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Brigadier General Huba Wass de Czege, U.S.

Army, Retired

N early all missions this century will be complex, and the kind
of thinking we have called operational art is often now required at
battalion level. Fundamentally, operational art requires balancing design and
planning while remaining open to learning and adapting quickly to change.
Design is not a new idea. Command has always entailed responsibility for
designing operations while penetrating complexity and framing problems that
planners have to solve. Individual ability to learn effectively, adapt rapidly
and appropriately, and to solve problems has always been self-evidently
valuable to commanders. Yet, collectively, a commands overall quality of
design, learning, and adaptation is what determines results. Military leaders
may value individual creativity, critical thinking, continuous learning, and
Brigadier General Huba Wass de
adaptability in their staffs and subordinate commanders, but individual traits
Czege, U.S. Army, Retired, was one do not necessarily add up to collective abilities needed for the best outcomes.
of the principal developers of the Traditional approaches to imparting a collective quality to campaign design
Armys AirLand Battle concept and
the founder and first director of the introduced in the 1980s, and more recent infusions from Joint doctrine, are
School of Advanced Military Studies, no longer sufficient for achieving the best outcomes. Because operational
Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. He holds
a B.S. from the United States Military
environments evince increasingly dynamic complexity, commanders are
Academy and an M.A. from Harvard looking for, and are in need of, help.
University. He also attended the U.S.
Army Command and General Staff
College, the Army War College, and
Operational Art in Modern Complex Conflicts
the Capstone Course at the National Operational artists at all levels need new conceptual tools commensurate to
Defense University. He commanded todays demands. Conceptual aids derived from old, industrial-age analogies
an Airborne Infantry Company and a
Vietnamese Ranger Battalion advisory are not up to the mental gymnastics demanded by 21st-century missions.
team in combat. His most recent pub- Parallel to the development of so-called (and now discredited) rapid
lications, on subjects from tactics to decisive operations (RDO), and as a way to facilitate RDO planning, joint
strategy and military transformation,
have appeared in Armed Forces Jour- doctrine writers at Joint Forces Command (JFCOM) introduced effects-based
nal, Army Magazine, Military Review, planning (EBP), operational net assessment (ONA), and system-of-systems
Artillery Journal, Strategic Studies
Institute Papers, and in AUSA Land
analysis (SOSA). Intended to be tools of operational art and planning, these
Power Papers. concepts have been nearly impotent for making any sense of the Iraq and
_____________ Afghanistan missions.
The inherent logic of effects-based planning assumes a mechanistic
ILLUSTRATIONS: Hannibal, whose
army is depicted here crossing the understanding of causal chains. We can readily understand the logic of cause
Alps, is likely the Wests most com- and effect in physical structures once we map them. Difficulty ensues when
petent example of skilled adaptation
in operational design. Juxtaposed is
mapping social and political relationships: when we think we have a map,
a stylized portrait of Takeda Shingen, relationships shift. Moreover, such maps become unreliable because people
the Japanese commander of the 16th need not act the way one expects they should.
century who made Sun Tzus opera-
tional philosophy the centerpiece of Critically, SOSA attempts to map five categories of interconnected,
doctrine for his armies. organic structures that people createpolitical, economic, military, social,

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O P E R AT I O N A L D E S I G N

and infrastructure informational constructs. SOSA


undermines critical and creative thinking about Because the elements of
these structures by assigning them a Newtonian
complex systems we care most
causal logic that promotes conceptual rigidity.
Human constructs are inherently fluid. Assign- about are human ones, making
ing mechanistic predictability to them in doctrine sense of relationships requires
amounts to erecting false assumptions as dogma. hypothetical synthesis in the
As doctrine, SOSA is antithetical to a coherent form of maps or narratives.
operational design.

Evolving Doctrinal Norms and products that reflect a dimly perceived truth at a
Systemic Operational Design moment of understanding in time. To make the best
The last four years have seen the Army promote sense of human relationships, interactions, trends,
studies to reinvigorate creativity, critical thinking, and propensities, military commands have to adopt a
and adaptability as intellectual norms in a collective habitually skeptical approach to such non-deductive
organizational framework. This inquiry, just like conclusions. Such habituation implies a new intel-
the Armys reforms of the early 1980s, has led it to lectual culture that balances design and planning
examine what other disciplines and other militar- while evincing an appreciation for the dynamic
ies have learned about dealing with the difficulties flow of human factors and a bias toward perpetual
of novel and complex challenges. In many fields, learning and adapting.
novelty limits the extent to which reasoning models Recent trends in design. Over recent years the
derived from experience can apply to present prob- fruits of this inquiry have infiltrated parts of Joint
lem settings. New systemic complexity defies the Publication (JP) 3-0 and 5-0; into the new Field
usual approaches to sensemaking. Manual (FM) 3-24, Counterinsurgency (Chapter 4);
Complicated versus complex systems. Merely and into FM 3-0, Operations (Chapter 6). In early
complicated systems are composed of numerous 2008, the Armys Training and Doctrine Command
parts and structures, all logically separable from (TRADOC) published a guide entitled Command-
their environment. An example would be the system ers Appreciation and Campaign Design (TRADOC
for deploying units on a time table for an operation Pamphlet 525-5-500), and in late 2007 the Army
like D-day. Such a schedule could be accurately War College expanded emphasis on design into its
analyzed in the abstract. Complex systems are made Campaign Planning Handbook. These documents
up of dynamic, interactive, and adaptive elements represent initial attempts at articulating new ideas
that cannot be separated from interaction with their (a new intellectual culture) and harmonizing them
environments. The significant elements of complex with older knowledge. Necessary revisions are
systems are human beings and their relationships. underway to make needed concepts more acces-
An example would be the action-reaction interplay sible. Just as 1982s FM 100-5, Operations, pro-
of the various actors in cooperation and contention vided only a rudimentary treatment of operational
on D-day. Analysis could never predict the relation- art, these new publications represent initial efforts
ships that were the most important part of the flow to evolve a competent approach for dealing with
of events. the human factor in complexity.1
Where merely complicated systems require mostly Colonel Robert C. Johnson, Director of the
deduction and analysis (formal logic of breaking into Futures Directorate of TRADOCs Army Concepts
parts), complexity requires inductive and abductive Integration Center, launched and guided this study
reasoning for diagnostics and synthesis (the informal in its early years, introducing participants to the
logic of making new wholes of parts). Because the thinking of Brigadier General (retired) Shimon
elements of complex systems we care most about are Naveh, Ph.D., who had developed an approach to
human ones, making sense of relationships requires operational art for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF)
hypothetical synthesis in the form of maps or narra- called systemic operational design (SOD). In
tives. Such maps and narratives evolve as informal early 2006 the new IDF leadership rejected SOD

Military Review January-February 2009 3


in favor of effects-based operations (EBO) and ing a centerpiece of their doctrine. In one sense this
SOSA. All plans based on SOD were shelved, and is an adaptation of John Boyds OODA (observe,
its proponents were retired. This rejection of SOD orient, decide, act) loop. It also reflects adaptation
had dire consequences for the way the Israelis then of Darwins theory of evolution to memetic ideas
framed the Hezbollah problem they faced that (rather than genetic natural selection). Adaptive
same summer. Instead of following the logic out- campaigning is the art of continually making sense
lined by Naveh, they attempted to follow American of dynamic situations and evolving designs, plans,
Joint doctrine: EBO and SOSA. The IDFs loss has modes of learning, and actions to keep pace.
been the U.S. Armys gain. Consciously or not, all living beings and societies
The remainder of this discussion is a distillation follow the pattern of behavior described in the dia-
and further development of a yet unpublished paper gram below. So do Americas combatant commands,
Naveh and I wrote jointly in August 2008 entitled including units rotating into Iraq and Afghanistan
The Theory and Practice of Design. The balance today.2 They can be thought of as conducting one
of this discussion answers four simple questions by perpetual security campaign in pursuit of desirable
summarizing necessary evolutions of operational change. There is no beginning and no end state. The
art and how to institutionalize them: idea of end state makes little sense in this context.
What is effective learning and adapting while There is a currently provisional desired state, one
campaigning? now believed desirable based on what is known.
What is design in relation to planning? It may be achieved sooner than thought possible,
What is the logic and method of effective or it may prove to be overly ambitious. What is
design? actually attainable inevitably changes as more is
How do we institutionalize design? known. During the current extended campaigns,
each combatant command is continually adapting
Effective Learning and within the ecology of their environments, as do all
Adapting While Campaigning living beings. Success depends on learning and
The U.S. military is not the only institution facing adapting more rapidly than rivals in the ecosystem.
the conceptual difficulties of complexity. It has This dynamic applies the same way to extended
been able to learn from others and adapt knowledge operations at their lower echelons.
to its culture and missions. Adapting the learning Modes of understanding. The Greeks taught
and insights of others is always difficult, as it was Western civilization to think heroically, to create a
during the reform era of
the 1980s when America
learned most from the Act based on a provisional theory of reality
Germans and the Soviet On the current understanding of the problem,
in order to learn to develop the situation and
enemy. The following key to inuence behaviors toward objective.
ideas have been translated
for American use.
Effective learning and Turn inside Sense to discern what changed
Gain feedback for adaptation,
adapting while campaign-
Adapt
the Learning-
to the new level of study what to sense, and
ing, or adaptive cam- Adaptation measure effectiveness.
understanding Cycle of Other
paigning, is a key part Actors
of this newly evolved
approach to operational
art. Campaigning in
this sense means extended
Decide what the sensings mean
Take decisions on several levels:
operations requiring bal- Technique and course of action
Methods and modes of learning
anced design and planning. Problem hypothesis and strategy
The Australian Army has
made adaptive campaign- Figure 1. Adaptive campaigning model.

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vision of the future as an idealized end one desires, Acting on shared perceptions. Because opera-
and to overcome any and all obstacles to force that tional reality is complex, dynamic, and opaque,
ideal creation of ones mind onto the real world. This military commands should act on provisional theo-
temperament involves a Manichean narrative that ries of reality (of the relation between truth and fact)
encourages polarized and inherently simplified dis- that its key members share. They should collectively
tinctions. It also assumes a direct correspondence of develop a provisional road to doing and making
truths (mental states) to facts (physical realities). things better. The more comprehensive, relevant,
In contrast, the foundational discourses of the and reliable knowledge is, the better the outcomes
Confucian and Taoist East do not frame life experi- will be in two equally important respects: actually
ence in terms of idealized ends or visions. Chi- advancing desired goals, and gaining more relevant
nese sages thought it impossible to know what an understanding of the situation. An important aim
idealized end could be. They did not trust the mind of design is to develop a more comprehensive
to have a mirror-like correspondence to external appreciation of the situation than we as a military
reality. Instead they thought that distinguishing institution now can.
better from worse was the best one could do. As aforementioned, operating headquarters are
Life experience, in their Eastern perspective, was a continually sensing to discern what has changed as
perpetual and ever changing flow of events. Intel- a result of its various interventions in the contextual
lectual energy, in flowing with the way of the world, ecosystem. Getting relevant feedback is challeng-
should ideally focus on understanding the forces, ing, as is learning how and what to sense and how to
tendencies, and propensities of the contextual situ- identify useful measures of effectiveness. However,
ation. In their understanding, one harmonizes with since methods and modes are the product of past
existence by enhancing the forces tending to flow lessons learned, they may not be best for gathering
toward better while subtly diverting and blocking the most relevant information. Another important
those tending toward worse. Although this distinc- function of design is to devote attention and fore-
tion amounts to oversimplification, the differences thought to this sensing process. Ascribing meaning
drawn are sufficient to point up the pros and cons of and relevance to information leading to decisions
the intellectual heritages of East and West.3 about techniques and courses of action is not dif-
On their own, both ways of thinking have limita- ficult. In this process, the Army can easily perfect
tions; balancing these ways is valuable in a complex doing things right. The difficulty is the question
world. In a longer-term sense we need to think the of whether we are actually doing the right thing
Eastern way. For shorter term goals we need to work for the best outcomes.
concretely in planning and acting based on a problem Deciding whether our provisional theory of reality
frame derived from our best current understanding needs updatingi.e., are we solving the right prob-
of the situation. But unlike the Greeks, we should lem, and do we have the right strategy?is much
treat our mental problem construct as a contingency. more difficult. For this we have to depend on the
Westerners often treat goals as conceptual ideals (as experience, intuition, and creativity of our leaders.
immutable realities), and consequently get wedded to Because today we are facing both extreme novelty
plans that solve expired problem frames. The advice (primarily with information operations) and com-
of the Chinese sages is to treat problem frames as plexity combined, Americas military leaders need
provisional landmarks on the road to better. help in this area. The biggest decisions of command
are not about how to achieve set goals but what these
goals ought to be within a campaign design.
the Army can easily perfect Political authorities, responding to mounting
doing things right. pressure to do something in a crisis, regularly
The difficulty is the question assign ambiguous missions to senior military
leaders. What one can understand is a function of
of whether we are actually the granularity of ones view, often a perplexing
doing the right thing condition. Ambiguous missions entail a cycle of
understanding that turns continually and does not

Military Review January-February 2009 5


conform to the abstract and linear mental models in different minds, even in the same command.
of campaign phasing established in current Joint Every time our framing of the problem changes,
doctrine. An adaptive campaigning model is needed plans need to be updatednew problem, new
for modern doctrine. solution. A way to rapidly and continually evolve
and share reliable mental constructs of the problem
Design in Relation to Planning is needed.
Figure 2 shows how design meshes with planning Dealing with design separately and explicitly
and adaptive campaigning. The product of design is before we plan imparts deliberate logic, discipline,
the provisional conceptual problem frame within and rigor. There is no formulaic way of presenting
which planning takes place. Whereas design sets it. (When doctrine writers develop one, you will
the problem to be solved, planning solves it as set. know we have taken a turn off the path to better
Deciding what the problem is, and solving it are understanding.) Figure 2 indicates that design does
two different functions that the U.S. military con- not change military planning processes as they now
flated all through the 20th century, simply because exist; they precede and run in parallel with it.
it could. Countering the Soviet invasion of Western
Europe, Iraqs invasion of Kuwait, and the North The Logic and Method of Design
Korean invasion of the South are structurally much The U.S. militarys comfortable, conflated
the same problem. design/planning paradigms need a re-think.
When experience, doctrine, and commonly held The interconnected operational environment of
paradigms are valid, design is implicit. We all have political, military, economic, infrastructure, and
the same mental model of the problem to be solved. information (PMESII) systems-of-systems analysis
In this conflated approach to design and planning, portrayed in JP 3-0 and 5-0 is complicated, not
a commanders guidance to planners covers any complex. A complicated system behaves in a linear,
doubtful issues of design. This comfortable situ- predictable fashion. Automobiles and jumbo jets
ation has eroded over the last two decades under are complicated systems. These are systems that
the pressure of mission demands. Changing a actually exist in the world. Technical missions (e.g.,
regime is a very different problem conceptually bombing, artillery fire, air strikes, and infrastruc-
than countering an aggression. Lacking doctrine ture repairs) deal with the logic of such systems.
and experience leads to different mental constructs As aforementioned, joint doctrine encourages

Operational Design Product: An appreciation of the situation that expresses the


A commanders appreciation commanders understanding of the strategic logic, the
and campaign design systemic logic of the mission environment, the nature
of the opposition, neutrals and allies and the practical
implications for the campaign.
Execution Product: A restated mission, and commanders intent.
Progress toward a The Planning
better situation Product: A campaign strategythe central and unique idea
Learning- Implementing about how to achieve the ends of the campaign.
and learning about
technique, COA, Adaptation plans and
Commanders design guidance consisting of:
design, and Cycle orders
appreciation Objectives related to actors and relationships
Potential points of influence
Ways and means of learning
Preparation Product: Approaches for organizing
Readiness and learning
about technique and COA Intended message of words and deeds

Design sets the problem to be solved, planning solves the problem as it is set.
The product of design should be briefed to higher authorities for their approval.
It is a way to continually evolve and explicitly share mental constructs of the problem.

Figure 2. A provisional conceptual problem framing guide.

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The PMESII systems-of-systems thing is as well as how to do


portrayed in JP 3-0 and 5-0 is
complicated, not complex. A things right. When one cannot
complicated system is made up of
many parts but behaves in a linear be sure of doctrine, of ones own
(that is predictable) fashion.
Automobiles and jumbo jets are
experience, or of the concepts
complicated systems. These are generated by the Pentagon,
systems that actually exist in the world.
one is sure to find operational
Technical missions deal with the logic of
such systems.
complexity more intractable.
The current military mission
environment is not such a system, it is
These conditions yield a hazily
complex. A complex system is a
system that consists of a large number
imperfect knowledge of both the
of interactive parts in which the number enemy and ones own capabili-
of relationships and feedback
mechanisms make system behavior ties. Because todays missions
unpredictable in magnitude of response.
Relationships are hidden, constantly present novelty and complexity
evolving, and impossible to bound. They
are also marked by self-organization
combined, designing compo-
and emergence of the capability to nents of operational art requires
generate system changes without
external input. Relationships of thinking systematizing collective critical
humans are extremely complex.
and creative thinking within a
Figure 3. The interconnected operational environment. headquarters. Accomplishing
that goal means using a systemic
conflating what is in the mind with what is in the cognitive methodology more likely to lead to doing
real world. It assumes a simple correspondence the right thing.
between ideas and facts, that the mind is the mirror Such a collective design approach attains a
of reality. Such a simplistic theory of knowledge broader, holistic, and shared understanding of the
assumes the world is a system and that the systemic situation. It benefits from multiple perspectives
reflection in our minds is real. It projects mental introduced in a rigorous and disciplined way. The
models back into the world and engineers solutions problem is more likely to be a shared view within
to problems it perceives to be immutable. the headquarters, better defined, and more rigor-
General Mattis at Joint Forces Command (JFCOM) ously documented, making re-definition easier and
recently acknowledged the inappropriateness of faster. Planning to solve the problem is likely to
effects-based operations and effects-based planning proceed more effectively and more rapidly. Those
for anything but technical missions for which causal who protest that time and rigor invested in design
chains are either predictable, or nearly so.4 The is wasted effort do not understand that doing the
systems-of-systems logic of JP 3-0 and 5-0 suggests right thing is more important than doing things
that EBO/EBP is widely applicable to all current mis- right on the way to worse or irrelevant rather
sions; more doctrinal reform is therefore necessary. than better outcomes.
Current mission environments present com- The philosophy required of sound design is very
plex rather than complicated systems. They are much the opposite of the hard systems thinking
marked by self-organization and something called encouraged by PMESII, SOSA, and EBO in which
emergencethe capability to generate system reality is structured and predictable. Design relies on
changes without external input. Adding human mental models to structure thinking, learning, and
beings to the equation adds even more to complex- shifts in thinking about a reality that is fundamen-
ity. Mapping such complexity is not true to reality tally unstructured, ephemeral, and intractable.
but an evanescently useful representation of reality. Collaborative design is commander-led, and the
Keeping its transient quality in mind, any competent commander decides key questions concerning the
leader armed with an understanding of the logic interpretations of facts and the acceptance of key
required could set and solve mission-problems causal theories, but the quality of the result depends
within a framework of adaptive campaigning. on the commanders willingness to entertain and
Doing the right thing. When doctrine is sound consider challenges to his or her understanding
and relevant, and experience has taught applicable (without considering them as a threat to author-
lessons, leaders can recognize what doing the right ity or position). Questioning to achieve shared

Military Review January-February 2009 7


Reality is fundamentally
unstructured and problematic.
Philosophy and Methodology design inquiry. This collec-
Mental models structure thinking, tive design methodology
learning, and shifts in thinking.
Participative Battle Command
assumes a continual, cycli-
Free to question understanding, cal assessment for relevance
not authority.
Holistic-Systemic Skeptical Posture and periodically feeds new
Understanding Provisional understanding.
Emphasis on human 2. Operations Frame: Continuous, collaborative, guidance to planners and
relationships and motivations, Understanding the
practical implications of the
recursive learning. subordinates.
propensities, potentials,
tensions. System Frame. Just as the Military Deci-
sion Making Process has
1. System Frame: 3. Concept Design:
Understanding the
Learn Formulating the a logical sequence that
strategic logic and the
mission context.
Assess concept of the
intervention.
should not be violated even
Adjust when the steps are abbrevi-
ated, operational design
Build a shared understanding layer-by-layer through a recursive dialectical process: has a sensible and logical
Form a tentative explanatory theory based on the best information available. sequence that also can be
Test it by identifying problems or tensions between the theory and new information and perspectives.
abbreviated but not violated.
Construct a new theory to resolve such problems.
Maintain cross-talk higher to lower, among command team and with subordinates.
Design should begin by
constructing a broad con-
Figure 4. Philosophy and methodology. ceptual frame of reference,
the system frame. This
understanding of facts and expected consequences frame aids in understanding the strategic logic and
is a mark of professional conduct, not a challenge context. Conventional wisdom is to think at least
to authority to decide and direct. True discipline two levels down when drawing up plans. Design-
requires honest professional dialogue between ing wisdom is to initially think two mission levels
peers, with subordinates, and particularly with up to frame the problem context. The next stage of
superiors in recognition of the markedly short-lived design is to construct a narrower conceptual frame
truth of complex realities. of reference, the operating frame. This frame aids
Business literature has long advocated man- in understanding the systemic potentials, trends,
agement by walking around. The military lead- and propensities within the situation and the way it
ership version is called battlefield circulation. can be transformed into a desirable, self-regulating
The understanding of leaders is greatly enhanced state. From this frame of reference emerges the
when subordinates one or two levels down share broader concept of intervention: a clear statement
their understandings candidly. Learning about of the problem and the whole of government
complex situations is very much a bottom up pro- or governments strategy of intervention suited to
cess. Because systems of human relationships, the the particular situation and the interests of authori-
ecosystem of todays missions, are complex rather ties. From this understanding emerges the concept
than complicated, design requires maintaining a design for the command.
skeptical posture. Every interpretation of facts is It will be normal for problem framing at one level
challengeable. Every analogous case is judged not of design to differ from that of a higher authority.
only by the similarities but also by the differences. Difference may simply result from considering dif-
Every understanding is provisional. Collaborative ferent sets of facts and different interpretations of
and recursive learning is continuous. Every expla-
nation is up for challenge.
This layer-by-layer approach of building under- [Operational] design requires
standing through a recursive dialectical process maintaining a skeptical posture.
outlined at the bottom of Figure 4 is the empirical,
inductive vehicle science employs to propose and
Every interpretation of facts is
test theories. Informal, inductive case-building challengeable.
is the procedural workhorse of the commands

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the same facts. Different assumptionstheories of by the commander, otherwise it would be the design
cause and effectcan also lead to different framing. teams product and not a command product.
Professionally, subordinate commands should chal- The first step to constructing the system frame
lenge the understanding of the higher authority based is to record observed reality and learn about its
on their own comprehensive design enquiries. Under complex evolution. A conceptual map and written
the best of circumstances both levels will refine and narrative can best describe and explain the com-
harmonize their understandings and their designs. mands understanding of the emergent situation.
Harmonizing understandings, up and down as well (A map is best for economically describing and
as laterally, benefits all if it includes deliberate con- explaining relevant relationships. A narrative is
sideration of the basis for differences, not simply best for describing and explaining the logic and
a lowest common denominator compromise. The sequence of how the situation evolves. Doing both
commanders decision should not gloss over differ- is best.) If a recent system frame exists, it may
ences, as they become the basis for framing priority have resulted from adjustments to a previous map
questions to be answered on the road ahead. and narrative.
The journey of learning. Collaborative design All people individually reason informally in
is a continuous and recursive journey of learning. similar fashion, consciously or not. But one rarely
Figure 5 describes and explains important aspects creates a detailed, collaborative, graphic, and nar-
of the main steps so briefly outlined above. rative interpretation of the relevant actors and their
Reading into the situation and higher author- relationships in an emergent situation. More rarely
ity guidance implies a starting point. However, this does anyone make an explicit record of theory, of
starting point should be understood as a significant causal and influence networks, and of how a situ-
new emergence in the flow of events. Such points are ation may evolve further if current strategy does
reached anytime there is a reason to take a fresh look not change. Even rarer is the likelihood that an
at the situation. They can be deliberately periodic, as individual, much less a group, ever conducts a logi-
when directed to undertake a new mission, or as the cal, comprehensive, and systemic inquiry suited to
commander deems useful. An important aspect of setting the problem (design) as opposed to solving
this methodology is that every product is sanctioned one (planning).
The exercise of delib-
erately creating, sharing,
Read into the situation, Design a pictorial and
narrative interpretation of
Reflect on this from the
perspective of the desired state
and periodically renew-
including higher
authority guidance the relevant actors and implied by the guidance to see ing such an explicit con-
their relationships in the where the tensions are between
emergent situation the observed map and the one
ceptual construct is an
the higher had in mind official reference and
record of past assump-
This leads to another
revision of the map and Then reflect upon the Make revisions of current map
tions of causal logic and
narrative of understanding differences between this
product and the perspective
and note the interpretations provides a shared base-
of the differences
of the system of opposition line for learning, and
or rival (source of systemic
disturbance that prompted
further critical thinking.
Begin to outline what
can be done the mission) In planning we make
assumptions of fact, in
Examine the emerging Then the emerging frame of Outline the strategem
design we make assump-
frame from the perspective understanding needs to be tions of truth in causal
of commandthe system of examined from the perspective
learning and channeling the of marshalling the objects of Shape the guidance to planners:
logic. Given current prac-
various agents to counter energy (will, resources, and Parallel and sequential objectives tices, we lose track of
the systemic effects and energy to take the necessary Potential points of inuence toward each obj.
efforts of the rival system. counter actions). Outline what Ways and means of learning the logic that produced
Outline what can be done. can be done. Approaches for organizing current efforts, especially
Intended message of words and deeds
as key staff and com-
manders change during
Figure 5. The journey of learning. the course of perpetual

Military Review January-February 2009 9


Then begins the narrowing of the broader perspec-
tive into the narrower operating frame of reference
In planning we make that shapes thinking about action and the how.
This effort produces a finer grained appreciation of
assumptions of fact, in
the tensions between the observed system and the
design we make assumptions desired one. It also reveals the practical implications
of truth in causal logic. of bringing about desired systemic changes. In the
end, this winnowing down leads to a broad theory
of actionsactions in the context of collaborative
whole of government and alliance efforts con-
campaigning. In conflated design/planning we nected to a broader team of actors who are wholly
either mix the two kinds of assumptions indis- or even partly in pursuit of the same outcomes.
criminately or we disregard assumptions of causal Systemic changes (or disturbances) can produce
logic altogether, especially if they are commonly an undesirable emergence. Any factor that tends
accepted paradigms, or tenets of our doctrine. to worsen prospects for a desired outcome is an
Current doctrine needs to provide more wisdom undesirable emergence. Combined, the source of
about how to help the command think critically and the change and the emergence itself can be thought
creatively as a team. While they can easily identify of as the system of opposition. This system may
relationships most apparent to the conventional comprise actors in full or partial alliance, tendencies
and current way of looking at the situation, what is of particular allies, or the character and propensi-
valuable, albeit more difficult, is to tease out rela- ties of the environment. The next step is to give
tionships that exist outside the current paradigm of this opposed system more definition and use it as
situational relationships. a foil to reflect on the path from the observed state
Meta-questioning. Meta-questioning is an intel- of affairs to that desired. This step is analogous to
lectual habit that can help one escape conceptual Sun Tzus dictum to Know your enemy but more
paradigms to tease out relationships. For example, broadly applies to the milieu of opposition. The
Afghans are members of a tribal society. A meta- object is to understand as much as possible about
question would ask, How does being a tribal environmental tendencies and propensities. That
member affect the way Afghans view governance, inquiry would involve wrestling with the asym-
international boundaries, drug trafficking, and sup- metries between the system of opposition and ones
port for the Taliban? While doctrinal definitions, command as a system.
categories, and patterns of behavior are useful A minimal inquiry into the system of opposition
for sharing understanding and organizing tactical would address:
efforts, they also confine one to current paradigms How can we learn about it.
in thinking. Sound design requires one to critically What are the impacts of culture, politics,
test, break, and construct new and more relevant economics, and social dynamics on the opposing
ways of understanding. systems behavior.
The next step is to create a mental model that What is the nature and structure of its logisti-
defines the desired situation and outlines the strate- cal system.
gic logic for intervention implied by higher author- What is its visible and invisible modes of
ity guidance and as modified by any new knowl- operational maneuver.
edge gained thus far in the inquiry. Model creation How might this system of opposition be dis-
involves creating two models of the observed and rupted.
desired states that can be juxtaposed to grasp the The next logical step is to create another foil for
tensions between the two. Reflecting on these two reflecting on the asymmetries between the system
frames of reference and the tension between them of opposition and a system that hypothetically
leads to recognition of what actors need to behave embodies all sources of potential resistance to it, spe-
differently and what causal and influence networks cifically to the undesirable emergence. This step is
need to be altered, but not necessarily how. analogous to Sun Tzus dictum to Know yourself,

10 January-February 2009 Military Review


O P E R AT I O N A L D E S I G N

only more broadly applied to understanding oneself understanding. Each further outlines and limits the
as a system, and oneself as a member of a system scope and form of the intervention and thus outlines
of collaboration (the command and other allied the operating framethe frame of reference
agencies) toward compatible desired outcomes. that actually shapes our thinking about operations
This step of the journey of learning addresses (e.g., where and how to apply positive and negative
four important questions: energy to transform the observed system into the
How elements of this system can combine desired situation).
efforts of actors (for instance, relevant service What remains is to narrow a broad theory of inter-
elements, coalition contingents, non-military vention down to the role of the command itself:
governmental agencies, indigenous organizations, Where it will support.
multinational corporations, inter-governmental Where it will lead and be supported.
organizations, and non-governmental organiza- How it will apply systemic leverage.
tions) to achieve comparative advantage. Abstract concepts have to be translated into
How to create a networked system of collabo- clear and concise language and a logical flow of
ration to effectively engage and sustain these varied ideas to enable the formulation of guidance for the
potentials throughout the campaign, and at the same commands planning efforts and subordinate level
time, share information and learn effectively about design efforts.
the ever-evolving situation. The actual products of design consist of:
How to exploit the self-defeating habits and The commanders appreciation that explains
tendencies of particular adversaries, the inclina- the strategic logic for the mission, the logic of the
tions and propensities of neutrals, and aspects or emergence that prompted it, and the logic of the
trends of the contextual environment that oppose operating frame.
the undesirable systemic emergence. The concept design consisting of the restated
How the command itself should organize to mission, the commanders intent, and the strategy
learn, adapt, and continually re-design throughout for intervention.
the campaign. The strategy for intervention is the central and
The next logical step of the inquiry is a very unique idea about how to exploit the following to
broadly defined logistical systemin other words, achieve the desired outcomes:
the system for mobilizing, marshalling, deliver- The peculiar characteristics of the situation.
ing, and deploying the situation-changing means The nature and tendencies of the system of
required to develop and sustain the campaign. The opposition.
means required to change the situation may include The asymmetries between the system of oppo-
the will and energy of allies to act, as well as various sition and the system of collaboration.
resources and military and non-military capabilities. Other systemic propensities.
Developing and sustaining the campaign requires A statement of the strategy will normally
overcoming systemic impediments such as barriers address:
of time, space, and geography. This aspect focuses Parallel and sequential objectives with regard
on the tension between what is required and what to specific system actors and relationships.
is available to actors and agencies that can be Potential points of influence toward these
mobilized and on logistical issues of positioning, objectives.
staging, timing, and geography. Sun Tzu is a good Ways and means of learning.
example, as The Art of War offers ample advice on Approaches for organizing.
these matters of design. Intended message of words and deeds com-
Given the specific situation, other relevant sys- bined.
temic perspectives also apply to further limit, scope, This journey of learning is continuous, iterative,
and shape the operating frame and form of the and reflective because whatever strategy is applied
intervention. But each of these separate exercises in the real world, the mental models constructed
in expanding our relevant knowledge leads to more along this journey are only imperfect representa-
revision of the cognitive map and narrative of our tions of it. New constructs must account for new

Military Review January-February 2009 11


Those officers who cut their teeth professionally in
whatever strategy is applied Panama, Haiti, Bosnia, or Kosovo, and who have
more recently been serving in key leadership posi-
in the real world, the mental tions while rotating in and out of Afghanistan and
models constructed along this Iraq should be naturally receptive. Such officers
journey are only imperfect are moving into leadership at division, corps, and
representations of it. theater-Army levels. A sincere effort to practice
this new form of operational art is underway in the
3d U.S. Army, the ARCENT component of U.S.
observations and new desired system states. New Central Command. Key elements of the staff have
tensions between observed and desired states need invested time in immersive study and are practic-
to be reconciled. Enriched understanding then needs ing the art of collective design daily in their work.
to translate into strategic adaptations and reformed Much is being learned there to pass on to other
intervention. Periodically new design guidance headquarters. A corps would similarly benefit from
will flow to subordinates and planners while the doing a collaborative design inquiry at the front end
operational design team continues to learn. of a rotation, well ahead of the mission readiness
exercise. Commanders at all levels willing to try this
Institutionalizing Design approach would stand to benefit as well. But such
This new approach to operational art has demon- an experiment should not be forced on an unwilling
strated results superior to the alternative in every commander because going through the motions of
case. People who have the greatest experience of collective critical and creative thinking and learning
complex operations are its most ready converts. and adapting will be fruitless.
Converts have been more easily won among prac- The introduction of new ideas that clash with
titioners in actual operating environments than sanctioned old ones is naturally more difficult in
in sterile academic settings. Those most recently bureaucratic and conservative military academic
indoctrinated in EBO and SOSA and the hard institutions. Faculties at Fort Leavenworth and
systems thinking it promotes have been the most Carlisle have been more resistant than their students
difficult to re-educate in this method. They keep or practitioners in the field. This may be because
trying to harmonize two incompatible ways of these faculties have had to absorb EBO, ONA, and
thinking or they are convinced that EBO and SOSA SOSA over the last decade in order to fulfill their
produce an acceptable product more quickly. Open- obligations to teach Joint doctrine and concepts.
minded skeptics who have gained experience and This collective inertia is analogous to the asymme-
understanding of the method have been brought tries between the irregular who thinks pragmatically
around. Those who believe the military has no busi- about his particular world, and the regular who
ness in ambiguous missions and complex settings must be expert across a wider world and thus relies
are its most ardent opponents. Then there are those on general principles of bureaucracies to tell him
who prefer the traditional approach to complexity: how to think about particulars. The irony is that
overwhelm and obliterate it. decentralizing the thinking about particulars leaves
Sometimes a culture grows from the bottom up, educators to concentrate on education. MR
but there is no doubt that this new culture must be
introduced at the top and directed downward. Senior
NOTES
leaders and higher headquarters will recognize the
benefits of this approach more easily, and once a 1. Other senior mentors involved in this effort from time to time have been: retired
higher headquarters practices this form of opera- Lieutenant Generals Leonard D. Holder, P.K. van Riper (USMC), William Carter,
James Steele, James Riley, and retired Major General Waldo Freeman.
tional art, subordinate headquarters will naturally 2. See Redefining the Military Strategy Problem Set in the November 2008
issue of Army, 19.
follow suit. 3. For a deeper understanding I recommend reading Francois Jullien, A Treatise
on Efficacy: Between Western and Chinese Thinking (Honolulu: University of Hawaii
The Army is more ready for this approach than Press, 2004).
4. See Memorandum for U.S. Joint Forces Command, Subject: Assessment of
some of its senior leaders, its proponents, now think. Effects Based Operations, 14 August 2008.

12 January-February 2009 Military Review

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