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Facultad de Ingeniera
Escuela Acadmico Profesional de Ing. Hidrulica.
FACULTAD DE INGENIERA
CICLO VII
I. INTRODUCCIN:
II. OBJETIVOS
Objetivo general.
Realizado con el objetivo de verificar que los datos histricos recopilados no tengan
errores sistemticos; para ello se ha recurrido al empleo de los grficos de series de
tiempo, tanto a escala anual como mensual, grficos de doble masa y anlisis estadstico.
A. Anlisis Grfico
C. Anlisis Estadstico
= + . . (1)
2
= . . (2)
2 ( )2
1 1 . . (3)
=
respectivamente.
= . . (4)
2 ( )2
= . . (5)
( 2 ( )2)( 2 ( )2)
2
= . (6)
1 2
Donde:
= Valor del Estadstico T calculado.
= Coeficiente de Correlacin.
Verificacin:
4.2. Mtodo.
V. RESULTADOS Y DISCUSIN.
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 101.7 137.3 142.6 102.5 48.8 22.4 8.7 15.7 50.7 147.1 114.3 161.8
Desv. Estandar 41.5 54.8 61.7 51.9 18.9 19.4 9.4 12.5 33.7 85.1 42.0 42.7
Varianza 1724.9 3007.2 3803.8 2694.8 359.0 377.1 87.7 156.8 1135.9 7239.7 1764.2 1826.1
Coef. Variacion 40.8 39.9 43.2 50.6 38.8 86.6 107.1 79.7 66.5 57.8 36.7 26.4
Sesgo 0.81 0.98 1.06 0.72 0.88 1.49 2.96 1.11 1.31 0.36 0.29 0.07
Kurtosis 5.08 4.54 3.87 3.46 4.76 5.94 12.26 4.50 4.64 2.30 3.03 4.25
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 75.1 98.9 116.6 63.9 27.6 10.2 6.7 8.8 30.0 66.9 64.0 72.0
Desv. Estandar 34.7 49.5 62.4 26.9 16.9 8.7 7.0 7.1 18.9 29.5 23.9 33.4
Varianza 1203.9 2449.7 3891.0 725.2 286.7 75.9 48.8 50.7 356.4 868.4 573.3 1113.6
Coef. Variacion 46.2 50.0 53.5 42.1 61.4 85.1 104.7 80.8 63.0 44.0 37.4 46.3
Sesgo 0.84 1.04 0.80 0.84 0.93 0.50 1.24 0.53 1.35 0.21 0.24 0.14
Kurtosis 4.73 4.35 3.34 3.71 3.38 2.16 4.85 2.66 5.17 2.55 2.77 3.59
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 76.1 105.3 89.7 69.1 25.3 10.6 3.9 10.0 28.7 77.1 56.2 81.2
Desv. Estandar 53.9 46.2 62.6 29.2 9.1 7.7 3.5 8.0 14.9 52.8 17.1 39.2
Varianza 2901.9 2133.4 3917.2 854.0 82.6 58.5 12.2 63.4 221.6 2782.9 293.4 1540.5
Coef. Variacion 70.8 43.9 69.8 42.3 35.9 72.3 89.6 79.5 51.9 68.4 30.5 48.4
Sesgo 1.20 1.15 0.75 1.08 1.70 0.59 1.20 0.51 1.49 1.07 0.60 0.07
Kurtosis 4.79 4.97 2.77 4.93 6.50 2.22 3.59 2.57 6.05 4.16 3.44 3.60
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 89.1 109.5 122.1 82.2 36.7 11.3 6.3 9.0 33.4 90.2 68.9 87.4
Desv. Estandar 59.8 63.0 72.8 48.5 27.9 12.1 7.0 8.4 23.7 49.3 41.2 48.8
Varianza 3574.0 3970.6 5294.0 2350.7 780.8 146.1 48.7 71.2 563.8 2429.2 1695.2 2384.5
Coef. Variacion 67.1 57.5 59.6 59.0 76.1 107.1 111.2 93.4 71.0 54.7 59.7 55.9
Sesgo 1.18 0.67 0.59 0.59 2.14 1.31 1.25 1.38 1.11 1.09 0.92 0.77
Kurtosis 4.69 4.00 2.29 2.83 9.27 4.76 3.61 5.71 4.11 4.36 4.43 5.20
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 75.8 104.3 123.2 106.2 47.3 18.0 7.2 7.7 47.6 118.7 87.3 126.0
Desv. Estandar 46.4 57.9 81.8 36.7 19.2 14.6 6.9 5.4 29.6 70.8 29.7 56.8
Varianza 2149.3 3354.0 6690.2 1347.7 368.1 212.5 47.3 29.1 875.2 5007.7 881.7 3226.9
Coef. Variacion 61.1 55.5 66.4 34.6 40.5 81.1 95.4 70.5 62.1 59.6 34.0 45.1
Sesgo 1.51 0.81 0.62 0.59 1.29 1.23 1.15 1.19 1.37 0.99 0.02 1.38
Kurtosis 6.45 4.38 2.39 2.86 5.79 4.85 3.31 5.03 5.28 4.17 2.50 7.27
En esta estacin los meses con mayor promedio de precipitacin son marzo y
diciembre.
HIDROLOGA ESTADSTICA pg. 9
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
Facultad de Ingeniera
Escuela Acadmico Profesional de Ing. Hidrulica.
CUADRON6: SERIE DE LA ESTACIN GRANJA PORCON COMPLETA Y EXTENDIDA.
E= 762191.0 REG: CAJAMARCA
N= 9221839.0 PROV: CAJAMARCA
PRECIPITACIN MENSUAL(mm) Z= 3276.0 DIST: CAJAMARCA
N Aos ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC
1 1,965 117.6 141.8 220.6 261.3 76.9 14.3 11.5 0.0 118.3 175.3 154.0 162.5
2 1,966 108.8 93.0 64.4 176.1 97.5 20.0 5.6 0.0 46.1 172.7 145.3 83.9
3 1,967 400.1 432.1 319.6 120.4 85.5 1.9 37.6 41.4 33.8 277.8 26.2 151.6
4 1,968 146.3 226.1 247.4 116.6 24.7 0.0 8.7 48.2 169.8 232.2 178.2 255.0
5 1,969 112.1 259.5 269.4 245.9 19.4 88.5 0.0 14.0 55.1 150.8 307.4 268.7
6 1,970 153.9 179.0 204.8 184.3 129.6 42.2 25.4 29.2 103.7 177.4 305.9 169.8
7 1,971 204.0 189.6 715.6 224.6 169.8 90.0 100.7 48.2 106.8 326.4 239.0 243.6
8 1,972 149.3 219.2 381.9 218.5 75.1 13.3 0.0 62.7 77.9 36.1 256.0 173.2
9 1,973 274.4 147.8 299.8 292.7 85.5 98.6 42.8 90.0 203.1 24.7 255.6 175.6
10 1,974 214.4 162.5 234.0 301.9 68.8 82.4 18.6 80.9 59.6 115.3 86.2 149.3
11 1,975 155.6 26.7 257.6 332.8 85.3 40.6 0.0 72.6 15.6 169.1 129.6 21.6
12 1,976 278.5 196.4 272.5 84.0 79.4 36.8 0.0 9.5 32.3 85.5 30.8 111.3
13 1,977 290.7 350.0 257.3 144.0 36.1 11.8 1.1 0.0 86.2 137.9 218.5 120.4
14 1,978 52.0 151.6 69.5 125.8 125.3 0.0 30.5 0.0 92.9 98.2 281.6 279.3
15 1,979 156.5 211.3 554.0 85.0 73.3 7.7 42.9 52.6 169.5 64.5 32.7 155.6
16 1,980 97.6 47.9 244.9 97.0 103.1 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 367.0 327.3 236.0
17 1,981 134.3 382.4 280.1 224.0 91.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 235.4 82.9 129.3
18 1,982 162.8 75.4 141.9 291.2 88.2 12.8 7.6 20.5 107.7 226.3 157.4 242.2
19 1,983 298.8 102.0 232.1 339.1 83.0 75.0 14.7 5.6 58.3 171.8 54.2 108.9
20 1,984 68.5 383.5 139.8 266.7 99.1 31.2 27.7 66.8 93.3 242.0 237.2 116.5
21 1,985 89.3 110.8 99.7 159.2 177.6 28.4 10.1 65.3 94.5 70.4 43.2 163.1
22 1,986 226.8 53.6 0.4 104.0 153.3 12.8 6.7 67.2 7.8 41.4 70.0 193.7
23 1,987 471.1 171.4 183.5 120.9 95.5 0.0 20.9 0.0 83.2 177.8 236.9 115.9
24 1,988 458.7 260.1 87.9 245.5 19.5 14.9 1.0 0.0 37.8 194.5 162.4 185.2
25 1,989 278.1 320.8 120.4 127.9 19.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.9 108.3 69.5 0.0
26 1,990 36.4 121.1 125.9 184.6 41.6 45.4 0.0 0.0 203.6 389.5 371.6 148.7
27 1,991 94.7 355.5 509.6 248.6 287.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 78.7 157.6 221.5 250.1
28 1,992 170.1 74.1 137.1 119.1 107.7 62.4 0.0 24.0 135.5 119.2 75.7 174.1
29 1,993 147.6 190.6 374.3 437.8 102.7 19.8 0.0 18.4 82.6 137.5 206.2 452.6
30 1,994 475.4 373.5 531.9 268.5 329.1 18.6 0.0 22.2 104.8 252.8 210.7 142.5
31 1,995 139.7 228.8 217.7 127.8 112.7 12.6 51.8 48.9 54.9 96.5 125.9 243.9
32 1,996 198.8 407.5 312.7 141.3 59.7 49.7 0.0 20.3 48.5 232.9 80.6 58.6
33 1,997 186.9 190.3 123.2 260.0 81.0 18.5 39.0 9.9 80.5 169.2 301.6 305.1
34 1,998 168.5 380.5 298.7 243.2 85.4 0.0 0.0 14.8 67.6 234.7 158.8 99.0
35 1,999 210.3 494.2 253.7 126.0 166.7 53.9 20.3 6.4 228.3 65.3 138.6 166.4
36 2,000 74.8 237.0 221.1 168.6 160.7 40.7 1.6 16.3 123.2 19.3 62.8 236.5
37 2,001 341.1 227.7 419.2 92.6 88.7 17.6 15.2 0.4 145.2 169.5 156.1 171.8
38 2,002 76.2 188.8 390.1 159.0 38.1 27.8 15.2 2.6 53.2 202.1 226.5 243.0
39 2,003 103.8 134.9 124.3 81.2 76.0 54.4 28.9 15.6 47.2 101.8 112.6 100.0
40 2,004 70.3 230.4 168.2 82.4 75.4 11.7 41.0 19.1 84.8 147.0 168.0 240.9
41 2,005 157.8 231.2 343.3 93.1 91.6 53.7 0.0 7.1 54.4 152.8 28.6 164.8
42 2,006 145.5 188.1 345.7 184.7 62.8 62.0 5.1 15.7 116.2 39.8 158.5 183.6
43 2,007 245.4 64.5 352.3 226.3 57.7 1.1 42.6 20.1 32.8 171.8 211.1 146.4
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 189.4 214.3 259.3 189.2 97.4 30.0 15.7 24.1 85.1 161.3 165.2 175.3
Desv. Estandar 111.3 114.9 144.1 84.5 61.4 28.0 20.6 26.3 53.5 86.7 91.8 80.0
Varianza 12388.4 13197.8 20777.2 7142.4 3772.8 781.4 425.2 690.1 2864.6 7513.2 8423.0 6407.2
Coef. Variacion 58.8 53.6 55.6 44.7 63.1 93.3 131.4 109.0 62.9 53.7 55.6 45.6
Sesgo 1.17 0.54 0.92 0.68 1.91 0.81 1.98 1.07 0.89 0.72 0.21 0.72
Kurtosis 4.07 2.82 4.52 3.31 8.45 3.06 8.55 3.00 3.73 3.54 2.39 5.55
Esta estacin por encontrarse a mayor altitud registra los datos ms altos de
precipitacin.
HIDROLOGA ESTADSTICA pg. 10
UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CAJAMARCA
Facultad de Ingeniera
Escuela Acadmico Profesional de Ing. Hidrulica.
CUADRON7: SERIE DE LA ESTACIN HUACATAZ COMPLETA Y EXTENDIDA.
E= 776874 REG: CAJAMARCA
N= 9206974.6 PROV: CAJAMARCA
PRECIPITACIN MENSUAL(mm) Z= 3130.0 DIST: CAJAMARCA
N Aos ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SEP OCT NOV DIC
1 1,965 108.4 89.4 119.7 93.2 26.8 3.9 8.4 0.0 69.1 100.7 98.4 106.4
2 1,966 91.1 52.5 80.5 71.0 51.5 3.9 6.8 0.0 19.9 99.7 94.6 102.4
3 1,967 157.5 176.0 139.1 59.5 54.9 11.4 15.8 7.7 36.0 114.5 43.1 116.7
4 1,968 85.7 98.8 94.7 55.3 30.6 5.1 7.7 26.1 70.2 89.7 85.3 96.3
5 1,969 67.5 89.2 111.6 98.8 19.4 18.2 5.2 22.9 27.1 84.1 144.7 100.1
6 1,970 100.6 47.1 107.8 75.8 46.3 18.4 12.4 1.9 26.8 151.0 81.7 117.9
7 1,971 86.2 121.0 317.6 76.0 24.8 12.8 33.7 27.9 40.3 91.5 75.2 110.1
8 1,972 82.9 81.1 144.1 91.8 33.2 7.1 5.2 33.9 41.6 77.3 99.0 75.6
9 1,973 128.3 85.2 121.3 110.5 37.9 24.8 17.3 31.6 126.2 75.1 97.8 96.6
10 1,974 89.9 176.6 117.6 79.1 22.0 16.5 10.5 46.2 54.8 86.3 85.9 98.8
11 1,975 128.6 198.4 238.6 86.4 73.8 11.2 5.2 31.6 63.5 71.9 97.4 104.4
12 1,976 168.3 74.9 109.3 61.1 54.0 20.7 5.2 5.3 18.8 76.6 104.8 76.1
13 1,977 226.2 184.9 179.3 55.3 96.4 12.0 11.4 2.2 22.2 68.8 70.5 81.5
14 1,978 28.1 68.8 93.5 81.7 75.1 8.4 15.2 3.1 27.2 59.9 89.4 62.3
15 1,979 88.0 102.8 209.2 60.9 25.6 0.1 17.1 31.9 48.8 14.2 33.2 54.6
16 1,980 53.0 48.8 97.1 48.2 10.2 9.0 1.3 8.5 15.3 147.6 201.4 81.5
17 1,981 72.3 222.6 86.8 46.3 25.6 27.3 15.4 9.6 10.0 95.3 101.4 113.7
18 1,982 77.0 101.9 113.2 69.1 32.0 11.4 1.4 0.2 74.6 162.8 91.1 170.5
19 1,983 131.3 51.0 196.0 159.3 33.4 9.2 5.9 3.2 28.6 84.3 76.8 143.1
20 1,984 72.2 332.8 168.6 115.2 85.4 21.1 15.8 29.8 39.9 124.6 92.8 90.8
21 1,985 80.9 48.9 59.4 60.3 43.9 0.7 3.0 23.5 60.9 76.4 58.0 113.1
22 1,986 108.9 89.6 87.6 91.2 28.1 0.2 2.5 30.8 9.9 124.6 92.8 90.8
23 1,987 144.4 95.5 74.5 97.3 32.3 4.7 14.1 26.7 62.3 77.0 86.8 72.1
24 1,988 144.7 131.1 70.2 106.1 27.0 7.9 5.5 0.0 46.9 81.4 97.5 97.9
25 1,989 118.8 201.4 143.9 98.6 33.8 16.1 5.2 7.9 75.0 97.7 76.7 120.0
26 1,990 134.8 82.3 84.6 55.8 42.7 21.8 0.0 10.0 29.4 144.5 136.3 108.8
27 1,991 69.6 110.7 165.4 76.3 34.6 4.5 5.2 0.0 15.9 82.0 85.9 73.7
28 1,992 79.6 33.9 93.5 69.9 33.9 19.4 3.0 15.2 57.7 117.0 59.4 94.9
29 1,993 89.2 139.9 284.7 111.5 43.3 5.3 5.2 2.6 72.1 95.0 104.6 119.8
30 1,994 152.9 127.9 204.6 142.5 47.6 6.3 5.2 -2.2 18.2 75.1 125.7 73.1
31 1,995 70.6 134.8 103.3 72.3 35.3 5.2 19.8 16.6 17.7 83.7 80.6 87.7
32 1,996 94.0 155.5 150.9 72.8 29.6 4.5 5.2 25.4 21.0 94.5 101.4 102.1
33 1,997 92.4 193.6 50.5 65.4 32.3 15.2 16.2 0.0 39.4 101.5 151.0 87.1
34 1,998 137.1 145.6 297.6 97.5 34.5 7.4 5.2 5.8 26.3 103.7 56.1 104.1
35 1,999 127.7 312.1 96.6 83.6 62.9 20.5 10.9 0.0 113.1 66.0 111.0 69.9
36 2,000 72.1 206.0 157.5 92.6 51.9 15.3 5.7 21.2 79.2 62.5 73.7 62.9
37 2,001 237.6 124.9 268.9 77.8 58.2 5.6 9.5 0.0 48.9 94.9 129.8 84.4
38 2,002 50.4 72.1 164.8 92.6 37.3 10.4 9.5 3.5 21.9 106.6 137.3 110.4
39 2,003 77.9 72.9 133.2 66.7 43.7 20.2 13.4 16.2 22.2 83.3 95.9 84.2
40 2,004 80.9 116.6 115.2 70.4 42.3 9.1 16.8 10.6 32.1 94.7 102.2 96.2
41 2,005 126.4 94.0 204.8 82.5 36.4 7.5 5.2 10.0 24.8 111.5 73.5 105.3
42 2,006 84.0 108.9 237.7 85.8 31.9 22.5 6.6 16.0 54.0 76.3 100.8 86.2
43 2,007 105.7 63.7 232.9 95.3 45.5 7.1 17.2 11.3 34.7 119.3 130.8 109.5
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 105.2 122.5 147.2 82.8 41.1 11.4 9.5 13.4 42.9 94.1 96.1 96.6
Desv. Estandar 42.1 66.4 67.7 23.2 17.4 7.1 6.5 12.6 26.3 27.2 30.3 21.6
Varianza 1768.3 4413.8 4589.0 536.4 304.0 51.1 42.6 158.6 690.7 738.5 915.7 467.2
Coef. Variacion 40.0 54.3 46.0 28.0 42.4 62.7 68.9 94.2 61.3 28.9 31.5 22.4
Sesgo 1.24 1.29 0.78 1.09 1.35 0.31 1.30 0.63 1.34 0.33 1.00 0.91
Kurtosis 5.34 5.22 3.17 5.23 5.14 2.35 5.96 2.56 4.76 4.69 5.71 5.35
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 118.7 157.8 173.9 121.8 51.7 23.3 8.4 12.4 73.5 148.7 139.8 156.9
Desv. Estandar 46.1 77.9 58.0 34.8 16.9 23.4 5.4 8.4 53.1 86.4 73.9 36.9
Varianza 2126.2 6073.4 3360.8 1214.1 285.7 546.6 28.9 70.2 2818.9 7464.9 5460.2 1358.2
Coef. Variacion 38.8 49.4 33.3 28.6 32.7 100.1 64.0 67.5 72.3 58.1 52.9 23.5
Sesgo 1.20 0.91 0.96 0.05 -0.82 1.72 1.50 0.75 1.51 1.09 1.37 -0.37
Kurtosis 5.01 3.85 4.55 2.60 4.45 6.98 5.37 3.83 5.20 4.19 5.88 4.87
N Datos 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Media (x) 124.5 147.8 168.5 121.4 59.1 26.4 11.2 14.2 64.4 139.6 133.6 171.2
Desv. Estandar 49.2 51.2 49.6 39.1 17.2 16.0 10.9 8.3 36.4 72.2 63.4 51.5
Varianza 2416.2 2625.4 2461.7 1530.2 296.3 255.7 118.4 68.3 1321.7 5216.1 4016.7 2650.9
Coef. Variacion 39.5 34.7 29.4 32.2 29.1 60.6 97.6 58.3 56.4 51.7 47.4 30.1
Sesgo 0.77 0.52 0.86 0.56 0.41 0.88 1.47 0.88 1.56 1.04 0.63 -0.10
Kurtosis 3.94 3.12 4.48 2.71 4.94 3.68 5.19 3.76 5.50 4.16 3.48 4.04
V. CONCLUCIONES.