INCREMENTO IPC BASES DE PRODUCTO

PORCENTAJE AO VENTAS PRECIO UNIDADES

4.12 2016 8,228,398 5,818 1414
4.85 2017 8,627,567 6,263 1378
5.25 2018 9,080,354 6,720 1351
4.74 2019 9,510,842 7,149 1330
4.95 2020 9,981,315 7,657 1304

CANTIDAD
AOS DE VENTAS
X Y X2 Y2
1 1410 1 1,988,100
2 1470 4 2,160,900
3 1510 9 2,280,100
4 1598 16 2,553,604
5 1609 25 2,588,881
TOTAL 15 7597 55 11,571,585

Reemplazando en las frmulas:

b = Nxy - x y
Nx^2 - (x)^2

a = y - bx
N

b= 5(3529890)-15 (1185409) b= 2,630 b=

5(55)-(15)^2 50

a= 1185409-(-2634)(15) a= 6808 a=
5 5

Recta ajustada por mnimos cuadrados es:

y= a + bx

Y= 244.983 + (-2634)x
El crecimiento (c) se determina mediante la frmula

C= b (N)
y

el crecimiento (c) para los proximos cinco aos es el siguiente

c= (53)* (5) c= 265 c=

7597 7597

Esto significa que las ventas crecern a un promedio de 1,11 % por perodo.

Por tanto, las ventas estimadas para los siguientes cinco aos son:

Pronstico de ventas para el ao 1

y= 244983+(-2634) (1) y= 244983+(-2634)

Pronstico de ventas para el ao 2 5268

y= 244983+(-2634) (2) y= 244983+(-5268)

Pronstico de ventas para el ao 3

y= 244983+(-2634) (3) y= 244983+(-7902)

Pronstico de ventas para el ao 4

y= 244983+(-2634) (4) y= 244983+(-10536)

Pronstico de ventas para el ao 5

y= 244983+(-2634) (5) y= 244983+(-13170)

Por tanto, el pronstico de ventas para el siguiente ao es:

VENTAS PR
AOS 8,000
VENTAS
PROYECTADAS 7,000
1 1,414 6,000
2 2,724 5,000
3 4,086 4,000
4 5,448 3,000 2,724
2,000
1,414
1,000
0
1 2 3
 6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000 2,724
5 6,810 2,000
1,414
1,000
0
1 2 3
 26,145,908

9,080,354
9,510,842
9,981,315
33,632,844 33,632,844
0
88,351,263

(X) (Y)
1,410
2,940
4,530
6,392
8,045
23,317

53

1,362
 0.035 3.4882190338

y= 1,414

y= 2,724

y= 4,086

y= 5,448

y= 6,810

VENTAS PROYECTADAS A 5 AOS

6,810

5,448
VENTAS PROYECTADAS
4,086

2,724

2 3 4 5
 5,448
VENTAS PROYECTADAS
4,086

2,724

2 3 4 5
ROYECTADAS
ROYECTADAS
 Pgina 9 de 360528215.xlsx

HEXAROINT LTDA.

2015
138,899,388 2011 1,179,776,277
159,607,265 2012 1,225,614,250
Ao Ventas 142,456,393 2013 1,256,267,169
1 1,179,776,277 187,120,100 2014 1,234,231,889
2 1,225,614,250 160,842,029 2015 1,281,120,915
3 1,256,267,169 156,642,371
4 1,234,231,889 169,741,354
5 1,281,120,915 165,810,000
1,281,120,915
INVENTARIO INICIAL 1,609 Unidades
INVENTARIO FINAL 2,700 Unidades

Cedulas Presupuestales

UNIDADES A VENDER
AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
1,414 2,724 4,086 5,448 6,810 20,482

precio venta 1 5,588 VALOR UNT PROYECTADO

2 5,973 5,818 2016
3 6,385 6,263 2017
4 6,825 6,720 2018
5 7,296 7,149 2019
7,657 2020
 Pgina 10 de 360528215.xlsx

PRESUPUESTO DE INGRESOS ANUALES

AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
7,902,550 16,270,452.00 26,089,110.00 37,182,600 49,685,760 137,130,472

CALCULO PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCION

AO 1 AO 2
Saldo inicial saldo final ventas PRODUCCION Saldo inicial saldo final
4,277 10,000 1,414 7,137 10,000 10,000

CALCULO PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCION

AO 3 AO 4
Saldo inicial saldo final ventas PRODUCCION Saldo inicial saldo final
10,000 10,000 4,086 4,086 10,000 10,000

CALCULO PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCION

AO 5
Saldo inicial Saldo final Ventas PRODUCCION
10,000 10,000 6,810 6,810

CEDULA RESUMEN DE PRODUCCION DE UNIDADES

AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
7,137 2,724 4,086 5,448 6,810 26,205

CEDULA MATERIA PRIMA CONSUMIDA PARA LA PRODUCCION

MATERIA PRIMA CANTIDAD CM AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 1800 12,846,960 4,903,200 7,354,800 9,806,400
TOTAL

CEDULA DE COMPRAS DE MATERIA PRIMA ANUAL

AO 1 AO 2
 Pgina 11 de 360528215.xlsx

MATERIA PRIMA Saldo inicial Consumo Saldo final COMPRAR Saldo inicial
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 4,277 12,846,960 1,961,280 14,803,963 1,961,280
TOTAL

CEDULA DE COMPRAS DE MATERIA PRIMA ANUAL

MATERIA PRIMA CALCULO PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCION
AO 3 AO 4
Saldo inicial Consumo Saldo final COMPRAR Saldo inicial
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 2,941,920 7,354,800 3,922,560 8,335,440 3,922,560

CEDULA DE COMPRAS DE MATERIA PRIMA ANUAL

CALCULO PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCION
MATERIA PRIMA AO 5
Saldo inicial Consumo Saldo final COMPRAR
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 4,903,200 12,258,000 5,138,784 12,493,584

CEDULA RESUMEN COMPRAS MP

PRODUCTO AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 14,803,963 5,883,840 8,335,440 10,787,040 12,493,584

CEDULA COSTO COMPRA DE MP $

PRODUCTO AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 1,012 14,981,610,556 5,954,446,080 8,435,465,280 10,916,484,480

CEDULA RESUMEN COSTO COMPRA DE MP $

PRODUCTO AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
TELA NYLON ENCAJE 14,981,610,556 5,954,446,080 8,435,465,280 10,916,484,480
 Pgina 12 de 360528215.xlsx

PRESUPUESTO DE RECAUDO DE CARTERA

AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
INGRESOS 12,500,000 17,500,000 12,500,000 25,000,000
ABONOS 6,250,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 18,750,000
CARTERA 6,250,000 8,750,000 6,250,000 12,500,000

PRESUPUESTO DE PAGO A PROVEEDORES

AO 1 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5
1,000,600 1,152,000 1,170,000 1,530,000 1,440,000
PAGOS 500,300 1,076,300 1,161,000 1,350,000 1,485,000
CREDITO 500,300 576,000 585,000 765,000 720,000
Pgina 13 de 360528215.xlsx
 Pgina 14 de 360528215.xlsx

O2
ventas PRODUCCION
2,724 2,724

O4
ventas PRODUCCION
5,448 5,448

AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
12,258,000 47,169,360

AL
AO 2
 Pgina 15 de 360528215.xlsx

Consumo Saldo final COMPRAR

4,903,200 2,941,920 5,883,840

PRIMA ANUAL
DUCCION
AO 4
Consumo Saldo final COMPRAR
9,806,400 4,903,200 10,787,040

18,867,744

TOTAL COMPRAS
52,303,867

MP $
AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
12,643,507,008 52,931,513,404

DE MP $
AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
12,643,507,008 52,931,513,404
 Pgina 16 de 360528215.xlsx

AO 5 TOTAL VTAS
12,500,000 117,500,000
18,750,000 73,750,000
6,250,000 6,250,000

TOTAL VTAS
8,425,600
7,359,100
720,000
 Pgina 17 de 360528215.xlsx

|
 Pgina 18 de 360528215.xlsx

80,000,000

8,425,600
 CONCEPTO M.O.D

PROCESO OPERARIO 1 OPERARIO 2 OPERARIO3 OPERARIO 4

DEVENGADO Sueldo bsico 800,000 644,350 644,350 700,000

DT 30 30 30 30
Auxilio de transporte 74,000 74,000 74,000 74,000
OTROS Prima 437,000 359,175 359,175 387,000
Total devengado 1,311,000 1,077,525 1,077,525 461,000
DEDUCCIONES Aportes Salud - - -
Aportes pensin 49,480 40,141 40,141
PREST TRAB
Rte Fuente Base - - -
Rte Fuente
PRESTAMO
OTROS
Total deducciones 49,480 40,141 40,141
NETO PAGADO 1,261,520 1,037,384 1,037,384
PROVISIONES CESANTIAS 0.0833 109,206 89,758 89,758
INT/CESANT 0.01 13,110 10,775 10,775
PRIMA 0.0833 109,206 89,758 89,758
VACACIONES 0.0417 51,583 41,847 41,847
APORTES %ARL 0 0 0
ARL 6,457 5,238 5,238
EPS 0 - - -
FP 0.12 148,440 120,423 120,423
CAJA COMP 0.04 49,480 40,141 40,141
I.C.B.F 0 - - -
SENA 0 - - -
TOTAL APORTES 487,482 397,940 397,940 -
TOTAL SALARIO DIAS HABILES 1,749,002 1,435,324 1,435,324 -
SALARIO HORA H 25 8,745 7,177 7,177

CEDULA
CONCEPTO

GERENTE GERENTE
PROCESO GERENTE SUBGERENTE FINANCIERA PRODUCCION

DEVENGADO Sueldo bsico 3,200,000 2,600,000 1,250,000 1,250,000

DT 30 30 30 30
 Horas Extras - - -
Comisiones - - -
Auxilio de transporte - - 74,000 74,000
OTROS Prima 1,600,000 1,300,000 662,000 662,000
Total devengado 4,800,000 1,300,000 736,000 736,000
DEDUCCIONES Aportes Salud - - -
Aportes pensin 192,000 52,000 26,480 26,480
PREST TRAB
Rte Fuente Base - - - -
Rte Fuente
PRESTAMO
OTROS
Total deducciones 192,000 52,000 26,480 26,480
NETO PAGADO 4,608,000 1,248,000 709,520 709,520
PROVISIONES CESANTIAS 0.0833 399,840 108,290 61,309 61,309
INT/CESANT 0.01 48,000 13,000 7,360 7,360
PRIMA 0.0833 399,840 89,758 89,758
VACACIONES 0.0417 200,160 54,210 27,605 27,605
APORTES %ARL 0 0 0 0
ARL 25,056 6,786 3,456 3,456
EPS 0 - - - -
FP 0.12 576,000 156,000 79,440 79,440
CAJA COMP 0.04 192,000 52,000 26,480 26,480
I.C.B.F 0 - - - -
SENA 0 - - - -
TOTAL APORTES 1,840,896 480,044 295,408 205,650
TOTAL SALARIO DIAS HABILES 6,640,896 1,780,044 1,031,408 941,650
SALARIO HORA H 25 33,204 8,900 5,157 4,708
 CEDULA PRESUPUESTAL MANO DE OBRA
D M.O.I TOTAL AO 1 AO 2

OPERARIO 5 OPERARIO 6 SUPERVISOR MOD MOI MOD

700,000 750,000 1,100,000 5,338,700 50,864,400 13,200,000 50,864,400

30 30 30
74,000 74,000 74,000 518,000 5,328,000 888,000 5,328,000
387,000 412,000 587,000 2,928,350 28,096,200 1,174,000 28,096,200
461,000 1,236,000 1,761,000 7,385,050 67,488,600 21,132,000 67,488,600
- - - - - -
46,480 67,480 243,722 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
- - - -
- - - - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
46,480 67,480 243,722 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
1,189,520 1,693,520 6,219,328 54,309,696 20,322,240 54,309,696
102,959 146,691 538,372 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172
12,360 17,610 64,630 564,240 211,320 564,240
102,959 146,691 538,372 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172
48,455 70,348 254,080 2,204,784 844,176 2,204,784
0 0 0 0 0 0
6,066 8,806 31,805 275,988 105,672 275,988
- - - - - -
139,440 202,440 731,166 6,344,712 2,429,280 6,344,712
46,480 67,480 243,722 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- 458,719 660,066 2,402,147 20,904,972 7,920,792 20,904,972
- 1,648,239 2,353,586 8,621,475 75,214,668 28,243,032 75,214,668
8,241 11,768 43,107 376,073 141,215 376,073
77,534,299 29,130,920 79,946,716

CEDULA NOMINA ADMINISTRATIVA

TOTAL AO 1 AO 2 AO 3
GERENTE DE GERENTE DE SECRETARIA
MARKETING TALENTO HUMANO

1,250,000 1,250,000 644,350 11,444,350 137,332,200 137,332,200 137,332,200

30 30 30 - - -
 - - - - - -
- - - - - -
74,000 74,000 74,000 370,000 4,440,000 4,440,000 4,440,000
662,000 662,000 359,175 5,907,175 70,886,100 70,886,100 70,886,100
736,000 736,000 433,175 9,477,175 113,726,100 113,726,100 113,726,100
- - - - - -
26,480 26,480 14,367 364,287 4,371,444 4,371,444 4,371,444
- - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - -
- - - -
- - - -
26,480 26,480 14,367 364,287 4,371,444 4,371,444 4,371,444
709,520 709,520 418,808 9,112,888 109,354,656 109,354,656 109,354,656
61,309 61,309 36,083 789,449 9,473,388 9,473,388 9,473,388
7,360 7,360 4,332 94,772 1,137,264 1,137,264 1,137,264
102,959 17,610 699,925 8,399,100 8,399,100 8,399,100
27,605 27,605 14,978 379,768 4,557,216 4,557,216 4,557,216
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3,456 3,456 1,875 47,541 570,492 570,492 570,492
- - - - - - -
79,440 79,440 43,101 1,092,861 13,114,332 13,114,332 13,114,332
26,480 26,480 14,367 364,287 4,371,444 4,371,444 4,371,444
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
205,650 308,609 132,346 3,468,603 41,623,236 41,623,236 41,623,236
941,650 1,044,609 565,521 12,945,778 155,349,336 155,349,336 155,349,336
4,708 5,223 2,828 64,729 776,747 776,747 776,747
153,297,523 306,687,832 460,174,638
AO 2 AO 3 AO 4 AO 5

MOI MOD MOI MOD MOI MOD

13,200,000 50,864,400 13,200,000 50,864,400 13,200,000 50,864,400

2,160 2,160
888,000 5,328,000 888,000 5,328,000 888,000 5,328,000
1,174,000 28,096,200 1,174,000 28,096,200 1,174,000 28,096,200
21,132,000 67,488,600 21,132,000 67,488,600 21,132,000 67,488,600
- - - - - -
809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
20,322,240 54,309,696 20,322,240 54,309,696 20,322,240 54,309,696
1,760,292 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172
211,320 564,240 211,320 564,240 211,320 564,240
1,760,292 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172 1,760,292 4,700,172
844,176 2,204,784 844,176 2,204,784 844,176 2,204,784
0 0 0 0 0 0
105,672 275,988 105,672 275,988 105,672 275,988
- - - - - -
2,429,280 6,344,712 2,429,280 6,344,712 2,429,280 6,344,712
809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904 809,760 2,114,904
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
7,920,792 20,904,972 7,920,792 20,904,972 7,920,792 20,904,972
28,243,032 75,214,668 28,243,032 75,214,668 28,243,032 75,214,668
141,215 376,073 141,215 376,073 141,215 376,073
30,054,324 82,455,629 31,014,664 85,064,899 32,013,417 87,778,539

AO 4 AO 5 TOTAL

137,332,200 137,332,200 702,499,700

- - -
 - - -
- - -
4,440,000 4,440,000 22,866,000
70,886,100 70,886,100 362,682,850
113,726,100 113,726,100 580,748,850
- - -
4,371,444 4,371,444 22,315,314
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
4,371,444 4,371,444 22,315,314
109,354,656 109,354,656 558,433,536
9,473,388 9,473,388 48,376,399
1,137,264 1,137,264 5,807,504
8,399,100 8,399,100 42,815,994
4,557,216 4,557,216 23,263,641
0 0 2
570,492 570,492 2,912,244
- - -
13,114,332 13,114,332 66,945,942
4,371,444 4,371,444 22,315,314
- - -
- - -
41,623,236 41,623,236 212,437,038
155,349,336 155,349,336 793,185,888
776,747 776,747 3,965,929
613,761,800 767,453,333 2,301,375,126
AO 5 TOTAL

MOI

13,200,000 320,322,000
360
888,000 31,080,000
7,044,000 152,221,000
21,132,000 443,103,000
- -
809,760 14,623,320
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
809,760 14,623,320
20,322,240 373,159,680
1,760,292 32,302,320
211,320 3,877,800
1,760,292 32,302,320
844,176 15,244,800
0 2
105,672 1,908,300
- -
2,429,280 43,869,960
809,760 14,623,320
- -
- -
7,920,792 144,128,820
28,243,032 517,288,500
141,215 2,586,443
33,052,121 568,045,527
 ECOSY LTDA
NIT. 830 414 609
ESTADO DE COSTOS DE PRODUCCION Y VENTAS
01 de enero a 31 diciembre 2016

AO 1
INVENTARIO INICIAL DE MATERIAS PRIMAS 28,365,000
+ COMPRAS NETAS DE MATERIA PRIMA 625,746,043
= MATERIAS PRIMAS DISPONIBLES 654,111,043
- INVENTARIO FINAL DE MATERIAS PRIMAS 1,961,280
= MATERIAS PRIMAS UTILIZADAS 652,149,763
- COSTO MATERIAS PRIMAS INDIRECTAS UTILIZADAS 610,942,080
= COSTO MATERIAS PRIMAS DIRECTAS UTILIZADAS 41,207,683
+ MANO DE OBRA DIRECTA UTILIZADA 77,534,299
TOTAL MANO DE OBRA 106,665,219
- MANO DE OBRA INDIRECTA UTILIZADA 29,130,920
= COSTO PRIMO 118,741,982
+ CARGOS INDIRECTOS 641,437,900
MATERIA PRIMA INDIRECTA 610,942,080
MANO DE OBRA INDIRECTA 29,130,920
DEPRECIACIONES FABRILES 1,364,900
= COSTO DE LA PRODUCCION PROCESADA 760,179,882
+ INVENTARIO INICIAL DE PRODUCTO EN PROCESO -
= PRODUCCION EN PROCESO EN DISPONIBILIDAD 760,179,882
- INVENTARIO FINAL DE PRODUCTO EN PROCESO -
= COSTO DE LA PRODUCCION TERMINADA 760,179,882
+ INVENTARIO INICIAL DE PRODUCTOS TERMINADOS -
= INVENTARIO PRODUCTO TERMINADO DISPONIBLE 760,179,882
- INVENTARIO FINAL DE PRODUCTO TERMINADOS 7,137
= COSTO DE LOS PRODUCTOS VENDIDOS 760,172,745
 AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
1,961,280 2,941,920
616,825,920 619,277,520
618,787,200 622,219,440
2,941,920 3,922,560
615,845,280 618,296,880
610,942,080 610,942,080
4,903,200 7,354,800
79,946,716 82,455,629
110,001,040 113,470,293 117,078,316
30,054,324 31,014,664 32,013,417
84,849,916 89,810,429
642,361,304 643,321,644
610,942,080 610,942,080 610,942,080
30,054,324 31,014,664 32,013,417
1,364,900 1,364,900 1,364,900
727,211,220 733,132,073
- -
727,211,220 733,132,073
- -
727,211,220 733,132,073
- -
727,211,220 733,132,073
2,724 4,086
727,208,496 733,127,987
AO 4 AO 5
3,922,560 4,903,200
621,729,120 623,435,664
625,651,680 628,338,864
4,903,200 5,138,784
620,748,480 623,200,080
610,942,080 610,942,080
9,806,400 12,258,000
85,064,899 87,778,539
120,830,660
33,052,121
94,871,299 100,036,539
644,320,397 645,359,101
610,942,080
33,052,121
1,364,900
739,191,696 745,395,640
- -
739,191,696 745,395,640
- -
739,191,696 745,395,640
- -
739,191,696 745,395,640
5,448 6,810
739,186,248 745,388,830
 ECOSY LTDA
ESTADO DE RESULTADOS
DEL:1 DE ENERO AL:31 DE DICIEMBRE
2016
AO 1 AO 2
VENTAS 7,902,550
COSTO DE VENTA 760,172,745 727,208,496
UTILIDAD DE VENTA -752,270,196
GASTOS OPERACIONALES 161,200,073
ADMINISTRACION 153,297,523 306,687,832
VENTAS 7,902,550 16,270,452
UTILIDAD OPERACIONAL -591,070,122
INGRESO NO OPERACIONALES
GASTOS NO OPERACINALES
UTILIDAD ANTES DE IMPUESTO -591,070,122
IMPUESTO 34% RENTA -200,963,842
Reserva legal 10% -59,107,012
UTILIDAD NETA -330,999,269
AO 2 AO 3 AO 4
16,270,452 26,089,110 26,089,110
733,127,987 739,186,248
-710,938,044 -707,038,877 -713,097,138
322,958,284 486,263,748 650,944,400
460,174,638 613,761,800
26,089,110 37,182,600
-387,979,759 -220,775,129 -62,152,738

-387,979,759 -220,775,129 -62,152,738

-131,913,118 -75,063,544 -21,131,931
-38,797,976 -22,077,513 -6,215,274
-217,268,665 -123,634,072 -34,805,533
 AO 5
37,182,600
745,388,830
-708,206,230
817,139,093
767,453,333
49,685,760
108,932,863

108,932,863
37,037,173
10,893,286
61,002,403