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On the Misuse of
Equations of State, Upscaling & Decline Curve Analysis
Tahmed@Mtech.edu
www.TarekAhmedAssociates.com
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1) 5 years
2) 10 Years
3) 15 Years
4) 20 Years
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On Equations of State
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p 2 p
Equations of State [ ]T , p ,V 0 &
V c c c
[ ]T , p ,V 0
V 2 c c c
p = prepulsive - pattractive
idea RT 0 0 0 -
V
vdW RT a R 2 Tc2 R Tc -
a b
V b V 2 pc pc
RK RT a R 2 Tc2.5 R Tc -
a b
V b V (V b ) T pc pc
PR a (T ) R 2 Tc2 R Tc f(T,Tc,)
RT a b
V b V ( V b ) b (V b ) pc pc
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Imagine:
A grid block in the reservoir:
yi
Ki
xi
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Equations of State
Why Tuning ?
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p 2 p
[ ]T , p ,V 0 & [ ]T , p ,V 0
V c c c V 2 c c c
R 2 Tci2 R Tci
ai a & bi b
pci pci
R 2 (Tc2 ) c 7 R (Tc ) c 7
ac 7 a & bc 7 b
( pc ) c 7 ( pc ) c 7
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p 2 p
[ ]T , p ,V 0 & [ ]T , p ,V 0
V c c c V 2 c c c
R 2 (Tc2 ) c 7 R (Tc ) c 7
ac 7 a & bc 7 b
( pc ) c 7 ( pc ) c 7
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Tuning of EOS
Minimize one of the following two objective functions:
W exp pred
min F ( pc , Tc , , BIC , c)
i i i
i iexp
W exp pred
min F ( a , b , , BIC , c)
i i i
i iexp
Where:
Wi = Weight factor
i = PVT data, e.g. pb, pd, Bo,etc
a= EOS parameter
b= EOS parameter
= Acentric factor
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Tuning Strategy
W exp pred
min F ( pc , Tc , , BIC , c)
i i i
i iexp
1. Conduct several SENSITIVITY RUNS to evaluate the impact of individually shifting EOS
parameters, i.e. pc,Tc, , a, b,etc., on the predicted PVT Data. This step might reveal that
changing pc has no significant impact on the results as compare with adjusting Tc.
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1. Saturation Pressure
2. Separator Test
3. Constant Volume Depletion Test CVD
4. Differential Expansion Test DE
5. Constant Composition Expansion CCE
6. Swelling Tests
7. Slim-Tube Test
8. Minimum Miscibility Pressure
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Example 1:
CCE & DE Laboratory Data
100 %
Oil Vt Vsat Vt Vt Vt
Hg
Vt
Vrel Notice, reference volume is Vsat
VSat
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CCE DE
31 data points 11 data points
(Vt ) p,T
Vrel
(V ) Psat ,T
(Vo ) p,T
Vrel
(V )14.7,60 o
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167 oF
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170 oF
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175 oF
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168 oF
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Comment:
Why using Vsat; why not Vi ?
Vt (error ) V
Vrel t The problem is the
VSat (error ) VSat reference volume Vsat
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Example 2:
Z-Factor Related Laboratory Data
CVD, CCE
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p Ma
ZRT
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RF is a function of Z-factor
p Zi
RF 1 [ ]
Z pi
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Wi iexp ipred
F (a, b, , BIC )
i iexp
p Zi
RF 1 [ ]
Z pi
( MW ) P
g
Z RT
Lee-Gonzalez Method
(9.4 + 0.02 M a ) T 1.5 0.001494 M p Y
g= exp X a
0.0209 + 0.0019 M a + T Z T
197.2
Y = 1 .7 0.002 M a
T
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Rsb Rs
( Rs ) cum Scf/bbl to eliminate the ST:
Cumulative gas solubility is referenced to Bubble point volume
Bob
Bo
Bo bbl/bbl to eliminate the ST:
Bob Dimensionless Bo is referenced to Bubble point volume
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Rs
Rsb Rs
( Rs ) cum
Bob
Pressure
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Bo
Bo
Bo
Bob
Pb
Pressure
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An Alternative Approach
Instead of:
a, b, and m = f (pC, TC, )c7+
replace with :
a, b, and m = f (MW, sp.gr)C7+
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3 c4 6 c
a or b [ (ci D i )] [ (ci 7i 4 )] 7 ,
i 0 D i 5 7
M 7
D
7
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12
10
Modified EOS
LDO, % 6 Exp. Data
PVTSim
WinProp
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Pressure
CVD for Gas 5
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4000
3500
3000
2500
Rsd; 2000
PVTSim
scf/STB
WinProp
Modified EOS
1500
Exp. Data
1000
500
0
0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00
Pressure
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Nitrogen Injection
% LDO
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Lean Injection
% LDO
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1- LDO curve !
2- dewpoint pressure !
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25
20
Liquid Drop Out, %
15
10
0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000
Pressure, psig
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25
Liquid Drop Out, %
Original
20
500 scf/bbl
15
1000 scf/bbl
10
1500 scf/bbl
2000 scf/bbl
5
0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000
Pressure, psig
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15
10
5
0
Injected Gas
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40
20
0
Original N2/CO2/C1 N2/C1 CO2/C1 N2/CO2 N2 CO2 C1
Injected Gas
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Stripper Column
(19 distillation trays)
80-250oc
55oc 1500 KPA
Oil Composition !!!
1st Stage 250oc
80oc 1300 KPA Stock-Tank
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Temp profile is
Described
by single value of
150oc
150oc
700 KPA
55oc 1500 KPA
Oil Composition !!!
1st Stage
80oc 1300 KPA Stripper Column Stock-Tank
(19 distillation trays)
2nd Stage
The study suggests that the current treatment of the Column in the FFM
overestimates the liquid shrinkage; i.e. it underestimates STOIP and ST oil
produced
2006Tarek Ahmed & Associates, Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
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The Eagle Ford shale is one of the newest shale plays. Located in S. Texas, it extends over
an area of about 20,000 square miles
6 Hydrocarbon Windows
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C1+N2
A
A- Dry Gas
D
B- Wet Gas
C- Retrograde Gas
D- Near Critical
E- Volatile Oil
F- Ordinary Oil C B
G- Low Shrinkage Oil
C7+ C2-C6+CO2
2006 Tarek Ahmed & Associates, Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
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Qo
Y
Veq Qo Qg o
Veq 133,000 ; scf / STB
Hg Mo
CGR
Y
Veq CGR 1
Y < CGR
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Arps Decline Curve Analysis DCA has been the standard for evaluating the expected ultimate recovery EUR in
conventional gas and oil wells since 1950s.
Arpss equations were developed based on the assumptions that wells are producing under the Boundary
Dominated Flow BDF and past well performance trend will continue in the future .
qi
qt
(1 bDi t ) 1 / b
The curvature of decline b in the production rate vs. time curve can be expressed mathematically by one of
the following three hyperbolic family of equations:
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o When b >1; Arps decline curve approach will OVER ESTIMATE RESERVES
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Total Time b Di qi
Days Day-1 Mscf/day
qi
0- 365 2.93 0.0164 2025
qt
(1 bDi t ) 1 / b
0-730 3.00 0.0171 2030
0-1095 3.02 0.0173 2031
1825 2.96 0.0164 2023
3650 2.59 0.0114 1945
7300 1.9 0.0045 1675
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It is common in tight and oil and gas wells that the best fit to the production data requires values of
b > 1, beyond the application limit of Arps equation. Main reasons that the best-fit to the observed
data requires a value of b>1 is that:
1. The observed production data are collected under the unsteady-state (transient) flow regime
2. Production is commingled from multilayered formations that are hydraulically fractured with
multiple stages. Lower permeability zones maybe in transient flow, while higher-permeability
zones have established stabilized boundary-dominated flow.
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Recommended Approach
A. Regress and Match Cumulative Production; i.e. Gp or Np, NOT THE RATE
B. Regress and Match ONLY 80% of Observed Data; keep the 20% for Validation
C. Apply and Compare Different Methodologies to Provide with a Range of Answers
D. Using a Sufficient Sample of Wells that Represent the Field and Develop Type Curves
E. Express Results in Terms of P90, P50, and P10
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Boundary Dominated b
Under boundary dominated flow, the best oil or gas flow rate equation is give by:
n
Qo or Qg C p r pwf
2
log p r pwf
2
2 2 1 1
log Qo log C
n n
1 p
2
b (2 n 1) wf
2n pi
For a gas reservoir and based on the dependency of the parameter b on fluid and
production conditions, a model to estimate average b as a best approximation during
boundary-dominated depletion as given by:
( g c g ) i m( pi ) m( pwf )
b 1
2 pi pwf
( )
Z i Z wf
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( EUR ) t n EUR
Np
n
at
N P ( EUR ) n a t n 1
qt
t
a tn
2
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q a 1 m
N P oMax exp
a
t
1 m
1
N P
t
a 1 m
qo qoMax t m exp
1 m
t
1
qo = oil orate
Np = Cumulative oil
qoMax = Maximum anticipated oil rate
Regression variables:
1) qoMax
2) a (recommended range 0.5< m <6)
3) m (recommended range 1.1< m <4)
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g 1 ( g 1) ( g 2) ( g 1) ( g 2) ( g 3)
1 h h2
h3
( g , h) h g 1 e h
( g 1) ( g 2) ( g 3) ( g 4)
h4
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Nameless Field
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Nameless Field
Upper TAGI Formation , Described by Four Zones
1) U4: 10 Fine scale layers 1 coarse scale Layer
2) U3: 15 Fine scale layers 2 coarse scale layers
3) U2: 5 Fine scale layers 1 coarse scale layer
4) U1: 23 Fine scale layers 3 coarse scale layers
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A. Power Average
B. Arithmetic (Volumetric) Average
C. Root-Mean-Square RMS Average
D. Tensor Averaging
E. Renormalization
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23 layers 3 layers
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15 layers 2 layers
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Sector Modeling
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VERDICT
1)19 Layers are Not Sufficient, Downscaling
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On Relative Permeability
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Reservoir Simulation
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Simulator
1) TA (this is the driver program)
2) TAREK (The simulator)
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1 x-direction (columns) 30
1 z=20 ft
y-direction (rows)
30 z=20 ft
1 z=20 ft 100 ft
z=20 ft
z=20 ft
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Objectives:
1) Maximize Oil Recovery
2) Open Summary.dat to exam the performance of each layer and where the injected water is going
3) Important that you open Sgmap.dat , Swmap.dat & Pmap.dat with Excel
4) Open with Excel: Oilrec.dat to to plot RF & average P vs. time
5) Open with Excel: WellQg.dat, WellQo.dat & WellQw.dat to plot well rates vs. time
6) Open with Excel: WellGOR.dat & WellWOR.dat to plot well rates vs. time
7) Compare Water Injection with Gas Injection
8) Balance Production-Injection rate VRR
9) Drill Horizontal injectors /producers and:
test completion in Layer 1,2,3,4, and 5
Effect of horizontal well orientation
document the difference in RF
10) Stimulate Wells
11) Miscible Displacement
12) Document your Team Results Graphically
13) Team Presentation
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