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Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett

Trading With Dan Sheridan (Part 3)

Double Diagonals
And Butterfly Spreads
DOUBLE DIAGONALS
TIM FOLEY

The third part of this series with trader Dan Sheridan looks
at double diagonals with long, protective wings one or more In addition, the double diagonals strategy has a more favor-
months out from the short options, as well as the butterfly able riskreward ratio than other income strategies 1:2,
spread, an income-generating strategy. 1:3, 1:4, compared with 1:10 for condors. The yields can
reach 15% to 30% for 30 days on average.
Remember, this is a business An insurance company
by John A. Sarkett without the overhead, as Sheridan says. Remember, he was
a market maker for 22 years. Everything he does is hedged,
ouble diagonals are Dan Sheridans single fa- quantified, managed, and managed in advance, managed in

D vorite strategy, and he likes to mix double


diagonals in a portfolio with condors for diver-
sification. Heres why: While increasing vola-
tilities hurts the condors, it helps the diagonals.
times of peace, not in times of war, as he puts it.

Best option candidates for double diagonal strategy


 Stock is greater than $30
So one offsets the other. Lets look at double diagonals first.
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett
OPTIONS

 Implied volatility (IV) in lowest two thirds of its


two-year range
 Nontrenders, sideways movers
 Low volatilities (for nonmovers, we want to go
sideways)
 Skews (volatilities near and far) in line, not more
than four points apart
 Nonearnings months again, we dont want
movement due to news
 Boring, sideways, predictable industries, no
biotech startups or the like.

OPTIONVUE
Filter
1 Sell the call option strike (minimum 0.50 for short
option) in the front month that is the first strike FIGURE 1: THE DOUBLE DIAGONAL. When your long option is greater than one
and a half times your short position, you have a poor profit prospect.
inside one standard deviation.
2 Sell the put option strike (minimum 0.50 for short
option) in the front month that is the first strike 2 When either credit can be taken off for less than 0.20,
inside one standard deviation. do it.
3 Buy call one to two months out from short option 3 When half of the initial cash flow can be closed out
and up one strike (maximum one and a half times the as profit, do it.
price of a short call).
4 Buy put one to two months out from short option and MANAGING THE TRADE
down one strike (maximum one and a half times the As time goes on, the adjustment target points are brought in
price of a short option). closer and closer to the market; instead of protecting
breakevens, you are now protecting profits. Sheridan calls
5 If the profit/loss graph sags in the middle, then bring this tightening the noose. After 15 days, the risk curve
the short and long options in one strike. shows that yield on the strategy drops after Whirlpool (WHR)
6 If a negative skew of greater than 2 exists (long hits 84.50 on the downside, or 91.50 on the upside, so these
month minus short month), then dont do the trade! become the new adjustment points.
7 If a positive skew of 4 or more exists, then investi- Another rule of thumb: Adjust at half the distance between
gate. the short strike and breakeven. If you are expecting the trend
8 Know the earnings date and past gap potential. to abate, roll up (or down) your short strike that is, buy in
your short option and resell it higher (for example, buy in
Case study short 55 near month, sell 60 call next month out).
Heres a double-diagonal example that Sheridan gave his If neutral, Sheridan adjusts by turning the double-diagonal
option seminar session-goers. On October 13, 2006, with trade into a neutral calendar spread (buy in short 55 call near
Whirlpool (WHR) at $88.83, Sheridan: month, sell 55 call next month out). If an adjustment cannot
improve the risk curve of the trade, he takes it off and moves
Sold 10 Nov 95 calls on to the next opportunity. He doesnt nurse a losing position
Bought 10 Dec 100 calls ever: Im not just hoping to make money every month.
This is a business. I have a plan to make money, he states.
Sold 10 Nov 80 puts
Bought 10 Dec 75 puts On the November 17th expiration, WHR was 86.50. The
whole net credit spread premium was captured, and the
Credit: $0.73 or $730 strategist still held the wings that is, the December 100
Risk: $5,000 calls and the December 75 puts.

The plan Major caveats


Dan Sheridans strategy is: Here are some things to watch out for. Beware when:

1 Adjustment target points were set at Whirlpool 81 While increasing volatilities hurts the
and 94. This is where the risk curve showed losses
gathering speed. If Whirlpool hits 81 or 94, roll
condors, it helps the diagonals. So one
the credits. offsets the other.
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett

FIGURE 2: SAGGY BOTTOM. This is what happens when your long option is FIGURE 3: SELL LOWER CALLS AND HIGHER PUTS. Here, the 127s and 131s are
greater than one and a half times your short option. sold instead of the 126 and 132 to improve the profit-loss graph.

 Your long option is greater than one and a half times


your short option (Figure 1). This will make for a
saggy bottom in the risk curve, a poor profit
prospect (Figure 2).
 You are paying too much. To fix this, go back and
sell lower calls and higher puts to generate more
income. In Figure 3, the strategist sells the 127s and
131s versus the 126 and 132 to create a better profit-
loss graph.

And voil, the saggy bottom tightens (Figure 4).


You should not put double diagonals on during earnings
months. There is too great a prospect for a major move that
could turn a winner into a loser in one day.
What can you do when the stock gaps beyond the short
FIGURE 4: THE SAGGY BOTTOM TIGHTENS
strike? Close the position. I dont play games with these
things, Sheridan says.
Suppose a double diagonal is put on and the stock doesnt
meander sideways as was hoped, but moves a strong 5% up
or down within the first few days? Dan Sheridan advises
getting out at a small loss, with consideration toward reposi-
tioning the trade at a different level a week or so later if the
situation warrants it.

BUTTERFLY SPREADS
A short (or income) butterfly is selling two at-the-money
(ATM) calls, buying one call under and one call over, as in the
following example. Viewed on a monthly basis, it is a high-
yield vehicle (Figure 5).

Dan Sheridans income butterfly management checklist


1 Pick a low-volatility stock. Sheridans tip: The time
FIGURE 5: THE INCOME BUTTERFLY. Adjust points on an income butterfly can be
after earnings news has been digested is typically a
seen where the profit/loss points cross zero on the graph. Different lines represent
different points in time. When a trade starts to lose money, Dan Sheridan adjusts quiet, low IV time, and a good time to put on a
the trade by buying in the losing side, and placing the trade out further. butterfly.
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett

2 A tactic for butterflies is to put on with four weeks


before expiration and tighten the noose or take off
at about two weeks before expiration. Tighten the
noose refers to setting adjustment points closer and
closer to the market to profit profits, as more and
more time is logged in the trade.
3 Maximum loss: Around a quarter to a third of what
you paid for the butterfly.
4 Buy butterfly 25 to 35 days till expiration.
5 Sell ATM strikes and buy long positions five to 50
points away, depending on the vehicle.
6 Set adjustment points at breakevens (BEs) at expira-
tion plus 1.5% of underlying for extra room (first two
weeks) (1.5% of 72.50 for IWM = 1.0875). Easiest
way to see the breakevens is to review the risk curve.
FIGURE 6: INCOME BUTTERFLY IN ACTION. Heres an example using iShares
7 Tighten the adjustment points to BEs for the last of the Russell 2000 index.
two weeks.
8 Tighten noose when up 20% on (at this point, have RUT: 50-point strikes
stop orders in no lower than 10% yields to take off). SPY: Five-point strikes
9 For OptionVue users, set slippage on small to 12 Be patient when putting on a trade. Use midprices
moderate when deciding when to get out. and cave in 0.05 if necessary.
10 At all costs, try to be out by Friday before expiration. 13 As Dan Sheridan says: Once you get more familiar
trading butterflies, your acceptable losses will be
11 Butterfly candidates:
based on what profits youre taking out of butter-
MDY: 10-point strikes flies in the good months. For example, if you find
IWM: Five-point strikes yourself taking 20% profits of $600 consistently
SML: 25-point strikes and not going for more, then maximum loss would
be around $600.
MID: 3040 point strikes

TRADER DAN ON OPTIONS ADJUSTMENT


An adjustment is changing your trade as the market changes. 2 20-cent rule. If one of the credit spreads on a delta
You dont have to do it every month if youre selling at the neutral strategy (condors, butterflies, double diagonals)
edge of standard deviation from the underlying, the way Dan can be removed for $0.20 or less, take it off.
Sheridan does, but you have to do it, at least if you want to 3 20 delta rule. If delta has shot up to be greater than 20
treat options as a business and not as a gamble. on a sold option, take that side off. Roll it to a strike
Adjusting is a peculiar advantage to the option market, where delta is 3-7 again.
unlike straight-up futures or stock trading where stop-losses
4 1.5 x cash flow rule. Hard and fast rule: Never lose
and stop limits create gains or losses. Option adjustments
more than one and a half times your cash flow. If your
allow you to put the trade on again, often for another credit
paper loss is one and a half times your credit, take it off
offsetting a loss taken at the same time and giving yourself
and take the loss.
more time for option decay to work for you. Adjustments can
be closing: 5 15-day rule. If you must adjust within 15 days of
expiration, close the trade. You are too short of time,
 One part of a trade and putting it on again at a higher
there is too little theta vis--vis too much potential delta,
or lower level that is, rolling, or
or movement, and hence too much risk in the trade.
 One leg of a trade out, or
6 Two-roll rule. Roll down at most two times. If more is
 The entire trade out. required, then forces bigger than me are at work, and
Dan Sheridans general rules of adjustment include: Ill stand aside, Dan Sheridan says.
1 Pocket 50%. If your paper gain is greater than 50% of 7 Adjustment cash. Keep 10% of your trading account in
your initial, take the trade off. Look elsewhere for your cash for adjustments.
next profit opportunity.

Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.


Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett

OFF THE BEATEN TRACK: Q&A WITH TRADER DAN

Q. Why do calendars and butterflies, why not just buy puts tornado in the air. The market is saying something is going to
and calls? Or better, why not just sell naked options? happen, trust the market. When trading spreads, buy and sell
Dan Sheridan: Because over time, youll lose. Youll get volumes that are in line. If the difference between options is
your ears ripped off. You want to put the odds in your favor, more than six points, investigate, or since life is short
and you want to manage risk, if youre serious about being in just look elsewhere.
the options business over time.
Q. What is the weekend theta drop?
Q. How do you handle assignments? Dan Sheridan: Retail customers think theyll come in the
Dan Sheridan: Most of the time when an option goes in market on Friday and sell the options and pick up two days of
the money, we have adjusted before that time, so we are not theta for free. Market makers are onto this. As market makers,
facing assignment. On those rare occasions we do get as- we used to start lowering volatilities to cover this Friday
signed, we are protected by the opposite option transaction. mornings. So be aware.

Q. Do you enter condors, calendars, and butterflies as Q. Whats the single most important thing to keep in mind
spread orders, or do you leg in? when trading options?
Dan Sheridan: Most times we will leg in. I know this is Dan Sheridan: Thats easy. Have a risk management plan.
contrary to what many teach. But as a market maker, I know Be prepared for the position to move against you, dont be
you will stand a better chance of getting better prices for your bushwacked by it and sit there frozen in the headlights like
spread by putting it together as component parts than as a Bambi. Know your adjustment points on each and every trade
complete spread. Price your option in the middle of the bid when you put on the trade. Have your contingency orders in
and ask, and cave in a nickel and no more. Heres the problem the market immediately after your trade is filled. Make it a
with spread orders. If you have a good idea and send it to the business, not a speculation. None of this Im going to watch
market, many times the market maker will look at it, say it, or Im going to take the pain. Do your planning in times
Good idea. Id like to do it, too, and put it on the bottom of of peace, not in times of war. If you do that, youll do well
the stack where it will gather dust. Index spreads are not over time.
traded at six markets like equity options (AMEX, BOX, CBOE,
ISE, PHLX, PSE); there is a lack of competition to fill your Q. Any special thoughts on brokers?
order. Dan Sheridan: I recommend brokers who can take contin-
gency orders, offer spread order capability, and charge $1 per
Q. Ive been taught to sell high volatility and buy low contract or less. These are typically the options brokerage
volatility, as a rule. Is this correct? specialists, and there are some four or five of these in the
Dan Sheridan: No! High volatility means there is a market at the present time.

Case study
Heres an example using iShares of the Russell 2000 index
(IWM) (see Figure 6). On September 21, 2006, Dan Sheridan:
Bought five 67 calls
Sold 10 72 calls
Bought five 77 calls

The total debit was $1,070.

The longer the market stays around the center strike for
example, for IWM, 72 the more profitable the trade be-
comes. The risk curve of this trade is displayed in Figure 7.
Sticking with his discipline to be out of the trade two weeks
before expiration, Sheridan was able to generate a 17% return
on invested capital from September 29 to October 11 (20
days). (See Figure 8.)
It is important to note that IWM closed on October 20, 2006 FIGURE 7: RISK CURVE OF THE INCOME BUTTERFLY. The longer the market
(expiration), at 75.60. Had Dan Sheridan sat on the trade he stays around the center strike, the more profitable the trade becomes.

Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.


Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett

FIGURE 9: SPECULATIVE BUTTERFLY. Dan Sheridan refers to these as time


bombs.
FIGURE 8: THE CLOSER TO EXPIRATION, THE GREATER THE RISK. Since the
trade was closed two weeks before expiration, Sheridan was able to generate a 17%
return from September 29, 2006, to October 11, 2006.

would have lost, as the risk curve shows. The closer the
option is to expiration, the greater the risk. Sheridan manages
risk. When he can avoid it altogether, he does so.

SPECULATIVE BUTTERFLIES
Dan Sheridan calls speculative butterflies time bombs. For
a very small investment, a high risk-reward profile can be
generated. Put these on before earnings; high volatilities are
acceptable. In this case (Figure 9), Sheridan:
Sells two 1280 puts, 2.54 each, total 5.08
Buys the 1295 put, 4.89
FIGURE 10: PROFIT-LOSS CURVE OF THE SPECULATIVE BUTTERFLY. The
Buys the 1265 put, 1.24
profit-loss curve looks like this.
Net debit: $1.05

The profit-loss curve looks like what you see in Figure 10.
A $1,050 investment in this bearish strategy could return as SUGGESTED READING
much as $14,000, a 1:13.3 riskreward ratio. Sarkett, John A. [2007]. Extraordinary Comebacks: 201
Inspiring Stories Of Courage, Triumph, and Success,
John Sarkett is the designer of Option Wizard Scan (options) Sourcebooks.
and Scan Wizard (stocks) software and writes about financial http://option-wizard.com
markets and other topics. His new book, Extraordinary Come- www.cboe.com/LearnCenter/webcast/archive.aspx
backs, includes chapters on business and finance. S&C

Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.


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