Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
THERES A TOMORROW.
Trade over 50 futures products virtually 24 hours a day, 6 days a week, with
thinkorswim on your desktop or your mobile device using TD Ameritrade Mobile
Trader. Trade futures on indices, currencies, commodities and more to diversify your
portfolio, and be better prepared to weather market conditions. You also get live
interactive in-platform education, access to former floor traders, and even the
ability to test-drive strategies without risk on paperMoney. Theres never been
a better time to make your fear of futures a thing of the past.
Futures trading is speculative and is not suitable for all investors. Futures accounts are not protected by SIPC. Futures
trading services provided by TD Ameritrade Futures & Forex LLC. Trading privileges subject to review and approval.
Not all clients will qualify. This is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where we are not authorized to do business.
TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. 2016 TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. All rights reserved. Used with permission.
Download software at TC2000.com
or call 1.800.776.4940
Lng 10.52
Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett
Double Diagonals
And Butterfly Spreads
DOUBLE DIAGONALS
TIM FOLEY
The third part of this series with trader Dan Sheridan looks
at double diagonals with long, protective wings one or more In addition, the double diagonals strategy has a more favor-
months out from the short options, as well as the butterfly able riskreward ratio than other income strategies 1:2,
spread, an income-generating strategy. 1:3, 1:4, compared with 1:10 for condors. The yields can
reach 15% to 30% for 30 days on average.
Remember, this is a business An insurance company
by John A. Sarkett without the overhead, as Sheridan says. Remember, he was
a market maker for 22 years. Everything he does is hedged,
ouble diagonals are Dan Sheridans single fa- quantified, managed, and managed in advance, managed in
OPTIONVUE
Filter
1 Sell the call option strike (minimum 0.50 for short
option) in the front month that is the first strike FIGURE 1: THE DOUBLE DIAGONAL. When your long option is greater than one
and a half times your short position, you have a poor profit prospect.
inside one standard deviation.
2 Sell the put option strike (minimum 0.50 for short
option) in the front month that is the first strike 2 When either credit can be taken off for less than 0.20,
inside one standard deviation. do it.
3 Buy call one to two months out from short option 3 When half of the initial cash flow can be closed out
and up one strike (maximum one and a half times the as profit, do it.
price of a short call).
4 Buy put one to two months out from short option and MANAGING THE TRADE
down one strike (maximum one and a half times the As time goes on, the adjustment target points are brought in
price of a short option). closer and closer to the market; instead of protecting
breakevens, you are now protecting profits. Sheridan calls
5 If the profit/loss graph sags in the middle, then bring this tightening the noose. After 15 days, the risk curve
the short and long options in one strike. shows that yield on the strategy drops after Whirlpool (WHR)
6 If a negative skew of greater than 2 exists (long hits 84.50 on the downside, or 91.50 on the upside, so these
month minus short month), then dont do the trade! become the new adjustment points.
7 If a positive skew of 4 or more exists, then investi- Another rule of thumb: Adjust at half the distance between
gate. the short strike and breakeven. If you are expecting the trend
8 Know the earnings date and past gap potential. to abate, roll up (or down) your short strike that is, buy in
your short option and resell it higher (for example, buy in
Case study short 55 near month, sell 60 call next month out).
Heres a double-diagonal example that Sheridan gave his If neutral, Sheridan adjusts by turning the double-diagonal
option seminar session-goers. On October 13, 2006, with trade into a neutral calendar spread (buy in short 55 call near
Whirlpool (WHR) at $88.83, Sheridan: month, sell 55 call next month out). If an adjustment cannot
improve the risk curve of the trade, he takes it off and moves
Sold 10 Nov 95 calls on to the next opportunity. He doesnt nurse a losing position
Bought 10 Dec 100 calls ever: Im not just hoping to make money every month.
This is a business. I have a plan to make money, he states.
Sold 10 Nov 80 puts
Bought 10 Dec 75 puts On the November 17th expiration, WHR was 86.50. The
whole net credit spread premium was captured, and the
Credit: $0.73 or $730 strategist still held the wings that is, the December 100
Risk: $5,000 calls and the December 75 puts.
1 Adjustment target points were set at Whirlpool 81 While increasing volatilities hurts the
and 94. This is where the risk curve showed losses
gathering speed. If Whirlpool hits 81 or 94, roll
condors, it helps the diagonals. So one
the credits. offsets the other.
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
Stocks & Commodities V. 25:7 (44-49): Double Diagonals And Butterfly Spreads by John A. Sarkett
FIGURE 2: SAGGY BOTTOM. This is what happens when your long option is FIGURE 3: SELL LOWER CALLS AND HIGHER PUTS. Here, the 127s and 131s are
greater than one and a half times your short option. sold instead of the 126 and 132 to improve the profit-loss graph.
BUTTERFLY SPREADS
A short (or income) butterfly is selling two at-the-money
(ATM) calls, buying one call under and one call over, as in the
following example. Viewed on a monthly basis, it is a high-
yield vehicle (Figure 5).
Q. Why do calendars and butterflies, why not just buy puts tornado in the air. The market is saying something is going to
and calls? Or better, why not just sell naked options? happen, trust the market. When trading spreads, buy and sell
Dan Sheridan: Because over time, youll lose. Youll get volumes that are in line. If the difference between options is
your ears ripped off. You want to put the odds in your favor, more than six points, investigate, or since life is short
and you want to manage risk, if youre serious about being in just look elsewhere.
the options business over time.
Q. What is the weekend theta drop?
Q. How do you handle assignments? Dan Sheridan: Retail customers think theyll come in the
Dan Sheridan: Most of the time when an option goes in market on Friday and sell the options and pick up two days of
the money, we have adjusted before that time, so we are not theta for free. Market makers are onto this. As market makers,
facing assignment. On those rare occasions we do get as- we used to start lowering volatilities to cover this Friday
signed, we are protected by the opposite option transaction. mornings. So be aware.
Q. Do you enter condors, calendars, and butterflies as Q. Whats the single most important thing to keep in mind
spread orders, or do you leg in? when trading options?
Dan Sheridan: Most times we will leg in. I know this is Dan Sheridan: Thats easy. Have a risk management plan.
contrary to what many teach. But as a market maker, I know Be prepared for the position to move against you, dont be
you will stand a better chance of getting better prices for your bushwacked by it and sit there frozen in the headlights like
spread by putting it together as component parts than as a Bambi. Know your adjustment points on each and every trade
complete spread. Price your option in the middle of the bid when you put on the trade. Have your contingency orders in
and ask, and cave in a nickel and no more. Heres the problem the market immediately after your trade is filled. Make it a
with spread orders. If you have a good idea and send it to the business, not a speculation. None of this Im going to watch
market, many times the market maker will look at it, say it, or Im going to take the pain. Do your planning in times
Good idea. Id like to do it, too, and put it on the bottom of of peace, not in times of war. If you do that, youll do well
the stack where it will gather dust. Index spreads are not over time.
traded at six markets like equity options (AMEX, BOX, CBOE,
ISE, PHLX, PSE); there is a lack of competition to fill your Q. Any special thoughts on brokers?
order. Dan Sheridan: I recommend brokers who can take contin-
gency orders, offer spread order capability, and charge $1 per
Q. Ive been taught to sell high volatility and buy low contract or less. These are typically the options brokerage
volatility, as a rule. Is this correct? specialists, and there are some four or five of these in the
Dan Sheridan: No! High volatility means there is a market at the present time.
Case study
Heres an example using iShares of the Russell 2000 index
(IWM) (see Figure 6). On September 21, 2006, Dan Sheridan:
Bought five 67 calls
Sold 10 72 calls
Bought five 77 calls
The longer the market stays around the center strike for
example, for IWM, 72 the more profitable the trade be-
comes. The risk curve of this trade is displayed in Figure 7.
Sticking with his discipline to be out of the trade two weeks
before expiration, Sheridan was able to generate a 17% return
on invested capital from September 29 to October 11 (20
days). (See Figure 8.)
It is important to note that IWM closed on October 20, 2006 FIGURE 7: RISK CURVE OF THE INCOME BUTTERFLY. The longer the market
(expiration), at 75.60. Had Dan Sheridan sat on the trade he stays around the center strike, the more profitable the trade becomes.
would have lost, as the risk curve shows. The closer the
option is to expiration, the greater the risk. Sheridan manages
risk. When he can avoid it altogether, he does so.
SPECULATIVE BUTTERFLIES
Dan Sheridan calls speculative butterflies time bombs. For
a very small investment, a high risk-reward profile can be
generated. Put these on before earnings; high volatilities are
acceptable. In this case (Figure 9), Sheridan:
Sells two 1280 puts, 2.54 each, total 5.08
Buys the 1295 put, 4.89
FIGURE 10: PROFIT-LOSS CURVE OF THE SPECULATIVE BUTTERFLY. The
Buys the 1265 put, 1.24
profit-loss curve looks like this.
Net debit: $1.05
The profit-loss curve looks like what you see in Figure 10.
A $1,050 investment in this bearish strategy could return as SUGGESTED READING
much as $14,000, a 1:13.3 riskreward ratio. Sarkett, John A. [2007]. Extraordinary Comebacks: 201
Inspiring Stories Of Courage, Triumph, and Success,
John Sarkett is the designer of Option Wizard Scan (options) Sourcebooks.
and Scan Wizard (stocks) software and writes about financial http://option-wizard.com
markets and other topics. His new book, Extraordinary Come- www.cboe.com/LearnCenter/webcast/archive.aspx
backs, includes chapters on business and finance. S&C
Interactive Brokers
Member - NYSE, FINRA, SIPC Supporting documentation for any claims and statistical information will be provided upon request.
*According to Barrons best online broker review on March 9, 2015, How Secure Is Your Securities Portfolio. Lowest cost of any broker and
Best Trading Experience & Technology in Barrons survey. For more info see ibkr.com/awards. Barrons is a registered trademark of Dow
Jones & Company, Inc. Based on DARTs of US ebrokers in Q4 2015. 05-IB16-981CH963
Daily technical commentary
by expert analysts to help you
make smarter investment decisions
From daily blogs to live webinars, StockCharts.com hosts free
current market analysis and educational commentary from some
of the industrys most distinguished technical analysts.
and more!
StockCharts.com
2015 StockCharts.com,Inc. All Rights Reserved. Information provided by StockCharts.com is not investment advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions.
Subscribe Or Renew Today!
Now a subscription to Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine
gets you so much more than just a magazine:
8999
1 year...................
$
2 years.............. 149
$ 99
3 years.............. 199
$ 99