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Background: Several imaging modalities are available for diag- ences in sensitivity among ultrasonography with contrast, CT,
nosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). and MRI. Specicity was generally 0.85 or higher across imaging
modalities, but this item was not reported in many studies. Fac-
Purpose: To evaluate the test performance of imaging modali- tors associated with lower sensitivity included use of an ex-
ties for HCC. planted liver reference standard, and smaller or more well-
Data Sources: MEDLINE (1998 to December 2014), the Co- differentiated HCC lesions. For MRI, sensitivity was slightly higher
chrane Library Database, Scopus, and reference lists. for hepatic-specic than nonspecic contrast agents.
Study Selection: Studies on test performance of ultrasonogra- Limitations: Only English-language articles were included,
phy, computed tomography (CT), or magnetic resonance imag- there was statistical heterogeneity in pooled analyses, and costs
ing (MRI). were not assessed. Most studies were conducted in Asia and
had methodological limitations.
Data Extraction: One investigator abstracted data, and a sec-
ond investigator conrmed them; 2 investigators independently Conclusion: CT and MRI are associated with higher sensitivity
assessed study quality and strength of evidence. than ultrasonography without contrast for detection of HCC; sen-
sitivity was higher for MRI than CT. For evaluation of focal liver
Data Synthesis: Few studies have evaluated imaging for HCC lesions, the sensitivities of ultrasonography with contrast, CT, and
in surveillance settings. In nonsurveillance settings, sensitivity for MRI for HCC are similar.
detection of HCC lesions was lower for ultrasonography without
Primary Funding Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and
contrast than for CT or MRI (pooled difference based on direct
Quality. (PROSPERO: CRD42014007016)
comparisons, 0.11 to 0.22), and MRI was associated with higher
sensitivity than CT (pooled difference, 0.09 [95% CI, 0.07 to 12]). Ann Intern Med. 2015;162:697-711. doi:10.7326/M14-2509 www.annals.org
For evaluation of focal liver lesions, there were no clear differ- For author afliations, see end of text.
Imaging Modality Unit of Sensitivity (95% CI) Studies, n Specicity (95% CI) Studies, n Positive LR Negative LR
Analysis
Detection of HCC
Surveillance settings
US without contrast Patient 0.78 (0.600.89) 4 0.89 (0.800.94) 3 6.8 (4.211) 0.25 (0.130.46)
CT Patient 0.84 (0.590.95) 2 0.99 (0.860.999) 2 60 (5.9622) 0.16 (0.060.47)
US without contrast Lesion 0.60 (0.240.87) 1 No data
CT Lesion 0.62 (0.460.76) 1 Insufcient data
Nonsurveillance
settings
US without contrast Patient 0.73 (0.460.90) 8 0.93 (0.850.97) 6 11 (5.421) 0.29 (0.130.65)
CT Patient 0.83 (0.760.88) 17 0.91 (0.840.95) 12 9.1 (5.116) 0.19 (0.130.27)
MRI Patient 0.86 (0.790.91) 14 0.89 (0.820.93) 12 7.7 (4.613) 0.16 (0.100.24)
US without contrast Lesion 0.59 (0.420.74) 11 0.83 (0.530.95) 2 3.4 (1.29.4) 0.50 (0.370.66)
US with contrast Lesion 0.75 (0.570.88) 9 0.97 (0.840.999) 1
CT Lesion 0.76 (0.720.80) 80 0.89 (0.840.93) 21 7.1 (4.711) 0.26 (0.220.32)
MRI Lesion 0.83 (0.800.86) 82 0.87 (0.790.93) 20 6.5 (3.811) 0.20 (0.160.24)
Sixty-eight studies evaluated ultrasonography (Ap- veillance settings. Fifty-six studies evaluated imaging
pendix Table 3), 131 evaluated CT (25153), and 125 for identication of HCC in patients with focal liver
evaluated MRI (Appendix Table 3). Almost all studies lesions.
reported sensitivity, but specicity was available in only
139 studies. Detection of HCC
We rated 5 studies as having low risk of bias (56, Surveillance Settings
99, 128, 132, 154), 199 as having moderate risk of bias, Few studies evaluated imaging for HCC in surveil-
and 89 as having high risk of bias (13). One hundred lance settings (strength of evidence, low to insufcient).
twenty-ve studies avoided use of a case control de- Sensitivity of ultrasonography without contrast for HCC
sign, 160 used blinded design, and 75 were prospec- lesions was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.89; 4 studies) and
tive. More studies were conducted in Asia (190 studies) specicity was 0.89 (CI, 0.80 to 0.94; 3 studies), for a
than in Australia, Canada, the United States, or Europe positive likelihood ratio of 6.8 (CI, 4.2 to 11) and a neg-
(95 studies in total for these regions). In 166 studies, ative likelihood ratio of 0.25 (CI, 0.13 to 0.46) (Table 1
imaging began in or after 2003 (13). and Appendix Figure 2, available at www.annals.org).
Twenty-eight studies evaluated CT using methods For CT, 2 studies reported sensitivity of 0.84 (CI, 0.59 to
that met minimum technical specications (8-row mul- 0.95) and specicity of 0.99 (CI, 0.86 to 0.999) (34, 140).
tidetector CT; contrast rate 3 mL/s; at least arterial, No study evaluated ultrasonography with contrast or
portal venous, and delayed-phase imaging; delayed- MRI in surveillance settings.
phase imaging performed >120 s after administration
of contrast; and enhanced imaging section thickness
5 mm), and 67 studies evaluated MRI using methods Nonsurveillance Settings
that met minimum technical specications (1.5- or 3.0-T Most studies on detection of HCC were performed
MRI; at least arterial, portal venous, and delayed-phase in nonsurveillance settings (strength of evidence, low to
imaging; delayed-phase imaging performed >120 s af- moderate). The sensitivity of ultrasonography without
ter administration of contrast; and enhanced imaging contrast for identication of patients with HCC was 0.73
section thickness 5 mm). Seventy-three MRI studies (CI, 0.46 to 0.90; 8 studies), and specicity was 0.93 (CI,
evaluated use of hepatic-specic contrast (for example, 0.85 to 0.97; 6 studies) (Appendix Figure 3, available at
gadoxetic acid or gadobenate). Forty-seven ultra- www.annals.org). For CT, sensitivity was 0.83 (CI, 0.75
sonography studies evaluated use of microbubble con- to 0.89; 17 studies) and specicity was 0.91 (CI, 0.86 to
trast agents. 0.96; 11 studies) (Figure 1).
Six studies (34, 47, 134, 140, 155, 156) of imaging For MRI, sensitivity was 0.86 (CI, 0.79 to 0.91; 14
for detection of HCC were conducted in surveillance studies) and specicity was 0.89 (CI 0.83 to 0.93; 12
settings, and 191 studies were conducted in nonsur- studies) (Figure 2).
www.annals.org Annals of Internal Medicine Vol. 162 No. 10 19 May 2015 699
Figure 1. Test performance of computed tomography for detection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in
nonsurveillance settings.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Trojan et al, 1999 (138) 0.93 (0.661.00) Trojan et al, 1999 (138)
Khan et al, 2000 (72) 0.90 (0.680.99) Khan et al, 2000 (72)
Lim et al, 2000 (94) 0.80 (0.520.96) Lim et al, 2000 (94) 0.96 (0.801.00)
Peterson et al, 2000 (120) 0.59 (0.430.74) Peterson et al, 2000 (120)
Mortel et al, 2001 (108) 0.82 (0.570.96) Mortel et al, 2001 (108) 1.00 (0.901.00)
Nakayama et al, 2001 (114) Nakayama et al, 2001 (114) 0.93 (0.840.98)
Libbrecht et al, 2002 (92) 0.50 (0.010.99) Libbrecht et al, 2002 (92) 0.77 (0.490.95)
de Ldinghen et al, 2002 (38) 0.81 (0.580.95) de Ldinghen et al, 2002 (38) 0.85 (0.550.98)
Burrel et al, 2003 (32) 1.00 (0.871.00) Burrel et al, 2003 (32) 0.95 (0.761.00)
Freeny et al, 2003 (46) 0.65 (0.430.84) Freeny et al, 2003 (46) 0.93 (0.760.99)
Teefey et al, 2003 (136) 0.63 (0.240.91) Teefey et al, 2003 (136) 0.72 (0.450.92)
Kim et al, 2006 (81) 0.89 (0.750.96) Kim et al, 2006 (81)
Rizvi et al, 2006 (125) 0.65 (0.380.86) Rizvi et al, 2006 (125) 1.00 (0.161.00)
Ronzoni et al, 2007 (127) 0.83 (0.700.93) Ronzoni et al, 2007 (127) 0.77 (0.620.89)
Denecke et al, 2009 (39) 1.00 (0.891.00) Denecke et al, 2009 (39)
Kim et al, 2009 (73) 0.87 (0.760.94) Kim et al, 2009 (73)
Yu et al, 2011 (146) 0.76 (0.680.82) Yu et al, 2011 (146) 0.92 (0.860.96)
Combined 0.83 (0.750.89) Combined 0.91 (0.860.96)
2 = 0.60; P = 0.01 2 = 0.63; P = 0.02
Total: N = 541; TP = 435 Total: N = 511; TN = 473
0.0 1.0 0.2 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Across modalities, positive likelihood ratios ranged weaker for ultrasonography without contrast (positive
from 7.7 to 11 and negative likelihood ratios from 0.16 likelihood ratio, 3.4 [CI, 1.2 to 9.4]; negative likelihood
to 0.29, with overlapping CIs (Table 1). For ultrasonog- ratio, 0.50 [CI, 0.37 to 0.66]) than for CT or MRI (positive
raphy without contrast, restricting the analysis to stud- likelihood ratios, 7.1 and 6.5; negative likelihood ratios,
ies that avoided a case control design decreased sen- 0.26 and 0.20, respectively). (157164)
sitivity (0.54 [CI, 0.38 to 0.70]; 6 studies). For CT,
studies with a contrast rate of 3 mL/s or greater re-
ported a higher sensitivity (0.86 [CI, 0.78 to 0.92]; 9 Direct Comparisons
studies) than studies with a contrast rate less than 3 Within-study comparisons provide more direct evi-
mL/s (0.71 [CI, 0.53 to 0.84]; 4 studies), and studies with dence on comparative test performance (strength of
delayed-phase imaging reported somewhat higher evidence, moderate). Two studies that directly com-
sensitivity (0.89 [CI, 0.81 to 0.94]; 7 studies) than stud- pared ultrasonography with versus without contrast in
ies without delayed-phase imaging (0.79 [CI, 0.68 to nonsurveillance settings found no difference in sensitiv-
0.87]; 8 studies). ity for detection of HCC lesions (difference, 0.04 [CI,
The sensitivity of ultrasonography without contrast 0.11 to 0.04]) (Table 2) (165, 166).
for HCC lesions was 0.59 (CI, 0.42 to 0.74; 11 studies), Sensitivity was lower for ultrasonography without
and specicity was 0.83 (CI, 0.53 to 0.95; 2 studies) contrast than CT or MRI. Compared with CT, the differ-
(Appendix Figure 4, available at www.annals.org). For ence in sensitivity for HCC lesions was 0.11 (CI, 0.17
ultrasonography with contrast, sensitivity was 0.75 (CI, to 0.04; 3 studies); compared with MRI, the difference
0.57 to 0.88; 9 studies); only 1 study reported specic- was 0.22 (CI, 0.31 to 0.14; 3 studies). Findings
ity (Appendix Figure 5, available at www.annals.org). In were similar for identication of patients with HCC.
7 of 9 studies, the ultrasonography contrast agent was Ultrasonography with contrast was also associated
perubutane. For CT, sensitivity was 0.76 (CI, 0.72 to with lower sensitivity than CT (difference, 0.16 [CI,
0.80; 80 studies) and specicity was 0.90 (CI, 0.84 to 0.32 to 0.01]; 3 studies). The difference between
0.93; 21 studies) (Appendix Figure 6, available at www the sensitivity of ultrasonography with contrast and that
.annals.org). For MRI, sensitivity was 0.83 (CI, 0.80 to of MRI was smaller and not statistically signicant
0.86; 82 studies) and specicity was 0.88 (CI, 0.79 to (0.08 [CI, 0.19 to 0.02]; 3 studies).
0.93; 20 studies) (Appendix Figure 7, available at www When HCC lesions were used as the unit of analy-
.annals.org). The likelihood ratios were somewhat sis, MRI was associated with higher sensitivity for HCC
700 Annals of Internal Medicine Vol. 162 No. 10 19 May 2015 www.annals.org
Figure 2. Test performance of magnetic resonance imaging for detection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in
nonsurveillance settings.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Krinsky et al, 2001 (157) 0.55 (0.230.83) Krinsky et al, 2001 (157)
Krinsky et al, 2002 (158) 0.88 (0.680.97) Krinsky et al, 2002 (158)
Libbrecht et al, 2002 (92) 0.70 (0.350.93) Libbrecht et al, 2002 (92) 0.82 (0.570.96)
de Ldinghen et al, 2002 (38) 0.90 (0.700.99) de Ldinghen et al, 2002 (38) 1.00 (0.751.00)
Burrel et al, 2003 (32) 1.00 (0.881.00) Burrel et al, 2003 (32) 0.95 (0.761.00)
Teefey et al, 2003 (136) 0.50 (0.160.84) Teefey et al, 2003 (136) 0.75 (0.480.93)
Lauenstein et al, 2007 (159) 0.89 (0.710.98) Lauenstein et al, 2007 (159) 0.98 (0.921.00)
Seil et al, 2008 (160) 0.86 (0.570.98) Seil et al, 2008 (160) 0.83 (0.590.96)
Yu et al, 2011 (146) 0.85 (0.770.91) Yu et al, 2011 (146) 0.87 (0.790.93)
Park et al, 2012 (161) 0.88 (0.720.97) Park et al, 2012 (161) 0.84 (0.600.97)
Hanna et al, 2014 (162) 0.74 (0.610.85) Hanna et al, 2014 (162) 0.93 (0.770.99)
Hwang et al, 2014 (154) 0.94 (0.840.99) Hwang et al, 2014 (154) 1.00 (0.751.00)
Maiwald et al, 2014 (163) 0.92 (0.750.99) Maiwald et al, 2014 (163) 0.75 (0.530.90)
Yu et al, 2014 (164) 0.87 (0.750.94) Yu et al, 2014 (164) 0.80 (0.610.92)
Combined 0.86 (0.790.91) Combined 0.89 (0.830.93)
2 = 0.43; P = 0.02 2 = 0.54; P = 0.02
Total N = 490.5; TP = 418.5 Total N = 388; TN = 344
0.2 1.0 0.5 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
www.annals.org Annals of Internal Medicine Vol. 162 No. 10 19 May 2015 701
Table 2. Pooled Direct (Within-Study) Comparisons of Test Performance of Imaging for HCC
Imaging Modality Unit of Analysis* Sensitivity A (95% CI) Sensitivity B (95% CI) Difference (95% CI)
Detection of HCC
US with contrast (A) vs. US without contrast (B) Lesion (1), liver 0.79 (0.72 to 0.76) 0.81 (0.76 to 0.86) 0.04 (0.11 to 0.04)
segment (1)
US without contrast (A) vs. CT (B) Patient 0.68 (0.54 to 0.80) 0.80 (0.68 to 0.88) 0.12 (0.20 to 0.03)
US without contrast (A) vs. CT (B) Lesion 0.55 (0.43 to 0.66) 0.66 (0.54 to 0.76) 0.11 (0.18 to 0.04)
US with contrast (A) vs. CT (B) Lesion 0.58 (0.37 to 0.77) 0.74 (0.54 to 0.87) 0.16 (0.32 to 0.01)
US without contrast (A) vs. MRI (B) Patient 0.61 (0.48 to 0.74) 0.81 (0.69 to 0.89) 0.19 (0.30 to 0.08)
US without contrast (A) vs. MRI (B) Lesion 0.57 (0.42 to 0.71) 0.79 (0.67 to 0.88) 0.22 (0.31 to 0.14)
US with contrast (A) vs. MRI (B) Lesion 0.65 (0.41 to 0.84) 0.73 (0.50 to 0.88) 0.08 (0.19 to 0.02)
MRI (A) vs. CT (B) Patient 0.88 (0.64 to 0.97) 0.82 (0.52 to 0.95) 0.06 (0.03 to 0.16)
MRI (A) vs. CT (B) Lesion 0.81 (0.76 to 0.84) 0.71 (0.66 to 0.76) 0.09 (0.07 to 0.12)
HCC lesions <2 cm Lesion 0.72 (0.65 to 0.79) 0.56 (0.47 to 0.63) 0.17 (0.13 to 0.21)
Nonhepatic-specic MRI contrast Lesion 0.61 (0.44 to 0.75) 0.55 (0.38 to 0.70) 0.06 (0.00 to 0.13)
Hepatic-specic contrast Lesion 0.76 (0.69 to 0.82) 0.51 (0.42 to 0.60) 0.25 (0.19 to 0.31)
MRI with gadoxetic acid or gadobenate (A) vs. Lesion 0.83 (0.76 to 0.89) 0.71 (0.61 to 0.79) 0.13 (0.07 to 0.18)
gadopentetate or gadodiadmide (B)
HCC lesions <2 cm Lesion 0.77 (0.68 to 0.84) 0.62 (0.52 to 0.71) 0.15 (0.08 to 0.22)
Diffusion-weighted imaging plus contrast- Lesion (3), 0.86 (0.77 to 0.91) 0.84 (0.78 to 0.89) 0.01 (0.04 to 0.07)
enhanced imaging (A) vs. contrast- patient (1)
enhanced imaging alone (B)
HCC lesions <2 cm Lesion 0.78 (0.67 to 0.86) 0.75 (0.63 to 0.84) 0.04 (0.02 to 0.09)
Table 2Continued
Studies, n Specicity A (95% CI) Specicity B (95% CI) Difference (95% CI) Studies, n
studies found that sensitivity decreased as ChildPugh Across imaging modalities, specicity was gener-
class increased (154, 172, 173). ally 0.85 or higher, but many studies did not report
specicity and pooled estimates were frequently impre-
cise. Most likelihood ratios were in or near the moder-
DISCUSSION
ately useful range (positive likelihood ratio of 5 to 10
The key ndings of this review, including detailed and negative likelihood ratio of 0.1 to 0.2) (174).
strength of evidence grades, are summarized in Ap-
Across imaging modalities, factors associated with
pendix Table 6 (available at www.annals.org). For de-
lower estimates of sensitivity were an explanted liver as
tection of HCC, too few studies were conducted in sur-
the reference standard, HCC lesions (rather than pa-
veillance settings to draw strong conclusions, although
tients with HCC) as the unit of analysis, and smaller or
2 head-to-head studies found that ultrasonography
more well-differentiated HCC lesions. For CT, higher
without contrast had lower sensitivity than CT (34, 140).
In nonsurveillance settings, on the basis of within-study contrast rates and use of delayed-phase imaging were
comparisons, sensitivity for HCC lesions was lower for associated with higher sensitivity in subgroup analyses.
ultrasonography without contrast than for CT or MRI For MRI, within-study comparisons found hepatic-
(difference, 0.11 to 0.22) and sensitivity of MRI was specic contrast agents to be associated with slightly
higher than that of CT (difference, 0.09 [CI 0.07 to 12]). higher sensitivity than non hepatic-specic contrast
There were no differences between ultrasonography agents, particularly for smaller lesions. Other sensitivity
with versus without contrast for detection of HCC in and stratied analyses, including analyses based on
patients not undergoing evaluation of focal liver lesions technical factors, resulted in no clear differences.
(165, 166); this nding is consistent with the short du- Our ndings differ from those of previously pub-
ration that microbubble contrast is present within the lished reviews that found no clear differences in test
liver (12). For evaluation of focal liver lesions, there performance among ultrasonography, CT, and MRI
were no clear differences in sensitivity among ultra- (175178). Some features of our review that might ex-
sonography with contrast, CT, and MRI, except that ul- plain these discrepancies include inclusion of more
trasonography with contrast was associated with lower studies, and performance of separate analyses based
sensitivity than MRI for small HCC lesions. on reason for imaging and unit of analysis. In addition,
www.annals.org Annals of Internal Medicine Vol. 162 No. 10 19 May 2015 703
we found differences in the sensitivity of imaging mo- follow-up testing, may also affect the choice of imaging
dalities for detection of HCC in direct (within-study) modalities and techniques.
comparisons that were not observed in indirect (across- In conclusion, CT and MRI are associated with
study) comparisons. This is consistent with research higher sensitivity than ultrasonography without contrast
showing that results of diagnostic test reviews based on for detection of HCC; sensitivity is higher for MRI than
direct comparisons often differ from those of reviews for CT. For evaluation of focal liver lesions, the sensitiv-
based on indirect comparisons (23). ities of ultrasonography with contrast, CT, and MRI for
Some factors might affect the applicability of our HCC seem to be similar. Across imaging modalities,
ndings. Over one half of the studies were conducted sensitivity was low for small and well-differentiated le-
in Asia, although stratication of studies by country had sions. Research is needed to understand the effects of
no clear effects on estimates. Some studies excluded test performance differences on clinical outcomes.
nonhypervascular HCC lesions, but estimates were sim-
ilar when we excluded such studies. Because imaging From Pacic Northwest Evidence-based Practice Center, Ore-
techniques are evolving, we restricted our review to gon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon; University
of Washington Centers for Comparative and Health Systems
studies published since 1998 and to imaging methods
Effectiveness (CHASE) Alliance, Seattle, Washington; and
that met minimal technical criteria, and performed ad-
Mayo Medical School, Rochester, Minnesota.
ditional sensitivity and subgroup analyses on technical
factors. Almost all studies on detection of HCC were
Disclaimer: The ndings and conclusions in this document are
performed in nonsurveillance settings, most of which
those of the authors, who are responsible for its content, and
evaluated high-prevalence populations.
do not necessarily represent the views of the Agency for
Our review has limitations. Substantial statistical Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). No statement in this
heterogeneity was present in most pooled analysesa report should be construed as an ofcial position of AHRQ or
situation common in meta-analyses of diagnostic accu- of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
racy (179 181). Because of anticipated heterogeneity,
we used a random-effects model to pool studies, Grant Support: By the Agency for Healthcare Research and
performed stratied and subgroup analyses, and per- Quality (contract 290-2007-10057-I, task order 8).
formed separate analyses based on within-study com-
parisons. In addition, we restricted inclusion to English- Acknowledgment: The authors thank Tracy Dana, MLS, for as-
language articles and did not formally assess for sistance with literature search strategy development; Monica
publication bias by using statistical or graphical meth- Daeges, BA, and Sara Grusing, BS, for manuscript and library
ods for small sample effects, because such methods assistance; Leah Williams, BS, for editorial support; and AHRQ
can be misleading for diagnostic studies (182, 183). We Task Order Ofcer Nahed El-Kassar, MD, PhD.
did not identify unpublished studies through searches
on clinical trial registries and regulatory documents, al- Disclosures: Dr. Chou reports grants from AHRQ during the
though the usefulness of such methods for diagnostic conduct of the study. Dr. Cuevas reports grants from AHRQ
studies may be limited. during the conduct of the study and has received grants from
Although test performance can provide useful in- National Institutes of Health (NIH R21: Minimally Invasive Ab-
formation about the accuracy of diagnostic tests (Ap- lative Therapies for Pancreatic Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms)
pendix Table 7, available at www.annals.org), the ef- outside the submitted work. Dr. Fu reports funds from Ore-
fects on clinical outcomes depend on whether they gon Health & Science University during the conduct of the
lead to more optimal use of effective interventions, bal- study. Ms. Graham reports funds from AHRQ during the con-
anced against harms from performing the test or sub- duct of the study. Dr. Zakher reports funds from AHRQ during
the conduct of the study. Authors not named here have dis-
sequent tests and interventions. As described in the full
closed no conicts of interest. Disclosures can also be viewed
report (13), the only study on the effects of surveillance
at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConictOfInterestForms
(with ultrasonography and -fetoprotein) versus no sur- .do?msNum=M14-2509.
veillance on clinical outcomes found a decreased risk
for liver-specic mortality, but it was conducted in
Requests for Single Reprints: Roger Chou, MD, Oregon
China and had methodological shortcomings (184). No Health & Science University, Mail Code BICC, 3181 Southwest
study measured downstream harms related to false- Sam Jackson Park Road, Portland, OR 97239-3098; e-mail,
positive or false-negative test results, anxiety or label- chour@ohsu.edu.
ing due to imaging, or subsequent work-up after imag-
ing. Although the risk for serious imaging-related direct Current author addresses and author contributions are avail-
harms appears to be low (185188), potential harms able at www.annals.org.
include serious cardiopulmonary events with micro-
bubble contrast agents (189 191) and long-term ef-
fects of radiation exposure with CT (192). Factors other
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* Studies of positron emission tomography; effects on clinical decisions, clinical outcomes, or staging; and accuracy for distinguishing hepatocel-
lular carcinoma lesions from another specic type of liver lesion are addressed in the full report (13).
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Chalasani et al, 1999 (16) 0.59 (0.390.78) Chalasani et al, 1999 (16) 0.93 (0.890.96)
Mok et al, 2004 (153) 0.86 (0.640.97) Mok et al, 2004 (153) 0.82 (0.720.89)
Van Thiel et al, 2004 (215) 0.60 (0.360.81) Van Thiel et al, 2004 (215) 0.94 (0.860.98)
Paul et al, 2007 (176) 0.92 (0.810.98) Paul et al, 2007 (176)
Combined 0.78 (0.600.89) Combined 0.89 (0.800.94)
2 = 0.52; P = 0.108 2 = 0.26; P = 0.164
Total N = 120; TP = 94 Total N = 420; TN = 382
0.4 1.0 0.7 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Appendix Figure 3. Test performance of ultrasonography without contrast for detection of patients with hepatocellular
carcinoma in nonsurveillance settings.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Trojan et al, 1999 (212) 1.00 (0.771.00) Trojan et al, 1999 (212)
Gambarin-Gelwan et al, 2000 (39) 0.58 (0.330.80) Gambarin-Gelwan et al, 2000 (39) 0.94 (0.870.98)
Kim et al, 2001 (83) 0.38 (0.150.65) Kim et al, 2001 (83) 0.92 (0.780.98)
Bennett et al, 2002 (11) 0.30 (0.140.50) Bennett et al, 2002 (11) 0.97 (0.930.99)
Libbrecht et al, 2002 (131) 0.40 (0.160.68) Libbrecht et al, 2002 (131) 1.00 (0.891.00)
Teefey et al, 2003 (210) 0.89 (0.521.00) Teefey et al, 2003 (210) 0.73 (0.450.92)
Lim et al, 2006 (134) 0.94 (0.880.98) Lim et al, 2006 (134)
Yu et al, 2011 (230) 0.64 (0.550.72) Yu et al, 2011 (230) 0.96 (0.930.98)
Combined 0.73 (0.460.90) Combined 0.93 (0.850.97)
2 = 2.35; P = 0.024 2 = 0.78; P = 0.123
Total N = 341; TP = 238 Total N = 634; TN = 605
0.1 1.0 0.4 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Immaura et al, 1998 (65) 0.64 (0.570.71) Immaura et al, 1998 (65)
Trojan et al, 1999 (212) 1.00 (0.871.00) Trojan et al, 1999 (212)
Kim et al, 2001 (83) 0.33 (0.130.59) Kim et al, 2001 (83)
Rode et al, 2001 (189) 0.46 (0.190.75) Rode et al, 2001 (189) 0.95 (0.850.99)
Bennett et al, 2002 (11) 0.21 (0.090.36) Bennett et al, 2002 (11)
Liu et al, 2003 (136) 0.27 (0.160.42) Liu et al, 2003 (136)
Lim et al, 2006 (134) 0.64 (0.560.72) Lim et al, 2006 (134)
Yu et al, 2011 (230) 0.46 (0.390.53) Yu et al, 2011 (230)
Kim et al, 2012 (106) 0.75 (0.720.78) Kim et al, 2012 (106)
Kunishi et al, 2012 (116) 0.78 (0.670.86) Kunishi et al, 2012 (116)
Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.72 (0.640.79) Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.63 (0.520.73)
Combined 0.59 (0.420.74) Combined 0.83 (0.530.95)
2 = 1.21; P = 0.005 2 = 3.35; P = 0.075
Total N = 1828; TP = 1221 Total N = 147; TN = 110
0.1 1.0 0.5 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Appendix Figure 5. Sensitivity of ultrasonography with contrast for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma lesions in
nonsurveillance settings.
0 0.5 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI)
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Hori et al, 1996 (57) 0.68 (0.590.76) Hori et al, 1996 (57)
Bartolozzi et al, 2000 (10) 0.80 (0.700.88) Bartolozzi et al, 2000 (10)
Jang et al, 2000 (70) 0.95 (0.870.98) Jang et al, 2000 (70)
Lim et al, 2000 (132) 0.71 (0.480.89) Lim et al, 2000 (132)
Nakamura et al, 2000 (161) 0.62 (0.530.71) Nakamura et al, 2000 (161)
Murakami et al, 2001 (158) 0.86 (0.780.93) Murakami et al, 2001 (158)
Nakayama et al, 2001 (163) 0.87 (0.790.93) Nakayama et al, 2001 (163)
Rode et al, 2001 (189) 0.54 (0.250.81) Rode et al, 2001 (189) 0.93 (0.800.98)
Hori et al, 2002 (58) 0.71 (0.570.83) Hori et al, 2002 (58)
Ichikawa et al, 2002 (63) 0.90 (0.810.95) Ichikawa et al, 2002 (63)
Jeng et al, 2002 (73) 0.89 (0.840.94) Jeng et al, 2002 (73)
Kawata et al, 2002 (80) 0.75 0.650.84) Kawata et al, 2002 (80)
Kim et al, 2002 (85) 0.92 (0.840.97) Kim et al, 2002 (85) 0.92 (0.800.98)
Noguchi et al, 2002 (164) 0.48 (0.360.61) Noguchi et al, 2002 (164)
Yan et al, 2002 (224) 0.68 (0.570.79) Yan et al, 2002 (224)
Zacherl et al, 2002 (234) 0.75 (0.610.86) Zacherl et al, 2002 (234)
Zhou et al, 2002 (236) 0.91 (0.790.97) Zhou et al, 2002 (236)
de Ledinghen et al, 2002 (25) 0.52 (0.380.66) de Ledinghen et al, 2002 (25) 0.74 (0.560.87)
Burrel et al, 2003 (13) 0.61 (0.490.73) Burrel et al, 2003 (13) 0.67 (0.410.87)
Freeny et al, 2003 (36) 0.60 (0.410.77) Freeny et al, 2003 (36) 0.50 (0.350.65)
Laghi et al, 2003 (120) 0.89 (0.820.93) Laghi et al, 2003 (120)
Lee et al, 2003 (122) 0.58 (0.450.71) Lee et al, 2003 (122) 0.97 (0.940.99)
Noguchi et al, 2003 (165) 0.66 (0.560.75) Noguchi et al, 2003 (165)
Zhao et al, 2003 (237) 0.98 (0.921.00) Zhao et al, 2003 (237)
Bhattacharjya et al, 2004 (12) 0.63 (0.480.77) Bhattacharjya et al, 2004 (12) 0.87 (0.730.95)
Valls et al, 2004 (214) 0.79 (0.690.87) Valls et al, 2004 (214)
Zhao et al, 2004 (238) 1.00 (9.941.00) Zhao et al, 2004 (238)
Kim et al, 2005 (88) 0.92 (0.840.97) Kim et al, 2005 (88) 0.96 (0.910.99)
Xiao et al, 2005 (219) 0.97 (0.901.00) Xiao et al, 2005 (219)
Zheng et al, 2005 (241) 0.94 (0.870.98) Zheng et al, 2005 (241)
Kim et al, 2006 (89) 0.79 (0.650.89) Kim et al, 2006 (89)
Kim et al, 2006 (90) 0.78 (0.650.87) Kim et al, 2006 (90)
Schima et al, 2006 (193) 0.96 (0.900.99) Schima et al, 2006 (193)
Monzawa et al, 2007 (154) 0.94 (0.830.99) Monzawa et al, 2007 (154) 0.83 (0.710.91)
Ronzoni et al, 2007 (190) 0.73 (0.650.81) Ronzoni et al, 2007 (190)
Yukisawa et al, 2007 (233) 0.75 (0.620.86) Yukisawa et al, 2007 (233) 0.93 (0.880.96)
Zhao et al, 2007 (239) 0.93 (0.810.99) Zhao et al, 2007 (239)
Kitamura et al, 2008 (109) 0.94 (0.790.99) Kitamura et al, 2008 (109)
Maetani et al, 2008 (146) 0.87 (0.800.92) Maetani et al, 2008 (146) 0.75 (0.480.93)
Denecke et al, 2009 (26) 0.82 (0.710.90) Denecke et al, 2009 (26) 0.71 (0.510.87)
Kim et al, 2009 (95) 0.72 (0.610.81) Kim et al, 2009 (95)
Kim et al, 2009 (96) 0.89 (0.800.95) Kim et al, 2009 (96) 0.96 (0.860.99)
Kim et al, 2009 (97) 0.72 (0.600.81) Kim et al, 2009 (97)
Kumano et al, 2009 (115) 0.66 (0.530.77) Kumano et al, 2009 (115)
(Continued)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Lee et al, 2009 (124) 0.49 (0.380.61) Lee et al, 2009 (124)
Marin et al, 2009 (148) 0.84 (0.740.91) Marin et al, 2009 (148)
Marin et al, 2009 (149) 0.61 (0.490.73) Marin et al, 2009 (149)
Pitton et al, 2009 (181) 0.76 (0.690.82) Pitton et al, 2009 (181)
Di Martino et al, 2010 (27) 0.69 (0.580.78) Di Martino et al, 2010 (27)
Iavarone et al, 2010 (62) 0.52 (0.390.65) Iavarone et al, 2010 (62)
Ichikawa et al, 2010 (64) 0.57 (0.510.63) Ichikawa et al, 2010 (64)
Iwazawa et al, 201 (69) 0.62 (0.520.71) Iwazawa et al, 2010 (69)
Lu et al, 2010 (139) 0.84 (0.760.90) Lu et al, 2010 (139)
Luca et al, 2010 (140) 0.43 (0.340.52) Luca et al, 2010 (140) 0.93 (0.800.98)
Addley et al, 2011 (1) 0.72 (0.570.84) Addley et al, 2011 (1) 0.68 (0.490.83)
Akal et al, 2011 (3) 0.78 (0.650.89) Akal et al, 2011 (3) 0.90 (0.680.99)
Haradome et al, 2011 (48) 0.70 (0.570.81) Haradome et al, 2011 (48) 0.95 (0.830.99)
Hirakawa et al, 2011 (56) 0.47 (0.360.68) Hirakawa et al, 2011 (56)
Lin et al, 2011 (135) 0.82 (0.760.87) Lin et al, 2011 (135)
Pugacheva et al, 2011 (183) 0.40 (0.300.51) Pugacheva et al, 2011 (183)
Sano et al, 2011 (192) 0.63 (0.530.73) Sano et al, 2011 (192) 0.98 (0.951.00)
Wagnetz et al, 2011 (216) 0.98 (0.911.00) Wagnetz et al, 2011 (216)
Yu et al, 2011 (230) 0.65 (0.580.72) Yu et al, 2011 (230)
Baek et al, 2012 (8) 0.77 (0.650.86) Baek et al, 2012 (8)
Higashihara et al, 2012 (55) 0.65 (0.550.74) Higashihara et al, 2012 (55)
Hwang et al, 2012 (59) 0.59 (0.460.72) Hwang et al, 2012 (59)
Inoue et al, 2012 (68) 0.67 (0.560.77) Inoue et al, 2012 (68)
Lee et al, 2012 (127) 0.85 (0.740.93) Lee et al, 2012 (127)
Liu et al, 2012 (137) 0.81 (0.540.96) Liu et al, 2012 (137)
Lv et al, 2012 (145) 0.84 (0.660.95) Lv et al, 2012 (145)
Onishi et al, 2012 (167) 0.44 (0.330.57) Onishi et al, 2012 (167)
Cheung et al, 2013 (17) 0.55 (0.420.68) Cheung et al, 2013 (17)
Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.72 (0.640.79) Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.87 (0.780.93)
Hidaka et al, 2012 (54) 0.56 (0.350.75) Hidaka et al, 2012 (54)
Liu et al, 2013 (138) 0.93 (0.661.00) Liu et al, 2013 (138) 0.97 (0.841.00)
Nakamura et al, 2013 (162) 0.55 (0.430.67) Nakamura et al, 2013 (162)
Toyota et al, 2013 (211) 0.91 (0.810.97) Toyota et al, 2013 (211)
Yoo et al, 2013 (225) 0.44 (0.330.55) Yoo et al, 2013 (225) 0.95 (0.771.00)
Numata et al, 2014 (166) 0.21 (0.110.35) Numata et al, 2014 (166)
Park et al, 2014 (175) 0.61 (0.490.73) Park et al, 2014 (175)
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Hori et al, 1998 (57) 0.76 (0.680.83) Hori et al, 1998 (57)
Tang et al, 1999 (208) 0.94 (0.880.98) Tang et al, 1999 (208)
Nakamura et al, 2000 (161) 0.94 (0.840.98) Nakamura et al, 2000 (161)
Krinsky et al, 2002 (113) 0.55 (0.320.77) Krinsky et al, 2002 (113)
Matsuo et al, 2001 (151) 0.70 (0.570.82) Matsuo et al, 2001 (151)
Rode et al, 2001 (181) 0.77 (0.460.95) Rode et al, 2001 (181) 0.57 (0.430.70)
Krinsky et al, 2002 (114) 0.33 0.250.42) Krinsky et al, 2002 (114)
Pauliet et al, 2002 (177) 0.90 (0.810.95) Pauliet et al, 2002 (177)
Tanimoto et al, 2022 (209) 0.91 (0.810.97) Tanimoto et al, 2022 (209)
Yan et al, 2002 (224) 0.83 (0.730.91) Yan et al, 2002 (224)
Yoshioka et al, 2002 (226) 0.92 (0.780.98) Yoshioka et al, 2002 (226)
de Ledinghen et al, 2002 (52) 0.61 (0.470.74) de Ledinghen et al, 2002 (52) 0.88 (0.730.97)
Burrel et al, 2003 (13) 0.76 (0.650.85) Burrel et al, 2003 (13) 0.75 (0.530.90)
Noguchi et al, 2003 (165) 0.64 (0.540.73) Noguchi et al, 2003 (165)
Kim et al, 2004 (87) 0.92 (0.800.98) Kim et al, 2004 (87)
Kondo et al, 2005 (110) 0.79 (0.640.91) Kondo et al, 2005 (110)
Kwak et al, 2005 (118) 0.90 (0.800.96) Kwak et al, 2005 (118)
Mori et al, 2005 (155) 0.65 (0.550.75) Mori et al, 2005 (155)
Simon et al, 2005 (199) 0.94 (0.870.98) Simon et al, 2005 (199) 0.15 (0.020.45)
Tanaka et al, 2005 (2007) 0.65 (0.480.79) Tanaka et al, 2005 (2007)
Hecht et al, 2006 (53) 0.68 (0.430.87) Hecht et al, 2006 (53) 0.63 (0.450.79)
Kim et al, 2006 (89) 0.94 (0.840.99) Kim et al, 2006 (89)
Kim et al, 2007 (91) 0.90 (0.800.96) Kim et al, 2007 (91)
Lauenstein et al, 2007 (121) 0.78 (0.610.90) Lauenstein et al, 2007 (121)
Zhao et al, 2007 (239) 0.88 (0.740.96) Zhao et al, 2007 (239)
Choi et al, 2008 (19) 0.83 (0.680.93) Choi et al, 2008 (19)
Kim et al, 2008 (93) 0.85 (0.770.90) Kim et al, 2008 (93)
Kim et al, 2008 (94) 0.94 (0.810.99) Kim et al, 2008 (94)
Tsurusaki et al, 2008 (213) 1.00 (0.661.00) Tsurusaki et al, 2008 (213)
Kim et al, 2009 (96) 0.94 (0.860.98) Kim et al, 2009 (96) 0.98 (0.891.00)
Kim et al, 2009 (97) 0.90 (0.810.96) Kim et al, 2009 (97)
Kumano et al, 2009 (115) 0.74 (0.610.84) Kumano et al, 2009 (115)
Marin et al, 2009 (149) 0.67 (0.550.78) Marin et al, 2009 (149)
Pitton et al, 2009 (181) 0.98 (0.940.99) Pitton et al, 2009 (181)
Xu et al, 2009 (221) 0.85 (0.710.94) Xu et al, 2009 (221)
Yu et al, 2009 (229) 0.49 (0.370.61) Yu et al, 2009 (229)
Ahn et al, 2010 (2) 0.90 (0.820.96) Ahn et al, 2010 (2) 0.93 (0.770.99)
Di Martino et al, 2010 (27) 0.85 (0.760.92) Di Martino et al, 2010 (27)
Iavarone et al, 2010 (62) 0.48 (0.350.62) Iavarone et al, 2010 (62)
Ichikawa et al, 2010 (64) 0.60 (0.540.66) Ichikawa et al, 2010 (64)
Kim et al, 2010 (99) 0.84 (0.720.92) Kim et al, 2010 (99)
Kim et al, 2010 (98) 0.91 (0.840.95) Kim et al, 2010 (98)
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Lee et al, 2010 (125) 1.00 (0.911.00) Lee et al, 2010 (125)
Lu et al, 2010 (139) 0.76 (0.670.83) Lu et al, 2010 (139)
Park et al, 2010 (170) 0.86 (0.750.94) Park et al, 2010 (170)
Park et al, 2010 (171) 0.81 (0.580.95) Park et al, 2010 (171)
Akal et al, 2011 (3) 0.87 (0.740.94) Akal et al, 2011 (3) 0.93 (0.810.99)
Haradome et al, 2011 (48) 0.87 (0.750.94) Haradome et al, 2011 (48) 0.92 (0.790.98)
Hardle et al, 2011 (51) 0.83 (0.650.94) Hardle et al, 2011 (51) 0.63 (0.380.84)
Hirakawa et al, 2011 (56) 0.63 (0.520.73) Hirakawa et al, 2011 (56)
Kim et al, 2011 (100) 0.89 (0.770.96) Kim et al, 2011 (100)
Kim et al, 2011 (101) 1.00 (0.801.00) Kim et al, 2011 (101)
Plana et al, 2011 (180) 0.60 (0.500.69) Plana et al, 2011 (180)
Pugacheva et al, 2011 (183) 0.40 (0.300.51) Pugacheva et al, 2011 (183)
Sano et al, 2011 (192) 0.96 (0.890.99) Sano et al, 2011 (192) 0.96 (0.910.98)
Wagnetz et al, 2011 (216) 0.92 (0.750.99) Wagnetz et al, 2011 (216)
Yu et al, 2011 (230) 0.72 (0.650.79) Yu et al, 2011 (230)
Baek et al, 2012 (8) 0.89 (0.800.95) Baek et al, 2012 (8)
Guo et al, 2012 (46) 0.85 (0.760.92) Guo et al, 2012 (46)
Hwang et al, 2012 (59) 0.88 (0.770.95) Hwang et al, 2012 (59)
Inoue et al, 2012 (68) 0.77 (0.660.85) Inoue et al, 2012 (68)
Kim et al, 2012 (103) 0.82 (0.770.87) Kim et al, 2012 (103)
im et al, 2012 (105) 0.76 (0.630.86) im et al, 2012 (105)
Lee et al, 2012 (127) 0.94 (0.850.98) Lee et al, 2012 (127)
Onishi et al, 2012 (167) 0.68 (0.560.79) Onishi et al, 2012 (167)
Park et al, 2012 (174) 0.93 (0.880.96) Park et al, 2012 (174) 0.98 (0.941.00)
Sugimoto et al, 2012 (203) 0.80 (0.670.89) Sugimoto et al, 2012 (203)
Baird et al, 2013 (9) 0.43 (0.270.59) Baird et al, 2013 (9) 1.00 (0.781.00)
Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.87 (0.810.92) Di Martino et al, 2013 (28) 0.91 (0.830.96)
Hidaka et al, 2012 (54) 0.59 (0.390.78) Hidaka et al, 2012 (54)
Nakamura et al, 2013 (162) 0.69 (0.570.79) Nakamura et al, 2013 (162)
Ooka et al, 2013 (169) 0.94 (0.870.98) Ooka et al, 2013 (169) 0.97 (0.950.99)
Petruzzi et al, 2013 (179) 0.78 (0.560.93) Petruzzi et al, 2013 (179) 0.91 (0.710.99)
Toyota et al, 2013 (211) 0.96 (0.881.00) Toyota et al, 2013 (211)
Yoo et al, 2013 (225) 0.48 (0.260.70) Yoo et al, 2013 (225) 0.87 (0.600.98)
Yu et al, 2013 (213) 0.87 (0.810.92) Yu et al, 2013 (213)
Hanna et al, 2014 (47) 0.81 (0.720.88) Hanna et al, 2014 (47)
Hwang et al, 2014 (60) 0.79 (0.700.86) Hwang et al, 2014 (60) 0.93 (0.820.99)
Kim et al, 2014 (108) 0.95 (0.900.98) Kim et al, 2014 (108) 0.79 (0.620.91)
Park et al, 2014 (174) 0.83 (0.720.91) Park et al, 2014 (174)
Yu et al, 2014 (232) 0.70 (0.610.77) Yu et al, 2014 (232)
Zhao et al, 2014 (240) 0.86 (0.700.95) Zhao et al, 2014 (240) 0.60 (0.360.81)
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Fracanzani et al, 2001 (34) 0.95 (0.751.00) Fracanzani et al, 2001 (34) 0.71 (0.480.89)
Quaia et al, 2003 (185) 0.87 (0.600.98) Quaia et al, 2003 (185)
Gaiani et al, 2004 (38) 0.90 (0.810.96) Gaiani et al, 2004 (38)
Wang et al, 2006 (217) 0.72 (0.470.90) Wang et al, 2006 (217) 0.83 (0.520.98)
Catala et al, 2007 (14) 0.91 (0.790.98) Catala et al, 2007 (14)
Forner et al, 2008 (33) 0.52 (0.380.65) Forner et al, 2008 (33) 0.93 (0.770.99)
Jang et al, 2009 (71) 0.87 (0.690.96) Jang et al, 2009 (71) 1.00 (0.881.00)
Luo et al, 2009 (143) 0.93 (0.850.98) Luo et al, 2009 (143) 0.89 (0.780.95)
Luo et al, 2009 (144) 0.98 (0.891.00) Luo et al, 2009 (144) 0.94 (0.800.99)
Seitz et al, 2009 (195) 0.85 (0.700.94) Seitz et al, 2009 (195) 0.96 (0.910.99)
Seitz et al, 2010 (196) 0.79 (0.600.92) Seitz et al, 2010 (196) 0.79 (0.660.89)
Egger et al, 2012 (32) 0.84 (0.600.97) Egger et al, 2012 (32)
Combined 0.87 (0.790.92) Combined 0.92 (0.830.95)
2 = 0.59; P = 0.0046 2 = 0.62; P = 0.037
Total: N = 482; TP = 407 Total: N = 354; TN = 320
0.4 1.0 0.5 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are from Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Appendix Figure 9. Test performance of computed tomography in evaluation of focal liver lesions for identication of
patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Fracanzani et al, 2001 (34) 0.95 (0.751.00) Fracanzani et al, 2001 (34) 0.81 (0.580.95)
Catala et al, 2007 (14) 0.87 (0.730.95) Catala et al, 2007 (14)
Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.61 (0.470.74) Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.56 (0.210.86)
Luo et al, 2009 (142) 0.93 (0.850.98) Luo et al, 2009 (142) 0.94 (0.840.98)
Moriyasu and Itoh, 2009 (156) 0.89 (0.820.94) Moriyasu and Itoh, 2009 (156)
Seitz et al, 2009 (195) 0.70 (0.530.83) Seitz et al, 2009 (195) 0.95 (0.890.98)
Egger et al, 2012 (32) 1.00 (0.821.00) Egger et al, 2012 (32)
Serste et al, 2012 (197) 0.74 (0.600.86) Serste et al, 2012 (197) 0.81 (0.620.94)
Combined 0.86 (0.750.92) Combined 0.88 (0.760.95)
2 = 0.65; P = 0.036 2 = 0.64; P = 0.083
Total: N = 423; TP = 353 Total: N = 233; TN = 210
0.5 1.0 0.2 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Forner et al, 2008 (33) 0.62 (0.480.74) Forner et al, 2008 (33) 0.97 (0.821.00)
Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.81 (0.690.91) Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.33 (0.070.70)
Seitz et al, 2010 (196) 0.83 (0.640.94) Seitz et al, 2010 (196) 0.75 (0.620.86)
Serste et al, 2012 (197) 0.81 (0.670.91) Serste et al, 2012 (197) 0.85 (0.660.96)
Donati et al, 2014 (29) 0.58 (0.280.85) Donati et al, 2014 (29) 0.87 (0.600.98)
Combined 0.75 (0.650.83) Combined 0.83 (0.610.93)
Q = 10.21; P = 0.04 Q = 19.07; P = 0.00
2 = 0.12; P = 0.040 2 = 0.13; P = 0.000
Total: N = 203; TP = 151 Total: N = 134; TN = 107
0.3 0.9 0.1 1.0
Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI)
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Appendix Figure 11. Test performance of ultrasonography with contrast for evaluation of focal liver lesions for identication of
hepatocellular carcinoma lesions.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Tanaka et al, 2001 (206) 0.92 (0.820.97) Tanaka et al, 2001 (206) 0.96 (0.861.00)
Yamamoto et al, 2002 (223) 0.91 (0.780.97) Yamamoto et al, 2002 (223)
Rickes et al, 2003 (186) 0.89 (0.790.96) Rickes et al, 2003 (186)
Strobel et al, 2003 (202) 0.92 (0.641.00) Strobel et al, 2003 (202)
Gaiani et al, 2004 (38) 0.91 (0.840.96) Gaiani et al, 2004 (38)
Giorgio et al, 2004 (41) 0.97 (0.911.00) Giorgio et al, 2004 (41)
Suzuki et al, 2004 (205) 0.90 (0.770.97) Suzuki et al, 2004 (205) 0.91 (0.591.00)
DOnofrio et al, 2005 (30) 0.93 (0.760.99) DOnofrio et al, 2005 (30)
Luo et al, 2005 (140) 1.00 (0.871.00) Luo et al, 2005 (140)
Catala et al, 2007 (14) 0.91 (0.790.98) Catala et al, 2007 (14)
Giorgio et al, 2007 (42) 0.77 (0.630.88) Giorgio et al, 2007 (42) 0.96 (0.801.00)
Li et al, 2007 (130) 0.89 (0.780.95) Li et al, 2007 (130)
Dai et al, 2008 (24) 0.91 (0.800.97) Dai et al, 2008 (24) 0.87 (0.740.95)
Hatanaka et al, 2008 (52) 0.97 (0.930.99) Hatanaka et al, 2008 (52) 0.94 (0.860.98)
Wang et al, 2008 (218) 0.75 (0.190.99) Wang et al, 2008 (218)
Xu et al, 2008 (220) 0.80 (0.660.90) Xu et al, 2008 (220) 0.93 (0.820.98)
Luo et al, 2009 (141) 0.61 (0.510.70) Luo et al, 2009 (141) 0.90 (0.820.95)
Quaia et al, 2009 (184) 0.89 (0.790.95) Quaia et al, 2009 (184) 0.67 (0.520.80)
Mita et al, 2010 (152) 0.68 (0.490.83) Mita et al, 2010 (152)
Ooi et al, 2010 (168) 0.84 (0.710.94) Ooi et al, 2010 (168)
Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (191) 0.26 (0.130.44) Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (1910) 1.00 (0.841.00)
Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 0.53 (0.350.70) Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 0.91 (0.820.97)
Xu et al, 2012 (222) 0.89 (0.820.94) Xu et al, 2012 (222) 1.00 (0.891.00)
Combined 0.87 (0.800.92) Combined 0.91 (0.850.95)
2 = 1.19; P < 0.0001 2 = 0.51; P = 0.012
Total: N = 1156; TP = 975 Total: N = 495; TN = 445
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Colagrande et al, 2000 (23) 0.94 (0.870.98) Colagrande et al, 2000 (23)
Yamamoto et al, 2002 (223) 0.93 (0.810.99) Yamamoto et al, 2002 (223)
Giorgio et al, 2004 (41) 0.92 (0.830.97) Giorgio et al, 2004 (41)
Iannaccone et al, 2005 (61) 0.93 (0.890.96) Iannaccone et al, 2005 (61)
Catala et al, 2007 (14) 0.87 (0.730.95) Catala et al, 2007 (14)
Li et al, 2007 (130) 0.84 (0.720.92) Li et al, 2007 (130) _
Dai et al, 2008 (24) 0.80 (0.680.90) Dai et al, 2008 (24) 0.98 (0.891.00)
Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.62 (0.510.72) Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.72 (0.550.86)
Quaia et al, 2009 (184) 0.72 (0.600.82) Quaia et al, 2009 (184) 0.71 (0.570.83)
Mita et al, 2010 (152) 0.53 (0.350.70) Mita et al, 2010 (152)
Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (191) 0.44 (0.270.62) Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (191) 1.00 (0.841.00)
Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 0.53 (0.350.70) Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 0.99 (0.921.00)
Jang et al, 2013 (72) 0.58 (0.410.74) Jang et al, 2013 (72) 0.99 (0.931.00)
Combined 0.79 (0.670.87) Combined 0.90 (0.370.99)
2 = 0.97; P = 0.001 2 = 4.39; P = 0.110
Total: N = 924; TP = 725 Total: N = 294; TN = 267
Reference numbers are those in Appendix Table 3. TN = true negative; TP = true positive.
Appendix Figure 13. Test performance of magnetic resonance imaging in evaluation of focal liver lesions for identication of
hepatocellular carcinoma lesions.
Study, Year (Reference) Sensitivity (95% CI) Study, Year (Reference) Specificity (95% CI)
Kim et al, 2004 (86, 87) 0.91 (0.760.98) Kim et al, 2004 (86, 87)
Youk et al, 2004 (227) 0.88 (0.790.93) Youk et al, 2004 (227)
Marrero et al, 2005 (150) 0.91 (0.810.97) Marrero et al, 2005 (150) 0.97 (0.821.00)
Giorgio et al, 2007 (42) 0.90 (0.770.97) Giorgio et al, 2007 (42) 0.88 (0.690.97)
Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.84 (0.740.91) Golfieri et al, 2009 (43) 0.36 (0.210.54)
Chung et al, 2010 (21) 0.90 (0.680.99) Chung et al, 2010 (21)
Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (191) 0.44 (0.270.62) Sangiovanni et al, 2010 (191) 1.00 (0.841.00)
Chung et al, 2011 (22) 0.94 (0.870.98) Chung et al, 2011 (22) 0.84 (0.600.97)
Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 0.62 (0.440.78) Khalili et al, 2011 (81) 1.00 (0.951.00)
Kim et al, 2011 (100) 0.77 (0.610.88) Kim et al, 2011 (100) 0.95 (0.870.98)
Suh et al, 2011 (204) 0.88 (0.620.98) Suh et al, 2011 (204) 0.81 (0.640.93)
Gatto et al, 2013 (40) 0.69 (0.410.89) Gatto et al, 2013 (40) 0.64 (0.350.87)
Kim et al, 2012 (104) 0.73 (0.630.81) Kim et al, 2012 (104) 1.00 (0.691.00)
Rimola et al, 2012 (187) 0.58 (0.480.68) Rimola et al, 2012 (187) 0.96 (0.881.00)
Combined 0.81 (0.730.88) Combined 0.92 (0.780.97)
P = 0.00 P = 0.00
CT
Explanted liver 0.67 (0.590.75) 23 0.82 (0.740.88) 12 3.8 (2.65.6) 0.40 (0.310.50)
Histopathologic, nonexplant 0.86 (0.780.91) 12 0.95 (0.880.98) 3 19 (7.149) 0.15 (0.100.23)
Imaging/clinical 0.65 (0.430.83) 3 Insufcient data
Mixed histologic and imaging/clinical 0.80 (0.750.84) 34 0.92 (0.830.96) 4 11 (5.321) 0.22 (0.170.27)
MRI
Explanted liver 0.70 (0.620.77) 20 0.86 (0.730.93) 10 5.0 (2.59.8) 0.35 (0.270.44)
Histopathologic, nonexplant 0.88 (0.820.93) 11 0.97 (0.880.99) 3 29 (7.3117) 0.12 (0.080.19)
Imaging/clinical reference standard 0.86 (0.670.95) 2 Insufcient data
Mixed histologic and imaging/clinical 0.85 (0.810.88) 33 0.84 (0.540.96) 3 5.2 (1.518) 0.18 (0.130.24)
CT = computed tomography; LR = likelihood ratio; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; US = ultrasonography.
Appendix Table 5. Diagnostic Accuracy of Imaging for Hepatocellular Carcinoma, by Lesion Size and Degree of Differentiation
Imaging Modality, Lesion Size, Sensitivity Studies, n Specicity Studies, n Positive LR Negative LR
and Differentiation (95% CI) (95% CI)
US without contrast
<10 mm 0.09 (0.02 to 0.29) 4 0.93 (0.79 to 1.0) 1 1.3 0.98
1020 mm 0.50 (0.23 to 0.78) 4 0.60 (0.46 to 0.74) 1 1.2 0.83
>20 mm 0.88 (0.66 to 0.96) 4 0.53 (0.35 to 0.71) 1 1.9 0.23
Difference between >20 mm 0.37 (0.18 to 0.57) 4 0.33 (0.53 to 0.14) 1
and 1020 mm
Difference between 1020 mm 0.41 (0.19 to 0.63) 4 0.06 (0.29 to 0.16) 1
and <10 mm
US with contrast
1020 mm 0.64 (0.33 to 0.87) 3 1.0 (26/26) 1
>20 mm 0.91 (0.71 to 0.98) 3 1.0 (2/2) 1
Difference 0.26 (0.04 to 0.48) 3 0.0 1
Moderately or poorly differentiated 0.83 (0.55 to 0.95) 3 No data
Well differentiated 0.43 (0.15 to 0.76) 3 No data
Difference 0.40 (0.17 to 0.64) 3 No data
CT
<10 mm 0.32 (0.25 to 0.41) 21 0.69 (0.52 to 0.82) 2 1.0 (0.59 to 1.8) 0.99 (0.77 to 1.3)
1020 mm 0.74 (0.67 to 0.80) 23 0.86 (0.74 to 0.93) 2 5.3 (2.8 to 10) 0.30 (0.23 to 0.40)
>20 mm 0.95 (0.92 to 0.97) 20 0.90 (0.73 to 0.97) 1 9.5 (3.2 to 28) 0.06 (0.04 to 0.09)
Difference between >20 mm 0.21 (0.15 to 0.26) 20 0.04 (0.10 to 0.18) 2
and 1020 mm
Difference between 1020 mm 0.42 (0.36 to 0.48) 21 0.17 (0.004 to 0.35) 1
and <10 mm
Moderately or poorly differentiated 0.81 (0.67 to 0.90) 6 No data
Well differentiated 0.47 (0.29 to 0.65) 6 No data
Difference 0.34 (0.23 to 0.46) 6 No data
MRI
<10 mm 0.51 (0.41 to 0.62) 22 0.89 (0.56 to 0.98) 4 4.6 (0.92 to 23) 0.55 (0.42 to 0.72)
1020 mm 0.80 (0.72 to 0.86) 23 0.95 (0.75 to 0.992) 4 17 (2.9 to 99) 0.21 (0.15 to 0.30)
>20 mm 0.97 (0.95 to 0.98) 20 0.98 (0.82 to 0.998) 3 42 (4.8 to 373) 0.03 (0.02 to 0.05)
Difference between >20 mm 0.28 (0.21 to 0.35) 20 0.07 (0.05 to 0.18) 4
and 1020 mm
Difference between 1020 mm 0.17 (0.11 to 0.24) 20 0.02 (0.03 to 0.08) 3
and <10 mm
Moderately or poorly differentiated 0.77 (0.55 to 0.90) 4 No data
Well differentiated 0.42 (0.21 to 0.67) 4 No data
Difference 0.36 (0.20 to 0.51) 4 No data
CT = computed tomography; LR = likelihood ratio; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; US = ultrasonography.
Surveillance
Surveillance settings Patients with HCC US without contrast Sens: 4 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Imprecise Sens: 540 Sens: Low
Spec: 3 Spec: 488 Spec: Low
Surveillance settings Patients with HCC CT Sens: 2 Moderate Consistent Indirect Imprecise Sens: 385 Sens: Low
Spec: 2 Spec: 385 Spec: Low
Surveillance settings Patients with HCC MRI No evidence Insufcient
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Appendix Table 6Continued
Test Performance Unit of Analysis Imaging Modality Studies, n Risk of Consistency Directness Precision Patients o r Strength of
or Comparison Bias* Lesions, n Evidence
Direct (within-study) comparisons of HCC lesions US with contrast vs. Sens: 4 Moderate Sens: Inconsistent Direct Sens: Precise Sens: 217 (US) Sens: Moderate
imaging modalities CT Spec: 0 Spec: No studies Spec: No studies Sens: 217 (CT) Spec: Insufcient
Spec:
Direct (within-study) comparisons of HCC lesions US with contrast vs. Sens: 3 Moderate Sens: Consistent Direct Sens: Imprecise Sens: 172 (US) Sens: Moderate
Diagnosis
Evaluation of focal liver lesion Patients with HCC US with contrast Sens: 12 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Precise Sens: 836 Sens: Moderate
Spec: 8 Spec: 678 Spec: Moderate
Evaluation of focal liver lesion Patients with HCC US without contrast Sens: 1 Moderate Sens: Consistent Indirect Sens: Imprecise Sens: 93 Sens: Low
Spec: 0 Spec: No studies Spec: No studies Spec: Spec: Insufcient
Evaluation of focal liver lesion Patients with HCC CT Sens: 8 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Sens: Precise Sens: 656 Sens: Moderate
Spec: 5 Spec: Imprecise Spec: 471 Spec: Low
Evaluation of focal liver lesion Patients with HCC MRI Sens: 5 Moderate Consistent Indirect Imprecise Sens: 337 Sens: Low
Spec: 5 Spec: 337 Spec: Low
Evaluation of focal liver lesion HCC lesions US with contrast Sens: 21 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Precise Sens: 1652 Sens: Moderate
Spec: 10 Spec: 1175 Spec: Moderate
Evaluation of focal liver lesion HCC lesions CT Sens: 13 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Precise Sens: 1196 Sens: Moderate
Spec: 6 Spec: 591 Spec: Moderate
Evaluation of focal liver lesion HCC lesions MRI Sens: 15 Moderate Inconsistent Indirect Precise Sens: 1214 Sens: Moderate
Spec: 12 Spec: 1043 Spec: Moderate
Direct (within-study) comparisons of Patients with HCC US without contrast Sens: 1 Moderate Sens: Single study Direct Sens: Imprecise Sens: 121 Sens: Low
imaging modalities vs. CT Spec: 0 Spec: No studies Spec: No studies Spec: 0 Spec: Insufcient
Direct (within-study) comparisons of Patients with HCC US with contrast vs. Sens: 5 Moderate Consistent Direct Sens: Precise Sens: 956 Sens: Moderate
imaging modalities CT Spec: 2 Spec: Imprecise Spec: 586 Spec: Low
Direct (within-study) comparisons of Patients with HCC MRI vs. CT Sens: 1 Moderate Single study Direct Imprecise Sens: 74 Sens: Low
imaging modalities Spec: 1 Spec: 74 Spec: Low
Direct (within-study) comparisons of HCC lesions US with contrast vs. Sens: 4 Moderate Sens: Inconsistent Direct Sens: Imprecise Sens: 446 Sens: Moderate
imaging modalities CT Spec: 0 Spec: No studies Spec: No studies Spec: 0 Spec: Insufcient
Direct (within-study) comparisons of HCC lesions US with contrast vs. Sens: 1 Moderate Single study Direct Imprecise Sens: 162 Sens: Low
imaging modalities MRI Spec: 1 Spec: 162 Spec: Low
Direct (within-study) comparisons of HCC lesions MRI vs. CT Sens: 1 Moderate Single study Direct Imprecise Sens: 123 Sens: Low
imaging modalities Spec: 1 Spec: 123 Spec: Low
CT = computed tomography; HCC = hepatocellular carcinoma; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; Sens = sensitivity; Spec = specicity; US = ultrasonography.
* Low, moderate, or high.
Consistent or inconsistent.
Direct or indirect.
Precise or imprecise.
High, moderate, low, or insufcient.
Reference
1. Chou R, Cuevas C, Fu R, Devine B, Wasson N, Ginsburg A, et al. Imaging
techniques for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. A systematic review
and meta-analysis. Ann Intern Med. 2015;162:697-711. doi:10.7326/M14-
2509