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In multiparty legislatures,the largestparty or coalitionmay fall shortof controllinga majority ofplenary seats.However,
generallyendow the largestparties with extensiveagenda-settingprerogatives,evenwhen plenary
plurality-led congresses
majorities are lacking.In thisarticle,we present a model and compellingevidence describing changes in the strategic
behavior of committeechairswhen majority control is lost.Using a dataset that includesall the billsproposed to the
ArgentineHouse in the last25 years,we estimatesuccess in committeeinmajority- and plurality-ledcongresses.
We provide
extensiveevidence that the lossofmajority controlreduces the importanceof themedian voterof thepluralitypartywhile
improvingthesuccessof themedian committeevoter.
In multiparty legislatures, the largest party or coali system to plurality-led congresses.We show that resources
tion may fall short of controlling a majority of ple available to senior party members to prevent legislation
nary seats.1 However, congressional rules generally from being reported from committee far exceed their ca
endow the largestpartywith extensive agenda-setting pre pacity to sustain quorum on the plenary floor or tomuster
rogatives, even ifplenary majorities are lacking. How do the votes required for final passage. Consequently, com
plurality parties adjust to such partisan environments? mittee chairs with extensive scheduling prerogatives need
Is the result more pronounced legislative gridlock or a to bargain with minority leaders,who may withhold legis
change in themakeup of the legislation to be considered lation through the enforcement of quorum and reporting
in committee and voted on the plenary floor? In this ar rules.
reporting strategies and delegate further gatekeeping re House. Results show that the loss of committee majori
sponsibilities onto the Chamber Directorate. ties has little effecton the success of plurality-party mem
To account for legislators' success in committee, we bers but results in a significant increase in legislative suc
extend Cox and McCubbinss (2005) model of a dual-veto cess among members of other parties. Overall, the loss of
Ernesto Calvo is Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742 (ecalvo@gvpt.umd.edu).
Inaki Sagarzazu is a post-doctoral fellow at the Center for Experimental Social Sciences, Nuffield College, University of Oxford
(inaki. sagarzazu@nuffield. ox.ac.uk).
We thank for their suggestions JuanManuel Abal Medina (Jr.),Manuel Alcantara, Isabella Alcaniz, Eduardo Aleman, Maria Baron, Miguel
de Luca, Marcelo Escolar, Tulia Falleti, Flavia Freidenberg, Eduard L. Gibson, Mariana Gutierrez, Eugenio Inchausti, Noah Kaplan, Juan
Pablo Micozzi, Mercedes Garcia Montero, Charles Munnell, Maria Victoria Murillo, Ana Maria Mustapic, Fernando Pedrosa, Susan Scarrow,
Gisela Sin, Andres Tow, the participants of the Latin American Workshop at the University of Houston, and three anonymous reviewers.
*Data, code, and ancillary materials to replicate all analysis maybe downloaded from http://www.bsos.umd.edu/gvpt/calvo/.
(2005) presentsa novel analysisofwinnowing,measuring theprobabilitythata billwill be placed for the considerationof committee
members.Our focuson the successof individuallegislatorsdiffersfromprior researchexplaininghow the lossofmajority controlaffects
executivesuccess (Canes-Wrone and deMarchi 2002; Cheibub, Przeworski,and Saiegh 2004; Figuereido,Cheibub, and Limongi 2000;
Howell et al. 2000;Mayhew 1974; Saiegh 2009) or how fragmentedcongresseslimit(ornot) the rangeof policies available to thepresident
(Ames2001;AmorimNeto, Cox, andMcCubbins 2003).
American Vol. 55, No. 1-15
Journal of Political Science, 1, January 2011, Pp.
sidering all presidential democracies in the world since the sixth section.
1950, the largest party in the lower chamber failed to
obtain a majority of seats in^43% of congressional pe
riods (Cheibub, Przeworski, and Saiegh 2004). Thus far,
however, limited research effortshave been directed to
Committee Success with
wards understanding legislators' success in plurality-led Decentralized Gatekeeping Authority
congresses, and no research thatwe are aware of explains
success in committee.3 In the last few years, significant research in Latin America
As in the U.S.Congress, in most Latin American has been conducted that sheds new light on the organiza
legislatures a majority of the bills' die at the committee tion of congresses and the behavior of legislators (Amorim
stage.As shown inAleman (2006), approximately 50% of Neto, Cox, and McCubbins 2003; Carey 2007; Crisp et al.
legislatures in Latin America impose no deadlines for the 2004; Desposato 2006; Garcia Montero 2009; Jones and
consideration or reporting of legislation to the plenary Hwang 2005; Morgenstern 2004; Taylor-Robinson and
floor.Although an emerging literature has taken notice of Diaz 1999). Data collection efforts and new statistical
the importance of committees in the organization of Latin techniques now allow researchers to analyze the ideologi
American legislatures (Aparicio and Langston 2009; Crisp cal distribution of parties and factions in Latin American
et al. 2009; Pereira and Mueller 2004; Santos and Renno legislatures and to understand better their internal or
2004), no research thatwe are aware of has explored the ganization. A broad scholarship has emerged, shedding
determinants of success in committee. new light on a range of important problems such as the
While little research analyzes the working of com determinants of party discipline (Carey 2007; Desposato
mittees in the presidential regimes of Latin America, 2006), the stability of presidential coalitions (Aleman and
an important body of research exists which details the Tsebelis 2005; Figuereido, Cheibub, and Limongi 2000),
workings of the committee system in the U.S. Congress the organization of authority roles, and the determinants
(CoxandMcCubbins 1993,2005; Krehbiel 1996;Weingast of legislative success (Amorim Neto, Cox, and McCubbins
1989). The conventional story,masterfully presented by 2003; Crisp, Kanthak, and Leijonhufvud 2004; Figuereido,
Gary Cox and Matthew McCubbins in Setting theAgenda, Cheibub, and Limongi 2000). In this article we further
presumes that rational anticipation by committee chairs contribute to this literature, analyzing the relationship
serves the purpose of screening legislation thatmay divide between gatekeeping authority,majority control, and leg
and defeat themajority party on a floor vote. However, islative success.
in plurality-led congresses?which are never observed in To explain the relationship between gatekeeping au
theUnited States?rational anticipation is not enough to thority and legislative success, we focus on the mecha
overcome reporting and quorum rules that grantminor nisms used by parties to regulate the flow of legislation
ity leaders considerable bargaining leverage. As we will reported to the floor (Cox and McCubbins 2005; Shepsle
show, changes in the composition of committees and the and Weingast 1987). In most Latin American countries,
threat of a vanishing quorum result in a significant change political parties play a crucial role organizing the daily
business of the legislature. These parties are not only the
3
a
key players controlling the deck of legislation reported to
There is, however, significant literature that analyzes legislative
successofminoritypresidents(AlemanandCalvo 2010;Ames 2001;
the plenary, but they are also endowed with a variety of
Amorim Neto, Cox, andMcCubbins 2003; Cheibub, Przeworski,
and Saiegh 2004; Figuereido,Cheibub, and Limongi 2000; Garcia resources to restrict the set of policy choices available to
Montero 2009; PereiraandMueller 2004; Saiegh 2009). legislators and to affect their voting behavior (Amorim
Neto, Cox, and McCubbins 2003). An important mission in place to filterbills that sneak out because of the de
of legislators is the enactment of laws they favor and the centralized nature of the committee review process. Leg
rejection of those they dislike. But in legislatures where islation that is reportedfrom committee is subject to review
power is not distributed equally, not all parties will be inprefloor party meetings, before they can be scheduled for
equally successful at advancing theirmembers' lawmak a plenary vote by the Chamber Directorate (Comision de
by members of other parties. In the time-constrained Consequently, a significant number of committee chairs
environment common to all legislatures, the party lead belong tominority parties. While themajority party al
ers with actual control over the scheduling of proposals ways controls the most important committees, such as
should be expected to prioritize the bills of their fel the appropriations committee (Presupuesto y Hacienda),
low partisans. Partisan biases in the time allocated to opposition chairs dispose of institutional resources to ad
each initiative, however, compound as bills move forward vance some of their preferred policies in committee. This
through successive legislative stages. Agenda-setting pre feature reinforces the importance of gatekeeping author
rogatives that restrict the deck of bills to be considered by ity in later stages and a more active bargaining strategy
committee members, such as wider discretion by com than in the U.S. Congress. While committee chairs are
mittee chairs to withhold the discussion of a particular proportionally assigned in accordance to house seats, the
proposal, will result in a more heavily partisan sample of composition of committees replicates the overall parti
bills reported to the floor (Cox and McCubbins 2005).4 san distribution of seats in theHouse. Consequently, the
Wider agenda-setting prerogatives by the Chamber Di majority/plurality party controls a majority/plurality of
rectoratewill grant themajority party with resources to seats in almost all committees.6
restrict further this already partisan sample of bills. In Because of the importance of late review institutions,
this second stage, agenda-setting prerogatives will more all amendments to bills reported from committee (mod
clearly serve the purpose of advancing legislation that is ificaciones) are attached to a unified dossier which in
both important to the senior partners of the majority cludes the majority report, minority reports from dis
party and thatwill not divide itsmembers when reviewed senting members of the committee, and observations
or objections raised by fellow representatives. Each pro
by the plenary.
In theArgentine case, the sequential organization of posed amendment must be made available tomembers of
the legislative process also biases the sample of bills re Congress a week before the bill is scheduled for plenary
ceiving final approval towards themajority party. In the consideration.7
earlier stages, gatekeeping authority is decentralized to The chamber directorate, however, has considerable
senior partymembers who control important committee discretion when deciding which bills should be placed on
posts, endowing themajority party with institutional re theplenary agenda. Consequently, as itwill be shown later,
sources to screen unwanted legislation in their respective close to half of the initiatives reported from committee
jurisdictions, e.g., the appropriations, municipal affairs, will never reach the floor. Finally, special majorities are
once the bill
constitutional affairs committees, etc.Decentralized gate required to propose further amendments
reaches the plenary, making the vote a horse race between
keeping authority at the committee level, however, may
results in divisive legislation that is not unanimously sup proposals introduced ahead of any floor debate.
fromthe flooror because thepay attentionto issueson which no circumstances call for it, generally on very controversial initiatives
a intense bargaining within and across legislative blocs
senior party members has previously expressed preference. For requiring
an
analysis of issue attention
in committee, see Sheingate (2006). (CalvoandTow 2009).
The makeup of the floor agenda is, therefore, se party (the party with themost seats but short of a ma
quentially restricted to represent better the preferences of jority) from automatically forcing a bill onto the plenary
themajority party members, at the committee level, and floor. If a majority report is lacking, discharge motions
screened for potential conflicts of interest in later stages. can be introduced on the plenary by individual deputies,
This process is then repeated in the alternate Chamber. requiring the support of two-thirds of plenary attendees.
The result of this dual screening process is the elimina The high threshold required to force a bill onto the floor
tion of unwanted legislation proposed byminority parties without a majority report makes it very difficult to cir
in the early stages, and the promotion of legislation that cumvent the committee gates. Because a simple majority
is unanimously preferred by the senior members of the is required to discharge a bill from committee, the loss of
majority party in the later stages.8 majority control grants themedian committee member,
who may now be a member of the opposition, a deci
sive vote to defeat proposals submitted by the plurality
On theDischarge of Legislation party.10As we will show, the committee and plenary pro
cess in Argentina replicates the dual-veto system of the
from Committee and the Loss of
pre-Reed U.S. House, where the opposition may prevent
Majority Control the reconsideration of policies disliked by itsown median
voter.
As described before, the sequential organization of the For presentation purposes, we begin by revisiting Cox
legislative process provides themajority party with sig and McCubbins's (2005) exposition of the dual-veto sys
nificant resources to (1) screen out unwanted legislation tem in theU.S. House and then describe how the agenda
at the committee level, (2) screen out divisive legislation
setting prerogatives of chairs affect legislative success in
in the prefloor partymeeting, and (3) screen out bills that committee.11 Finally, we provide a general model to ex
lackmajority support in the Chamber Directorate meet
plain legislative success in plurality-led congresses and
ing. These three screening stages all but guarantee that a describe testable implications.
bill that is submitted to the plenary will receive a favorable As with most positive models of legislative activity,
vote: of the 29,173 bill initiatives submitted to Congress we begin with a set of simplifying assumptions where
by individual deputies between 1984 and 2007, only five k committee members consider a single proposal, pj.
were rejected in a floor vote!9 Meanwhile, over 1,665 bills Each member is characterized by separable, single peaked
received a favorable vote on the floor (5.71%) and 179
preferences, described by unique ideal points x CX in
projects were withdrawn from consideration. The loss of a single dimension j. We also assume a quadratic loss
majority control, however, substantively affects this pro function12measuring Euclidian distances between a pro
cess. Below, we provide a streamlined model =
describing posed policy pjand the legislator's preference^, Uk(p)
how the loss ofmajority control affects legislative success ? ?
{xk- pj)2. Each legislator belongs to a single legisla
in committee. tive bloc, with committee membership determined by
House rules. To simplify the presentation of themodel,
we consider Deputies as members of one among three
Success in Committee: A Formal
available legislative blocs: a majority party whose me
Description dian voter is described by MM; a firstminority party
Different from final passage in a plenary vote, success in whose median voter is described by m\\ and a second
committee is achieved if and when a bill is discharged
with a majority report. Such a report requires the signa median voterwill onlybe amember of an opposition party
10The
for extreme plurality parties. This is an unproblematic assumption
ture of a majority of committee members. Bills without in theArgentineCongress,where idealpoint estimatesconsistently
a majority report cannot be debated on the
plenary even placed thePeronists (PJ) and theUnion Civica Radical (UCR) on
if a minority report is drafted. the extremes of the distribution.
Consequently, the loss of
control in committee will prevent the plurality 11In
majority discussingvote decisions by committees,Cox andMcCubbins
(2002) notice thattheconditionalcartelmodel can be easilytrans
are lated to committee environments.
8These prefloor party meetings responsible for screening out They coin the term local agenda
^ 40% of the legislation reported from committee. control when success in committee from the global
distinguishing
agenda control in the plenary floor.
9Another77 bills (0.26%) changed theirstatustoprivatebills. It is
worth noting that reaching the floor does not guarantee 12The choice of a quadratic loss function instead of Cox and Mc
approval.
? ?
However, bills thatreach theplenary and lack support tend to be Cubbins's absolute deviation, z;
: Uk(z) =
t\xk- z; |,will be
reported back to committee for further consideration, rather than come more
important in the statistical analyses of the fourth sec
voted down on the floor. tion.
minority party whose median voter is described by m2. of the pre-Reed House (Cox and McCubbins 2005), the
It is important to note thatwith three or more blocs, a loss ofmajority control provides senior members ofmi
legislative party controlling most seats could still fail to nority parties with the capacity to deny committee (or
have as a member the median voter of the committee. plenary) quorum when the proposed policy leads to the
Consistent with the description of the dual-veto system reconsideration of a status quo in the area between the
?
in Cox and McCubbins, we locate themedian voter of median committee member m\ and 2{m\ C), where
themajority bloc to the leftof the firstminority median Uk(sq) > uk{C).
voter Mm < mi, which is also to the left of the second House rules that bestow committee chairs with the
minority median voter, m\ < m2. This depiction adjusts capacity to restrict the set of amendments to be considered
well to the Argentine House, characterized by spatially allow themajority party to propose policy changes that
extreme majority/plurality parties (Aleman et al. 2009; move the status quo furthercloser to the preferences of the
Jones and Hwang 2005). Consequently, in our majority median voter of their party. Relaxing the assumption of
led Congress, themedian committee voter C lies to the open rule, as in Figure 1C, allows themedian committee
right of themedian voter of themajority bloc Mm and member of themajority party,MM, to propose policy p2,
to the left of themedian voter of the firstminority m\\ which is preferred to sq2 by themedian committee voter
Mm < C < mi < m2. In accordance with committee C. Finally, when majority control is lost, the minority
rules in the Argentine House, we consider the chairman party should prevent the reconsideration of any policy
of each committee as the sole agenda setter,endowed with to the left of m\ but allow limited reconsideration of
exclusive scheduling authority.13 Ifa bill isopen to consid a status quo to the right of m\ if it is preferred by its
eration, committee members vote sincerely and maximize median bloc member. As described by Figure ID, the
their preferred outcome, e.g., voting YEA if the utility of minority party should facilitate quorum for both the
first
the proposed policy is higher than that of the current reconsideration of sq2 and sq4. However, the acceptable
status quo, < or voting NAY ifthe status range of policy change where p\ >sq4 is considerably
Uk(sqj) Uk(pj)y
quo is preferred to the proposal, > In a narrower than for p2 >sq2.
Uk(sqj) Uk(pj).
firstdescription of our committee model, amendments Two important results should be highlighted to un
can be proposed during debate (open rule), guaranteeing derstand the effect that the loss of majority control will
that the final policy result will reflect the preferences of have on success in committee: (1) first, a majority-led
themedian committee member, C. committee with restrictiveproposal authority will endow
Figure 1A provides a single-dimension representa committee members of themajority party with broader
tion of a majority-led committee with a chair drawn discretion to select proposals thatmove policy beyond
from themajority bloc Mm- The area between themedian themedian committee member and closer to themedian
?
committee voter C and 2(MM C) describes the block member party; (2) second, the loss of
of the majority
out zone, where the reconsideration of the status quo in majority control will restrict policy change to proposals
a policy jurisdiction would divide themajority bloc and that are acceptable to themedian voter of themajority
move policy furtheraway from the preferences of theme party and will not be vetoed by themedian member of
dian member of themajority party, e.g., moving policy theminority party mi. Because membership in commit
from sq\ to C. Consequently, as depicted in Figure 1A, tee is reflectiveof overall party shares, the loss ofmajority
committee chairs from themajority party should prevent control in the Chamber will also result in a loss ofmajor
the reconsideration of sq\, which is located to the left itycontrol inmost committees.14 Significant institutional
of themedian committee member. By contrast, the chair authority by the committee chair, however, will still pro
should allow the reconsideration of sq2> redirecting pol vide the plurality party with plenty of instruments to
connecting sq2 and C. Should the newly acquired veto authority inplurality
As described in Figure IB, however, the loss of ma led committees result in a decline in the amount of leg
jority control will allow senior members of theminority islation reported from committee or a change in the ide
we will show
party mi to prevent the reconsideration of policies that ological makeup of the plenary agenda? As
divide their own legislative bloc and move policy away in the next section, the gatekeeping strategy of committee
from their own median voter. As in the dual-veto system chairs will vary, conditional on the context on the plenary
13In
Argentina thedraftingof thecommitteeschedule is theexclu 14
sive responsibility of each committee chair. Chairs may also request Committees inArgentina have a larger number of members than
on a vote counts double in the U.S. and membership shares roughly reflect the
feasibility studies particular bill, and their Congress,
for reporting decisions. proportionof totalChamber seatsheld by each party.
Blockout
Zone Blockout
Zone VetoZone
Majority-Party Plurality-Party First-Minority
Zone
Blockout
Majority-Party
floor.When a party controls a majority of seats on the blocs inArgentina, the Peronist "Justicialista" Party (PJ)
plenary floor, chairs will favor the discharge of legislation and the centristUCR. When Peronists control a majority
preferred by theirmedian voter even after losingmajority ofHouse seats, the success in reporting bills sponsored by
support in committee, which will then result in a small members of the party is 16%. The loss ofmajority control
decline in the total amount of legislation reported to the results in a very small decline in the Peronists' spon
floor. By contrast, in plurality-led congresses, committee sored legislation discharged from committee and a more
chairs will become more permissive, allowing a larger set substantial increase in the success of legislation spon
of bills to be discharged and delegating furthergatekeep sored by other blocs. The increase in the share of bills
ing authority to prefloor partymeetings and the chamber reported by other parties significantly alters themakeup
directorate. The result, as we will show, is a higher rate of the total bills reported from committee. Notice that,
of success in committee and a change in the ideological while the Peronists' success in committee remains almost
makeup of the plenary agenda. unchanged?a decline of 0.3%?the share of Peronist
Table 1 presents preliminary evidence that strongly bills is 12% smaller.We observe very similar resultswhen
conforms to the proposed model, describing the percent the UCR loses majority control, with a mild decline in
of bills reported to the floor by the two largest legislative the success of UCR legislators paired with a significant
Party Holding the Level of Control Legislator Number of Number of Party Share of
Presidency of the of the Lower Belongs Bills Bills Reported Committee Bills Reported
Chamber Chamber Seats to the... Introduced from Committee Success from Committee
increase in the legislation reported by members of other retrieve ideal point estimates describing the spatial pref
parties.
erences of House members. It is important to highlight
Table 1 already indicates that the loss of majority that the activity of cosponsoring legislation, which we
control results in a change in the partisan composition use to draw ideal point estimates of the legislator's prefer
of the bills reported to the floor, rather than a systematic ences, takes place before a bill is considered in committee
decline of success in committee. In fact, the overall percent or discussed on the plenary floor.Consequently, revealed
of bills reported by all committees tends to be larger in preferences about the legislators' preferences in cospon
plurality-controlled congresses, with gatekeeping being sorship data are not affected by committee and plenary
delegated to the party prefloor meeting and the Chamber behavior and will not be endogenously related to our
Directorate. In the next section,we use a very large dataset variables of legislative success.
of bill initiatives proposed to theArgentine Congress since Our strategy formodeling success in committee is to
1984 to explain the determinants of committee success run a multilevel logistic regression to estimate the prob
under majority- and plurality-controlled congresses. ability that a bill will be successfully reported from com
mittee in response to contextual changes in the commit
tee and on the plenary floor. The choice of a multilevel
model is appropriate, as we have information that is not
Explaining Committee Success in the only specific to each bill, but also information that is spe
Argentine Congress cific to each legislator (such as the level of seniority or
party membership), contextual information available at
To analyze how the institutional organization ofCongress the committee level (such as whether the largest party in
determines success in committee, we use a dataset of the committee has a majority or plurality of seats), and
29,173 legislative initiatives,which include all public bills information at the Congress level.A multilevel design al
proposed by Deputies to the Argentine Congress from lows us to control for the proper levels atwhich each type
1984 to 2007.15 Recent advances in themeasurement of of data is collected.
ideological preferences of legislators (Aleman et al. 2009) Because the Argentine Congress provides a fixed
allow us to use cosponsorship data for all available bills to schedule for the consideration of bills in each cham
15
ber, there is no selection bias when estimating success
We restrict our analysis to the Lower Chamber because the Pero
in committee. In Argentina, all bill initiatives are first
nists never lost majority control in the Argentine Senate. It is pos
that rational led to the introduction evaluated byHouse personnel, who decide committee re
sible, however, anticipation
of amendments in laterlegislativestages.Sin and Lupia produce a ferrals and the number of readings in a nonpartisan way.16
model interpretingthe effectin theHouse of a change in thepar
a
tisan composition of the Senate or the
presidency (Sin and Lupia 16Each committee represents "reading" of the bill initiative with
the lead committee as the "first reading." While rules
2008). congressional
After consideration and discussion, successful initiatives Other third parties, however, are still able to report to the
are discharged with accompanying reports and suggested floor a respectable ^8% of their preferred legislation.17
amendments. A specialized agency, the Secretary ofPar
interest, however, centers on how committee success is Figure 1A in the appendix provides a visual repre
affected by the ideological proximity between the spon sentation of the distribution of ideological preferences
sor of the bill and themedian legislator of themajority of representatives (firstdimension) in 12Argentine con
coalition. gresses. It also provides descriptive information about
the location of themedian voter on the plenary floor and
the location of themedian voters in each of the standing
We firstturn our attention to the ideological determinants The Context Inside Committees
of legislative success. We use two different independent
variables measuring (1) the squared ideological distance As indicated in the third section, we expect that the con
text in committee will endow theminority party with re
between the lead sponsor of each bill and themedian com
sources to prevent the reconsideration of legislation that
mittee member; and (2) the squared distance between the
lead sponsor of the bill and themedian committee mem isnot preferred by itsmedian voter. These contextual fea
tures are captured by the twomain independent ideolog
ber of the majority party}* Using these two measures
of ideological proximity, we are able tomap success in ical distance variables described before. Because we are
committee for any region of the ideological space. already estimating separate models for majority- and
The ideological location of legislators was retrieved plurality-led congresses and formajority/minority chairs,
there is little contextual variation to be further explained
using principal component analysis on the agreement
matrix of cosponsored legislation (Aleman et al. 2009). by the loss of majority in committee (which correlates
This procedure is a family relative of Keith Pooles Op stronglywith plenary support). Still, we introduce as a
timal Classification design (Poole 2005), retrieving ideal control a variable taking thevalue of 1 ifthere is a commit
tee plurality and 0 otherwise. This variable distinguishes
points estimates from cosponsorship data. An advantage
of our choice of ideal points is that estimates are not re stacked committees in plurality-led congresses and com
mittees of lesser importance that lackmajority support in
trieved from nominal votes but, instead, from revealed
majority-led congresses.
preferences that occur prior to any legislative activity in
committee. In the Argentine Congress, a lead sponsor
19For a more discussion of the advantages and disadvan the type of legislative session (ordinaria, extraordinaria,
complete
was referred to one of three
tages of using cosponsorship data, see Aleman et al. (2009).
prorroga); whether the bill
most important committees (Appropriations, Foreign chairs. Each of thesemodels provides evidence that con
Affairs, and Municipal Affairs); and dummy variables forms to the theory proposed in the second section.
describing the party of the lead sponsor of the bill (PJ, Let us startby noticing the evolution of the estimates
UCR, FREPASO, etc.). Notice that because we introduce of ideological proximity to the median of the majority
party-specific controls, our model is controlling forparty party and themedian committee member across the dif
specific effects. ferentmodels. As is it possible to observe, ideological
We expect that broader support will facilitate pas proximity to themedian voter of themajority party is of
sage, as it is generally reflected by a larger number of the utmost importance formajority-chaired committees
cosponsors or when initiatives are supported by more in majority-led congresses. As majority control is lost,
than one bloc. In contrast, referral tomultiple commit however, the benefit to members of the majority party
tees should increase the number of veto points and de becomes less pronounced. Finally, in plurality-led con
crease success in committee. Referral to important com gresses with minority committee chairs (Model D), the
mittees also should decrease success, because competition proximity to themedian voter of themajority party be
formore substantive legislation in higher-ranked com comes statistically insignificant. By contrast, proximity to
mittees ismore intense. The choice of committees also themedian committee voter becomes a significant pre
provides important information about the content of the dictor of success. The effect of ideological proximity to
bill. For example, any bill that includes spending measures themedian committee voter of the majority party and
needs to be reported by the Appropriations committee. the overall median committee member ismore readily
Descriptive statistics are reported in Table Al of the ap interpretable as presented in Figure 2.
pendix. The horizontal axis in Figure 2 describes the ideo
In the next section we present fourmodels of success logical location of legislators in the Argentine Congress
in committee. In the first two models we estimate suc as represented by its firstdimension. The vertical axis
cess inmajority-led congresses while distinguishing ob describes rates of success in committee. Consistent with
servations where the committee chair is amember of the themodel presented in the third section, the location of
majority party or amember of the opposition. We expect themedian committee member of themajority-plurality
the loss ofmajority control to produce a mild ideologi party is represented with the letterM and the median
cal drift towards themedian committee voter, consistent committee voter is described with the letterC.
with the theory proposed in the second section. The next As shown in the left plot of Figure 2, in commit
twomodels estimate success in committees when major tees chaired by a member of themajority party, success
itycontrol is lost, both for committees led by a chair from is higher for proposals sponsored by representatives who
the plurality party or a minority chair. After estimating are deep in themajority party coalition. The loss ofma
these fourmodels of success in committee, we also report jority control results in a mild increase in the amount of
results from two models estimating success on the ple legislation discharged by themedian committee voter, as
nary floor, once the sample size has been restricted, and observed by the surface between themajority and plural
including only bills reported from committee. The model ity lines.
of legislative success on the floor allows us to analyze how The right plot in Figure 2 describes success in com
changes in committee gatekeeping strategies affectoverall mittees led by an opposition chair. As can be observed,
legislative success. the total amount of legislation reported to the floor is
larger than in committees with a majority party chair.
The effect is particularly dramatic in committees chaired
Plurality
in Plenary (0.045)(0.298)(0.224) (?-17)_
-0.086-1.649***
-0.983*** (0.327) (0.205)
(0.202)
0.353*** 0.996***
0.253 (0.105)(0.102) (0.246) (0.816)
-1.571* -0.378*
-1.801***
-0.237**
SUCCESS
PLENARY
IN
in Plenary
Majority (0.219)(0.223) (0.239)(0.257) -1.013***(0.165)(0.206)
(0.038) (0.089)(0.112)(0.259)
-0.071 (0.695)
-0.431 -0.13
0.581***
_18?_
Plenary
in
Plurality
Majority
Chair (0.024) (0.056) (0.154) (0.165)
-0.184 (0.159)(0.125)
-0.598***
0.17
(0.127) (0.062)(0.091)
-0.062 (0.125)
-0.296***
-0.381** -0.741*** -0.315***-0.856*** -0.737**-0.418***
-0.474***
COMMITTEE
Minority
Chair -0.385 (0.269)(1.069)
(0.032)
-0.431 (0.099)(0.246)(0.22)
0.158
(0.276)(0.244)(0.094) (0.201)
-0.027 (0.162)(0.202)
-0.093
-0.164*** -0.224** -1.054***
Plenary
in
Majority
Chair
Majority (0.134) (0.387)(0.154) -1.047***
(0.021) (0.115)(0.048)(0.067) (0.128) (0.089)(0.122)
-0.205*** -0.189**
-0.844***
Committee
Committees Committee
Committee
Foreign
of Affairs
Municipal
Relations Center
Party
Provincial
Parties Right
of
Center
PartyOther
Parties
Number Appropriations Left Leftist
Party
in
Standard
parentheses,
Note:
errors
reported
with
are
follows:
(LMER,
levels
confidence
logistic
Multilevel
reported
0.05,
*p
**p
0.1,
***p
0.01.
model
<as
random
R
with
2.7),
Plurality
in Plenary 0.085 0.013 (378.151)
(0.103)
0.007 0.137
(0.134) (0.062)
(0.232) (0-117)(0.051) (0.014) 0.077
(0.326)
(0.193)
-13.108
0.216** 0.214***
SUCCESS
PLENARY
IN
in Plenary
Majority (0.265) 0.145 (279.371)
12.905 (0.013) (0.221)
0.215
0.253***
0.054***
(0.124)(0.043) (0.09) (0.06)
(0.194)
0.82*** -0.141*** -0.374* (0.174)
0.225***
by
from
intercepts
Random
Table
The
Congress.
3.
(Justicialista)
omitted
base
the
party
Peronist
is
category
bloc.
MinorityJ0113L (0.09) -10.924 (0.096) (0.289)(0.184)
Committee
Explaining
Table
Floor
3the
in
Success
Argentine
and
1983-2006
House, 0.589***
-0.08
Chair (0.164) -0.021 (0.118)(0.044) (0.014)
-0.006 (0.064)
-0.071-0.155-0.9***
-0.402** -0.254***(393.959)
0.301***
Plurality
Plenary
in
Chair (0-13)_
Minority -0.328
(0.104) -0.315*** (0.013) (0.198)(0.143)
0.052 0.141 (0.127)(0.04) 0.016
(0.092) (0.06)
-0.336***
JPJ77) 0.332*** -0.528***
-0.455**
Plenary
in
Majority
Majority
Chair 0.259** (0.033)(0.128)"?_
0.277*** (0.023)(0.463)(0.053) 0.215*** (?
(0.091)(0.105) -0.054 (0.069) 0.011
-0.791*** -0.856***
-0.344***
Note: Estimated from models reported in Table A2 in the online appendix. Median voter of the Largest Party (M) set to ?0.5. Median
set to ?0.2. In accordance to House rules, all committees
Committee Voter (C) replicate the composition of the plenary. Therefore, the
or party is roughly the same across committees. However, House rules allocate committee chairs in proportion to the
majority plurality
number of seats held by each party. Therefore, a number of committees are headed chairs. The figure on the left describes
by minority
success in committee
according to the ideological location of the sponsor of a bill when the committee chair belongs to the majority or
cosponsored by members of different parties will have a Bills initiated during regular congressional sessions
7% higher chance of being reported from committee in (Sesiones Ordinarias) have on average a higher approval
plurality-led congresses. Also noteworthy is that the pos rate than those initiated in special sessions {Sesiones Pror
itive effect of a larger number of cosponsors disappears roga or Extraordinarias). Such a finding is expected, given
in plurality-led congresses once we account for the effect that special sessions are generally called to deal with press
ofmultibloc proposals. ing bills, generally spearheaded by the Argentine presi
Consistent with Krutz s (2005) findings, we find that dent. Finally, allmodels inTable 3 show that bills initiated
seniority has little effecton committee success. However, by parties other than the PJ or UCR have a lower chance of
authority matters, as committee chairs are on average being discharged from committee. FREPASO-sponsored
twice as successful in reporting bills from committee? bills will see their chances of success drop by 3% in both
e.g., a success of 16% for chairs instead of the average 10% plurality- and majority-led congresses. Similarly, Provin
forothermembers. Referrals tomore prestigious commit cial parties will see drops of 5% and 4% in plurality and
tees result in a decline in success, as shown by the negative majority congresses, respectively.
coefficients for bills referred to the Appropriations and InModels E and F of Table 3,we present estimates of
Municipal Affairs Committees. Such decline in success legislative success on the plenary floor,using the restricted
becomes more pronounced in plurality-led congresses, sample of bills successfully reported from committee. Re
indicating that the change in the ideological makeup of sults clearly show statistically significant change in the
the legislation is also accompanied by a change in the ideological make up of the legislation being approved in
makeup of the issues brought to the plenary floor. theArgentine House when majority control is lost. First,
it isworth noticing that inmajority-led congresses the A further contribution of this article is to provide
ideological proximity to themedian voter of themajority a first-of-its-kind analysis of legislator success in com
party on the plenary floor significantly increases overall mittee in plurality-led congresses. While much research
legislative success. By contrast, when majority control is has sought to understand the determinants of legislative
lost, the ideological distance estimates become statistically success in plenary votes, there is little research estimating
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Supporting Information
iQuien controla la actividad legislativaen America Latina?
ColeccionMonografias. Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Additional Supporting Information may be found in the
Sociologicas. online version of this article:
Table Al: Descriptive Statistics Shorter lines describe the median voter in each of the
Table A2: Varying Slopes of Ideological Distance to the standing committees, 1983-2007.
Median Voter of theMajority Party and to theMedian
Committee Member, Restricted Model Please note: Wiley-Blackwell are not responsible for the
the Ideological content or functionality of any supporting materials sup
Figure Al: Density Plots Describing
Location of House Members (First Dimension, Co plied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing
sponsorship estimates). Peronists (PJ) fixed
on the right. material) should be directed to the corresponding author
C-Line describes themedian voter on the House floor. for the article.