introduced effects-based
nal, Army Magazine, Military Review, planning (EBP), operational net assessment (ONA), and system-of-systems
Artillery Journal, Strategic Studies
Institute Papers, and in AUSA Land
analysis (SOSA). Intended to be tools of operational art and planning, these
Power Papers. concepts have been nearly impotent for making any sense of the Iraq and
_____________ Afghanistan missions.
The inherent logic of effects-based planning assumes a mechanistic
ILLUSTRATIONS: Hannibal, whose
army is depicted here crossing the understanding of causal chains. We can readily understand the logic of cause
Alps, is likely the Wests most com- and effect in physical structures once we map them. Difficulty ensues when
petent example of skilled adaptation
in operational design. Juxtaposed is
mapping social and political relationships: when we think we have a map,
a stylized portrait of Takeda Shingen, relationships shift. Moreover, such maps become unreliable because people
the Japanese commander of the 16th need not act the way one expects they should.
century who made Sun Tzus opera-
tional philosophy the centerpiece of Critically, SOSA attempts to map five categories of interconnected,
doctrine for his armies. organic structures that people createpolitical, economic, military, social,
Evolving Doctrinal Norms and products that reflect a dimly perceived truth at a
Systemic Operational Design moment of understanding in time. To make the best
The last four years have seen the Army promote sense of human relationships, interactions, trends,
studies to reinvigorate creativity, critical thinking, and propensities, military commands have to adopt a
and adaptability as intellectual norms in a collective habitually skeptical approach to such non-deductive
organizational framework. This inquiry, just like conclusions. Such habituation implies a new intel-
the Armys reforms of the early 1980s, has led it to lectual culture that balances design and planning
examine what other disciplines and other militar- while evincing an appreciation for the dynamic
ies have learned about dealing with the difficulties flow of human factors and a bias toward perpetual
of novel and complex challenges. In many fields, learning and adapting.
novelty limits the extent to which reasoning models Recent trends in design. Over recent years the
derived from experience can apply to present prob- fruits of this inquiry have infiltrated parts of Joint
lem settings. New systemic complexity defies the Publication (JP) 3-0 and 5-0; into the new Field
usual approaches to sensemaking. Manual (FM) 3-24, Counterinsurgency (Chapter 4);
Complicated versus complex systems. Merely and into FM 3-0, Operations (Chapter 6). In early
complicated systems are composed of numerous 2008, the Armys Training and Doctrine Command
parts and structures, all logically separable from (TRADOC) published a guide entitled Command-
their environment. An example would be the system ers Appreciation and Campaign Design (TRADOC
for deploying units on a time table for an operation Pamphlet 525-5-500), and in late 2007 the Army
like D-day. Such a schedule could be accurately War College expanded emphasis on design into its
analyzed in the abstract. Complex systems are made Campaign Planning Handbook. These documents
up of dynamic, interactive, and adaptive elements represent initial attempts at articulating new ideas
that cannot be separated from interaction with their (a new intellectual culture) and harmonizing them
environments. The significant elements of complex with older knowledge. Necessary revisions are
systems are human beings and their relationships. underway to make needed concepts more acces-
An example would be the action-reaction interplay sible. Just as 1982s FM 100-5, Operations, pro-
of the various actors in cooperation and contention vided only a rudimentary treatment of operational
on D-day. Analysis could never predict the relation- art, these new publications represent initial efforts
ships that were the most important part of the flow to evolve a competent approach for dealing with
of events. the human factor in complexity.1
Where merely complicated systems require mostly Colonel Robert C. Johnson, Director of the
deduction and analysis (formal logic of breaking into Futures Directorate of TRADOCs Army Concepts
parts), complexity requires inductive and abductive Integration Center, launched and guided this study
reasoning for diagnostics and synthesis (the informal in its early years, introducing participants to the
logic of making new wholes of parts). Because the thinking of Brigadier General (retired) Shimon
elements of complex systems we care most about are Naveh, Ph.D., who had developed an approach to
human ones, making sense of relationships requires operational art for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
hypothetical synthesis in the form of maps or narra- called systemic operational design (SOD). In
tives. Such maps and narratives evolve as informal early 2006 the new IDF leadership rejected SOD
vision of the future as an idealized end one desires, Acting on shared perceptions. Because opera-
and to overcome any and all obstacles to force that tional reality is complex, dynamic, and opaque,
ideal creation of ones mind onto the real world. This military commands should act on provisional theo-
temperament involves a Manichean narrative that ries of reality (of the relation between truth and fact)
encourages polarized and inherently simplified dis- that its key members share. They should collectively
tinctions. It also assumes a direct correspondence of develop a provisional road to doing and making
truths (mental states) to facts (physical realities). things better. The more comprehensive, relevant,
In contrast, the foundational discourses of the and reliable knowledge is, the better the outcomes
Confucian and Taoist East do not frame life experi- will be in two equally important respects: actually
ence in terms of idealized ends or visions. Chi- advancing desired goals, and gaining more relevant
nese sages thought it impossible to know what an understanding of the situation. An important aim
idealized end could be. They did not trust the mind of design is to develop a more comprehensive
to have a mirror-like correspondence to external appreciation of the situation than we as a military
reality. Instead they thought that distinguishing institution now can.
better from worse was the best one could do. As aforementioned, operating headquarters are
Life experience, in their Eastern perspective, was a continually sensing to discern what has changed as
perpetual and ever changing flow of events. Intel- a result of its various interventions in the contextual
lectual energy, in flowing with the way of the world, ecosystem. Getting relevant feedback is challeng-
should ideally focus on understanding the forces, ing, as is learning how and what to sense and how to
tendencies, and propensities of the contextual situ- identify useful measures of effectiveness. However,
ation. In their understanding, one harmonizes with since methods and modes are the product of past
existence by enhancing the forces tending to flow lessons learned, they may not be best for gathering
toward better while subtly diverting and blocking the most relevant information. Another important
those tending toward worse. Although this distinc- function of design is to devote attention and fore-
tion amounts to oversimplification, the differences thought to this sensing process. Ascribing meaning
drawn are sufficient to point up the pros and cons of and relevance to information leading to decisions
the intellectual heritages of East and West.3 about techniques and courses of action is not dif-
On their own, both ways of thinking have limita- ficult. In this process, the Army can easily perfect
tions; balancing these ways is valuable in a complex doing things right. The difficulty is the question
world. In a longer-term sense we need to think the of whether we are actually doing the right thing
Eastern way. For shorter term goals we need to work for the best outcomes.
concretely in planning and acting based on a problem Deciding whether our provisional theory of reality
frame derived from our best current understanding needs updatingi.e., are we solving the right prob-
of the situation. But unlike the Greeks, we should lem, and do we have the right strategy?is much
treat our mental problem construct as a contingency. more difficult. For this we have to depend on the
Westerners often treat goals as conceptual ideals (as experience, intuition, and creativity of our leaders.
immutable realities), and consequently get wedded to Because today we are facing both extreme novelty
plans that solve expired problem frames. The advice (primarily with information operations) and com-
of the Chinese sages is to treat problem frames as plexity combined, Americas military leaders need
provisional landmarks on the road to better. help in this area. The biggest decisions of command
are not about how to achieve set goals but what these
goals ought to be within a campaign design.
the Army can easily perfect Political authorities, responding to mounting
doing things right. pressure to do something in a crisis, regularly
The difficulty is the question assign ambiguous missions to senior military
leaders. What one can understand is a function of
of whether we are actually the granularity of ones view, often a perplexing
doing the right thing condition. Ambiguous missions entail a cycle of
understanding that turns continually and does not
Design sets the problem to be solved, planning solves the problem as it is set.
The product of design should be briefed to higher authorities for their approval.
It is a way to continually evolve and explicitly share mental constructs of the problem.
the same facts. Different assumptionstheories of by the commander, otherwise it would be the design
cause and effectcan also lead to different framing. teams product and not a command product.
Professionally, subordinate commands should chal- The first step to constructing the system frame
lenge the understanding of the higher authority based is to record observed reality and learn about its
on their own comprehensive design enquiries. Under complex evolution. A conceptual map and written
the best of circumstances both levels will refine and narrative can best describe and explain the com-
harmonize their understandings and their designs. mands understanding of the emergent situation.
Harmonizing understandings, up and down as well (A map is best for economically describing and
as laterally, benefits all if it includes deliberate con- explaining relevant relationships. A narrative is
sideration of the basis for differences, not simply best for describing and explaining the logic and
a lowest common denominator compromise. The sequence of how the situation evolves. Doing both
commanders decision should not gloss over differ- is best.) If a recent system frame exists, it may
ences, as they become the basis for framing priority have resulted from adjustments to a previous map
questions to be answered on the road ahead. and narrative.
The journey of learning. Collaborative design All people individually reason informally in
is a continuous and recursive journey of learning. similar fashion, consciously or not. But one rarely
Figure 5 describes and explains important aspects creates a detailed, collaborative, graphic, and nar-
of the main steps so briefly outlined above. rative interpretation of the relevant actors and their
Reading into the situation and higher author- relationships in an emergent situation. More rarely
ity guidance implies a starting point. However, this does anyone make an explicit record of theory, of
starting point should be understood as a significant causal and influence networks, and of how a situ-
new emergence in the flow of events. Such points are ation may evolve further if current strategy does
reached anytime there is a reason to take a fresh look not change. Even rarer is the likelihood that an
at the situation. They can be deliberately periodic, as individual, much less a group, ever conducts a logi-
when directed to undertake a new mission, or as the cal, comprehensive, and systemic inquiry suited to
commander deems useful. An important aspect of setting the problem (design) as opposed to solving
this methodology is that every product is sanctioned one (planning).
The exercise of delib-
erately creating, sharing,
Read into the situation, Design a pictorial and
narrative interpretation of
Reflect on this from the
perspective of the desired state
and periodically renew-
including higher
authority guidance the relevant actors and implied by the guidance to see ing such an explicit con-
their relationships in the where the tensions are between
emergent situation the observed map and the one
ceptual construct is an
the higher had in mind official reference and
record of past assump-
This leads to another
revision of the map and Then reflect upon the Make revisions of current map
tions of causal logic and
narrative of understanding differences between this
product and the perspective
and note the interpretations provides a shared base-
of the differences
of the system of opposition line for learning, and
or rival (source of systemic
disturbance that prompted
further critical thinking.
Begin to outline what
can be done the mission) In planning we make
assumptions of fact, in
Examine the emerging Then the emerging frame of Outline the strategem
design we make assump-
frame from the perspective understanding needs to be tions of truth in causal
of commandthe system of examined from the perspective
learning and channeling the of marshalling the objects of Shape the guidance to planners:
logic. Given current prac-
various agents to counter energy (will, resources, and Parallel and sequential objectives tices, we lose track of
the systemic effects and energy to take the necessary Potential points of inuence toward each obj.
efforts of the rival system. counter actions). Outline what Ways and means of learning the logic that produced
Outline what can be done. can be done. Approaches for organizing current efforts, especially
Intended message of words and deeds
as key staff and com-
manders change during
Figure 5. The journey of learning. the course of perpetual
only more broadly applied to understanding oneself understanding. Each further outlines and limits the
as a system, and oneself as a member of a system scope and form of the intervention and thus outlines
of collaboration (the command and other allied the operating framethe frame of reference
agencies) toward compatible desired outcomes. that actually shapes our thinking about operations
This step of the journey of learning addresses (e.g., where and how to apply positive and negative
four important questions: energy to transform the observed system into the
How elements of this system can combine desired situation).
efforts of actors (for instance, relevant service What remains is to narrow a broad theory of inter-
elements, coalition contingents, non-military vention down to the role of the command itself:
governmental agencies, indigenous organizations, Where it will support.
multinational corporations, inter-governmental Where it will lead and be supported.
organizations, and non-governmental organiza- How it will apply systemic leverage.
tions) to achieve comparative advantage. Abstract concepts have to be translated into
How to create a networked system of collabo- clear and concise language and a logical flow of
ration to effectively engage and sustain these varied ideas to enable the formulation of guidance for the
potentials throughout the campaign, and at the same commands planning efforts and subordinate level
time, share information and learn effectively about design efforts.
the ever-evolving situation. The actual products of design consist of:
How to exploit the self-defeating habits and The commanders appreciation that explains
tendencies of particular adversaries, the inclina- the strategic logic for the mission, the logic of the
tions and propensities of neutrals, and aspects or emergence that prompted it, and the logic of the
trends of the contextual environment that oppose operating frame.
the undesirable systemic emergence. The concept design consisting of the restated
How the command itself should organize to mission, the commanders intent, and the strategy
learn, adapt, and continually re-design throughout for intervention.
the campaign. The strategy for intervention is the central and
The next logical step of the inquiry is a very unique idea about how to exploit the following to
broadly defined logistical systemin other words, achieve the desired outcomes:
the system for mobilizing, marshalling, deliver- The peculiar characteristics of the situation.
ing, and deploying the situation-changing means The nature and tendencies of the system of
required to develop and sustain the campaign. The opposition.
means required to change the situation may include The asymmetries between the system of oppo-
the will and energy of allies to act, as well as various sition and the system of collaboration.
resources and military and non-military capabilities. Other systemic propensities.
Developing and sustaining the campaign requires A statement of the strategy will normally
overcoming systemic impediments such as barriers address:
of time, space, and geography. This aspect focuses Parallel and sequential objectives with regard
on the tension between what is required and what to specific system actors and relationships.
is available to actors and agencies that can be Potential points of influence toward these
mobilized and on logistical issues of positioning, objectives.
staging, timing, and geography. Sun Tzu is a good Ways and means of learning.
example, as The Art of War offers ample advice on Approaches for organizing.
these matters of design. Intended message of words and deeds com-
Given the specific situation, other relevant sys- bined.
temic perspectives also apply to further limit, scope, This journey of learning is continuous, iterative,
and shape the operating frame and form of the and reflective because whatever strategy is applied
intervention. But each of these separate exercises in the real world, the mental models constructed
in expanding our relevant knowledge leads to more along this journey are only imperfect representa-
revision of the cognitive map and narrative of our tions of it. New constructs must account for new