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Indian economy remains strong despite headwinds facing the world economy and
geopolitical turmoil across Asia and Europe. The economy grew by almost 8% in
the JFM quarter and rising oil prices have not been able to affect it adversely. The
Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) has been rising for the last three
months, corporate earnings have improved and the country is expected to get
normal monsoon this year, supporting the economy.
However, high NPAs in the banking sector and construction delays in infrastructure
and real estate sector remain major concerns. The Real Estate(Regulation and
Development) Act, 2016, is a step in the right direction but will bear fruit only in
2-3 years. Till then the Indian real estate sector remains in turbulent waters, and its
health can only be gauged through inferential means like pricing and inflation in
the sector.
Price, as an end-product of interaction between the underlying demand and supply
elements, incorporates all the sector related imperfections like delays and surge/
dearth of transactions. Its trend also serves as a guidance to fiscal decision making
by the government and RBI, and investment decision making by private equity
funds and retail home buyers.
Real estate in each city is heterogeneous and each locality and project can be
mapped to different budget segments and geographies. Each budget segment
and geography corresponds to a certain share of supply and consumer preference
in the market.
Towards this end, Magicbricks presents a holistic price Index for each of the
14 major cities in India. The City Index reflects the price movement across localities,
geographies and budget segments in the city. This bottom-up approach helps to
identify factors affecting the demand-supply dynamics of the city.
Analysis of City Indices over a 2-year period shows that Navi Mumbai had the
highest gain of 17%, while New Delhi continued to face tough market with a
20.7% decline.
Regionally, Western India performed the best with 9.1% average gain, followed
by South with 5.7% increment. North India saw an average decline of 6.9%, while
Kolkata had the same average price as eleven quarters ago. It is important to note
that any gains made are eroded when benchmarked against inflation in economy,
in the study period.
Another important sign of our times is the 9.2% premium commanded by the
Ready-to-Move-in (RM) properties over the Under-Construction (UC) properties at
a pan-India level. This ratio was at 5.1% eleven quarters ago and is a reflection of
the falling consumer confidence in timely delivery of projects.
These are changing times and we would love to hear from you. Do write to us at
Sudhir Pai
Sudhir.pai@timesgroup.com and share your views on this report and how we could
CEO, Magicbricks.com
make PropIndex even better.
METHODOLOGY
Realistic price discovery has been the pricing. If, on the other hand, you are The Interquartile Range technique
biggest problem area in the Indian a seller looking for benchmark pricing, works through measuring variability
real estate market. As consumers you will effect the fastest sale if your of each data set, while dividing the
and industry struggle to arrive at a asking values are close to the buyers data set into quartiles. The technique
realistic benchmark pricing to assess paying power. measures the value of data points on
the true value of their individual units, the first and third quartiles of the data
There are various co-relations of
Magicbricks, as the largest repository and calculates the difference between
demand and the overall real estate
of residential property listings, brings the two.
market as well as its future potential.
you the trusted Indian Apartment Not only is demand a preceding This range, called IQR, gives the
Price Index in a new and easy to indicator to supply, it is also a fairly effective extent of data set, while
use format. Mirroring the Indian good indicator of actual transaction removing the first 25% and the last
Real Estate scenario, this price index activity in the region. 25%. Subsequently, a test is applied
presents an animated representation to each of the values in the data set. If
of the real estate market. We have aggregated the 14 cities
a particular data lies within an IQR of
covered under the report into various
Magicbricks publishes the quarter-on- the first and third quartile values, then
localities. While calculating the city
quarter inflation and deflation trends that data is considered part of the data
level property pricing indicator, we
of the residential real estate prices in set, otherwise not. The set of listing
have applied demand as weight to
India. It collects real estate demand- values of each locality are statistically
each locality. This weight is equal to
supply data on a daily basis for more cleaned.
the localitys share of the demand
than 100 cities in India, of which, the being contributed to the citys total Magicbricks, on an average, covers
fourteen top cities are selected for demand. As a consequence, the more than 500 localities for Tier-I cities
computing the National Property Price locality receiving higher demand for of India. Yet for the sake of analysis,
Index. residential units will be given a higher we take only those localities where the
The National Property Price Index and weightage. Following that, each recipient demand is at least 0.05% of
its constituent indices are subjected to citys price movement is calculated by the citys total demand. Only localities
a series of stringent steps. aggregating the price movements of with at least 50 actively traded
individual localities, according to their properties have been included in the
Each quarter, Magicbricks measures
individual weightages. analysis. Following that process, we
the individual property level price
shortlisted various localities which
changes, which are then aggregated at In terms of checks and balances
in some sense, impact the pricing
the locality level. While comparing the towards making the data and
dynamics of the city.
average pricing figures for the current analysis more robust and objective,
quarter and comparing with the we have made sure that superfluous We then calculate the average prices of
previous one, quarterly price changes information does not deviate the the city for the quarter, while applying
are calculated. These price changes are desired results. Hence, we have demand weights to the average prices
further aggregated at the city level applied checks and balances at the of each locality. These average prices
and even further at an all-India level. locality level listing data collection and at the city level are further aggregated
aggregation. to the final outcome of the National
As the top receiver and aggregator
Price Index.
of residential demand, Magicbricks A statistical technique called Inter-
data provides consumers with Quartile Range (IQR) has been used The difference in Under Construction
realistic benchmarks to the assess to ensure that unintentional input and Ready-to-Move-in property has
true property pricing. Where demand deviations of house size and price been assessed and included in the
exceeds supply, consumers have no figures, which may distort the actual report. Rental yield and affordability
chance of negotiating values. value of the house and corrupt the too has been addressed for the top 10
analysis, are addressed. The technique localities by supply in every city. These
However, where demand is far lower
aims to remove the outlier data sets, are critical tools which well used can
than supply, buyers can look for more
while securing the correct values. help with realistic price discovery.
options and therefore, negotiate
GLOSSARY & DEFINITIONS
1. City Property Index :This is a composite index which is a function of supply of properties as well as
the average capital appreciation/drop in various localities of the city in the quarter. The City Index is the
weighted average of the average rate per square foot in that locality and the supply of properties from
that locality. Localities with higher supply of properties will have a bigger impact on the Index.
2. Price trend basis budget segments: To better understand the citys price trend, the localities have
been divided into budget segments basis their capital value (Rs/sq ft). We have tracked the weighted
average price for each budget segment for a 2+ year period from quarter ending September 2013 to
quarter ending June 2016.
Subsequently, the movement of the localities in each price segment is mapped to derive respective
short term and long term price change trends. The number of budget segments vary according to the
city characteristics.
3. Zone wise distribution of localities: The various localities in the cities are all geographically divided
into five key regions: Northern, Southern, Eastern, Western and Central. The localities are analyzed at
the local zonal level to better understand the effect of the various drivers of price and demand, which
are active mostly at the zonal level rather than at the city level.
4. Zone wise distribution of property budget segments: To better understand how each of the
city zones contribute to the citys supply, and how they are able to provide housing at various price
points, the supply is distributed into budget segments across various geographic zones. For instance,
if a zone has most of its supply in the premium budget segment, then it naturally becomes a premium
destination within the city. The price changes within the various budget segments are also analyzed at
the zonal level to go to the depths of the price changes across the city and to easily contribute the price
changes to local factors.
5. Capital Value Tables (given in Annexures): This shows the actual range of prices within which
properties are available in each locality in the quarter. Prices are shown in Rupees per square foot basis,
these are the prevailing rates for properties in each locality.
6. Price trend Top 10 localities by consumer preference: This section presents the price trend of
the Top 10 localities in the city by consumer preference. These localities have the highest consumer
focus and assessment of price trend in these localities assists in understanding the prevalent and future
price trend in the city.
7. Price trend basis construction status: This Index looks at the movement in prices of Under
Construction (UC) and Ready-to-Move-in (RM) properties across localities in the city. It is a weighted
price index where weight is assigned to each locality basis its share in the consumer preference in the
city.
VOL 6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17 propindex.magicbricks.com
[Apr-Jun 2016]
In line with general lack of activity in the On a quarter level, all regions of India inched last quarter, the North Indian region again
residential real estate market, the National up marginally in terms of prices from the witnessed a 0.7% decline prices, with
Property Index has remained stagnant at last quarter. Although it cannot be said with Ghaziabad and Gurgaon falling more than a
the same level as in the last quarter, with certainty that the prices have hit rock bottom percentage point.
prices moving up by just 0.04%. This is in and will not fall any further, any downward
On a two year scale, Western India did better
continuation of the general trend of inactivity movement in prices going forward is going to
than all other regions, all cities where had
observed in the market for the last many be restricted.
more than 8.5% price increment. The worst
quarters. NPI is the weighted average of
After falling consecutively in the Dec 2014 performer was North region, where price
consumer preference share of 14 cities and
to Dec 2015 period, and improving a little changes hovered between -20% to +5.5%.
their individual City Index value.
l Bengaluru had 47% areas with average l Ghaziabad had 63% localities with an by 0.5%, leading to a net increment of 1.1%
price increase of 5.3%, pushing up Jan-Mar average price decrease of 2.7% pushing in the quarter
2016 Index value by 1.45%. The balance down the Jan-Mar 2016 Index value by
2.2%. The balance 37% localities saw price l Kolkata had 80% localities with an average
53% areas saw price drop, pushing down the
increment of 2.4% pushing up the price increase, of 3.8%, pushing up Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun 2016 Index by 1.3%, leading to a
Jan-Mar 2016 Index by 0.2%, leading to a 2016 Index value by 2.6%. The balance
net increment of 0.2% in the quarter
net decrement of 2% in the quarter 20% localities saw average price decrease
l Pune had 47% areas with average price by 2.4%, pushing down the Jan-Mar 2016
increase of 3.2%, pushing up Jan-Mar 2016 l New Delhi had one third the localities Index by 0.1%. This led to a net increment of
Index value by 0.9%. The balance 53% areas witnessing price increase, averaging 2.7% 2.4% in the City Index for Apr-Jun 2016
saw average price drop of 5%, pushing down in the quarter. Compared to this, about two
third of the localities witnessed average l Hyderabad had 80% localities with an
the Jan-Mar 2016 Index by 1%, leading to
price decline of 2.6%. This led to decrease of average price increase, of 3.8%, pushing up
0.1% decline in the quarter
0.4% in the City Index for Apr-Jun 2016 the Jan-Mar 2016 Index value by 2.6%. The
l Noida had 40% localities with an average balance 20% localities saw average price
price increase, averaging 3.2% pushing up l Gurgaon had 39% areas with an average decrease by 2.4% pushing down the Jan-
Jan-Mar 2016 Index value by 0.6%. The price, averaging 3.6%, pushing up the Mar 2016 Index by 0.1%, leading to a net
balance 60% localities saw price drop of Jan-Mar 2016 Index value up by 0.5%. The increment of 2.4% in the City Index for the
4.6% pushing down the Jan-Mar 2016 Index balance 61% areas saw price drop by 3.4%, Apr-Jun 2016 quarter
by 0.9%, leading to a net decrement of pushing down the Jan-Mar 2016 Index by
1.2%, leading to a net decline of 0.6% for l Ahmedabad had 52% areas with a price
0.35% in the period
Apr-Jun 2016 quarter increase of 3.2%, pushing up the Jan-Mar
l Greater Noida had 47% areas with an 2016 Index value by around 1%. The balance
average price of 4.3% pushing up Jan-Mar l Chennai had 59% localities with an average 48% areas saw average price drop of 2.3%,
2016 Index value by 2%. The balance 53% price increase, averaging 3.7%, pushing up pushing down the Jan-Mar 2016 Index by
areas saw a price drop of 2.1% pushing the Jan-Mar 2016 Index value up by 1.5%. 1.8%. This led to a net 0.9% decrement in
down the Jan-Mar 2016 Index by 0.9%, The balance 41% localities saw price drop of the City Index value for Apr-Jun 2016
leading to a net rise of 1.2% in the quarter 3.3%, pushing down the Apr-Jun 2016 Index
T
he realty market in India can be broadly South Zone has the three important cities of September 2013 to June 2016. This is followed
divided into three geographical zones Southern India i.e. Bengaluru, Hyderabad and by the Southern zone, North zone comes last
North, South and West. While North Chennai. as it has actually seen price decline in the
India covers the five constituent cities of the September 2013 to June 2016 period.
Analysis of price index for each zone shows
National Capital Region (NCR), Western Zone
that West as a whole has seen the highest The constituent cities within each zone have
consists of cities in Mumbai Metropolitan
weighted average price increment from seen price movement basis inherent demand-
Region (MMR), Pune, and Ahmedabad.
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17 propindex.magicbricks.com
03
O
ne of the biggest challenges in the Projects have been stalled for lack of approvals level of premium for RM properties has held
current real estate market is lack of with consumers coming to know about the for the last three quarters.
consumer confidence in the market matter only after having made the purchase. This price differential shows that the
and on the market players. Consumers Project delay leads to consumer having to bear consumers are wary of putting money into
with purchase potential are hesitant to buy additional financial burden of paying rent over the Under Construction properties, especially
properties. There are host of factors which and above applicable home loan instalments when they are not sure of the delivery
have which has led to this situation. For for an extended period. And this is reflected timeline. In the current market scenario, a
example, there have been inordinate delay in the price differential between the Under consumer is likely to opt for Ready-to-Move-in
in completion of projects with possession Construction (UC) and Ready-to-Move-in (RM) properties as this takes care of the delivery
deadlines getting shifted without any clarity. properties. Magicbricks tracked the weighted risk.
DELHI propindex.magicbricks.com
04
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
[PROPINDEX - DELHI]
[Key Takeaways]
The City Index saw a 0.4% In geographical terms, East Delhi here prices increased by 0.3% over
decrement over the previous quarter provides residential options to the last Jan-Mar 2016 quarter
after climbing up by 1.6% in the last buyers in the lower-mid and mid South Delhi forms one fourth of the
quarter segments. In terms of supply, East citys supply and witnessed price
In the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter, two Delhi hardly compares with South decrement of 0.7% in this quarter
third of the localities witnessed an and West Delhi and contributes only
13%. The region witnessed 0.5% Analysis across 68 key localities of
average price decrement of 3.8% Delhi showed that on an average,
while the remaining one third decrement on an average over the
last quarter UC properties were priced equal to
localities witnessed price increase RM properties in the Apr-Jun 2016
The quarterly price movement data North Delhi, led by Rohini, provides period
shows that prices across four out of the least number of quality
residential home options and caters The average difference in prices of
nine budget segments existing in UC and RM properties remained
Delhi improved from the last quarter to the budget and mid segment
residential buyers. Prices in the stagnant over the quarter. The
Fall in prices was witnessed in North Delhi region also fell by 0.4% weighted average price of RM
almost all budget segments priced in this quarter properties was Rs 10,644 per sq ft,
above Rs 8,000 per sq ft. The price the same number for UC properties
decline in these budget segments In West Delhi area, where Dwarka was Rs 10,640 per sq ft
ranged between 0.7% and 2.5% actually forms the bulk of the supply,
D
elhi government has a deep-seated belief The problem of dust emission and waste agricultural land to be used for industrial,
in using small measures to bring a change management will now be challenged by the residential, commercial, warehousing, etc
in the citys real estate. Infrastructure- Centres Construction and Demolition Waste purpose, after due permission to check misuse.
wise the city has accelerated its pace. The Management Rules. These will stipulate proper
The South Delhi Municipal Corporation for the
opening of the Palwal-Manesar stretch of the disposal and recycling of such waste; reduce
first time has successfully collected Rs 650 crore
53-km Kundli-Manesar-Palwal Expressway pressure on fresh resources; keep a check on air
as property tax for the financial year 2015-
will give a fillip to the surface infrastructure pollution triggered by dust particles; etc.
16. The amount is 19% more than last years
landscape in NCR. In particular it will benefit
Better connectivity, effective city management collection. It has also identified over 30,000
the residential real estate micro markets in
and pollution-free environment the absolute new taxpayers.
close proximity. A Rs 1,000 crore worth approval
essentials of a Smart City should elevate
has come through from the Highways ministry Apart from digitising applications of building
the quality of life of Delhi residents. While
to clean up chronic traffic congestion at IFFCO, permits, the waiving of penalty for the
mentioning Smart City, the Lutyens zone has
Signature and Rajiv Chowk junctions on the regularisation of flats in 26 cooperative group
made it to the list of 20 cities to be turned into
Delhi-Gurgaon Expressway. housing societies in Dwarka are some other
Smart City.
positive developments.
On the Centres notification of the Transit
The state government has asked citizens to
Oriented Development (TOD) policy for effective It is safe to say that the government authorities
propose amendments for Section 81 of the
city management, the Delhi Development efforts have been successful in directly or
Delhi Land Reforms Act, 1954, which allows
Authority has planned three TOD projects. indirectly impacting Delhis real estate market.
Magicbricks Bureau
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
05
propindex.magicbricks.com DELHI
The City Index for Delhi reflects the its share of consumer preference in the
price movement across 68 prominent city. This makes for a comprehensive
localities. These localities have been Index which covers localities with high
chosen using the twin criterion of share consumer preference as well as high
in overall consumer preference in Delhi. number of actively traded properties in
The weight assigned to each locality is the secondary market
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
07
propindex.magicbricks.com DELHI
East
East side of the city provides decent
residential options catering to lower and
mid segments, constituting 13% of the
citys supply. The prices moved up by
1.2% in this region
Here, one third of the supply was
Geographic and budget wise price change concentrated in the less than Rs 3,000
per sq ft and in the Rs 10,000-12,000 per
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 sq ft budget range
Mayur Vihar, Sarita Vihar and Laxmi
Nagar are the key localities here with
average pricing of Rs 11,000, Rs 10,000
and Rs 3,000 per sq ft respectively
North
North Delhi provides least number of
quality residential options. Here, budget
and mid segment buyers are huge
Rohini sectors form a key fraction of the
supply in this region, with mostly DDA
developed residences
The Rs 12,000 -17,000 per sq ft budget
range here covers localities like
Pitampura and Rohini Sectors 9 and 13.
The Rs 4,000-8,000 per sq ft budget
range covers the Rohini sectors
West
In West Delhi, developments are
spanning for the last 15 years in the
DELHI propindex.magicbricks.com
08
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
Price change Top localities by consumer preference Dwarka area. It supports a whopping half
of the total supply for Delhi. The prices
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 moved down by 0.3% in this region
With planned development of L-Zone,
there is potential growth in future. Most
of the supply in Dwarka sectors is in the
Rs 8,000-10,000 per sq ft range
South
South Delhi has well-planned
development that is making home
buyers own a home here
Most of the supply in these premium
localities starts at Rs 17,000 per sq ft and
goes upwards of Rs 30,000 per sq ft
Centre
Central Delhi contains the costliest
localities of all in the city, but the
amount of supply available for sale is
extremely limited as a significant portion
of the housing options available here
are in the government housing domain.
Anand Niketan is the key locality, with
an average price of Rs 35,000 per sq ft,
and has witnessed a price decline of 3%
in the last quarter. Prices moved down by
0.4% in this region
The graph shows the trend in the prices the weighted average price of Ready-to- over the Sep 2013 to Jun 2016 period,
of Ready-to-move-in properties (RM) move-in properties was Rs 10,644 per while the price of UC properties moved
and Under Construction (UC) properties. sq ft, the same number for UC properties down by 24% in the same period
Analysis across 68 localities in Delhi was Rs 10,640 per sqft
The graph below shows price trend in
shows that on an average, UC properties
The average price of both UC and RM the top 10 localities in Delhi by consumer
were priced equal to RM properties in the
properties decreased this quarter, with preference. The prices have moved in the
Apr-Jun 2016 period
1.3% decrease in UC properties and 0.7% location between -5% to +5% range in
The average percentage difference in decrease in RM properties the last quarter for these key localities of
the under construction versus ready-to- the city.
In terms of cumulative price change, RM
move-in prices remained more or less
properties posted a price decline of 13%
stagnant over the last quarter. While
[PROPINDEX - GURGAON]
[Key Takeaways]
The City Index saw a 1% decline over In geographical terms, North Move-in properties were 11% more
the last quarter. The Apr-Jun 2016 Gurgaon, consisting of a few expensive than Under Constuction
quarter had more localities with localities along the northern stretch properties in the Apr-Jun 2016
price decline than price rise of Dwarka Expressway, had the quarter
In the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter 39% highest price decline of 1.9% The average difference in prices has
localities saw an average price rise Price level in core Gurgaon, declined by 100 basis points from
of 3.6% while the balance 61% consisting of localities/sectors along 12% in the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter.
localities saw price drop by 3.4% and between Golf Course Road, While the weighted average price of
Price movement across most budget Golf Course Extension Road, Sohna Ready-to-Move-in properties was
segments has been negative with Road and various phases of DLF, was Rs 8,296 per sq ft, the same number
maximum decline being in the either stagnant or saw a decline for Under Constuction properties
luxury segment of Rs 14,000-18,000 New developing sectors along the was Rs 7,502 per sq ft
per sq ft. Only Rs 4,000-5,000 Dwarka Expressway and New Town The average price of both Ready-
budget segments in the city saw Gurgaon had a mixed quarter. Price to-Move-in and Under Constuction
marginal price increase of under 1% in some sectors saw an increment properties has declined over the
in the last quarter. Average price while it declined in others last quarter by 1.2% and 0.2%,
decline in other budget segments Analysis across 73 localities shows respectively
was under 1% that on an average, Ready-to-
I
n order to boost real estate transactions in connecting Delhi and Gurgaon, like Vasant Kunj approval has come through from the Highways
the Gurgaon market, Haryana governments to MG Road, among others are in the pipeline. Ministry to clean up chronic traffic congestion
decision to bring down circle rates by Intra-city Metro in Gurgaon, Sector 56 and in IFFCO, Signature and Rajiv Chowk junctions
15% was welcomed by both the developer Sikanderpur and a high-speed Metro service on the Delhi-Gurgaon Expressway. Not just
community as well as the buyers. The for the Airport Express Link between Sector roads, HUDA is busy facilitating regular supply
government is also freeing certain pockets of 21, Dwarka and IFFCO Chowk have also been of water to upcoming sectors such as 68-80.
land for infrastructure development. As per the planned. However, there has been a hiccup as the body
new Master Plan-2031 for Gurgaon-Manesar, delayed allotment of alternative plots to land
More than 560 houses in New Palam Vihar,
land reserved for SEZs has been annulled and owners in Fazilpur-Jharsa village who were
Tekchand Nagar and Kherki Daula on NPR, also
will now be allotted for housing projects, malls, vacating their properties for the same and for
known as Dwarka Expressway, and nearly 40
hotels and office complexes. It focusses on the construction of a 3-km stretch on SPR.
houses in Rambir Ki Dhani on SPR are coming
non-grant of licences on certain land patches in
in the way of completion of these two road Haryana is uploading project information online
the Gurgaon-Manesar Urban Complex (GMUC),
projects. for better clarity. Some of the details which the
de-freezing of the SEZ Zone, and relaxation for
public can easily access are names of developers
development of TP (town planning) scheme in To beat traffic congestion, HUDA is also trying
to have received licenses by DTCP; approved
Sector 16, Gurgaon. to expedite the land acquisition process at CPR,
number of towers, units in a project; number
which will connect SPR with NPR, to ensure
Better connectivity is the dire need of Gurgaon. of units sold to buyers; details of payment
smooth flow of traffic. A Rs 1,000 crore worth
Apart from NPR and SPR, three major roads, collected from home buyers, etc.
Magicbricks Bureau
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
12
propindex.magicbricks.com GURGAON
Properties distribution by capital value (Rs/sq ft) This graphs shows the distribution
of actively traded properties by their
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 capital value. This distribution shows the
expensive nature of real estate in the
Gurgaon market
The entry level budget segments are
equivalent to the mid-level budget
segments in most other cities. Supply in
the city is evenly distributed across its
entry and mid budget segments. Further
it was noted that the dominant budget
segment by supply was not the lowest
budget segment of the city
The largest budget segment with 30%
share is the Rs 7,0008,000 per sq ft. The
two lowest budget segments within
Rs 4,0006,000 per sq ft account for 31%
share of supply in Gurgaon
Unlike other cities, the overall price
movement in the city will be determined
equally by its mid-budget segments as
well as by the lower budget segments
GURGAON propindex.magicbricks.com
13
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
The City Index for Gurgaon reflects the traded properties. The weight
price movement across 73 prominent assigned to each locality is its share of
localities. These localities have been consumer preference. This makes for a
chosen using the twin criterion of comprehensive Index covering localities
share in overall consumer preference with high consumer preference and high
in Gurgaon as well as share of actively number of actively traded properties
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
14
propindex.magicbricks.com GURGAON
Price change Top localities by consumer preference About 70% sectors in this zone saw an
increase in price. Most of the price gain
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 was in the Rs 4,000-5,000 price bracket
Major sectors like sector 37C, 37D, 81 and
92 had price increase from 1% to 4%
South
The southern zone saw marginal price
decline over the last quarter. This was
because apart from the Rs 7,000-8,000
per sq ft budget, all other segment in the
zone saw price decline
The price increment in the Rs 7,000-
8,000 per sq ft segment was because of
3% price rise in high demand locality like
Sohna Road
Lower budget segment in the Rs 4,000-
6,000 per sq ft price bracket had the
highest decline of 1% to 1.2%
Centre
The price level in localities in this
zone was either stagnant or declined
as compared to the last quarter. The
average price decline in the zone was 1%
Important localities/sectors like South
City-2, Malibu Town and Sector 51 fall in
prices in 1%-3% range
The graph shows the trend in prices of weighted average price of RM properties the same period. The price movement
Ready-to-Move-in properties (RM) and was Rs 8,296 per sq ft. The same number in case of both RM and UC properties
Under Construction (UC) properties. for UC properties was Rs 7,502 per sq ft worsened due to decline over the last
Analysis across 73 localities shows that quarter
The average price of both RM and UC
on an average, RM properties were 11%
properties has declined over the last As the graph shows price trend in the
more expensive than UC properties in the
quarter by 1.2% and 0.2%, respectively top 10 localities by consumer preference.
Apr-Jun 2016 quarter
While equal number of localities
In terms of price increase, UC properties
The average difference in prices has had price rise or drop of RM and UC
posted a price decline of 4% over the Sep
declined by 100 basis points from 12% properties, more localities had higher
2013 to Mar 2016 period, while the price
in the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter. While the price increase for RM properties
of RM properties increased by 4% during
[PROPINDEX - NOIDA]
[Key Takeaways]
The City Index saw a 0.35% Overall, the price change varied from Construction (UC) properties in
decrement over the previous quarter low of -1.3% to a maximum of 1.3% the Apr-Jun 2016 period, which is
as more localities saw price decline In geographical terms, the Eastern slightly higher than normal. This
than the last quarter zone, which accounted for 8% of the shows that consumers continue
In the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter, 60% citys supply, had prices moving up to face development risk with UC
localities saw an average price by 0.4% this quarter projects and prefer RM properties
decrease, averaging 4.6% while the Western zone in Noida, consisting of The average difference in the prices
balance 40% saw prices increase by prime residential localities, with an of UC and RM properties remained
3.2% on an average average price of over Rs 6,000 per sq at the same level as in the Jan-Mar
Price movement across budget ft, witnessed prices falling by 1% 2016 quarter. The weighted average
segment was marginal, but one The North zone in Noida, which price of RM properties was Rs 5,351
segments witnessed price decline. accounts for more than 50% of per sq ft and for UC properties it was
Price movement was seen in the consumer preference had stagnant Rs 4,746 per sq ft
Rs 5,000-6,000 per sq ft segment, prices over the quarter The average price of both RM and UC
which saw 1.3% decline in prices. Analysis across 35 localities in Noida properties fell from the last quarter,
The Rs 6,000-7,000 per sq ft was the showed that on an average, Ready with UC prices falling by 0.7% and
only budget segment witnessing a to-Move-in (RM) properties were RM prices falling by 1.1%
price rise, also averaging 1.3% 13% more expensive than Under
W
ith the largest volume of unsold to ready-to-move-in units or those that are space absorption is also healthy helping Noida
inventory stacked in the region, the nearing completion. Increase in land allotment retain the image of an investible destination.
natural course of action did take rates will further put a check on new launches
Will buying a home in Noida become costlier
place. Quoted prices dipped bringing in the because developers are cash-strapped.
in the future will be decided by a survey
time correction factor. Developers seem to have
Those who are unable to complete their undertaken by the Gautam Budh Nagar district
given in to the price resistance to boost sales.
projects within a set time can now surrender administration. It has decided to carry out the
For an end-user this may be a good time with
the land to the authority which can fetch them annual revision of the circle rates.
attractive discounts and deals floating in the
70% of the deposit value. This would help
market like no pre-EMIs, customized payment Noida authority is also going tech and aims
financing the completion after which a fresh
plans, free maintenance up to a year, assured to roll out details of properties, allotment
allotment process can be initiated.
rentals and even assured possession or money letters, transfer of memorandums, occupancy
back schemes. Meanwhile, the focus of buyers is largely the certificates and more online. This will address
affordable segment. Although there is enough consumer concerns a lot more transparently.
With RERA around the corner, builders are also
inventory in this budget, sales velocity is
gearing up to ensure timely delivery rather than On the whole, researchers have noticed that
expected to remain muted for the little longer.
launch new ones. This explains the sharpest at the current pace of sales, it may be difficult
This works well for builders with a good and
decline in the number of new launches in NCR to exhaust the already existing inventory in
clean track record as well as end-users who get
to the tune of 50% in the first half of the year. the Noida market. Both buyers and sellers are
to identify quality amidst the quantity. Office
Moreover, consumers are also shifting focus waiting for respite.
Magicbricks Bureau
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
19
propindex.magicbricks.com NOIDA
The City Index for Noida reflects the assigned to each locality is its share of
price movement across 35 prominent preference in the city. This makes for
localities. These have been chosen using a comprehensive Index which covers
the twin criterion of share in the overall localities with high consumer preference
consumer preference as well as share of as well as high number of actively traded
actively traded properties. The weight properties in the secondary market
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
21
propindex.magicbricks.com NOIDA
Price change Top localities by consumer preference In theRs 6,000- 7,000 per sq ft segment,
price rise of 3.6% was witnessed in this
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 region, while the city price average fell
by 0.35%
Overall, the region accounted for 8%
of the citys residential supply and
witnessed a fall of 0.9% in its prices
South
The South region of Noida forms the
second largest region for residential
supply in the city and witnessed a visible
fall of 1.2% in the average prices
The southern region majorly consists of
supply in the affordable segments of
Rs 3,000-4,000 per sq ft and Rs 4,000-
5,000 per sq ft, where prices fell by 3.1%
and 2%, respectively
Centre
Properties in the Central region start at
Rs 4,000 per sq ft and go upwards of
Rs 11,000 per sq ft. This region formed
6% of the citys supply and witnessed a
fall of 0.9% in its prices on an average
The graph shows the trend in the prices average price of RM properties was Rs 13%. The reducing prices is attracting
of Ready-to-Move-in properties (RM) 5,351 per sq ft, the same number for UC home buyers to the city, thereby, further
and Under Construction (UC) properties. properties was Rs 4,935 per sq ft increasing sales
Analysis across 35 localities shows that
on an average, RM properties were 13% The average price of RM properties fell by The graph below shows, price trend
more expensive than UC properties in the 1.1%, while that of UC properties fell by in the top 10 localities in Noida by
Apr-Jun 2016 quarter 0.7% in the last quarter consumer preference. It shows that while
equal number of localities had price
The average difference in prices of UC In terms of price change, UC properties decline for both RM and UC properties,
and RM properties remained stagnant posted a price decrement of 2% over the the price decline in the case of UC
over the quarter. While the weighted Sep 2013 to Jun 2016 period, while the properties was generally higher
price of RM properties saw a decline of
F
acilitating ease to the residents of Greater development and implementation of the online The UP cabinet has approved an increase in
Noida seems to be the motto behind map submission; automated building plan FAR by 0.5 to pave the way for extra realty
the Greater Noida Authority. Against a scrutiny and approval system online. Apart space along the Metro corridors in Greater
backdrop where realty assets (plots/flats) could from providing an accountable, responsive Noida. The new FAR will be applicable within
only be mortgaged to apply for home loans, the and transparent one-stop shop, the GNIDA is a 1,000 metre radius of the Metro corridors.
Greater Noida Industrial Development Authority facilitating details of group housing projects on Greater Noidas existing rule to buy FAR will be
(GNIDA) is in the process of granting permission its website. applicable while buying land. This will increase
for application of educational, medical or any residential supply and population density along
Keeping its residents safe is another aim
other purpose loan including setting up an the Metro corridors.
assumed by the city authority. In the wake
industry. This loan will be available only to
of several earthquakes last year, safety The Ghaziabad Development Authority
those property owners who have completed
certifications will soon become mandatory has allocated Rs 1,500 crore for various
all allotment formalities and executed their
for developers. High-rises will especially have infrastructure projects. Infrastructure is the
lease deeds. Currently, the proposal has been
to comply. So far, seeking a structural safety trigger to realty development.
submitted to the state government.
clearance before starting construction and after
Easy knowledge, easy loans, safety rubrics,
In similar instances of easing process for completion was needed to get Completion
new residential supply, new infrastructure all
residents, the GNIDA launched building Certificates from GNIDA. Now, safety clearances
factors tied together separates GNIDA from
plans, investment and allottee portals which will have to be taken for every floor.
other authorities.
allows the common man to access the design,
Magicbricks Bureau
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
26
propindex.magicbricks.com GREATER NOIDA
CITY INDEX The City Index saw a 1.2% rise over the
last quarter. The Apr-Jun 2016 quarter
Jul-Sep 2013 to Apr-Jun 2016
had localities with price gain and drop.
At least 47% localities saw an average
rise of 4.3%, pushing up the Jan-Mar
2016 Index. The balance 53% localities
saw a drop by 2.1%, pushing down the
Jan-Mar 2016 Index by 0.9% leading to
net rise of 1.2%
The City Index for Greater Noida reflects traded properties. The weight assigned
the price movement across 18 prominent to each locality is its share of consumer
localities. These localities have been preference. This makes for a broad
chosen using the twin criterion of Index which covers localities with high
share in overall consumer preference consumer preference and high number of
in Greater Noida and share of actively actively traded properties
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
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propindex.magicbricks.com GREATER NOIDA
Price change-Top localities by consumer preference While the market saw a negligible
increment in this budget range in the
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 Greater Noida area, the price level in
the zone remained same as in the last
quarter
South
Price trend across majority of the budget
segments in this zone was positive as
compared to other segments. Only two
budget segments out of six in the zone
had marginal price decline
High demand localities in the corridor
like Yamuna Expressway and Pari Chowk
witnessed price increase of 3.9% and
5%, respectively. Yamuna Expressway
prices fall in the range of Rs 3,250-3,500
per sq ft and Pari Chowk represents
the premium locality in Greater Noida.
Prices in the Pari Chowk fall in the range
beyond Rs 5,000 per sq ft segment
Centre
In the Central zone, the price trend
is opposite of city level average. The
localities witnessed price decline in the
zone against price increment at the city
level
The graph shows the trend in the prices While the weighted average price of RM period, while the price of RM properties
of Ready-to-Move-in properties (RM) properties was Rs 3,827 per sq ft, the remained stagnant in the same period.
and Under Construction (UC) properties. same number for UC properties was Price movement in case of UC properties
Analysis across 18 localities in Greater Rs 3,222 per sq ft improved due to increment over the last
Noida shows that on an average, RM quarter
The average price of RM properties has
properties were 19% expensive than the
declined marginally while that of UC The graph below shows price trend in
UC properties in this quarter
properties increased by 2.1% the top 10 localities of Greater Noida
The average difference in prices has by preference. It shows that localities
In terms of price movement, UC
decreased by 300 basis points as with high demand saw price gain in UC
properties posted a price decline of
compared to the Jan-Mar 2016 quarter properties
2.4% over the Sep 2013 to Jun 2016
[PROPINDEX - GHAZIABAD]
[Key Takeaways]
The City Index saw a 2% decrement The dominant budget segments, in witnessed a significant price decline
over the previous quarter even as the range of Rs 4,000-5,000 per sq of 3.2% in the city. The Central zone
more localities saw price decline ft witnessed a 0.8% decline. Only consists of properties in the entry
than increment as compared to the the Rs 6,000-7,000 per sq ft price level (<Rs 3,000 per sq ft) segment.
last quarter segment had a marginal increment Besides this, the eastern region, was
In the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter, 63% of 0.6% the only region witnessing price
localities witnessed a price decline, In geographical terms, the Western increment, average 0.7% in the City
averaging 2.7%, while the balance zone, consisting of all premium Index findings
37% localities witnessed price localities bordering Delhi, witnessed Analysis across 46 localities of
increment by 2.4% on an average a decline in prices by 2.1%. This Ghaziabad city showed that on
Similar to the previous quarter, zone also accounts for over 70% of an average, Ready-to-Move-in
the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter has consumer preference and 71% of properties were 4% more expensive
been dismal for the realty sector supply in the secondary market than Under Construction properties
in the city. Of the five major The South zone of the city, centred during the Apr-Jun 2016 quarter
budget segments, price level in on Crossings Republik, witnessed The average price of Ready-to-Move-
four witnessed a decline. Only one a price decline of 0.7%. The north in and Under Construction properties
segment saw marginal price rise in zone, with low-cost housing options declined by 2.3% and 0.8% over the
the city centred around Raj Nagar Extension, last quarter, respectively
W
ith micro markets Krishna Vihar, These include Mohiddinpur Kinaoni, Morti, control rampant encroachment across the city
NH-24 and Raj Nagar Extension being Bhovapur, Ator Nangla and Mohan Pur. This and penalise those indulging in temporary and
active, Ghaziabad has been in news should help investors with a long term horizon permanent encroachments.
for the new launches and positive sentiments to consider these areas.
The Ghaziabad Municipal Corporation has
quite unlike Noida. Plotted developments and
Meanwhile, Ghaziabad proposes to register cars also proposed to hike the annual rental value
multi-storey units have sprung up owing to
only if owners have parking space. The regional (ARV) of properties by 5% this financial year,
strategic infrastructure announcements. The
transport department has prepared a proposal which will also lead to an increase of house
proposal to extend the metro line, the elevated
aimed at checking parking of private vehicles tax. Further, the corporation has also proposed
road from NH-24 in Ghaziabad to Raj Nagar
along roads and in public places. rebate on house tax in four slabs, up to
Extension, a proposal for RRTS from Anand
January 31, 2017.
Vihar in Delhi to Meerut, all these are mean Under the proposal, during registration of
good for realty in general. private cars, owners will have to submit an While realty is looking up, Ghaziabad needs to
affidavit and a map indicating that they have address livability issues. Street lights in dark
Overall, with least unsold inventory in the
a place to park the vehicle. Good move! This spots, safety issues and quality of construction
market, Ghaziabad bags the title of best
would keep a check on wayside parking and are some of the aspects. This will help build the
performing micro market of the NCR. With
encroachment. city in a way that it invites more takers and not
the kind of demand witnessed for affordable
just because of affordability.
properties, the Ghaziabad Municipal Control of permanent & temporary
Corporation considered an expansion of limits. encroachment bylaws, 2016, the policy aims to
Magicbricks Bureau
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
33
propindex.magicbricks.com GHAZIABAD
The City Index for Ghaziabad reflects the to each locality is its share of consumer
price movement across 46 prominent preference in the city. This makes for
localities. These localities have been a comprehensive Index which covers
chosen using the twin criterion of localities with high consumer preference
share in overall consumer preference in as well as high number of actively traded
Ghaziabad as well as share of actively properties in the secondary market
traded properties. The weight assigned
VOL6, ISSUE 1; APR-JUN, FY 2016-17
35
propindex.magicbricks.com GHAZIABAD
Price change-Top localities by consumer preference The city average price change in the
Rs 4,000-5,000 per sq ft and Rs 6,000-
Jan-Mar 2016 to Apr-Jun 2016 7,000 per sq ft segments was decided by
price change (0.8% and 0.5% decline,
respectively) in these budgets in the
West zone
In the Rs 3,000-4,000 per sq ft price
segment, the locality average witnessed
a significant 2.9% decrement as against
city average decline of 2%
South
Localities in the South zone form the
second most preferred destination in
Ghaziabad after the western zone, with
bulk of the supply in the range of below
Rs 3,000 per sq ft to Rs 3,000-4,000 per
sq ft price range
Crossings Republik with its news
construction is the most preferred
locality in this zone, at the city level
The South region of the city forms 14%
of the citys supply, it witnessed a 0.7%
price decrement in the city over the
Jan-Mar 2016 quarter
The graph shows the trend in the prices price of ready-to-move-in properties Sep 2013 to June 2016 period, while the
of Ready-to-Move-in properties (RM) properties was Rs 4,334 per sq ft, the price of RM properties declined by 8%
and Under Construction (UC) properties. same number for Under Construction in the same period. The price movement
Analysis across 46 localities in Ghaziabad properties was Rs 4,187 per sq.ft in in case of RM and UC property, has
shows that on an average, RM properties worsened due to price decline in last
were 4% more expensive than UC The average price of RM and UC quarter
properties in the Apr-Jun 2016 period properties has declined by 2.3% and
0.8%, respectively over last quarter, in The graph below shows price trends
The average difference in prices has the city in top 10 localities in Ghaziabad by
decreased by 100 basis point this quarter, consumer preference. It shows that more
after increasing by 400 basis points in the In terms of price increase, UC properties localities have seen price increment in
last quarter. While the weighted average posted a price decline of 7% over the case of UC properties
l You may also share your opinion with #PropIndex on Harsha Khattar
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D I S C L A I M E R
Every effort has been made to make this Index as complete and as accurate as possible. MagicBricks accepts no responsibility for inaccuracies in the
information/data contained in this book. It shall have neither liability nor responsibility to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage
caused, or alleged to have been caused, directly or indirectly, by the information contained in this book. The information/data in this book is subject
to change from time to time due to market condition.