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Transportation Systems Engineering 3.

Traffic Stream Models

Chapter 3

Traffic Stream Models

3.1 Overview where v is the mean speed at density k, vf is the


free speed and kj is the jam density. This equation
To figure out the exact relationship between the traffic ( 3.1) is often referred to as the Greenshields model.
parameters, a great deal of research has been done It indicates that when density becomes zero, speed ap-
over the past several decades. The results of these proaches free flow speed (ie. v vf when k 0).
researches yielded many mathematical models. Some Once the relation between speed and flow is estab-
important models among them will be discussed in this
chapter. uf

3.2 Greenshields macroscopic


u
speed, u

stream model
Macroscopic stream models represent how the be-
haviour of one parameter of traffic flow changes with
respect to another. Most important among them is the
u0 q qmax
relation between speed and density. The first and most flow, q
simple relation between them is proposed by Green-
shield. Greenshield assumed a linear speed-density Figure 3:2: Relation between speed and flow
relationship as illustrated in figure 3:1 to derive the
model. The equation for this relationship is shown lished, the relation with flow can be derived. This re-
lation between flow and density is parabolic in shape
uf and is shown in figure 3:3. Also, we know that

q = k.v (3.2)

Now substituting equation 3.1 in equation 3.2, we get


speed u

 
vf
q = vf .k k2 (3.3)
kj
Similarly we can find the relation between speed and
kjam
flow. For this, put k = vq in equation 3.1 and solving,
k0 density (k)
we get  
kj 2
Figure 3:1: Relation between speed and density q = kj .v v (3.4)
vf
This relationship is again parabolic and is shown in fig-
below.
vf

 ure 3:2. Once the relationship between the fundamen-
v = vf .k (3.1) tal variables of traffic flow is established, the boundary
kj

Dr. Tom V. Mathew, IIT Bombay 3.1 September 10, 2015


Transportation Systems Engineering 3. Traffic Stream Models

Therefore, speed at maximum flow is half of the free


B speed.
qmax
A

q D E
flow(q)

3.3 Calibration of Greenshields


model
C

O
k0 k1 kmax k2 kjam In order to use this model for any traffic stream, one
density (k)
should get the boundary values, especially free flow
speed (vf ) and jam density (kj ). This has to be ob-
Figure 3:3: Relation between flow and density 1
tained by field survey and this is called calibration
process. Although it is difficult to determine exact
conditions can be derived. The boundary conditions free flow speed and jam density directly from the field,
that are of interest are jam density, free-flow speed, approximate values can be obtained from a number of
and maximum flow. To find density at maximum flow, speed and density observations and then fitting a lin-
differentiate equation 3.3 with respect to k and equate ear equation between them. Let the linear equation be
it to zero. ie., y = a + bx such that y is density k and x denotes the
dq speed v. Using linear regression method, coefficients a
= 0
dk and b can be solved as,
vf
vf .2k = 0 Pn Pn Pn
kj n xy x. yi
b = Pni i 2
i=1 Pni
i=1 i=1
(3.7)
kj n. i=1 xi ( i=1 xi )2
k =
2 a = y bx (3.8)

Alternate method of solving for b is,


Denoting the density corresponding to maximum flow
as k0 , Pn
i=1 (xi x)(yi y)
kj b = Pn 2 (3.9)
k0 = (3.5) (xi x)
2 i=1

Therefore, density corresponding to maximum flow is where xi and yi are the samples, n is the number of
half the jam density. Once we get k0 , we can derive samples, and x and y are the mean of xi and yi re-
for maximum flow, qmax . Substituting equation 3.5 in spectively.
equation 3.3
 2
kj vf kj Numerical example
qmax = vf . .
2 kj 2
kj kj For the following data on speed and density, deter-
= vf . vf . mine the parameters of the Greenshields model. Also
2 4
vf .kj find the maximum flow and density corresponding to
=
4 a speed of 30 km/hr.
Thus the maximum flow is one fourth the product of
free flow and jam density. Finally to get the speed k v
at maximum flow, v0 , substitute equation 3.5 in equa- 171 5
tion 3.1 and solving we get, 129 15
20 40
vf kj vf
v0 = vf . = (3.6) 70 25
kj 2 2

Dr. Tom V. Mathew, IIT Bombay 3.2 September 10, 2015


Transportation Systems Engineering 3. Traffic Stream Models

Table 3:1: Solution to numerical example

x(k) y(v) (xi x) (yi y) (xi x)(yi y) (xi x2 )


171 5 73.5 -16.3 -1198.1 5402.3
129 15 31.5 -6.3 -198.5 992.3
20 40 -77.5 18.7 -1449.3 6006.3
70 25 -27.5 3.7 -101.8 756.3
390 85 -2947.7 13157.2

Solution Denoting y = v and x = k, solve for a and


b using equation 3.8 and equation 3.9. The solution
is tabulated as shown below. x = x 390
n = 4 = 97.5,
y = y 85 2947.7
n = 4 = 21.3. From equation 3.9, b = 13157.2

speed, v
= -0.2 a = y bx = 21.3 + 0.297.5 = 40.8 So the
linear regression equation will be,

v = 40.8 0.2k (3.10)

v
Here vf = 40.8 and kfj = 0.2. This implies, kj = 40.8
0.2
density, k
= 204 veh/km. The basic parameters of Greenshields
model are free flow speed and jam density and they are Figure 3:4: Greenbergs logarithmic model
obtained as 40.8 kmph and 204 veh/km respectively.
To find maximum flow, use equation 3.6, i.e., qmax = 3.4.1 Greenbergs logarithmic model
40.8204
= 2080.8 veh/hr Density corresponding to the
4 Greenberg assumed a logarithmic relation between
speed 30 km/hr can be found out by substituting v =
speed and density. He proposed,
30 in equation 3.10. i.e, 30 = 40.8 - 0.2 k Therefore,
kj
k = 40.830
0.2 = 54 veh/km. v = v0 ln (3.11)
k
This model has gained very good popularity because
this model can be derived analytically. (This deriva-
3.4 Other macroscopic stream tion is beyond the scope of this notes). However, main
drawbacks of this model is that as density tends to
models zero, speed tends to infinity. This shows the inability
of the model to predict the speeds at lower densities.
In Greenshields model, linear relationship between
speed and density was assumed. But in field we can 3.4.2 Underwoods exponential model
hardly find such a relationship between speed and den-
sity. Therefore, the validity of Greenshields model was Trying to overcome the limitation of Greenbergs
questioned and many other models came up. Promi- model, Underwood put forward an exponential model
nent among them are Greenbergs logarithmic model, as shown below.
k

Underwoods exponential model, Pipes generalized v = vf .e k0 (3.12)


model, and multi-regime models. These are briefly where vf is the free flow speed and k0 is the optimum
discussed below. density. The model can be graphically expressed as in

Dr. Tom V. Mathew, IIT Bombay 3.3 September 10, 2015


Transportation Systems Engineering 3. Traffic Stream Models

qA, vA, kA qB , vB , kB
speed, v

Figure 3:6: Shock wave: Stream characteristics

vA

qA A
vB

flow
B
qB
density, k

Figure 3:5: Underwoods exponential model

figure 3:5. is the free flow speed and ko is the optimum kA density kB kj

density, i.e. the density corresponding to the maxi-


mum flow. In this model, speed becomes zero only Figure 3:7: Shock wave: Flow-density curve
when density reaches infinity which is the drawback of
this model. Hence this cannot be used for predicting on this concept, many models were proposed gener-
speeds at high densities. ally called multi-regime models. The most simple one
is called a two-regime model, where separate equations
3.4.3 Pipes generalized model are used to represent the speed-density relation at con-
Further developments were made with the introduc- gested and uncongested traffic.
tion of a new parameter (n) to provide for a more gen-
eralized modeling approach. Pipes proposed a model
shown by the following equation.
3.5 Shock waves
 n 
The flow of traffic along a stream can be considered

k
v = vf 1 (3.13)
kj similar to a fluid flow. Consider a stream of traffic
flowing with steady state conditions, i.e., all the vehi-
When n is set to one, Pipes model resembles Green-
cles in the stream are moving with a constant speed,
shields model. Thus by varying the values of n, a
density and flow. Let this be denoted as state A (refer
family of models can be developed.
figure 3:6. Suddenly due to some obstructions in the
stream (like an accident or traffic block) the steady
3.4.4 Multi-regime models
state characteristics changes and they acquire another
All the above models are based on the assumption that state of flow, say state B. The speed, density and flow
the same speed-density relation is valid for the entire of state A is denoted as vA , kA , and qA , and state
range of densities seen in traffic streams. Therefore, B as vB , kB , and qB respectively. The flow-density
these models are called single-regime models. How- curve is shown in figure 3:7. The speed of the vehicles
ever, human behaviour will be different at different at state A is given by the line joining the origin and
densities. This is corroborated with field observations point A in the graph. The time-space diagram of the
which shows different relations at different range of traffic stream is also plotted in figure 3:8. All the lines
densities. Therefore, the speed-density relation will are having the same slope which implies that they are
also be different in different zones of densities. Based moving with constant speed. The sudden change in

Dr. Tom V. Mathew, IIT Bombay 3.4 September 10, 2015


Transportation Systems Engineering 3. Traffic Stream Models

Equating equations 3.15 and 3.16, and solving for AB


as follows will yield to:
distance

B NA = NB
A
kA (vA AB ) t = kB (vB AB ) t
kA vA t kA AB t = kB vB t kB AB t
kA AB t kB AB t = kA vA kB vB
AB (kA kB ) = qA qB
time
This will yield the following expression for the shock-
Figure 3:8: Shock wave : time-distance diagram wave speed.
qA qB
AB = (3.17)
kA kB
the characteristics of the stream leads to the forma- In this case, the shock wave move against the di-
tion of a shock wave. There will be a cascading effect rection of traffic and is therefore called a backward
of the vehicles in the upstream direction. Thus shock moving shock wave. There are other possibilities of
wave is basically the movement of the point that de- shock waves such as forward moving shock waves and
marcates the two stream conditions. This is clearly stationary shock waves. The forward moving shock
marked in the figure 3:7. Thus the shock waves pro- waves are formed when a stream with higher density
duced at state B are propagated in the backward di- and higher flow meets a stream with relatively lesser
rection. The speed of the vehicles at state B is the density and flow. For example, when the width of
line joining the origin and point B of the flow-density the road increases suddenly, there are chances for a
curve. Slope of the line AB gives the speed of the shock forward moving shock wave. Stationary shock waves
wave (refer figure 3:7). If speed of the shock-wave is will occur when two streams having the same flow
represented as AB , then value but different densities meet. traffic parameters.
These models were based on many assumptions, for
qA qB instance, Greenshields model assumed a linear speed-
AB = (3.14)
kA kB density relationship. Other models were also discussed
in this chapter. The models are used for explain-
The above result can be analytically solved by equat- ing several phenomena in connection with traffic flow
ing the expressions for the number vehicles leaving the like shock wave. The topics of further interest are
upstream and joining the downstream of the shock multi-regime model (formulation of both two and three
wave boundary (this assumption is true since the ve- regime models) and three dimensional representation
hicles cannot be created or destroyed. Let NA be of these models.
the number of vehicles leaving the section A. Then,
NA = qB t. The relative speed of these vehicles with
respect to the shock wave will be vA AB . Hence, 3.6 References
1. Adolf D. May. Fundamentals of Traffic Flow.
NA = kA (vA AB ) t (3.15) Prentice - Hall, Inc. Englewood Cliff New Jersey
07632, second edition, 1990.
Similarly, the vehicles entering the state B is given as

NB = kA (vB AB ) t (3.16)

Dr. Tom V. Mathew, IIT Bombay 3.5 September 10, 2015

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