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You are on page 1of 7

- Term 1 Assignment -

Ms. Han

shan@daltonschool.kr

HS Room 214

INTEREST PACKET

Students will consider relationships between two quantitative variables, such as the amount of time between eruptions

of Old Faithful and the duration of the previous eruption. As the Old Faithful example illustrates, knowing the

distribution of interval times isnt very helpful if you are trying to predict when the next eruption will occur. Instead,

we look for relationships among variables to help explain patterns and to make predictions. Students will use a

scatterplot to display the relationship between two variables, correlation to measure the strength and direction of a

linear association, and a least-squares regression line to model a linear relationship.

Topic Overview

Scatterplots and Correlation

Least-Squares Regression

Sampling and Surveys

Experiments,

Using Studies Wisely

Essential Questions

Chapter 3: How can we describe the relationship between two quantitative variables?

Chapter 4: How can we design studies: sampling and surveying, performing experiments and how to use

studies wisely?

Reference Materials

The Practice of Statistics (5th edition), by Starnes, Tabor, Yates, and Moore, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2014

Skills List

12. ED. Exploring Data: Describing patterns and departures from patterns

Exploratory analysis of data makes use of graphical and numerical techniques to study patterns and departures from

patterns. Emphasis should be placed on interpreting information from graphical and numerical displays and

summaries.

12.ED.14. Analyzing patterns in scatterplots

12.ED.15. Correlation and linearity

12.ED.16. Least-squares regression line

12.ED.17. Residual plots, outliers and influential points

12.ED.18. Transformations to achieve linearity: logarithmic and power transformations

Exploring categorical data

12.ED.19. Frequency tables and bar charts

12.ED.20. Marginal and joint frequencies for two-way tables

12.ED.21. Conditional relative frequencies and association

12.ED.22. Comparing distributions using bar charts

Data must be collected according to a well-developed plan if valid information on a conjecture is to be obtained. This

plan includes clarifying the question and deciding upon a method of data collection and analysis.

12.SE.1. Census

12.SE.2. Sample survey

12.SE.3. Experiment

12.SE.4. Observational study

12.SE.5. Characteristics of a well-designed and well-conducted survey

12.SE.6. Populations, samples and random selection

12.SE.7. Sources of bias in sampling and surveys

12.SE.8. Sampling methods, including simple random sampling, stratified random sampling and cluster

sampling

Planning and conducting experiments

12.SE.9. Characteristics of a well-designed and well-conducted experiment

12.SE.10. Treatments, control groups, experimental units, random assignments and replication

12.SE.11. Sources of bias and confounding, including placebo effect and blinding

12.SE.12. Completely randomized design

12.SE.13. Randomized block design, including matched pairs design

Generalizability

12.SE.14. Generalizing the results and types of conclusions that can be drawn from observational studies,

experiments and surveys

LESSON OVERVIEW

Learning Objectives

Day Topics Homework

Students will be able to

1 Chapter 1 Quiz

the AP exam preparation.

3 Chapter 2 Review

4 Chapter 2 Quiz

Chapter 3 Introduction

Missing Cookies situations where one variable helps to explain or

influences the other.

5 3.1 Explanatory and Make a scatterplot to display the relationship 1, 5, 7, 11, 13

response variables, between two quantitative variables.

Describe the direction, form, and strength of a

displaying relationships:

relationship displayed in a scatterplot and

scatterplots, describing recognize outliers in a scatterplot.

scatterplots

association: correlation, Understand the basic properties of correlation,

facts about correlation including how the correlation is influenced by

6 1418, 21

outliers.

Activity: Correlation and Use technology to calculate correlation.

Regression Applet Explain why association does not imply

causation.

3.2 Least-squares Interpret the slope and y intercept of a least-

squares regression line.

regression, interpreting a 2732, 35, 37, 39,

Use the least-squares regression line to predict y

regression line, prediction, for a given x. Explain the dangers of 41, 45

residuals extrapolation.

Calculate and interpret residuals.

3.2 Calculating the

7 equation of the least-

squares regression line,

Explain the concept of least squares.

determining whether a

Determine the equation of a least-squares

linear model is 43, 47, 49, 51

regression line using technology.

appropriate: residual plots Construct and interpret residual plots to assess if

a linear model is appropriate.

Activity: Investigating

Properties of the LSRL

3.2 How well the line fits Interpret the standard deviation of the residuals

the data: the role of s and and r 2 and use these values to assess how well 48, 50, 55, 58

r2 in regression the least-squares regression line models the

relationship between two variables.

3.2 Interpreting computer Determine the equation of a least-squares

8

regression line using computer output.

regression output,

Describe how the slope, y intercept, standard 59, 61, 63, 65, 69,

regression to the mean,

deviation of the residuals, and r 2 are 7178; FRAPPY

correlation and regression

influenced by outliers.

wisdom Find the slope and y intercept of the least-

squares regression line from the means and

standard deviations of x and y and their

correlation.

9 Chapter 3 Review

10 Chapter 3 Quiz

of a Sample Survey, How Identify the population and sample in a statistical

study.

to Sample Badly, How to

Identify voluntary response samples and

11 Sample Well: Simple convenience samples. Explain how these 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11

Random Sampling sampling methods can lead to bias.

Describe how to obtain a random sample using

Activity: Who Wrote the slips of paper, technology, or a table of random

Federalist Papers? digits.

Sampling Methods Distinguish a simple random sample from a 13, 17, 19, 21, 23,

stratified random sample or cluster sample. Give

Activity: Sampling the advantages and disadvantages of each 25

Sunflowers sampling method.

12

4.1 Inference for

Sampling, Sample Explain how undercoverage, nonresponse,

27, 29, 31, 33, 35

Surveys: What Can Go question wording, and other aspects of a sample

Wrong? survey can lead to bias.

an experiment. 3742, 45, 47, 49,

versus Experiment, The

Explain the concept of confounding and how it 51, 53, 55

Language of Experiments limits the ability to make cause-and-effect

conclusions.

Identify the experimental units, explanatory and

13 4.2 How to Experiment response variables, and treatments.

Badly, How to Explain the purpose of comparison, random

assignment, control, and replication in an

Experiment Well, 57, 59, 61, 63, 65

experiment.

Completely Randomized Describe a completely randomized design for an

Designs experiment, including how to randomly assign

treatments using slips of paper, technology, or a

table of random digits.

4.2 Experiments: What Describe the placebo effect and the purpose of 67, 69, 71, 73

14 Can Go Wrong? Inference blinding in an experiment.

for Experiments Interpret the meaning of statistically significant

in the context of an experiment.

Explain the purpose of blocking in an

15 4.2 Blocking experiment. 75, 77, 79, 81, 85

Describe a randomized block design or a

matched pairs design for an experiment.

4.3 Scope of Inference,

83, 8794, 97

16 The Challenges of Describe the scope of inference that is

appropriate in a statistical study. 104; FRAPPY

Establishing Causation

17 Chapter 4 Review

18 Chapter 4 Quiz

20 Term Test

23 Project Presentation

*The schedule above is tentative. Please check the classroom board and Google classroom for the updates.

Expansion Pack: Please speak to Ms. Han if you are interested in additional exercises.

ASSESSMENT

Grading Breakdown

Term Tests (cumulative) 30%

Homework and Homework Quizzes 20%

Response Bias Project 10%

Group Work and In-Class Participation 10%

Grading Rubric

Chapter Quizzes: The purpose of chapter tests is to keep all students on top of their learning throughout the term,

and also to provide guideline to study for the term test as well as AP exam. Work needs to be shown for each

problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit. We

will follow AP exam grading rubric.

Term Tests: At the end of each term, there will be a cumulative term test. Work needs to be shown for each

problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit. We

will follow AP exam grading rubric.

Homework and Homework Quizzes: Students will be assigned homework every class and they are to have

completed it by the following class unless specific instructions are given. Students should take an average one

hour to complete their homework. Homework will be mostly graded by completion-based. Complete work earned

full point, incomplete work earns half point, and no or little work earns zero point. Late homework will be not

accepted. Students who are absent on the due date of an assignment, they must turn their homework in on the next

following class day to be accepted for credit. Homework must be done independently in which no show of work

will be considered incorrect. In addition, there will be Homework Quizzes on one of the previous night

homework.

Group Work and In-Class Participation: A typical class will be combination of whole class instruction led by

the teacher and group work led by students. Students are expected to pay undivided attention to teacher during

whole class instruction, and active involvement with group mates during group work time. Failure to meet these

expectations will result penalty in participation points.

Important Dates

Chapter 1 Quiz on Wednesday, August 16th

Chapter 2 Quiz on Wednesday, August 23rd

Chapter 3 Quiz on Wednesday, September 6th

Chapter 4 Quiz on Monday, September 26th

Term 1 Test on Friday, September 29th

PROGRESS MONITOR

Use below table to keep track of your progress throughout the school year.

Accomplishment Table

Assessment Title Weight Due Date Points Earned

/ Points Possible

Chapter Quizzes 30%

Homework and Homework

20%

Quizzes

Response Bias Project 10%

Group Work and In-Class

10%

Participation

Overall

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