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Original Article
A BS T R AC T
BACKGROUND
Both genetic and lifestyle factors contribute to individual-level risk of coronary artery From the Center for Human Genetic Re
disease. The extent to which increased genetic risk can be offset by a healthy lifestyle search and Cardiology Division, Massa
chusetts General Hospital (A.V.K., P.N.,
is unknown. S.K.), and the Division of Preventive Medi
cine, Department of Medicine, Brigham
METHODS and Womens Hospital (N.R.C., D.I.C.,
Using a polygenic score of DNA sequence polymorphisms, we quantified genetic risk P.M.R.), Boston, and the Program in Medi
for coronary artery disease in three prospective cohorts 7814 participants in the cal and Population Genetics, Broad Insti
tute, Cambridge (A.V.K., C.A.E., A.G.B.,
Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, 21,222 in the Womens Genome S.K.) all in Massachusetts; the Depart
Health Study (WGHS), and 22,389 in the Malm Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) ment of Clinical Sciences, Lund Univer
and in 4260 participants in the cross-sectional BioImage Study for whom genotype sity, Malm, Sweden (I.D., O.M., M.O.-M.);
the Cardiovascular Institute, Mount Sinai
and covariate data were available. We also determined adherence to a healthy lifestyle Medical Center, Icahn School of Medicine
among the participants using a scoring system consisting of four factors: no current at Mount Sinai, New York (U.B., R.M.,
smoking, no obesity, regular physical activity, and a healthy diet. V.F.); Department of Genetics, Perelman
School of Medicine at the University of
RESULTS Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (D.J.R.); and
the University of Texas Health Science
The relative risk of incident coronary events was 91% higher among participants at Center School of Public Health, Houston
high genetic risk (top quintile of polygenic scores) than among those at low genetic (E.B.). Address reprint requests to Dr.
risk (bottom quintile of polygenic scores) (hazard ratio, 1.91; 95% confidence interval Kathiresan at the Center for Human Ge
netics Research, Massachusetts General
[CI], 1.75 to 2.09). A favorable lifestyle (defined as at least three of the four healthy Hospital, 185 Cambridge St., CPZN 5.252,
lifestyle factors) was associated with a substantially lower risk of coronary events than Boston, MA 02114, or at skathiresan1@
an unfavorable lifestyle (defined as no or only one healthy lifestyle factor), regardless mgh.harvard.edu.
of the genetic risk category. Among participants at high genetic risk, a favorable Drs. Khera and Emdin contributed equally
lifestyle was associated with a 46% lower relative risk of coronary events than an to this article.
unfavorable lifestyle (hazard ratio, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.63). This finding corre- This article was published on November 13,
sponded to a reduction in the standardized 10-year incidence of coronary events from 2016, at NEJM.org.
10.7% for an unfavorable lifestyle to 5.1% for a favorable lifestyle in ARIC, from 4.6% DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1605086
to 2.0% in WGHS, and from 8.2% to 5.3% in MDCS. In the BioImage Study, a favor- Copyright 2016 Massachusetts Medical Society.
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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e
B
oth genetic and lifestyle factors in 1992 to evaluate the efficacy of aspirin and
are key drivers of coronary artery disease, vitamin E in the primary prevention of cardio-
a complex disorder that is the leading vascular disease.34 The Malm Diet and Cancer
cause of death worldwide.1 A familial pattern in Study (MDCS) is a prospective cohort that en-
the risk of coronary artery disease was first de- rolled participants between the ages of 44 and
scribed in 1938 and was subsequently confirmed 73 years in Malm, Sweden, starting in 1991.35
in large studies involving twins and prospective In this study, participants with prevalent coro-
cohorts.2-6 Since 2007, genomewide association nary disease at baseline were excluded. The Bio-
analyses have identified more than 50 indepen- Image Study enrolled asymptomatic participants
dent loci associated with the risk of coronary between the ages of 55 and 80 years who were
artery disease.7-15 These risk alleles, when aggre- at risk for cardiovascular disease, beginning in
gated into a polygenic risk score, are predictive 2008. This study included quantification of sub-
of incident coronary events and provide a con- clinical coronary artery disease in Agatston units,
tinuous and quantitative measure of genetic a metric that combines the area and density of
susceptibility.16-24 observed coronary-artery calcification.36
Much evidence has also shown that persons
who adhere to a healthy lifestyle have markedly Polygenic Risk Score
reduced rates of incident cardiovascular events.25-30 We derived a polygenic risk score from an analy-
The promotion of healthy lifestyle behaviors, sis of up to 50 single-nucleotide polymorphisms
which include not smoking, avoiding obesity, (SNPs) that had achieved genomewide signifi-
regular physical activity, and a healthy diet pat- cance for association with coronary artery dis-
tern, underlies the current strategy to improve ease in previous studies. Details regarding the
cardiovascular health in the general population.31 cohort-specific genotyping platform and risk
Many observers assume that a genetic predis- scores are provided in Table S1 in the Supple-
position to coronary artery disease is determin- mentary Appendix, available with the full text of
istic.32 However, genetic risk might be attenuated this article at NEJM.org.11-14 An example of the
by a favorable lifestyle. Here, we analyzed data calculation of the polygenic risk score is pro-
for participants in three prospective cohorts and vided in Table S2 in the Supplementary Appen-
one cross-sectional study to test the hypothesis dix. Individual participant scores were created
that both genetic factors and baseline adherence by adding up the number of risk alleles at each
to a healthy lifestyle contribute independently to SNP and then multiplying the sum by the litera-
the risk of incident coronary events and the ture-based effect size.17 The genetic substructure
prevalent subclinical burden of atherosclerosis. of the population was assessed by calculating
We then determined the extent to which a healthy the principal components of ancestry.37
lifestyle is associated with a reduced risk of
coronary artery disease among participants with Healthy Lifestyle Factors
a high genetic risk. We adapted four healthy lifestyle factors from
the strategic goals of the American Heart Asso-
ciation (AHA) no current smoking, no obesity
Me thods
(body-mass index [the weight in kilograms di-
Study Populations vided by the square of the height in meters],
The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) <30), physical activity at least once weekly, and a
study is a prospective cohort that enrolled white healthy diet pattern.31 A healthy diet pattern was
participants and black participants between the ascertained on the basis of adherence to at least
ages of 45 and 64 years, starting in 1987.33 For half of the following recently endorsed charac-
data from this study, we retrieved genotype and teristics38: consumption of an increased amount
clinical data from the National Center for Bio- of fruits, nuts, vegetables, whole grains, fish, and
technology Information dbGAP server (accession dairy products and a reduced amount of refined
number, phs000280.v3.p1). The Womens Genome grains, processed meats, unprocessed red meats,
Health Study (WGHS) is a prospective cohort of sugar-sweetened beverages, trans fats (WGHS
female health professionals derived from the only), and sodium (WGHS only). Because a de-
Womens Health Study, a clinical trial initiated tailed food-frequency questionnaire was not per-
2 n engl j mednejm.org
n engl j mednejm.org 3
The New England Journal of Medicine
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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e
* Plusminus values are means SD. P values for the differences between the study groups in each individual cohort at baseline are provided
in the tables in the Supplementary Appendix. To convert the values for cholesterol to millimoles per liter, multiply by 0.02586. To convert
the values for triglycerides to millimoles per liter, multiply by 0.01129. HDL denotes high-density lipoprotein, IQR interquartile range, and
LDL low-density lipoprotein.
A family history of premature coronary artery disease refers to a self-reported parental history of myocardial infarction before the age of 60
years. In the BioImage Study and the Malm Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS), participants were asked about a parental history of myocardial
infarction without an age restriction.
The body-mass index is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters.
Lipid levels were available in a subgroup of 4303 participants in the MDCS study.
Figure 1 (facing page). Standardized Coronary Events Rates, According to Genetic and Lifestyle Risk in the Prospective
Cohorts.
Shown are the standardized rates of coronary events, according to the genetic risk and lifestyle risk of participants
in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort, the Womens Genome Health Study (WGHS) cohort,
and the Malm Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) cohort. The 95% confidence intervals for the hazard ratios are pro
vided in parentheses. Cox regression models were adjusted for age, sex (in ARIC and MDCS), randomization to re
ceive vitamin E or aspirin (in WGHS), education level, and principal components of ancestry (in ARIC and WGHS).
Standardization was performed to cohort-specific population averages for each covariate.
4 n engl j mednejm.org
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
0.05 0.05
0.00 0.00
0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20
Years of Follow-up Years of Follow-up
0.04 0.04
0.02 0.02
0.00 0.00
0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20
Years of Follow-up Years of Follow-up
0.15 0.15
0.10 0.10
0.05 0.05
0.00 0.00
0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20
Years of Follow-up Years of Follow-up
n engl j mednejm.org 5
The New England Journal of Medicine
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Copyright 2016 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e
events in a combined analysis of the prospective noted after the exclusion of coronary revascular-
cohorts: no current smoking (hazard ratio, 0.56; ization from the composite end point (Fig. S4
95% CI, 0.47 to 0.66), no obesity (hazard ratio, in the Supplementary Appendix). Adjustment for
0.66; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.76), regular physical ac- traditional risk factors attenuated estimates,
tivity (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80 to 0.97), although the decreased risk among participants
and healthy diet (hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.83 with a favorable lifestyle within each genetic risk
to 0.99) (Table S10 in the Supplementary Appen- category remained apparent (Table S15 and Fig.
dix). Coronary risk increased among participants S5 in the Supplementary Appendix).
with fewer healthy lifestyle factors within each Despite a paucity of well-validated genetic loci
cohort (Table S11 in the Supplementary Appendix). in black populations, we observed similar find-
Each cohort was divided into three lifestyle ings among black participants and white partici-
risk categories: favorable (at least three of the pants in the ARIC cohort (Fig. S6 in the Supple-
four healthy lifestyle factors), intermediate (two mentary Appendix). However, additional data are
healthy lifestyle factors), or unfavorable (no or needed to confirm the consistency of the effect
only one healthy lifestyle factor). Participants in populations of African ancestry.
with an unfavorable lifestyle had higher rates of A cross-sectional analysis of 4260 of 4301
baseline hypertension and diabetes, a higher white participants with available data from the
body-mass index, and less favorable levels of BioImage Study showed that both genetic and
circulating lipids than did those with a favorable lifestyle factors were associated with coronary-
lifestyle (Tables S12, S13, and S14 in the Supple- artery calcification (stratified according to the
mentary Appendix). An unfavorable lifestyle was baseline characteristics in Tables S16 and S17 in
associated with a higher risk of coronary events the Supplementary Appendix). The standardized
than a favorable lifestyle, with an adjusted haz- calcification score was 46 Agatston units (95%
ard ratio of 1.71 (95% CI, 1.47 to 1.98) in the CI, 39 to 54) among participants at high genetic
ARIC cohort, 2.27 (95% CI, 1.92 to 2.67) in the risk, as compared with 21 Agatston units (95%
WGHS cohort, and 1.77 (95% CI, 1.61 to 1.95) CI, 18 to 25) among those at low genetic risk
in the MDCS cohort (Fig.1, and Fig. S3 in the (P<0.001). The calcification score was similarly
Supplementary Appendix). higher among participants with an unfavorable
Within each category of genetic risk, lifestyle lifestyle than among those with a favorable life-
factors were strong predictors of coronary events style: 46 Agatston units (95% CI, 40 to 53) versus
(Fig.2). Adherence to a favorable lifestyle, as com- 28 Agatston units (95% CI, 25 to 31) (P<0.001).
pared with an unfavorable lifestyle, was associ- Within each subgroup of genetic risk, a signifi-
ated with a 45% lower relative risk among par- cant trend was observed toward decreased coro-
ticipants at low genetic risk, a 47% lower relative nary-artery calcification among participants who
risk among those at intermediate genetic risk, were more adherent to a healthy lifestyle (Fig.4).
and a 46% lower relative risk (hazard ratio, 0.54;
95% CI, 0.47 to 0.63) among those at high ge- Discussion
netic risk. Among participants at high genetic
risk, the standardized 10-year coronary event In this study, we have provided quantitative data
rates were 10.7% among those with an unfavor- about the interplay between genetic and lifestyle
able lifestyle and 5.1% among those with a favor- risk factors for coronary artery disease in three
able lifestyle in the ARIC cohort, 4.6% and 2.0%, prospective cohorts and one cross-sectional study.
respectively, in the WGHS cohort, and 8.2% and High genetic risk was independent of healthy
5.3% in the MDCS cohort (Fig.3). Similarly, a lifestyle behaviors and was associated with an
low genetic risk was largely offset by an unfavor- increased risk (hazard ratio, 1.91) of coronary
able lifestyle. Among participants at low genetic events and a substantially increased burden of
risk, standardized 10-year coronary event rates coronary-artery calcification. However, within
were 5.8% among those with an unfavorable any genetic risk category, adherence to a healthy
lifestyle and 3.1% among those with a favorable lifestyle was associated with a significantly de-
lifestyle in the ARIC cohort, 1.8% and 1.2%, creased risk of both clinical coronary events and
respectively, in the WGHS cohort, and 4.7% and subclinical burden of coronary artery disease.
2.6% in the MDCS cohort. Similar patterns were The results of this analysis support three
6 n engl j mednejm.org
Figure 2. Risk of Coronary Events, According to Genetic and Lifestyle Risk in the Prospective Cohorts.
Shown are adjusted hazard ratios for coronary events in each of the three prospective cohorts, according to genetic
risk and lifestyle risk. In these comparisons, participants at low genetic risk with a favorable lifestyle served as the
reference group. There was no evidence of a significant interaction between genetic and lifestyle risk factors (P = 0.38
for interaction in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort, P = 0.31 in the Womens Genome Health
Study (WGHS) cohort, and P = 0.24 in the Malm Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) cohort). Unadjusted incidence
rates are reported per 1000 personyears of followup. A randomeffects metaanalysis was used to combine cohort
specific results.
A Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities B Womens Genome Health Study C Malm Diet and Cancer Study
Standardized 10-Yr Coronary Event Rate
10 10 10
8 8 8
(%)
(%)
(%)
6 6 6
4 4 4
2 2 2
3.1 4.3 5.8 4.8 5.0 7.3 5.1 7.3 10.7 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.9 3.3 2.0 2.6 4.6 2.6 2.7 4.7 3.4 3.8 6.1 5.3 5.5 8.2
0 0 0
Low Intermediate High Low Intermediate High Low Intermediate High
Genetic Risk Genetic Risk Genetic Risk
Figure 3. 10-Year Coronary Event Rates, According to Lifestyle and Genetic Risk in the Prospective Cohorts.
Shown are standardized 10-year cumulative incidence rates for coronary events in the three prospective cohorts, according to lifestyle
and genetic risk. Standardization was performed to cohort-specific population averages for each covariate. The I bars represent 95%
confidence intervals.
80
incident coronary events is well aligned with
Calcification Score
8 n engl j mednejm.org
estimates with determinism, a perceived lack of pants, the generalizability of our findings should
control over the ability to improve outcomes.32 be tested in more diverse populations as more
However, our results provide evidence that life- robust ethnicity-specific data regarding genetic
style factors may powerfully modify risk regard- association become available.
less of the patients genetic risk profile. Indeed, In conclusion, after quantifying both genetic
alternative analytic approaches that incorporate and lifestyle risk among 55,685 participants in
more stringent cutoffs or weight the relative effect three prospective cohorts and one cross-sectional
for each healthy lifestyle factor may lead to an study, we found that adherence to a healthy life-
even more pronounced coronary risk gradient. style was associated with a substantially reduced
Our study has several limitations. First, be- risk of coronary artery disease within each cate-
cause adherence to a healthy lifestyle was not gory of genetic risk.
randomized, the association of lifestyle factors The views expressed in this article are those of the authors
with the risk of coronary events cannot be taken and do not necessarily represent the official views of Harvard
as a causal relationship. Second, investigators in Catalyst, Harvard University and its affiliated academic health
care centers, or the National Institutes of Health.
each cohort used slightly different methods to Supported by a grant from the American College of Cardiol-
assess lifestyle at baseline. Behavioral changes ogyMerck Research Fellowship, a John S. Ladue Memorial Fellow-
before or after ascertainment or competing risks ship from Harvard Medical School, and a KL2/Catalyst Medical
Research Investigator Training award from Harvard Catalyst
of other illnesses may have had an effect on risk funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) (TR001100,
estimates. Third, although we included up to 50 to Dr. Khera). Dr. Kathiresan is supported by an Ofer and
previously validated genetic polymorphisms in the Shelly Nemirovsky Research Scholar Award from Massachu-
setts General Hospital and grants from the NIH (HL127564 and
polygenic risk score, the inclusion of even more UM1HG008895). Information on support for the cohort studies
variants may prove useful in future analyses.24 that are reviewed here is provided in the Supplementary Appendix.
Finally, even though we provide evidence con- Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with
the full text of this article at NEJM.org.
firming a relationship between a polygenic risk We thank the investigators and participants in the ARIC, WGHS,
score and coronary events among black partici- MDCS, and BioImage studies for their contributions to this study.
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