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AU started operations in
Diversified, secure retail lender
Rajasthan and expanded to AU is a retail-focussed company with a diversified AUs loan book has grown at a robust 33% CAGR
product portfolio, currently operating in three over FY12-17 to Rs 107.3bn, and disbursements at a
other adjoining states over a
business lines i.e. Vehicle Finance (VF), MSME and 26% CAGR during the same period.
period of time SME loans. As of 1QFY18, it has an AUM of Rs
107.6bn. With its initial focus only on Vehicle Finance (VF),
AU later widened its base to include Housing
Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Jaipur, AUs Finance, MSME and SME. It also forayed into the
presence is largely in Rajasthan, Gujarat, Housing Loans category in FY11 through its
Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh. subsidiary AU Housing, which it divested in FY17,
resulting in a one-time profit of Rs 5.2bn.
VF loans comprise around AU targets customers in urban, semi-urban and
half of the total loan book rural India who are not catered to by formal banking Most segments offer high yields owing to small
channels for various reasons like income ticket size and high operating costs.
assessment challenges, low ticket size etc.
It has built in strong processes and underwriting
As on 1QFY18, Retail assets constitute 89% (VF-49%, capabilities over the years, which have resulted in
secured MSME- 31% and SME-9%), whereas GNPA of 1.6% in FY17.
Wholesale assets (NBFC loans- 6% and Real Estate -
5%) comprise 11% of the total loan book. Currently, over 54% of the business is concentrated
in the home state of Rajasthan.
Vehicle Finance: In the Vehicle Finance (VF) business, AU extends loans to new, pre-owned vehicles (and also for
refinancing) across multi-utility vehicles, cars, small, light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, tractors, three-
Entire retail book has
wheelers, two-wheelers and construction equipment. These loans are secured by the vehicles financed.
collateral backing
MSME: These loans are given to existing underserved customers primarily for business expansion, working capital and
equipment purchase. They are secured by immoveable property.
SME: AU extends loans to several types of small and medium-sized (SME) businesses, secured by immoveable
property and receivables.
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
44.5
107.3
140.4
183.9
242.9
37.0
111.2
145.2
20.0 12.5
25.5
82.2
26.9
33.8
56.2
67.3
88.6
7.5
FY15 55.7
FY13 24.4
FY12 20.8
20.0 2.5 0.0 2.5
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Product Overview
Year of AUM as of
Ticket Size (Rs.mn) Tenure Yields
Commencement FY17 (%)
Most products enjoy high
Vehicle Finance 1996 50% 0.34 3-4 years ~20%
yield
SME 2012 20% 21.92 3-4years ~15%
MSME 2007 30% 1.08 4-5years ~19%
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Performance Snapshot
Loan Book Growth MSME And SME Portfolio Showing Strong Growth
Rs bn Rs bn VF MSME SME
120.0
107.3 60
Loan book has grown at a 54
CAGR of 33% over the last 5 100.0 50
yrs 82.2
80.0 40
32
60.0 55.7
30
44.5 22 21
37.0 18
40.0 20
25.6 14
9 10
20.0 10 6 4
3 2 2
- -
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Owing to a low base, MSME
and SME book have shown a Asset Mix Trend NIMs Have Improved
staggering CAGR of 65% and VF MSME SME %
56% respectively over the 100% 6%
10.0 9.4
9% 10%
last 5 years 90%
10% 15%
19% 22% 20%
9.0
80% 20% 8.8
70% 25% 8.0 8.1
27% 30%
60% 7.3
50% 7.0
40% 81% 79%
70% 6.0 6.5 6.4
30% 57% 51% 50%
20%
5.0
10%
0% 4.0
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
ROA ROE
% %
4.0 30.0 28.0
3.6
3.5
3.1 25.0
21.7
3.0 2.8 20.4
19.6
20.0
2.5 2.2 16.9
ROE dropped in FY17 mainly 2.0
1.8 15.0
14.0
2.0
owing to an increase in net
1.5
worth from the stake sale in 10.0
the housing subsidiary 1.0
5.0
0.5
- 0.0
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Loan Book To Grow At A CAGR Of 31% Loan Book Mix Will Evolve
AUM (Bn) Growth (%) - RHS VF MSME SME New
270.0 38 100%
32
Business banking like 31 31 31
33
90% 20% 17%
80% 16%
Overdraft, Business Loans, 220.0 15%
28 70%
Agri Loans, Gold Loans etc 30% 30%
60% 30%
242.9
170.0
have been launched, which 23 31%
50%
will also drive growth
183.9
120.0 18 40%
30%
140.4
13
50%
107.3
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Source: HDFC sec Inst Research Source: HDFC sec Inst Research
As on 30th June , 2017 As on 30th June , 2017
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
0.0
Ujjivan Equitas AU
Page | 12
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Success of Bandhan Bank in deposit The bank operates through a network of 3,015
branches.
mobilisation The success of deposit mobilisation can be attributed
Bandhan Bank Ltd commenced operations in Aug- 15, to low financial penetration of banking products in
Bandhan has been very with the setting up of 501 branches across India. As of Eastern India
successful in replacing bank Dec-16, Bandhans deposits stood at Rs 200bn, with o Liability -focussed branches in business areas.
loans with deposits CASA comprising 26% of the total deposit. Deposit was
90% of total interest bearing instruments. o Lucrative rates for bulk deposits; many co-
operative banks have reportedly parked funds.
Metro And Urban Areas Have A Very Large Contribution To Overall Deposits
Category Deposit Amount (Rs bn) Share of Total Deposit
Rural 9,157 10%
Semi-Urban 13,173 15%
Urban 19,649 22%
Metro 47,243 53%
Total 89,221 100%
Source: RBI, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
be launched by FY18 in the under-banked areas. We
expect an average opex cost of Rs 5 to 6mn per
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
branch.
Further, it has incurred capital expenditure of ~Rs
3.3bn, and is expected to incur Rs 400-500mn in
FY18 towards IT and other Infrastructure costs.
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Liability Mix: High-cost Bank Borrowings To Decline Lower Blended Costs Of Borrowings To Fall
% 4QFY17 1QFY18
RTD+CASA % of Borrowing (%)
NCD 50 46
Refinance from FIs 21 16 Avg cost of borrowing (%)- RHS
CP 7 11 25.0 18.0
Drop in wholesale and Bank/NBFC 18 13 16.0
20.0
deposit rates would further Tier II Capital 5 4 14.0
boost spreads 12.0
Deposits - 10 15.0
10.0
Premium Deposit Pricing: To Provide Traction 10.0
8.0
FD Rate AU Equitas Bandhan 6.0
1 to 2 yr 8.00% 7.25% 7.50% 5.0 4.0
2-3 yr 7.50% 7.25% 7.00% 2.0
4-5 yr 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% 0.0 0.0
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
E
E
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
hover at 1.6% in FY18, and remain in this range as
the company would move to more secured lending.
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Credit costs are expected to hover at 1.1-1.2% #Recognition norms will move to 90days in FY18 from 120days
range.
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Valuation
AU concentrates on the underserved market, with a shareholders, as seen in lenders like Bajaj Finance,
The IPO was only secondary
diversified lending book. It is far better placed than Indusind Bank, Kotak, etc).
fund raising
other SFBs, which are dominated by an unsecured
However, with AU adequately capitalised, it may not
lending book. We believe the company is a
need equity fund raising for the next two to three
structural growth story and provides good long-
years. The stock is quoting at 5.6x FY20 P/ABV and
term investment opportunities.
initiate with NEUTRAL view and a TP of Rs 530 at
Faster growth and fund raising at high valuations 5.2x FY20 ABV.
are highly book value accretive (and rewarding for
Peer Valuations
Mcap CMP TP ABV (Rs) P/E (x) P/ABV (x) ROAE (%) ROAA (%)
Banks Rating
(Rs bn) (Rs) (Rs) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY17 FY18E FY19E FY17 FY18E FY19E FY17 FY18E FY19E FY17 FY18E FY19E
AU 161 567 NEU 530 68 75 87 49.5 58.4 44.8 8.35 7.59 6.52 21.7 13.0 14.9 3.05 1.62 1.57
AXSB 1,221 510 NEU 510 197 220 255 33.2 21.2 13.2 2.59 2.32 2.00 6.8 9.9 14.4 0.65 0.89 1.23
BOB 319 138 BUY 220 88 102 144 23.1 16.8 10.9 1.56 1.36 0.96 3.8 5.1 7.4 0.20 0.27 0.39
CUB 108 164 BUY 197 53 56 66 19.6 18.4 15.9 3.12 2.92 2.50 15.2 15.3 15.3 1.51 1.56 1.56
DCBB 56 181 BUY 222 64 79 89 25.9 21.3 16.8 2.83 2.29 2.04 10.8 10.9 11.1 0.93 0.97 1.02
Equitas 51 152 NEU 150 63 64 67 32.2 94.2 38.2 2.42 2.37 2.28 8.9 2.4 5.7 2.00 0.54 1.11
FB 219 113 BUY 128 46 59 65 23.4 20.9 16.3 2.43 1.93 1.75 9.8 9.9 10.4 0.81 0.83 0.90
ICICIBC # 1,775 277 BUY 338 111 111 132 12.4 13.7 10.8 1.88 1.87 1.49 10.0 10.5 11.6 1.31 1.20 1.29
IIB 997 1,676 BUY 1,663 331 382 443 35.0 28.3 23.2 5.06 4.39 3.78 15.3 16.3 17.2 1.78 1.79 1.78
KMB # 1,834 1,001 BUY 1,109 136 181 205 46.1 36.3 30.0 6.29 4.62 3.98 13.2 13.9 13.3 1.68 1.89 1.89
SBIN # 2,193 254 BUY 348 109 117 157 13.1 12.8 9.4 1.58 1.47 1.13 6.8 5.8 7.0 0.42 0.37 0.44
Ujjivan 38 320 BUY 354 147 147 164 14.1 195.0 18.5 2.18 2.18 1.95 18.3 1.1 11.1 2.92 0.22 1.95
Source: Companies, HDFC sec Inst Research, # Adjusted for embedded value of subs
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
superior rate of return
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Page | 21
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Recent Performance
Rs Mn 4QFY17 FY17 1QFY18
NII fell owing to the impact Loan Book 107,339 107,339 107,590
of SLR/CRR, as it converted Interest Income 3,445 12,868 3,610
to an SFB in 1QFY18 Interest Expense 1,181 4,838 1,775
NII 2,264 8,030 1,835
Other Income 361 1,006 579
Total Income 2,625 9,036 2,413
Total Opex 1,178 3,664 1,169
Employee Cost 709 1,928 711
Cost-to-Income has Other opex 470 1,737 458
increased sharply, and will Cost to Income (In %) 45 41 48
increase further as more PPP 1,446 5,381 1,245
liability branches are rolled Credit Cost 264 652 291
out Gross NPA (90 days) 1.8% 1.3% 2.3%
PBT 1,183 4,730 954
PAT 779 3,259 618
ROA 3.18% 3.40% 2.25%
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Credit cost and GNPAs have
been higher owing to a shift
in the recognition norms
from 120 days to 90 days
Page | 22
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Corporate overview
Headquarted in Jaipur, AU Small Finance Bank was Business presence is dominated in the home state of
incorporated in 1996. It lends largely to the Rajasthan, contributing 54% to the overall loan book in
underserved segments catering to urban, semi-urban FY17.
and rural sections, with individuals in the low and
middle-income categories. Its products are Vehicle On the liabilities side, the borrowing mix is dominated
(50%), MSME (30%) and SME (20%) loans among by NCDs and Term loans, contributing 50% and 33% to
others, with a total AUM of Rs 107bn as of FY17. the total borrowings respectively.
The company recieved the Small Finance Bank (SFB) Adjusted ROA and ROE for FY17 was 3.1% and 21.7%
The company got listed license from RBI on 20- Dec-16 to commence banking respectively.
recently in July 2017. The IPO operations, which it did in April-17 as a Small Finance
was only secondary offering Bank. Experienced and credible top management
by existing shareholders As on 1QFY18, it currently has 284 bank branches and
Sanjay Agarwal (Promoter and Managing Director):
119 asset centres.
He holds a Bachelors degree in commerce from the
The company operates in high-yield segments. Government College, Ajmer. He is a qualified Chartered
In FY17, the company sold its investments in its Accountant with over 21 years of experience in
subsidiary companies like AU Housing Finance Ltd, finance, accounting, strategic planning and credit risk
Index Money Ltd and associate companies like M management.
Power Micro Finance Pvt. Ltd and AU Insurance Uttam Tibrewal (Whole-time Director): He holds a
Broking Services Pvt. Ltd. The net profit (net of tax) on Bachelors degree in commerce from the University of
sale of these investments was Rs.5.17bn. Delhi. He has over 13 years of experience in the Non-
The company was initially incorporated in the name of Banking Finance Industry.
L.N. Finco Gems Pvt Ltd by Sanjay Agarwal, the
Promoter and the Managing Director of the company.
For the SFB rollout, it has recruited many people from
the banking industry. Most of the key personnel have
He has over 21 years of experience in finance,
been with the company for the last 6 to 10 years.
accounting, strategic planning and credit risk
management.
Page | 23
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Board Details
Date
Name Designation of Profile
Joining
He holds a Bachelors degree in commerce from the
Mannil Venugopalan Chairman and Independent Director 2011 University of Kerala. He has over 46 years of
experience in the Finance and Banking Industry
Board is chaired by Non- He holds a Bachelors degree in commerce from the
Executive Chairman Government college, Ajmer. He is qualified as
Sanjay Agarwal Promoter and Managing Director 1996 Chartered Accountant. He has over 21 years of
experience in Finance, Accounting, strategic
planning and credit risk management
He holds a Bachelors degree in commerce from the
Uttam Tibrewal Whole-Time Director 2013 University of Delhi. He has over 13 years of
experience in the Non-Banking Finance Industry.
He holds a Bachelors degree with honors in
commerce from Rajasthan University. He has over 26
Krishna Kant Rathi Independent Director 2008
years of experience working with various large
corporate in the fields of finance and accounting.
She holds a Bachelors degree in arts (economics)
from Lady Shriram college for Women, University of
Delhi and a Masters degree in Business
Jyoti Narang Independent Director 2015
Administration from the University of Delhi. She has
over 32 years of experience in senior leadership
positions in the hospitality industry.
He is a Qualified Chartered Accountant and has been
associated with the company since May 2010 as the
Deepak Jain Chief Financial Officer 2010 Chief Financial Officer. He has over 18 years of
experience in the fields of financial, treasury
operations and audit functions.
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Page | 24
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
FI and Local
MFs
23.5
As of July 7, 2017
Source: Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Page | 25
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Page | 26
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Key Ratios
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
VALUATION RATIOS ASSET QUALITY
EPS 11.5 9.7 12.7 17.2 Gross NPLs (Rsm) 1,072 2,188 3,060 4,073
Earnings Growth (%) (79.6) (15.3) 30.4 35.8 Net NPLs (Rs man) 693 1,270 1,491 1,846
BV 70.3 79.1 90.6 106.5 Gross NPLs on AUM (%) 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7
ABV (100% cover) 67.9 74.7 86.9 102.0 Net NPLs (%) 1.06 0.90 0.81 0.76
RoAA (%) 3.1 1.6 1.6 1.7 Coverage Ratio (%) 35.3 42.0 51.3 54.7
ROAE (%) 21.7 13.0 14.9 17.5 Provision/Avg. AUM (%) 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2
P/E (x) 49.5 58.4 44.8 33.0
P/ABV (x) 8.3 7.6 6.5 5.6 ROAA TREE
Dividend Yield (%) 0.14 0.18 0.19 Net Interest Income 8.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7%
Non Interest Income 0.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7%
PROFITABILITY Operating Cost 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 3.9%
Yield on Advances (%) 15.0 14.7 14.4 14.1 Provisions 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
Cost of Funds (%) 7.5 8.3 7.9 7.7 Tax 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
Core Spread (%) 7.4 6.4 6.5 6.4 ROAA 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7%
NIM (%) 8.8 6.9 6.5 6.7 Leverage (x) 7.11 8.02 9.52 10.19
ROAE 21.7% 13.0% 14.9% 17.5%
OPERATING EFFICIENCY Source : Company, HDFC sec Inst Research
Cost-Income Ratio (%) 38.7 57.6 56.6 53.3
Cost/Avg. Asset Ratio (%) 3.9 6.1 5.8 5.3
Page | 27
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
RECOMMENDATION HISTORY
Date CMP Reco Target
AU TP
700 29-Sep-17 567 NEU 530
650
600
550
500
Rating Definitions
BUY : Where the stock is expected to deliver more than 10% returns over the next 12 month period
Sep-17
Sep-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Jul-17
Jul-17
NEUTRAL : Where the stock is expected to deliver (-)10% to 10% returns over the next 12 month period
SELL : Where the stock is expected to deliver less than (-)10% returns over the next 12 month period
Page | 28
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
Disclosure:
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2496 5066
Compliance Officer: Binkle R. Oza Email: complianceofficer@hdfcsec.com Phone: (022) 3045 3600
HDFC Securities Limited, SEBI Reg. No.: NSE-INB/F/E 231109431, BSE-INB/F 011109437, AMFI Reg. No. ARN: 13549, PFRDA Reg. No. POP: 04102015, IRDA Corporate Agent License No.: HDF 2806925/HDF
C000222657, SEBI Research Analyst Reg. No.: INH000002475, CIN - U67120MH2000PLC152193
Mutual Funds Investments are subject to market risk. Please read the offer and scheme related documents carefully before investing.
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AU SMALL FINANCE BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE
HDFC securities
Institutional Equities
Unit No. 1602, 16th Floor, Tower A, Peninsula Business Park,
Senapati Bapat Marg, Lower Parel, Mumbai - 400 013
Board : +91-22-6171 7330 www.hdfcsec.com
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