Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
1
Available at http://unfccc.int/les/essential_background/background_publications_htmlpdf/
application/pdf/conveng.pdf (accessed 24 February 2015).
156
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resilience, transition and transformation 157
meanwhile, is one of the key processes for preventing, or at least ameli-
orating the impact of, climate disasters and for building resilience. It is
dened as:
the decision-making process and the set of actions undertaken to main-
tain the capacity to deal with future change or perturbations to a social-
ecological system without undergoing signicant changes in function,
structural identity, or feedbacks of that system while maintaining the
option to develop.2
2
Donald R. Nelson, W. Neil Adger and Katrina Brown. Adaptation to Environmental
Change: Contributions of a Resilience Framework (2007) 3 Annual Review of Environ-
mental Resources 395 at 397.
3
W. Neil Adger, Nigel W. Arnett, Emma L. Tompkins, Successful adaptation to climate
change across scales (2005) 15 Global Environmental Change 77 at 77.
4 5 6
Ibid. at 80. Ibid. at 82. Ibid. at 83.
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158 preventing climate disasters
Importantly, from the perspective of relying on Amartya Sens idea of
procedural justice, the process of adaptation is negotiated and mediated
through social groups, and decisions are reached through networks of
actors that struggle to achieve their particular goals. Adaptation is con-
cerned with actors, actions and agency and is recognised as an ongoing
process,7 while social learning is regarded as a critical aspect of building
resilience. This entails the capacity for new values, ideas or practices to
be disseminated, popularised and become dominant in society and
requires active engagement with civil society and a high degree of citizen
participation.8
The Climate Justice implications are clear as the demands for adapta-
tion, and assistance with its implementation, are increasingly made by
those made vulnerable by increased exposure to risk.9 The fragility of
provisions under the UNFCCC to satisfy these demands has been dis-
cussed extensively in Chapter 2.
7
Nelson et al., see Note 2 at 398.
8
Mark Pelling, Adaptation to Climate Change: From resilience to transformation (London
and New York: Routledge, 2011) at 170. See also, for example, Good practices in and
lessons learned from national adaptation planning (UNFCCC Subsidiary Body for Scien-
tic and Technological Advice) FCCC/SBSTA/2014/MISC.8 http://unfccc.int/resource/
docs/2014/sbsta/eng/03.pdf (accessed 1 March 2015).
9 10 11
Nelson et al., see Note 2 at 396. Pelling, see Note 8 at 169. Ibid. at 170.
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resilience, transition and transformation 159
study on planning for sea level rise in Australia. If these rights and their
application are inadequate, then the transition form of adaptation might
become more like the transformation form, and will require signicant
efforts to overcome entrenched vested interests in the status quo. This
opens up space for new rights to be won so that over time transform-
ational change occurs.12 Pelling asserts that when climate disasters strike,
there is the potential for new understandings of identity and social
organisation, as well as an alternative to established structures in the
social contract.
Under the transformation form of adaptation, the causes rather than
just the symptoms of vulnerability and risk, must be addressed.13 The
deep shifts which may occur in national political life at the time of
climate disasters, precipitated often by the instability generated by devel-
opment failures, can even catalyse regime change.14 Like the author,
Pelling states that in developing a transformational form of adaptation,
the interests of future generations, or citizens of second countries, should
be admitted to the conversation, which fundamentally challenges the
established social organisation based upon the nation-state.15 Pelling
notes further that if vulnerability to climate disasters is attributed to
unsafe buildings, inappropriate land use and fragile demographics, adap-
tation will be regarded as a local concern and more amenable to resilience
than transitional forms of adaptation. However, if the disasters are
framed as an outcome of the wider social processes at play then trans-
formation becomes relevant.16 There are clear links between a transform-
ational form of adaptation and the authors adoption of a Capability and
procedural justice approach to Climate Justice and Disaster Law.
12 13 14 15
Ibid. at 172. Ibid. at 172. Ibid. at 867. Ibid. at 84.
16
Ibid. at 97.
17
Human Development Report 2014 Sustaining Human Progress: Reducing Vulnerabil-
ities and Building Resilience (United Nations Development Programme (UNDP): 2014)
available at http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/les/hdr14-report-en-1.pdf (accessed 5
January 2014).
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160 preventing climate disasters
restricts their agency and prevents them from coping with threats.18 The
HDR 2014 highlights the notion of life cycle vulnerability on the ground
that Capabilities accumulate over time and unless nurtured and main-
tained they can stagnate and decline.19 However, unlike poverty, which
can be directly observed, vulnerability cannot and so is essentially a
measure of what might happen in the future.20
The implication is that a sustained enhancement of individuals and
societies Capabilities, through climate change adaptation and disaster
risk reduction, is needed so that persistent vulnerabilities to climate
disasters can be reduced.21 Those living in extreme multi-dimensional
poverty and deprivation are the most vulnerable, while it should also be
remembered that many countries in the bottom tier of the Human
Development Index (HDI) are emerging from long periods of conict
and continuing armed violence.22
Clearly, as highlighted in Chapter 3, in the post-2015 world, vigorous
collective action, equitable and effective institutional responses, and far-
sighted leadership at the local, national and global scale are needed in a
time of escalating climate disasters.23 On the one hand, a systems approach
to reducing structural vulnerability is needed by committing to universal-
ism and the provision of, and access to, basic social services, including:
education, health care, water and sanitation, and public safety for all.
Meanwhile, social protections like unemployment insurance, pensions
and labour market regulations are equally important.24 On the other hand,
legal and policy disaster preparedness and response frameworks must be
adopted and enhanced to build resilience, in a way that may even be
tranformative. The provision, or even lack, of social services and protec-
tions are beyond the focus of this book but they are forever the background
text to its discussion about how governments and other institutions
intervene to build resilience to climate disasters.
In this chapter, instances of climate change adaptation which might be
regarded as truly transformational will be offered, especially in the context
of ecosystem adaptation and dramatic changes in land-use patterns.
18 19 20 21 22
Ibid. at 23. Ibid. at 3. Ibid. at 29. Ibid. at 1. Ibid. at 4.
23 24
Ibid. at 4. Ibid. at 5.
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ipcc evaluates risks, adaptation and vulnerability 161
Adaptation and Vulnerability,25 has evaluated the risks of climate change
for human and natural systems and the ways that these can be managed
through adaptation and mitigation.26 This Report builds on the IPCCs
Fourth Assessment Report and the SREX Report, already discussed
elsewhere in this book. The Report addresses: Observed Impacts, Vul-
nerability, and Adaptation in a Complex and Changing World, as well as
Future Risk and Opportunities for Adaptation. The Observed Impacts
are incorporated in the discussion of climate science in Chapter 1. Here,
the focus is on adaptation and vulnerability.
Unsurprisingly, the IPCC makes the point that adaptation and mitiga-
tion are intrinsically interwoven because mitigation increases the time
available for adaptation potentially by several decades. Delaying mitiga-
tion actions reduces options for climate resilient pathways in the future.27
The IPCC acknowledges that the risks of climate change lie also at the
intersection between climate hazards (both natural variability and
anthropogenic climate change), vulnerability and exposure.28
25
Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Summary for Policymakers
(IPCC Working Group II: 2014) available at http://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/images/uploads/
WG2AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf (accessed 16 July 2014).
26
The Report also incorporates a wider interdisciplinary literature review including scien-
tic, technical and socio-economic literature, while also covering a broader range of
topics and sectors. Human systems, adaptation and the ocean are given greater attention
than in the past; see IPCC ibid. at 3.
27 28 29 30
Ibid. at 28. Ibid. at 3. Ibid. at 6. Ibid. at 8.
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162 preventing climate disasters
temperature below 2C are between 0.22 per cent of income (medium
evidence, medium agreement), but these are likely to be larger rather than
smaller, and there are large differences between countries (limited evi-
dence, high agreement). Also, livelihoods, especially for those living in
poverty, are negatively impacted by climate-related hazards because of
crop yield reduction, the destruction of homes and food price rises and
food insecurity.31 Surprisingly, given this evidence, the IPCC notes that
there is a signicant lack of preparedness associated with these impacts at
all levels of development.32 Others suggest that at present the balance
between ex ante and ex post interventions is tilted heavily in favour of ex
post interventions with about 95 per cent of funds being spent here.33
However, the IPCC conrms that other institutions such as insurance
programs, social security and disaster risk management may improve
resilience among poor and marginalised people where policies address
poverty and multi-dimensional inequalities.34
31 32
Ibid. at 8. Ibid. at 6.
33
Stefan Hochrainer and Reinhard Mechler, Natural disaster risk in Asian megacities:
A case for risk pooling? (2011) 28 Cities 53 at 54.
34 35 36 37
IPCC, see Note 25 at 20. Ibid. at 8. Ibid. at 8. Ibid. at 24.
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ipcc evaluates risks, adaptation and vulnerability 163
codes; and ecosystem protection and restoration.38 Mangroves, in par-
ticular, can be used for ood control, protection against strong winds and
cyclones and shore stabilisation as well as sea level rise.39
38
Ibid. at 25.
39
R. Parthasarathy and Soumini Raja, Values of the Mangrove Ecosystem of Gujarat, India
and its Socioeconomic Implications in Rajib Shaw and Phong Tran (eds), Environment
Disaster Linkages (West Yorkshire: Emerald Insight, 2012) at 241. For an extensive
discussion of the role of ecosystems in preventing climate disasters, see Robert Verchick,
Facing Catastrophe: Environmental Action for Post-Katrina World (Cambridge MA:
Harvard University Press, 2010), Chapter 1 Natural Infrastructure.
40
Available at www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?pubRef=-//EP//TEXT+TA+P7-
TA-20130600+0+DOC+XML+V0//EN&language=EN (accessed 8 September 2014).
41
Available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:52013DC0249
(accessed 8 September 2014).
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164 preventing climate disasters
providing environmental, social and economic benets while being
cheaper and more durable than conventional civil engineering responses.
The Strategy focuses on the following aspects:
42
See http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-13404_en.htm (accessed 8 September 2014).
43
See http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/biodiversity/comm2006/2020.htm (accessed
6 January 2015).
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ipcc evaluates risks, adaptation and vulnerability 165
industry to areas where there is better water availability, or replacing
those practices with less water-intensive activities.44
Indeed, retreat may be the only option when places cannot be
defended and governments may decide to abandon key infrastructure
and areas prone to ooding. This would represent one of the largest
losses of value in land and infrastructure and the largest transfer of
economic wealth in human history but may be the best option where
large-scale investments in disaster mitigation prove prohibitive.45 Land
use rules could then be developed to encourage open space and agricul-
ture which can withstand occasional storms. Following the catastrophic
201011 oods in Queensland, Australia, it was suggested by the Queens-
land Floods Commission of Inquiry that one option for government
could be compulsory acquisition, albeit with consequences for constitu-
tionally protected or common law property rights. Governments might
also establish buy-back programs where property is willingly sold, for
example, as part of a broader ood-plain management plan or on an ad
hoc basis. These schemes are expensive to administer and so tend to
occur only in very high risk areas and only where other ood risk
mitigation measures are insufcient to protect life. Land could be used
for nature conservation and recreational areas.46
44
Ibid. at 99.
45
See Sean Hecht, Insurance, in Michael B. Gerrard and Katrina Fischer Kuh (eds), The
Law of Adaptation to Climate Change (New York: American Bar Association, 2012) 511
at 518.
46
See 2012 Queensland Floods Commission of Inquiry Final Report available at www.ood
commission.qld.gov.au/publications/nal-report (accessed 21 January 21, 2015) at 272.
47 48
IPCC, see Note 25, Figure SPM.3 at 9. Ibid. at 9.
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166 preventing climate disasters
Chapter 3, intersect with the risk of extreme weather events and slow
onset disasters, and yet which have been incompletely considered to date.
These factors include wealth distribution across society, demographics,
migration, access to technology and information, patterns of employ-
ment, the quality of adaptation responses, societal values, governance
structures, and conict resolution structures.49
49 50 51
Ibid. at 11. Ibid. at 12. Ibid. at 17.
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ipcc evaluates risks, adaptation and vulnerability 167
creating risk of food insecurity and food systems breakdown especially
for poorer populations in urban or rural areas (RFC 24).
Risk of loss of marine and coastal ecosystems, biodiversity and ecosys-
tem services especially for shing communities in the tropics and the
Arctic (RFC 1, 2 and 4).
Risk of loss of terrestrial and inland water ecosystems, biodiversity and
ecosystem services (RFC 1, 3 and 4).
According to the IPCC, increasing magnitudes of warming enhance the
likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts.52 Limiting the
rate and magnitude of climate change can reduce the overall impacts of
climate change as well as the scale of adaptation that might be required.53
The IPCC also provides a detailed analysis of regional key risks and the
potential of adaptation to minimise those risks.54
52 53 54
Ibid. at 14. Ibid. at 14. Ibid. Assessment Box SPM.2 Table 1 at 21.
55
For a comprehensive categorisation of solutions, see Table SPM. 1, ibid.
56 57 58
Ibid. at 25. Ibid. Ibid. at 26.
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168 preventing climate disasters
condence). For example, Indigenous, local and traditional knowledge
systems are a major resource for adapting to climate change.59 Adaptation
can be fostered using existing and emerging economic instruments, such as
publicprivate partnerships, loans, payments for environmental services,
improved resource pricing, charges and subsidies, norms and regulations,
and risk sharing and risk transfer mechanisms. As discussed in Chapters 5
and 6, the latter, which can increase resilience, include insurance and risk
pools as long as they do not provide disincentives, cause market failure and
decrease equity. Government plays a key role as regulator, provider or
insurer of last resort (medium condence).60
59 60 61
Ibid. Ibid. Ibid. at 28.
62
Available at www.eea.europa.eu/publications/adaptation-in-europe (accessed 27
August 2014).
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multi-level governance approaches to adaptation 169
63 64 65 66
Ibid. at 101. Hecht, see Note 45 at 515. Ibid. Ibid.
67
Ibid. at 516.
68
See European Unions Green Paper on the insurance of natural and man-made disasters
available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52013DC
0213&from=EN (accessed 11 January 2015) at 6.
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170 preventing climate disasters
regional multi-level governance for mainstreaming adaptation, given that
it is a very recent, well-funded and evidence-based initiative. Compre-
hensive multi-level and multi-agency examples of adaptation governance
have also emerged recently in the United States under the political
leadership of President Obama. In considering the importance of gov-
ernance arrangements for adaptation it is important to remember the
important role which courts also play in the climate change adaptation
space. Courts are called upon to interpret the adaptation provisions, or
lack thereof, in environmental planning legislation as well as agency
action in that regard, and might also be required to determine whether
agency adaptation actions are unconstitutional and an infringement of
property rights.
The denition of governance adopted by the EEA is non-hierarchical
forms of policy-making, involving public authorities as well as private
actors, who operate at different territorial levels and who realise their
interdependence.69 A key characteristic of successful adaptation policy is
multi-level governance which relates to the vertical governance relation-
ships from the local level through to regional, national and EU levels.
With regard to the responsibilities of the various levels of government,
each plays a unique role in respect of adaptation responses. Local gov-
ernment is well-placed to implement concrete adaptation responses.
Regional governments play an important role when adaptation issues
cross municipal boundaries and spatial planning for adaptation needs to
be undertaken. Some countries have even created pan-regional adapta-
tion networks.
National governments are particularly important in mainstreaming
adaptation into national policies as well as providing background infor-
mation to stakeholders regarding regional climate data, climate change
scenarios and decision-support tools. Most important is the capacity of
national governments to develop national adaptation strategies as a
stimulus for national and coherent climate-proong legislation (such
as mainstreaming and climate nance). National governments are also
well-placed to address the issues of equity and fairness which result from
climate change impacts and ensure that regional differences in vulner-
ability, particularly in regional hotspots, are addressed.70
According to the EEA, the key pillars of multi-level governance are:
policy coherence; territorial governance and spatial planning for policy
69 70
Ibid. at 83. Ibid. at 84.
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multi-level governance approaches to adaptation 171
integration; capacity-building at all levels of governance; securing access
to funding for adaptation; and developing the multi-level knowledge
base.71 There is also an important role for communication between
government authorities and public and private actors so as to build
institutional capacities across government levels. Accessibility to, and
the mobilisation of, funding to allow multi-level governance is crucial,
as is knowledge creation and dissemination. However, often local gov-
ernment, a key site for adaptation, does not have the best available
information, so an active dialogue between government and other actors,
including scientic institutions, is key.
The EEA acknowledges the instrumental role which stakeholder
involvement plays as part of multi-level governance of which there are
three levels for inclusion: information sharing, consultation and partici-
pation. For a successful stakeholder process the following steps must
be taken: the identication of target groups (public, private, research,
business and environmental NGOs, the education community and citi-
zens groups); the development of an engagement strategy; and ensuring
the long-term engagement of stakeholders, including by identifying a key
contact person as the focal point for communication.72 This will be
discussed in more detail in Chapter 7.
The EEA proposes four approaches to mainstreaming adaptation.73
These include: the enactment of specic climate change adaptation
71 72
Ibid. at 86. Ibid. at 88.
73
The EUs response to climate change adaptation is extensive, providing general and
special sectoral strategies and guidance as well as an impressive funding package which
are not all discussed in this chapter. In April 2013, the European Commission adopted its
principle policy response the 2013 EU Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change
available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:52013DC0216
(accessed 2 September 2014). An important feature of the EUs Adaptation Strategy is
that it is supported by the 2013 Monitoring Mechanism Regulation (Regulation (EU) No
525/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 May 2013 on a mechanism
for monitoring and reporting greenhouse gas emissions and for reporting other information
at national and Union level relevant to climate change and repealing Decision No 280/
2004/EC) available at http://rod.eionet.europa.eu/instruments/652 (accessed 2 September
2014) which requires Member States to report every four years on their national adapta-
tion planning and strategies. This Strategy must be read together with Climate change
adaptation, coastal and marine issues available at http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/adap
tation/what/docs/swd_2013_133_en.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014); Adapting infra-
structure to climate change available at http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/adaptation/
what/docs/swd_2013_137_en.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014); Adaptation to climate
change impacts on human, animal and plant health available at http://ec.europa.eu/
clima/policies/adaptation/what/docs/swd_2013_136_en.pdf (accessed 9 September
2014); and Climate change, environmental degradation, and migration available at
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172 preventing climate disasters
legislation; the enactment of sector-specic74 legislation for each adapta-
tion policy area; the adoption of national strategies, economic incentives,
and capacity building; and, nally, stand-alone individual sectoral strat-
egies. Many of these elements could be combined. The United Kingdom,
for example, has enacted the Climate Change Act 200875 which requires
the undertaking of a statutory UK-wide Climate Change Risk Assessment
(CCRA) every ve years. Certain utilities, such as energy and water, must
also report on the actions they have taken to address the risks of climate
change to their operations. A special Adaptation Sub-Committee76 of the
independent Climate Change Committee is established to support the
implementation of the Act.
http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/adaptation/what/docs/swd_2013_138_en.pdf (accessed
9 September 2014).
74
The sectors most commonly dened in the EU include: water management and water
resources; forests and forestry; agriculture; biodiversity and ecosystems and human
health. However, infrastructure, spatial and coastal planning and tourism are also identi-
ed while the economy is conspicuously absent; ibid. at 74.
75
Available at www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2008/27 (accessed 2 September 2014).
76
See www.theccc.org.uk/about/structure-and-governance/asc-members/ (accessed 2 Sep-
tember 2014). The Adaptation Sub-Committee sets the UKs direction on adaptation,
including independent advice on preparing for climate change. It comprises experts from
the elds of climate change, science and economics and is chaired by Lord Krebs, who is
currently the Principal of Jesus College, Oxford University. Other Committee members
include Professors from the London School of Economics, University College London,
Imperial College and a representative from the NGO sector. Committee members have a
legal duty to act impartially and objectively, and to avoid any conict of interest arising as
a result of their membership of, or association with, other organisations or individuals.
77
Federal Leadership in Environmental, Energy, and Economic Performance, (Executive
Order 13514 of 5 October 2009) (greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Federal agencies)
available at www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/2009fedleader_eo_rel.pdf (accessed
16 October 2014)
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multi-level governance approaches to adaptation 173
Plan, which evaluates agency climate change risks and vulnerabilities to
manage the effects of climate change on its operations and mission in
both the short and long term; and an Agency Climate Change Adapta-
tion Policy. The Chair of the Council on Environmental Quality was
given the responsibility to issue implementing instructions in this regard
which have now been published.78 Agency climate adaptation plans have
now been developed,79 and arising from the plans the Adaptation Science
Interagency Working Group has identied the research and information
needs of each agency in implementing the plans.80
78
See Federal Agency Climate Change Adaptation Planning: Implementing Instructions,
4 March 2011 available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/les/microsites/ceq/adapta
tion_nal_implementing_instructions_3_3.pdf (accessed 16 October 2014).
79
See, for example, FEMA Climate Change Adaptation Policy Statement (23 January 2012)
available at www.fema.gov/media-library/assets/documents/33082 (accessed 16 October
2014), United States Army Corps of Engineers 2012 Climate Change Adaptation Plan and
Report (June 2012) available at www.corpsclimate.us/docs/2012_USACE_Adaptation_
Plan_and_Report_23_June_2012%20nal.pdf (accessed 16 October 2014), US Depart-
ment of Agriculture Climate Change Adaptation Plan available at www.usda.gov/oce/
climate_change/adaptation/adaptation_plan.htm (accessed 16 October 2014), Depart-
ment of Defence Climate Adaptation Roadmap (13 October 2014) available at www.cfr.
org/climate-change/department-defense-climate-change-adaptation-roadmap-2014/
p33607 (accessed 16 October 2014), Department of Homeland Security Climate Change
Adaptation Roadmap (June 2012) available at www.dhs.gov/sites/default/les/publica
tions/Appendix%20A%20DHS%20FY2012%20Climate%20Change%20Adaptation%
20Plan_0.pdf (accessed 16 October 2014), US Environmental Protection Agency Policy
Statement on Climate Change Adaptation (June 2014) available at www.epa.gov/climate
change/Downloads/impacts-adaptation/adaptation-statement-2014.pdf (accessed 16 Octo-
ber 2014), US Energy Sector Vulnerabilities to Climate Change and Extreme Weather (US
Department of Energy: July 2013) available at http://energy.gov/downloads/us-energy-
sector-vulnerabilities-climate-change-and-extreme-weather (accessed 16 October 2014),
the National Fish, Wildlife and Plants Climate Adaptation Strategy (National Fish, Wildlife,
and Plants Climate Adaptation Partnership: 2012) available at www.wildlifeadaptationstrat
egy.gov/ (accessed 7 October 2015), 2013 National Ocean Policy Implementation
Plan. With regard to oceans, following the Deepwater Horizon disaster President Obama
issued Executive Order 13547, Stewardship of the Ocean, Our Coasts, and the Great Lakes,
and established the Interagency Ocean Policy Task Force. Based on the Task Forces
recommendation the President adopted the National Policy for the Stewardship of the
Ocean, Our Coasts, and the Great Lakes. The National Ocean Council, also established
by Executive Order, has subsequently developed the 2013 National Ocean Policy Imple-
mentation Plan available at www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/oceans/implementa
tionplan (accessed 17 October 2014), which incorporates adaptation to climate change
impacts such as storms and sea level rise.
80
See FY 2013 Federal Agency Climate Adaptation Plans: Summary of Research and Infor-
mation Needs (Adaptation Science Interagency Working Group: August 2013).
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174 preventing climate disasters
On 1 November 2013, President Obama published an Executive Order
entitled Preparing the United States for the Impacts of Climate Change.81
In a statement of Policy, the President itemised the climate change
impacts which are already affecting human and non-human commu-
nities, natural resources, ecosystems, economies, and public health across
the US. He acknowledged that managing these risks requires deliberate
preparation, close cooperation, and coordinated planning by the Federal
government in cooperation with a wide range of government, private
sector and NGO stakeholders. The President committed the Federal
government to continuing support for the scientic research, observa-
tional capabilities, and assessments needed to improve understanding of,
and responses to, climate change. He also ordered government agencies
to promote: strong interagency partnerships and information-sharing;
risk-informed decision-making; adaptive learning; and preparedness
planning.
81
Executive Order 13563 available at www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-ofce/2013/11/01/
executive-order-preparing-united-states-impacts-climate-change (accessed 16 Octo-
ber 2014).
82
See also Disaster Resilience: A National Imperative (Committee on Increasing National
Resilience to Hazards and Disasters; Committee on Science, Engineering, and Public
Policy; The National Academies: 2012) available at www.nap.edu/catalog.php?recor
d_id=13457 (accessed 17 October 2014).
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multi-level governance approaches to adaptation 175
Tribal Leaders Task Force), academic and research institutions, and the
private and non-prot sectors, to: develop, recommend, coordinate inter-
agency efforts on, and track implementation of, priority Federal govern-
ment actions related to climate preparedness and resilience; support
regional, State, local and tribal action to assess climate change vulner-
abilities, and increase climate preparedness and resilience of commu-
nities, critical economic sectors, natural and built infrastructure, and
natural resources; facilitate the integration of climate science in policies
and planning of government agencies and the private sector; and imple-
ment the recommendations of the Task Force.
All Federal government agencies are ordered to: remove barriers that
discourage investments in building climate change resilience while ensur-
ing continued protection of public health and the environment; reform
Federal policies and funding programs that may increase the vulnerabil-
ity of natural or built systems, economic sectors, natural resources, or
communities; identify opportunities for climate-resilient investments by
government, local communities and tribes, including in the context of
infrastructure development; and report on their progress in achieving all
of this.
The heads of all government agencies on the CCPR were ordered to
work with the Chair of CEQ and the Director of the Ofce of Manage-
ment and Budget (OMB) to complete an inventory and assessment of the
necessary changes to their land and water policies, programs and regula-
tions, so as to build resilience in the USs watersheds, natural resources
and ecosystems, and the communities and economies that depend on
them, by August 2014. In doing so, the potential of the USs ecosystems
to promote climate resilience and carbon sequestration should be recog-
nised. In October 2014, the Council on Environmental Quality released
its Priority Agenda Enhancing the Climate Resilience of Americas Natural
Resources.83
Agencies were also ordered to develop comprehensive plans that
integrate considerations of climate change into agency operations and
overall mission objectives. Agencies are required to report on progress
83
Available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/les/docs/enhancing_climate_resilience_o
f_americas_natural_resources.pdf (accessed 16 October 2014). The Agenda has four main
components: fostering climate-resilient lands and water; managing and enhancing carbon
sinks; enhancing community preparedness and resilience by utilising and sustaining
natural resources; and modernising Federal programmes, investments, and delivery to
services to build resilience and enhance sequestration of biological carbon.
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176 preventing climate disasters
with their evolving Adaptation Plans, as well as any updates made
through the annual Strategic Sustainability Performance Plan process.
As part of the open data policy, Federal agencies are ordered to work
together to develop and provide authoritative, easily accessible, usable,
and timely data, information and decision-support tools on climate
preparedness and resilience. A web-based portal must be established to
allow agencies to share and coordinate their climate decision-making
data and tools. Here, agencies must describe how they are considering
improving climate adaptation and resilience with respect to agency
suppliers, supply chains, real property investments and capital equip-
ment purchases.
84
Available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/les/microsites/ceq/Interagency-Climate-
Change-Adaptation-Progress-Report.pdf (accessed 17 October 2014).
85
Available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/les/microsites/ceq/2011_adaptation_pro
gress_report.pdf (accessed 17 October 2014).
86
Available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/les/microsites/ceq/2011_national_ac
tion_plan.pdf (accessed 17 October 2014). See also the 2013 Implementation Plan for
National Action Plan: Priorities for Managing Freshwater Resources in a Changing
Climate available at http://acwi.gov/climate_wkg/nap_2013_implementation_plan_nal.
pdf (accessed 17 October 2014).
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climate adaptation law: what kind of law? 177
Improve Water Resources and Climate Data; Strengthen Assessment of
Vulnerability; Improve Water Use Efciency; Support Integrated Water
Resources Management; and Educate Water Resource Managers and
Build Capacity including by establishing a core training program on
climate change science and engaging the youth, colleges and graduate
fellows in water management and climate change.87
87
2013 Implementation Plan ibid. at 3.
88
Available at www.fema.gov/media-library/assets/documents/21832?id=4708 (accessed 17
October 2014).
89
See Craig Anthony (Tony) Arnold, Resilient Cities and Adaptive Law (2014) 50 Idaho
Law Review 245.
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178 preventing climate disasters
engineered levee systems, inadequate disaster planning and response
systems, ill-conceived land use planning and socio-economic and polit-
ical dynamics all converged to facilitate a disaster.90 The law needs to
respond to scientic notions of resilient systems which have a high level
of adaptive capacity. There should be sufcient exibility, redundancy
and learning capacity to adapt to surprises and disturbances without
collapsing or ipping into fundamentally different systems.91 Building
the adaptive capacity and consequent resilience of a system includes
ensuring that needed changes can be made incrementally and gradually,
as well as the capacity to resist change.92
With regard to adapting to surprises, the EU reminds one of adapta-
tion tipping points (ATPs) which require consideration of the question
how much climate change can we cope with and for how long will any
given responses be effective? ATPs might be caused by physical, eco-
logical, technical, economic, societal and political causes, but they sym-
bolise the situation when boundary conditions, that are technical,
economic, spatial or socially acceptable limits, are exceeded. At this point,
alternative adaptation measures will be needed.93 Within the ATP
approach, climate and socio-economic scenarios dene the moment when
an ATP might occur. The occurrence of an ATP earlier on might result
from a risk-averse, or pessimistic, approach, whereas a risk-tolerant
approach which is more optimistic might see the ATP being triggered
later. The time range between these two occurrences reects the uncer-
tainty and results in the rejection of any single climate change scenario and
prefers rather adaptive and resilient approaches which can be cost-
effective and avoid early maladaptation.94 The EUs FP7 MEDIATION
(Methodology for Effective Decision-making Impacts and Adaptation),95
which is available as a resource online, explores further how tipping points
shape decision-making and the factors which inuence decision-making.
For the law to meet these challenges, Arnold proposes the adoption of
a social-ecological resilience approach, which is the interdependent resili-
ence of linked social systems and natural systems or ecosystems.96 He
regards this as necessary due to the cross-scale and often nonlinear
transformative feedbacks among both multiple systems in society and
multiple systems in nature. With regard to urban resilience there are
90 91 92
Ibid. at 246. Ibid. at 246. Ibid. at 247.
93 94
European Environment Agency, see Note 73 at 81. Ibid. at 82.
95
Available at www.mediation-project.eu/platform/ (accessed 2 September 2014).
96
Arnold, see Note 89 at 248.
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climate adaptation law: what kind of law? 179
three specic implications of a social-ecological perspective. First is the
ability to adapt to disturbances and to self-organise when system change
or renewal is required so that cities become centres of learning, innov-
ation, renewable and adaptive governance. Secondly, resilience planning
needs to consider the overall health and functions of natural systems, in
accordance with biophilic design principles which contribute to the
physical and mental health of residents and the political health of
communities. Environmental justice in land use planning principles must
ensure fair and healthy land use, including equitable access to green
infrastructure, while resilience strategies must be attentive to the political
and psychological legitimacy of governance institutions, and vital
regional and local economies. Thirdly, social-ecological resilience strat-
egies must encompass systems at a broader scale beyond nite jurisdic-
tional boundaries, such as to catchments and regions.97
The legal system seeks to impose and protect the stability of human
affairs, for example through the role of precedent in judicial decision-
making and the protection of long-established property rights.
Laws, such as those protecting endangered species and their habitats, or
water resources, assume stability which is at odds with current scien-
tic understandings of natural systems.
Legal processes are designed for up-front prescriptive and fragmented
decision-making with permits often granted by different authorities for
long time periods with little opportunity for adjustments over time to
cope with changing conditions and new knowledge.99
97
Ibid. at 24950.
98
Ibid. at 251, referring also to Craig Anthony (Tony) Arnold and Lance H. Gunderson,
Adaptive Law and Resilience (2013) 43 Environmental Law Reporter 10426.
99
Ibid. at 2512.
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180 preventing climate disasters
By contrast, adaptive law requires four features: a multiplicity of articu-
lated adaptive goals; a polycentric, multimodal and integrationist struc-
ture; adaptive methods based on standards, exibility, discretion and
regard for context; and iterative legal-pluralist processes with feedback
loops, learning and accountability. To expand, according to Arnold the
following features are intrinsic to adaptive law:
100 101
Ibid. at 252. Ibid. at 252.
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climate adaptation law: what kind of law? 181
A role for the courts
In as much as it is highly desirable that legislation reect the need for
adaptive law it is very likely that most Environmental Law, including
environmental planning and assessment law and natural resources man-
agement law, will say nothing about climate change adaptation. Having
instituted a major policy review of climate adaptation, as has occurred in
the EU and the US it is to be hoped that legislation will be reformed to
incorporate the kind of principles which Arnold espouses. Recent experi-
ence suggests that courts have an important role to play in climate
adaptation law in three respects. First, attempts by government to engage
transformative adaptation strategies might bring it into conict with
property owners; secondly, litigants will refer matters to the court argu-
ing that developments should not be permitted without a full consider-
ation of the climate change threats to the development; thirdly,
particularly in the United States, government agencies might engage in
climate adaptation actions like beach replenishment to counter the effects
of beach erosion at which point affected residents might claim that their
property rights have been taken. The litigation in this area is growing
exponentially and cannot be adequately represented here.102 However, a
few interesting cases studies are offered to demonstrate the important
role of courts in climate change adaptation, and consequently disaster
risk reduction, litigation.
102
A comprehensive database of climate change litigation in the United States and else-
where is collated by the Sabin Centre for Climate Change Law at Columbia Law School;
see http://web.law.columbia.edu/climate-change/resources/litigation-charts (accessed 1
March 2015).
103
[2009] NSWLEC 88 (29 May 2009) available at www.austlii.edu.au/cgi-bin/sinodisp/au/
cases/nsw/NSWLEC/2009/88.html?stem=0&synonyms=0&query=title(vaughan%20v%
20byron%20shire%20council%20) (accessed 1 March 2015).
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182 preventing climate disasters
Vaughans owned a beach front property on the Belongil spit, to the west
of the Byron Bay township. Rock protection measures are in place along
this section of the coastline, with some exceptions including the Vaughan
property. The Vaughan property was protected by interim geo-bag
protection works and sand nourishment behind the wall, constructed
by Byron Shire Council pursuant to a 2001 development consent which it
had granted itself (the 2001 Consent).The 2001 Consent contained con-
ditions requiring ongoing maintenance of these protection works. A sub-
plan of the Councils Disaster Emergency Plan listed Council as the
agency responsible for the repair and re-establishment of interim meas-
ures at the beach.
In May 2009, a major storm hit Byron Bay. The properties on Belongil
Beach currently protected by rock walls suffered little or no damage,
notwithstanding the ferocity of the storm. However, all unprotected
properties suffered damage. The failure of the interim protection works
on the Vaughans property became evident on Friday 22 May. On the
evenings of Sunday 24 May and Monday 25 May, the property suffered
considerable damage losing about twelve metres of frontage due to the
geo-bag wall being overtopped by waves. The Vaughans made direct
pleas to Council for assistance. The storm was still raging and the highest
king tide of the year was known to be commencing and continuing.
There was a real risk that a large part of the property would be lost to
the sea.
Council commenced proceedings on 26 May seeking an injunction to
restrain the Vaughans from constructing their own erosion protection
works on their land until such time as they had been given development
consent to do this under the planning legislation. The Council argued
that the 2001 Consent was not a basis for it being required to undertake
the protection works notwithstanding the maintenance obligation in the
2001 Consent. An interlocutory injunction was granted restraining the
Vaughans from undertaking works to protect their land.
On 1 February 2010, prior to the listed hearing dates and by way of a
negotiated agreement between Council and the Vaughans, the parties
approached the Court with consent orders which the Court agreed to
make. The orders, in substance, discharged the Councils injunction and
made a number of signicant declarations. These declarations were that:
the 2001 Consent was a valid consent which applied to the Vaughan
land and the Councils adjoining land, and approved interim beach
protection works;
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climate adaptation law: what kind of law? 183
104 105
Coastal Protection Act 1979 (NSW) s.55C(b). Ibid. s. 55P.
106
Local Government Act 1993 (NSW) s. 496B.
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184 preventing climate disasters
required to consider, or has given sufcient consideration to, climate
change adaptation. This is the nature of judicial review of administrative
decision making. It might also be the case that an appeal on the merits
against the development is permitted under the legislation. In this case,
an independent administrative tribunal can step into the shoes of the
consent authority and decide on the facts whether to allow the develop-
ment to proceed, including by having regard to climate change even if the
consent authority failed to do so. In most jurisdictions, it is very likely
that the legislation in question was enacted at a time when climate
change was not a concern of legislators. Consequently, there is no
guarantee the court or tribunal will be persuaded that climate change is
a relevant factor to be considered when granting development consent.
This makes the imperative of reforming existing legislation to include
adaptive provisions even more important.
107
998 So. 2d 1102, afrmed.
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disaster risk reduction laws for climate disasters 185
duty to engage in disaster risk reduction (DRR) and management which
entails the processes for designing, implementing, and evaluating strat-
egies, policies, and measures to improve understanding of disaster risk,
foster disaster risk reduction and transfer, and promote continuous
improvement in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery prac-
tices.108 The goal of disaster risk management (DRM) is to assist all
social institutions, including ofcial and non-governmental actors, to
anticipate sudden, calamitous events and to bring the optimal portfolio
of legal rules to bear when such events occur.109 In Chapter 3, the
principal international disaster instruments, the Hyogo and Sendai
Frameworks for disaster risk reduction110 were discussed.
108
W. Kip Viscusi and Richard J. Zeckhauser Addressing Catastrophic Risks: Disparate
Anatomies Require Tailored Therapies (Vanderbilt University Law School Law and
Economics Working Paper, 2011) at 3.
109
Ibid.
110
Hyogo Framework for Action 20052015: Building the Resilience of Nations and Com-
munities to Disaster (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
(UNISDR): 2005) available at www.unisdr.org/les/1037_hyogoframeworkforactionengl
ish.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015) and Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
2015-2013 available at http://www.preventionweb.net/les/resolutions/N1516716.pdf.
111
Available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2010:2020:
FIN:EN:PDF (accessed 6 January 2015).
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186 preventing climate disasters
Risk assessment and analysis the EU has prepared its rst cross-
sectoral overview of risks in the EU taking into account the future
impacts of climate change and the need to adapt. Member States are
now required to produce multi-hazard national risk assessments by the
end of 2015, to be followed up by assessments of national risk manage-
ment capabilities and improved risk management planning
Encouraging learning and exchange of experience to improve govern-
ance, as recommended by the IPCCs iterative risk management
approach
Guidance for disaster prevention is already under preparation on cross-
cutting themes of governance, planning, data, risk communication and
information and technology
Working towards EU standards and protocols for recording disaster
losses
Mainstreaming of DRM to support resilient investments in transport
and energy, research and innovation, critical infrastructure protection,
environmental impact assessment, green infrastructure, integrated
coastal management, agriculture, food and nutrition security, water,
ood risk management, all discussed later in the chapter
The release in April 2014 of the Green Paper on the insurance of
natural and man-made disasters112 proposing the use of insurance as
a DRM tool
Strong synergies between the DRM framework and adaptation to
climate change
Funding for science and innovation through Horizon 2020 to improve
disaster resilience through monitoring, prevention, prediction, early
warning, awareness raising, climate change mitigation and adaptation,
crisis communication, and technology transfer
Addressing the cross-border impacts of disasters
113
Enhanced preparedness.
In Chapter 3, attention was drawn to the signicant shortfalls for disaster
risk reduction in international aid budgets to developing countries. The
EC conrms that DRM will be an integral part of all EU humanitarian
aid and development assistance building on 2009 EU Strategy on DRR in
112
Available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52013DC
0213&from=EN (accessed 6 January 2015).
113
EUH at 6.
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disaster risk reduction laws for climate disasters 187
Developing Countries114 and the 2011 Implementation Plan115 as well as
the 2012 Communication on Resilience116 and the subsequent Action Plan
for Resilience in Crisis Prone Countries.117 On 5 June 2014, the European
Council118 welcomed the Commissions communication and conrmed
the commitment of the European Union and its Member States to play
an active and constructive role in the ongoing negotiations to develop the
post-2015 Hyogo Framework, now the Sendai Framework.119
114
Available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:52009DC0084
(accessed 8 October 2014).
115
Available at http://register.consilium.europa.eu/doc/srv?l=EN&f=ST%206666%202011%
20INIT (accessed 8 October 2014).
116
Available at http://ec.europa.eu/echo/les/policies/resilience/com_2012_586_resilienc
e_en.pdf (accessed 8 October 2014).
117
Available at http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/sites/devco/les/swd-2013227_EN.pdf (accessed
8 October 2014).
118
See http://eu-un.europa.eu/articles/en/article_15109_en.htm (accessed 8 October 2014).
119
See http://www.unisdr.org/we/coordinate/wcdrr (accessed 6 January 2015).
120
The author is grateful to her student Nakita Prasad for providing the background to this
analysis of Vietnams LNDPC in her research paper submitted for the unit of study
Climate Disaster Law, taught for the rst time in the world in July 2014; see http://
sydney.edu.au/law/cstudent/coursework/units_study_2015/LAWS6320.shtml (accessed
24 February 2015).
121
Law on Natural Disaster Prevention and Control (Vietnam) (2013) available at https://
www.ifrc.org/Global/Publications/IDRL/Law%20on%20Natural%20Disaster%20Preven
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188 preventing climate disasters
phenomena, which may cause damage to human life, property, the
environment, living conditions and socio-economic activities122 and
include:
Typhoon, tropical low pressure, whirlwind, lightning, heavy rain, ood,
ashood, inundation, landslide . . . water rise, seawater intrusion,
extreme hot weather, drought, damaging cold, hail, hoarfrost, earthquake,
tsunami and other types of natural disaster.123
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disaster risk reduction laws for climate disasters 189
Frameworks requirement for integrating DRR into development and
planning policy as well as the importance of accounting for local risk
features. However, notably the LNDPC fails to coordinate DRR, socio-
economic development and poverty reduction.
129 130
Ibid. Art. 6. Ibid. Art. 8
131
For a discussion of these provisions, see Vietnam: Country Case Study Report: How Law
and Regulation Support Disaster Risk Reduction (International Federation of Red Cross
and Red Crescent Societies, May 2014) available at www.drr-law.org/resources/Vietnam-
Case-Study.pdf (accessed 4 February 2015) at 6.
132 133
LNDPC, see Note 121 Art. 34(2)(a). Ibid. Art. 34(2)(d).
134
Ibid. Art. 34(1)(d).
135
Available www.ifrc.org/docs/idrl/916EN.pdf (accessed 24 February 2015).
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190 preventing climate disasters
property loss; to limit the natural resource, environmental and cultural
heritage destruction caused by disasters that contribute to guaranteeing
national sustainable development, national defense and security.136 Some
of the community-based practices the Decision identies include annual
training courses for the community on disaster risk management and
facilitating the production of hazard and vulnerability maps by the
people for their community.137 The CBDR project will be implemented
between the years 20092020 and is expected to target about 6,000
communes and villages frequently affected by disasters in the country.
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disaster risk reduction laws for climate disasters 191
government ministries. The MARD has the primary responsibility for
summarising and assessing the impact of a disaster and reporting to the
Prime Minister. The MARD must also collaborate with the Ministry of
Planning and Investment to guide the overall creation and assessment of
statistics and damage caused by natural disasters.142
With regard to early warning systems (EWS), the LNDPC requires
warnings to be communicated via the mass media following the distribu-
tion of meteorological and hydrographical forecasts and warnings by
MONRE, or earthquake and tsunami related forecasts by VAST.143
A bulletin from MONRE or VAST will be sent directly to Vietnam
Television and Voice of Vietnam for transmission to the public in
Vietnamese. However, to protect vulnerable groups, information is to
be transmitted also in ethnic minority languages.144
Despite these legislated early warning provisions in the LNDPRC, the
International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
(IFRCRCS) reports that access to the mass media is sometimes limited
so that loudspeakers are more likely to be used at the commune level to
warn the population, and messengers are required to go to households
which cannot be reached by loudspeakers.145
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192 preventing climate disasters
Despite this, one of the barriers to education is the high teacher turnover,
approximately every ve years making knowledge transfer from one
generation to another a challenge.149
149
Thi My Thi Tong, Rajib Shaw and Yukiko Takeuchi, Climate disaster resilience of the
education sector in Thua Thien Hue Province, Central Vietnam (2012) 63 Nat Hazards
685 at 706.
150 151
LNDPC, see Note 121 Art. 38(4). Ibid. Arts. 42(2)(e), 42(3)(d).
152 153 154
Ibid. Art. 4(6). Ibid. Art. 16(1). Ibid. Art. 16(2)(a).
155 156
Ibid. Art. 20(2). Ibid. Art. 20(3).
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disaster risk reduction and sustainable development 193
reserve of food supplies and all other basic needs, including water and
medical supplies, to proactively respond to disasters.157 To preserve
agricultural livelihoods, MARD must elaborate master plans on agricul-
tural production with a focus on limiting the damage caused by natural
disasters and ensuring sustainable development.158 The LNDPC also
focuses on agricultural remediation by incorporating a provision to
provide plant varieties, animal breeds, supplies, equipment and essential
fuels to restore production.159 It identies methods for emergency relief,
medium-term and long-term support. In particular, farming organisa-
tions and farmers suffering from damage following a natural disaster are
identied as recipients for medium-term support. Also, DRR is rmly
ingrained into the ex post disaster recovery stage. As such, infrastructure
damaged by natural disasters will not only be repaired and restored, but
also upgraded.160
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194 preventing climate disasters
reduction (DRR) and development strategies.163 As foreshadowed in
Chapter 3, the author proposes, consistently with a Capability Approach
to Climate Justice, that in fact all three should be effectively integrated
within the framework of disaster risk management for a post-2015
world,164 given that climate disasters can impede and roll back the
achievements of the Millenium Development Goals.165 After all, DRR
and CCA share the goal of reducing the impacts of extreme events,
and increasing resilience to disasters among vulnerable populations.166
Indeed, in 2014, the United Nations Development Program issued a call
for action to integrate DRR into development planning. It reinforced the
devastating impact of natural disasters on progress towards development
goals and the urgency of ensuring a strong DRR focus in post-2015
development planning.167 The authors approach has been conrmed in
the recently drafted Sustainable Development Goals discussed in
Chapter 3.
To effectively develop integrated and adaptive governance arrange-
ments for CCA, DRR and sustainable development, it is worthwhile rst
to restate the fundamental premises of CCA and DRR. CCA accepts that
normal understandings of hazards and extreme events may no longer be
reliable indicators for assessing current or future climate change risks,
but extreme climate events are regarded as shifts within the bounds of
current system variability. However, DRR approaches extremes from a
different direction by understanding that extremes can interact with
existing vulnerabilities and result in disasters.168 Consequently, the dom-
inant paradigm for DRR has become addressing the root causes of
163
See Reducing Vulnerability and Exposure to Disasters: The Asia-Pacic Disaster Report
2012 (United Nations ESCAP, UNISDR, Thailand: 2012) at 92; available at www.unisdr.
org/les/29288_apdr2012nallowres.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015) at xxv.
164
The IPCC denes Disaster Risk Management as [p]rocesses for designing, implement-
ing and evaluating strategies, policies, and measures to improve the understanding of
disaster risk, foster disaster risk reduction and transfer and promote continuous
improvement in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery practices, with the expli-
cated purpose of increasing human security, well-being, quality of life, resilience, and
sustainable development; SREX Report, see Note 161 at 5.
165
Asia-Pacic Disaster Report 2012, see Note 163 at xxiii.
166
Solecki et al., see Note 162 at 135.
167
Disaster Risk Reduction Makes Development Sustainable: A Call for Action (UNDP:
2014) available at www.undp.org/content/dam/undp/library/crisis%20prevention/
UNDP_CPR_CTA_20140901.pdf (accessed 7 January 2015).
168
Riyanti Djalante, Cameron Holley and Frank Thomalla, Adaptive Governance and
Managing Resilience to Natural Hazards (2011) 2(4) International Journal of Disaster
Risk Science 1.
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disaster risk reduction and sustainable development 195
vulnerability to disaster by focusing on risk assessment, multiple stres-
sors, livelihoods and well-being, institutional capacity building, risk miti-
gation investments and catastrophe risk nancing, as well as emergency
preparedness. Meanwhile, the non-linearity of DRR implementation
increasingly requires an adaptive governance approach.169 The need for
CCA to internalise more DRR approaches is conrmed by a recent study
which reveals the limits of adaptation and the costs of unmitigated
climate change in Bangladesh, Bhutan, The Gambia, Kenya, and
Micronesia. Affected communities suffered from loss and damage despite
undertaking coping and adaptation measures.170
Integrated and adaptive governance for climate disasters will generally
require facilitation through legislation, for without a binding legal direct-
ive, which obliges actors and agencies to take action, the inertia of
bureaucracies might mean that essential tasks are not undertaken. Law
can also be used to provide penalties and incentives by enforcing stand-
ards, empowering existing agencies, establishing new bodies and
assigning budgets.171
In addition to what has already been said earlier about the need for
adaptive law, the governance elements that effective DRR and CCA laws
have in common include the following:
169
Asia-Pacic Disaster Report 2012, see Note 163 at xxvi.
170
Pioneering Study Shows Evidence of Loss & Damage Today from the Front Lines of
Climate Change: Vulnerable communities beyond adaptation? (Loss and Damage in
Vulnerable Countries Initiative: December 2012).
171
Ibid. at 2.
172
Silvia Llosa and Irina Zodrow, Disaster risk reduction legislation as a basis for effective
adaptation (Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: ISDR: 2011) at 8;
available at www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/bgdocs/Llosa_&_Zo
drow_2011.pdf (accessed 7 January 2015).
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196 preventing climate disasters
political authority of the national disaster risk management (DRM)
body is its positioning in relationship to the highest level of govern-
ment and high-level support, particularly from the Prime Ministers
ofce. Often responsibility for DRM is delegated to civil defence and
protection organisations which may lack the competence to develop
the planning and regulation needed to engage with other sectors and
the necessary political authority within government to do so.173
The law should also include provisions that increase accountability and
enable coordination and implementation of DRR and CCA, including
clear identication of roles and responsibilities, requirements to estab-
lish and maintain a national risk database, a mandate to provide public
access to risk information, education and training, as well as providing
opportunities to participate in decision-making.174
173 174
Ibid. at 10. Ibid. at 6.
175
The Philippines case study needs to be seen in the context of the 2009 ASEAN Agreement
on Disaster Management and Emergency Response which is aligned with the Blueprint for
the ASEAN Socio-cultural Community (20092015) available at www.asean.org/archive/
518719.pdf (accessed 7 January 2015). Note that South East Asia has the greatest
uptake (54%) of DRR and CCA initiatives in the Asia Pacic but there are three times
more DRR than CCA initiatives.
176 177
PCCA s. 2. PDRRMA subsec. 2(a)(d)(e)(g).
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sectoral adaptation case studies 197
and local development plans and programs178 and to create a panel of
technical experts, consisting of practitioners in disciplines that are related
to climate change, including DRR.179 Meanwhile, the PDRRMA estab-
lishes the Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Fund and
stipulates that no less than 5 per cent shall be set aside for risk manage-
ment and preparedness of which 30 per cent is devoted to quick
responses to disaster.180 The Commission is allocated US$ 21 million
to implement the Act with unspent money remaining in the Fund to
promote risk reduction and preparedness.181
In accordance with adaptive governance, the PDRRMA calls for the
development of a framework to guide disaster risk reduction and man-
agement (DRRM) which must be reviewed on a ve-year interval, or as
may be deemed necessary, in order to ensure its relevance to the
times.182 The Act also calls for the development of assessments on
hazards and risk brought about by climate change.183 Likewise, the
PCCA calls for a framework strategy that will guide climate change
planning, research and development, with the monitoring of activities
to be reviewed every three years or as necessary.184 NGOs have four seats
in the Philippines National DRRM Council and the law mandates the
establishment of provincial, city and municipal DRRM councils as well as
local DRRM ofces in every province, city and municipality, in addition
to a local community (barangay).185 This recognises that both CCA and
DRR value multiple types of knowledge, such as expert and traditional or
local knowledge in an effort to reduce vulnerability.186 The Act also calls
for multi-stakeholder participation in the development, updating, and
sharing of DRM Information System and the GIS-based national risk
map as policy, planning and decision-making tools.187
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198 preventing climate disasters
the chapter, this is because these jurisdictions have in recent times
experienced catastrophic extreme weather events and disasters and have
devoted considerable resources to learn from these disasters and put in
place the law and policy instruments which they believe will prevent the
scale of the losses in future. All the principles, policies and laws discussed
here could be illustrative for other jurisdictions seeking to manage similar
extreme weather events and disasters.
188
See Jonathan Verschuuren and Jan McDonald, Towards a Legal Framework for Coastal
Adaptation: Assessing the First Steps in Europe and Australia (2012) Transnational
Environmental Law 355.
189
Available at http://ec.europa.eu/maritimeaffairs/documentation/publications/documents/
blue-growth_en.pdf (accessed 11 September 2014).
190 191
Ibid. at 3. Ibid. 812.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 199
EEA focused its attention on the need for integrated coastal zone man-
agement. It published Balancing the future of Europes coasts knowledge
base for integrated management.192 This document emphasises the eco-
nomic importance of coastal regions for the EUs economy, given that
approximately 40 per cent of the EUs population lives within fty
kilometres of the sea. Almost 40 per cent of the EUs GDP is derived
from these regions while 75 per cent of the EUs trade is concluded
by sea. Activities such as shipping, resource extraction, renewable energy
and shing are all impacting on marine and coastal areas. A number of
pressures and impacts are present including: hydromorphological
changes; loss of habitats and species; non-indigenous invasive species;
eutrophication, harmful algal blooms and oxygen deciency; hazardous
substances; and marine litter. Many of the EUs coastal waters are
poor in quality with the Baltic Sea, followed by the Black Sea and North
Sea, being in the worst condition. Moreover, data on the conservation
status of the EUs coastal habitats and species is patchy with only
13 per cent of the coastal species assessments conducted under the
Habitats Directive193 being favourable, while the remainder were bad or
inadequate.
The rst step towards integrated coastal zone management in the EU
was the adoption, in 2002, of a Recommendation on Integrated Coastal
Zone Management (ICZM).194 However, the European Commission
found in 2012 that only 50 per cent of countries across the EU were
implementing the constituent principles because of a lack of clear admin-
istrative responsibility for implementing ICZM and the absence of com-
monly agreed objectives and timeframes.195 The EEA also identied the
need to improve the knowledge base for coastal areas to allow the
192
Available at www.eea.europa.eu/publications/balancing-the-future-of-europes (accessed
8 September 2014).
193
Council Directive 92/43/EEC of 21 May 1992 on the conservation of natural habitats and
of wild fauna and ora available at http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/legislation/
habitatsdirective/index_en.htm (accessed 8 September 2014). See also the Directive 2009/
147/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 November 2009 on the
conservation of wild birds (the Birds Directive) http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/
EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32009L0147(accessed 8 September 2014).
194
2002/413/EC available at http://ec.europa.eu/environment/iczm/rec_imp.htm (accessed
8 September 2014).
195
See EUs Adaptation Impact Assessment Part 1 available at http://ec.europa.eu/clima/
policies/adaptation/what/docs/swd_2013_132_en.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014) and
Impact Assessment Part 2 available at http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/adaptation/
what/docs/swd_2013_132_2_en.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014) at 5.
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200 preventing climate disasters
implementation of an ecosystems-based management approach, includ-
ing: spatial analysis of cumulative impacts; ecosystem capital accounts;
and coastal vulnerability assessments.196
The EEA recognises that climate change, including sea level rise and
the effects of storms, ooding, erosion and subsidence, is expected to
increase the vulnerability of these regions. For this reason, climate change
adaptation and preparing for coastal hazards and disasters, such as
winter storms and coastal oods, has come to the fore. As with other
adaptation strategies discussed earlier, in the coastal area the EU has a
preference for alternatives to traditional grey infrastructure responses.
Between 19982015, the total amount invested in coastal protection and
climate adaptation is expected to amount to 15.8 billion. Accepting the
mid estimate of temperature and sea level rise by the 2050s, suggested
response costs amount to 11 billion per year, albeit that the inherent
uncertainties are signicant.197
The EEA states that innovative assessment methods for managing the
coastal zone are needed including:
196
Ibid. at 6.
197
Ibid. at 35. These estimates are provided by ClimateCost, which is a major research
project on the economics of climate change, funded from the European Communitys
Seventh Framework Programme. It advances knowledge in three areas: long-term targets
and mitigation policies; the costs of inaction; and the costs and benets of adaptation,
available at http://www.climatecost.cc/ (accessed 8 September 2014).
198 199
Ibid. at 45. Ibid. 4450.
200
Available at http://ec.europa.eu/maritimeaffairs/policy/maritime_spatial_planning/
index_en.htm (accessed 8 September 2014).
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sectoral adaptation case studies 201
leading to deterioration of environmental status, loss of biodiversity and
degradation of ecosystem services. These services include human activ-
ities, climate change, natural hazards and shoreline dynamics such as
erosion and accretion, which must be considered in the establishment of
maritime spatial plans. Moreover, healthy marine ecosystems and their
multiple services, if integrated in planning decisions, can deliver substan-
tial co-benets such as food production, recreation and tourism, climate
change mitigation and adaptation, shoreline dynamics control and disas-
ter prevention.201 The Directive identies maritime spatial planning as a
cross-cutting policy tool which enables public authorities and stakehold-
ers to apply a coordinated, integrated and trans-boundary approach. In
order to promote the sustainable development of marine areas and the
sustainable use of marine resources, maritime spatial planning should
apply an ecosystem-based approach.202 MSP also supports and facilitates
the implementation of the Europe 2020 Strategy for smart, sustainable
and inclusive growth203 and creates a framework for evidence-based
decision-making.204
Under the Directive, each Member State must establish and implement
maritime spatial planning, while taking into account landsea inter-
actions.205 Through their maritime spatial plans, Member States must
aim to contribute to the sustainable development of: marine energy
sectors; maritime transport; sheries and aquaculture, and to the preser-
vation, protection and improvement of the environment, including resili-
ence to climate change impacts. Other allowable objectives include the
promotion of sustainable tourism and the sustainable extraction of raw
materials.206 Each Member State must designate a Competent National
Authority to implement the Directive.207 For the purposes of monitoring
and reporting, Member States must send copies of their maritime spatial
plans, including relevant existing explanatory material on the implemen-
tation of this Directive, and all subsequent updates, to the Commission
and to any other Member States concerned within three months of their
publication. The Commission itself must submit to the European Parlia-
ment and to the Council, at the latest one year after the deadline for
establishment of the maritime spatial plans, and every four years there-
after, a report outlining the progress made in implementing this
Directive.208
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202 preventing climate disasters
Australia: an environmental planning and assessment
approach to sea level rise
The exposure of Australias coastal assets to sea level rise is widespread
and the hazard will increase in the future especially as the population
grows.209 Coastal assets at risk from a combination of inundation and
shoreline recession include:
209
One of the most recent reports on climate change threats to Australias coasts is
Counting the Costs: Climate Change and Coastal Flooding (Climate Council: 2014)
available at www.climatecouncil.org.au/uploads/56812f1261b168e02032126342619dad.
pdf (accessed 17 November 2014).
210
See Climate Change Risks to Australias Coasts (Australian Government, Department of
Climate Change: 2009) available at www.climatechange.gov.au/sites/climatechange/les/
documents/03_2013/cc-risks-full-report.pdf (accessed 17 November 2014) at 3; Man-
aging our coastal zone in a changing climate: The time to act is now (House of
Representatives Standing Committee on Climate Change, Water, Environment and the
Arts: 2009) available at www.aph.gov.au/parliamentary_business/committees/house_o
f_representatives_committees?url=ccwea/coastalzone/report.htm (accessed 17 Novem-
ber 2014); Developing a national coastal adaptation agenda (National Climate Change
Forum: Adaptation Priorities for Australias Coast: 2010) available at www.environment.
gov.au/climate-change/adaptation/publications/developing-coastal-adaptation-agenda
(accessed 17 November 2014); Climate Change Risks to Coastal Buildings and Infrastruc-
ture (Australian Government, Department of Climate Change and Energy Efciency:
2011) available at www.climatechange.gov.au/sites/climatechange/les/documents/
03_2013/risks-coastal-buildings.pdf (accessed 17 November 2014); and Coastal Climate
Change Risk Legal and Policy Responses in Australia (Blake Dawson: 2011) available at
www.climatechange.gov.au/sites/climatechange/les/documents/03_2013/coastal-cc-
legal-responses.pdf (accessed 17 November 2014).
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sectoral adaptation case studies 203
commitment to understanding and dealing with the challenges of climate
change to Australias coasts. It commissioned and was responsible for
developing a number of adaptation policies.211 None of this policy work
is being carried forward by the current government.
In 2009, the former Labor State government in New South Wales
released the 2009 NSW Coastal Planning Guideline: Adapting to Sea-
level Rise212 to give guidance to consent authorities on how sea level rise
and its associated impacts should be considered in the planning and
development context in coastal New South Wales. The Guideline, pre-
sented here as a practical adaptation response which other jurisdictions
might like to consider, adopted six Coastal Planning Principles, as
follows:
211
Ibid.
212
Available at www.planning.nsw.gov.au/Portals/0/PlansForAction/pdf/SeaLevelRise_Poli
cy_web%5B1%5D.pdf (accessed 11 January 2015).
213 214
Ibid. at 2. Ibid. at 5.
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204 preventing climate disasters
possible measures that could be used in the identication of sea level rise
investigation areas, including:
215
Ibid.
216
See Assessment of the Science Behind the NSW Governments Sea Level Rise Planning
Benchmarks (NSW Government Chief Scientist and Engineer: April 2012) available at
www.chiefscientist.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_le/0016/26206/CSE-Report-Sea-
Level-Rise-Benchmarks_.pdf (accessed 11 January 2015).
217
Ibid. at 22.
218
See www.environment.nsw.gov.au/coasts/stage1coastreforms.htm (accessed 18 Novem-
ber 2014). See also Philippa England, Too much too soon? On the rise and fall of
Australias coastal climate change Law (2013) 30 Environmental and Planning Law
Journal 390.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 205
arising from the impacts of coastal hazards, taking into account the
projected effects of climate change.219 The Queensland State government
mapped the states coastline in accordance with a coastal hazard area,
dened as a storm-tide inundation area, or an erosion-prone area. The
Queensland Coastal Plan required climate change to be factored into this
mapping, accounting for a sea level rise factor of 0.8 metres and a 10 per
cent increase in cyclone intensity by 2100. The Plan also contained a
development assessment code regulating development in erosion-prone
areas, and high and medium coastal hazard areas. The incumbent Coali-
tion government has repealed the Coastal Plan 2012.
All of the States coastal landuse planning and development provisions
are now contained in the State Planning Policy (SPP).220 The SPP, which
was introduced in July 2014, sets out the matters that must be considered
by the State before designating land for community infrastructure, and in
preparing and amending the new generation of regional plans. Local
councils will use the plan when they make a new planning scheme;
amend an existing planning scheme and grant development consent.
The SPP covers a number of key relevant sectors. It addresses the States
interest in those sectors, and discusses the risk management approaches
that should be employed by planning and development decision-makers.
What is almost inconceivable is that this Planning Policy, adopted by a
government in a State which has suffered catastrophic extreme weather
events, does not once mention the term climate change. It makes no
reference to scientic evidence, either by the IPCC or Australias peak
science agency, the CSIRO, about the challenges to development posed
by climate change. This is even though the terms environment, com-
munity resilience and adaptability to change are used in the Guiding
Principles. A natural hazard is dened as a naturally occurring situation
or condition, such as a ood, bushre, landslide or coastal hazard,
including erosion-prone areas and storm-tide inundation areas, with
the potential for loss or harm to the community, property or the
219
See Queensland Coastal Plan (Queensland Government, Department of Environment
and Heritage Protection: 3 February 2012) available at www.ehp.qld.gov.au/coastalplan/
pdf/qcp-web.pdf (accessed 14 November 2014). See also Justine Bell and Mark Baker-
Jones, Retreat from retreat the backward evolution of sea-level rise policy in Australia,
and the implications for local government (2014) 19 Local Government Law Journal 23
at 25.
220
See State Planning Policy (Department of State Development, Infrastructure and Plan-
ning: July 2014) available at www.dsdip.qld.gov.au/resources/policy/state-planning/
state-planning-policy-jul-2014.pdf (accessed 18 November 2014).
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206 preventing climate disasters
environment. In dening the States interest in the coastal environment,
there is no mention of climate change, sea level rise, storm surge, coastal
erosion, only planning and development decision-making should
employ risk-management approaches that take into account the pro-
jected impacts of a variable climate.221
4.7.2. Floods
Mitigating the risk of ood disasters occurring following extreme pre-
cipitation events is crucial given that between 19702010 the average
number of people exposed to ooding every year increased by 114 per
cent (from 32.5 to 69.4 million) annually.222 In the past decade there have
been signicant ood events in every region of the world. The 2002 oods
in six EU Member States caused more than US$ 21 billion in damages.223
From December 2013February 2014, the UK experienced severe
ooding, with 155 ood warnings issued and 7,000 properties ooded.
In Australia, the 201011 oods in Queensland resulted in the declar-
ation of 78 per cent of the state (an area larger than France and
Germany combined) a disaster zone with the economic cost estimated
to be in excess of A$ 5 billion.224 The oods in Thailand between
JulyDecember 2011 inundated fty-eight of Thailands seventy-six
provinces.225 Lloyds calculated the total damage from this ood as US$
30 billion or 8.68 per cent of GDP.226 Insured losses were $ 12 billion or
3.47 per cent of GDP, leaving an insurance gap of US$ 18 billion or 5.21
per cent of GDP. However, when the impact on international supply
221
Ibid. at 28.
222
See Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2011 available at www.unisdr.
org/we/inform/publications/19846 (accessed 21 January 2015) at 22.
223
Urban adaptation to climate change in Europe, see Note 55 at 35.
224
See The Critical Decade: Extreme Weather (Australian Climate Commission: 2013)
available at www.climatecouncil.org.au/uploads/94e1a6db30ac7520d3bbb421322b4dfb.
pdf (accessed 21 January 2015) at 26.
225
See Reducing Vulnerability and Exposure to Disasters: The Asia-Pacic Disaster Report
2012 (United Nations ESCAP, UNISDR, Thailand: 2012) at 92; available at www.unisdr.
org/les/29288_apdr2012nallowres.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015); see also Global
Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction, Revealing Risk, Redening Development,
Summary and Main Findings (United Nations Global Assessment Report (GAR): 2011)
available at www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/home/executive.html
(accessed 21 January 2015).
226
See Lloyds Global Underinsurance Report (Lloyds: October 2012), available at www.
lloyds.com/~/media/Files/News%20and%20Insight/360%20Risk%20Insight/Global_Un
derinsurance_Report_311012.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015).
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sectoral adaptation case studies 207
chains is included the World Bank estimates the total loss to be US$ 45.7
billion, making this one of the top ve costliest natural disaster events in
modern history.227
As witnessed by Hurricane Sandy,228 which hit the east coast of the
United States in October 2012, extensive ooding can also occur where
catastrophic storm surge,229 winds,230and heavy precipitation con-
verge.231 Preliminary damage estimates are near US$ 50 billion232 with
only US$ 20 billion of the losses insured.233
The risk of ooding is of great concern in the Asian region. The World
Banks 2010 Report Climate Risks and Adaptation in Asian Coastal
Megacities234 states that thirteen of the worlds twenty largest cities are
located on the coast, and more than a third of the worlds people live
within one hundred miles (161 kilometres) of a shoreline.235 Many Asian
coastal megacities are built on deltas where signicant sinking is occur-
ring due to soil compaction or groundwater withdrawal for household or
industrial purposes. By 2070, nine of the top ten most population-
exposed cities are expected to be in Asian developing countries. Adapta-
tion poses an enormous challenge for ood-prone cities, such as Ho Chi
Minh City, Kolkata, Dhaka and Manila, facing potential sea level rise and
increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, with the
urban poor most at risk from exposure to hazards. Despite this, few
developing country cities have attempted to incorporate climate change
systematically into their decision-making processes.236
The Report selects three cities Manila, Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC)
and Bangkok for close study, as all are coastal megacities with popula-
tions (ofcial and unofcial) ranging from 8 to 15 million people.237 For
227
See 2011 Thailand Floods Event Recap Report (Aon Beneld: March 2012) available at
http://thoughtleadership.aonbeneld.com/Documents/20120314_impact_forecasting_th
ailand_ood_event_recap.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015) at 3.
228
See Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Sandy (National Hurricane Center: October
2012) available at www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182012_Sandy.pdf (accessed 21
January 2015).
229
Storm surge is dened as the abnormal rise of water generated by a storm, over and
above the predicted astronomical tide, and is expressed in terms of height above normal
tide levels. Sandy caused water levels to rise along the entire east coast of the United
States from Florida northward to Maine; ibid at 8.
230 231 232
Ibid. at 4. Ibid. at 13. Ibid. at 1.
233
Hortense Leon, Sandys Aftermath (2012) 73(6) Mortgage Banking 68 at 69.
234
Available at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EASTASIAPACIFICEXT/Resources/
226300-1287600424406/coastal_megacities_fullreport.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015).
235 236 237
Ibid. at xi. Ibid. at xi. Ibid. at xii.
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208 preventing climate disasters
Bangkok, the actual costs of a 1-in-30-year ood including costs
resulting from both climate change and land subsidence are predicted
to be close to US$ 4.6 billion in 2050, with climate change (in a high
emission scenario) adding US$ 1.5 billion, or approximately 2 per cent
of gross regional domestic product (GRDP). In Manila, a similar 1-in-30-
year ood can lead to costs of ooding ranging from US$ 0.9 billion
given current ood control infrastructure and climate conditions to
$ 1.5 billion with similar infrastructure but a high emission climate
scenario. Thus, the additional climate change costs would be approxi-
mately US$ 0.65 billion or 6 per cent of GRDP. Although the HCMC
study adopts a different methodology to analyse costs and so cannot
directly be compared to the costs of Manila and Bangkok, the ood costs
to HCMC, in present value terms, range from US$ 6.5 to US$ 50
billion.238 Ho Chi Minh City, which accounts for 40 per cent of Vietnams
GDP, has a current population of nearly eight million and is expected
to grow to 1222 million by 2050, so a climate-related disaster would have
enormous impacts on the economy.239
These disasters identify ooding as a global problem which warrants
urgent and concerted action towards risk reduction.240 The catastrophic
nature of these ood events indicates that the exposure of people and
ecosystems needs to be reduced. The EU suggests that the following ood
adaptation measures might be adopted:
238
Ibid. xivxv.
239
Roland J. Fuchs, Cities at Risk: Asias Coastal Cities in an Age of Climate Change (East
West Center No. 96: July 2010) at 4; see also Roland Fuchs, Mary Conran and Elizabeth
Louis, Climate Change and Asias Coastal Urban Cities: Can they Meet the Challenge?
(2011) 2 Environment and Urbanization Asia 13.
240
Abhas Jha et al. Five Feet high and Rising: Cities and Flooding in the 21st Century (World
Bank: 2011) available at http://library1.nida.ac.th/worldbankf/fulltext/wps05648.pdf
(accessed 21 January 2015) at 10. See also Faith Ka Shun Chan et al. Flood Risk in
Asias Urban Mega-deltas: Driver, Impacts and Response (2012) 3(1) Environment and
Urbanization ASIA 41. See also Robert L. Wilby and Rod Keenan, Adapting to ood risk
under climate change (2012) 36 Progress in Physical Geography 348, and William
Howarth, Private and public roles in ood defence (2003) 3 Non-State Actors and
International Law 1.
241
Jha, ibid. at 48.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 209
temporary water storage in the design or redesign of cities, innovative
design of buildings and infrastructure;242
Green infrastructure approaches including river restoration, enhancing
the capacity of soil and vegetation to retain water through managing
agricultural and forested land appropriately, especially in areas
upstream of ood-prone cities;243 and
Soft measures, including the mapping of ood risks, forecasting and
early warning systems, as well as raising awareness and improving
capacity. Storm and ood resistance should also be integrated into
building codes and spatial planning instruments while regulations
should require such response measures.244
A barrier to such measures is that most local governments in low- and
middle-income countries have no functioning landuse planning or man-
agement system, or have lost control over managing land use changes
due to a rapid inux of people. Many major Asian coastal cities, for
example, lack updated master or land use plans, or they have been
produced for only part of the city with other parts occupied by informal
and unregulated settlement. Invariably, they fail to adequately consider
the risk posed by climate change, and so may be maladaptive and
inadvertently promote exposure to climate risk.245 In addition, even
where land use policies and legislation have been established, including
in high-income countries, they fail to take the risk of extreme weather
events into account.246 The design and enforcement of building legisla-
tion, regulations, codes and standards are equally problematic. Further-
more, in post-disaster contexts, overly complex codes and standards are
introduced which are prohibitively expensive for low-income house-
holds, so increasing the incidence of unregulated construction.247 While
it is beyond the scope of this book to go too deeply into the capacity
building requirements that are needed to overcome these barriers, the
adaptation and loss and damage mechanisms under the UNFCCC,
discussed in Chapter 3, provide international support to improve the
situation.
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210 preventing climate disasters
Floods Commission of Inquiry and the National Disaster Insurance
Review. The Queensland Floods Commission of Inquiry Final Report248
and the National Disaster Insurance Review Final Report249 are two of
the most comprehensive recent analyses conducted in any jurisdiction of
the ways in which the risks of oods can be prevented, or at least
ameliorated. The United Kingdoms House of Commons Environment,
Food and Rural Affairs Committees Winter oods 20132014 report250 is
also highly relevant. In this chapter, the Queensland Floods Commission
Report will be dealt with in detail, albeit in a generic sense, while the
Disaster Insurance Report will be discussed in Chapter 6.
Although the Commissions recommendations relate specically to the
jurisdiction of Queensland, they provide useful guidance to other juris-
dictions with regard to ood management.251 It should be noted that,
because of the unique constitutional arrangements in Australia, State
governments are vested with specic responsibility for Environmental
Planning and Assessment. Consequently, in the discussion which follows
the term State government is used. In jurisdictions with different consti-
tutional arrangements, it may be that a national government is the
relevant planning authority. Indeed, even where State governments are
vested with constitutional authority for planning, it may be preferable for
national governments to intervene to provide consistency, provided that
the constitutional pathways exist. The Natural Disaster Insurance Review
recommended that the Commonwealth government establish an agency
to manage the national coordination of ood risk management and
operate a system of premium discounts and a ood risk re-insurance
facility, supported by a funding guarantee from the Commonwealth.252
The new agency would: coordinate ood mapping across the country;253
introduce national guidelines for ood risk mapping and classication;
act as a national repository for ood risk information; monitor and
248
Available at www.oodcommission.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_le/0007/11698/
QFCI-Final-Report-March-2012.pdf (accessed 8 January 2015).
249
Available at www.ndir.gov.au/content/report/downloads/NDIR_nal.pdf (accessed
6 June 2012). See also Queensland Floods Commission, Chapter 12, The performance
of private insurers, see Note 218 at 282348.
250
Available at www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201415/cmselect/cmenvfru/240/240.
pdf (accessed 10 October 2014).
251
For a comprehensive analysis of ood risk management legislation, see Thomas Hart-
mann and Juliane Albrecht, From Flood Protection to Flood Risk Management:
Condition-Based and Performance-Based Regulations in German Water Law (2014)
26 Journal of Environmental Law 243.
252 253
Queensland Floods Commission, see Note 248 at 3. Ibid. at 4.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 211
advise on the effectiveness of national ood risk mitigation activities; and
appropriately publish and disseminate ood risk information for various
groups, ensuring the quality of the information.254 In the UK, for
example, the principal legislation for managing oods is the Flood and
Water Management Act 2010255 under which the government has pub-
lished the 2011 National Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management
Strategy256 and the Department for the Environment Food and Rural
Affairs is the lead government agency on ood policy. The Environment
Agency manages ood risk from main rivers, estuaries, the sea and
reservoirs and is responsible for building ood defences where funding
is available.
254
Ibid. at 5.
255
Available at www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2010/29/contents (accessed 10 October 2014).
256
Available at www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/le/
228898/9780108510366.pdf (accessed 10 October 2014).
257 258
Queensland Floods Commission, see Note 248 at 12. Ibid. at 13.
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212 preventing climate disasters
should develop ood-plain management plans, and, where development
is expected to occur, they should develop ood behaviour maps which
indicate at least three zones of risk. Where they lack resources, they
should develop a ood map which shows at least three examples of the
likely extent of ooding. Similar recommendations are made for non-
urban areas where limited development is likely to occur. Where no
assessment of the likelihood of ooding has been done, councils should
inquire into whether a development site could be subject to ooding.
State governments should ensure that all councils have sufcient
guidelines for understanding best practice in the performance of ood
studies and the production of ood maps. All ood mapping should be
displayed on council and government websites and property specic
information should be available to the general public, including by
searching an online database. Prospective purchasers should be alerted
to the risk of ooding, including by standard contract conditions drawn
up by the relevant Real Estate Institutes and Law Societies.259
It is interesting to note that the 2007 EU Floods Directive260 also
endorses the undertaking of preliminary ood risk assessments and
indeed requires all Member States to undertake these assessments for
coastal areas, river basins and portions of international river basins.
Based on these preliminary assessments, Member States are required to
prepare ood hazard maps and ood risk maps.261 Flood risk manage-
ment plans must then be prepared by Member States based on the ood
hazard and risk maps, which must be coordinated at the appropriate level
such as the river basin district, and objectives and measures for reducing
the potential adverse effects must be established. All aspects of ood risk
management must be taken into account including prevention, protec-
tion and preparedness, including ood forecasts and early warning
systems. Importantly, when preparing management plans, Member
States should not adopt measures that might signicantly increase ood
risk in either upstream or downstream countries in the same river basin.
These plans must be completed by 22 December 2015.262 Preliminary
ood risk assessments must be reviewed by 22 December 2018 and every
259
Ibid. at 14.
260
Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2007
on the assessment and management of ood risks, available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/
legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32007L0060 (accessed 9 September 2014).
261 262
Ibid. Art. 6. Ibid. Art. 7.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 213
six years thereafter. Flood hazard and risk maps must be reviewed by
22 December 2019 and reviewed every six years thereafter, while ood
risk management plans must be reviewed by 22 December 2021 and
every six years thereafter. The likely impact of climate change on the
occurrence of oods must be taken into account in these reviews.263
Member States are also required to look for synergies between the Water
Framework Directive264 and the Flood Directive to improve efciency and
information exchange as well as achieving environmental objectives.
Flood risk management plans and river basin management plans should
be reviewed together and the active participation and involvement of all
interested parties in both Directives must be achieved.265 Information
regarding preliminary ood risk assessment, ood hazard and risk man-
agement maps, as well as ood risk management plans must all be made
publicly available.266 The Guidance for Reporting under the Floods Dir-
ective was released by the European Commission in 2013.267
263
Ibid. Art. 15.
264
Available at http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32000L0060
&from=EN (accessed 8 January 2015).
265 266
Floods Directive, see Note 260 Art. 9. Ibid. Art. 10.
267
See http://icm.eionet.europa.eu/schemas/dir200760ec/resources/Floods%20Reporting%
20guidance%20nal.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014).
268 269
Queensland Floods Commission, see Note 248 at 15. Ibid.
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214 preventing climate disasters
areas for which there is no ood information available. Assessment
criteria relating to oods should be consolidated by councils in their
ood overlay codes. Councils should be allowed to amend planning
schemes to update ood mapping information by way of the minor
amendment process as long as adequate public consultation has
occurred.270
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sectoral adaptation case studies 215
The Commission recommended that building codes include a part
entitled Construction of buildings in ood hazard areas. These require-
ments could declare a height to be the expected ood level or adopt a
highest recorded ood level for the land to be developed. The code
should also declare a velocity to be the expected maximum velocity of
ood water for the area in which the lot is located.276
276
Ibid.
277
See Oliver Bennett, Flood defence spending in England (House of Commons Library:
February 2014) available at www.parliament.uk/business/publications/research/brieng-
papers/SN05755/ood-defence-spending-in-england (accessed 10 October 2014) at 8.
278
See An introduction to Internal Drainage Boards (Association of Drainage Authorities)
available at www.ada.org.uk/downloads/publications/IDBs%20An%20Introduction.pdf
(accessed 10 October 2014).
279
See Gazette Summer 2014 (Association of Drainage Authorities) available at http://
content.yudu.com/Library/A2w7jl/ADAGazetteSummer2014/resources/index.htm?refer
rerUrl (accessed 10 October 2014) at 5.
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216 preventing climate disasters
investment to improve ood defences in 201516, followed by the same
in real terms each year, rising to over 400 million by the end of the
decade.280
In as much as infrastructure such as dams might be built as a ood
resilience measure in river basins, the management of dams can also become
a crucial factor in precipitating catastrophic ooding. During the Queens-
land oods, for example, dam operators were forced to make large water
releases to prevent one of the major storage dams from collapsing and
causing unnecessary ooding downstream. The operators of the dam are
currently being sued in negligence by 4,000 individuals and businesses
affected by the oods, with damages claimed in the range of A$ 1 billion.
However, one of the other legal responses of the Queensland government
was to pass legislation to strictly control the activities of the dam operators to
release water from dams. This may have resonance in other jurisdictions.
In the rst place, dam operators conduct their activities in accordance
with an operations licence granted in accordance with a resource oper-
ations plan, for which a ood mitigation manual is required under water
supply safety and reliability legislation. The amending legislation vest in
the accountable Minister, rather than the dam operators, the ultimate
decision whether to alter the full supply level of dams. The Minister may
decide to review the full supply level for a dam based on considerations
including, for example, meteorological forecasts and the public interest.
Generally, the Minister would act if the Bureau of Meteorology issues a
seasonal outlook which indicates a potential emergency. The Minister
will act on the advice of the Director-General of the Department who
must consult with the dam operators and other entities.
The Director-General, in formulating the advice to the Minister, must
consider a range of matters, including the dam operators advice, the
extent to which the proposed temporary full supply level is likely to
mitigate the impacts of a potential ood or drought, possible impacts
on water security and the safety of the dam, and other positive or
negative effects, for example, impacts on public safety and environmen-
tal, social and economic impacts downstream of the dam. The Minister is
then vested with the power to alter the full supply level of the dam for a
period of no longer than six months, for the purpose of mitigating the
effects of a potential developing ood or drought situation, by publishing
a notice in the government Gazette. When the rst notice expires, the
280
Bennett, see Note 277 at 5.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 217
Minister may make further notices. It is now an offence attracting
penalties for dam operators to fail to comply with the Director-Generals
directions with regard to the operation of the dams. Under the amend-
ments, the Director-General can also include, in dam safety conditions, a
requirement for the dam operator to give general ood information and
warnings to residents immediately downstream of the dam.
281
Available at www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-ofce/2013/02/12/presidential-policy-direct
ive-critical-infrastructure-security-and-resil (accessed 17 October 2014). See also the
EUs policy Adapting infrastructure to climate change available at http://ec.europa.eu/
clima/policies/adaptation/what/docs/swd_2013_137_en.pdf (accessed 9 September 2014).
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218 preventing climate disasters
282 283
SREX Report, see Note 161. Ibid. at 42, 235
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sectoral adaptation case studies 219
With regard to the risk of ooding on electrical infrastructure and the
resultant exposure and vulnerability of communities, risk management
and adaptation methods are important. One of the most recent case
studies of the impact of oods on electricity infrastructure is the devas-
tating ood events that struck Queensland in 201011.There was wide-
spread damage to the electricity network with power outages experienced
even where the local electricity infrastructure was not damaged. This was
either the result of damage occurring elsewhere to connection parts of the
network or because of precautionary disconnections to prevent electric
shock.284
The Queensland Floods Commission of Inquiry, discussed earlier,
made a number of recommendations regarding electricity infrastructure
and oods. First, State government model ood planning controls
should require substations to be built so as to remain operational during
and immediately after a ood of a particular magnitude. That magnitude
should be determined by an appropriate risk assessment.285 If substation
development is captured during the planning stage this will allow for
better locational planning, which will provide better placement of such
infrastructure.286 Secondly, if model ood planning controls have not
been developed, these provisions should be captured in local planning
schemes.287 Thirdly, electricity distributors should consider installing
connection points where generators could be installed so as to provide
electricity supply to non-ooded areas that have had their supply cut
during oods.288 Fourthly, the State government should consider
whether there should be a legislative requirement that customer dedi-
cated assets be built at or above the applicable dened ood level.289 For
example, new high rise buildings electrical equipment should be raised
and located out of ood areas, which may exclude basement locations in
some areas.290 Finally, State government should consider implementing
mandatory requirements to ensure the sealing of all conduits for the
purpose of providing electrical supply below the applicable dened ood
level to prevent ood waters from entering them or owing into them.291
This is because electrical connections are supplied through this cabling to
commercial and industrial premises with the cables running from the
footpath through conduits to the substation inside a customers
premises.292
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220 preventing climate disasters
Interestingly, shortly after Hurricane Sandy, a group led by the Col-
umbia Center for Climate Change Law led a formal petition with the
New York Public Service Commission (PSC) asking it to require all the
utilities it regulates to develop climate adaptation plans. This petition led
to the PSC ordering Con Edison, on 20 February 2014, to implement
state-of-the-art measures to plan for and protect its electric, gas and
steam systems from the effects of climate change. Expenditure of
approximately US$ 1 billion in storm hardening and resiliency measures
was also approved. Con Edison and the parties agreed on an interim
minimum design standard of the latest FEMA 100-year ood-plain
elevation plus three feet (nearly a metre) of freeboard to protect critical
infrastructure from future oods. This FEMA plus 3 standard will be
reviewed to see if higher levels of protection are warranted. The Order
conrmed Con Edisons commitment to conduct a Climate Change
Vulnerability Study in 2014 to provide important guidance on how the
utility can best prepare for rising sea levels, more intense storms, heat
waves and other potential effects of a changing climate.293
293
See http://blogs.law.columbia.edu/climatechange/2014/02/21/public-service-commission-
approves-con-ed-rate-case-and-climate-change-adaptation-settlement/ (accessed 9 January
2014).
294
SREX Report, see Note 161 at 493
295
Bracken Hendricks, Wired for Progress 2.0: Building a National Clean-Energy Smart Grid
(Washington, D.C: Center for American Progress, April 2009) at 10.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 221
Smart Grid integrates advanced, two way communications systems and
sensors with the transmission and distribution network, which enables
utilities to optimise grid performance in real-time.296 For the purposes of
resilience, the Smart Grid gives utilities an enhanced ability to identify
the location of a failure and quickly re-route electricity to locations where
demand is most critical. This could occur during times of climate
change-induced crisis, or peak demand, and prevents outages through
proactive diagnosis of the grid and its individual elements. Importantly, it
enhances the ability of the grid to continue to provide power following a
catastrophic event and to support vital emergency responses as well as
military, economic and social activities during a crisis.297
4.7.4. Bushres
Many jurisdictions have experienced catastrophic bushres in recent
years. As discussed in Chapter 2, in 2009 the Australian state of Victoria
experienced a bushre which resulted in the destruction of 2,300 houses,
the death of 173 people and more than 1 million animals. Following this,
the Victorian Bushres Royal Commission was established which
released its nal report298 in July 2010. The Commission conservatively
estimated the damage to be A$ 4 billion and made sixty-seven recom-
mendations for reform, which will be discussed generically to provide
guidance to other jurisdictions in similar circumstances.
296
See Rosemary Lyster, Smart Grids: Opportunities for Climate Change Mitigation and
Adaptation (2010) 36(1) Monash University Law Review 17391.
297
Kenneth Nahigian, The Smart Alternative: Securing and Strengthening Our Nations
Vulnerable Electric Grid (Alexandria, VA: The Reform Institute, June 2008) at 2, 8.
298
Available at www.royalcommission.vic.gov.au/Commission-Reports/Final-Report (accessed
6 June 2013). See also Anita Foerster, Andrew Macintosh and Jan McDonald, Transferable
lessons for climate change adaptation planning? Managing bushre and coastal climate
hazards in Australia (2013) 30 Environmental and Planning Law Journal 469.
299
Victorian Bushres Royal Commission. ibid. Recommendation 37.
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222 preventing climate disasters
developments in regional cities.300 It recommended further that State
government planning provisions should substantially restrict develop-
ment in the area of highest bushre risk and give clear guidance to
decision-makers,301 as well as implementing a retreat and resettlement
strategy for existing developments in areas of unacceptably high bushre
risk. This might require a scheme for non-compulsory land acquisi-
tions.302 The Commission also recommended that State government
require municipal councils to urgently adopt a bushre policy in their
Local Planning Policy Framework.303 With regard to the implications for
private property, the Commission recommended that the Sale of Land
Act 1962 (Vic) be amended to require that a vendors statement include
bushre risk information, including whether the land is in a designated
Bushre-prone Area.304
The then Labor Victorian government responded by amending the
Victorian Planning Provisions to introduce a new hazard assessment
mapping tool known as Bushre Management Overlay (BMO), as well
as a new bushre planning policy.
Building codes
The Commission recommended that construction standards and build-
ing codes be amended to include objectives and performance require-
ments accommodating bushre risk.305 It also recommended that
deemed-to-satisfy provisions for the construction of buildings in the
Bushre Flame Zone should not be permitted, so that each development
application is assessed on its individual merits. In response, the Building
Amendment (Bushre Construction) Regulations 2011306 now designate
bushre-prone areas across the State for the purposes of the building
control system. Those seeking to build new homes in bushre-prone
areas are required to undertake a Bushre Attack Level (BAL) assessment
and comply with minimum construction requirements. A BMO identi-
es when a BAL assessment is needed.
300 301
Ibid. Recommendation 38. Ibid. Recommendation 39.
302 303
Ibid. Recommendation 46. Ibid. Recommendation 33.
304 305
Ibid. Recommendation 53. Ibid. Recommendations 478.
306
See www.legislation.vic.gov.au/Domino/Web_Notes/LDMS/PubStatbook.nsf/93eb987e
badd283dca256e92000e4069/DB244E720AA9F91CCA2578FC001A941A/$FILE/11
092srbookmarked.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015).
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sectoral adaptation case studies 223
The clearing of native vegetation
The Commission recommended that the government amend the state
planning provisions to facilitate the removal of native vegetation for re
hazard purposes, while developing guidelines for the maximum removal
for bushre risk mitigation.307 The Victorian government308 introduced
new exemptions from the requirement to obtain a planning permit to
remove native vegetation to help reduce fuel load around existing homes
and boundary fences.309
307
Victorian Bushres Royal Commission Final Report, see Note 298, Recommendation 41.
308
Note that the New South Wales government introduced similar bush clearing provisions
known as the Rural Fire Service 10/50 Vegetation Clearing Code of Practice for New
South Wales available at www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_le/0003/18453/1050-
Vegetation-Clearing-Code-of-Practice.pdf (accessed 19 November 2014). These provi-
sions have proved highly controversial as landholders, who have long been prevented
under local government Tree Preservation Orders from removing trees, have used these
provisions to engage in indiscriminate land clearing and the destruction of trees (with
obvious climate change and biodiversity implications) for reasons other than genuine
re hazard reduction. These provisions are currently under review.
309
See Preparing for bushre: 10/30, 10/50 and Fence line clearing available at www.depi.vic.
gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_le/0009/221310/1030-Rule,-1050-Rule-and-fence-line-
clearing.pdf (accessed 21 January 2015).
310
IPCC, see Note 25 at 14.
311
Land-based Adaptation and Resilience: Powered by Nature (UNCCD: 2014) available at
www.unccd.int/Lists/SiteDocumentLibrary/Publications/Land_Based_Adaptation_ENG
%20Sall_web.pdf (accessed 24 November 2014).
312
Ibid. at 6.
313
Catherine Fitzgibbon and Alexandra Crosskey, Disaster risk reduction management in
the drylands in the Horn of Africa (Brief prepared by a Technical Consortium hosted by
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224 preventing climate disasters
It is widely accepted that it is necessary to integrate drought disaster
risk reduction (DRR) into all aspects of development and humanitarian
policy and programming. Unfortunately, DRR efforts to date are clearly
inadequate, as witnessed during the 2011 drought crisis. The Intergov-
ernmental Authority on Developments (IGADs) Drought Disaster
Resilience and Sustainability Initiative314 provides an opportunity for
governments in the Horn of Africa to re-examine and revise policy and
programming from a DRR perspective. Under this initiative, IGAD has
created the Regional Platform on Drought Resilience and Sustainabil-
ity,315 to mobilise resources, encourage knowledge management, and
formulate common regional goals and strategies.316
Meanwhile, a recent study commissioned by the UK Department for
International Development (DFID)317 compared the relative costs of late
humanitarian response, early response, and building resilience to disas-
ters. The study modelled the costs of drought on pastoralist communities
in the Horn of Africa over twenty years. It concluded that early response
is far more cost-effective than late humanitarian responses, as timely
assistance signicantly reduces the humanitarian survival needs of the
affected community. Early humanitarian response measures included
reducing the number of animals before body condition and livestock
prices declined, and multi-year food and cash transfers. The study also
concluded that while the cost of resilience is comparatively high, the
wider benets of building resilience can signicantly outweigh the costs,
and investment in resilience is the best value for the money.318
At present, emergency responses are over-reliant on food aid. While it
provides immediate assistance that is relatively accessible and highly
CGIAR in partnership with the FAO Investment Centre: 2013) available at http://
globalallianceforaction.com/docs/Disaster%20risk%20reduction%20management.pdf
(accessed 23 November 2014) at 4.
314
Intergovernmental Authority on Developments (IGADs) Drought Disaster Resilience
and Sustainability Initiative (2013) available at http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/
les/resources/IDDRSI_Strategy_Revised_January_2013.pdf (accessed 23 Novem-
ber 2014).
315
Available at http://resilience.igadhost.com/index.php/platform (accessed 23 Novem-
ber 2014).
316
Ibid. at 2.
317
See C.C. Venton et al., The Economics of early response and disaster resilience: lessons
from Kenya and Ethiopia (2012) available at www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-
economics-of-early-response-and-disaster-resilience-lessons-from-kenya-and-ethiopia
(accessed 23 November 2014).
318
Regional Platform on Drought Resilience and Sustainability, see Note 315 at 6.
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sectoral adaptation case studies 225
politically acceptable, it is extremely expensive and cumbersome to
deliver. Communities tend to become highly dependent upon food aid
before, during and after drought in lieu of other limited or comple-
mentary assistance. Food aid supports households to survive an immedi-
ate crisis but it fails to build long-term resilience. Given that food aid is
rarely supplied on time or at the required level, households are often
forced to sell key livelihood assets such as core breeding stock, or to
abandon or lose their assets when eeing to survive the food insecurity
conict that ensues.319
319
Ibid. at 8.
320
See Sheila McAnaney, Sinking Islands? Formulating a Realistic Solution to Climate
Change Displacement (2012) 87 New York University Law Review 1172 at 1188.
321
Koko Warner et al., Changing Climate, Moving People: Framing Migration, Displacement
and Planned Relocation (UN University-Institute for Environmental and Human Secur-
ity (UNU-EHS): June 2013) at 20.
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226 preventing climate disasters
economically, and disintegrated socially.322 For these reasons it is
important for governments to secure appropriate and sufcient land;323
allow several years to plan for relocation, which should be supported by
adaptation funding mechanisms;324 and apply human rights principles
such as freedom of movement and non-discriminatory access to public
services as criteria for evaluating planned relocation programs.325 With
respect to planned relocation, Warner et al. believe that resettlement
should be the last policy alternative after all others have been exhausted.
Where it is unavoidable, resettlement should be voluntary and participa-
tory in design, implementation and monitoring.326
The Ofce of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
(UNHCR) on April 2011327 has also concluded that the planned reloca-
tion of whole populations or communities may in some cases be neces-
sary and that any relocation plans need to ensure the enjoyment of the
full range of relevant legal rights and a secure status for those
relocated.328 This includes: access to information about reasons and
procedures for movement; participation in the planning and manage-
ment of the relocation; the right to practice ones own culture and
traditions; and to enjoy rights to life, dignity, liberty, security, and self-
determination,329 including for Indigenous peoples.330
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disaster risk reduction microcosm 227
Framework, the role of local governments and mayors was emphasised as
follows:
Local governments, mayors and community organisations are at the
frontline and center of disasters and knowledge of resilience-building.
Putting more emphasis on their views and Capabilities is critical for
success in reducing disaster risk and building resilience.331
Further,
Urbanization has profound effects on the communities and this is a topic
requiring much research, reection, and practical action. Because it is
expected that 80% of the worlds population will live in cities or their
agglomerations by 2050, the multi-faceted problems this entails for disas-
ter risk reduction need to be enumerated and investigated, and responses
must be attempted even if at rst they are only provisional. Urbanization
must be a concern of HFA2. It is not a subject that can wait.332
331
Synthesis Report: Consultations on a Post-2015 Framework on Disaster Risk Reduction
(HFA2) (UNISDR: 2013) available at www.unisdr.org/les/32535_hfasynthesisreportf
inal.pdf (accessed 11 January 2014).
332 333 334 335
Ibid. at 3. Arnold, see Note 89 at 260. Ibid. at 247. Ibid. at 262.
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228 preventing climate disasters
be sufcient exibility, redundancy and learning capacity to adapt to
surprises and disturbances without collapsing or ipping into fundamen-
tally different systems.336
It is for these reasons that the EUs 2012 European Environment
Agency Report Urban adaptation to climate change in Europe337 is
discussed here as a sound example of policy-making which adopts all
of these principles.
336
Ibid. at 246.
337
Available at www.eea.europa.eu/publications/urban-adaptation-to-climate-change
(accessed 2 September 2014). See also Cities and Climate Change: National governments
enabling local action (OECD, 2014) available at www.oecd.org/env/cc/Cities-and-cli
mate-change-2014-Policy-Perspectives-Final-web.pdf (accessed 1 March 2015).
338
Ibid. at 6.
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disaster risk reduction microcosm 229
ecosystem services may provide clean air, store or drain ood waters and
provide drinking water.339 Cities reliance on external services can be
reduced in a number of ways, such as generating energy locally through
the use of Smart Grids and solar panels on roofs.340
Climate change requires drastic changes to the ways in which urban
and regional areas are managed, including by using spatial planning
instruments to situate housing, businesses and infrastructure away from
risk-prone areas. Evidence suggests that delaying adaptation action in
urban areas may increase costs unless infrastructure, including roads,
railways, bridges, energy grids and water and sewerage systems are
climate-proofed. This indicates that long-term planning is essential.341
Moreover, urban adaptation requires regional, national and global
approaches.
Heat impacts
Temperatures in Europe have increased by 0.3C per decade since the
1970s and it has experienced more heat incidents in the last two decades.
At least two summers in the most recent decade (2003 and 2010) were in
all likelihood the warmest in the past 500 years in Europe. Climate
change indicates the probability of increasing mega heatwaves over
highly populated areas of Europe, while the length, frequency and/or
intensity of heatwaves will increase. Southern Europe is particularly
affected.342 The greatest climate disasters experienced in the EU in recent
decades have been heatwaves, with the summer of 2003 resulting in up to
70,000 deaths during a four-month period in Central and Western
Europe.343 There is a recognition, however, that heatwaves are relative,
so that in Portugal this would be a 1C increase above 30C, whereas in
Sweden deaths increase signicantly if the temperature stays at more
than 2223C for two consecutive days.344 Vulnerability to heatwaves is
dependent also on a range of socio-economic and behavioural factors,
such as gender, age (over the age of 65),345 social isolation, youth, illness,
ethnicity, homelessness, lack of mobility, alcohol use, inappropriate
clothing, intensive outdoor labour, and low income or poverty.346
Beyond the direct human health impacts, heatwaves also impact on
psychological well-being, water resources, and the economy and infra-
structure, as employees are affected by the heat and public transport and
infrastructure is affected.347 Air pollution is also exacerbated by heat
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230 preventing climate disasters
through increased formation of ground-level ozone and more particulate
matter in the air.348
Flooding
Between 1950 and 2006, oods caused by heavy rainfall have caused
extensive economic loss. The types of oods which occur in urban areas
include: river oods triggered by heavy rainfall events; ash oods
resulting from the accumulation and release of run-off waters from
upstream mountainous areas; coastal oods caused by storm surges
exacerbated by coastal erosion; urban drainage ooding where water
retention and drainage systems fail; and groundwater ooding when
groundwater rises to the surface.351
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disaster risk reduction microcosm 231
are situated in locations of water scarcity, while water efciency measures
in urban areas need to be up-scaled. EU countries waste between 1025
per cent of their water through inefciencies. Cities also compete with
other users such as energy generation (45 per cent of use), agriculture (22
per cent) and public water supply (21 per cent).352
Urban water scarcity impacts on: public water supply; energy produc-
tion; incomes, leading to losses; water prices, leading to increases where
desalination is adopted; surface and groundwater as well as wetlands;
health through water-borne infectious diseases associated with water
scarcity and high water temperatures; and buildings and infrastructure,
resulting from the shrinking and swelling of clay. The impacts of water
scarcity and drought events in Europe in the past thirty years are
estimated to have cost 100 million. From 19762006, the impact
doubled, rising to 6.2 billion per year in recent years. The 2003 drought
is estimated to have cost 8.7 billion.353
Adaptation responses include: increasing water efciency in buildings;
water-efcient products for domestic, commercial, industry and agricul-
tural use; reducing leakages; and halting desertication. These might be
categorised as follows:
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232 preventing climate disasters
democratic and participatory institutions; the competencies and author-
ity of local government to regulate; the commitment of cities to climate
action; and the availability of economic resources. Little is known cur-
rently about the costs and benets of adaptation in Europe, including the
costs of climate change damage, the cost of including adaptation meas-
ures in urban policies and projects, and the cost of actual adaptation
measures.
However, emphasising the importance of up-to-date evidence upon
which to base policy responses, the EU commissioned two recent studies,
ClimateCost FP7357 and PESETA II, to analyse the climate change impact
costs for coastal systems, human health, agriculture, tourism and oods.
ClimateCost was funded by the European Commissions Community
Research and Development Information Service, to advance the know-
ledge on the economics of climate change in three key areas: the eco-
nomic costs of climate change (the costs of inaction); the costs and
benets of adaptation; the costs and benets of long-term targets and
mitigation. PESETA II was funded by the ECs Joint Research Centre to
make a consistent multi-sectoral assessment of the impacts of climate
change in Europe between 2071 2100. PESETA IIs April 2014 Report358
found that if the climate conditions expected in the 2080s were to happen
today, without climate adaptation, the EU household welfare losses
would amount to around 190 billion, almost 2 per cent of EU GDP,
although the geographical distribution of these damages is very asym-
metric with a clear bias towards the southern European regions. More
than half of the overall EU damages are estimated to be due to additional
premature mortality ( 120 billion). Moving to a 2C world, as envisaged
under the UNFCCC negotiations, would reduce climate damages by 60
billion, to 120 billion (1.2 per cent of GDP).
The EEA notes that without this type of information and awareness
about the need to adapt it is difcult to promote adaptation activities.
Communication of this need to policy-makers, planners and the public
should be promoted through national communication initiatives. The
development of multi-level, virtual information hubs on adaptation is
especially useful, such as the United Kingdoms UK Climate Impacts
Programme,359 which supports society in adapting to climate change in
357
See http://cordis.europa.eu/publication/rcn/14926_en.html (accessed 3 September 2014).
358
See Climate Impacts in Europe. The JRC PESETA II project available at http://ipts.jrc.ec.
europa.eu/publications/pub.cfm?id=7181 (accessed 3 September 2014).
359
See www.ukcip.org.uk/ (accessed 3 September 2014).
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disaster risk reduction microcosm 233
the areas of decision-making for adaptation; exchanging knowledge and
ideas; and creative adaptation.
According to the EEA, the key steps for engaging in urban adaptation
planning include:
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234 preventing climate disasters
adaptation, as it greatly affects the impacts of climate change on cities
and all infrastructure systems, which in turn should be located according
to population distribution. The development of land affects ood magni-
tudes and losses, water quality, water availability, and local heat island
effects. Potential damages can be reduced where new developments are
prohibited in ood zones. Commercial and residential developments
should not be situated in areas where transport is inaccessible during
extreme weather events.367
367 368
Ibid. at 81. Ibid. at 80.
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concluding reflections 235
process,369 while social learning is regarded as a critical aspect of build-
ing resilience. This entails the capacity for new values, ideas or practices
to be disseminated, popularised and become dominant in society and
requires active engagement with civil society and a high degree of citizen
participation.370
In the following chapter, the discussion turns to how governance,
policy and legal mechanisms need to respond during and ex post facto
a climate disaster so as to protect the victims. As will be discovered, all of
these mechanisms have an important, although inherently limited role, in
protecting and compensating the victims while also attempting to pre-
vent them from falling into ever greater cycles of poverty and
vulnerability.
369 370
Nelson et al., see Note 2 at 398. Pelling, see Note 8 at 170.
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