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Background: Disinvesting in low-value health care services provides not others. Thirty-seven low-value services were evaluated across the
opportunities for investment in higher value care and thus an 18 empirical analyses, for 14 (38%) of which the disinvestment
increase in health care efciency. Objectives: To identify interna- initiative led to a decline in use. Six of the seven studies that reported
tional experience with disinvestment initiatives and to review empir- the disinvestment initiative to be successful included an attempt to
ical analyses of disinvestment initiatives. Methods: We performed a promote the disinvestment initiative among participating clinicians.
literature search using the PubMed database to identify international Conclusions: The success of disinvestment initiatives has been
experience with disinvestment initiatives. We also reviewed empirical mixed, with fewer than half the identied empirical studies reporting
analyses of disinvestment initiatives. Results: We identied 26 that use of the low-value service was reduced. Our ndings suggest
unique disinvestment initiatives implemented across 11 countries. that promotion of the disinvestment initiative among clinicians is a
Nineteen addressed multiple intervention types, six addressed only key component to the success of the disinvestment initiative.
drugs, and one addressed only devices. We reviewed 18 empirical Keywords: disinvestment, health care efciency, low-value care,
analyses of disinvestment initiatives: 7 reported that the initiative resource allocation.
was successful, 8 reported that the initiative was unsuccessful, and 3
reported that ndings were mixed; that is, the study considered Copyright & 2017, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and
multiple services and reported a decrease in the use of some but Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc.
* Address correspondence to: James D. Chambers, Center for the Evaluation of Value and Risk in Health, Tufts Medical Center, 800
Washington Street No. 063, Boston, MA 02127.
E-mail: jchambers@tuftsmedicalcenter.org.
1098-3015$36.00 see front matter Copyright & 2017, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR).
Published by Elsevier Inc.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2017.03.015
910 VALUE IN HEALTH 20 (2017) 909918
Five of the nine empirical studies that evaluated Choosing reporting the success of the initiatives to be mixed had a median
Wisely recommendations reported the disinvestment initiative to follow-up of 11 months (range 615 months).
be successful, two reported the initiative to be unsuccessful, and Four of the 18 reviewed studies included a phase-in period, of
two reported the success of the initiative to be mixed. Nineteen which 3 (75%) reported that the initiative was successful. Of the
interventions were examined in the nine empirical studies that 14 studies without a phase-in period, 4 (29%) reported the
evaluated Choosing Wisely recommendations, for nine (47%) of initiative to be successful, 7 (50%) reported the initiative to be
which the disinvestment initiative led to a decline in use. unsuccessful, and 3 (21%) reported mixed success.
Two of the eight empirical studies that evaluated disinvest- Two of the 18 reviewed studies included control groups, of
ment initiatives promulgated by NICE reported the disinvestment which 1 reported the initiative to be successful. Of the 16 studies
initiative to be successful, ve reported the initiative to be without a control group, 6 reported the initiative to be successful,
unsuccessful, and one reported the success of the initiative to 8 reported the initiative to be unsuccessful, and 2 reported the
be mixed. Seventeen interventions were examined in the nine success of the initiative to be mixed.
empirical studies that evaluated initiatives promulgated by NICE, Seven of the 18 reviewed studies included a formal attempt to
for ve (47%) of which the disinvestment initiative led to a promote the disinvestment initiative, of which 6 reported the
decline in use. initiative to be successful and 1 reported that the initiative was a
The study that evaluated the USPSTF grade D recommenda- mixed success. One of the 11 studies without a formal attempt to
tion reported that it did not reduce the use of the low-value promote the disinvestment initiative reported the initiative to be
service (routine mammography screening in women younger successful, 8 reported the initiative to be unsuccessful, and 2
than 50 years). reported mixed success.
Study Characteristics
Discussion
Seventeen studies reported the follow-up period postimplemen-
tation of the disinvestment initiative: the median period was 12 We identied widespread experimentation of disinvestment ini-
months (range 172 months). Studies reporting initiatives to be tiatives, with 26 initiatives implemented in 11 countries. More than
successful had a median follow-up of 6 months (range 112 one-third of these initiatives were established in the last 5 years,
months), studies reporting initiatives to be unsuccessful had a suggesting a growing recognition of the need to reduce the use of
median follow-up of 24 months (range 372 months), and studies unnecessary, ineffective, inefcient, or possibly harmful care [4].
912
Table 2 Empirical studies evaluating disinvestment initiatives.
Author Country Low-value Control Data source(s) Sample size Time period Phase-in Promotion of the Details of the Success
intervention(s) period disinvestment outcome of the
(date of guidance/ initiative disinvestment
recommendation) initiative
Choosing Wisely
Corson United Common None Electronic 13,583 patients Pre-initiative: 1 mo Multifaceted QI Total no. of common Yes
et al., 2015 States laboratory medical Baseline 7,824 10 mo initiative, including: laboratory tests
[24] tests: CBC, basic record Intervention 5,759 Wash-in: 1 mo Monthly email ordered per patient-
metabolic panels, Postinitiative: 7 mo Monthly reporting day, 2.06 vs. 1.76
nutrition panel, of provider behavior (P o 0.01)
comprehensive CBC labs (P o 0.01)
metabolic panel Basic metabolic
(February 2013) panel (P o 0.01)
Nutritional panel
(P 0.01)
Comprehensive
metabolic panel
(P o 0.01)
Baseline: 9 y* Extended fraction
NICE initiatives
Chamberlain United 1. Endometrial None National hospital 1. 137,028 Preguidance: 6 y None None 1. endometrial No
et al., 2013 Kingdom biopsies in the episode statistics admissions Postguidance: biopsies
[32] luteal phase to for female 6y (APC 6.0% [95% CI 3.6%
investigate female infertility to 8.4%] up to 2003; APC
infertility (February 2. 9,399 1.5% [95% CI 4.3%
2004) consultant to 7.7%] up to 2007;
2. Varicocele operations episodes for and APC 12.8% [95% CI
to treat infertility in male infertility 1.0% to 26.0%] up to
men (February 2004) 2010)
2. No change in
varicocele procedures
(APC 0.5% [95% CI
913
2.3% to 1.3%])
continued on next page
914
Table 2 continued
Author Country Low-value Control Data source(s) Sample size Time period Phase-in Promotion of the Details of the Success
intervention(s) period disinvestment outcome of the
(date of guidance/ initiative disinvestment
recommendation) initiative
USPSTF
Dehkordy United Routine None Population-level Not reported Comparison 12 mo None None rate of screening No
et al., 2015 States mammography data from the (population-level before USPSTF initiation at age
[38] screening in Behavioral Risk data used) recommendation 40 y (P 0.012)
women o50 y Factor
(November 2009) Surveillance
System (self-
report data)
APC, annual percentage change; CBC, complete blood cell count; CI, condence interval; CT, computed tomography; CPOx, continuous pulse oximetry; DXA, dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry;
ECG, electrocardiogram; ECT, electroconvulsive therapy; ED, emergency department; HPV, human papilloma virus; NICE, National Institute of Health and Care Excellence; NSAID, nonsteroidal
anti-inammatory drug; QI, quality improvement; SXR, skull x-ray; USPSTF, US Preventive Services Task Force.
*
There were three time periods in this study: 5 y of baseline data were collected for an initial clinical pathway; 4 y of additional baseline data were collected for a modied clinical pathway that
included peer review; and postinitiative follow-up data were collected 1 y after the pathway was modied to reect the Choosing Wisely guideline.
Time period of study was reported in yearly quarters. Pre-initiative data were collected for nine quarters (assumed to be 27 mo) and postinitiative data were collected for ve quarters (assumed
to be 15 mo).
Study compared physicians who had received an intervention to encourage adherence to the guideline to a control group of physicians (those who did not receive the intervention).
P values were reported for other results including for the change in the number of at least one imaging test for distant metastatic disease (% of total) from 83% prerecommendation and 86%
postrecommendation (P 0.70).
915
916 VALUE IN HEALTH 20 (2017) 909918
Nevertheless, despite these efforts, we found few empirical anal- asserted that single-payer health care systems such as the
yses of disinvestment initiatives. Reasons for this are unclear. National Health Service in the United Kingdom may be best
Possibly, insufcient time has passed for researchers to have positioned to implement disinvestment initiatives [17]. Our nd-
performed and published empirical analyses. It may also be that ings do not support this assertion. Only two of the eight
the agencies that implemented the initiatives have not published disinvestment studies that evaluated NICE initiatives in the
the evaluations they have performed. United Kingdom were reported to be successful. In contrast, four
The empirical studies we reviewed reported that the studied of the eight studies that evaluated disinvestment initiatives in
disinvestment initiatives had varied success in reducing the use the United States were reported to be successful, despite the
of the low-value service(s). Fewer than half of the studies (39%) countrys fragmented health care system [18]. Nevertheless, the
reported that the disinvestment initiative was successful and the small number of studies in our review prevents rm conclusions
remaining reported the initiatives to be either unsuccessful (44%) to be drawn regarding whether single-payer health care systems
or of mixed success (17%). This nding was consistent when we are best positioned to successfully implement disinvestment
considered low-value services individually; of the 37 low-value initiatives.
services studied, the disinvestment initiative reduced the use of
only 14 (38%).
Although our sample size was insufcient to draw rm Study Limitations
conclusions on the necessary components of a successful dis-
Our study has a number of limitations. First, because PubMed
investment initiative or the types of intervention most amenable
was the only database we searched, this study should be
to disinvestment, our study provides an insight into why some
considered a sampling of the literature rather than a systematic
disinvestment initiatives were successful while others were not.
review. Furthermore, because we relied on studies in English
Primarily, our ndings suggest that the incorporation of
when searching the PubMed database and the gray literature, we
accompanying strategies to promote the disinvestment initia-
may have introduced language bias into the study and thus may
tives among participating practitioners is key to their success. Six
not have comprehensively accounted for all examples of dis-
of the seven studies that promoted the initiative were reported to
investment initiatives. Second, the reviewed empirical studies
be successful. In contrast, only 1 of the 11 studies that did not
varied with respect to study design, which limited our ability to
include promotion was reported to be unsuccessful. The
compare them. For instance, we found that four studies included
approaches to promote initiatives and encourage adherence
a study phase-in period, three of which were successful. In
included clinician education, email reminders, feedback on
comparison, 4 of the 14 studies without a phase-in period were
recent prescribing behavior, and online clinical decision support
successful. Third, only 2 of the 18 studies included a control
tools. Leverenz et al. report a study in which multiple promo-
group. The lack of a control group raises concerns that an
tional activities were used to support a disinvestment initiative
observed change in behavior may be due to environmental
that successfully reduced the use of common laboratory tests in a
inuences or factors other than the disinvestment initiative.
university hospital. The promotional activities included the dis-
Fourth, the included studies were performed over different
tribution of a yer before the start of the initiative, a presentation
durations. Indeed, the authors of one study suggested that a
to participating physicians, a weekly email providing feedback on
longer study duration was required to fully understand the
individual-level prescribing behavior, and a monthly email iden-
initiatives long-term effect [19]. Fifth, the reviewed studies relied
tifying the clinical team that ordered the fewest common
on different data sources, including electronic medical records,
laboratory tests. In a second study that included multiple promo-
physician surveys, chart reviews, and claims data. Sixth, we
tional activities, Schondelmeyer et al. [39] reported a disinvest-
excluded disinvestment strategies implemented locally. Seventh,
ment initiative that successfully reduced the use of continuous
although we examined whether the disinvestment initiative
pulse oximetry for hospitalized children with respiratory illness.
resulted in a reduction in the use of the low-value intervention,
The promotional activities included staff education at initiative
we did not judge whether the magnitude of the reduction was
outset, communication between clinical team members through
meaningful. Last, because most of the empirical studies eval-
a nursing hand-off tool, feedback on the use of continuous pulse
uated either NICE or Choosing Wisely Campaign initiatives, the
oximetry at biweekly and monthly meetings, and weekly email
generalizability of our ndings regarding the success of disinvest-
updates to compare the performance of participating clinical
ment initiatives may be limited.
teams. Although our study does not indicate a specic best
practice, it does suggest that promotional efforts that comple-
ment disinvestment initiatives are essential.
Four low-value services were evaluated by two separate Challenges Associated with Disinvestment Strategies
empirical studies and provide further indication of the inuence Our ndings are consistent with a number of well-documented
of promotion. For two of these low-value servicesbone densi- reported challenges of disinvestment initiatives [8,20]. For
tometry screening for osteoporosis in women younger than 65 instance, researchers suggest that cultural and attitudinal bar-
years and antibiotics for treatment of acute sinusitisone of the riers are important hurdles, and that gaining physician accept-
empirical studies included promotion of the disinvestment ini- ance is integral to an initiatives success [7,2123]. Two studies
tiative to participating clinicians, whereas the other did not; in supported this assertion by attributing the success of the initia-
both instances, the study that included promotion was successful tive in part to a clinical setting with a receptive culture, and one
and the one without promotion was not. Both studies that study attributed success in part to gaining physician acceptance
evaluated initiatives to decrease the number of common labo- [24,39,40]. Researchers also point to the importance of adequate
ratory tests ordered included some promotion of the disinvest- resources to support disinvestment initiatives [1,41]. Our ndings
ment initiative and reported the initiative to be successful. Both strongly support this assertion.
studies that evaluated initiatives to decrease extractions of We were unable to assess other reported challenges including
pathology-free molars did not include promotion of the disin- consumer resistance and problems identifying low-value services
vestment initiative and reported the initiative to be unsuccessful. [4143]. Disinvestment initiatives may be less likely to be suc-
With centralized approaches for assessing the effectiveness cessful for services that are deeply entrenched in care, although
and cost-effectiveness of interventions and the ability to more we were unable to judge such matters from the information
readily implement policies across the health care system, it is available.
VALUE IN HEALTH 20 (2017) 909918 917
Looking Forward Pzer Inc.s approval and the remarks expressed are those of the
authors and do not necessarily reect the views of others.
How best to allocate scarce health care resources in the face of
constrained budgets is a global challenge. Successfully disinvest-
ing in low-value care is necessary to generate the nances
required to pay for emerging innovations. It is estimated that
R EF E R EN C ES
as much as one-third of health care spending is wasteful, and
disinvesting in low-value care offers great potential to generate
much needed health care dollars [44].
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